US Open Betting Preview 2017 – Erin Hills

US Open Betting Preview 2017 - Erin Hills Erin Hills, Erin, Wisconsin

Par 72, 7,693 Yards 

The Course 

The US Open has always traditionally been a very tricky test with deep rough, fast greens and lots of run off areas and Erin Hills looks to be keeping up with that trend. This course is relatively young with construction taking place in 2004 and opening two years later in 2006. It was designed on 400 acres of pasture land and has been left relatively untouched. The designers decided to leave it as is using the natural contours of the land leaving it wide open with plenty of wind an very few trees. A mix of dunes, fescue grasses and penal bunkers give Erin Hills a “Linksy” look and feel to it.

There are four par 3’s, ten par 4’s and four par 5’s in total. Although it measures a lengthy 7,693 yards, it can play shorter depending on wind direction and tee position. The fairways have been described as dry and bouncy so this will allow for a lot of run on the ball. Kevin Na posted a video on Instagram showing the depth of the rough and it looks pretty awful, measuring roughly between one and two feet in places. If your tee shot ends up in there, forget about it.

The front nine seems fairly manageable but the back nine looks a far stiffer challenge. There are some blind tee shots with some very tricky bunkers so good scrambling will be a big plus. Some of the bentgrass greens are elevated like an upturned saucer shape with lots of run off areas, similar to Pinehurst No.2, the venue for the 2014 US Open. The greens are fractionally larger than previous US Open greens and could run quite fast if the wind gets up.

Going by this course and previous US Opens, the main areas of focus are GIR, driving accuracy, driving distance, putting average and scrambling. You can view Erin Hills hole by hole guide by clicking here

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin HillsRickie Fowler 20/1

It could be Rickie’s time to bag his first major and who would begrudge him? He arrives in Erin Hills in the best form of his career with a win and six top 10’s so far this season. He had a great win at the Honda Classic in Florida at the end of February and kept up his good form with a solo 12th in Bay Hill, T3 in Houston, T11 in Augusta and a T2 recently at the Memorial Tournament in Ohio.

Fowler has proven to be a great wind and links player over the last few years with a win at the 2015 Scottish Open in Gullane, a T8 in Royal Aberdeen in 2014 and a T2 at The Open Championship in 2014 in Hoylake. He has also played well at the US Open in the past finishing T10 in Merion in 2013 and a T2 in Pinehurst in 2014.

Fowler also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 33rd in driving distance, 25th in driving accuracy, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and 22nd in scrambling. When you weigh it all up its hard not to fancy Rickie’s chances here in Erin Hills.

 

Jon Rahm 20/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Jon Rahm 20/1 

Big hitting Spaniard Jon Rahm has made quite an impact on the PGA Tour this season with a win and seven top 10’s under his belt so far. After shooting a final round 65 at the Farmers Insurance Open in February, Rahm bagged his first PGA Tour win at previous US Open venue, Torrey Pines, finishing on 13 under par in total. He has shown some great consistency this year finishing T5 at Pebble Beach, T3 at the WGC Mexico Championship, solo second at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston, solo fourth at the Wells Fargo and a T2 at the Dean & Deluca in Colonial recently. Rahm has one appearance at The US Open which was last year in Oakmont where he finished in a respectable T23.

Statswise he has the length to score around this course averaging just over 305 yards off the tee ranking 13th in driving distance. He also ranks 15th in GIR, 19th in scrambling and second in par 4 scoring. Rahm is a serious talent and its only a matter of time before he wins not one, but multiple major championships in the future.

 

Thomas Pieters 40/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 - Erin Hills Thomas Pieters 40/1 

Pieters has had a good season so far and could be another player that could suit a long, tricky test like Erin Hills. He played well at the Dubai Desert Classic back in February finishing T23 and followed that with a T5 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T4 in Augusta, which included two 68’s. Thomas then went to Wentworth for the BMW PGA Championship and finished T14 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish four under par in total.

The big hitting Belgian is averaging just over 309 off the tee ranking 22nd in driving distance. He also ranks 11th in putting average and 21st in stroke average on the European Tour this season. If he can keep the ball in short grass off the tee, Pieters looks good value to have a good week here.

