Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017 Bubba WatsonTPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is shorter than your average PGA Tour setup measuring 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways with four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 yards and will offer birdie opportunities along with the par 4 second, which measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field.

These greens are bentgrass and are smaller by tour standards so good, accurate Iron play will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win), Bubba Watson (3 top 10’s and two wins) and Kevin Streelman (a win and two top 10’s). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats here are good course history, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Justin Thomas Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

What a third round Justin had last week in Erin Hills. He carded an impressive nine birdies and an eagle to post a nine under 63. He has been in good form throughout the season with three wins and four top 10’s so far. He started off with a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with back to back wins at the SBS Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Most recently, Thomas has three top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T5 which included an impressive final round 61. He followed that with a T4 at Memorial and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Thomas has a good record here at TPC River Highlands finishing T30 in 2013 and a T3 last year. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 11th in driving distance, 19th in GIR, fourth in SG approaches to the green and 29th in SG putting. Thomas will be looking to bounce back with a big week here after a disappointing finish to the US Open.

 

Marc Leishman 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 30/1

The Aussie started well last week at the US Open shooting 68,72,72 in the first three rounds and looked to be putting well throughout the week. Leishman has been in fine form over the last couple of months and got his first win of the season in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T13 at the Byron Nelson, T15 at Memorial and a T27 last week in Erin Hills.

Leishman has a great record at this course with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013, T11 in 2014 and a T9 last year. He ranks 38th in driving distance, 32nd in SGP, 23rd in SG tee to green and 28th in bogey avoidance. After playing well at the US Open, the Aussie could be in for another good week on a course he knows well.

 

Brandt Snedeker Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 28/1

Sneds could be primed and ready for another good performance after playing well at the US Open last week where he finished T9. He didn’t shoot worse than a 71 throughout the tournament and looked to be putting particularly well with his signature pop stroke. The American has been playing solid since his T6 in Torrey Pines and has been relatively consistent since. He followed that with a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship, T27 at The Masters, T11 at the RBC Heritage and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Snedeker has played here twice over the last three years finishing T11 in 2014 and a T10 in 2015. Sneds has gone low around this course a couple of times shooting a 63 in round three in 2015 and an impressive 64 in round four in 2014. Statswise he ranks 19th in SG putting, 14th in birdie average and second in par 3 scoring.

 

Brendan Steele 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 30/1

Brendan Steele is a real horse for the course here at TPC River Highlands and arrives in pretty decent form. He started the season off with a win at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in Kapalua and a T6 at the CarrerBuilder Challenge. Most recently, Steele played well at the Masters finishing in a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship and a T13 last week at the US Open.

Steele is another player with a decent record here finishing T13 in 2011, T13 in 2013, T5 in 2014, T25 in 2015 and a T17 last year. Brendan has gone low around here over the last few years shooting 62 in round one in 2014, a 66 in the final round in 2013 and a 64 in the final round last year. With a great record here and good current form, Steele looks a good shout here.

 

Final selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Marc Leishman 30/1 0.5pts EW 

Brandt Snedeker 28/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 30/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017

SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii  

Par 73, 7,452 yards  

The Course  

Happy New Year to you all it’s great to be back. We kick off 2017 with The SBS Tournament of Champions (Formerly The Hyundai Tournament of Champions) which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth checking.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Jordan Spieth (2016), Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Jordan Spieth 11/2 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 5/1 

Spieth has been in decent form coming into this event winning in Australia in his last official start beating Ashley Hall and Cameron Smith in a dramatic playoff. The young American played well in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays, solo ninth at The BMW and T17 at The Tour Championship. He then went on to play on the winning US Ryder Cup Team winning a total of two and half point out of four.

Spieth was superb here last year winning the tournament by eight strokes in total over his nearest challenger Patrick Reed. He didn’t shoot worse than a 67 last year in Kapalua finishing on a total of 30 under par for the tournament which is one stroke shy of the 31 under par record held by South African Ernie Els. He has a good record here with an impressive win last year and a second place finish in 2014. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 24th in SG Around the green, second in SGP and ninth in scrambling. If he gets the putter rolling he will certainly be one to watch here.

 

Patrick Reed 11/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 11/1

Reed had a great finish to the season with a win and four top 15 finishes from the last seven tournaments. He finished T11 at the Travelers and followed that with another T11 in Rio and a respectable T22 at The Wyndham. He then had a win at The Barclays and followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank. Reed also had a superb Ryder Cup for team USA winning a total of three and a half points out of five. He didn’t have the best start to the new season finishing outside the top 50 at The CIMB and WGC in China but he did bounce back with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas.

