The Masters Betting Preview 2017

The Masters Betting Preview 2017Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia  

Par 72, 7,435 yards  

The Course  

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation will be a key stat here along with approaches, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 7/1

I don’t know what it is about Augusta but it seems to really suit Jordan Spieth. Despite missing the cut last week in Houston, Spieth has been in great form with a win and five top 25’s in his last seven starts. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He has a superb record here with a win and two runner up’s in his last three appearances. Spieth was in the final group with Bubba Watson in 2014 and went on to lose by three which Spieth put down to lack of experience. He won by four strokes over Phil Mickelson in 2015 and played the par 5’s in 11 under par in total. He came agonisingly close to winning last year but had a major hiccup on the par 3 -12th which took him out of the running and ended up finishing second to Danny Willett.

Spieth ticks a lot of boxes for Augusta ranking third in GIR, first in SG Approaches to the green, 14th in SGTTG and 39th in strokes gained putting. I think missing the cut last week could work out in Jordan’s favour giving him an extra couple of days to prepare. He will have a big point to prove after last year which could be a big motivator.


Rickie Fowler 22/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 22/1

Granted, this one is a bit of a risk but I think it’s one worth taking on Rickie Fowler here. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and as I mentioned in my preview last week, he got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes some of the pressure off a bit. He has been in good form so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico, solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T3 last week in Houston. In Houston he led the SGTTG, SG approaches to the green and total birdies and was in the top 5 in GIR and putts per GIR, which are very favourable stats coming into this week.

Despite missing the cut last year, Fowler has played well here finishing fifth in 2014 and 12th in 2015. He ranks 20th in GIR and ninth in strokes gained putting this season, two important stats for the lively greens of Augusta National.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Justin Rose 25/1

The Englishman has been playing some great golf recently has been slipping under the radar lately. He has only finished outside the top 15 twice in his last seven starts including three top 10’s. He had a good week at the Sony finishing solo second and followed that with a T4 in Torrey Pines, T4 at The Genesis Open, T13 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a respectable T15 last week in Houston.

Rose has a good record here with form figures 5,36,20,11,8,25,14,2,10 in his last nine appearances in Augusta. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG off the tee, 19th in SG Around the green, 11th in SGTTG and 25th in driving distance. With great current form and a good record here, Rose could be a big danger man here if he putts well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been in mixed form recently but played super golf earlier in the year. He had a good week at the World Super 6 in Perth in February finishing solo fifth and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 in three rounds. He followed that with a solo third at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament which included a pair of 65’s. Most recently he then travelled to Florida and finished a respectable T21 at the Honda Classic and a T28 in Bay Hill.

Oosthuizen has played well here over the last five years finishing second in 2012, 25th in 2014, 19th in 2015 and 15th last year. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee and 21st in SGTTG so far this season and could be another player with a decent chance here.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick The Masters Betting Preview 2017 Matt Fitzpatrick 60/1

The young Englishman has been playing well over the last few months. He won the European Tour finale, the DP World Championship in Dubai back in November beating fellow in form countryman Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. His good form continued when he returned to Dubai, this time for the Desert Classic finishing T5 on 12 under par for the tournament. Fitzpatrick then went over to the other side of the pond posting a T16 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T13 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational. Last year was his second appearance in Augusta but the first appearance as a pro and he finished T7 after shooting a superb final round 67. He played as an amateur in 2014 and ended up narrowly missing the cut.

Statswise he looks like another player that could suit this course ranking fourth in strokes gained putting, ninth in sand saves and 19th in GIR (European Tour) and 19th in par 5 scoring. He comes to Augusta in much better form this time around and could go well at a generous price.

 

Marc Leishman 60/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 60/1

I’ve had Marc Leishman in mind for the Masters ever since he won in Bay Hill a couple of weeks ago. He has been playing very steady golf this year and only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last ten tournaments. He played very well at the CIMB in Malaysia finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T24 at the OHL Classic, T9 at the World Cup of Golf, back to back T20’s at the Sony and Torrey Pines and a T24 in Phoenix.

The Aussie then shot rounds of 71,66,71,69 to win by one from Charley Hoffman and Kevin Kisner at the Arnold Palmer Invitational where he led GIR and was second in strokes gained putting for the week. Leishman also played well at the WGC Matchplay and got the last 16 but was beaten by Phil Mickelson. Statswise the Aussie ranks third in strokes gained putting, 14th in scrambling, second in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 5 scoring and ninth in 3 putt avoidance. Good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Final selections – (PP 1/5 – 8 places)

Jordan Spieth 1pt EW 7/1

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 22/1

Justin Rose 0.5pts EW 25/1

Louis Oosthuizen 0.5pts EW 50/1

Matt Fitzpatrick 0.5pts EW 60/1

Marc Leishman 0.5pts EW 60/1

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA

Par 72, 7,425 yards

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to TPC Louisiana this week, where Justin Rose is the defending champion. TPC Louisiana has hosted this tournament since 2007, with this year being the 10th year in a row. It was also host in 2005, but got badly damaged in hurricane Katrina. This resulted in some changes being made to the course making it fractionally shorter than it used to be.