 

Branden Grace 40/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Branden Grace 40/1

The South African has been coming into some good form lately and has proven himself to be a great wind player. He finished T27 at The Masters at the end of April and followed that with a T11 at the RBC Heritage, a T10 in Texas and a respectable T24 in New Orleans. Grace is the kind of player that has proven he can really tough it out on the stiffer US Open tests with two top 10’s over the last two years. He finished T5 last year in Oakmont and came close to winning in Chambers Bay in 2015 but pulled his tee shot left on the 16th out of bounds which ended up costing him a double bogey.

He is a proven wind player with two wins at The Qatar Masters in the windy Doha Golf Club, a win at Harbour Town Golf Links at the RBC Heritage in 2016 and a T13 this year at The Sony Open in Hawaii. Grace is playing well at the moment and has the game to be a big danger man here.

 

Kevin Kisner 55/1 US Open Betting Preview 2017 Erin Hills Kevin Kisner 55/1

Kisner has been in fine fettle this season showing some great consistency. His good run of form began back in January where he finished T4 at the windy Waialae Country Club, home of the Sony Open. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, T2 at the Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill, T11 at the RBC Heritage, a win at the Dean & Deluca Invitational in Colonial and an impressive T6 at The Memorial in Ohio.

Kisner has had some good finishes in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay  in 2016 and T18 at The US PGA Champonship in Baltusrol. The American also ticks a few key statistical boxes here ranking 12th in driving accuracy, 23rd in strokes gained putting and 28th in scrambling. Kisner is another proven wind specialist and could be another one to keep an eye on here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 20/1 

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 20/1 

Thomas Pieters 0.5pts EW 40/1 

Branden Grace 0.5pts EW 40/1 

Kevin Kisner 0.5pts EW 55/1 

Total staked = 7 pts

 

*Paddypower paying 8 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016

RSM Classic 2016 Betting PreviewSeaside Course/Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

7,055 yards, Par 70 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Kevin Kisner is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough linksy style test especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013), Robert Streb (2014) and Kevin Kisner (2015). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning. it would be quite similar to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage. The format will be similar to last year with the players playing one of their first two rounds at the nearby Plantation course which is a par 72 measuring just over 7,000 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s.

The Seaside Course has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole. Weather is forecast to be dry and sunny throughout the week.

 

Chris Kirk 18/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 18/1

Kirk started the season with an impressive three top 10’s in his last four starts and has a super record here at Sea Island. After starting with a 73 at the Safeway Classic, he bounced back shooting 65,70,66 to finish T8 for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at the Sanderson Farms finishing four strokes behind winner Cody Gribble. Kirk started well at The Shriners shooting rounds of 66,65 but then fell off the pace after a poor weekend. He did however have another good performance in Mexico finishing T7 at The OHL Classic last week which included an opening round 63.

He has played well here in the past with a T15 in 2010, a win in 2013, fourth in 2014 and T18 in 2015. He ranks 10th in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average, seventh in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. With a solid record here and good current form Kirk has to be one to watch here.

 

Kevin Chappell 20/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 20/1

Chappell had a great finish to the season finishing T3 at The WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T8 at The Deautsche Bank, which included a third round 64. He had another solid performance at The Tour Championship finishing second on 12 under par for the week after losing a playoff to the dominant Rory McIlroy. Chappell has started the season with two respectable performances at The CIMB finishing T45 and a T35 at the WGC HSBC Champions.

He has played well here especially over the last couple of years finishing eighth in 2014 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He improved on that again last year finishing second after shooting rounds of 66,65,68,67 to post 16 under par for the tournament. If he can get the putter going he could be a big danger man here.

 

Lucas Glover 33/1 

Glover is another player that looks to be in fine form coming into this event with two top 5’s in his last three tournaments. After a missed cut at The Safeway, Glover bounced back with a T5 at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 15 under for the tournament and didn’t shoot worse than a 70. He followed that with a solo third at The Shriners in Vegas where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to post 17 under in total.