He has a super record on this course finishing T16 in 2014, win in 2015 and a second place finish last year. The American is averaging a 67 in his last eight rounds here so he clearly likes this course. Reed has a superb short game and if he can make a few putts early he could be right in the mix.

 

Justin Thomas SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

Thomas is another player that seems to be bang in form at the moment and had a good finish to the regular season back in October. He finished T10 at The Barclays and T6 at The Tour Championship shooting 69,67 over the weekend. He started the 2017 season off in style with a T8 at The Safeway Open, a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia, T23 at The WGC HSBC and a T5 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Smylie Kaufman. Thomas has only played Kapalua once before finishing T21 last year. He started 70, 73 in the first two rounds but bounced back with a pair of 69’s over the weekend to finish 11 under in total.

Statswise Thomas ranks eighth in SG Approach to the green, 28th in SGP, 20th in SGTTG and first in par 4 scoring. Thomas looks bang in form and could be another player worth backing this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds always seems to play well this time of year and looks to be in great shape coming to Hawaii this week. He won the Fiji International at the start of October beating his nearest challenger, New Zealander Michael Hendry by and impressive nine strokes to take the title on 16 under for the tournament. He then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas in the Hero World Challenge and he had another solid week with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par, eight strokes behind the winners Matt Kuchar and Harris English.

Snedeker has a great record here in Kapalua finishing 10th here in 2008, third in 2013, 11th in 2014 and third last year. He is putting very well lately ranking 15th in strokes gained putting, sixth in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. 18/1 seems quite generous for a player bang in form with a great record here.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 5/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 11/1 1pt EW

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

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CIMB Classic Betting Preview  2016

CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia 

Par 72, 7,005 yards  

The Course 

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the fourth time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on The European Tour for the last six years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Previous winners include Justin Thomas (2015) and Ryan Moore (2014 & 2013).

The course is a par 71 measuring a short 6,985 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather can make this course quite soft this time of year so expect the greens to be quite receptive.

 

Justin Thomas CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 14/1 

Thomas had a good week in Silverado finishing T8 at The Safeway Classic which would have been a lot better if he made a few more putts. He had a good 15/16 season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He won The CIMB Classic here last year which included a second round 61 and a final round 66 to post 26 under par for the tournament. He clearly likes this course and could have another good week here.

 

Ryan Moore 14/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Moore 14/1 

Moore had a great week in Hazeltine winning two points from three for his US team. He beat Willett and Westwood 1 up with partner J.B. Holmes in the Saturday Fourballs and followed that with a stunning singles win over Lee Westwood on the Sunday and putted well throughout the week. He was playing well before the Ryder Cup with a win at The John Deere, T7 at The Barclays, T8 at The Deautsche Bank and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship.

He has a superb record in KL with two wins and a T10 in his last three starts here. Statswise he ranks 32nd in SG Putting, 29th in SG around the green and 14th in par 4 scoring. After taking a break after the Ryder Cup I expect Moore to have another good week here on a course that suits him.

 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016After taking a break since the Tour Championship Kevin Chappell will be fresh coming into this week and could be a player to keep on side. He had a good finish to the season with a T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T8 at The Deutsche Bank which included a second round 64 and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish second.

He has played well here in the past finishing 29th last year, 13th in 2014 and T25 in 2013. Statswise he ranks ninth in SG approach to the green and 13th in SGTTG which are two good stats for this course. If he putts well he could have a great chance to go well this week.

 

Scott Piercy 40/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 40/1 

After opening round of 62 last week in Silverado, Piercy started in style and held the 18 and 36 hole lead going into the weekend. He fell away slightly over the weekend shooting rounds of 73, 70 which could have been down to the regular weather disruptions but ended up finishing T3 on 16 under. He had some great finishes last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

Piercy played superb here last year opening with a 62 in round one and followed that with three 69’s to finish T7 for the tournament. Last week he hit just under 80% of GIR and ranked seventh in SGTTG and 26th in SG Putting. If he takes that form to Malaysia this week he could have a great chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Ryan Moore 14/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 28/1 0.5 pts EW

Scott Piercy 40/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016

Tiger Woods Safeway open 2016North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California 

Par 72 7,203 yards

We’re hopefully going to see the return of a certain Mr Woods this week and I for one think it’s great to have him back playing competitively again. The word on social media is that Tiger seems to be hitting the ball well in practice and is in tip top shape coming into this week. He is paired with Phil Mickelson for the first two rounds so it should make for some very interesting viewing.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

This will be the third time this course has hosted the tournament and judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Paul Casey 12/1

Casey has to get a nod here based on the fact that he played superb throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. His good run of form began at the PGA Championship where he finished T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The Travelers, second at The Deutsche Bank, second at The BMW and a solo fourth at The Tour Championship. Casey has shot a 70 or better in 11 of his last 12 rounds and could have the game that suits this course.

