Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Riviera Country Club, California 

Par 71, 7,349 Yards 

The Course 

The PGA Tour stays in California this week and travels to Riviera Country Club which was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and then Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards. Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.

Previous winners include James Hahn (2015), Bubba Watson (2014), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favor the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 – 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting and tee to green and par 4 scoring.

 

Adam Scott 22/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 25/1

The Aussie looks in decent shape coming to California this week with four top 15’s in his last four starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions. He played well throughout the week but shot a disappointing 80 in round two but bounced back with a 64, 66 over the weekend to post nine under in total. Scott then played in his native Australian Open finishing T14 for the tournament on six under which included a second round 65.

He has a great record here in Riviera finishing second last year, tenth in 2013, T17 in 2012, T14 in 2008, second in 2006 and a win in 2005. Scott is hitting just under 75% of greens in regulation and is one of the biggest hitters on tour. With a great record here and decent current form the Aussie could be one to watch here.

 

Byeong Hun An 66/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Ben An 66/1

An has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months and I’m willing to take a chance on him here on a course that could suit his game. He had a good finish to the European Tour season with a T10 at the Turkish Airlines Open followed by a T13 at the DP World in Dubai. He started the New Year with a T13 in Abu Dhabi shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish ten under par for the week. Most recently, An teed it up at The Phoenix Open where he again, shot three rounds in the 60’s to finish solo sixth and 14 under par for the tournament.

Statswise An could be a pretty good fit for Riviera averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranking 11th in GIR and 33rd in strokes gained putting on the European Tour last season. If he makes a few putts he could be one to keep an eye on here.

 

Brendan Steele 66/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 66/1

Since winning the Safeway Open back in October, Steele has kept up his good run of form with a further four top 20’s in his last four starts. He played well at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing T6 and followed that with a T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T20 at the Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines and a T16 at The Phoenix Open, which included two opening rounds in the 60’s. Steele has played well here before finishing T10 in 2014 and T14 in 2015.

Statswise he the ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in SG Approaches to the green, 16th in SGTTG, 11th in GIR, seventh in par 5 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. Steele comes here in much better form than he did last year and looks great value to keep up his good run of form here.

 

Keegan Bradley 80/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2017Keegan Bradley 80/1

I was quite surprised to see Keegan Bradley at such a big price this week considering the form he’s in. He finished 2016 with three top 15’s in four events finishing solo sixth at the CIMB Classic, T7 at The Shriners Open and a T15 at the OHL Classic. He has only played four events so far in 2017 and has had a bit of a mixed bag of form. Two missed cuts are sandwiched between a T25 at the CareerBuilder and an impressive T4 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines.

Bradley has played well in Riviera before finishing second in 2012, 16th in 2013, 20th in 2014 and fourth in 2015. Statistically he ranks 30th in SG Approach to the green, 30th in GIR and 26th in par 4 scoring. Bradley has great from on this course and is back playing some decent golf lately and looks great value to have a good week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Adam Scott 22/1 1pt EW

Ben An 66/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 66/1 0.5pts EW

Keegan Bradley 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips 2015

Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida

Par 72, 7,419 yards

Last Week –

We had another winner last week on Jordan Spieth, who came in at 14/1 at The Valspar Championship beating Patrick Reed and Sean O’Hair in a dramatic sudden death playoff. Spieth shot a final round 69 and got a super 10 foot putt on the 18th to join the playoff. He then went on to halve the first two playoff holes, where Patrick Reed’s short game was absolutely superb getting up and down out of thick rough and tricky bunkers. Spieth then holed a huge 30 footer on the third playoff hole, which was the par 3 17th to get the win. That makes it our second winner in two weeks and our fifth winner of 2015. Let’s keep it going!

The Course

The next stop on the PGA Tour is The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Tiger Woods has won this event an impressive eight times, but won’t be playing this week. This course is a par 72 and is a lengthy 7,419 yards. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes. Owned by Arnold Palmer since 1974, it has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and greenside bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on seven of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s, which are amongst the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important stat. Good par 5 performance stats will certainly be a big plus here with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and GIR also worth considering. Course history will also be important along with good previous form at Bay Hill.

