Career Builder Challenge Betting Preview 2016

Career Builder Challenge Betting Preview 2016

The Courses:  

La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree lined fairways which are not particularly narrow, with some water features that come into play. The greens are Bermuda grass and this course tends to be quite tricky and can play quite fast depending on the weather conditions.

PGA West Stadium Course – Par 72, 7,300 yards and has four par fives and four par 3’s. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams and lakes that come into play.  The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit. There are several bunkers that come into play, some are very deep and will be very challenging. The greens are also Bermuda grass and are also quite large but can also play very fast depending on weather conditions.

PGA West Tournament Course – Par 72, 7,204 yards. This course is being used for the first time this year and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens with water featuring on around seven holes.

The average score of the winner of this tournament has been around the 25 under mark. Also keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favourable locations to cater for the amateurs. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage so be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.

With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. Players that have had a good week at The Sony usually bring that momentum into this week as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week and have played well here in the past should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.

 

Patrick Reed 10/1 Career Builder Challenge 2016

Patrick Reed 10/1

The American comes here in fine form after another top five finish at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions finishing solo second. He also played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open finishing T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the tournament and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team in Korea. He had a good end to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has played well here in the past finishing T24 last year, a win in 2014 and T22 finish in 2012. If he brings that good form into this week he will be a huge contender and looks like he’s right on the cusp of a win any day now.

 

Zach Johnson 18/1 Career Builder Challenge 2016

Zach Johnson 18/1

Johnson had a good week at The Sony Open finishing with a T9 on 13 under par. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing solo 12th at The Hero World Challenge and a T21 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He played well towards the end of the season in the FedExCup playoffs finishing T4 at The Barclays, T22 at The Deutsche Bank, T13 at The BMW and T8 at The Tour Championship.

Johnson has played well at this event in the past finishing third in 2014, T23 in 2012 and T11 in 2012. Statswise he ranks 22nd in GIR, 11th in proximity to the hole and 17th in par 4 scoring. After a good week at The Sony, these courses should suit Johnson as they demand very accurate iron play and good putters in order to make birdies.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Career Builder Challenge 2016

 

Bill Haas 28/1

Haas was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team in Korea where he won an impressive two and a half points for his team and beat Sang Moon Bae in the final singles match on the Sunday to seal victory for the Americans. He has been playing well recently finishing T5 at The Hero World Challenge and finished T18 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions on 12 under par for the week.

He has a fantastic record at this event with a win last year, sixth in 2014, second in 2011 and another win in 2010. He leads driving accuracy hitting over 80% of fairways and comes here this week in great form.

 

Jaosn Dufner 35/1 Career Builder Challenge 2016

Jason Dufner 35/1

Dufner comes here showing some solid form over the last few weeks with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Brandt Snedeker, where his iron play and putting looked superb all week. He also had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing T9 on 10 under and followed that with another top 10 finishing T9 at The Sony Open last week on 13 under for the tournament, which included a third round 65.

Despite missing the cut last year, Dufner has played well here in the past finishing T11 in 2012, T33 in 2011 and T18 in 2010. He is hitting just over 75% of greens in reg and ranks 16th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 19th in par 5 scoring which will stand him well this week with an abundance of par 5’s to contend with.

 

Jason Bohn 40/1 Career Builder Challenge 2016

Jason Bohn 40/1

Bohn was showing some superb form before Christmas with two seconds and a third in four starts. He came close to a win at the OHL Classic where he was beaten by Graeme McDowell in a playoff after the Northern Irishman hit a majestic second shot into three feet and rolling it in for a birdie and the win on the first playoff hole. He had a great start to the new season finishing T3 at The Frys, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started strongly at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.

Statswise Bohn could suit this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, 31st in GIR, 12th in strokes gained tee to green and 17th in par 4 scoring. His has played well here before finishing T30 last year, T33 in 2014 and T30 again in 2012. He comes here in much better form this time around and could be one to watch at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 10/1 2pts EW

Zach Johnson 18/1 1pt EW

Bill Haas 28/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 35/1 1pt EW

Jason Bohn 40/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2015

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2015

El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71

The Course

After an eventful finish to the weather delayed Sanderson Farms Championship, The PGA Tour travels to El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008). Harris English holds the tournament record shooting an impressive 21 under par 263 total to win in 2013.

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to contend with. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.  The greens here are Paspalum grass and are average size with water hazards coming into play on roughly half of the holes.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that hitting a lot of greens in regulation and good putters tend to fare well on this course. Last year’s winner Charley Hoffman ranked fourth in GIR last year and made a lot of great putts. Key stats on this course are GIR, strokes gained tee to green and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.

The weather forecast looks to be mixed for the week with some humidity along with cloud, some showers and the possibility of thunderstorms with moderate winds.

 

Jason Bohn 20/1 OHL Classic Betting Preview 2015

Jason Bohn 20/1

The American has had a good start to the season with two top 5’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T3, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started well last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.

Bohn has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T3 in 2013 and T19 in 2011. He ranks 18th in GIR, 14th in SGTTG and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season Bohn could be a huge contender here this week considering his previous record at El Camaleon.