The course is a Pete Dye design par 72 measuring just over 7,400 yards. It features four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course sits along the Mississippi River and has five ponds and over 100 bunkers, which will all come into play. The greens here are quite big and can get fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are wide and pretty forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential but hitting the greens in regulation will be important. The greens have a lot of undulations so landing the ball in the right part of the green will be important. This is a course that is ranked one of the easiest on The PGA Tour with the average score of the winner shooting between 15-22 under par on average over the last six years.

All types of players seem to play well at this venue. It’s worth looking at players with good GIR stats, strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green. Par 4, par 3 and par 5 scoring are also worth looking at. Traditionally, there are a lot of birdies on offer at this tournament so birdie average could be another metric worth taking a look at.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016

Justin Rose 8/1

The defending champion has been in good form over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last seven starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

Rose has a great records here with a win last year, 8th in 2014, 15th in 2013 and 10th in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 14th in GIR, 8TH in strokes gained tee to green and 4th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form Rose could follow up his top 10 IN Augusta with back to back wins here.

 

Billy Horchel 18/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Billy Horchel 18/1

Billy played well last week in Texas finishing T4 for the tournament and played well all week. His iron play looked to be in great shape and he also negotiated the greens very well. He has been playing well this season with a T8 at The Farmers, T8 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Arnold Palmer and a T17 at The Masters. Horchel generally plays well on courses that he has played well on in the past and he has a good record here at TPC Louisiana.

He finished T26 here in 2011 and followed that up with a win in 2013 shooting a final round 64 to beat D.A Points by one stroke to finish 20 under par in total. After a good week in Texas, Horchel can follow that up with another good performance here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Daniel Berger 25/1

The young American has been in great form lately and had a great week in Augusta finishing in an impressive T10 at The Masters on one over par in total. He also played well in Houston finishing T5 which included a final round 66. Berger has played well this season with a T28 at the WGC Cadillac and a T11 at The Valspar and comes here after taking a break after The Masters and will be fresh.

He has only played here at TPC Louisiana once and finished T6 last year on 18 under for the week. He didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four days and has to be respected here given his current form. He ranks 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring which are two good stats for this course. With a good performance here last year Berger is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

 

Patton Kizzire 55/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Patton Kizzire 55/1

Kizzire looks like a player that could suit this course and has been playing some good golf recently. He finished T8 at The Farmers and followed that with a T26 at The Honda, T33 at The Valspar, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T14 at The RBC Heritage.

This is his first appearance here at TPC Louisiana this year and could go well. He ranks 8th in strokes gained putting, 27th in par 5 scoring and 35th in par 3 scoring. After some good performances this season Kizzire could be another player that could go well at a decent price.

 

Jamie Lovemark 66/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Jamie Lovemark 66/1

Lovemark has been in good form recently with three top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well The Northern Trust Open in Riviera finishing T20 and followed that with a T6 in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer and a T18 at The Shell Houston Open. He has played here twice before and missed the cut in 2012 and 2014 but seems to be in much better form this time around.

He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, seventh in scrambling, 16th in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. With some good performances over the last few weeks Lovemark could be one to watch here.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 2pts EW 8/1

Billy Horchel 1pt EW 18/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 25/1

Patton Kizzire 1pt EW 55/1

Jamie Lovemark 1pt EW 66/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California

Par 72 7,203 yards

It’s great to be back! Let’s hope we have yet another profitable year for the 2015/2016 season.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

There is not a lot of data to go on here as this is only the second time this course has hosted the tournament but judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

Last year’s champion Sang-Moon Bae will not be able to defend his title as he has to serve two years military service, which is a compulsory requirement in all South Korean men. However, there are some big names in the field including World No. 3 Rory McIlroy, No. 7 Justin Rose, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, Charl Schwartzel and Chris Kirk. The weather is set to be sunny, dry and warm with light winds with the possibility of some showers over the weekend.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Justin Rose 8/1

After taking the last couple of weeks off, Justin Rose comes into this week in good form. He had a great finish to the 2014/15 season at The Tour Championship where he finished T2 shooting a superb final round 66 at East Lake. He has been playing some great golf over the last couple of months. He lost a playoff to David Lingmerth at The Memorial finishing P2 and followed that with a T6 at The Open, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, solo fourth at The PGA, T16 at The Barclays and a T13 at The BMW.

