Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017 Betting PreviewThe Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. Brandt Snedeker won in dramatic fashion last year when the tournament went to a Monday finish due to a weather delay. He went around in 69 in unbearable wet and windy conditions on Sunday beating KJ Choi by one single stroke.

There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats to consider here are good poa annua putters, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Brandt Snedeker Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 22/1 

Snedeker has been in good form in the early part of this season. He missed the cut at the Sony but played well in Kapalua the week before finishing in a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge. He had another good performance with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par in total.

He has a great record here in Torrey Pines and played superb in unbearable conditions last year shooting a final round 69 to beat his nearest challenger, Korean KJ Choi by one stroke. Snedeker has two wins (2016 and 2012) and five top 10’s in 10 appearances here. He ranks 23rd in GIR and seventh in scrambling so far this season and looks a good shout here to have another good week here.

 

Jimmy Walker 25/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Jimmy Walker 25/1

Walker seems to be back fit and healthy after a short illness at the Sony a couple of weeks ago and has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months. He played well at The World Cup of Golf at the end of November finishing T2 with fellow American Rickie Fowler and followed that with a T13 at The Hero World Challenge, which could have been better if it weren’t for a final round 73. Walker then started the New Year in style opening with a 65 in the first round of the SBS Tournament of Champions where he finished T9 on 14 under for the tournament.

He is another player with a great record in Torrey Pines with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He was right in the mix going into the final round last year and managed a final round 77 to finish T4 in very tough wet and windy conditions. He finished T7 in 2015, T4 in 2013 and T8 in 2012. Statswise he ranks 14th in SG Approaches to the green, 28th in GIR and has great form playing on similar open, windy courses like Waialae and Pebble Beach. If Walker can get the putter rolling he could have a good chance here.

 

Pat Perez 80/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 80/1 

With the exception of a poor final round at the Sony, Pat has been playing well recently with a win and two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished 15 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He then went on to win the OHL Classic at Myakoba on 21 under, which included an impressive third round 62. He had another good week in Kapalua finishing T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions after shooting a final round 67.

Perez is another player that has a decent history here with one top five and three top 25’s in his last six appearances. Statswise he ranks 25th in SG around the green, fourth in par 5 scoring and 24th in birdie average. For a guy bang in form, Perez could be a good each way shout at a big price.

 

Martin Laird Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Martin Laird 50/1

With an open, windy, “Linksy” setup, this could be right up the Scot’s street. Laird has had a decent start to the season with three top 15’s and a top 30 in his last four starts. He started with a top 10 at The Safeway Open back in October finishing T8 on 14 under for the tournament, which included three rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T27 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and a T13 at The OHL Classic. Laird’s first event of 2017 came last week at The CareerBuilder Challenge where he finished in a respectable T9 on 14 under for the week.

Martin has a good record here at Torrey with two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He finished T8 last year and shot a 77 in horrible conditions in the final round and posted a T7 in 2015 which included three round sin the 60’s. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG Approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG, sixth in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 22/1 1pt EW

Jimmy Walker 25/1 0.5pts EW

Pat Perez 80/1 0.5 pts EW

Martin Laird 50/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016

BMW Championship 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsField – Top 75 in FedExCup Standings

Crooked Stick, Carmel, Indiana

7,516 yards, par 72

The Course

It’s the third event of the FedExCup Playoffs with the top 75 players in the standings all taking part here. This is historically an event where the cream certainly rises to the top. The five previous winners include Jason Day (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Zach Johnson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Justin Rose (2011) and Dustin Johnson (2010).

The average winning score has varied from 9 under to 20 under over the last five years. This event was played here at Crooked Stick in 2012 when Rory McIlroy won on an impressive 20 under par but some alterations have been made since and could play fractionally harder this year. There is no cut at this event  and the top 50 players will progress to the Tour Championship at East Lake.

Crooked Stick Golf Club was designed by Pete Dye and has some history attached to it. It was the host course for the 1991 PGA Championship, the 2003 U.S. Women’s Open and the 2005 Solheim Cup. It is a par 72 and measures 7,516 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with water featuring on about six of the 18 holes.

