AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am Betting Preview 2018Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California  

The Courses:  

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards 

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,953 yards 

Monterey Peninsula – Par 71, 6,867 yards 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 71 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s. 

Pebble Beach is widely known and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has a lot of history to it playing host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens, not to mention the windy weather this time of year. 

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its narrow, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favor especially if the wind gets up. 

Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 and is usually the easiest of the three courses but the greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here. 

Judging by previous history good putters (especially on poa annua), good scrambling and hitting plenty of greens have been the ingredients to victory in this event.  

The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favor the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus.  

 

Jason Day 10/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Jason Day 10/1  

After winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, Jason Day looks in great shape coming to Pebble this week. He has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months with five top 11’s and a win in his last eight competitive starts.  

Day finished in a respectable T9 at the PGA Championship back in August followed by a T6 at the Northern Trust Open in Glen Oaks shooting a 69 or better in three of his four rounds. The Aussie then travelled to the BMW Championship in Conway Farms finishing solo fourth which included an opening 64 and a second round 65.  

He started the new season off at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing T11 and followed that with another T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. Day then made his way to Torrey Pines and played solid throughout the week shooting rounds of 73,64,71,70 to post 10 under for the tournament and ended up beating Swede Alex Noren in a playoff on Monday morning.  

He has played well here in the past with four top 11 finishes in his last five starts with form figures 5,11,4,MC,6 since 2013.  

Statswise Day ranks third in driving distance, 27th in GIR, 25th in SGP, sixth in SG of the tee and second in par 4 scoring. After winning on the poa annua greens of Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago along with his excellent record here, Day looks a good shout here at 10’s.  

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 33/1 

Patrick Reed looks to be trending in the right direction lately and could be a player to keep on side this week.  

Reed has been in decent shape over the last few months with two top 11’s and two top 25’s in his last seven starts. He played well at the CJ Cup finishing T11 followed by a decent T5 at the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas back in December.  

After missing the cut at the CareerBuilder Challenge, he bounced back with a T23 in Torrey Pines posting three under for the tournament and followed that with a top 20 last week in Phoenix shooting rounds of 71,66,69,67 to finish T17, so he looks to be going in the right direction form wise.  

Reed has some great memories of Pebble over the last few years with three top 15’s and two top 30’s in five appearances showing form figures 23,6,29,13,7 since 2013.  

The Texan has shown some great form on windy setups over the last few years with a win and two top 10’s in Kapalua, top 20’s at the Open Championship the last three years and a couple of top 10’s at Copperhead in Florida (home of the Valspar Championship) which boasts smaller than average greens by PGA Tour standards, just like Pebble.   

He ranks 31st in SGP, 27th in SGTTG and seventh in SG around the green. With a good mix of current/previous form here Reed looks decent value.   

 

Pat Perez 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Pat Perez 35/1  

Since winning the CIMB Classic back in October, Pat Perez has continued his good form with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts.  

Following his impressive four shot victory over Keegan Bradley at the CIMB with rounds of 66,65,64,69, Perez then travelled to Korea for the CJ Cup finishing T5 which included an opening 69 and a final round 68. He then played in the WGC-HSBC Champions in China posting a respectable T24 which included a pair of 69’s.  

Perez had another solid week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in windy Kapalua where he shot rounds of 72,66,71,69 finishing T4 on 14 under par in total.  

He has a good record here with three top 15’s in his last four starts finishing T14 last year, T4 in 2015 and T7 in 2014.  

Statswise the Californian ticks all the boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fifth in GIR, fifth in SG putting and 16th in both par 3 and par 4 scoring.  

It’s worth mentioning that Perez has a good record on tricky windy courses with top 10’s in Waialae (Sony open) and Torrey Pines (Farmers Insurance Open) over the last four years and is generally a strong west coast performer. With great current form so far this season and I expect him to have a decent week especially with his record here.  

 

Chesson Hadley 45/1  Chesson Hadley AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

I like the look of the in-form Chesson Hadley on a course he has expressed his liking for in the past. Hadley has been playing well over the last couple of months with four top 5’s and a top 25 in his last eight starts.  

He began the season in style with a T3 at the Safeway Open, a solo second at the Sanderson Farms which included four rounds of 70 or better and a T4 at the Shriners Open in Vegas, which included a 65,68,69 over the weekend to post eight under par for the tournament.  

Hadley then went off the boil a bit with a couple of mediocre results but bounced back well with a T23 in Torrey Pines firing rounds of 71,72,71,71 showing some great consistency.  

Last week in Phoenix he cracked the top 10 shooting an opening 66 followed by three 68’s to finish T5 on 14 under. 

He has played well on this course before with back to back T10’s in 2014 and 2015. I had a look at some quotes from the Fantasy Golfanac and came across this gem from the man himself –  

Chesson Hadley – “It’s just an awesome old school golf course [Monterey Peninsula’s Shore Course]. The greens are really old poa annua and the course is, it kind of has, almost has a slight links feel to it. Pebble Beach is my favourite, that’s my favourite course ever, but this course is in awesome shape and like I said, the weather is, this is as good as it gets in golf.” 