Rose ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking ninth in GIR, 18th in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and sixth in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks first in approaches from 75-100, first in approaches from 175-200 and first in approaches from 200-225, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. With top notch accuracy stats, Rose should score well here on his first visit to Silverado.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 Frys.com Open Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1

After winning two and a half points for the International Team at The Presidents Cup last week, Hideki Matsuyama will come to California this week feeling good about his game. As well as playing super last week in Korea, Matsuyama has been playing well for the last few months with 14 top 25’s in his last 17 tournaments. He had a good week at The Barclays finishing T13 and followed that with a T25 at The Deutsche Bank, T7 at The BMW and a T12 in East Lake at The Tour Championship. He had a great week here last year finishing T3 on 12 under for the tournament.

Statswise he ranks 21st in GIR, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, third in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 125-150, seventh in approaches from 175-200 and 15th in approaches from 50-75. After a solid performance in Korea last week, Matsuyama could be a big danger man here.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Brooks Koepka 22/1

The young American has been playing steady golf all season on both The PGA Tour and The European Tour. He had a great week at The Alfred Dunhill Links recently finishing T2 after shooting 64,67 over the weekend to finish on 16 under for the tournament. He also played well in the FedEx Cup Finale finishing T18 at The Tour Championship. Koepka put in huge performances at this year’s majors finishing T18 at The US Open, T10 at The Open Championship and T5 recently at The PGA Championship.

His form at this event has been good over the last couple of years. He finished T8 here on this course last year and T3 at Cordevalle in 2013. Statswise he ranks 17th in GIR, 34th in strokes gained tee to green and 17th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks second in approaches from 175-200, 10th in approaches from 200, 10th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at The Tour Championship and The Dunhill Links recently, Koepka is one of the better players in this field and could be one to keep an eye on here.

 

Robert Streb 35/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Robert Streb 35/1

I was quite surprised to see a player of Streb’s calibre priced at 35/1. After winning the McGladrey Classic at the beginning of last season, Streb went on to have a great year finishing with seven top 25’s in his last nine events. He lost a playoff to Danny Lee at The Greenbrier Classic finishing P2 and followed that with a T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The Bridgestone, T10 at The PGA, T23 at The BMW and T18 at The Tour Championship.

He played this event last year and finished in a respectable T31. He ranks 27th in GIR, 24th in strokes gained putting and seventh in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring which will be a big help here with its ten par 4’s and four par 3’s. Streb is a better player coming here this time around and is most certainly one of the better players in this field.

 

Steven Bowditch 80/1 Frys.com Open 2015

Stephen Bowditch 80/1

The Aussie was part of the losing Presidents Cup team last week but played quite well himself throughout the week. He was drawn to play Jimmy Walker in the Sunday Singles and beat him 2 up so his game looks in good shape. Along with his win at The Byron Nelson, Bowditch had a good finish to the season with three top 15’s in his last six events. He finished T12 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The Barclays and T12 at The Tour Championship.

Bowditch played well here last year shooting 67,67 over the weekend to finish solo second. He ranks 11th in approaches from 125-150, third in scrambling, 25th in par 3 scoring and 30th in par 4 scoring. After a solid performance at The Presidents Cup, the Aussie comes here in good form and could go well at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 8/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Brooks Koepka 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 35/1 1 pt EW

Stephen Bowditch 80/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Quicken Loans National Betting Preview 2015

Quicken Loans National 2015 Betting Preview

Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, Gainsville, Virginia

Par 71, 7,385 Yards

 

The Course

This course hosts The Quicken Loans  National for the first time so there is no course history to go on. Robert Trent Jones GC is located in Gainsville, Virginia and sits along Lake Manassas with the lake coming into play on nine holes. The Presidents Cup was played here a total of four times from 1994, 1996, 2000 and 2006. It features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

The fairways and greens are bentgrass and four of the par 4’s measure roughly over 470 yards so driving distance should be worth considering. The fairways are tee lined with some strategically placed bunkers coming into play. Most of the approach shots on the par 4’s will measure roughly 170+ so approach stats from 170-200 will be worth checking. The par 3’s also measure over 190 yards so approach stats from that distance is also worth checking. The greens are undulating and large and can play quite fast so be on the lookout for players that are putting well and have good GIR stats.

The main areas of focus for me are strokes gained putting, GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and approaches from 175-200. The weather is set to be hot and humid for the four days with winds between 6-8 mph and a slight chance of some rain on Thursday.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker’s form has been mixed lately but he has had a superb season overall with wins at The Sony Open in Hawaii and The Texas Open a couple of months ago. He has put together some good performances lately finishing T30 at The Open Championship and T2 at The Byron Nelson, which included an opening round 64 and a 66 in round 2 and round 4. He also played well recently at the CVS Charity Classic with partner Billy Horchel finishing T3, but that is a non-sanctioned event.

He ranks 17th in driving distance, 27th in strokes gained tee to green, first in strokes gained putting and 31st in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 200+ and third in par 5 scoring. Although his current form is a little bit off, Walker is a class above the field and I think he could have a really good week here.

