Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Dell Technologies Championship 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs TPC Boston, Massachusetts

Par 71 7,342 yards

The Course

It was a great finish to the Northern Trust last week in New York. Honestly I was thinking we were in great shape with Jordan Spieth leading by five and Matt Kuchar and Patrick Reed sitting in T4 after round three but Dustin Johnson spoiled the party. It wasn’t a bad week with Jordan getting us some small place money losing to DJ in a playoff and Jason Day shooting a final round 67 to finish T5 for another place.

The top 100 in the FedEx Cup Playoffs arrive to TPC Boston for the second of four playoff events for the Dell Technologies Championship, formerly known as the Deutsche Bank Championship. TPC Boston is located in Norton, Massachusetts, approximately 25 miles south of Boston. Only the top 75 will advance to the BMW Championship which starts next week.

Originally designed by Arnold Palmer and built in 2003, the course was re-designed by Gil Hanse and Brad Faxon in 2007 and poses a tricky test for the players this week. Measuring a testing 7,342 yards, this course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s.

The fairways are quite generous and forgiving so accuracy wont be too much of an issue here. The greens are Bentgrass and are fractionally smaller by PGA Tour standards but they do run a bit faster averaging around 12 on the stimp. Hitting these small, fast greens and holing putts will be key.

Going on previous history, distance seems to be quite advantageous with the likes of Rory McIlroy (last year and 2012), and Jason Day on the list of previous recent winners.

There are a total of 58 bunkers on the course some of which could cause some problems for the shorter hitters, but the longer guys should be able to carry some of the fairway cross bunkers off the tee. The shortest hole is the par 3 16th measuring 160 yards and the longest hole is the par 5 7th measuring a lengthy 600 yards which will only be reachable by the longer hitters in the field. Water comes into play on three holes in total – the 2nd, 6th and 16th.

TPC Boston’s 18th hole was renovated in 2011 and now has a smaller, elevated green that is protected by a greenside pot bunker which could offer some drama in the later stages of Sunday.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsRickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie has been playing some great golf recently and could be a huge threat here especially with the flat stick. He has five top 10’s in his last seven starts, four of which are top 5’s. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at the US Open at Glen Oaks, T3 at the Quicken Loans, T22 at the Open Championship, solo ninth at the WGC Bridgestone and a T5 at the PGA Championship. He had a decent performance last week at the Northern Trust finishing T20 which included a 68 and a 66 in the first two rounds.

Fowler has played well on this course in the past finishing T23 in 2014 and an impressive win here in 2015 where he shot four rounds of 68 or better to finish 15 under for the tournament, one shot clear of Henrik Stenson.

Statswise he looks like he could suit this course ranking 38th in driving distance, 47th in GIR, second in SGP and 22nd in par 4 scoring. Rickie is playing great golf lately and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 30/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 30/1

He was a touch disappointing last week in The Northern Trust but I think Reed isn’t far away from playing really good golf so I’ll give him another run here. After shooting 70,67,66 in the first three rounds last week, Reed finished with a disappointing final round 75 to finish T20 on two under for the week. However, I don’t think the final round did his overall performance justice.  He struck the ball really well and putted great throughout the first three rounds he was just a bit unlucky on Sunday.

He has been in great form over the last couple of months with seven top 20 finishes in his last ten starts. His good run of form started at the Byron Nelson where he finished T20 after four rounds of 70 or better. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers, T17 at the Quicken Loans, T20 at the Greenbrier, T2 at The PGA Championship and T20 last week.

Reed has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T4 in 2015 and T5 last year. Of those eight completed rounds, he has shot a 70 or better seven times suggesting this course suits his eye. Reed is particularly strong with the flat stick ranking ninth in SGP so far this season and if he keeps that going in TPC Boston, he could be dangerous.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsLouis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African is in fine form lately with three top 10’s in his last seven starts. He played well in New Orleans finishing in a respectable T24 and followed that with a T2 at the Players, T18 at the Byron Nelson and a T23 at the US Open.

