WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2015

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Firestone is a bit of a beast measuring a whopping 7,400 yards and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th, which is the longest par five on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length will be a big advantage here. Three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so be on the lookout for guys that are good long iron players.

There is also an element of accuracy needed off the tee as some of the fairways are tree lined and have plenty of bunkers but overall, they are pretty forgiving. Accurate iron play will be a big advantage when approaching these tricky bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. Other stats worth looking at here are approaches from 150-200 yards as a lot of the par 3’s and par 4’s will demand accurate iron play from that distance.

 

Adam Scott 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Adam Scott 16/1

Scott has been showing some decent form over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He played well in Chambers Bay shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4 at The US Open and followed that with an impressive T10 in St Andrews at The Open Championship. He has played well at the other WGC events earlier in the year finishing T12 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T4 at The WGC Cadillac. Scott has a great record here at Firestone finishing T8 last year, T14 in 2013, Win in 2011 and a T9 in 2010.

The Aussie seems to tick a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 100-125. Scott also ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring, 27th in par 5 scoring and 12th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, which is a good stat for scoring on the 12 par 4’s here. With good current form and a solid record around this course, Adam Scott could be a big threat here this week.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1

Louis has been playing well recently and looks to have put any injury concerns behind him. He looked superb at The Open and putted extremely well all week, but sadly lost a playoff to in form Zach Johnson and ended up finishing P2. Despite shooting a 77 in round one, Oosthuizen also had a superb week at The US Open in Chambers Bay and recovered well shooting rounds of 66,66,67 to get right back in the thick of things and finish T2 on four under for the tournament. He has played well at The other WGC’s earlier in the year finishing solo 6th at The WGC Cadillac, T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions and T5 at The WGC Matchplay.

Louis has played well here in the past finishing T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 32nd in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 27th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks third in approaches from 200-225, sixth in approaches from 200+ and 13th in par 4 scoring. Oosthuizen seems to play better on the bigger stages and looks to be right on the cusp of a win any day now given his current form.

 

Zach Johnson 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips Firestone Country Club

Zach Johnson 40/1

Zach Johnson has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last five starts. After a brilliant win at St Andrews beating Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff, Johnson also finished T3 at The John Deere Classic the week before, solo sixth at The Travelers and solo fifth at The Byron Nelson. He has also played well here in the past finishing T23 last year, T4 in 2013 and T6 in 2011.

Statswise, Johnson ranks third in driving accuracy, 34th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and 21st in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, seventh in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. All in all, Zach Johnson is in superb format present and should be able to keep that going this week at Firestone.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips Firestone Country Club, Ohio

Jim Furyk 40/1

Furyk come here this week with two top 5’s in his last four starts. He played well at The RBC Canadian Open recently shooting 68,69,68,69 on his way to solo fourth and a 14 under par total and showed some great consistency. He also had a good week at The Memorial finishing T5 on twelve under for the week. He also played well at the other WGC events finishing T12 at The WGC Cadillac and fourth in The Matchplay. Furyk has a great record around Firestone finishing T15 last year, ninth in 2013, second in 2012 and sixth in 2010.

Statswise he ranks 11th in driving accuracy, 24th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green, 12th in approaches from 200-225 and second in approaches from 250-275. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 175-200 and 22nd in par 4 scoring. With such a good record here over the years and great current form, Jim Furyk looks a great shout here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Adam Scott 16/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 2pts EW

Zach Johnson 40/1 1pt EW

Jim Furyk 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2015

RBC Canadian Open 2015 betting preview and tips

Glen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

 

Last Week at St Andrews

Well we came close to winner number 12 yesterday in the final round of The Open Championship with Louis Oosthuizen giving us a run for our money getting into a playoff with Zach Johnson and Marc Leishman. Sadly he missed his birdie putt on 18 to the left and handed the Claret Jug to Zach Johnson, who played superbly well throughout the week. That’s the second playoff loss for us over the last three weeks, lets turn that around here in Canada this week.

 

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 26th time this year and was designed by Jack Nicklaus. Most recently, the event took place here in 2004,2008,2009 and 2013 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard of one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole.

Key areas of focus here are GIR, scrambling, par breakers, par 4 and par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here. The weather forecast is to be mixed throughout the week starting mainly dry with some showers and possibly thunderstorms forecast for Saturday and Sunday.