 

Danny Lee 35/1 Quicken Loans Natonal 2015

Danny Lee 35/1

Despite a disappointing MC at The Open in St Andrews, Danny Lee has been putting together a great season so far. His good run of form began back at The Valspar, were he finished T7. He followed that with a T17 at The Arnold Palmer, T22 in New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and a T10 at Colonial. Most recently, he finished T3 at The John Deere, Won the Greenbrier in a playoff against David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb and had a T25 at The Travelers.

Statswise, he ranks 33rd in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 150-175, 11th in approaches from 200+, 7th in approaches from 175-200 and first in par 3 scoring. With great current form and good approach stats, Danny Lee could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Will Wilcox 40/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Will Wilcox 40/1

I tipped up Wilcox last week at The RBC Canadian Open but he had to pull out due to a small injury concern. With that hopefully behind him, his current form looks great with seven top 25’s in his last 11 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson and T12 at The FedEx St Jude. Most recently, he finished T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy.

Wilcox ranks 16th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, 15th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 15th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 200+, first in par 3 scoring and fifth in par 4 scoring. With super form and great stats, Wilcox looks like a player that could really suit this course.

 

Johnson Wagner 50/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Johnson Wagner 50/1

Wagner is one of those players that can be quite streaky, but he is showing some decent form over the last few weeks. He came out of nowhere a couple of months ago at The Houston Open shooting rounds of 69,68,66,69 and ended up losing in a playoff. Recently though, his form is good with three top 20’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The John Deere finishing T5 and followed that with a T10 at The Barbasol Championship. Last week in Canada, he started very well opening with 67,66 in rounds one and two but fell off the pace shooting a 72,73 at the weekend to eventually finish in a respectable T18.

Wagner ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 275 and sixth in par 3 scoring. He seems to be riding on the crest of a wave in terms of form over the last couple of weeks and that could easily continue here this week at a decent price.

 

Andy Sullivan 60/1 Quicken Loans National 2015

Andy Sullivan 60/1

Andy Sullivan is a proven winner on The European Tour with wins coming at The South Africa Open in January and The Joburg Open in March. He has been playing well lately finishing T30 at the Open, T6 at The French Open, T13 at The Memorial, T6 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down and 17th at The BMW PGA in Wentworth.

Sullivan is a great long iron and GIR player and ranks 26th in GIR and 16th in stroke average on The European Tour this season. He is a proven winner with two wins already tucked away in the trophy cabinet this year and could be a great each way prospect this week in Virginia.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 16/1

Danny Lee 1pt EW 35/1

Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1

Johnson Wagner 1pt EW 50/1

Andy Sullivan 1pt EW 60/1

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course                 

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s teaam matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Jordan Spieth 7/1

There is no player that is in better form at the moment than Jordan Spieth. Every time he tees it up he looks a serious threat. He made his second appearance at this event last year and finished in a respectable T19. He started the tournament with a 67 and followed that with a 72 in R2 and a 67 in R3. Unfortunately he played poorly on the Sunday shooting a 75 in R4 that took him out of contention. However, I don’t see that happening this time around. Spieth comes here this week in great form with two wins, three top 5’s, a top 15 and a top 20 in his last nine starts.

Jordan ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in strokes gained putting and first in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. Given his current run of form and respectable finish last year, Jordan Spieth is a worthy favorite this week and cannot be ruled out.

 

Justin Rose 20/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Justin Rose 20/1

Justin Rose is your typical horse for the course here at Miurfield with a win, four top 10’s and a top 15 in his last 10 appearances. Despite an MC here last year, he finished T8 in 2013, T8 in 2012, win in 2010, T2 in 2008, T14 in 2006 and a T4 in 2004. He has shown some good form so far this year with a win in New Orleans, T2 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He also showed good early season form with a T12 in Abu Dhabi and a T13 in Qatar.

Rose also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 33rd in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, ninth in approaches from 225-250 and second in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 35th in par 3 scoring, 11th in par 5 scoring and fifth in putts from 10-15 feet. With great previous form here and good current form, Rose could have his second victory of the season here in Ohio.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Chris Kirk 28/1

Kirk has been showing great form over the last couple of months since finishing T8 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players, which included two 68’s in R2 and R3. He shot a disappointing final round 75 to take him out of the running, but overall had a good week. Most recently, he had a super performance at Colonial winning The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting 68,69,65,66 on his way to a 12 under par total. He has played well here at Miurfield in the past finishing T4 last year and T25 in 2012.

Kirk ranks first in sand saves, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and 27th in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 10th in putts from 10-15 feet, 39th in par 3 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a top 5 here last year, Kirk could be another danger man here this week.