The fairways are wide and forgiving so driving accuracy won’t be too important here but hitting greens will. The greens here are quite small and are protected by some strategically placed bunkers so GIR will be one stat to bear in mind.

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Patrick Reed 20/1

After yet another top five finish last week in Boston, The FedExCup Leader is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment. He was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with seven top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays and a T5 last week in Boston.

This will be The American’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick but looks pretty solid statswise. He ranks fifth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 21st in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Adam Scott 18/1

After shooting an impressive final round 65 last week, Scott finished solo fourth on 11 under for the tournament. The Aussie has been showing some solid form over the last few weeks with seven top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in Crooked Stick in the past finishing T6 in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the four rounds.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 10th in GIR, 15th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Ryan Moore 40/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsRyan Moore 40/1 

Moore has had a fantastic few weeks on the PGA Tour with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five tournaments. He played well at The Travelers finishing T17 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a superb win at The John Deere shooting 65,65,65,67 on his way to victory and followed that with a T7 at The Barclays and a T8 last week at the Deutsche Bank in Boston. Moore has played well here in the past finishing T10 in 2012 and started exceptionally well shooting two 66’s in the first two rounds.

Moore is a player that could suit this course ranking 19th in SG around the green, 32nd in SGP, third in par 3 scoring and 15th in par 4 scoring. He comes into this in much better form this time around and looks great value to go well here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 45/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Jimmy Walker 45/1 

Jimmy played great golf last week in Boston shooting 68,64,70,70 to finish solo third on 12 under par for the tournament. He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. This will be Jimmy’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick and I reckon the course could suit his game. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 9th in strokes gained approaches to the green and 26th in driving distance averaging over 300 yards off the tee. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW 20/1

Adam Scott 1.5pts EW 18/1

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 40/1

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 45/1

Total Staked = 10 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina

7,127 yards par 70

The Course

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be an advantage here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. Be on the lookout for players that are in good form and have played well here in Sedgefield in the past. The Wyndham Championship is the last tournament before the FedEx Cup playoffs starts next week.

 

Webb Simpson 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Webb Simpson 25/1 

Webb has been playing some decent golf over the last few weeks. He played well at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T3 and didn’t shoot worse than a 67 throughout the week. He then finished T11 at Memorial, solo sixth at The Quicken Loans and T13 at the PGA Championship. His record around this course is solid finishing eighth in 2010, win in 2011, 22nd in 2012, 11th in 2013, second in 2014 and sixth last year.

He struggled with his putting when the anchoring ban came in but he seems to be putting a lot better over the last few weeks. He ranks seventh in SG approach to the green, 26th in SG around the green, 11th in SG tee to green and ninth in par 4 scoring. If the putter warms up Webb could be right in the mix here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 25/1

Sneds has bounced back into some form lately and could be a player to keep on side this week. He finished in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has a good record here in Sedgefield finishing fifth in 2014, 28th in 2012, eighth in 2010 and fifth in 2009. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. Sneds is a real horse for the course around here and could be a big danger man here.

 

Jimmy Walker 28/1 Wyndham Championship 2016 Betting Preview Jimmy Walker 28/1

I was a tad surprised to see Jimmy at the 28/1 mark considering he’s just won the PGA. I noticed on social media that he seems to be doing a lot of practice over the last two weeks posting up pictures and videos of him nailing irons on the range which can only be a good thing! He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. He has played well here in the past finishing fourth here in 2012. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 25th in strokes gained around the green and 15th in par 5 scoring. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Wesley Bryan 33/1

I have to say I really thought this guy was going all the way last week at The John Deere. He was playing great and held the 54 hole lead and went on to finish in a very respectable T8. He has four top 10’s in his last five tournaments finishing T9 at The Nashville Open, T2 at The Lincoln Land Charity Championship and a win at The Digital Ally Open.

In his last 12 competitive rounds Bryan hasn’t shot worse than a 70 and looks to be in great shape coming here this week. He ranks first in strokes gained putting, first in par 3 scoring, third in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. Bryan is playing superb golf at the moment and I expect that to continue here at The Wyndham.

