Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsGlen Oaks Club, Long Island, New York

Par 70, 7,350 yards

 

The Course

Previously known as the Barclays, the newly named Northern Trust arrives at a new venue this year in the shape of Glen Oaks Golf Club in New York. Measuring a testing 7,350 yards, Glen Oaks was founded in 1924 and began on land carved out of the William K. Vanderbilt estate just south of Long Island.

The course as then moved to a larger 250 acre site in Old Westbury where there was three nine-hole courses designed. It stayed that was up until 2011 where a major redesign was overseen by Craig Currier of Bethpage State Park. The course for the tournament days will take from the three nine hole courses with holes 1-3 and 6-9 from the white course, holes 4 and 5 will be from the red course and the entire blue course will be played.

The course has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and two par 5’s. The course has been described as the Augusta of the North and at a glance appears to be a tree lined layout with fairly generous fairways and Poa Annua greens. The two par 5’s look to measure around the 600 yard mark and will be reachable by most of the field. The par 4’s and par 3’s look a bit trickier with water features on six of the 18 holes. The main areas to focus on here are par 3 and par 4 scoring, GIR and a hot putter. Its worth bearing in mind that the cream usually rises to the top in the FedEx Playoff events so be on the lookout for players that are in great form coming into this.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Speith 10/1

The Open Champion comes here in fine form with two wins, a second and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. Even after a few early wobbles, he showed unbelievable grit, class and mental toughness to get the job done in Royal Birkdale after a couple of early bogeys. After finishing solo fourth in New Orleans which included a 64 in the final round, Spieth went on to finish T2 at the Dean and Deluca Invitational after an impressive final round 65.

He then travelled to Ohio for the Memorial tournament and finished a respectable T13 for the week. He then had back to back wins, the first came at the Travelers Championship where he holed out from a bunker to beat Daniel Berger in a playoff, the second came after his heroics at The Open.

The Texan ticks all the boxes here ranking 12th in GIR, fifth in SGTTG, eighth in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 17th in par 5 scoring. If Spieth gets the putter going on these Poa Annua greens, which he likes, and drives well he could be a huge threat here.

 

Jason Day 16/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJason Day 16/1

The Aussie has had a mixed bag of form this season and has had a few injuries to contend with but he looks to be showing some decent form lately after a decent performance at the PGA Championship where he finished T9 in his last start.Day looks to be threatening in the first two rounds and had a disastrous finish to his third round dropping five shots back after taking a bogey on 17 and an eight on the 18th.

He has shown glimpses of decent form over the last couple of months and had a great week at the Byron Nelson finishing solo second which included four rounds of 69 or better. He followed that with a T15 at Memorial, T27 at The Open Championship and a T24 at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational.

Day played well in this event over the last few years finishing T4 last year, a win in 2015 and a T2 in 2014. Statswise he ranks 23rd in driving distance, second in SG around the green, 47th in SGP and 17th in par 5 scoring. He always seems to play well this time of year and has a great record on the East Coast. These forgiving fairways and fast greens could suit his eye.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 33/1 

The defending champion looks to be in fine fettle coming to New York this week and could well be the man to beat here. He seems to be playing really well but the odd 72 or 73 has been sneaking in here and there but he has been in good form over the last couple of months with four top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last nine starts. Reed had a good week at the Byron Nelson where he didnt shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week to finish T20. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers and a T17 at The Quicken Loans. He then travelled to the Greenbrier and shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T20 and to finish six under for the tournament.

At the PGA Championship, Reed again shot three rounds of 69 or better to post six under par and finish in a tie for second. He has a good record in this event over the last couple of years with a win last year and a T9 in 2014. Statswise Reed ranks eighth in strokes gained putting which will be a big plus here on these greens. That, along with great current form make Patrick Reed a decent shout here this week.

 

Matt Kuchar 35/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsMatt Kuchar 35/1

Throughout researching golf tournaments throughout the year to bet on, Matt Kuchar is one of those guys that tends to go under my radar. Ive always considered him a “place” guy because he rarely wins but given his current form over the last couple of months, I decided he was worth taking a chance on especially because he seems to be putting himself in a position to win a bit more lately.

Kuchar is one of the steadiest guys on tour and has been in great form lately finishing outside the top 30 just once in nine starts. After finishing T4 in Augusta, Kuchar followed that with a T9 at the Byron Nelson, T12 at the Dean and Deluca, T4 at Memorial, T16 at The US Open, solo second at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T9 at The PGA Championship.