 

Bill Haas 33/1 The Memorial Tournament

Bill Haas 33/1

Bill Haas is another player showing some good form lately and has played well here in the past with two top 10’s in his last two appearances finishing T8 last year and T4 in 2013. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T7 at The WGC Cadillac, T12 at The Masters and a T4 at The Players, which included a 67 in R2 and a 68 in R3 to finish on 11 under in total.

Statswise, Bill ranks 44th in strokes gained tee to green, 16th in approaches from 225-250, third approaches from 50-125 and fifth in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks 25th in scrambling and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at the bigger events so far this season, Haas could have another good week here.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 The Memorial Tournament

Kevin Na 40/1

Kevin Na has been super consistent over the last couple of months recording five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last eight starts. He was leading after three rounds in Colonial a couple of weeks ago and shot a disappointing 72 in the final round to finish -9 for the tournament. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac, where he finished T9 and followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at Bay Hill, T20 in Texas, T12 at The Masters, T6 at The Players and a T10 at Colonial. Na was beaten by Matsuyama in a playoff last year and comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, he ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in sand saves, 12th in approaches from 100-125, eighth in par 3 scoring and 17th in par 4 scoring. After coming close to winning last year, Na comes here in great form and looks to be a big price this week.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 7/1 2 pts EW

Justin Rose 20/1 2 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Bill Haas 33/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Na 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

Par 72, 7,215 yards 

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with bermuda greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is no other player showing the form that Jordan Spieth is over the last few months. In his last six events, Spieth has wins at The Valspar and The Masters, two seconds at The Texas Open and a Houston Open, a respectable T11 at The RBC Heritage and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He played well last week but was knocked out by an in form Lee Westwood on Friday, which should work in his favour coming into this week.

Jordan played well here at TPC Sawgrass last year finishing T4 on ten under par with Justin Rose. He also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting and 18th in scrambling. Spieth also ranks 22nd in par 3 scoring, second in par 4 scoring and 32nd in par 5 scoring. Given the way he is playing recently, Jordan Spieth looks like a huge contender here.

 

Justin Rose 22/1 The Players Championship 2015

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose has come into some great form over the last few weeks. He had a great week at Augusta finishing T2 on 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a super performance at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans shooting a final round 66 to get the win and finish on 22 under par for the week. Justin has played well here in the past recording a personal best T4 last year and T22 in 2009.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, sixth in birdie average, second in approaches from 225-250 and eighth in approaches from 175-200, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. Rose also ranks 32nd in par 3 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring and could be another player to watch here given his current form.

 

Jim Furyk 25/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jim Furyk 25/1

It was great to see Jim Furyk finally get the job done in style shooting a final round 63 at The RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. I thought he was putted superbly and hit the ball extremely well all week. He also had a good week at The WGC Matchplay finishing fourth. Furyk was showing some good form early in the season with a T7 in Pebble Beach, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He has a great record around this course finishing second last year, T25 in 2012, T5 in 2009 and T27 in 2008.

Statswise he ranks fourth in driving accuracy, third in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 100 yards and fifth in approaches from 200 yards. Furyk also ranks 14th in scrambling, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form, Furyk looks to have his game in super shape coming into this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 33/1 The Players Championship

Jimmy Walker 33/1

Jimmy Walker has been playing well all season with two wins already under his belt, which came at The Sony Open back in January and The Texas Open at the end of March. He nearly made it winner number three at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, but was beaten in a playoff to Patrick Reed. Walker has played well at TPC Sawgrass over the last couple of years finishing T6 last year on nine under for the tournament and T15 in 2013 on six under.

Walker ranks 17th in driving distance, 15th in strokes gained tee to green, second in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring. After playing well here over the last couple of years, Walker looks to be going in the right direction.

 

JB Holmes 50/1 The Players Championship

J.B. Holmes 50/1

J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last eight tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 last week at The WGC Matchplay.

Holmes has played well here in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T13 in 2010 and T10 in 2008. J.B. ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in birdie average. With a good history on this course and great current form, J.B. looks like great value at 50/1.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 8/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Jim Furyk 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Jimmy Walker 33/1 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 50/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2015

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2015

TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA 

Par 72, 7,425 yards

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to TPC Louisiana this week, where Seung-yul Noh is the defending champion. TPC Louisiana has hosted this tournament since 2007, with this year being the ninth year in a row. It was also host in 2005, but got badly damaged in hurricane Katrina. This resulted in some changes being made to the course making it fractionally shorter than it used to be.

The course is a Pete Dye design par 72 measuring just over 7,400 yards. It features four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course sits along the Mississippi River and has five ponds and over 100 bunkers, which will all come into play. Unlike last week at The RBC Heritage, the greens here are quite big and can get fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are wide and pretty forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential, but hitting the greens in regulation will be important. The greens have a lot of undulations so landing the ball in the right part of the green will be important. This is a course that is ranked one of the easiest on The PGA Tour with the average score of the winner shooting between 15-20 under par on average over the last five years.