 

Jim Furyk 16/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Jim Furyk 16/1

The two time winner of this event comes here in good form returning to a course he has played well on in the past. Furyk had a respectable T30 finish last week in St Andrews posting a six under total for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last few months and managed to get his first win in a number of years at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head beating Kevin Kisner in a playoff. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 finish at The Memorial.

Furyk has won this event twice before, 2006 and 2007, and has also recorded two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He was T9th at this course in 2013 and followed that with a solo second last year in Montreal finishing just one stroke behind the winner Tim Clark. Statswise, Furyk ranks ninth in driving accuracy, 15th in GIR and seventh in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks fifth in approaches from 200 yards and third in approaches from 100 yards, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. With good current form and a great record at this event, Furyk ticks all the boxes here and could be a big contender.

 

Luke Donald 22/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Luke Donald 22/1

With three top 12’s in his last four events, Luke Donald seems to be back showing some solid form. He had a good week in St Andrews finishing T12 on nine under for the tournament and also played well at The Scottish Open shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T7. He showed some great consistency at The Travelers shooting 68,68,67,66 on his way to a T7 and nine under total for the week. Donald has played well at this event in the past finishing T24 here in 2009, solo third in 2010 and T17 in 2011.

He is averaging just over 275 yards off the tee hitting around 60% of fairways so far this season and ranks 14th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 250-275 and 11th in approaches from 100 yards, three good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. Donald is another player with a great record at the event and comes here this week showing some good form over the last couple of weeks.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Brooks Koepka 22/1

This will be the American’s first visit to Glen Abbey and The Canadian Open and it could prove a pretty profitable one given his current form. Koepka shot an impressive final round 68 in St Andrews last week to finish T10. He also played well at The Scottish Open finishing in a respectable T22 on six under, which included a 68 in round 2 and a 66 in round 3. His form across the pond has also been decent finishing T18 at the very tricky Chambers Bay, T3 at The Fedex St Jude and T16 at the Byron Nelson.

Koepka ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking ninth in driving distance, 18th in GIR, ninth in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. He is already a proven winner on The PGA Tour this season with a win in Phoenix and has the power to feast on these par 5’s and make a lot of birdies.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

J.B. Holmes 33/1

J.B. has had a pretty good season so far with a win at The Shell Houston Open and a further four top 10 finishes. He lost a playoff to Jason Day at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines and followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, solo second at The WGC Cadillac and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. Despite missing the cut at St Andrews last week, he finished in a respectable T22 at The Greenbrier the week before and T27 at Chambers Bay, so his current form is good.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 on this course in 2009 and T15 in 2012. Holmes also looks good statistically ranking sixth in driving distance, 11th in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 75-100 and 31st in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the 10 par 4’s. J.B. is another huge hitter and should be another player that can dominate these par 5’s.

 

Greg Owen RBC Canadian Open 3/1 Top 20 Finish

Greg Owen – Top 20 Finish 3/1

Owen had a great week at The Open in St Andrews shooting a final round 69 to finish T20 on seven under for the tournament. He has been showing some great form over the last few weeks finishing T6 at The Greenbrier on 11 under for the week and solo second at The FedEx St Jude, which included a superb opening round 64. Owen has played well here at Glen Abbey in the past finishing in a respectable T12 in 2013.

He ranks 25th in GIR, first in approaches from 100-125, second in approaches from 50-125 and ninth in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 14th in par 4 scoring and 39th in scrambling and comes here this week in much better form than he did in 2013.

 

Final Selections –

Jim Furyk 16/1 1.5pts EW

Luke Donald 22/1 1.5pts EW

Brooks Koepka 22/1 1.5pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5pts EW

Greg Owen 3/1 Top 20 3 pts win

Total staked = 15 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2015

 

US Open Betting Preview and Tips Chambers Bay

Chambers Bay, University Place, Washington

Par 70, 7,742 yards

Chambers Bay is an old sand and gravel quarry and was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr. It opened back in 2007 and hosted the US Amateur in 2010. It is a links style course that should measures 7,742 yards and has typical links features such as long fescue grass, big sand dunes, massive fairways and very deep bunkers. It has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s.