He has a decent record here finishing T15 in 2011 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks 11th in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG, 16th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring. Glover looks to be good value here for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Cody Gribble 50/1

The Texan has been playing some fantastic golf so far this season with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a great win at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting rounds of 63,67,65 over the weekend to finish 20 under par beating nearest challenger Chris Kirk by an impressive four strokes. Last week in Mexico he had another solid week finishing T15 on 12 under par for the tournament.

This will be Gribble’s first appearance here at Sea Island which could be a course that could be right up his street. Statswise he ranks second in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average and 11th in par 4 scoring. This guy is in great form and could be one to keep an eye on this week.

 

 

 

Final Selections –

Chris Kirk 1pt EW 18/1

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 20/1 

Lucas Glover 0.5 pts EW 33/1 

Cody Gribble 0.5 pts EW 50/1 

Total staked = 6 pts 

All prices taken from PaddyPower who are paying 7 places. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016Hilton Head, South Carolina 

Par 71, 7,101 yards.  

The Course 

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be mainly dry with a mix of sunny conditions and some scattered cloud with moderate winds.

 

Zach Johnson 22/1 RBC HeritageZach Johnson 22/1

After shooting an opening round 72 last week in Augusta, Johnson fell right back after a second round 80 and ended up missing the cut. Despite a disappointing second round, last weeks missed cut could be a big positive as he will be fresh coming into this week.

ZJ has been playing well lately and looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

He has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2007 and second in 2012. This tight track seems to suit his game and statistically he ranks 30th in GIR and 22nd in par 3 scoring. After some solid performances over the last few weeks Johnson looks to be in good form and a big contender here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 RBC Heritage Brandt Snedeker 18/1 

Snedeker played great golf last week in Augusta and looked to be putting very well on those tricky undulating greens. He eventually finished T10 after a final round 72 and has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He had a bit of a dip in form but seems to be back contending over his last two events recording two top 10 in Augusta and The Matchplay.

Sneds has a good record here over the last few years finishing 16th in 2007, a win in 2011, 17th in 2012 and 26th last year. After two good recent performances Snedeker is one to keep on side here.

 

Kevin Kisner 25/1 RBC HeritageKevin Kisner 25/1

The accurate American started the season off with with a win and three top 10’s but has gone off the boil a bit lately. He played well in Augusta last week and shot two 72’s sandwiched between an opening 77 and a third round 76 to finish in a respectable T37. Kisner started the season with a solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

He was unlucky not to win this event last year and lost to Jim Furyk on the second playoff hole, which would be his first of three playoff losses from last year. He ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 37th in GIR, fifth in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. After a decent performance last week on a course that shouldn’t really suit his game Kisner could be another one to watch here.

 

Paul Casey 18/1 RBC HeritagePaul Casey 18/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T4 finish in Augusta last week and a T9 in Bay Hill. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four.

Casey has played well here in the past finishing 11th in 2009, 22nd in 2010 and 18th in 2014. The Englishman ranks 20th in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 33rd in par 4 scoring. His form is getting warm and Casey looks to be another player with a solid game for this course.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick RBC Heritage 2016 Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1

The young Englishman played superb over the weekend in Augusta shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T7 for the week. Matt looked to be hitting a lot of fairways off the tee, hitting alot of green in regulation and lead GIR in the final round on Sunday in Augusta. He has been playing on US soil over the last few weeks finishing T35 in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and T38 at The Matchplay.

He doesn’t hit it a mile but he is known as one of the most accurate players around hitting over 60% of fairways off the tee and ranking 22nd in GIR. Matt finished 23rd here in 2014 and can better that performance after a superb week in Augusta.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 18/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Kisner 25/1 1pt EW

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida

Par 70, 7,140 yards

Last Week –

Well it was an exciting finish at Riviera last week where Bubba Watson won his second Northern Trust Open getting us a nice 22/1 winner. Despite Kokrak’s superb scrambling and Adam Scott chipping in on 18 for birdie, Watson still managed to birdie 17 and par 18 to win by one. That makes it four winners and seven places in the last 13 events giving us a healthy +92.21 pts profit for the season so far. Let’s keep it going this week at The Honda Classic in Florida.