 

Henrik Stenson Arnold Palmer Invitational 12/1

Henrik Stenson 12/1

Stenson started 2015 with a T13 at The Qatar Masters in January and followed that with another T13 at The Dubai Desert Classic. He is on a great run of form at present with a T4 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral and a solo 4th last week at The Valspar Championship, which included a super final round 67. He was playing great from the start of the tournament last week and looked to be hitting the ball really well throughout the tournament, especially with his very accurate iron play.

He has played well in Bay Hill over the last three years finishing T5 last year, T8 in 2013 and T15 in 2012. Stenson is one of the most consistent players on The European Tour ranking 24th in driving distance averaging 303 off the tee. He also ranks 3rd in GIR hitting 83% of greens so far this season. After two super performances over the last couple of weeks, Stenson comes back to Bay Hill in great form and could be a serious contender given his previous record here.

 

Keegan Bradley Arnold Palmer Invitational 35/1

Keegan Bradley 35/1

After a taking last week off, Keegan Bradley comes to Bay Hill well rested. He has been showing decent form over the last couple of months and had a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing T3 and followed that with another T3 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout just before Christmas. He has been a bit up and down since with a T48 at The Humana and a T17 at The Phoenix Open. He finished T38 at The WGC Cadillac but had a great performance at The Northern Trust Open a couple of weeks before finishing T4 on five under for the tournament.

Bradley is another player that seems to suit this course with two top 5’s in his last two appearances finishing solo 2nd last year and T3 in 2013. He averages 302 yards off the tee ranking 15th in driving distance. He also ranks 12th in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 250-275 and seventh in approaches from 200-225, which are two good stats for approaches into the four par 5’s.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Kevin Na 40/1

After a super final round 66 last week at The Valspar Championship, Kevin Na comes to Bay Hill showing some great form over the last couple of weeks. He was showing snippets of form since the beginning of the season back in October, with a T2 at The CIMB Classic and a T20 at The WGC HSBC Champions. Na also had a good week at The Phoenix Open finishing in a respectable T26 on six under par for the tournament. Most recently, he has posted two top 10’s in his last two tournaments finishing T9 in Doral and T10 last week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T14 last year, T4 in 2012, T30 in 2011 and T2 in 2010. He ranks 23rd in scrambling, 38th in par 3 scoring, 40th in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 3 birdie or better leaders. With a good current form and a good history at Bay Hill, Kevin Na could feature at a good price.

 

JB Holmes 45/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational

J.B. Holmes 45/1

J.B. Holmes is a player that should suit this course and has the power to make a lot of birdies. He is on a great run of form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four events. He came close to winning at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines but lost on the third playoff hole to Jason Day. He had another good performance at Pebble Beach finishing T10 on 15 under for the tournament, which included an opening round 64. Most recently, Holmes played well at The Northern Trust Open finishing in a respectable T22nd and went close to winning yet again at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing solo 2nd, which included a superb first round 62.

J.B. has played well here in the past finishing T10 last year, T29 in 2012 and T21 in 2010. He is averaging 304 off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance. He also ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green, sixth in birdie average, 38th in both par 3 and par 5 scoring and 11th in par 4 birdie or better leaders. Holmes has been knocking on the door of a win for the last few weeks and has the power and form to be a big danger man here this week.