This is his first appearance here at Silverado but statistically he seem to fit the bill. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee, 11th in SG approaches to the green, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. After playing solidly throughout the playoffs Casey could be the man to beat here especially in a weakened field.

 

Emiliano Grillo Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 20/1 

This man started with a bang last year and won this tournament in style beating Kevin Na on the second playoff hole. He has been playing some great golf over the last few months and comes into this with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the PGA finishing T13 and followed that with a T8 in Rio at The Olympics, T2 at The Barclays and a respectable T10 in East Lake at The Tour Championship.

He played superb last year and shot 68,71,65,69 to post 15 under in total. Grillo also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 28th in SG off the tee, 27th in GIR and 26th in birdie average. He comes here in great form and could have another good week.

 

Justin Thomas Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 25/1 

Thomas came within a whisker of getting into the playoff with Grillo and Na last year but just came up one short. He had a good season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He played great here last year finishing T3 and was a bit unlucky not to finish better and make the playoff. Thomas is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in par 5 scoring and 20th in SG approaches to the green.

 

Jhonattan Vegas 50/1 

The streaky Johnny Vegas had a good season and has been playing well since early July. After a T4 at the Barbasol, Vegas then went on to win the RBC Canadian Open after shooting a superb final round 64 to finish 12 under in total beating Dustin Johnson, Martin Laird and Jon Rahm by one stroke. He followed that with a T22 at The PGA, T22 at The Barclays, T24 at The BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. Vegas had a great week here last year opening with a 64 in round one and ended up finishing T10 on 11 under for the tournament.

He ranks 23rd in SG off the tee, 14th in driving distance, 10th in GIR and 24th in par 5 scoring. After a solid performance here last year and decent form towards the end of last season, Vegas is worth chancing here.

 

Final Selections – 

Paul Casey 1pt EW 12/1 

Emiliano Grillo 0.5pts EW 20/1 

Justin Thomas 0.5pts EW 25/1 

Jhonattan Vegas 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii  

Par 70, 7,044 yards 

The Course 

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the Sony Open. Previous winners include Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jimmy Walker 14/1 Sony Open 2016

Jimmy Walker  14/1

Walker hasn’t been firing on all cylinders in his last couple of tournaments but he seems to be coming back showing some form just in time for The Sony. He started2015/2016 campaign off with a T50 at the Shriners shooting 66,67,69 and then played poorly in the final round shooting a disappointing 78. He followed that with a respectable T8 at The Hero World Challenge to finish 17 under for the week. Last week at The Hyundai he finished in an impressive T10 on 15 under for the week which included a very impressive third round 64.

He has a great record at Waialae winning this event the last two years in a row. He also finished T26 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011. With good previous form on this course and two decent performances over the last few weeks, Jimmy Walker looks a good shout here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Justin Thomas 30/1

Thomas has been playing well since the end of last season finishing T13 at The BMW, T16 at The Barclays and T18 at The PGA Championship. He started the new season in style only finishing outside the top 30 once in his last five events. He had a great week at The Frys.com Open finishing T3 on 14 under par for the week and followed that with a superb performance at The CIMB Classic beating Kevin Na in a playoff to secure his first PGA Tour victory.

Most recently he finished in a respectable T27 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T21 last week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has only played here once before which was last year when he finished T6 on 12 under par for the tournament which included a superb second round 61. With a great start to the season and a good performance last year, Thomas could be a huge contender here.

 

Harris English 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Harris English 30/1

English has been coming back into some form over the last few months and ended the 2014/2015 season with a T22 at The Tour Championship, T19 at The BMW and T12 at The Deutsche Bank. The American has been showing some good form recently with three top 25’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The WGC HSBC Champions finishing in a respectable T23 and followed that with a T25 at The RSM Classic and a T2 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

He is another player with a superb record in Waialae finishing T3 last year where he lead par 4 scoring and hit the ball beautifully off the tee, T4 in 2014 and T9 in 2013. He leads strokes gained putting so far this season which will be a big help here this week on these small Bermuda greens.

 

Marc Leishman 35/1 Sony Open 2016

Marc Leishman 35/1

Leishman started the new season off with a T29 at The CIMB Classic which included a final round 66 to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions shooting 65,68 over the weekend to finish 14 under par for the tournament. The Aussie then went to South Africa in early December and played superb all week shooting 68,68,66,67 to win the Nedbank Challenge on 19 under, six shots clear of runner up Henrik Stenson.