 

William McGirt 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 40/1 

After a great win at Memorial a few weeks ago McGirt looks to have found some form over the last few weeks. He followed that with a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64, and a T10 at The PGA Championship in Baltusrol.

McGirt has played well here in the past finishing T14 here last year and T8 in 2014. He ranks 22nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in driving accuracy, 20th in par 4 scoring and 32nd in scrambling. With some good current form and a decent record at this course, McGirt could be worth a bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 25/1 

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 28/1

Wesley Bryan 1pt EW 33/1  

William McGirt 1pt 40/1 

Total staked = 10pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas 

7,435 yards, par 72 

The Course 

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.  The weather forecast is set to be a bit mixed with Thursday looking the worst of the four days with Thunderstorms and showers forecast but it is set to pick up from Friday onwards.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Jimmy Walker 16/1 

The defending champion has been playing some good golf this season and started 2016 strongly with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T13 at The Sony. He followed that with a T4 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T11 in Pebble Beach and a T6 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. Most recently he has had some respectable finishes with a T19 in Houston and a T29 at The Masters. Walker has defended his title before at The Sony in 2014 and 2015 which could bode well here.

Walker likes this course and has played great here in the past with a win last year, T16 in 2014 and a T7 in 2010. He ranks 29th in driving distance, fourth in par 5 scoring, 29th in par 4 scoring and 17th in strokes gained tee to green. He ticks a lot of boxes here and with good form this season Walker could be a decent shout here.

 

Branden Grace 18/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Branden Grace 18/1 

After a superb victory last week in Hilton Head Branden Grace will be feeling confident coming to Texas this week. Grace had a super start to 2016 on The European Tour finishing T4 at his native SA Open. He then finished T5 in Abu Dhabi and followed that with a win in Qatar, an event he has won back to back in 2015 and 2016. He then traveled to the US and played in the WGC Cadillac finishing T23 and then had a T18 at The Dell Matchplay.

It’s worth noting that Grace has won back to back twice in his career. He won the Joburg Open and then won the Volvo China Open the following week in 2012. He also won at the windy St Andrews at The Alfred Dunhill Links and won on The Sunshine Tour the week before. He has played here twice before finishing T30 last year and an MC in 2014 which wouldnt really put me off. The South African is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in GIR and 18th in SGTTG. He is a great wind player and could be a big contender here after a super performance last week.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 Valero Texas Open 2016J.B Holmes 25/1 

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with five top 11’s in his last seven starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open. He followed that with another T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past finishing T11 in 2011 and T16 in 2010. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance which is a big plus around here. With four par 5’s on this course Holmes can take full advantage with his length and follow up from Augusta with another good week here.

 

Bryson DeChambeau Valero Texas Open 2016Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 

The young American made his PGA Tour debut as a professional last week at The RBC Heritage and what a debut it was. He played superb throughout finishing T4 for the tournament making a total of 17 birdies and looked to be completely comfortable throughout the week even with some questionable weather conditions.

He played in Augusta as an amateur the week before and finished just outside the top 20 finishing T21. He had another great amateur performance in Bay Hill at The Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing a very respectable T27. Dechambeau caught my eye earlier this year when he started with a 70 in The Dubai Desert Classic and went on to shoot 68,69,68 to finish T18 and looked to be flushing the ball over the four rounds.

He looks to be a future star in the making and comes to Texas this week looking settled after a top 5 last week in Hilton Head. He is a confident player and it wouldn’t surprise me if he had another big week here.

 

Kevin Chappell Valero Texas Open 2016Kevin Chappell 40/1 

Chappell came close to winning in Bay Hill but was denied by the in from Jason Day who played an unbelievable bunker shot on 18 to save par and win the tournament. He started the season with a respectable T29 at The CIMB in Malaysia and followed that with a second place finish at The McGladrey Classic. He then went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill and a T9 last week at The RBC Heritage.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 15th in 2013 and 2nd in 2011. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 18/1 1pt EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1pt EW

Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Northern Trust Open Betting Preview 2016

Riviera Country Club, California

Par 71, 7,349 Yards

The Course

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California and was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Northern Trust Open (originally the Los Angeles Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a monstrous 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 28/1

I’ve decided to give Jimmy one more chance this week in California. After another solid performance in Pebble finishing T11 on 11 under, Walker looks to be playing some great golf and showed that with a 63 in round three last week. He came close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a good record here in Riviera finishing fourth in 2011 and 2012, T16 In 2013 and T20 in 2014. He is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 24th in SGTTG, 26th in SGP and eighth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good record here Walker could be a huge contender here.