All types of players seem to play well at this venue. It’s worth looking at players with good GIR stats, approach stats, strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green. Par 4, par 3 and par 5 scoring are also worth looking at. Traditionally, there are a lot of birdies on offer at this tournament so birdie average could be another metric worth taking a look at.

 

Dustin Johnson 8/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Dustin Johnson 8/1

With five top 6 finishes in his last six starts including a win, Dustin Johnson looks to be in great form lately and is contending in almost every tournament he plays in. He had a great performance at The Masters firing 70,67,73,69 on his way to a T6 finish on nine under par for the tournament. He then had another T6 in Texas, which would’ve been a lot better if it weren’t for a poor opening round 78. He had his first victory of 2015 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, where he shot a superb final round 69 to clinch victory from J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson. Johnson also came close to winning The Northern Trust Open, but was beaten by James Hahn in a playoff.

He also looks to fit the bill here statswise ranking first in strokes gained tee to green, first in driving distance, fourth in birdie average and second in approaches from 200+, which is a good stat for the par 5’s. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. Johnson has the form and game to be a huge contender here this week.

 

Justin Rose 10/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Justin Rose 10/1

Justin Rose played superb at The Masters a couple of weeks ago and looked a serious contender throughout the whole week. He started with a 67 in round one and followed that with 70,67,70 to finish T2 and 14 under par for the tournament. His form has been mixed over the last few weeks with a T37 in Houston and missed cuts at The Valspar and The Honda Classic. He played well in the early part of the year in the Middle East recording two top 15 finishes. He had a good week in Abu Dhabi finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The Qatar Masters.

Rose has played well here in the past with three top 15’s in his last three appearances. He finished T8 last year, T15 in 2013 and T10 in 2012. Statswise Rose ranks 38th in GIR, 35th in birdie average, first in approaches from 75-100 and fifth in approaches from 200 yards. He also ranks 37th in par 5 scoring and 37th in par 3 birdie or better leaders. His game looked in superb shape at The Masters a couple of weeks ago and could be a big contender here given his previous record.

 

Sean O Hair 45/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Sean O’Hair 45/1

It’s been great to see Sean O’Hair back playing some great golf this season after having a tough couple of years on tour. He has had four top 30’s and two top 10’s so far this season and his game looks in great shape. Most recently, he played well last week at The RBC Heritage last week shooting a superb final round 64 to finish solo sixth. He had another great week at The Valspar shooting a final round 67 to get himself into a playoff with Jordan Speith and Patrick Reed. However, he was eventually beaten by Jordan Speith but he putted very well all week, which will be a big plus here at TPC Louisiana.

O’Hair ranks 34th in strokes gained putting, 33rd in birdie average, 28th in approaches from 225-250 and 13th in approaches from 75-100. He also ranks fifth in three putt avoidance, 13th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 4 birdie or better leaders. O’Hair has been knocking on the door of a win lately and it could very well come this week in New Orleans.

 

Morgan Hoffmann 50/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Morgan Hoffmann 50/1

Morgan Hoffmann has been showing some good form lately with two top 10’s in his last three starts. He played well last week at The RBC Heritage and showed some great consistency shooting 68,68,69,68 finishing T9 on 11 under for the tournament. He also played well at The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill finishing solo 4th on 15 under. Hoffmann had another good performance at The WGC Cadillac in Doral posting a respectable T17 finish.

He has played well here at TPC Louisiana in the past finishing T34 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 31st in driving distance, 32nd in strokes gained putting and 12th in approaches from 250-275. He also ranks second in three putt avoidance and 29th in par 5 scoring and comes here in much better form this year than he has in previous years.

 

Cameron Tringale 50/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Cameron Tringale 50/1

Despite missing the cut last week at The RBC Heritage, Cameron Tringale has been in good form over the last few weeks with a top five and a top 20 in his last five starts. He played well at The Valspar Championship a few weeks back finishing T17 on three under par for the tournament. He started very well shooting a 71, 69 in the first two rounds. He fell away a little bit after shooting a disappointing 73 in round 3, but fought back well firing a final round 68. Tringale also played well in Houston shooting 68,70,69,68 on his way to a 13 under par total and a T5 finish.

Tringale has played well here over the last few years finishing T17 last year, T7 in 2012, T18 in 2011 and T28 in 2010. Statswise, he is hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 25th in approaches from 250-275 and 13th in approaches from 50-125 yards, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s and par 4’s. With a good history here and good current form, this could be the place where Tringale has a great week at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 2pts EW 8/1

Justin Rose 2pts EW 10/1

Sean O’Hair 1pt EW 45/1

Morgan Hoffmann 1pt EW 50/1

Cameron Tringale 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2015

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida
Par 70, 7,140 yards

The Course
The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however, the greens here are quite small and tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. GIR will be a stat to take in consideration this week along with accurate long iron play. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling stats is another one to consider.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose 22/1
Rose has been playing well since the end of November finishing T2 at The DP World Championship in Dubai. He followed that with another good week at The Hero World Challenge in December finishing T6 on 11 under for the week. He started 2015 well on The European Tour with a couple of top 15’s finishing T12 at the Abu Dhabi Championship and T13 at The Qatar Masters.