J.B Holmes  45/1 – First Round Leader

In his last three starts at this event, J.B. has started with no worse than a 71. He started with a 68 last year, 71 in 2012 and a 66 in 2010. In his last five starts on the PGA Tour, Holmes has started with no worse than a 70 in round 1. He shot a record 62 in Doral, 70 at The Northern Trust Open, 64 in Pebble Beach, 69 at Torrey Pines and a 68 at The Phoenix Open. With a an early tee time of 08.47am and a good record at this event, Holmes could go very low here in round 1.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 2 pts EW

Keegan Bradley 1 pt EW

Kevin Na 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 1 pt EW – First Round Leader

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2015

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida
Par 70, 7,140 yards

The Course
The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however, the greens here are quite small and tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. GIR will be a stat to take in consideration this week along with accurate long iron play. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling stats is another one to consider.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose 22/1
Rose has been playing well since the end of November finishing T2 at The DP World Championship in Dubai. He followed that with another good week at The Hero World Challenge in December finishing T6 on 11 under for the week. He started 2015 well on The European Tour with a couple of top 15’s finishing T12 at the Abu Dhabi Championship and T13 at The Qatar Masters.

Rose has a good record at this tournament with three top 5’s in his last three appearances. He finished T4 in 2013, T5 in 2012 and solo third in 2010. Last season, Rose ranked fourth in strokes gained tee to green, 41st in GIR, 14th in par 4 scoring and 31st in scrambling. His approach stats are also good, ranking third in approaches from 175-200 and second in approaches from 200-225. After taking the last couple of weeks off, Rose will be feeling fresh coming to a course he has played well on in the past.

Keegan Bradley 33/1

Keegan Bradley 25/1
Bradley played well last week in Riviera finishing T4 at The Northern Trust Open shooting a final round 68. He has been playing well since December and put in a solid performance at The Hero World Challenge finishing T3 on 15 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T48 at The Humana Challenge and a respectable T17 at The Phoenix Open. He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T12 last year, T4 in 2013 and T12 in 2012.

Statswise he seems to tick the boxes ranking 25th in driving distance, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 100-125. He also ranks 18th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. After a top 5 finish last week and good performances here in the past, Bradley is another player that could be one to watch here.

Graeme McDowell 33/1

Graeme McDowell 30/1
Gmac has been playing well over the last few months with three top 11’s in his last five starts on both the European and PGA Tour. He had a great week at The WGC HSBC Champions back in November finishing T3 on 10 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at The Hero World Challenge in December. Most recently, he had a good week at The Dubai Desert Classic finishing T9 on 14 under for the week, which included a 67 in round one and a 65 in round two.

McDowell has played well on the Champion Course before with three top 10’s in his last four appearances. He finished T9 in 2013, T9 again in 2012 and T6 in 2011. Last season, Gmac ranked 12th in driving accuracy, first in stroke gained putting and fifth in approaches from 150-175. He also ranked 39th in scrambling and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to 2015 and a good previous record on this course, McDowell could have another good week here.

Ryan Palmer 33/1

Ryan Palmer 33/1
After missing his first cut of the season at Pebble Beach a couple of weeks ago, Ryan Palmer could be a player to keep an eye on here. He started the season well with a T22 at The WGC HSBC Champions back on November. He followed that with a T17 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T10 at The Humana Challenge. Most recently, he played well at The Phoenix Open finishing T2, which included a 64 in round one. He has played well here before finishing T2 last year and T26 in 2012.

Palmer is another player that ticks all the boxes statswise, ranking fifth in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 21st in strokes gained putting. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and 17th in par 5 scoring. With two top 10’s in his last three starts, Palmer could have another good week after playing so well here last year.

Paul Casey 50/1

Paul Casey 40/1
Paul Casey had a great performance last week at The Northern Trust Open shooting a final round 68 to get himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn. He was knocked out of the playoff but finished P2 on six under par for the tournament. He had a respectable start to the PGA Tour season finishing T37 at The CIMB Classic and T30 recently at The Sony Open.

Casey has played this event on three previous occasions finishing T12 last year and T4 in 2010. Casey ranks 38th in strokes gained tee to green, 30th in strokes gained putting and eighth in birdie average. He also ranks second in approaches from 75-100, sixth in approaches from 150-175, sixth in putting average and fifth in par 5 performance. After a great performance last week in Riviera, Paul Casey could have another good performance on a course he has played well on before.