Most recently Oosthuizen has played particularly well shooting rounds of 70,67,71,70 on his way to an impressive T2 at the PGA Championship. Last week in New York Louis shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T10 at the Northern Trust on four under for the tournament.

He has a good record here over the last few years finishing solo second in 2012 which included three rounds of 66 or better, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year which included a third round 64.

Statswise he ranks 18th in SGTTG, 24th in scrambling and 29th in strokes gained putting. Louis looks to be playing very solid lately and looks good value to keep up his good form on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Kevin Chappell 40/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsKevin Chappell 40/1

Ive been keeping a keen eye on Chappell over the last few weeks and he really seems to be playing very steady golf since winning in Texas back at the end of April. He has four top 15’s in his last eight starts and has some good form at this event over the last few years.

He had a good week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting four rounds of 69 or better to finish T4. He followed that with a T23 at the US Open, T8 at the Canadian Open which included three rounds of 69 or better and a T13 at the WGC Bridgestone.

Chappell played well last week in New York shooting 68,73, 64,70 to finish T6 at the Northern Trust and has played well in TPC Boston before finishing T22 in 2013, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year. Stastwise he ranks 26th in driving distance, 21st in SGTTG and 28th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a good record here, Chappell looks decent value to have a good week.

 

Final selections – 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 30/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts (PP Paying 7 places)

 

This will be my last preview of the season as I am away for the next two weeks.

A huge thanks to everyone who reads, liked, shared, retweeted and interacted with the site I really appreciate it.

Best of luck for the rest of the Playoffs and see you in October.

Thanks for reading,

Doublebogey6 (Dave)

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

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RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016

RSM Classic 2016 Betting PreviewSeaside Course/Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

7,055 yards, Par 70 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Kevin Kisner is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough linksy style test especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013), Robert Streb (2014) and Kevin Kisner (2015). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning. it would be quite similar to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage. The format will be similar to last year with the players playing one of their first two rounds at the nearby Plantation course which is a par 72 measuring just over 7,000 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s.

The Seaside Course has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole. Weather is forecast to be dry and sunny throughout the week.

 

Chris Kirk 18/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 18/1

Kirk started the season with an impressive three top 10’s in his last four starts and has a super record here at Sea Island. After starting with a 73 at the Safeway Classic, he bounced back shooting 65,70,66 to finish T8 for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at the Sanderson Farms finishing four strokes behind winner Cody Gribble. Kirk started well at The Shriners shooting rounds of 66,65 but then fell off the pace after a poor weekend. He did however have another good performance in Mexico finishing T7 at The OHL Classic last week which included an opening round 63.

He has played well here in the past with a T15 in 2010, a win in 2013, fourth in 2014 and T18 in 2015. He ranks 10th in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average, seventh in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. With a solid record here and good current form Kirk has to be one to watch here.

 

Kevin Chappell 20/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 20/1

Chappell had a great finish to the season finishing T3 at The WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T8 at The Deautsche Bank, which included a third round 64. He had another solid performance at The Tour Championship finishing second on 12 under par for the week after losing a playoff to the dominant Rory McIlroy. Chappell has started the season with two respectable performances at The CIMB finishing T45 and a T35 at the WGC HSBC Champions.

He has played well here especially over the last couple of years finishing eighth in 2014 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He improved on that again last year finishing second after shooting rounds of 66,65,68,67 to post 16 under par for the tournament. If he can get the putter going he could be a big danger man here.

 

Lucas Glover 33/1 

Glover is another player that looks to be in fine form coming into this event with two top 5’s in his last three tournaments. After a missed cut at The Safeway, Glover bounced back with a T5 at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 15 under for the tournament and didn’t shoot worse than a 70. He followed that with a solo third at The Shriners in Vegas where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to post 17 under in total.

He has a decent record here finishing T15 in 2011 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks 11th in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG, 16th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring. Glover looks to be good value here for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Cody Gribble 50/1

The Texan has been playing some fantastic golf so far this season with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a great win at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting rounds of 63,67,65 over the weekend to finish 20 under par beating nearest challenger Chris Kirk by an impressive four strokes. Last week in Mexico he had another solid week finishing T15 on 12 under par for the tournament.