 

Bubba Watson 22/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Bubba Watson 22/1

Despite missing the cut last week in Pebble, Bubba comes into this week in good form and should feel more at home in Riviera. He has a win and two top 15’s in his last four starts. He won The Hero World Challenge back in December and followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 at The Phoenix Open.

He has played well here in Riviera in the past with a T13 in 2012, a win in 2014 and a T14 last year. Statswise Bubba seems to fit the bill here averaging just under 315 yards off the tee ranking fourth in driving distance and seventh in SGTTG. This course suits players that can shape the ball and hit it long which is right up Bubba’s street.

 

JB Holmes 28/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

J.B Holmes 28/1

J.B gets another nod from me again this week. He has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and had yet another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T11 on nine under for the tournament. He also had a good week in Phoenix finishing T6 and had another T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

Holmes has a good record on this course finishing third in 2010, T12 in 2011, T8 in 2012 and T22 last year. He ranks fifth in driving distance, 17th in SGTTG and 35th in par 4 scoring. J.B has a great record here and looks great value here at 28’s.

 

Charl Schwartzel 30/1 Northern Trust Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 30/1

After another superb performance in South Africa last week winning the Tshwane Open, Schwartzel is playing some excellent golf over the last few weeks with two wins and two top 10’s in his last four events. He finished T4 at The DP Tour Championship in Dubai and followed that with a win at The Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T9 at The Nedbank Championship.

The South African has played well here in the past finishing T5 here in 2014 and T3 in 2013. The grass on the fairways here is Kikuyu which is the same grass they play on in South Africa giving Charl a bit of an advantage here. Staswise he ranks 25th in driving distance averaging 304 yards off the tee, 14th in GIR and 25th in SGP. With superb current form and a good record here, Charl looks great value here.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 NorthernTrust Open 60/1

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

I have been really impressed with Freddie’s form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance last week in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well (which will be a big help this week).

He is another player with a good past here finishing third here in 2013 and T13 in 2012. He ranks 33rd in SGP, 10th in scrambling and fourth in par 4 scoring. If Freddie can keep it going this week with the putter he could be right in the mix at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Bubba Watson 1.5 pts EW 22/1

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 28/1

Charl Schwartzel 1pt EW 30/1

Freddie Jacobson 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

PaddyPower paying 7 places this week.

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016 Betting Preview

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California

The Courses:

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 71, 6,816 yards and has three par 5’s and five Par 3’s.

Spyglass Hill – Par 71, 6,858 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.

Monterey Peninsula – Par 72, 6,838 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s

This tournament is played on three courses which include Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. This is a Pro-Am format and is the same as The CareerBuilder Challenge taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 71’s. Monterey Peninsula is a par 72 because it has five par 3’s.

Straight away we notice that length is not a huge issue here, but the main defence for these courses is the wind coming off the water on the Monterey Peninsula. The weather can be a factor with rain and wind being quite common in California this time of year.

There are a few different factors to consider. The first factor is grass type with the greens here being poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines and the setup of the tournament is similar to The CareerBuilder so players that had a good performance over the last two-three weeks are also worth considering.