The first hole can play either as a par 4 or a par 5 depending on weather conditions. The fairways are quite generous but players will have to find certain parts of the fairways in order to get their second shots close to the flags. A lot of the flags will be guarded by tricky bunkers strategically placed around the greens so greens in regulation and good scrambling will be key here.

The rough is quite penal so there will be an element of accuracy required and the greens will have heavy contours and will be extremely fast, measuring around 12 on the stimp meter. Players that have good links experience and can deal with the wind will have an advantage here.

The key areas of statistical focus will be GIR, driving distance and accuracy, scrambling, approach stats between 100-200 yards, proximity to the hole, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather forecast is expected to be mixed for the majority of the tournament, with mild weather with showers.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 US Open 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is simply no other player in the world playing better than Jordan Spieth at the moment. He put on a short game masterclass in the final round at The Memorial Tournament shooting a superb final round 65 to finish T3. Spieth has two wins already under his belt this year with wins coming at The Masters and The Valspar Championship. He lost in a playoff in Houston finishing second and also finished second the week before in Texas. Most recently, Jordan has two top fives in his last three starts finishing T3 last week at The Memorial and T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial.

Statswise Spieth is averaging just over 290 yards off the tee and ranks third in strokes gained tee to green, 20th in strokes gained putting and 10th in proximity to the hole. He also ranks first in approaches from 100 yards, fifth in approaches from inside 100 yards, 21st in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, first in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 3 scoring. Jordan ticks all the boxes here with good scrambling, good putting and razor sharp approach shots in his artillery, which should make him a huge contender here.

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Rickie Fowler 22/1

Rickie has proven to be a links specialist over the last few years saying recently “Its my favourite form of golf” at The Irish Open, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. Rickie played well and has great Open Championship form finishing T2 in last year’s Open Championship, two strokes behind winner Rory McIlroy and seems to play well in the trickiest of conditions.

He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters. Rickie ranks 49th in driving distance, 11th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 75-100 and third in approaches from 150-175 yards. With the weather expected to be mixed, Rickie should be in his element.

Henrik Stenson US Open 25/1 Chambers Bay

Henrik Stenson 25/1

After getting a bad illness in April, Henrik Stenson seems to have made a full recovery and looks to be back showing some good form again. He played well at The Nordea Masters recently finishing T13 on four under par for the tournament. His short game and touch around the greens was superb and that’s exactly what will be required here. He also had good performances at The Players finishing T17 and T19 at The Masters. Stenson has shown good links form over the last few years finishing runner up to Phil Mickeslon in 2013 in Muirfield and T3 in St Andrews in 2010. His US Open form has also been good over the years finishing T4 last year, 21st in 2013, 22nd in 2011 and T9 in 2009.

Stenson ranks 11th in driving distance, second in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15t in strokes gained putting. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 125-150, 20th in approaches from 200+ and second in approaches from 175-200. He comes here in good form and could be a player that really suits this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Phil Mickelson 20/1

Phil has a superb record in The US Open over the last 20 odd years finishing in the top 10 ten times. He has been showing glimpses of good form over the last couple of months with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T17, T17 at The Houston Open, T2 at the Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo.

He played well at The FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a superb final round 65 finishing T3 on eight under par for the tournament. Phil has played well on links set ups in the past winning the 2013 Open Championship in Muirfield, T23 last year in Hoylake and T2 in 2011 in Sandwich.

He ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in approaches from 175-200, 17th in approaches from 225-250 and seventh in par 5 scoring. A lot imagination will be required around the greens here, which Phil has in spades. With decent form at present and solid links form, 2015 could be the year Mickelson wins the US Open.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Jim Furyk 40/1  

Furyk has been showing some superb form over the last few months and showed superb grit in his playoff win at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 recently at The Memorial in Ohio. Jim showed some good early season form finishing T7 in Pebble Beach, which included a superb opening round 64, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He won the 2004 US Open in Shinnecock Hills and followed that with a second 2006 and 2007, fourth in 2012 and a T12 last year.

Furyk ranks eighth in driving accuracy, 14th in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. He also ranks third in approaches from 100 yards, seventh in approaches from 200 and eighth in approaches from 175-200. Jim is in great form lately and ticks a lot of boxes for this course.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Brandt Snedeker 50/1

Sneds seems to be peaking just at the right time for Chambers Bay with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Crowne Plaza Invitational finishing T2 and followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson. He showed some great early season form with a T10 in Phoenix, T19 in Torrey Pines and a superb win in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64.