 

Patrick Rodgers 20/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 20/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T6 on 12 under and followed that with a T13 at The Shriners in Vegas, which included an opening round 65. Rodgers followed that with another good performance last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing T20. He started very well shooting 70,64,70 and then slightly fell off the pace with a mediocre final round 73.

He has been a GIR machine over his last three tournaments hitting over 75% of greens and demolishing the par 5’s. He ranks 16th in GIR, seventh in SGTTG and fifth in par 5 scoring. After another good performance last week, I think Rodgers will continue that good run of form here.

 

Patton Kizzire 22/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 22/1

The Web.com graduate has had a fantastic start to life on The PGA Tour finishing inside the top 4 in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance last week at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners and 73% of greens last week at The Sanderson Farms.

He ranks 48th in GIR, 31st in SGTTG and 10th in SGP. He also ranks 11th in par 3 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring so far this season. After another good performance las week, Kizzire could continue the trend of first time winners here this week in Mexico.

 

Brendan Steele 25/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brendan Steele 25/1

Steele is another player having a solid start to the season showing some good early form. He played well at The Frys shooting an opening round 63 and followed that with 70,69,76 to finish T17 on 10 under for the tournament. He missed the cut at The Shriners but bounced back strongly with a T3 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He was in the final group with Kevin Na and Justin Thomas on Sunday and played very well but was unlucky not to make a few more putts.

Steele has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T37 here last year and T16 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 40th in GIR, 26th in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season, Steele should continue that good form this week.

 

Brett Stegmaier 60/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brett Stegmaier 60/1

Stegmaier has shot a 70 or better in his last eight competitive rounds and has played very well over the last couple of weeks. He had a shaky start to the season at The Frys but bounced back with a T2 at The Shriners. He showed some super consistency shooting 66,66,68,69 on his way to a 15 under total playing the par 5’s in -10 for the week. He followed that with a T15 last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 12 under par in total.

Statswise he is hitting just over 75% of greens in regulation and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring. Stegmaier is great value this week considering his current form and could be a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Bohn 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patrick Rodgers 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patton Kizzire 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Brendan Steele 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Brett Stegmaier 1 pt EW 60/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Shriners Hospital for Children Open 2015

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2015TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada 

7,255 yards, par 71

After an exciting opening tournament of the new season at the Frys.com Open last week, the PGA Tour makes its annual trip to TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, where Ben Martin will be the defending champion.

TPC Summerlin is a 7,223 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Ben Martin (2014), Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011), Jonathan Byrd (2010) and Martin Laird (2009).

The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 and usually yields a lot of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance this week, but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. Good putters and players with good GIR stats are worth looking at here as the greens are quite large and are not too difficult by tour standards . Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting, good ball striking and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course has over 100 bunkers and some water hazards that come into play. However, this course is ranked one of the easiest to play on The PGA Tour with plenty of birdies on offer. Players that have good recent form over the last three or four events tend to go well here. There is some rain and thunderstorms in the days running up to the event, but it will be dry and sunny from Thursday to Sunday.

 

Kevin Na 22/1 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2105

Kevin Na 22/1

Despite losing a playoff to eventual winner Emiliano Grillo last week at The Frys, Kevin Na looked to be hitting the ball well throughout the week. He shot 68,71,64,70 to finish 15 under par for the tournament. Na was showing decent form in The FedExCup playoffs finishing T16 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW and T20 at The Barclays. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone finishing T15 and finished a respectable T13 at Memorial and T10 at Colonial.

Na has played well here in the past finishing T22 in 2012 and winning here in 2011. Last week, Na ranked ninth in driving accuracy and 11th in greens in regulation. He hit some superb iron shots last week in Silverado and if he can take that into this week, he should have a good chance here.

 

Ryan Moore 25/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Ryan Moore 25/1

Ryan Moore started the new season off strongly with a T10 last week at The Frys. He started with a pair of 70’s and began to get going over the weekend shooting 67,68 on Saturday and Sunday to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He had a respectable finish to the season with a T28 at The BMW and a T10 at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield. Moore has played well at TPC Summerlin in the past finishing T9 in 2013, a win in 2012 and a T17 in 2009.

Moore is a bit of an up and down player but seemed to be hitting the ball very well last week in Silverado. He was hitting over 75% of greens in regulation at The Frys and made some great putts. After a top 10 last week and good form at TPC Summerlin over the years, Ryan Moore could be one to watch here.

 

Scott Piercy 30/1 Shriners Open for Children Open

Scott Piercy 30/1

Piercy looks like a great shout here in Vegas this week given his current form. He played well recently at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship shooting 69,69,68,71 finishing T27 on 11 under for the tournament. He also had a couple of good performances in the last of The FedExCup events finishing T25 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and solo third at The BMW Championship. Piercy also won The Barbasol Championship and finished T14 at The John Deere back in July.

He has played well on this course over before finishing T7 last year, T6 in 2012 and T10 in 2011. If Piercy can take the form he had at the end of last season forward to this week, he could have another decent week here in Vegas.