Final selections –
Justin Rose 1.5 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 1.5 pts EW
Graeme McDowell 1 pt EW
Ryan Palmer 1 pt EW
Paul Casey 1 pt EW
Total Staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
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The PGA Championship 2014 Betting Preview

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014

Valhalla Golf Club, Louisville, Kentucky
Par 71, 7,458 yards

The Course

The PGA Championship returns to Valhalla Golf Club for the third time. It was first played here in 1996 where Mark Brooks was the winner over Kenny Perry. Valhalla then played host again in 2000 where Tiger Woods went on to beat Bob May in a playoff. The Ryder Cup was also played here in 2008, which as the last time the US Team won the Ryder Cup.

This course is a lengthy 7,458 yards and features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. Length will be a big advantage here this week with three of the par 4’s measuring 495 yards or longer. Birdies will be found on the par 5’s with them measuring between 540 yards and 597 yards so quite a few players will be hitting these greens in two.

The fairways are quite generous with some doglegs, but accuracy will be a huge factor here so be on the lookout for guys that are good ball strikers and have good driving distance and accuracy stats. These large, undulating bentgrass greens are protected by large bunkers so GIR and scrambling will also be important.
The WGC Bridgestone has been played the week before The PGA since 2007 and has always been a good indicator of who could potentially go well. Players that have finished in the top 20 in firestone and have good current form are ones to keep an eye on.

Justin Rose pic 1

Justin Rose 22/1
Justin Rose had yet another top 10 last week in Firestone shooting 65,67,70,69 on his way to a T4. He is playing very steady golf at the moment and has two wins in his previous five starts. He played well at The Open Championship and finished in respectable T23rd.

He had another good week at The Scottish Open shooting a final round 65 to finish on 16 under par for the tournament. Rose also won the week before at The Quicken Loans at Congressional beating Shawn Stefani in a playoff. At The Players Championship he finished T4th and followed that with a respectable T12 at The US Open.
Statswise, he ranks 40th in GIR, 10th in scoring average, 21st in par breakers and 25th in par 4 performance. He also ranks 11th in GIR from 175-200 yards which will be a big help on these long par 4’s.

Rickie Fowler 25/1
Rickie Fowler has been a big performer this year, especially at the majors. He had a super week at The Masters in Augusta back in April finishing T5th for the week. Rickie also played very well at both the US Open at Pinehurst clinching a T2nd and at The Open Championship at Hoylake also finishing in T2nd. Last week at Firestone, he had another good performance shooting three 67’s and 72 to close with a T8th.

He ranks 35th in driving distance, 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders and 43rd in par 5 performance. He also ranks ninth in approaches from 125-150 yards and 16th in approaches from 225-250 yards which will help on these long par 5’s. Rickie has proven he loves the big occasions and could be a big danger man here at Valhalla this week.

Keegan Bradley 1

Keegan Bradley 33/1
After another steady performance last week finishing T4th at Firestone, Keegan Bradley looks like a player that would suit a course like Valhalla. He has put together good performances at Hoylake finishing T19th, and also played well the week before at The Greenbrier Classic shooting four rounds in the 60’s on nine under par to close with a T4th for the tournament.

At The US Open in Pinehurst, Bradley recorded yet another T4th to finish +1 for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, 24th in strokes gained putting, 14th in birdie average, 13th in par breakers and 15th in scrambling. He also ranks third in approaches from 200+ and sixth in GIR from 175-200, two stats that should help on some of the long par 4’s. Keegan is playing good golf at the moment and has the ball striking and distance to have yet another good week here.

Charl Schwartzel 40/1
After a final round 64 last week in Firestone, adding a third top 10 finish in his last five starts, Charl Schwartzel looks to be bang in form at the moment. After a great performance at the HP Byron Nelson back in May finishing just outside the top 10 in T11th, he then followed that with another solid week at The Memorial closing with a T8th. Charl had another good performance at The Open at Hoylake shooting a final round 67 to clinch T7th. At Firestone last week he played great golf all week shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4th.