Previous winners here include Dustin Johnson (2010), DA Points (2011), Phil Mickelson (2012), Brandt Snedeker (2013&2015) and Jimmy Walker (2014). For some strange reason, this course tends to favour the bigger hitters. There are 16 par 5’s played here this week so par 5 scoring is worth checking out. As I said above, players with good GIR and scrambling are also worth looking at. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Brandt Snedeker 12/1

Sneds had a mixed bag last week in Phoenix starting with a 67 in round one and following that with a disappointing 71,74 in rounds two and three and finished well shooting a 68 to finish T33. He played superb at the unplayable Torrey Pines shooting a 69 on Sunday and ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole. He has a superb record here with wins in 2015 and 2013 and a T5 in 2012. He is in fine form and is playing well enough to win for a third time this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker was very close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a great record around Pebble finishing T21 last year, a win in 2014, T3 in 2013, T9 in 2012 and T9 in 2011. He ranks 37th in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained putting and 16th in par 5 scoring. After coming close at The Farmers, Walker looks a good shout here especially on a course he has played so well on before.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

J.B Holmes 25/1

J.B has been playing great golf over the last few weeks finishing T6 last week in Phoenix and T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes is another player with a decent record here in Pebble finishing T10 last year, T13 in 2011 and second in 2010. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking fifth in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee. With J.B’s distance, he can dominate the par 5’s this week and looks to be in fantastic form coming into this.

 

Shane Lowry 40/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Shane Lowry 40/1

The Irishman comes here in great form after two good performances over the last two weeks. Lowry had a great week in Phoenix finishing T6 on nine under for the week. He started well with a 65 in round one and finished strongly with a 68 in round four. He also played exceptionally well in the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines finishing T13 and appeared to deal with the wet and windy conditions very well over the weekend.

He has been known to play well in windy, linksy setups winning the Irish Open in Baltray as an amateur on ’09 and good performances in The Alfred Dunhill Links, Scottish Open’s and Open Championships over the last few years. Lowry is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 15th in stroke gained putting and ranks 27th in par 3 scoring. He finished T21 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Patrick Reed 35/1

This could be a bit of an unknown after Reed suffered a foot injury in Torrey Pines and withdrew after a disastrous 81 in round three. Despite that he comes here in decent form and played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open finishing T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the tournament and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and followed that with another solo second in Kapalua at The HTOC. He has played well here in the past finishing T29 last year, T13 in 2014 and T7 in 2013. If he comes here injury free he could be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1 pt EW

Shane Lowry 40/1 1 pt EW

Patrick Reed 35/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2016

Farmers Insurance Open 2016 Betting Preview

The Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jason Day 7/1

The Aussie is a very worthy favourite and comes here in superb form. He has taken the last couple of weeks off but started 2016 with a very respectable T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He opened with a 70 In round one followed by a 73 in round 2 but really got going over the weekend shooting 69,65 over the weekend to finish 15 under for the tournament. He finished the season off in style with four wins in his last eight events. After a T9 at The US Open and a T4 at The Open, Day went on to win The Canadian Open, PGA Championship, The Barclays and The BMW.

He has a great record around Torrey Pines with a win here last year, second in 2014 and a ninth place finish in 2013. Day ticks all the statistical boxes here ranking third in driving distance, seventh in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in strokes gained putting. He showed superb dominance at the end of last season and if he brings that good form here this week, he will be hard to beat.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys finishing 10 under for the week. He then followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a superb win on Sunday in California beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff. Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which included two 67’s and a 65 in round 3. He took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and followed that with a 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez but was just pipped at the post.

He has played well here in the past with a T19 last year, second in 2013, a win in 2012, T9 in 2011 and another second in 2010. Snedeker is hitting it an average of just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 12th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 23rd in scrambling. Sneds came close to a win at The Sony and looks to be in fine form to contend here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Jimmy Walker 30/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 30/1

Walker looked to be back showing some good consistency at The Sony shooting 69,68,65,66 to finish 12 under and T13 for the tournament. He also had a good week in Kapalua finishing T10, which included a superb 64 in round three. At The Hero World Challenge he had another top 10 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T8 for the week and was also a member of the winning Presidents Cup team in Korea in September.

He has played well here over the years finishing T7 last year, T4 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T29 in 2011. Statswise he ranks 27th in driving distance hitting it an average of 304 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring and 30th in par 5 scoring. Walker showed encouraging signs at The Sony and could be one to watch here.