This will be Gribble’s first appearance here at Sea Island which could be a course that could be right up his street. Statswise he ranks second in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average and 11th in par 4 scoring. This guy is in great form and could be one to keep an eye on this week.

 

 

 

Final Selections –

Chris Kirk 1pt EW 18/1

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 20/1 

Lucas Glover 0.5 pts EW 33/1 

Cody Gribble 0.5 pts EW 50/1 

Total staked = 6 pts 

All prices taken from PaddyPower who are paying 7 places. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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CIMB Classic Betting Preview  2016

CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia 

Par 72, 7,005 yards  

The Course 

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the fourth time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on The European Tour for the last six years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Previous winners include Justin Thomas (2015) and Ryan Moore (2014 & 2013).

The course is a par 71 measuring a short 6,985 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather can make this course quite soft this time of year so expect the greens to be quite receptive.

 

Justin Thomas CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 14/1 

Thomas had a good week in Silverado finishing T8 at The Safeway Classic which would have been a lot better if he made a few more putts. He had a good 15/16 season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He won The CIMB Classic here last year which included a second round 61 and a final round 66 to post 26 under par for the tournament. He clearly likes this course and could have another good week here.

 

Ryan Moore 14/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Moore 14/1 

Moore had a great week in Hazeltine winning two points from three for his US team. He beat Willett and Westwood 1 up with partner J.B. Holmes in the Saturday Fourballs and followed that with a stunning singles win over Lee Westwood on the Sunday and putted well throughout the week. He was playing well before the Ryder Cup with a win at The John Deere, T7 at The Barclays, T8 at The Deautsche Bank and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship.

He has a superb record in KL with two wins and a T10 in his last three starts here. Statswise he ranks 32nd in SG Putting, 29th in SG around the green and 14th in par 4 scoring. After taking a break after the Ryder Cup I expect Moore to have another good week here on a course that suits him.

 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016After taking a break since the Tour Championship Kevin Chappell will be fresh coming into this week and could be a player to keep on side. He had a good finish to the season with a T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T8 at The Deutsche Bank which included a second round 64 and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish second.

He has played well here in the past finishing 29th last year, 13th in 2014 and T25 in 2013. Statswise he ranks ninth in SG approach to the green and 13th in SGTTG which are two good stats for this course. If he putts well he could have a great chance to go well this week.

 

Scott Piercy 40/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 40/1 

After opening round of 62 last week in Silverado, Piercy started in style and held the 18 and 36 hole lead going into the weekend. He fell away slightly over the weekend shooting rounds of 73, 70 which could have been down to the regular weather disruptions but ended up finishing T3 on 16 under. He had some great finishes last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

Piercy played superb here last year opening with a 62 in round one and followed that with three 69’s to finish T7 for the tournament. Last week he hit just under 80% of GIR and ranked seventh in SGTTG and 26th in SG Putting. If he takes that form to Malaysia this week he could have a great chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Ryan Moore 14/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 28/1 0.5 pts EW

Scott Piercy 40/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas  

7,204 Yards Par 70 

The Course 

Colonial Country Club was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker, Boo Weekly, Adam Scott and Chris Kirk over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will be worth considering. Good previous form here at Colonial is a big plus with the previous 10 winners all playing the event at least twice before going on to win it.

Looks like we could have even more weather delays this week with all four days expected to be hot and humid with the possibility of thunderstorms. Sunday looks to be the best of the four days with dry weather expected.

 

Charley Hoffman 22/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Charley Hoffman 22/1

I’ve decided to give Charley another go this week on a course he has good vibes on over the last few years. Hoffman had yet another solid finish last week at the Byron Nelson finishing in a respectable T12 on 11 under for the tournament. He has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. Charley had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

As I mentioned above Hoffman has played well here over the years finishing T10 last year, T18 in 2013 and T13 in 2012. With superb current form and good memories from Colonial over the last few years Charley could keep his good run of form going here.