He also has some great form at this event over the last few years finishing T5 in 2014 and T19 in 2013. Statswise he ticks alot of boxes here ranking 30th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 11th in par 4 scoring. Kuch looks good value here to keep up his good run of form.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Speith 10/1 2pts EW

Jason Day 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1pt EW

Matt Kuchar 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 10 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedexCup PlayoffsField: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings

TPC Boston, Norton, MA

Par 71, 7,216 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travel to TPC Boston where it has hosted this The Deutsche Bank since 2003. Its Labour Day weekend in The US so this tournament will go from Friday-Monday. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Previous winners include Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011) and Charley Hoffman (2010).

When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential here this week. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field and should offer up some early/late birdies.

Statswise scrambling, GIR and good putters have always been on top of the leaderboard here. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, par 4 scoring and strokes gained putting stats.

 

Jason Day 13/2 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsJason Day 13/2

With five birdies in the first six holes of his second round Day looked in complete control. He then unfortunately undone all that good work by going bogey-double-bogey on 8,9 and 10. That being said they were the only real blemishes and he played well throughout the tournament finishing T4 only two strokes behind winner Patrick Reed. The Aussie has four top 10’s in his last six events finishing T8 at the US Open, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, second at The PGA and T4 last week in Bathpage. In his last 12 competitive rounds Day hasn’t shot worse than a 70.

His form around TPC Boston is rock solid finishing 12th last year, seventh in 2014, 13th in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks 15th in driving distance, first in SGP, 11th in SGTTG, fifth in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a near winner last week Day could go one better and win in style this week.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 25/1 

The young American really stepped up to the plate last week and got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with six top 15’s and a win in his last 10 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham and a win last week at the Barclays.

Reed has played here three times in the past with his best finish coming last year when he finishing T4 for the week. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG around the green, fifth in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 12th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 25/1 

Scott has been back showing some solid form over the last few weeks with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridestone, T18 at The PGA and T4 last week at The Barclays. He recorded his first PGA Tour win here at TPC Boston back in 2003 so he has some great memories of this tournament. Following his win in ‘03 he finished fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011, seventh in 2012 and 16th in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 16th in GIR and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsBrandt Snedeker 50/1

Ive decided to give Sneds another shot here at TPC Boston this week. He couldn’t really get it going last week in Bethpage but he has been in decent form lately with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Wyndham finishing T3 which makes that his second top five in his last four starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has some great form at this course over the last few years finishing fifth in 2010, third in 2011 and sixth in 2012. Statswise Snedeker ranks 19th in SG around the green, 35th in SGP, 20th in scrambling and first in par 4 scoring.

 

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsEmiliano Grillo 50/1

The young Argentinian has been very impressive this season on The PGA Tour. He recorded his first PGA Tour win at The Frys.com Open last October and hasn’t really put a foot wrong since. He has six top 15’s in his last eight starts finishing T11 at Memorial, T14 at The WGC Bridgestone, T12 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, T8 in Rio and T2 last week at The Barclays.

This will be his first appearance here at TPC Boston looks to tick a lot of boxes. He ranks 26th in SG off the tee, 33rd in GIR and 16th in driving accuracy.

 

Final selections –

Jason Day 13/2 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 25/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 50/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Twitter- @Doublebogey63

Facebook- www.faccebook.com/doublebogey6

RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016

RBC Canadian Open 2016 Betting PreviewGlen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

Last Week at Royal Troon –

Stenson Claims Claret Jug with Flawless 63

It was a superb battle between Henrik Stenson and Phil Mickelson in the final round of The Open Championship. They traded blows throughout the round with some accurate driving, superb iron play and great scrambling. Just when you thought one of them would drop a shot or two after a rare mistake, they would bounce back with in style. However it was Stenson who came out on top with four birdies in the last five holes that clinched the Claret Jug and gave us a nice 28/1 winner.

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 28th time this year and was the first course Jack Nicklaus designed himself and first hosted Canada’s National Championship in 1977. Most recently, this event took place here in 2004,2008,2009, 2013 and 2015 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s and has nearly 100 bunkers and numerous water hazards. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard in one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole. The winning score on this course has been between 16 and 18 under over the last few years so expect plenty of birdies.

The defending champion Jason Day proved that hitting fairways off the tee is not essential around here. He ranked T72 for driving accuracy but was second in driving distance and ranked fourth in strokes gained putting last year so that gives us a clue what to look out for statswise here. Key areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, driving distance, par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Dustin Johnson 13/2

The World number two arrives in Canada after adding another top 10 finish to his season after finishing T9 at Royal Troon last week. He could have finished better last week in Troon but just didn’t make enough putts on those slower than average greens. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

Johnson was second here in 2013 and comes here in better form this time around. He ranks second in driving distance, 26th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 5 scoring and leads par 4 scoring. Favourites have a good record here over the years and after playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Matt Kuchar 14/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Matt Kuchar 14/1

With the exception of the last two majors, Kuch has played great golf recently with five top 6’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third at The Byron Nelson, T6 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational, T4 at Memorial and T3 in Firestone.