 

JB Holmes 45/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

J.B Holmes 45/1

J.B has been playing good golf over the last few months and comes here this week after a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes came close to a win here last year but was beaten by Jason Day on the second playoff hole but played solid all week and finished 9 under for the tournament, which included two rounds in the 60’s. As well as finishing P2 last year, he has two top 30’s here finishing T23 in 2014 and T27 in 2010. Last season he ranked fifth in driving distance averaging 309 off the tee and ranked 19th in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in par 5 scoring. He seems to like this course and with his length he will have a huge advantage.

 

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jamie Lovemark 60/1

The young American is playing some great golf at the moment with four top 15’s in his last six starts. His good form began back at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished T13 on 11 under for the tournament, which included a 66 in round three and a 68 in round four. He followed that with a T9 at The RSM Classic, which included four rounds in the 60’s, T7 at the Sony, which included another four rounds in the 60’s, and a T6 last week at The Career Builder Challenge in California finishing T6, which also included three 65’s in the first three rounds.

Lovemark has played here once before finishing T28 in 2014 which would have been a hell of a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 76 in round 3. He ticks a lot of boxes statistically here averaging 311 off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance. He also ranks 30th in strokes gained tee to green, 25th in scrambling, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 36th in par 5 scoring. At 66/1 he looks a great each way shout here.

 

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 30/1 1pt EW

J.B. Holmes 45/1 1pt EW

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii  

Par 70, 7,044 yards 

The Course 

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the Sony Open. Previous winners include Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jimmy Walker 14/1 Sony Open 2016

Jimmy Walker  14/1

Walker hasn’t been firing on all cylinders in his last couple of tournaments but he seems to be coming back showing some form just in time for The Sony. He started2015/2016 campaign off with a T50 at the Shriners shooting 66,67,69 and then played poorly in the final round shooting a disappointing 78. He followed that with a respectable T8 at The Hero World Challenge to finish 17 under for the week. Last week at The Hyundai he finished in an impressive T10 on 15 under for the week which included a very impressive third round 64.

He has a great record at Waialae winning this event the last two years in a row. He also finished T26 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011. With good previous form on this course and two decent performances over the last few weeks, Jimmy Walker looks a good shout here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Justin Thomas 30/1

Thomas has been playing well since the end of last season finishing T13 at The BMW, T16 at The Barclays and T18 at The PGA Championship. He started the new season in style only finishing outside the top 30 once in his last five events. He had a great week at The Frys.com Open finishing T3 on 14 under par for the week and followed that with a superb performance at The CIMB Classic beating Kevin Na in a playoff to secure his first PGA Tour victory.

Most recently he finished in a respectable T27 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T21 last week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has only played here once before which was last year when he finished T6 on 12 under par for the tournament which included a superb second round 61. With a great start to the season and a good performance last year, Thomas could be a huge contender here.

 

Harris English 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Harris English 30/1

English has been coming back into some form over the last few months and ended the 2014/2015 season with a T22 at The Tour Championship, T19 at The BMW and T12 at The Deutsche Bank. The American has been showing some good form recently with three top 25’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The WGC HSBC Champions finishing in a respectable T23 and followed that with a T25 at The RSM Classic and a T2 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

He is another player with a superb record in Waialae finishing T3 last year where he lead par 4 scoring and hit the ball beautifully off the tee, T4 in 2014 and T9 in 2013. He leads strokes gained putting so far this season which will be a big help here this week on these small Bermuda greens.

 

Marc Leishman 35/1 Sony Open 2016

Marc Leishman 35/1

Leishman started the new season off with a T29 at The CIMB Classic which included a final round 66 to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions shooting 65,68 over the weekend to finish 14 under par for the tournament. The Aussie then went to South Africa in early December and played superb all week shooting 68,68,66,67 to win the Nedbank Challenge on 19 under, six shots clear of runner up Henrik Stenson.

He has great form at Waialae finishing T5 in 2014, T9 in 2013, T27 in 2011 and T20 in 2010. Leishman has shown that he is a good wind player with a brilliant performance at The Open Championship losing to Zach Johnson in a playoff. He seems to be showing some super form at present and looks great value here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Chris Kirk 45/1 Sony Open 2016

Chris Kirk 45/1

Chris Kirk has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 25’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The RSM Classic finishing T18 on nine under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge and finished T24th last week in Kapalua where he was fifth in GIR and 12th in Driving Accuracy which are two encouraging stats coming into this week.

