OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2016

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2016El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71 

The PGA Tour returns to El Camaleon for its tenth year for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Graeme McDowell (2015), Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011) and Cameron Beckman (2010).

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to be wary of. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that accuracy off the tee is a key indicator along with GIR. Key stats on this course are driving accuracy, GIR and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage.

Graeme McDowell won last year beating Jason Bohn and Russell Knox in a playoff. Gmac hit an absolutely superb second shot into the first playoff hole and made the birdie to seal victory. This is traditionally a very low scoring event so expect plenty of birdies.

 

Russell Knox 14/1 OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 14/1

The Scot has started the season with two top tens in a row and has to be fancied here. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation and followed that with a T9 at the WGC HSBC in Shanghai which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 74. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW.

Knox has a decent record here over the years and came close to a win last year but got knocked out in a playoff against Graeme McDowell and Jason Bohn. He has the game to suit this course ranking fourth in driving accuracy, 24th in GIR and fifth in par scoring. He has to be one to watch here this week.

 

John Rahm 18/1

The young Spaniard has been playing some great golf since turning pro and started the season with two top 15’s in his last two starts. He had a good week at the Safeway open finishing T15 and followed that with another T15 in Vegas last week after shooting four rounds in the 60’s including an opening round 65. He showed some great form at the end of last season finishing T3 at The Quicken Loans, T2 in Canada and a T14 at The John Deere.

He played well here last year finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament finishing 11 under in total. Statswise he ranks 14th in GIR, sixth in SGTTG and 10th in SG off the tee. After a good start to the season and a decent performance last year Rahm looks a decent shout here.

 

Scott Piercy 28/1 OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 28/1

Piercy had a super start in Vegas last week but fell behind in round 4 finishing T24 on 12 under after a final round 71. He started well with two 68’s and a 65 so he will take that into this week. Despite a slight dip in form in China, Piercy has started the season well and comes here in good form. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T3 and followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia. He had some great finishes towards the end of last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2014 and T20 in 2009. He ranks fifth in SG off the tee, ninth in SG approach to the green and tenth in SGTTG. If he can get four solid rounds together he could be a big danger man here.

 

Johnson Wagner 60/1

The 2011 champion is playing some decent golf lately and started with an impressive T3 at The Safeway a couple of weeks ago. He shot 65,67,70,70 on his way to a 16 under par total and finished last season very strongly. He finished T5 at The John Deere, T5 at The Wyndham and T22 at The Barclays. He seems to like this course and has a super record here at El Camaleon with a win in 2011, T16 in 2014 and a T8 last year.

Statswise he ranks 22nd in SGP, 37th in GIR, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 3 scoring. Wagner clearly likes this venue and looks incredibly good value at 60/1.

 

Final Selections 

Russell Knox 14/1 1pt EW

John Rahm 18/1 1pt EW

Scott Piercy 28/1 0.5 pts EW

Johnson Wagner 60/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Quicken Loans National Betting Preview 2015

Quicken Loans National 2015 Betting Preview

Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, Gainsville, Virginia

Par 71, 7,385 Yards

 

The Course

This course hosts The Quicken Loans  National for the first time so there is no course history to go on. Robert Trent Jones GC is located in Gainsville, Virginia and sits along Lake Manassas with the lake coming into play on nine holes. The Presidents Cup was played here a total of four times from 1994, 1996, 2000 and 2006. It features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

The fairways and greens are bentgrass and four of the par 4’s measure roughly over 470 yards so driving distance should be worth considering. The fairways are tee lined with some strategically placed bunkers coming into play. Most of the approach shots on the par 4’s will measure roughly 170+ so approach stats from 170-200 will be worth checking. The par 3’s also measure over 190 yards so approach stats from that distance is also worth checking. The greens are undulating and large and can play quite fast so be on the lookout for players that are putting well and have good GIR stats.

The main areas of focus for me are strokes gained putting, GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and approaches from 175-200. The weather is set to be hot and humid for the four days with winds between 6-8 mph and a slight chance of some rain on Thursday.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker’s form has been mixed lately but he has had a superb season overall with wins at The Sony Open in Hawaii and The Texas Open a couple of months ago. He has put together some good performances lately finishing T30 at The Open Championship and T2 at The Byron Nelson, which included an opening round 64 and a 66 in round 2 and round 4. He also played well recently at the CVS Charity Classic with partner Billy Horchel finishing T3, but that is a non-sanctioned event.

He ranks 17th in driving distance, 27th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 31st in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 200+ and third in par 5 scoring. Although his current form is a little bit off, Walker is a class above the field and I think he could have a really good week here.

 

Danny Lee 35/1 Quicken Loans Natonal 2015

Danny Lee 35/1

Despite a disappointing MC at The Open in St Andrews, Danny Lee has been putting together a great season so far. His good run of form began back at The Valspar, were he finished T7. He followed that with a T17 at The Arnold Palmer, T22 in New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and a T10 at Colonial. Most recently, he finished T3 at The John Deere, Won the Greenbrier in a playoff against David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb and had a T25 at The Travelers.

Statswise, he ranks 33rd in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 150-175, 11th in approaches from 200+, 7th in approaches from 175-200 and first in par 3 scoring. With great current form and good approach stats, Danny Lee could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

I tipped up Wilcox last week at The RBC Canadian Open but he had to pull out due to a small injury concern. With that hopefully behind him, his current form looks great with seven top 25’s in his last 11 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson and T12 at The FedEx St Jude. Most recently, he finished T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy.

Wilcox ranks 16th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, 15th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 15th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 200+, first in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 4 scoring. With super form and great stats, Wilcox looks like a player that could really suit this course.

 

Johnson Wagner 50/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Johnson Wagner 50/1

Wagner is one of those players that can be quite streaky, but he is showing some decent form over the last few weeks. He came out of nowhere a couple of months ago at The Houston Open shooting rounds of 69,68,66,69 and ended up losing in a playoff. Recently though, his form is good with three top 20’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The John Deere finishing T5 and followed that with a T10 at The Barbasol Championship. Last week in Canada, he started very well opening with 67,66 in rounds one and two but fell off the pace shooting a 72,73 at the weekend to eventually finish in a respectable T18.

Wagner ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 275 and sixth in par 3 scoring. He seems to be riding on the crest of a wave in terms of form over the last couple of weeks and that could easily continue here this week at a decent price.

 

Andy Sullivan 60/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Andy Sullivan 60/1

Andy Sullivan is a proven winner on The European Tour with wins coming at The South Africa Open in January and The Joburg Open in March. He has been playing well lately finishing T30 at the Open, T6 at The French Open, T13 at The Memorial, T6 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down and 17th at The BMW PGA in Wentworth.

Sullivan is a great long iron and GIR player and ranks 26th in GIR and 16th in stroke average on The European Tour this season. He is a proven winner with two wins already tucked away in the trophy cabinet this year and could be a great each way prospect this week in Virginia.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 16/1

Danny Lee 1pt EW 35/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Johnson Wagner 1pt EW 50/1

Andy Sullivan 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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