He has played great here in the past finishing second last year and seventh in 2013. Statswise he ranks 33d in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained putting, 28th in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. Kuchar is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on tour and I expect him to go well here.

 

Emiliano Grillo 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 40/1

The Argentinian started the season in style with and recorded his first win on The PGA Tour at the Frys.com Open. Lately he has three top 15’s in his last four starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T12 at The Open Championship in Royal Troon. He finished T17 at The Masters and followed that with a T11 at Memorial and a T14 at The WGC Bridgestone.

He played well here in Glen Abbey last year finishing in a respectable T22 for the tournament which included an opening round 64. He also ticks some statistical boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 30th in GIR and 34th in strokes gained off the tee. Grillo looks to have found some good form lately and could be one to watch here.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 50/1

Knost has been in fine form over the last few weeks with three top 5’s and a top 20 in his last six starts. He played superb in Sawgrass finishing T3 which included an impressive 63 in round two. He followed that with a T4 at The Byron Nelson which included another 63 in round two, T18 at The St.Jude Classic and a solo third at the Barracuda Championship.

He started well here last year shooting 68,69 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend to finish T43. He leads driving accuracy hitting just under 75% of fairways off the tee and ranks 30th in strokes gained putting and 15th in scrambling. Knost is playing great golf lately and looks a very generous price this week.

 

William McGirt 50/1 RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 50/1

The American won in Memorial a few weeks ago and played great golf throughout the tournament which included a superb third round 64. He has been playing well since mid-February finishing T20 at Riviera, T8 at The Honda and T9 at the RBC Heritage. He followed that with a T17 at The Wells Fargo, win in Memorial and a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 in 2013 shooting 69,67,68 over the weekend. He played here last year shooting 67,69,75,69 to finish T34, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for the third round 75. Statswise he ranks 31st in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in strokes gained putting, 30th in driving accuracy and 17th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections – 

Dustin Johnson 3pts WIN 13/2 

Matt Kuchar 1.5pts EW 14/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 40/1 

Colt Knost 1pt EW 50/1 

William McGirt 1pt EW 50/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s team matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jason Day The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 13/2

The Aussie has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He started the week with an opening 63 and followed that with a 66 on Friday. He looked to be in complete control of his game throughout the week and despite his less than impressive record here at Muirfield, I wouldn’t be surprised if he won again this week. Day has been playing great golf this year and got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay winning back to back. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass.

Day’s best finish here is T33 in 2010 but he should able to improve on that this time around. He ticks all the boxes here statistically ranking 13th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 37th in GIR. He also ranks third in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring which are two stats that should suit Muirfield. Although Spieth and McIlroy have a big chance and deserve huge respect, Day for me makes the most appeal here and looks to be unstoppable lately.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama is in fine form coming here this week and could be a massive contender. He has four top 11’s in his last five starts and comes here on the back of a T7 at The Players Championship at Sawgrass. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo. Matsuyama got his first PGA Tour victory here at Muirfield in 2014 and recorded another top five finish last year finishing T5.

He also looks good statswise ranking fifth in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a great record on this course Matsuyama looks to have a great chance here.

 

Bubba Watson 25/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Bubba Watson 25/1

Bubba has gone a bit quiet over the last few weeks and took some time off after The Players where he finished T43 for the tournament. He has been playing well this season finishing T14 in Phoenix, a win at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open and solo second at The WGC Cadillac after shooting an impressive final round 68.

Watson has played well here in the past and came close to winning here in 2014. He was two clear going into the back 9 but finished bogey-double bogey on 14 and 15 to miss out on the playoff by one stroke and ended up finishing third. Big hitting Bubba ranks second in SGTTG, sixth in driving distance, third in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After coming so close in 2014 Bubba could get back to winning ways here.

 

Jason Dufner 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016Jason Dufner 50/1

Dufner looks to be back showing some form lately and played well last week in Colonial finishing T6. He didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week firing 68,69,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He also had a good performance at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and also didn’t shoot worse than a 70. Dufner has shown decent form this year and had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge at the start of February and followed that with a T11 at the WGC Cadillac and a T22 at The Valspar.

He has played well here in Ohio in the past finishing T24 last year and T19 in 2014. Statistically he ranks 22nd in SGTTG, 10th in GIR, 23RD in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders. If he can keep the putter rolling on the greens Dufner should have a good chance here at a generous price.