He has a superb record around this course finishing T26 last year, T2 in 2014, T5 in 2013 and T30 in 2011. Kirk is a real horse for the course here and could have a great each way chance this week especially with good current form.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 14/1 2pts EW

Justin Thomas 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Harris English 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Marc Leishman 35/1 1 pt EW

Chris Kirk 45/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Quicken Loans National Betting Preview 2015

Quicken Loans National 2015 Betting Preview

Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, Gainsville, Virginia

Par 71, 7,385 Yards

 

The Course

This course hosts The Quicken Loans  National for the first time so there is no course history to go on. Robert Trent Jones GC is located in Gainsville, Virginia and sits along Lake Manassas with the lake coming into play on nine holes. The Presidents Cup was played here a total of four times from 1994, 1996, 2000 and 2006. It features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

The fairways and greens are bentgrass and four of the par 4’s measure roughly over 470 yards so driving distance should be worth considering. The fairways are tee lined with some strategically placed bunkers coming into play. Most of the approach shots on the par 4’s will measure roughly 170+ so approach stats from 170-200 will be worth checking. The par 3’s also measure over 190 yards so approach stats from that distance is also worth checking. The greens are undulating and large and can play quite fast so be on the lookout for players that are putting well and have good GIR stats.

The main areas of focus for me are strokes gained putting, GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and approaches from 175-200. The weather is set to be hot and humid for the four days with winds between 6-8 mph and a slight chance of some rain on Thursday.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker’s form has been mixed lately but he has had a superb season overall with wins at The Sony Open in Hawaii and The Texas Open a couple of months ago. He has put together some good performances lately finishing T30 at The Open Championship and T2 at The Byron Nelson, which included an opening round 64 and a 66 in round 2 and round 4. He also played well recently at the CVS Charity Classic with partner Billy Horchel finishing T3, but that is a non-sanctioned event.

He ranks 17th in driving distance, 27th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 31st in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 200+ and third in par 5 scoring. Although his current form is a little bit off, Walker is a class above the field and I think he could have a really good week here.

 

Danny Lee 35/1 Quicken Loans Natonal 2015

Danny Lee 35/1

Despite a disappointing MC at The Open in St Andrews, Danny Lee has been putting together a great season so far. His good run of form began back at The Valspar, were he finished T7. He followed that with a T17 at The Arnold Palmer, T22 in New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and a T10 at Colonial. Most recently, he finished T3 at The John Deere, Won the Greenbrier in a playoff against David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb and had a T25 at The Travelers.

Statswise, he ranks 33rd in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 150-175, 11th in approaches from 200+, 7th in approaches from 175-200 and first in par 3 scoring. With great current form and good approach stats, Danny Lee could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

I tipped up Wilcox last week at The RBC Canadian Open but he had to pull out due to a small injury concern. With that hopefully behind him, his current form looks great with seven top 25’s in his last 11 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson and T12 at The FedEx St Jude. Most recently, he finished T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy.

Wilcox ranks 16th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, 15th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 15th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 200+, first in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 4 scoring. With super form and great stats, Wilcox looks like a player that could really suit this course.

 

Johnson Wagner 50/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Johnson Wagner 50/1

Wagner is one of those players that can be quite streaky, but he is showing some decent form over the last few weeks. He came out of nowhere a couple of months ago at The Houston Open shooting rounds of 69,68,66,69 and ended up losing in a playoff. Recently though, his form is good with three top 20’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The John Deere finishing T5 and followed that with a T10 at The Barbasol Championship. Last week in Canada, he started very well opening with 67,66 in rounds one and two but fell off the pace shooting a 72,73 at the weekend to eventually finish in a respectable T18.

Wagner ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 275 and sixth in par 3 scoring. He seems to be riding on the crest of a wave in terms of form over the last couple of weeks and that could easily continue here this week at a decent price.