 

The Course

The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however the greens here are quite small, tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. With the breeze expected to get up a little bit, be on the lookout for good wind players that hit a lot of greens. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

 

Rickie Fowler 12/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Rickie Fowler 12/1

Despite losing a playoff to Hideki Matsuyama in Phoenix a couple of weeks ago, Rickie Fowler comes to Florida in great form and well rested after taking last week off. He has started his season off with a T17 at The WGC HSBC Champions and followed that with a solo third at The Hero World Challenge, solo fifth at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, a win in Abu Dhabi and a P2 in Phoenix.

He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T7 in 2012, T13 in 2013 and T24 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 16th in GIR, 13th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP, fourth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Rickie is in super from at the moment and could have another good week after playing well here in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Patrick Reed has been playing solid for the last three months and looks like winning any day now. He started the season of with a T10 at The CIMB Classic and followed that with a T7 at The WGC HSBC Champions and a solo second at The Hero World Challenge. He started 2016 off with a solo second at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and had a super week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 which included a 65 in the final round.

He has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T24 in 2014 and T7 last year. Reed ranks 18th in GIR, 20th in SGTTG, second in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. If he carries the form he had in Pebble into this week he will be one to watch.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Branden Grace 30/1

The South African has been playing superb lately and had a great win in Qatar a couple of weeks ago finishing on 14 under for the week. He has a win and five top 10’s in his last six events. He finished the 2015 European Tour season off in style with a solo third at The DP Tour Championship and followed that with a T8 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T4 at The Nedbank. He started 2016 with a T4 at The SA Open, T5 in Abu Dhabi and a win in Qatar.

Statswise he ranks 33rd in GIR, 21st in SGTTG, 11th in sand saves and ninth in stroke average. Grace tends to play well on the tougher courses and could be a huge contender here.

 

Kevin Kisner 35/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Kevin Kisner 35/1

Despite a missed cut in Phoenix, Kisner has a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts and looks to be playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

Kisner also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 21st in both GIR and SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks second in par 4 scoring and ninth in par 5 scoring. He finished T51 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

Freddie has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last five events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well.

He has a good record here finishing T12 in 2014, T25 in 2013, T16 in 2012, T6 in 2010 and T5 in 2009. He ranks 26th in SGP, 14th in scrambling and third in par 3 scoring and looks like a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Rickie Fowler 12/1 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 30/1 1pt EW

Kevin Kisner 35/1 1pt EW

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Paddypower paying seven places this week

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2016

Stadium Course, TPC Scottsdale, Arizona 

Par 71, 7,266 Yards 

The Course 

It’s been a superb couple of weeks with a35/1 winner on Jason Dufner at The Career Builder Challenge followed by an 18/1 win on Snedeker and a 30/1 place on Jimmy Walker in Torrey Pines. Let’s keep it going this week in Phoenix!

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last couple of years with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes, including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the past 2 years it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form and have played well here in the past.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1  Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has been playing great golf over the last couple of months and comes here feeling fresh after taking the last couple of weeks off. He had a good finish to the season finishing T5 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW, solo third at The Barclays and back to back seconds at The WGC Bridgestone and Canadian Open. He had a great win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas shooting 67,67,63,66 to finish an impressive 25 under for the week. He started 2016 off with a T10 at Hyundai Tournament of Champions which included three rounds in the 60’s.

He has a great record here on The Stadium Course finishing second last year, second again in 2014, T15 in 2013 and fifth in 2012. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking third in driving distance averaging 320 yards off the tee, fifth in GIR, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a great record here Bubba looks a good shout here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 14/1

After a superb final round 69 in practically unplayable conditions in Torrey Pines last Sunday, Sneds ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole.

He has a great record here at the Stadium Course finishing T10 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2011 and T9 in 2008. Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in strokes gained putting, 28th in par 3 scoring and 13th in par 4 scoring. With such great current form and a good record here Snedeker could make it two wins in a row.