He has great form at Waialae finishing T5 in 2014, T9 in 2013, T27 in 2011 and T20 in 2010. Leishman has shown that he is a good wind player with a brilliant performance at The Open Championship losing to Zach Johnson in a playoff. He seems to be showing some super form at present and looks great value here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Chris Kirk 45/1 Sony Open 2016

Chris Kirk 45/1

Chris Kirk has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 25’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The RSM Classic finishing T18 on nine under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge and finished T24th last week in Kapalua where he was fifth in GIR and 12th in Driving Accuracy which are two encouraging stats coming into this week.

He has a superb record around this course finishing T26 last year, T2 in 2014, T5 in 2013 and T30 in 2011. Kirk is a real horse for the course here and could have a great each way chance this week especially with good current form.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 14/1 2pts EW

Justin Thomas 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Harris English 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Marc Leishman 35/1 1 pt EW

Chris Kirk 45/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wells Fargo Championship 2015 betting preview and tips

The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

 

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011), Rory McIlroy (2010) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways, which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Phil Mickelson 25/1

With seven top 10’s in 11 appearances, Phil Mickelson is a typical horse for the course here at Quail Hollow. He is having a mediocre season so far and seems to be coming into some good form at the right time. He had a good week at The Shell Houston Open finishing T17 for the week. He started well shooting an opening round 66 in round one, 67 in round two and had a poor round of 75 in round three, which took him out of contention. He had a superb week at The Masters shooting 70,68,67,69 to finish T2 on 14 under par for the tournament.

In his last 11 appearances here, Phil has finished T11 in 2014, solo 3rd in 2013, T26 in 2012, T9 in 2011, solo 2nd in 2010, T5 in 2009, T12 in 2008, 3rd in 2007, T35 in 2006, T7 in 2005 and T5 in 2004. Statswise he ranks 32nd in driving distance, sixth in birdie average, eighth in par 5 scoring and sixth in approaches from 175-200 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With such a great record here and a recent top 5 at The Masters, Phil looks great value at 25/1.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Bill Haas 28/1

After a solid performance last week at The Players finishing T4, Bill Haas looks in great form coming into this event. He has five top 20’s in his last eight starts including two top 10’s. After winning the Humana Challenge back in January, Haas followed that with a T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T7 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, T12 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T4 last week in Sawgrass.

Haas has two top 5’s here in the last few years finishing T4 in 2011 and T4 again in 2006. Statswise he ranks 28th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking 19th in approaches from 250-275, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and third in approaches from 50-125, which are good for attacking the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

 J.B. Holmes 33/1

Despite a poor performance last week at The Players, J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last nine tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

He has played well in Quail Hollow before with a win here last year, T9 in 2011 and a T17 in 2008. He ranks sixth in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in birdie average and 29th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking ninth in approaches from 50-125 and third in approaches from 75-100, which are two good stats for attacking the par 4’s.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

After losing in yet another playoff to Rickie Fowler last week at The Players, Kevin Kisner looks to be in fine form over the last few weeks and has the looks of a player that will win any day now. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the par 3 17th, which was the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish.

Kisner played well here last year finishing T6 on nine under for the tournament. Kisner isn’t the biggest hitter on tour averaging 286 off the tee but ranks 36th in driving accuracy. He also ranks 19th in scrambling, fourth in three putt avoidance, 43rd in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. With a great current run of form and a good performance here last year, Kisner could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 40/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Justin Thomas 40/1

Despite a disappointing 75 in the final round last week in Sawgrass, Justin Thomas had a great week finishing in a respectable T24 on five under. He has been playing well all season and has recorded nine top 25’s including four top 10’s so far this year. His good run of form began back at The Sanderson Farms Championship last November, where he finished T4. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic, T6 at The Sony, T7 at The Humana and a T17 at The Phoenix Open.

Most recently, he finished T10 at The Valspar, T11 at The RBC Heritage, T12 in New Orleans and T24 in Sawgrass. Thomas ranks 18th in driving distance averaging 300 yards off the tee, eighth in birdie average, 14th in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 5 scoring and eighth in birdie or better conversion percentage. With great current form, Justin Thomas is another player to keep an eye on this week.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 25/1 2pts EW

Bill Haas 28/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Kisner 33/1 1 pt EW

Justin Thomas 40/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 15 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2015

Farmers Insurance Open 2015

The Course:
Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,643 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72
This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,643 Yards, par 72
The South Course is played in the final two rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens, so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

Jason Day edited pic 1

Jason Day 14/1
Jason Day started his season very well finishing T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions in Kapalua a couple of weeks ago. He had a mixed bag of form shooting an opening round 70 and followed that with a 69 in round 2 and 71 in round 3. He began a late charge in the final round shooting a superb 62 finishing on -20, just one stroke behind the winner Patrick Reed.