Schwartzel ranks 31st in driving distance, ninth in birdie average, ninth in par breakers and second in birdie or better conversion percentage. He also ranks third in par 5 birdie or better leaders, 25th in scrambling and 11th in approaches from 200-225. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and comes here in great form.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 50/1
Leishman has had a great season so far, especially in the last few weeks recording four top 11’s in his last five starts. His good run began back at the Byron Nelson back in May shooting four rounds in the 60’s finishing T3rd. He then had a good week at The Travellers closing with a 67 to clinch a T11 and followed that with a T8th at The Quicken Loans at Congressional.

Leishman has had two very good weeks which began in Hoylake at The Open Championship finishing in T5th for the tournament on 12 under par for the week. At Firestone last week, he began his tournament with an impressive opening round 64 and ended up closing with a 67 and finshing solo third.

He also measures up here statswise ranking 30th in driving distance, 14th in scoring average, 39th in par breakers a 21st in par 3 performance. He also ranks 24th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 250-275, two good stats for these long par 4’ and par 5’s.

Jimmy Walker 50/1
With solid performances at the majors so far this year, Jimmy Walker could be a man to keep your eye on here at Valhalla this week. He has proven he can contend in majors with great performances at The Masters (T8), The US Open (T9) and a respectable T26 at The Open. Walker also played great golf at Sawgrass closing with a 65 to finish T6th.

In the last few weeks, he has continued to play well finishing T10th at The Crowne Plaza at Colonial and followed that with a good finish at The US Open. Walker had a decent performance last week at Firestone finishing in a respectable T26. He ranks 19th in driving distance, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 15 in par 4 performance, eighth in par 5 performance and seventh in total putting. One to watch here at a good price.

Final Selections:
Justin Rose 2 pts EW
Rickie Fowler 2 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 2 pts EW
Charl Schwartzel 2 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Jimmy Walker 1 pt EW
Places 1-6 (PaddyPower)

To Make/Miss the cut:
McDowell/Casey/Leishman to make the cut @ 2.1 – 2 pts treble (PaddyPower)
Total staked = 22 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,
DB

FedEx Cup Playoffs – The Barclays Betting Preview

FedEx Cup Playoffs

The Barclays Betting Preview

Liberty National Golf Club, Jersey City, New Jersey, New York

 

Last week at The Wyndham –

What a week last week was with my outsider Patrick Reed beating Jordan Spieth on the second playoff hole to win The Wyndham Championship. Reed recovered from a drive on the par 4 10th that came a few feet from going out of bounds and stopped in some pine needles in the woods near a television cable. He took out his 7-iron, with a tricky uphill lie, he managed to keep one low under a tree branch, got it on the green and rolled it in for a birdie to win the championship. I am not going to lie, I really thought he might blow it after Spieth got that 20 footer for a par and reed missed for the birdie on the first playoff hole.  Thankfully, that wasn’t the case. To wrap up last week, that’s a 66/1 winner on Mr Reed and a place on Zach Johnson at 16/1. Let’s hope this good form continues. Now onto this week in New Jersey where the beginning of the FedEx Cup playoffs is upon us.

 

Tiger Woods 5/1

This will be the 3rd time I’ve backed Tiger in the last few weeks and I am going to take a gamble on him again here. Tiger has dominated The PGA Tour so far this season with 5 wins already tucked away in the Trophy Cabinet, not to mention a tied 6th finish at The Open Championship in Muirfield and a tied 4th finish at The Masters (in which he would have won if he wasn’t penalised). Stats wise he is 2nd in Strokes Gained Putting, 5th in Birdie Average, 1st in Scoring Average, 1st in Total Putting and 24th in GIR. He also has a decent record in this event, finishing in a tie for 12th in 2010 and only missed out in a playoff in 2009, finishing in tied 2nd. He didn’t play great at the PGA a couple of weeks ago and finished in a disappointing tie for 40th, however that wouldn’t concern me this week. If the dominating Tiger that won in Firestone is anything to go by, and after taking a week off last week, I reckon he’ll be in tip top shape here.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1