 

Kevin Kisner 28/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Kevin Kisner 28/1

With a win and three top 10’s in his last four starts, Kevin Kisner is playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

The American is hitting it an average of 296 off the tee and ranks fifth in driving accuracy. He also ranks 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in strokes gained putting. With a solid start to the year there’s no reason why he can’t continue that fine form here in Phoenix.

 

Jason Dufner 30/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Jason Dufner 30/1

Dufner arrives in Phoenix after an excellent win at The CareerBuilder Challenge after beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff and played solid all week shooting 64,65,64,70 on his way to a 25 under total. He has been playing well over the last couple of months and won The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Brandt Snedeker, where his iron play and putting looked superb all week. He also had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing T9 and followed that with a T9 at The Sony Open on 13 under for the tournament, which included a third round 65.

He has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2012 and T2 in 2011. He ranks 31st in driving accuracy, 20th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and third in par 5 scoring. After a mediocre 2015 season, Dufner looks back to his best over the last few weeks and could be a huge contender here.

 

Ryan Palmer 35/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open 2016

Ryan Palmer 35/1

Palmer is playing pretty consistent golf over the last few weeks with three top 20’s in four starts. He finished T16 at The Shriners and followed that with a T13 at The Sony and a T17 at The CareerBuilder Challenge in California. He started well shooting 67,66,66 in the first three rounds and should have finished a bit better after shooting a disappointing 73 in round 4.

He has played well here in the past finishing T2 last year, T5 in 2013 and T14 in 2010. Statswise he is averaging a massive 315 yards off the tee ranking fifth in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained tee to green and second in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 14/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 28/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 30/1 1pt EW

Ryan Palmer 35/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii 

Par 73, 7,452 yards 

The Course 

Happy New Year everyone it’s great to be back. We kick off 2016 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth a look.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Patrick Reed 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Patrick Reed 10/1

The American played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting rounds of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team in Korea. He had a good end to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has a good record here at Kapalua with a win last year and a T16 in 2014. Statswise he is hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee and ranks fourth in GIR. If he brings that good form into this week in Hawaii he will be a huge contender and looks like he’s right on the cusp of a win any day now.

 

Bubba Watson 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Bubba Watson 10/1

Bubba has been playing solid golf over the last few weeks finishing T15 at The Thailand Golf Championships and a win at The Hero World Challenge in his last two starts. He had a great season in 2015 and finished strongly with three top 10’s in his last four FedExCup Playoff events. He had a great week at The Barclays shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish 11 under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Watson was also part of the winning US Presidents Cup Team in Korea.

He has played well here on this course in the past finishing T10 last year, T4 in 2013 and T18 in 2012. Last season he ranked second in driving distance, first in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in GIR. Watson is another player coming into this week showing fantastic current form and should go well on a course that should suit his length.

 

Kevin Kisner 18/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Kevin Kisner 18/1

Kisner has had a great season so far and started with a respectable T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 65. Kisner then had a superb week in elite company at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai where he finished solo second. The American started 64,66 and followed that with two 70’s to finish 18 under par for the tournament. At The RSM Classic he played superbly well all week shooting 65,67,64,64 to finish 22 under par for the week and record his first PGA Tour victory.

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes for this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in SGP and 11th in par 4 scoring. He has proven to be a good wind player and has played well on seaside setups in the past. He came close to his first PGA Tour victory at Hilton Head where he lost the second playoff hole to Jim Furyk at The RBC Heritage. With superb current form, Kisner could go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Graeme McDowell 25/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Graeme McDowell 25/1

Over the last few weeks we have seen Gmac coming back and showing some great form. He came back with a bang at The OHL Classic in Mexico beating Jason Bohn in a playoff. He played a magnificent five iron into four feet on the first playoff hole and drained the putt for a tournament winning birdie. He then followed that with a solo third at The RSM Classic showing some superb consistency shooting 67,68,65,67 to finish 15 under for the week. He was then paired up with Gary Woodland in The Franklin Templeton Shootout and finished T6.

So far this season he ranks eighth in driving accuracy, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. McDowell has played only once here before finishing third in 2011. He tends to relish seaside courses and could be in his element if the wind blows.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 10/1 2pts EW

Bubba Watson 10/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Graeme McDowell 25/1 1.5 pts EW

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

RSM Classic 2015 betting preview

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70

Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72 

The Courses

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.  It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.  This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.