 

Daniel Berger 50/1 The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2016 Daniel Berger 50/1

The young American is one of the form players at the moment and could be one to keep a beady eye on here. He hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last seven starts. Berger played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He has played here once in the past missing the cut last year but should improve on that this week. He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 2pts EW 13/2

Hideki Matsuyama 2pts EW 16/1

Bubba Watson 1pt EW 25/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 50/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 50/1

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida 

Par 72, 7,215 yards  

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with Bermuda grass greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.  Its also worth considering looking at players that have gone well on other Pete Dye designed courses such as Hilton Head, host course of The RBC Heritage, TPC Louisiana which hosts the Zurich Classic and TPC River Highlands host of The Travelers Championship.

 

Jason Day The Players Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Jason Day 12/1

Quite surprising to see the Aussie at 12’s this week considering the form he is in. He played well at the weather stricken Zurich Classic in New Orleans recently finishing T5 and could have finished in a better position if it weren’t for the weather disruptions. He has had a good season so far with back to back wins in Bay Hill and The WGC Matchplay. He followed that with a T10 in Augusta and a T23 at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head.

He has played well here in Sawgrass in the past finishing T19 in 2013 and T6 in 2011. He ranks second in strokes gained putting, 23rd in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring. After dominating performances earlier in the season and after a break last week, Day could be a major threat here at a decent price. He always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and I expect another solid performance this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 The PLayers Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 28/1

Matsuyama had a mixed bag last week in Quail Hollow the first three rounds but finished strongly with a final round 69 to finish T11. He hasn’t finished worse than 18th in his last four tournaments and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He finished T11 last week in Charlotte, T7 at The Masters, T18 at The WGC Matchplay and T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He looks like a player that could suit this course and is hitting plenty of greens ranking 13th in GIR and fifth in strokes gained tee to green. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1

The South African has been playing great golf over the last few months and looks like he is ready and waiting to win a big one any day now. He has shown some great form over the last few weeks and with the exception of a missed cut at The Masters, Grace hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last seven events. He started the year with a T4 at The SA Open and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi, a win in Qatar, T23 in Doral, T18 at The Matchplay, a win at the tricky and tight Hilton Head at The RBC Heritage and a T9 in  Texas.

Although he hasn’t the best record on this course over the last couple of years, statistically he looks a great fit here. He ranks 34th in scrambling, 23rd in GIR, 11th in SGTTG and second in par 4 scoring. With excellent current form Grace looks a superb value here this week.

 

Danny Willett 40/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Danny Willett 40/1

Its Dannys first event since his dramatic win in Augusta and he will be fresh and ready to contend once again here at Sawgrass this week. The Englishman has been in fine form this season and with the exception of a T45 in Malaysia, he hasn’t finished outside the 30 in his last five events. He started the season with a win at The Dubai Desert Classic and followed that with a 3rd place finish in Doral, T22 at The Valspar, T28 at the Matchplay and a win in Augusta.

He has only played Sawgrass once, in 2014 and missed the cut but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks 22nd in GIR, 22nd in Sand Saves and 12th in strokes gained tee to green. With this being a tight, tricky test with plenty of doglegs, Sawgrass could be right up Danny’s street.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Louis Oosthuizen 55/1

Louis is playing some great golf at the moment and has taken some time off since the Masters, which could be a big positive here. Despite missing the cut in Houston, the South African hasn’t finished worse than 14th in his last six starts. He played well in Malaysia finishing T12 and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

His best finish at Sawgrass came in 2013 when he finished 19th but he could improve on that this time around. He ranks 12th in GIR and 23rd in stroke average this season and looks to have the game that could suit this course. Louis has been in good form this season and I expect that to continue here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jason Day 12/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 40/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2016

Farmers Insurance Open 2016 Betting Preview

The Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jason Day 7/1

The Aussie is a very worthy favourite and comes here in superb form. He has taken the last couple of weeks off but started 2016 with a very respectable T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He opened with a 70 In round one followed by a 73 in round 2 but really got going over the weekend shooting 69,65 over the weekend to finish 15 under for the tournament. He finished the season off in style with four wins in his last eight events. After a T9 at The US Open and a T4 at The Open, Day went on to win The Canadian Open, PGA Championship, The Barclays and The BMW.

He has a great record around Torrey Pines with a win here last year, second in 2014 and a ninth place finish in 2013. Day ticks all the statistical boxes here ranking third in driving distance, seventh in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in strokes gained putting. He showed superb dominance at the end of last season and if he brings that good form here this week, he will be hard to beat.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys finishing 10 under for the week. He then followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a superb win on Sunday in California beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff. Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which included two 67’s and a 65 in round 3. He took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and followed that with a 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez but was just pipped at the post.