Hadley ticks some key statistical boxes here ranking 37th in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 37th in SG putting, first in par 3 scoring, 38th in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring.  

 

Final selections – PP Paying 7 places on 1/5 odds

Jason Day 1pt EW 10/1  

Pat Perez 1pt EW 35/1  

Patrick Reed 0.5pts EW 33/1  

Chesson Hadley 0.5pts EW 45/1  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf. 

Doublebogey6 

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SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017

SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii  

Par 73, 7,452 yards  

The Course  

Happy New Year to you all it’s great to be back. We kick off 2017 with The SBS Tournament of Champions (Formerly The Hyundai Tournament of Champions) which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth checking.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Jordan Spieth (2016), Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Jordan Spieth 11/2 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 5/1 

Spieth has been in decent form coming into this event winning in Australia in his last official start beating Ashley Hall and Cameron Smith in a dramatic playoff. The young American played well in the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays, solo ninth at The BMW and T17 at The Tour Championship. He then went on to play on the winning US Ryder Cup Team winning a total of two and half point out of four.

Spieth was superb here last year winning the tournament by eight strokes in total over his nearest challenger Patrick Reed. He didn’t shoot worse than a 67 last year in Kapalua finishing on a total of 30 under par for the tournament which is one stroke shy of the 31 under par record held by South African Ernie Els. He has a good record here with an impressive win last year and a second place finish in 2014. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 24th in SG Around the green, second in SGP and ninth in scrambling. If he gets the putter rolling he will certainly be one to watch here.

 

Patrick Reed 11/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 11/1

Reed had a great finish to the season with a win and four top 15 finishes from the last seven tournaments. He finished T11 at the Travelers and followed that with another T11 in Rio and a respectable T22 at The Wyndham. He then had a win at The Barclays and followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank. Reed also had a superb Ryder Cup for team USA winning a total of three and a half points out of five. He didn’t have the best start to the new season finishing outside the top 50 at The CIMB and WGC in China but he did bounce back with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas.

He has a super record on this course finishing T16 in 2014, win in 2015 and a second place finish last year. The American is averaging a 67 in his last eight rounds here so he clearly likes this course. Reed has a superb short game and if he can make a few putts early he could be right in the mix.

 

Justin Thomas SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

Thomas is another player that seems to be bang in form at the moment and had a good finish to the regular season back in October. He finished T10 at The Barclays and T6 at The Tour Championship shooting 69,67 over the weekend. He started the 2017 season off in style with a T8 at The Safeway Open, a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia, T23 at The WGC HSBC and a T5 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Smylie Kaufman. Thomas has only played Kapalua once before finishing T21 last year. He started 70, 73 in the first two rounds but bounced back with a pair of 69’s over the weekend to finish 11 under in total.

Statswise Thomas ranks eighth in SG Approach to the green, 28th in SGP, 20th in SGTTG and first in par 4 scoring. Thomas looks bang in form and could be another player worth backing this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 SBS Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds always seems to play well this time of year and looks to be in great shape coming to Hawaii this week. He won the Fiji International at the start of October beating his nearest challenger, New Zealander Michael Hendry by and impressive nine strokes to take the title on 16 under for the tournament. He then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas in the Hero World Challenge and he had another solid week with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par, eight strokes behind the winners Matt Kuchar and Harris English.

Snedeker has a great record here in Kapalua finishing 10th here in 2008, third in 2013, 11th in 2014 and third last year. He is putting very well lately ranking 15th in strokes gained putting, sixth in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. 18/1 seems quite generous for a player bang in form with a great record here.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 5/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 11/1 1pt EW

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii 

Par 73, 7,452 yards 

The Course 

Happy New Year everyone it’s great to be back. We kick off 2016 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth a look.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Patrick Reed 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Patrick Reed 10/1

The American played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting rounds of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team in Korea. He had a good end to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has a good record here at Kapalua with a win last year and a T16 in 2014. Statswise he is hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee and ranks fourth in GIR. If he brings that good form into this week in Hawaii he will be a huge contender and looks like he’s right on the cusp of a win any day now.

 

Bubba Watson 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Bubba Watson 10/1

Bubba has been playing solid golf over the last few weeks finishing T15 at The Thailand Golf Championships and a win at The Hero World Challenge in his last two starts. He had a great season in 2015 and finished strongly with three top 10’s in his last four FedExCup Playoff events. He had a great week at The Barclays shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish 11 under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Watson was also part of the winning US Presidents Cup Team in Korea.

He has played well here on this course in the past finishing T10 last year, T4 in 2013 and T18 in 2012. Last season he ranked second in driving distance, first in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in GIR. Watson is another player coming into this week showing fantastic current form and should go well on a course that should suit his length.

 

Kevin Kisner 18/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Kevin Kisner 18/1

Kisner has had a great season so far and started with a respectable T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 65. Kisner then had a superb week in elite company at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai where he finished solo second. The American started 64,66 and followed that with two 70’s to finish 18 under par for the tournament. At The RSM Classic he played superbly well all week shooting 65,67,64,64 to finish 22 under par for the week and record his first PGA Tour victory.