The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.

The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 RSM Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 16/1

After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.

He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.

He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Patrick Rodgers 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 25/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.

 

Patton Kizzire 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 28/1

The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.

He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RSM Classic 2015

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.

He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.

 

Brendon de Jonge 50/1 RSM Classic

Brendon De Jonge 50/1

De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.

De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW

Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW

Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!

 

Doublebogey6

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John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2015

John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2015

TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois

7,268 yards, par 71

Over the years, some big names have dominated this event namely the in form Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson. TPC Deere Run is a 7,268 yard par 71 and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s with the average winning score being roughly 18 under par. With the three par 5’s all reachable in two and the fairly easy par 4’s, there will be a lot of birdies on offer, which explains the extremely low scoring over the years. The course sits along rolling woodlands alongside a rock river and has some small ponds and ravines.  It also has rolling fairways that are quite generous off the tee so driving accuracy won’t be hugely important.

The course has undergone elevation changes on several holes. The 14th is a downhill par 4 measuring just 358 yards and can be drivable in the right conditions. There is also water present on five holes, but shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the players. This course is relatively easy but will demand good putting and accurate approach shots in order to make birdies. The key stats to look at here are approaches from 125-150, par 4 scoring, strokes gained putting, GIR, previous history and current form.

 

Zach Johnson John Deere Classic 9/1

Zach Johnson 9/1

There is no other player in the field with a better record at TPC Deere Run than Zach Johnson. He has a win here in 2012, second last year, second in 2013, third in 2011 and second again in 2009. He has been showing some great form recently finishing solo sixth at The Travelers, solo fifth at the Byron Nelson, T19 in Colonial and T13 at The Players Championship in Sawgrass.

Johnson also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking ninth in driving accuracy, 16th in strokes gained tee to green, 10th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 17th in approaches from 150-175, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a great history here, Johnson is playing well enough to record his second win here at TPC Deere Run this week.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 John Deere Classic

Kevin Kisner 16/1

We came close to landing Kisner at 30/1 last week at The Greenbrier, where he sadly lost in a playoff to David Hearn and Danny Lee. Despite that, he played very well in the final round shooting a superb final round 64. That sadly makes him 0/3 in playoffs this season, however a win doesn’t look to far away and it could very well come this week at TPC Deere Run, where he finished in a respectable T20 last year.

Kisner has a further five top 12’s in his last seven starts and lost two playoffs against, the first of which came at The RBC Heritage losing to Jim Furyk and second was at The Players Championship losing to Rickie Fowler. He followed that with a T5 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial, which included three 67’s and a 69. He then finished T8 at The Memorial and followed that with a T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay.

Staswise he ranks 18th in driving accuracy, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 14th in approaches from 225-250, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 10th in scrambling, 24th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and missing out on three playoffs recently, this could be the week Kisner gets his long awaited win.

 

Brian Harman 33/1 John Deere Classic

Brian Harman 33/1

The 2014 champion comes here in good form this week after playing well recently at The Travelers finishing solo third and was unlucky not to win. He was very steady throughout the week shooting rounds of 66,65,65,69 to finish 15 under for the tournament. Harman also played well at The Crowne Plaza Invitational recently shooting rounds of 68,66,69,68 to finish T10 on nine under for the week.

He also played well at The Players finishing T8. He has played well here in the past with a win here last year and a T19 finish in 2012. Harman ranks 49th in strokes gained putting and ninth in approaches from 250 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With good previous performances here and decent current form, Brian Harman is great value here at 33/1.

 

Tony Finau 33/1 John Deere Classic

Tony Finau 33/1

Finau has easily been one of the most consistent players on tour over the last few weeks and looks to be right on the cusp of a win any day now. He put together another steady week at The Greenbrier last week finishing T13 on ten under par for the tournament. Finau also had another respectable performance at The Travelers, where he finished T25. He has been very consistent finishing inside the top 25 in seven of his last eight starts. He played well at Chambers Bay finishing T14, T8 at Memorial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T19 at Colonial and T16 at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow.

