7,166 yards, par 70
This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.
There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.
Hoffman has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.
Charley is another player with a solid record here finishing T8 last year shooting rounds of 69,65,64,65. He also played well in 2013 finishing T8 which included three rounds in the 60’s. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green. With great form over the last few weeks and a solid record here Charley could be a man to keep on side here.
After a respectable T28 last week in Sawgrass, the South African comes returns to TPC Four Seasons in good form and gets the nod from me again this week. He started the season off with an MC in Dubai but bounced back with a T12 in Malaysia and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.
Despite missing the cut in 2011, Louis has played well here in the past finishing T11 in 2012. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee ranking 31st in driving distance, 12th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained tee to green. After a mediocre performance last week at The Players, Oosthuizen looks worth chancing again this week on a course that should suit him a bit better.
I’ve decided to take a chance on another in form South African Charl Schwartzel. He took some time off after missing the cut at The Masters and should be fresh and relaxed coming to Texas this week. He has been in superb form and already has two wins this season on both PGA and European Tour. He won The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63. He then finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with another great win at The Valspar. He had a good performance in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.
Charl ticks a lot of boxes here averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance, seventh in GIR and 22nd in strokes gained tee to green. He has a superb record on this course finishing 11th in 2014 and third in 2013 and comes here in much better form this time around. After taking the last couple of weeks off Charl should be fresh and ready to contend this week on a course that he has played well on in the past.
Knost was very impressive last week in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He lead the greens in regulation stat for the tournament and will be feeling confident coming to his home state this week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.
The Dallas native has played well here over the last few years finishing T10 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 17th in SGP, third in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.
The American looks to be a great bet at generous odds this week. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 last week in Sawgrass at The Players.
He played well here last year finishing T22 for the tournament but is in much better form this time around. He ranks 12th in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling and 12th in par 3 scoring. After playing well last week Molder could follow that up with another good performance here at TPC Four Seasons.
Final Selections –
Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 20/1
Louis Oosthuizen 1.5 pts EW 25/1
Charl Schwartzel 1 pts EW 25/1
Colt Knost 1 pt EW 70/1
Bryce Molder 1 pt EW 70/1
Total Staked = 12 pts
PaddyPower paying 7 places on this tournament.
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
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