Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsGlen Oaks Club, Long Island, New York

Par 70, 7,350 yards

 

The Course

Previously known as the Barclays, the newly named Northern Trust arrives at a new venue this year in the shape of Glen Oaks Golf Club in New York. Measuring a testing 7,350 yards, Glen Oaks was founded in 1924 and began on land carved out of the William K. Vanderbilt estate just south of Long Island.

The course as then moved to a larger 250 acre site in Old Westbury where there was three nine-hole courses designed. It stayed that was up until 2011 where a major redesign was overseen by Craig Currier of Bethpage State Park. The course for the tournament days will take from the three nine hole courses with holes 1-3 and 6-9 from the white course, holes 4 and 5 will be from the red course and the entire blue course will be played.

The course has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and two par 5’s. The course has been described as the Augusta of the North and at a glance appears to be a tree lined layout with fairly generous fairways and Poa Annua greens. The two par 5’s look to measure around the 600 yard mark and will be reachable by most of the field. The par 4’s and par 3’s look a bit trickier with water features on six of the 18 holes. The main areas to focus on here are par 3 and par 4 scoring, GIR and a hot putter. Its worth bearing in mind that the cream usually rises to the top in the FedEx Playoff events so be on the lookout for players that are in great form coming into this.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Speith 10/1

The Open Champion comes here in fine form with two wins, a second and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. Even after a few early wobbles, he showed unbelievable grit, class and mental toughness to get the job done in Royal Birkdale after a couple of early bogeys. After finishing solo fourth in New Orleans which included a 64 in the final round, Spieth went on to finish T2 at the Dean and Deluca Invitational after an impressive final round 65.

He then travelled to Ohio for the Memorial tournament and finished a respectable T13 for the week. He then had back to back wins, the first came at the Travelers Championship where he holed out from a bunker to beat Daniel Berger in a playoff, the second came after his heroics at The Open.

The Texan ticks all the boxes here ranking 12th in GIR, fifth in SGTTG, eighth in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 17th in par 5 scoring. If Spieth gets the putter going on these Poa Annua greens, which he likes, and drives well he could be a huge threat here.

 

Jason Day 16/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJason Day 16/1

The Aussie has had a mixed bag of form this season and has had a few injuries to contend with but he looks to be showing some decent form lately after a decent performance at the PGA Championship where he finished T9 in his last start.Day looks to be threatening in the first two rounds and had a disastrous finish to his third round dropping five shots back after taking a bogey on 17 and an eight on the 18th.

He has shown glimpses of decent form over the last couple of months and had a great week at the Byron Nelson finishing solo second which included four rounds of 69 or better. He followed that with a T15 at Memorial, T27 at The Open Championship and a T24 at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational.

Day played well in this event over the last few years finishing T4 last year, a win in 2015 and a T2 in 2014. Statswise he ranks 23rd in driving distance, second in SG around the green, 47th in SGP and 17th in par 5 scoring. He always seems to play well this time of year and has a great record on the East Coast. These forgiving fairways and fast greens could suit his eye.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 33/1 

The defending champion looks to be in fine fettle coming to New York this week and could well be the man to beat here. He seems to be playing really well but the odd 72 or 73 has been sneaking in here and there but he has been in good form over the last couple of months with four top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last nine starts. Reed had a good week at the Byron Nelson where he didnt shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week to finish T20. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers and a T17 at The Quicken Loans. He then travelled to the Greenbrier and shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T20 and to finish six under for the tournament.

At the PGA Championship, Reed again shot three rounds of 69 or better to post six under par and finish in a tie for second. He has a good record in this event over the last couple of years with a win last year and a T9 in 2014. Statswise Reed ranks eighth in strokes gained putting which will be a big plus here on these greens. That, along with great current form make Patrick Reed a decent shout here this week.