 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 Dean nd Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 28/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He had a super week at The Players shooting a final round 69 to finish solo second and followed that with another good performance the week before in Texas with a T4 finish and a T9 at The RBC Heritage. Chappell came close to a winner at Bay Hill but just came up short finishing solo second after shooting superb rounds of 68,68,67,69 to finish 16 under in total.

Chappell has played well here in the past finishing T19 last year and T10 in 2014. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 31st in par 5 scoring. After taking last week off he should be fresh and ready to continue his good run of form here this week.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 28/1

After unexpectedly withdrawing from The Players a couple of weeks ago Kirk looked to have some sort of a niggle injury wise but should be in good shape coming to Colonial after taking last week off. He has been in decent form this season finishing T12 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and followed that with a decent performance at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth. Most recently he finished T23 at The RBC Heritage, T13 in Texas and a T5 at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans.

His record here in Colonial is excellent over the last few years. He won here last year, T14 in 2014, T5 in 2012 and T16 in 2011. Kirk is playing great golf at the moment and is a real horse for the course here and could have another great week.

 

45/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 45/1 

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson last week finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in two weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here last year finishing T10 and shot two 66’s over the last two rounds. He ranks 14th in SGP, second in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder 70/1 Dean and Deluca Invitational Betting Preview 2016 Bryce Molder 80/1 

The American started well last week shooting 66,65,68 in the first three rounds but finished poorly with a bogey and a double in his last five holes shooting a final round 72 to finish T24. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 at The Players Championship.

He has only missed one cut here since 2009 and has played well here on the past. He finished fifth here in 2009 and his next best was T31 in 2012. He ranks 13th in strokes gained putting, fourth in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. Molder comes here in great form this time around and could go well again here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

 

Charley Hoffman 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Chappell 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Colt Knost 45/1 1pt EW

Bryce Molder 70/1 1 pt EW

 

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Rory McIlroy 9/2 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Rory McIlroy 9/2

Rory is playing some good golf at present with three top 10’s in his last four tournaments and has a superb record here in Quail Hollow. He completely dominated this event last year winning by a massive seven strokes and shot a 61 on the Saturday in round three.

He had a good week in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and held the 54 hole lead but sadly shot a final round 74 to finish T3. He followed that with a T27 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, solo 4th at the WGC Matchplay and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

McIlroy boasts a superb record on this course over the last few years. He has two wins and three top 10’s in six appearances in Quail Hollow. He won in 2010 and 2015 and came T8 in 2014, T10 in 2013 and 2nd in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 13th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and first in par 5 scoring. Length will be a big plus around this course and we know that’s right up Rory’s street. With a superb record here and good current form Rory looks the man to beat.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 25/1

Matsuyama is a player to keep on side this week and could be a huge contender. He has two top 10’s in his last three starts and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He followed that win with a T11 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera, T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T7 at The Masters.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T20 last year and T38 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just over n292 off the tee, 12th in GIR and fifth in SGTTG. He also ranks fifth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016J.B. Holmes 30/1

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with six top 15’s in his last eight starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4 and followed that with a respectable T13 in Texas. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past with a win in 2014 and a T9 in 2011. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 17th in SGTTG. Holmes is playing solid golf at the moment and has the length to dominate the par 5’s and the long par 4’s.

 

Byeong Hun An 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Byeong Hun An 33/1 

He played well here last year finishing in a respectable T28. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring. With a good performance here last year Berger has the length and is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

Ben An came agonisingly close to winning his first PGA Tour event last week in New Orleans. He played solid all week shooting rounds of 68,68,65 to get into a playoff with Jamie Lovemark and Brian Stuard but was knocked out on the first playoff hole. He has been playing well on both tours lately finishing second last week in New Orleans and T9 at The WGC Dell Matchplay.

He started well on The European Tour earlier this year with T4 in Dubai which included a 69,65 over the weekend and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi. He is no stranger to winning on the big stage with a huge win at the European Tour’s flagship event The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth.