He has played well here in the past with a T19 last year, second in 2013, a win in 2012, T9 in 2011 and another second in 2010. Snedeker is hitting it an average of just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 12th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 23rd in scrambling. Sneds came close to a win at The Sony and looks to be in fine form to contend here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Jimmy Walker 30/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 30/1

Walker looked to be back showing some good consistency at The Sony shooting 69,68,65,66 to finish 12 under and T13 for the tournament. He also had a good week in Kapalua finishing T10, which included a superb 64 in round three. At The Hero World Challenge he had another top 10 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T8 for the week and was also a member of the winning Presidents Cup team in Korea in September.

He has played well here over the years finishing T7 last year, T4 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T29 in 2011. Statswise he ranks 27th in driving distance hitting it an average of 304 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring and 30th in par 5 scoring. Walker showed encouraging signs at The Sony and could be one to watch here.

 

JB Holmes 45/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

J.B Holmes 45/1

J.B has been playing good golf over the last few months and comes here this week after a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes came close to a win here last year but was beaten by Jason Day on the second playoff hole but played solid all week and finished 9 under for the tournament, which included two rounds in the 60’s. As well as finishing P2 last year, he has two top 30’s here finishing T23 in 2014 and T27 in 2010. Last season he ranked fifth in driving distance averaging 309 off the tee and ranked 19th in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in par 5 scoring. He seems to like this course and with his length he will have a huge advantage.

 

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jamie Lovemark 60/1

The young American is playing some great golf at the moment with four top 15’s in his last six starts. His good form began back at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished T13 on 11 under for the tournament, which included a 66 in round three and a 68 in round four. He followed that with a T9 at The RSM Classic, which included four rounds in the 60’s, T7 at the Sony, which included another four rounds in the 60’s, and a T6 last week at The Career Builder Challenge in California finishing T6, which also included three 65’s in the first three rounds.

Lovemark has played here once before finishing T28 in 2014 which would have been a hell of a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 76 in round 3. He ticks a lot of boxes statistically here averaging 311 off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance. He also ranks 30th in strokes gained tee to green, 25th in scrambling, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 36th in par 5 scoring. At 66/1 he looks a great each way shout here.

 

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 30/1 1pt EW

J.B. Holmes 45/1 1pt EW

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2015

 

Deutsche Bank Championship 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Field: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings 

TPC Boston, Norton, MA 

Par 71, 7,242 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travels to TPC Boston where it has hosted this event since 2003. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Chris Kirk was the winner last year finishing on 15 under par and Henrik Stenson won here in 2013 finishing on 22 under par.

Other previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011), Charley Hoffman (2010), Steve Stricker (2009) and Vijay Singh (2008). When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top.

This course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s. The greens are wide and forgiving and should suit the big hitters. They also offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting stats.  With 11 par 4’s, par 4 scoring is another stat worth checking. There will also be a particular emphasis on birdie average as this event has been a bit of a birdie fest over the years.

The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so driving accuracy will not be as important as driving distance. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field so there will be a particular emphasis on ball striking and distance.

 

Jason Day 6/1 Deutsche Bank Championship

Jason Day 6/1

It’s hard to leave out Day after yet another superb performance last week and playing with such dominance over the last few weeks. After last week’s win at The Barclays that makes it four wins for Jason Day this season. He won the Farmers Insurance Open back in February beating J.B. Holmes in a playoff and followed that with a superb win at The RBC Canadian Open, a win at The PGA in Whistling Straits and a win last week in Plainfield which makes that three wins in his last four starts.

Day has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T13 in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks third in driving distance, ninth in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green and second in strokes gained putting. He also ranks first in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With absolutely superb current form and good course form here at TPC Boston over the years, Jason Day is without a doubt the man to beat here this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 14/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Henrik Stenson 14/1

The Swede cones here after a great performance last week at The Barclays finishing solo second on 13 under for the tournament. He seems to be coming into some form just at the right time with a solo second last week, T25 at The PGA and a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone in his last three tournaments. Stenson has played well at this event in the past finishing T26 last year and a win here in 2013.

He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 14th in driving accuracy. He ranks first in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and looks to be hitting form at just the right time. With a good history here and good current form, Stenson could have another good week here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Deutsche Bank Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 22/1

Bubba is playing great golf at present and has a win and three top 3’s in his last seven events. He won the Travelers Championship beating Paul Casey in a playoff an followed that with a T13 at The Greenbrier, solo second at The RBC Canadian Open, solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA and a solo third last week at The Barclays. He has played well here at TPC Boston over the years with his best finishes coming in 2011 finishing T16 and T12 in 2006.

Watson should suit this course with his length and ranks second in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee, perfect for these wide fairways. He also ranks 23rd in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and fifth in birdie average. He ranks ninth in par 3 scoring, eighth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Bubba is in fine form at the moment and that could continue here at TPC Boston.