He ranks seventh in driving distance,33rd in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in approaches from 150-175, 32nd in approaches from 75-100 and 35th in par 4 scoring. He also ranks 43rd in par 5 scoring and 47th in par 3 scoring. Finau is on a great run of form and I don’t see any reason why that shouldn’t continue here this week.

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 9/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Brian Harman 33/1 1pt EW

Tony Finau 33/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Old White TPC, White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia

7,287 yards par 70

Last Week –

Well it was another super week for us last week at The Travelers tipping Bubba Watson at 11/1 making him our 11th winner of the season. He was a bit up and down over the weekend but managed to stay in the hunt and came into the final round one shot behind overnight leader Brain Harman. The turning point of the round came at the par 5 13th, where he hit a superb second shot out of the fairway bunker and rolled in the putt for an eagle to take a two shot lead. Meanwhile, Paul Casey was firing his approach shots close to the pins the all day and even holed out a wedge from the fairway for an eagle two on the par 4 3rd to get himself right into contention. With Bubba bogeying the 17th, Casey found himself tied for the lead and ended up losing to Watson in a two hole playoff after he bladed a sand wedge out of the bunker on 18. Bubba made the birdie putt and won in style.

It’s been a great year for us so far with 11 winners and 17 places in 30 PGA Tour events. Let’s keep it going in our The Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview 2015 this week! For a full list of our P&L this season, please click here

 

The Course

The Old White TPC is a par 70 measuring 7,287 yards. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined with water hazards featuring on a lot of holes throughout the course.

The course was taken apart by Stuart Appleby in 2010 when he shot a record breaking 59 to beat Jeff Overton by one stroke to win the tournament on 22 under par. The course was then made a little more difficult to make scoring a little more challenging after 2010. It was then lengthened by about 250 yards and all of the greens were reconstructed making them a little smaller, undulating and reseeded with bentgrass. Because the greens play smaller than the usual standard, players that rank well in putting between 10-15 feet are worth looking at.

The changes to the course were evident in 2011 as the course played noticeably harder than the previous year. Scott Stallings won the tournament on 10 under par, a huge 12 strokes less than Appleby in 2010.

On this course, driving accuracy isn’t massively important as these fairways are quite forgiving, but distance is a factor as the two par 5’s will require two solid shots to make the green in two. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 scoring will also be worth looking at along with good approach stats and birdie average. Good previous course form, good current from and good putting are all stats that are also worth checking this week. This tournament is a tough one to call and could be a good place for an in form player to bag his first win.

 

Webb Simpson 22/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Webb Simpson 22/1

Webb Simpson comes here showing a mixed bag of form over the last few weeks with only one top 10 finish in his last eight events. He had a great performance at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow finishing T2. He started the week very well shooting two 67’s and followed that with a 68 on Saturday and a disappointing final round 72 on Sunday. The putter never really heated up on Sunday but he did play quite solid and showed some great consistency all week. Simpson started the season well with a T4 at The Shriners, T7 at The Humana and a T7 in Doral.

He is a real horse for the course here with three top 10’s in his last four appearances. He finished third here last year, seventh in 2012 and ninth in 2011. Statswise he ranks eighth in strokes gained tee to green, 38th in both GIR and driving accuracy and ninth in par 3 scoring. His approach stats are excellent ranking seventh in approaches from 150-175, 15th in approaches from 200 and 16th in approaches from 200-225. With a great record here and a good finish recently at Quail Hollow, Simpson could be a big contender here this week.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Bill Haas 28/1

Despite missing the cut at Chambers Bay, Bill Haas has been showing some solid form this season. He has a win already under his belt, which came at the Humana Challenge back in January. He also has top 10’ at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing T7 and T4 at The Players. He played well recently at The Memorial shooting a final round 69 to finish in a respectable T18 in seven under for the tournament. Haas is another player that is a horse for the course finishing T23 last year, ninth in 2013 and second in 2011.

Haas ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 42nd in GIR, 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in approaches from 225-250. He also ranks third in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 4 scoring and 12th in putts from inside 10 feet, which is a good stat for putting on these small greens.