 

Matt Kuchar 35/1 Northern Trust Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsMatt Kuchar 35/1

Throughout researching golf tournaments throughout the year to bet on, Matt Kuchar is one of those guys that tends to go under my radar. Ive always considered him a “place” guy because he rarely wins but given his current form over the last couple of months, I decided he was worth taking a chance on especially because he seems to be putting himself in a position to win a bit more lately.

Kuchar is one of the steadiest guys on tour and has been in great form lately finishing outside the top 30 just once in nine starts. After finishing T4 in Augusta, Kuchar followed that with a T9 at the Byron Nelson, T12 at the Dean and Deluca, T4 at Memorial, T16 at The US Open, solo second at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T9 at The PGA Championship.

He also has some great form at this event over the last few years finishing T5 in 2014 and T19 in 2013. Statswise he ticks alot of boxes here ranking 30th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling and 11th in par 4 scoring. Kuch looks good value here to keep up his good run of form.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Speith 10/1 2pts EW

Jason Day 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1pt EW

Matt Kuchar 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 10 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio 

Par 70, 7,400 yards 

The Course 

Firestone Country Club was designed by Bert Way and was originally commissioned by Harvey Firestone for the employees of his tire company, Firestone Tire and Rubber and opened in August 1929. Firestone made a name for itself hosting a total of three PGA Championships in 1960, 1966 and 1975.

Robert Trent Jones oversaw a huge redesign for the 1960 PGA Championship adding over fifty bunkers, two ponds and extending the course to 7,165 yards. It was then renovated by Golforce in 2007 adding more yardage onto the course making it 7,400 for the 2015 WGC Bridgestone.

Firestone is a tough all round test of golf and only the very best players tend to contend here. It has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is the one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour measuring just under 670 yards. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards and three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so good ball striking and accurate iron play will be essential into these testing bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting (good bentgrass putters), par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. This is one of the best courses in the world and the cream tends to rise to the top so bare that in mind.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Jordan Speith 8/1

Jordan Speith comes to Ohio this week rested and energised after the heroics of Royal Birkdale a couple of weeks ago. I won’t harp on about fantastic he played and the putts he made because let’s face it, if you watched it you know what I’m talking about. The young Texan has been in superb form lately with two wins, a second and a top 15 in his last five starts. He played well in Colonial finishing T2 at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, after shooting an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T13 at Memorial followed by back to back wins, the first at the Travelers Championship and the second at the Open in Royal Birkdale.

Speith has played very well around Firestone in the past finishing 10th in 2015 and third last year. He ranks second in GIR, first in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 3 scoring which are three very good boxes ticked for this course. It looks like he has rediscovered that killer instinct with his putter and is extremely difficult to avoid this week even at skinny odds. Given his current form and favourable history here, Speith is without a doubt the man to beat.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2017Brooks Koepka 16/1

The US Open Champion has been playing some superb golf this season and should be well rested coming to Firestone this week. Since finishing T11 in Augusta, Koepka has a win, three top 10’s and a top 20 under his belt. He had a great week at the Valero Texas Open finishing T2 after an impressive final round 65 and followed that with a T5 in New Orleans, which included a final round 62.

Brooks then teed it up in Sawgrass and finished a respectable T16 at the Players Championship. It was Erin Hills that seemed to suit his game the best where he shot four rounds of 70 or better to win by four strokes from Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman to win the US Open in Wisconsin.

He has played well here in Firestone in the past finishing T6 in 2015, which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise Koepka is averaging just over 307 off the tee ranking 10th in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained putting. After a good performance here in 2015 there’s no reason why he can’t contend again.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Paul Casey 30/1

The Englishman is having a fantastic season and comes here in great form. Since finishing solo sixth in Augusta at The Masters, Casey’s form figures read 12,22,10, 26, 5, 11. He had a good week at the Wells Fargo finishing T12 and followed that with a T22 in Sawgrass at The Players, T10 at The Dean and Deluca and a respectable 26th at the US Open in Erin Hills.