 

Jason Bohn 40/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Jason Bohn 40/1

Looked to be in super form last week at The Frys and got himself right into the thick of things with an impressive 68 in round 2 and a 64 in round 3. Bohn went on to shoot a 70 in the final round to finish T3. He is another player that finished strongly last season with a T9 at The Barclays, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T12 at The John Deere and a T13 at The Greenbrier. Bohn has a good record here finishing T18 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T14 in 2009.

He led greens in regulation last week in Silverado and was T3 in driving distance. He also ranked sixth in strokes gained putting and first in birdie average. With great form here over the years and a good performance last week, Bohn looks to be great value this week on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Na 22/1 2pts EW

Ryan Moore 25/1 1.5pts EW

Scott Piercy 30/1 1.5pts EW

Jason Bohn 40/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2014

OHL Classic 2014 pic 1

The Course – El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico
6,987 Yards, Par 71

The Course

It’s the final PGA Tour event of 2014 with El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico playing host for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008).

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that accuracy off the tee is a key indicator along with GIR. Key stats on this course are driving accuracy, GIR and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to be wary of. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.

Harris English won here last year shooting the tournament record of 21 under par 263 for the tournament. The weather is to be a bit cloudy but very warm and dry with some moderate winds. With the weather being good, expect the scoring to be low.

Brian Stuard pic 1

Brian Stuard 33/1
I think Stuard could be a popular selection among us golf punters this week given his history at this event. Stuard has been runner up here twice in two appearances finishing second to Cameron Beckman in 2010 and again to Harris English last year, so he seems to be a horse for the course. Despite a poor start to the season, he played well at The CIMB Classic recently, finishing T13 on nine under par for the tournament.

Stuard also played very well in Waialae at The Sony Open finishing solo sixth and also put in a good week at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town finishing T5th earlier in the season, which are similar set ups to this week’s venue. After taking last week off and with such a good record here at El Camaleon and a good performance recently at The CIMB Classic, this could be the week Brian Stuard breaks through with a win.

Jason Bohn pic 1

Jason Bohn 33/1
Bohn has started the new season well despite missing the cut at The Frys. He finished T18 at The Shriners in Vegas and followed that with a T2 last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 68,71,66,69 on his way to a 14 under par finish. He is another player that has played well here in the past finishing T3 last year and had a top 20 here in 2011 finishing T19th.

When you look at his stats, he seems to fit the bill ranking 48th in driving accuracy, seventh in GIR and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 20th in approaches from 100-125 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into some of the short par 4’s. After a good performance last week and a good previous record here, Bohn looks like a good bet here this week.

Rory Sabbatini pic 1

Rory Sabbatini 35/1
Rory Sabbatini is another player that has started the season well with a T22 at The McGladrey Classic and a T8 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He has proven to be another horse for the course at El Camaleon finishing T3 here last year and T5 in 2011. Sabbatini had a disappointing season last year finishing with only three top 10’s, one of which came at The RBC Heritage earlier in the year where he finished T9th on five under par, which is a good indicator for this week.

Staswise he ranks seventh in GIR, 26th in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in par 4 performance. He also ranks first in GIR from 100-125 and GIR from 75-100 yards, which is a good stat for the short par 4’s. Sabbatini is a complete horse for the course and comes here after a good finish at The CIMB Classic. I expect that good form to continue here this week.

Hudson Swafford pic 1

Hudson Swafford 50/1
Hudson Swafford is another player to enjoy a promising start to the 2014/2015 season. He started with a T8 at the Frys.com Open, which included a final round 67 to finish on 11 under par. He followed that with a good week at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 69,67,68,69 showing superb consistency to finish T18. At The McGladrey Classic, he continued showing good consistency shooting rounds of 70,67,66,67 to finish T12 and 12 under par for the tournament.

Swafford is hitting just over 60% of fairways so far this season and ranks 45th in GIR, 18th in birdie average, third in par 3 performance and 19th in par 5 performance. Despite this being his first visit to this event, I reckon he can continue his good form here in a relatively weakened field.

Will MacKenzie pic 1

Will MacKenzie 50/1
MacKenzie had a superb start to the season getting into a playoff with Robert Streb and Brendon De Jonge at The McGladrey Classic. He dramatically bogeyed the par 4 16th in the final round to drop one stroke behind the leaders and then went on to birdie the par 3 17th to get into the playoff. He was knocked out of the playoff and had to contend for second, but played super golf all week. He showed great consistency shooting rounds of 65,68,65,68 to finish on 14 under par for the tournament. MacKenzie also played in the CIMB Classic, which was his first visit to Kuala Lumpur finishing T52 after a disappointing final round 76.

He has played well here at El Camaleon in the past finishing T12 last year and hasn’t missed a cut in his last three appearances. MacKenzie also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 29th in driving accuracy, third in strokes gained tee to green and first in strokes gained total. After coming close in a similar field at The McGladrey, MacKenzie has the game and potential to have a good week on a course he has played well on in the past.

Final selections
Brian Stuard 1.5 pts EW 33/1
Jason Bohn 1 pt EW 33/1
Rory Sabbatini 1.5 pts EW 35/1
Hudson Swafford 1 pt EW 50/1
Will MacKenzie 1pt EW 60/1
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,
DB

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