WGC Cadillac Championship Betting Preview 2015

WGC Cadillac Betting Preview Tips and Predictions

Blue Monster Course, Doral Resort, Florida Par 72, 7,528 yards

The Course

This course has undergone some serious surgery in the last two years with Donald Trump pumping 250 million dollars into the course to add length and increase the overall difficulty of the blue monster.

The course has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has an extra 47 yards added from last year. The par 5 first has 18 yards added to it, the par 3 fourth has an extra 24 yards and the par 4 eighteenth has an extra 5 yards added to it. These changes have made the Trump Doral inside the top five longest host courses on the PGA Tour.

Patrick Reed won this event last year shooting the highest score in the tournaments history finishing on 284 on four under par. Over the years, length has been of particular importance in this event. With this course now over 7,500 yards in length, it will be even more important so be on the lookout for bombers with good driving stats that are showing good recent form.

There are some main stats to consider going on previous years. Although length is key, par 4 scoring, par 5 scoring, GIR and total driving will be key here. This course is made for the likes of Bubba, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed and Phil Mickelson. The usual mix of good current form and good previous form on this course will also be worth checking out, especially last year, which was the first year the course changes took place.

Bubba Watson 14/1 WGC Cadillac

Bubba Watson 14/1
Bubba has been playing very consistent golf lately and hasn’t finished outside the top 15 in his last five events. His good form began back in November when he won the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai, where he finished on 11 under par. He then went on to finish T11 at The Hero World Challenge, solo 10th at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and T2 at The Phoenix Open. Most recently, he had a good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing in a respectable T14 on two under for the tournament.

His record here at Doral is quite impressive finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2013 and solo 2nd in 2012. He ranks 11th in driving distance averaging 303 yards off the tee, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in strokes gained total. He also ranks first in par 5 scoring, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. After taking the week off last week, Bubba should be fresh and ready to get in contention this week.

Dustin Johnson 20/1 WGC Cadillac

Dustin Johnson 20/1
Dustin Johnson made his return to the PGA Tour at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. Despite missing the cut, he followed that with a T4 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach finishing on 17 under for the tournament. He had another good week at The Northern Trust Open getting into a three way playoff, but was knocked out by the eventual winner, James Hahn. Johnson has a super record here at Doral with two top 5’s and a top 15 in his last four appearances. He finished T4 last year, T12 in 2013 and solo 2nd in 2011.

Johnson ranks first in driving distance averaging 313 yards off the tee. He ranks eighth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in approaches from 200+ and third in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring and 12th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. With such a good record on this course and two top 5’s in his last three starts, Johnson is hard to ignore here.

Patrick Reed 22/1 WGC Cadillac

Patrick Reed 22/1
After a dramatic finish at The Honda Classic on Monday afternoon, Patrick Reed looked right in the thick of things up to the point when he hit his tee shot on 15 into the water, which took him right out of contention. Despite that small setback, Reed has been playing well since December where he finished T3 at The Hero World Challenge. He followed that with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, T24 at The Humana and a T29 at The AT&T in Pebble Beach. He finished T7 last week at The Honda, shooting a final round 73 to finish three under for the tournament.

Reed played superb last year and came away with a win after shooting a total of four under for the tournament. Statswise he seems to fit the bill here averaging 293 off the tee and ranks 20th in strokes gained tee to green, 24th in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 250-275, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. Reed also ranks eighth in par 4 scoring and 29th in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last week, Reed comes to Doral in good form and could have another good week after playing so well here last year.

Jamie Donaldson 40/1 WGC Cadillac

Jamie Donaldson 40/1
Donaldson has been playing well for the last couple of months and has only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last 10 events. He started 2015 off well with a T9 at The Abu Dhabi Championship finishing on 13 under, which included a third round 65. He followed that with T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines finishing on four under. Donaldson had a great week at The Honda shooting a final round 66 to finish solo 6th and played well here last year finishing T2, one stroke behind the winner Patrick Reed.

He is averaging 292 off the tee on The European Tour and ranks first in strokes gained putting so far this season. He ranks seventh in approaches from 175-200, fourth in approaches from 50-125 yards and 14th in par 5 scoring. After a top 10 last week at The Honda, Donaldson could have another great week here.

Luke Donald 50/1 WGC Cadillac

Luke Donald 50/1
After a disappointing start to the 2015 season, Luke Donald played well last week at The Honda finishing on three under and T7 for the tournament. He was showing some good form before Christmas playing well at The Nedbank Challenge in South Africa finishing solo 3rd on 12 under. He also had a good finish to the 2014 European Tour season finishing T26 at The DP World Championship in Dubai.

He has a good record at this event over the last few years with two top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four appearances. He finished T25 last year, T6 in 2012 and T6 again in 2011. After a good performance last week at The Honda, Donald could have another good week on a course he has played well on in the past.