Most recently Casey has been playing quite solid finishing T5 at the Travelers which included four rounds of 69 or better to post nine under in total. The Englishman had a super week at Royal Birkdale shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T11 at The Open Championship.

Casey has a great record here and seems to be a real horse for the course with two top 10’s and three top 20’s since 2005. He finished fourth in 2006, eighth in 2008, T17 in 2015 and T16 last year.

 

Daniel Berger 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 40/1

Berger has been playing great golf this season with a win and two top five finishes in his last six starts. He had a superb week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a pair of 66’s to win by one stroke from Charl Schwartzel and Whee Kim. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where a moment of brilliance from Jordan Speith denied him victory after a tricky playoff. Berger bounced back well finishing T5 at TPC Deere Run at the John Deere Classic which included an impressive 63 in round three.

He teed it up here for the first time last year and had to controversially withdraw with an injured shoulder after hitting only one tee shot. Statswise he ranks 34th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained putting and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 

Since getting the monkey off his back in Scotland with an impressive victory at the Scottish Open, The Spaniard has maintained some great consistency over the last few weeks and looks to be striking the ball very well. He had a good week at the Players Championship shooting three rounds of 70 or better to finish T4. He then teed it up at the FedEx St Jude finishing T4 and followed that with a T4 in Royal Birkdale at The Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s.

Rafa has played once here before finishing T29 in 2012 which included an opening round 66 and a second round 65. He ranks 27th in GIR on the European Tour and 45th in par 4 scoring on the PGA Tour. He has stood up to the plate in the big events and looks good value here to have a good week.

 

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Charl Schwartzel 55/1

South African Charl Schwartzel is another player that arrives to Firestone in good shape with three top fives and one top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Augusta finishing solo third at the Masters, a course where he won on in 2011, and followed that with a T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic, which included three rounds of 66 or better. He then travelled o Germany last week for the Porche European Open where he shot an opening round 67 and a closing round 69 to finish T12 for the tournament on eight under par in total.

He has a great record around Firestone with form figures of 24,21,4,31,7 since 2012. Schwartzel is a good horse for the course kind of player and tends to play well on bentgrass greens. At 55/1 and some good performances in big events this year, he looks good value to have a decent week.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Speith 8/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 16/1 1pt EW

Paul Casey 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 40/1 0.5pts EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 0.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 8pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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US Open Betting Preview 2015

 

US Open Betting Preview and Tips Chambers Bay

Chambers Bay, University Place, Washington

Par 70, 7,742 yards

Chambers Bay is an old sand and gravel quarry and was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr. It opened back in 2007 and hosted the US Amateur in 2010. It is a links style course that should measures 7,742 yards and has typical links features such as long fescue grass, big sand dunes, massive fairways and very deep bunkers. It has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s.

The first hole can play either as a par 4 or a par 5 depending on weather conditions. The fairways are quite generous but players will have to find certain parts of the fairways in order to get their second shots close to the flags. A lot of the flags will be guarded by tricky bunkers strategically placed around the greens so greens in regulation and good scrambling will be key here.

The rough is quite penal so there will be an element of accuracy required and the greens will have heavy contours and will be extremely fast, measuring around 12 on the stimp meter. Players that have good links experience and can deal with the wind will have an advantage here.

The key areas of statistical focus will be GIR, driving distance and accuracy, scrambling, approach stats between 100-200 yards, proximity to the hole, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather forecast is expected to be mixed for the majority of the tournament, with mild weather with showers.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 US Open 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is simply no other player in the world playing better than Jordan Spieth at the moment. He put on a short game masterclass in the final round at The Memorial Tournament shooting a superb final round 65 to finish T3. Spieth has two wins already under his belt this year with wins coming at The Masters and The Valspar Championship. He lost in a playoff in Houston finishing second and also finished second the week before in Texas. Most recently, Jordan has two top fives in his last three starts finishing T3 last week at The Memorial and T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial.