An is a big hitter averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 13th in GIR and 13th in SGTTG so far this season. He is a top class player and looks to have the game to suit this course.

 

Kevin Chappell 45/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 45/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago and finished T4 for the tournament. He came close to winning in Bay Hill the week before but was denied by the in from Jason Day and finished second. He went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second in Bay Hill, T9 at The RBC Heritage and a T4 in Texas.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 16th last year and 11th in 2014. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rory McIlroy 3pts EW 9/2

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 25/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 30/1 

Byeong Hun An 1pt EW 33/1 

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 45/1 

Total staked = 14 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2016TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas 

7,435 yards, par 72 

The Course 

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.  The weather forecast is set to be a bit mixed with Thursday looking the worst of the four days with Thunderstorms and showers forecast but it is set to pick up from Friday onwards.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Jimmy Walker 16/1 

The defending champion has been playing some good golf this season and started 2016 strongly with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T13 at The Sony. He followed that with a T4 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T11 in Pebble Beach and a T6 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. Most recently he has had some respectable finishes with a T19 in Houston and a T29 at The Masters. Walker has defended his title before at The Sony in 2014 and 2015 which could bode well here.

Walker likes this course and has played great here in the past with a win last year, T16 in 2014 and a T7 in 2010. He ranks 29th in driving distance, fourth in par 5 scoring, 29th in par 4 scoring and 17th in strokes gained tee to green. He ticks a lot of boxes here and with good form this season Walker could be a decent shout here.

 

Branden Grace 18/1 Valero Texas Open 2016Branden Grace 18/1 

After a superb victory last week in Hilton Head Branden Grace will be feeling confident coming to Texas this week. Grace had a super start to 2016 on The European Tour finishing T4 at his native SA Open. He then finished T5 in Abu Dhabi and followed that with a win in Qatar, an event he has won back to back in 2015 and 2016. He then traveled to the US and played in the WGC Cadillac finishing T23 and then had a T18 at The Dell Matchplay.

It’s worth noting that Grace has won back to back twice in his career. He won the Joburg Open and then won the Volvo China Open the following week in 2012. He also won at the windy St Andrews at The Alfred Dunhill Links and won on The Sunshine Tour the week before. He has played here twice before finishing T30 last year and an MC in 2014 which wouldnt really put me off. The South African is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in GIR and 18th in SGTTG. He is a great wind player and could be a big contender here after a super performance last week.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 Valero Texas Open 2016J.B Holmes 25/1 

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with five top 11’s in his last seven starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open. He followed that with another T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past finishing T11 in 2011 and T16 in 2010. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance which is a big plus around here. With four par 5’s on this course Holmes can take full advantage with his length and follow up from Augusta with another good week here.

 

Bryson DeChambeau Valero Texas Open 2016Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 

The young American made his PGA Tour debut as a professional last week at The RBC Heritage and what a debut it was. He played superb throughout finishing T4 for the tournament making a total of 17 birdies and looked to be completely comfortable throughout the week even with some questionable weather conditions.

He played in Augusta as an amateur the week before and finished just outside the top 20 finishing T21. He had another great amateur performance in Bay Hill at The Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing a very respectable T27. Dechambeau caught my eye earlier this year when he started with a 70 in The Dubai Desert Classic and went on to shoot 68,69,68 to finish T18 and looked to be flushing the ball over the four rounds.

He looks to be a future star in the making and comes to Texas this week looking settled after a top 5 last week in Hilton Head. He is a confident player and it wouldn’t surprise me if he had another big week here.

 

Kevin Chappell Valero Texas Open 2016Kevin Chappell 40/1 

Chappell came close to winning in Bay Hill but was denied by the in from Jason Day who played an unbelievable bunker shot on 18 to save par and win the tournament. He started the season with a respectable T29 at The CIMB in Malaysia and followed that with a second place finish at The McGladrey Classic. He then went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill and a T9 last week at The RBC Heritage.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 15th in 2013 and 2nd in 2011. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 18/1 1pt EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1pt EW

Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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