His US Open form as been excellent over the last few years with four top 11 finishes in his last six US Open starts. He finished T9 last year, T11 in 2011, T8 in 2010 and T9in 2008. He has also shown great form at links courses in the past with a win in Pebble Beach this year, T11 in The Open Championship in Muirfield in 2013 and a T3 in Lytham and St Anne’s in 2012.

Statswise Snedeker ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, third in scrambling and ninth in par 4 scoring. With such a good record in this tournament and solid current form, Brandt Snedeker could be a big contender here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 8/1

Rickie Fowler 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Phil Mickelson 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 40/1

Brandt Snedeker 1 pt EW 66/1

Total Staked = 17 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

Par 72, 7,215 yards 

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with bermuda greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is no other player showing the form that Jordan Spieth is over the last few months. In his last six events, Spieth has wins at The Valspar and The Masters, two seconds at The Texas Open and a Houston Open, a respectable T11 at The RBC Heritage and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He played well last week but was knocked out by an in form Lee Westwood on Friday, which should work in his favour coming into this week.

Jordan played well here at TPC Sawgrass last year finishing T4 on ten under par with Justin Rose. He also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting and 18th in scrambling. Spieth also ranks 22nd in par 3 scoring, second in par 4 scoring and 32nd in par 5 scoring. Given the way he is playing recently, Jordan Spieth looks like a huge contender here.

 

Justin Rose 22/1 The Players Championship 2015

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose has come into some great form over the last few weeks. He had a great week at Augusta finishing T2 on 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a super performance at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans shooting a final round 66 to get the win and finish on 22 under par for the week. Justin has played well here in the past recording a personal best T4 last year and T22 in 2009.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, sixth in birdie average, second in approaches from 225-250 and eighth in approaches from 175-200, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. Rose also ranks 32nd in par 3 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring and could be another player to watch here given his current form.

 

Jim Furyk 25/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jim Furyk 25/1

It was great to see Jim Furyk finally get the job done in style shooting a final round 63 at The RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. I thought he was putted superbly and hit the ball extremely well all week. He also had a good week at The WGC Matchplay finishing fourth. Furyk was showing some good form early in the season with a T7 in Pebble Beach, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He has a great record around this course finishing second last year, T25 in 2012, T5 in 2009 and T27 in 2008.

Statswise he ranks fourth in driving accuracy, third in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 100 yards and fifth in approaches from 200 yards. Furyk also ranks 14th in scrambling, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form, Furyk looks to have his game in super shape coming into this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 33/1 The Players Championship

Jimmy Walker 33/1

Jimmy Walker has been playing well all season with two wins already under his belt, which came at The Sony Open back in January and The Texas Open at the end of March. He nearly made it winner number three at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, but was beaten in a playoff to Patrick Reed. Walker has played well at TPC Sawgrass over the last couple of years finishing T6 last year on nine under for the tournament and T15 in 2013 on six under.

Walker ranks 17th in driving distance, 15th in strokes gained tee to green, second in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring. After playing well here over the last couple of years, Walker looks to be going in the right direction.

 

JB Holmes 50/1 The Players Championship

J.B. Holmes 50/1

J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last eight tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 last week at The WGC Matchplay.

Holmes has played well here in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T13 in 2010 and T10 in 2008. J.B. ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in birdie average. With a good history on this course and great current form, J.B. looks like great value at 50/1.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 8/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Jim Furyk 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Jimmy Walker 33/1 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 50/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2015

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2015

Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida

Par 71, 7,340 yards

The Course

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook, all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course

The Copperhead course is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s. All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards. The par 5’s measure between 560-605 yards and should be difficult to hit in two for most of the field. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded. Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy. Players will score well if they place their tee shot in the right part of the fairways here.

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Just like last week in Doral, water will be a key feature this week with it coming into play on 9 out of the 18 holes so expect some drama. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back 9 in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats and good all round driving. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate approach stats.