Statswise Spieth is averaging just over 290 yards off the tee and ranks third in strokes gained tee to green, 20th in strokes gained putting and 10th in proximity to the hole. He also ranks first in approaches from 100 yards, fifth in approaches from inside 100 yards, 21st in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, first in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 3 scoring. Jordan ticks all the boxes here with good scrambling, good putting and razor sharp approach shots in his artillery, which should make him a huge contender here.

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Rickie Fowler 22/1

Rickie has proven to be a links specialist over the last few years saying recently “Its my favourite form of golf” at The Irish Open, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. Rickie played well and has great Open Championship form finishing T2 in last year’s Open Championship, two strokes behind winner Rory McIlroy and seems to play well in the trickiest of conditions.

He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters. Rickie ranks 49th in driving distance, 11th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 75-100 and third in approaches from 150-175 yards. With the weather expected to be mixed, Rickie should be in his element.

Henrik Stenson US Open 25/1 Chambers Bay

Henrik Stenson 25/1

After getting a bad illness in April, Henrik Stenson seems to have made a full recovery and looks to be back showing some good form again. He played well at The Nordea Masters recently finishing T13 on four under par for the tournament. His short game and touch around the greens was superb and that’s exactly what will be required here. He also had good performances at The Players finishing T17 and T19 at The Masters. Stenson has shown good links form over the last few years finishing runner up to Phil Mickeslon in 2013 in Muirfield and T3 in St Andrews in 2010. His US Open form has also been good over the years finishing T4 last year, 21st in 2013, 22nd in 2011 and T9 in 2009.

Stenson ranks 11th in driving distance, second in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15t in strokes gained putting. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 125-150, 20th in approaches from 200+ and second in approaches from 175-200. He comes here in good form and could be a player that really suits this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Phil Mickelson 20/1

Phil has a superb record in The US Open over the last 20 odd years finishing in the top 10 ten times. He has been showing glimpses of good form over the last couple of months with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T17, T17 at The Houston Open, T2 at the Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo.

He played well at The FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a superb final round 65 finishing T3 on eight under par for the tournament. Phil has played well on links set ups in the past winning the 2013 Open Championship in Muirfield, T23 last year in Hoylake and T2 in 2011 in Sandwich.

He ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in approaches from 175-200, 17th in approaches from 225-250 and seventh in par 5 scoring. A lot imagination will be required around the greens here, which Phil has in spades. With decent form at present and solid links form, 2015 could be the year Mickelson wins the US Open.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Jim Furyk 40/1  

Furyk has been showing some superb form over the last few months and showed superb grit in his playoff win at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 recently at The Memorial in Ohio. Jim showed some good early season form finishing T7 in Pebble Beach, which included a superb opening round 64, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He won the 2004 US Open in Shinnecock Hills and followed that with a second 2006 and 2007, fourth in 2012 and a T12 last year.

Furyk ranks eighth in driving accuracy, 14th in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. He also ranks third in approaches from 100 yards, seventh in approaches from 200 and eighth in approaches from 175-200. Jim is in great form lately and ticks a lot of boxes for this course.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Brandt Snedeker 50/1

Sneds seems to be peaking just at the right time for Chambers Bay with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Crowne Plaza Invitational finishing T2 and followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson. He showed some great early season form with a T10 in Phoenix, T19 in Torrey Pines and a superb win in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64.

His US Open form as been excellent over the last few years with four top 11 finishes in his last six US Open starts. He finished T9 last year, T11 in 2011, T8 in 2010 and T9in 2008. He has also shown great form at links courses in the past with a win in Pebble Beach this year, T11 in The Open Championship in Muirfield in 2013 and a T3 in Lytham and St Anne’s in 2012.

Statswise Snedeker ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, third in scrambling and ninth in par 4 scoring. With such a good record in this tournament and solid current form, Brandt Snedeker could be a big contender here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 8/1

Rickie Fowler 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Phil Mickelson 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 40/1

Brandt Snedeker 1 pt EW 66/1

Total Staked = 17 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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