 

Brooks Koepka 40/1 Deutsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 40/1

I wouldn’t be too concerned about Brooks missing the cut last week at The Barclays, in fact I think it could do him some good coming into this week after a bit of a rest last weekend. He is another player in fine form with five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last seven starts. His good run of form started back at The Fedex St Jude where he finished T3 and followed that with a T18 in Chambers Bay, T10 at The Open Championship and a T18 at The RBC Canadian Open. He then had three top sixes in a row finishing T6 at The WGC Bridgestone, T5 at The PGA and T6 at The Wyndham.

I reckon Brooks should suit this course averaging 309 off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 22nd in strokes gained tee to green and 11th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 17th in birdie average, sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Koepka should be well rested after a weekend off last week and should go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Tony Finau 70/1 Deautsche Bank Championship FedExCup Playoffs

Tony Finau 70/1

The big hitting Tony Finau should be another player that could suit TPC Boston and comes here with ten top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He looks to be showing some great consistency over the few months and was right in the mix at The Barclays after the first two rounds. Finau’s good run of form began back at The Wellls Fargo where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 in Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at Memorial, T14 in Chambers Bay and T13 at The Greenbrier. Most recently, Finau finished T22 at The RBC Canadian Open, T10 at The PGA and T16 last week at The Barclays, which he lead after 54 holes.

He averages 309 off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in birdie average. He also ranks 20th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring and looks to be in fine form coming to a course that could suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 3pts EW 6/1

Henrik Stenson 2pts EW 14/1

Bubba Watson 2pts EW 22/1

Brooks Koepka 1pt EW 40/1

Tony Finau 1pt EW 70/1

Total Staked = 18 pts

 

That’s all from me this season folks, I’m away on holidays for the next couple of weeks and will not be covering the last two FedexCup events. Ill be back for the first PGA Tour event of the new season in October.

Many thanks for reading my posts and best of luck for the last two events, lets finish on a high note this week!

Chat to you in October,

Doublebogey6

 

 

USPGA Championship 2015 Betting Preview

USPGA Championship 2015 Betting Preview

Whistling Straits, Kohler, Wisconsin

7,790 yards, par 72

The Course

The Straits Course is a Pete Dye designed par 72 and is the flagship course at Whistling Straits. It has 10 par 4’s, four par 5’s and four par 3’s. It is a links style course and replicated the old links courses of the UK and Ireland. It hosted the 2004 PGA Championship won by Vijay Singh in a playoff over Chris DiMarco and Justin Leonard, the 2007 U.S. Senior Open won by Brad Bryant, and the 2010 PGA Championship won by Martin Kaymer in a playoff over Bubba Watson. The course is host the championship for a third time in 2015 and the 2020 Ryder Cup.

Nestled along a two-mile stretch of Lake Michigan, the course has eight holes hugging the lake, elevation changes of approximately 80 feet, and three stone bridges. The stone bridges are located on holes 1,9,10 and 18 with many scattered sand dune areas. It has vast rolling greens, deep pot bunkers, grass-topped dunes and winds that sweep in off the lake. The fairways are natural fescue fairways with bentgrass greens averaging 7,500 square feet. A lot of the greens are guarded by bunkers, over 500 scattered around the course in total, so good scramblers and bunker players will have an advantage.

There will be an element of accuracy needed around this course with a lot of scattered fairway and greenside bunkers so accuracy off the tee will be important. There are 14 water hazards in total with a lot of holes running along the coastline.

The 10 par 4’s will measure roughly 400+ yards long and will demand accurate iron play from between 100-200 yards in order to get the ball close to these pins. Some of the par 5’s could be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters depending on the wind. The average length of the par 5’s measure around the 600 yard mark, so a lot of players will be laying up with their second shots. The par 3’s will offer a tricky test and measure between 140-220 and will demand accurate iron play to make birdies.

The key areas of focus are par 3,4 and 5 scoring, GIR, strokes gained putting, accurate iron play from 100-200 yards, scrambling, driving distance/accuracy and strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jaosn Day 14/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Jason Day 14/1

The Aussie has been playing super golf so far with two wins already this season. His first win came at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines back in February beating J.B. Holmes on the second playoff hole. He also won The RBC Canadian Open recently shooting a superb final round 68 birdieing the last three holes in a row to beat Bubba Watson by one stroke. Day had a good performance last week in Firestone shooting a superb final round 69 to finish T12. He has put together some great performances in the Majors over the last few weeks finishing T9 at The US Open and T4 at The Open Championship in St Andrews. He did come close to winning and had a birdie putt on the 18th to get into the playoff with Johnson, Oosthuizen and Leishman, but it narrowly slid past the hole.