 

Jordan Spieth 14/1 Valspar ChampionshipJordan Spieth 14/1

After a respectable T17 last week at The WGC Cadillac, Jordan Spieth comes to Copperhead in great form. Other than a missed cut at The Farmers, Spieth hasn’t finished worse than T17 in his last six events. He had a great week at The Hero World Challenge in December shooting 26 under par in total to win the tournament. He followed that with another win, which came at The Australian Open, a T7 at The Phoenix Open, another T7 at The AT&T National in Pebble Beach and a T4 at The Northern Trust Open.

He has a good record here finishing T20 last year and T7 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 30th in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in approaches from 275 and ninth in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 100 yards. Spieth also ranks number one in putting from 15-20 feet, which is a good stat for these small greens. With great current form, good previous performances here and great approach stats, Jordan Spieth could be the man to beat here this week.

 

Jim Furyk 22/1 Valspar Championship 2015Jim Furyk 22/1

Furyk has been frustrating to watch over the last few years failing to get the job done on numerous occasions when in contention, falling off the pace after a bogey or two on the back nine on a Sunday. However, I think he will get that monkey off his back one of these days and Copperhead could be the place to do it. Furyk hasn’t finished worse than T14 in his last three starts and is one of the most consistent players on tour. He held the 54 hole lead in Pebble Beach a couple of weeks ago only to shoot a disappointing final round 74 to finish T7. He followed that with a respectable T14 at The Northern Trust Open finishing on two under for the tournament. Furyk also had a good performance at The WGC Cadillac last week finishing T12, which included a final round 69.

His record on this course is super with a win in 2010, T13 in 2011, T2 in 2012, T7 in 2013 and a T20 last year. Furyk ranks 10th in driving accuracy, 18th in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 200 yards. He also ranks fourth in approaches from 100 yards, fourth in approaches from 175-200 and 27th in par 3 scoring. If he is going to get a win anywhere, it could be here.

 

Luke Donald 25/1 Valspar ChampionshipLuke Donald 25/1

Luke Donald has been showing some good form lately finishing T7 at The Honda Classic a couple of weeks ago, which included two 67’s to finish on three under for the tournament. He was showing some good form before Christmas playing well at The Nedbank Challenge in South Africa finishing solo 3rd on 12 under. He also had a good finish to the 2014 European Tour season finishing T26 at The DP World Championship in Dubai.

He has a great record on this course and hasn’t finished worse than T6 in his last four appearances. He played well here last year finishing T4, T4 again in 2013, won in 2012 and finished T6 in 2010. Donald is another player with good approach stats ranking 20th in approaches from 275 yards, 12th in approaches from 125-150, 12th from 150-175 and 18th in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks second in putts from 8 feet, which is a good stat for these small Bermuda greens.

 

Kevin Na 50/1 Valspar Championship 2015Kevin Na 50/1         

After a respectable T9 last week at The WGC Cadillac, Kevin Na comes back to Copperhead showing some good recent form. He showed good consistency last week shooting 74,71,71,71 to finish one under for the tournament. He has been showing snippets of form over the last few months finishing T2 at The CIMB Classic back in November, T20 at The WGC HSBC Champions and more recently a T26 at The Phoenix Open. Na played well here last year shooting 70,68,68,70 on his way to a six under finish and solo second, one stroke behind the winner John Senden.

Statswise Na ranks 27th in par 3 scoring, 13th in approaches from 100-125 yards and 26th in approaches from 200-225 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the long par 5’s. With a good performance last week and a top five last year, Na could feature at a good price.

 

Will MacKenzie 66/1 Valspar ChampionshipWill MacKenzie 66/1

After being off with an injured hand for the last couple of months, Will MacKenzie played his first event of 2015 in Puerto Rico last week and finished with an impressive T6. In his last five starts, he has finished with three top 10’s since the end of October. He started the season with a P2 at The McGladrey Classic, where he got into a playoff with eventual winner Robert Streb and was knocked out but played solid all week. He followed that with a T9 at The OHL Classic, which included an opening round 65 and a closing round 66 to post 11 under for the tournament.

MacKenzie ranks 25th in driving accuracy, third in GIR, third in strokes gained tee to green, second in strokes gained total and eighth in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week in Puerto Rico and a top 5 here last year, MacKenzie could be another player that could feature at a big price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 2 pts EW 14/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 22/1

Luke Donald 1 pt EW 25/1  

Kevin Na 1 pt EW 50/1

Will MacKenzie 1 pt EW 66/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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