Rose has a good record at this tournament with three top 5’s in his last three appearances. He finished T4 in 2013, T5 in 2012 and solo third in 2010. Last season, Rose ranked fourth in strokes gained tee to green, 41st in GIR, 14th in par 4 scoring and 31st in scrambling. His approach stats are also good, ranking third in approaches from 175-200 and second in approaches from 200-225. After taking the last couple of weeks off, Rose will be feeling fresh coming to a course he has played well on in the past.

Keegan Bradley 33/1

Keegan Bradley 25/1
Bradley played well last week in Riviera finishing T4 at The Northern Trust Open shooting a final round 68. He has been playing well since December and put in a solid performance at The Hero World Challenge finishing T3 on 15 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T48 at The Humana Challenge and a respectable T17 at The Phoenix Open. He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T12 last year, T4 in 2013 and T12 in 2012.

Statswise he seems to tick the boxes ranking 25th in driving distance, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 100-125. He also ranks 18th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. After a top 5 finish last week and good performances here in the past, Bradley is another player that could be one to watch here.

Graeme McDowell 33/1

Graeme McDowell 30/1
Gmac has been playing well over the last few months with three top 11’s in his last five starts on both the European and PGA Tour. He had a great week at The WGC HSBC Champions back in November finishing T3 on 10 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at The Hero World Challenge in December. Most recently, he had a good week at The Dubai Desert Classic finishing T9 on 14 under for the week, which included a 67 in round one and a 65 in round two.

McDowell has played well on the Champion Course before with three top 10’s in his last four appearances. He finished T9 in 2013, T9 again in 2012 and T6 in 2011. Last season, Gmac ranked 12th in driving accuracy, first in stroke gained putting and fifth in approaches from 150-175. He also ranked 39th in scrambling and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to 2015 and a good previous record on this course, McDowell could have another good week here.

Ryan Palmer 33/1

Ryan Palmer 33/1
After missing his first cut of the season at Pebble Beach a couple of weeks ago, Ryan Palmer could be a player to keep an eye on here. He started the season well with a T22 at The WGC HSBC Champions back on November. He followed that with a T17 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T10 at The Humana Challenge. Most recently, he played well at The Phoenix Open finishing T2, which included a 64 in round one. He has played well here before finishing T2 last year and T26 in 2012.

Palmer is another player that ticks all the boxes statswise, ranking fifth in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 21st in strokes gained putting. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and 17th in par 5 scoring. With two top 10’s in his last three starts, Palmer could have another good week after playing so well here last year.

Paul Casey 50/1

Paul Casey 40/1
Paul Casey had a great performance last week at The Northern Trust Open shooting a final round 68 to get himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn. He was knocked out of the playoff but finished P2 on six under par for the tournament. He had a respectable start to the PGA Tour season finishing T37 at The CIMB Classic and T30 recently at The Sony Open.

Casey has played this event on three previous occasions finishing T12 last year and T4 in 2010. Casey ranks 38th in strokes gained tee to green, 30th in strokes gained putting and eighth in birdie average. He also ranks second in approaches from 75-100, sixth in approaches from 150-175, sixth in putting average and fifth in par 5 performance. After a great performance last week in Riviera, Paul Casey could have another good performance on a course he has played well on before.

Final selections –
Justin Rose 1.5 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 1.5 pts EW
Graeme McDowell 1 pt EW
Ryan Palmer 1 pt EW
Paul Casey 1 pt EW
Total Staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
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The PGA Championship 2014 Betting Preview

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014

Valhalla Golf Club, Louisville, Kentucky
Par 71, 7,458 yards

The Course

The PGA Championship returns to Valhalla Golf Club for the third time. It was first played here in 1996 where Mark Brooks was the winner over Kenny Perry. Valhalla then played host again in 2000 where Tiger Woods went on to beat Bob May in a playoff. The Ryder Cup was also played here in 2008, which as the last time the US Team won the Ryder Cup.

This course is a lengthy 7,458 yards and features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. Length will be a big advantage here this week with three of the par 4’s measuring 495 yards or longer. Birdies will be found on the par 5’s with them measuring between 540 yards and 597 yards so quite a few players will be hitting these greens in two.

The fairways are quite generous with some doglegs, but accuracy will be a huge factor here so be on the lookout for guys that are good ball strikers and have good driving distance and accuracy stats. These large, undulating bentgrass greens are protected by large bunkers so GIR and scrambling will also be important.
The WGC Bridgestone has been played the week before The PGA since 2007 and has always been a good indicator of who could potentially go well. Players that have finished in the top 20 in firestone and have good current form are ones to keep an eye on.