Day has played well here in Whistling Straits in the past finishing T10 in 2010, four strokes behind the winner Martin Kaymer. He has also played well in this tournament in the past finishing T15 last year in Valhalla and T8 in Oak Hill in 2013.

Statswise, Day ranks second in driving distance, 28th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 20th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks fourth in approaches from 200-225, seventh in approaches from 175-200 second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 3 scoring and 10th in scrambling. Day has proven he can compete at the highest level and it is only a matter of time before he wins his first major and it could be here, where he has played well in the past.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Adam Scott 25/1

Scott has been showing some decent form over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last three starts. He played well in Chambers Bay shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4 at The US Open and followed that with an impressive T10 in St Andrews at The Open Championship. He has played well at the USPGA in the past finishing T15 last year in Valhalla, T5 in Oak Hill in 2013, T11 in 2012 in Kiawah Island and solo 7th in 2011 at The Athletic Club in Georgia. Scott has played this course on both previous USPGA occasions finishing T9 in 2004 and T39 in 2010.

The Aussie seems to tick a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 100-125. Scott also ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring, 27th in par 5 scoring and 12th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, which is a good stat for scoring on the 12 par 4’s here. With good current form and a solid record around this course, Adam Scott could be a big threat here this week.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1

Louis has been playing well recently and looks to have put any injury concerns behind him. He looked superb at The Open and putted extremely well all week, but sadly lost a playoff to in form Zach Johnson and ended up finishing second. Despite shooting a 77 in round one, Oosthuizen also had a superb week at The US Open in Chambers Bay and recovered well shooting rounds of 66,66,67 to get right back in the thick of things and finish T2 on four under for the tournament. Over the last two majors in particular, I think Louis has been particularly impressive with the putter. He has played well at all of the WGC’s, which are all elite fields finishing solo 6th at The WGC Cadillac earlier this year, T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions and T5 at The WGC Matchplay back in March.

Louis has played well in The USPGA in the past finishing in a respectable T15 in Valhalla last year and T21 in Oak Hill in 2013.He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 32nd in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 27th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks third in approaches from 200-225, sixth in approaches from 200+ and 13th in par 4 scoring. Oosthuizen always plays better on the bigger stages and is a bit overpriced here at 35/1.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1

Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 11 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.

He has played in two previous USPGA Championships finishing T35 in Valhalla last year and T19 in Oak Hill in 2013. Statswise he ranks fifth in total driving, ninth in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and ninth in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 275, 18th in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama is showing some superb consistency this season and I expect that to continue in Whistling Straits.

 

Zach Johnson 55/1 USPGA Championship 2015 Whistling Straits

Zach Johnson 55/1

Zach Johnson has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. After a brilliant win at St Andrews beating Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff, Johnson also finished T3 at The John Deere Classic the week before, solo sixth at The Travelers and solo fifth at The Byron Nelson. His best finish at a USPGA came here at Whistling Straits in 2010 finishing third and the next best coming at Oak Hill in 2013, where he finished T8. He also played here in 2004 and finished in a respectable T37, but comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, Johnson ranks third in driving accuracy, 34th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in approaches from 175-200 yards and 18th in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, seventh in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and great current form, Zach Johnson could be a big danger here.

 

Branden Grace 80/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Branden Grace 80/1

With Whistling Straits being a linksy setup, this course could be a place where Branden Grace could flourish. He has five top 20’s in his last seven starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T17 at The WGC Bridgestone last week. He has played particularly well in the majors finishing T4 in Chambers Bay and T20 at The Open Championship. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage, where he finished T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

Statswise Grace ranks 22nd in driving distance, 26th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in approaches from 175-200 yards and 22nd in scrambling. The South African has had a great year so far and I expect that to continue here at Whistling Straits this week on a course that could really suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 14/1 2pts EW

Adam Scott 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1 1pt EW

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1 1 pt EW

Zach Johnson 55/1 1 pt EW

Branden Grace 80/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

 

 

WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015 betting tips

TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, California

7,115 yards Par 71

 

 

Last week:

We had another great week in New Orleans tipping Justin Rose at 10/1 and Cameron Tringale at 50/1. That makes Justin Rose our ninth winner of the season and Cameron Tringale our 12th each way place. Let’s keep it going for the Matchplay this week!

The Course and Format

There is a new format this year with 64 players being divided into 16 groups of four who will compete in a round robin style. The winner of each group will go forward into a final group of 16 and will play in a bracket format. Each player will get to play three matches, one each against the others in the group. All matches will be taking place from Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with the finalists going through to the weekend. Previous winners include Jason Day (2014), Matt Kuchar (2013), Hunter Mahan (2012), Luke Donald (2011), Ian Poulter (2010) Geoff Ogilvy (2009) and Tiger Woods (2008).

