AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas  

7,166 yards, par 70 

The Course 

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Charley Hoffman 20/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2016Charley Hoffman 20/1 

Hoffman has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

Charley is another player with a solid record here finishing T8 last year shooting rounds of 69,65,64,65. He also played well in 2013 finishing T8 which included three rounds in the 60’s. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green. With great form over the last few weeks and a solid record here Charley could be a man to keep on side here.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 

After a respectable T28 last week in Sawgrass, the South African comes returns to TPC Four Seasons in good form and gets the nod from me again this week. He started the season off with an MC in Dubai but bounced back with a T12 in Malaysia and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

Despite missing the cut in 2011, Louis has played well here in the past finishing T11 in 2012. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee ranking 31st in driving distance, 12th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained tee to green. After a mediocre performance last week at The Players, Oosthuizen looks worth chancing again this week on a course that should suit him a bit better.

 

Charl Schwartzel 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Charl Schwartzel 25/1 

I’ve decided to take a chance on another in form South African Charl Schwartzel. He took some time off after missing the cut at The Masters and should be fresh and relaxed coming to Texas this week. He has been in superb form and already has two wins this season on both PGA and European Tour. He won The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63. He then finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with another great win at The Valspar. He had a good performance in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Charl ticks a lot of boxes here averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance, seventh in GIR and 22nd in strokes gained tee to green. He has a superb record on this course finishing 11th in 2014 and third in 2013 and comes here in much better form this time around. After taking the last couple of weeks off Charl should be fresh and ready to contend this week on a course that he has played well on in the past.

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 70/1 

Knost was very impressive last week in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He lead the greens in regulation stat for the tournament and will be feeling confident coming to his home state this week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here over the last few years finishing T10 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 17th in SGP, third in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Bryce Molder 70/1 

The American looks to be a great bet at generous odds this week. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 last week in Sawgrass at The Players.

He played well here last year finishing T22 for the tournament but is in much better form this time around. He ranks 12th in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling and 12th in par 3 scoring. After playing well last week Molder could follow that up with another good performance here at TPC Four Seasons.

 

Final Selections – 

Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 20/1 

Louis Oosthuizen 1.5 pts EW 25/1 

Charl Schwartzel 1 pts EW 25/1 

Colt Knost 1 pt EW 70/1 

Bryce Molder 1 pt EW 70/1 

Total Staked = 12 pts

PaddyPower paying 7 places on this tournament.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

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