Justin Rose pic 1

Justin Rose 22/1
Justin Rose had yet another top 10 last week in Firestone shooting 65,67,70,69 on his way to a T4. He is playing very steady golf at the moment and has two wins in his previous five starts. He played well at The Open Championship and finished in respectable T23rd.

He had another good week at The Scottish Open shooting a final round 65 to finish on 16 under par for the tournament. Rose also won the week before at The Quicken Loans at Congressional beating Shawn Stefani in a playoff. At The Players Championship he finished T4th and followed that with a respectable T12 at The US Open.
Statswise, he ranks 40th in GIR, 10th in scoring average, 21st in par breakers and 25th in par 4 performance. He also ranks 11th in GIR from 175-200 yards which will be a big help on these long par 4’s.

Rickie Fowler 25/1
Rickie Fowler has been a big performer this year, especially at the majors. He had a super week at The Masters in Augusta back in April finishing T5th for the week. Rickie also played very well at both the US Open at Pinehurst clinching a T2nd and at The Open Championship at Hoylake also finishing in T2nd. Last week at Firestone, he had another good performance shooting three 67’s and 72 to close with a T8th.

He ranks 35th in driving distance, 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders and 43rd in par 5 performance. He also ranks ninth in approaches from 125-150 yards and 16th in approaches from 225-250 yards which will help on these long par 5’s. Rickie has proven he loves the big occasions and could be a big danger man here at Valhalla this week.

Keegan Bradley 1

Keegan Bradley 33/1
After another steady performance last week finishing T4th at Firestone, Keegan Bradley looks like a player that would suit a course like Valhalla. He has put together good performances at Hoylake finishing T19th, and also played well the week before at The Greenbrier Classic shooting four rounds in the 60’s on nine under par to close with a T4th for the tournament.

At The US Open in Pinehurst, Bradley recorded yet another T4th to finish +1 for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, 24th in strokes gained putting, 14th in birdie average, 13th in par breakers and 15th in scrambling. He also ranks third in approaches from 200+ and sixth in GIR from 175-200, two stats that should help on some of the long par 4’s. Keegan is playing good golf at the moment and has the ball striking and distance to have yet another good week here.

Charl Schwartzel 40/1
After a final round 64 last week in Firestone, adding a third top 10 finish in his last five starts, Charl Schwartzel looks to be bang in form at the moment. After a great performance at the HP Byron Nelson back in May finishing just outside the top 10 in T11th, he then followed that with another solid week at The Memorial closing with a T8th. Charl had another good performance at The Open at Hoylake shooting a final round 67 to clinch T7th. At Firestone last week he played great golf all week shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4th.

Schwartzel ranks 31st in driving distance, ninth in birdie average, ninth in par breakers and second in birdie or better conversion percentage. He also ranks third in par 5 birdie or better leaders, 25th in scrambling and 11th in approaches from 200-225. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and comes here in great form.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 50/1
Leishman has had a great season so far, especially in the last few weeks recording four top 11’s in his last five starts. His good run began back at the Byron Nelson back in May shooting four rounds in the 60’s finishing T3rd. He then had a good week at The Travellers closing with a 67 to clinch a T11 and followed that with a T8th at The Quicken Loans at Congressional.

Leishman has had two very good weeks which began in Hoylake at The Open Championship finishing in T5th for the tournament on 12 under par for the week. At Firestone last week, he began his tournament with an impressive opening round 64 and ended up closing with a 67 and finshing solo third.

He also measures up here statswise ranking 30th in driving distance, 14th in scoring average, 39th in par breakers a 21st in par 3 performance. He also ranks 24th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 250-275, two good stats for these long par 4’ and par 5’s.

Jimmy Walker 50/1
With solid performances at the majors so far this year, Jimmy Walker could be a man to keep your eye on here at Valhalla this week. He has proven he can contend in majors with great performances at The Masters (T8), The US Open (T9) and a respectable T26 at The Open. Walker also played great golf at Sawgrass closing with a 65 to finish T6th.

In the last few weeks, he has continued to play well finishing T10th at The Crowne Plaza at Colonial and followed that with a good finish at The US Open. Walker had a decent performance last week at Firestone finishing in a respectable T26. He ranks 19th in driving distance, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 15 in par 4 performance, eighth in par 5 performance and seventh in total putting. One to watch here at a good price.

Final Selections:
Justin Rose 2 pts EW
Rickie Fowler 2 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 2 pts EW
Charl Schwartzel 2 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Jimmy Walker 1 pt EW
Places 1-6 (PaddyPower)

To Make/Miss the cut:
McDowell/Casey/Leishman to make the cut @ 2.1 – 2 pts treble (PaddyPower)
Total staked = 22 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,
DB