 

Andy Sullivan 60/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Andy Sullivan 60/1

Andy Sullivan is a proven winner on The European Tour with wins coming at The South Africa Open in January and The Joburg Open in March. He has been playing well lately finishing T30 at the Open, T6 at The French Open, T13 at The Memorial, T6 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down and 17th at The BMW PGA in Wentworth.

Sullivan is a great long iron and GIR player and ranks 26th in GIR and 16th in stroke average on The European Tour this season. He is a proven winner with two wins already tucked away in the trophy cabinet this year and could be a great each way prospect this week in Virginia.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 16/1

Danny Lee 1pt EW 35/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Johnson Wagner 1pt EW 50/1

Andy Sullivan 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas 

7,204 Yards Par 70

The Course

Colonial Country Club is a tight tree-lined course measuring a short 7,204 yards. It was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker and Boo Weekly over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will have to be considered. Previous form at this event is important so be on the lookout for experienced players with good history here showing some good current form.

 

Zach Johnson Crowne Plaza Invitational 16/1

Zach Johnson 16/1

It’s impossible to leave out Zach Johnson this week given his form here over the years. In his last five appearances, Johnson has two wins, which came in 2013 and 2011. He also finished T3 last year, T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He has also shown some good current form with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well at The API in Bay Hill finishing T9, followed that with a T20 at The Texas Open, T9 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players.

Statswise, Johnson is another player that suits this course ranking 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 15th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 20th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With such a good record here and decent current form, Johnson could be a big danger here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Jimmy Walker 20/1

After his victory at The Valero Texas Open back in March, Jimmy Walker is another danger man here this week. He played well here last year shooting a 67 in round one and followed that with a steady 68,69,70 to finish T10 for the tournament. He has had a superb season so far with two wins and two top 10’s in his last 10 starts, missing only one cut. He was beaten in a playoff against Patrick Reed at The Hynudai TOC and followed that with a win at The Sony and a T7 at Torrey Pines.

Since winning at the end of March, Walker has gone a little bit quiet with an MC at The Players, a respectable T38 in Augusta and a T52 at The WGC Matchplay and could rediscover some form here. Walker seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 16th in driving distance, 40th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green and second in birdie average. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last year and playing on home turf, Walker could be another one to watch.

 

Kevin Na 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Na 28/1

Na has been putting together some decent performances with six top 20 finishes in his last seven starts. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac in Doral where he finished T9. He followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at The API in Bay Hill, T20 at The Texas Open and a T12 at The Masters. Most recently, he had a good week at Sawgrass finishing T6 on nine under par for the tournament.

He has played well here at Colonial in the past finishing T13 in 2013, T22 in 2011, T9 in 2010 and T7 in 2008. Statswise this course should suit Na, who ranks 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in approaches from 100-125 and 18th in scrambling. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Ryan Palmer 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Ryan Palmer 28/1                 

Palmer has played well in this event over the last three years finishing with three top 15’s in a row. He played well here last year finishing T5, finished T14 in 2013 and T5 again in 2012. He has shown great form in his home state finishing T6 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He has also shown good form throughout the season finishing T2 at The Phoenix Open, T10 at The Humana and a T12 at The WGC Cadillac.

Staswise Palmer ranks 13th in driving distance, 36th in GIR, 11th in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 30th in par 3 scoring, 41st in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With a good history at this course and good early season form, Palmer could go well with this week in front of a home crowd.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

Kisner played here last year and missed the cut, but comes here this week showing much better form this time around. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish. He followed that with another playoff loss to Rickie Fowler in Sawgrass also losing on the second playoff hole.

Colonial will demand accuracy off the tee and with approaches, which could be right up his street. He ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 11th in approaches from 225-250, 23rd in scrambling, 41st in par 4 scoring and 35th in par 5 scoring. Given these fairways are tight and demand accuracy off the tee and two playoff losses over the last few weeks, it’s only a matter of time before Kisner gets it over the line.

 

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 16/1

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 20/1

Kevin Na 1pt EW 28/1

Ryan Palmer 1pt EW 28/1

Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

                       

Doublebogey6

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