Regular readers of this blog will know I like Henrik and I have every reason to as he rarely lets me down, getting a bunch of each way places over the last few weeks. He has 5 top 10’s  including 4 top 3 finishes in his last 5 starts on both the European and PGA Tours, including a 3rd place finish at The PGA, tied 2nd finish at The Bridgestone, 2nd at The Open Championship, tied 3rd at The Scottish Open and a tied 10th finish at The BMW international Open. Stats wise, he ranks 6th in Driving Accuracy, 2nd in GIR, 4th in Scoring Average and 3rd in Total driving and that’s just on the PGA Tour! On the European Tour, he ranks 1st in Stroke Average, 10th in Driving Distance and 8th in GIR. I really feel Henrik has the all-around game to win on any golf course and I feel it could be any day now. 20/1 is a decent price for a real contender in my opinion.

Keegan Bradley 40/1

Bradley has had a mixed kind of season so far but has had 5 top 5 finishes, including a tied 4th at The Hyundai at the start of the year, tie 4th at The Honda Classic, tied 3rd at The Arnold Palmer, 2nd at The Byron Nelson and recently he finished in tied 2nd at The Bridgestone Invitational and followed that with a tied 19th finish at the PGA Championship. Bradley ranks 7th in Driving Distance, 10th in Scoring Average, 34th in Birdie Average, 2nd in par 5 of better leaders and 3rd in the All Around. At 40/1 I think he is great value here this week and with this course measuring a lengthy 7,400 yards, this should suit the big hitting Bradley down to the ground.

 

Jason Day 28/1

What a season this man is having getting himself yet another top 10 in a major championship, finishing in tied 8th at The PGA a couple of weeks ago, making it his 3rd top 10 finish in 4 major championships this year, including a tied 2nd place finish at The US Open at Merion and a solo third place finish at The Masters in Augusta. Statswise, Day ranks 21st in Driving Distance, hitting it a decent 298.4 yards off the tee, 38th in Strokes Gained, 14th in Scoring Average and 9th in Sand Saves. Day hasn’t missed a cut all year and ranks 3rd in Consecutive cuts made making 21 in a row. Day has a decent record in this tournament over the years, finishing in tied 13th in 2011 and tied 5th in 2010. A real contender here and very well priced at 28/1.

 

Jordan Spieth 50/1

This man nearly broke my heart last week getting into a playoff with my 66/1 shot Patrick Reed. As I mentioned in the opening paragraph, I really though Reed might choke after Spieth rolled in a 20 footer for par and Reed missed a 7 footer for birdie. Thankfully, Reed won the next playoff hole but, I have to say, Jordan Spieth wasn’t going to give it to him and he fought well. After getting his first victory on The PGA Tour at The John Deere Classic a few weeks ago, Spieth also has 6 top 10’s so far, including tied 2nd in Puerto Rico, tied 7th in Tampa Bay, tied 9th at The RBC Heritage, tied 7th at The Crowne Plaza, 6th at The AT&T National and 2nd last week at The Wyndham. He ranks 20th in Driving Accuracy, 28th in Birdie Average, 15th in Scoring Average and 13th in Total Driving. Could he get another top 5 here at The Barclays? Most certainly YES.

 

Ernie Els 60/1

Ernie has had a good season so far getting a win at The BMW International Open back at the end of June. He also had a good finish at The US open in Merion the week before finishing in tied 4th in which he got me a very nice each way place at a decent price. He has come a little bit off the boil recently missing the cut at The PGA but bounced back with a top 20 finish at The Wyndham last week. Ernie finished in tied 2nd here in 2009 and could go well here after a decent performance last week.

 

Final Selections –

Tiger Woods 2pts ew/ 4pts total

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts ew/3pts total

Keegan Bradley 1pt ew/2pts total

Jason Day 1pt ew/2pts total

Jordan Spieth 1pt ew/2pts total

Ernie Els 1pt ew/2pts total

Total Staked – 15 pts

 

Good Luck and Enjoy the Golf,

 

DoubleBogey6                                                       Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63