Final selections –
Bubba Watson 2 pts EW
Dustin Johnson 1.5 pts EW
Patrick Reed 1.5 pts EW
Jamie Donaldson 1 pt EW
Luke Donald 1 pt EW
Total staked = 14 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2014

WGC HSBC Champions pic 2

Sheshan International GC (West)
Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course
The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club for its fifth visit this week. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including FedExCup champion Billy Horchel, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Martin Kaymer. The line-up will feature 12 of the top 20 players in the world rankings. Rory McIlroy will not be featuring this week as he is preparing for an upcoming court case and defending champion Dustin Johnson will also be absent.

Previous winners include Phil Mickelson (2009), Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011) and Dustin Johnson (2013). Dustin Johnson holds the 72 hole record here with a score of 264 (2013).
Sheshan International is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man made lakes and tree lined fairways.

Length will be a big factor here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus for me are previous form and current form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

Sergio Garcia pic 1

Sergio Garcia 16/1
After a superb start to the season with a T2 last week at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia, Sergio comes to Sheshan this week in fine form. He was steady all week shooting rounds of 69,68,68,69 finishing on 14 under par. He showed superb consistency last season recording an impressive 10 top 10 finishes, two of which came at the end of the season. He had a great week at The BMW Championship finishing T4th, which could have been better if it weren’t for a third round 72. He then went on to have another good week at East Lake finishing T9th at The Tour Championship, which included a final round 66.

His record here at Sheshan is quite impressive with a win here in 2008 and a T4 last year. Last season Sergio ranked 14th in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in both par 3 and par 4 performance and 24th in GIR from 200+ yards. With a great record here and coming off a T2 last week, Sergio looks to tick all the boxes here.

Graeme McDowell WGC HSBC pic 1

Graeme McDowell 28/1
Gmac is another player that comes into this week showing some good current form. He played well last week at The BMW Masters in Shanghai finishing in a respectable T16 on 10 under par which could have been a lot better if it hadn’t been for a disappointing 74 on Sunday. He also had a good performance at The Volvo World Matchplay finishing T9th after being knocked out by Joost Luiten.

McDowell has a great record on the course over the last few years finishing third here in 2011 and third again last year. Statswise last season he ranked 12th in driving accuracy, first in strokes gained putting, 15th in par 4 scoring and 13th in GIR from 150-175, which is a good stat for some of the lengthy par 4’s. Gmac is showing good form at present and could go well on a course he has played so well on in the past.

Jamie Donaldson pic 1

Jamie Donaldson 28/1
Jamie Donaldson has been playing super golf since August when he won the Czech Masters. He followed that with a solo 7th at The European Masters, a T4 at The Wales Open, T13 at The Volvo World Matchplay and a T4 last week at The BMW Masters in Shanghai. Not to mention his super Ryder Cup display at Gleneagles.

Jamie has also played Sheshan once before, which was last year when he finished eighth.
Donaldson also fits the bill statswise ranking eighth in stroke average, 57th in driving distance hitting it an average of 290 yards off the tee. He also ranks 12th in putts per GIR and 23rd in putts per round. With super current form and a good performance last year, it’s hard to ignore Jamie here.

Ryan Palmer pic 1

Ryan Palmer 40/1
Ryan Palmer has been playing good golf over the last few weeks and could sneak under a lot of people’s radar. He comes into this week with four top 10 finishes in his last six starts on all tours. He played well at The BMW Masters last week finishing T8 on 13 under par. Palmer had a good finish to the season at The FedExCup Playoffs finishing solo seventh at The Tour Championship, T4 at The BMW Championship and T16 at The Deutsche Bank. He also had an impressive week at The PGA Championship finishing T5 on 12 under par.

Palmer was one of the bigger hitters last season hitting it an average of 300 yards ranking 23rd in driving distance. He also ranked 15th in strokes gained tee to green, 35th in SGP and seventh in par 4 performance. He also ranks fifth in GIR from 175-200 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the long par 4’s.

Lee Westwood pic 1

Lee Westwood 40/1
Westy has had a decent start to the new season finishing T12 at The Frys and T13 at The CIMB Classic last week. He also played well towards the end of last season before the start of the FedExCup playoffs finishing T19 at The Bridgstone Invitational and T15 at The PGA Championship. Westwood’s record here is quite impressive finishing runner up to Phil Mickelson in 2009 and again to Francesco Molinari in 2010. He was also runner up in 2007 and finished in a respectable T13 in 2011.

He ranks sixth in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in strokes gained total. He is also averaging 299 yards in off the tee and ranks 10th in par 3 performance on the PGA Tour so far this season. With three second place finishes at this event and two top 15’s in his last two events, Westwood is certainly good value at 40/1.

Final selections –
Sergio Garcia 2 pts EW at 16/1
Graeme McDowell 1.5 pts EW at 28/1
Jamie Donaldson 1.5 pts EW at 28/1
Ryan Palmer 1 pt EW at 40/1
Lee Westwood 1 pt EW at 40/1

Total staked = 14 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,
DB

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