TPC Harding Park is a 7,127 yard par 71 and hosted the WGC American Express event back in 2005 and the Presidents Cup in 2009. It has three par 5’s, two of which are the first and 18th, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course is a fairly flat layout wit tree lined fairways and some dog legs. The greens are not too difficult and there are not too many bunkers to contend with.

The main things to lookout for are par 4 scoring; strokes gained putting, GIR and good matchplay players. Be on the lookout for players that have had success in The Ryder Cup, Presidents Cup and previous WGC Matchplay events over the last few years. This week has the looks of being a little unpredictable so keep your stake low as anything could happen!

 

Jordan Spieth 9/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay

Jordan Spieth 9/1

After a favourable draw getting Lee Westwood, Mikko Ilonen and Matt Every, Jordan Spieth should have no problem topping his group and progressing to the final 16. However, they may not be as easy as you think. Westwood and Ilonen both have good matchplay records with Westy a Ryder Cup veteran and Ilonen a previous winner of the Volvo World Matchplay. Spieth is the best player on the planet at the moment in terms of form and has a good matchplay record in both The Ryder Cup, where he played superb with fellow rookie Patrick Reed, and in this event in Arizona last year, where he reached the quarter finals only to be beaten 4 and 2 to Ernie Els.

Spieth has recorded two wins in his last five events, which came at Augusta and The Valspar. He also finished solo 2nd in Texas and lost in a playoff in Houston. In his last eight events, he has only finished outside the top 10 twice. The youngster also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With superb current form and a favourable group, Jordan Spieth looks a worthy favourite here this week.

 

Jaosn Day 16/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Jason Day 16/1

After being in contention last week in New Orleans, Day made a couple of late bogeys and took himself out of it. In an interview afterwards, he admitted that humidity and the fact that he had to play roughly 30 holes on Sunday took a lot out of him, especially on the back nine, which made him make some unforced errors due to a lack of concentration. That’s fair enough.

He faces Charley Hoffman, Zach Johnson and Branden Grace in group 7 and should advance to the final 16. After winning this event last year in a final round tussle with Victor Dubuisson, Day managed to get the job done, despite the Frenchman’s stunning scrambling. The Aussie has been playing well this season with a win at Torrey Pines and a further three top five’s in his last eight starts.

He ranks seventh in GIR, 15th in stroke gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring and second in par 3 scoring. With a great matchplay record in both this event and in The Presidents Cup, Day could be a danger man here, especially after a good performance last week in New Orleans.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015Patrick Reed 25/1

I think the young American could have a great week in San Fran this week given his performance in The Ryder Cup and his very competitive prowess. He is grouped with Danny Willett, Andy Sullivan and Ryan Moore. He is playing well this year with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions back in January and top 10’s at The Honda Classic and a P2 at The Valspar in which he lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth.

Most recently, he had an MC at The RBC Heritage, but finished in a respectable T22 at Augusta and a T17 in Houston. Statswise he seems to fit well here ranking 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in strokes gained putting, 32nd in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With a favourable draw in the group stages and good matchplay pedigree, Reed is another player capable of having a good week.

 

Ian Poulter 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchhplay 2015

Ian Poulter 33/1

Poulter is playing well so far this season and has been inside the top 25 in five of his last six events. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T3, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 74. He continued that good run of form with a T24 at The Valspar, T21 at Bay Hill and a superb T6 in Augusta. Despite a 73 in round one, Poulter went on to shoot 72, 67,67 over the weekend and hit most greens in regulation for the tournament.

We all know he thrives in a matchplay environment and has the Ryder Cup and WGC Matchplay record to prove it. He has played well in this event over the years reaching the Quarter Finals in 2013 and defeated Paul Casey in the final to win in 2010. Poulter ranks 32nd in GIR, 37th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in three putt avoidance and sixth in par 4 scoring. If he gets the putter hot and starts well, he could be a tough man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Paul Casey 33/1

Casey is playing good golf so far this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Honda Classic finishing T3 and followed that with a solo 9th in Houston and an impressive T6 at The Masters. Casey was another player who hit a lot of greens in Augusta and putted superbly. He has a great matchplay record performing in three Ryder Cups and reaching two WGC Matchplay finals. He got to the final in 2009, but was beaten by Geoff Ogilvy and reached the final in 2010, where he was beaten by fellow countryman Ian Poulter 7 and 6.

Casey ranks 16th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. With a great matchplay record and good current form, Paul Casey will be well rested and ready to contend this week.

 

Final selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 9/1

Jason Day 1 pt EW 16/1

Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 25/1

Ian Poulter 1 pt EW 33/1

Paul Casey 1 pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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