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes for this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in SGP and 11th in par 4 scoring. He has proven to be a good wind player and has played well on seaside setups in the past. He came close to his first PGA Tour victory at Hilton Head where he lost the second playoff hole to Jim Furyk at The RBC Heritage. With superb current form, Kisner could go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Graeme McDowell 25/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Graeme McDowell 25/1

Over the last few weeks we have seen Gmac coming back and showing some great form. He came back with a bang at The OHL Classic in Mexico beating Jason Bohn in a playoff. He played a magnificent five iron into four feet on the first playoff hole and drained the putt for a tournament winning birdie. He then followed that with a solo third at The RSM Classic showing some superb consistency shooting 67,68,65,67 to finish 15 under for the week. He was then paired up with Gary Woodland in The Franklin Templeton Shootout and finished T6.

So far this season he ranks eighth in driving accuracy, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. McDowell has played only once here before finishing third in 2011. He tends to relish seaside courses and could be in his element if the wind blows.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 10/1 2pts EW

Bubba Watson 10/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Graeme McDowell 25/1 1.5 pts EW

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2015

HTOC 2015 pic 1

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Hawaii
Par 73, 7,452 yards

The Course

Happy New Year! Let’s hope 2015 is a happy and profitable one! We kick off 2015 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which starts this Friday. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a field of only 34.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite forgiving with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens, which have some undulations. Good putters have done well here with the likes of Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR.

With the weather set to be calm and sunny with moderate winds, the scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

billy-horschel-pga-tour_r640

Billy Horchel 20/1
Billy had a superb end to last season finishing runner up in The Deutsche Bank, and then going on to win both The BMW Championship and The Tour Championship, taking home The FedExCup crown and a tasty 10 million bucks!

He had a good week at Tiger’s event recently, The Hero World Challenge finishing T8 shooting rounds of 73,72,67,67 on nine under par for the tournament. He also showed good signs the following week at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing T3 with Ian Poulter. Billy also played well here last year shooting rounds of 72,72,68,66 on his way to a respectable T6 finish.

Horchel ranks sixth in driving distance so far this season averaging an impressive 312 yards off the tee. Last season, he ranked fourth in GIR, 23rd in driving accuracy, 15th in par 5 scoring and second in putts from 5-10 feet. He is clearly showing some good form and could be one to watch here this week.

Jason Day 1

Jason Day 15/2
After an injury stricken 2014, Jason Day will be looking to start 2015 off with a bang finishing 2014 off with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with Cameron Tringale. He also has a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing solo 5th on 14 under par, which included an impressive final round 66.

After a win at The World Cup of Golf and The Accenture World Matchplay, Day also performed well in the last of the FedExCup playoffs at the end of October finishing T2 at The Barclays, T7 at The Deutsche Bank and T4 at The Tour Championship at East Lake. His last visit to Kapalua was in 2011 when he shot rounds of 73,66,69, 70 on his way to a T9th finish.

Last season, Day ranked 18th in driving distance, 20th in strokes gained putting, 29th in par 4 performance and first in putting from five feet. After two good performances in December, it appears Jason Day is back to full strength and could be a huge contender here.

Patrick Reed pic 2

Patrick Reed 22/1
Patrick Reed had a good start to the season with a respectable T26 at The CIMB Classic back in November. He then followed that with a T22 at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai.

Most recently, Reed played well at The Hero World Challenge in Florida finishing T3, where he shot a 63 in round two and had another good performance the following week at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing T10 with partner Brandt Snedeker.

Reed played this event last year and carding rounds of 70, 72,67,73 on his way to a respectable T16, which is not bad for his first visit. He hasn’t missed a cut since The Open Championship last July and is becoming a very solid performer in big events. At 22/1 he seems to be good value for a player that has shown good recent form over the Christmas period.

First Round Leader Bets-

141st Open Championship - Round Three

Matt Kuchar 14/1
Kuchar has a good record at this event with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He finished T6 last year, T9 in 2013, T6 in 2011 and solo 3rd in 2010. He started well in three of his last four appearances shooting an opening round 68 last year, 69 in 2011 and a 67 in 2010. Kuch also started well recently at The Hero World Challenge shooting an opening round 69 and has been as steady as they come in terms of consistency.

Ryan Moore pic 2

Ryan Moore 22/1
Moore is another player that has a good record around Kapalua finishing solo 10th last year and T6 in 2010. He has started strongly in two of his last three appearances shooting an opening round 67 last year and a 69 in 2010. Moore in another steady player and had a great start to his season winning the CIMB Classic for the second time, where he shot 68,69,67,67 finishing seventeen under par total for the tournament. After a few weeks off, he should be feeling fresh coming to a course he has played so well on in the past.

Final Selections –
Billy Horchel 1 pt EW 22/1
Jason Day 1 pt EW 15/2
Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 22/1

First Round Leader –
Matt Kuchar 1 pt EW 14/1
Ryan Moore 1 pt EW 22/1

Total staked = 10 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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