He followed that with a respectable T17 at The Sony finishing on 10 under in total. After an injury stricken 2014, he started showing some signs of good form in December and went on to win The Franklin Templeton Shootout with Cameron Tringale. He also had a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing solo 5th on 14 under par, which included an impressive final round 66.

After a win at The World Cup of Golf and The Accenture World Matchplay, Day also performed well in the last of the FedExCup playoffs at the end of October finishing T2 at The Barclays, T7 at The Deutsche Bank and T4 at The Tour Championship at East Lake. In his last two appearances here at Torrey Pines, Day finished T2 last year and T15 in 2013.

Statswise, Day ranks 28th in driving distance, first in GIR and birdie average and first in putting average. He also ranks first in par 4 scoring and 15th in par 3 scoring, which are two stats that will certainly be favorable on these courses.

Brandt Snedeker pic 1

Brandt Snedeker 25/1
After a good performance last week in Phoenix finishing T10 on 10 under par, Snedeker will be feeling confident coming back to a course where he has played so well on in the past. He comes here in good form with three top 10’s in his last four competitive starts. He started the season with a T57 at The Frys.com and followed that with a T10 at The Shriners Open and another T10 at The WGC HSBC Champions.

Sneds has a great record at this event with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts in this tournament. He finished T3 in 2013, won in 2012, T9 in 2011 and T2 in 2010, so it’s fair to say he is a horse for the course. He is also a bit of a poa annua specialist and seems to putt very well on this grass type. This is further proven with his previous win here at Torrey Pines, Pebble Beach and Glen Abbey, which was the venue for the 2013 RBC Canadian Open.

Sneds found a solid putting stroke last week last week in Phoenix and will take that forward into this week. With three top 10’s in his last four starts, Snedeker could be one to watch here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 40/1
Leishman had a good end to 2014 with a solo ninth place finish at the WGC HSBC Champions in November. He followed that with a respectable T37 at The Sony Open in Hawaii, finishing on seven under for the tournament.

He is another player that has a good record here over the years with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He finished T2 last year to the eventual winner Scott Stallings, T9 in 2011 and second once again to the winner Ben Crane in 2010.

Leishman has the length to power his way around this golf course hitting the ball an average of 300 yards off the tee ranking 27th in driving distance. He also ranks 20th in strokes gained putting, 21st in total putting and third in approaches from 150-175, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 4’s. With a good finish to 2014 and a good history on this course, Leishman could go well here at a good price.

Justin Thomas pic 1 edited

Justin Thomas 35/1
Justin Thomas is a player I have been keeping an eye on over the last few weeks and looks to be playing with a lot of consistency. He hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last five events, which included three top 10’s. His run of good form began back in November at The Sanderson Farms where he finished T4 on 13 under par for the week. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic and a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii. He played very well at The Humana Challenge finishing T7 on 20 under par, which included a second round 63. Most recently, he had another good week in Phoenix finishing in a respectable T17 on eight under par.

Thomas played very well in this event last year finishing T10 on six under par for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 16th in driving distance, 34th in strokes gained tee to green, 13th in birdie average and seventh in putting average. He also ranks fourth in par 4 scoring and 11th in birdie or better conversion percentage. He comes here this year in much better form than he was last year and should have a good week considering his current form.

First Round Leader – North Course

Brandt Snedeker 20/1
As I said above, Snedeker has a great record around this course and has shot no worse than 71 in five of his last six opening rounds. He opened with a 65 in 2013, a 67 in 2012 and a 70 in 2011. He has also shot an impressive 64 in round 2 in 2012, so he knows how to go low around Torrey Pines.
In his last five starts on the PGA Tour, he has shot no worse than a 71. He started strongly at The Shriners Open shooting an opening 67 and went on to open with a 69 at The WGC HSBC Champions. He also started well last week in Phoenix shooting a 70 in round 1. With Snedeker’s previous form here and experience with these poa annua greens, he could potentially go low in round 1.

Final Selections –
Jason Day 14/1 1.5 pts EW
Brandt Snedeker 25/1 1 .5 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Justin Thomas 35/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader –
Brandt Snedeker 28/1 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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