 

Kevin Kisner 30/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 30/1

With five top 12’s in his last seven starts, Kevin Kisner comes into this week in superb form. He lost two playoffs in the last few weeks, which came at The RBC Heritage losing to Jim Furyk and The Players Championship losing to Rickie Fowler. He followed that with a T5 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial, which included three 67’s and a 69. He then finished T8 at The Memorial and followed that with a T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay. Kisner has played here three times in the past and missed the cut on all three occasions, but he comes here in much better form this time around.

Kisner ranks 18th in driving accuracy, 45th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 225-250. He also ranks 39th in par 3 scoring, 30th in par 4 scoring, 28th in par 5 scoring and 11th in putts from inside 10 feet. With great current form and missing out on two playoffs recently, this could be the week Kisner gets his long awaited win.

 

Tony Finau 35/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Tony Finau 35/1

I tipped Tony last week at The Travelers where he put in yet another solid performance finishing in a respectable T25. Before last week, he hadn’t finished outside the top 20 in his previous five events. He played well at Chambers Bay finishing T14, T8 at Memorial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T19 at Colonial and T16 at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow. This course could suit the big hitting Finau, who is averaging 307 yards off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance.

He also ranks 36th in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in approaches from 150-175, 30th in par 4 scoring and 44th in par 5 scoring. This will be his first appearance at The Greenbrier and with great current form, this course could really suit his eye.

 

Brendan Todd 45/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Brendan Todd 45/1

Todd played well last week at The Travelers finishing T15, which included two 67’s on Saturday and Sunday. He also had a good week at The Memorial finishing solo 17th, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 74 in the final round. He showed some good early season form finishing T8 at The HTOC, T10 in Pebble Beach, T14 at The Northern Trust and more recently, a solo fourth in Harbour Town at The RBC Heritage.

Todd has played well here in the past finishing T4 last year and seems to tick a lot of statistical boxes. He ranks 10th in driving distance, 13th in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 100-125. He also ranks sixth in putts inside 10 feet, 20th in par 3 scoring and 18th in scrambling. With a good finish here last year, Todd could be another contender at a big price.

 

Final selections –

Webb Simpson 22/1 2pts EW

Bill Haas 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Kisner 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Tony Finau 35/1 1 pt EW

Brendan Todd 45/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas 

7,204 Yards Par 70

The Course

Colonial Country Club is a tight tree-lined course measuring a short 7,204 yards. It was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker and Boo Weekly over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will have to be considered. Previous form at this event is important so be on the lookout for experienced players with good history here showing some good current form.

 

Zach Johnson Crowne Plaza Invitational 16/1

Zach Johnson 16/1

It’s impossible to leave out Zach Johnson this week given his form here over the years. In his last five appearances, Johnson has two wins, which came in 2013 and 2011. He also finished T3 last year, T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He has also shown some good current form with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well at The API in Bay Hill finishing T9, followed that with a T20 at The Texas Open, T9 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players.

Statswise, Johnson is another player that suits this course ranking 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 15th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 20th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With such a good record here and decent current form, Johnson could be a big danger here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Jimmy Walker 20/1

After his victory at The Valero Texas Open back in March, Jimmy Walker is another danger man here this week. He played well here last year shooting a 67 in round one and followed that with a steady 68,69,70 to finish T10 for the tournament. He has had a superb season so far with two wins and two top 10’s in his last 10 starts, missing only one cut. He was beaten in a playoff against Patrick Reed at The Hynudai TOC and followed that with a win at The Sony and a T7 at Torrey Pines.

Since winning at the end of March, Walker has gone a little bit quiet with an MC at The Players, a respectable T38 in Augusta and a T52 at The WGC Matchplay and could rediscover some form here. Walker seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 16th in driving distance, 40th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green and second in birdie average. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last year and playing on home turf, Walker could be another one to watch.

 

Kevin Na 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Na 28/1

Na has been putting together some decent performances with six top 20 finishes in his last seven starts. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac in Doral where he finished T9. He followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at The API in Bay Hill, T20 at The Texas Open and a T12 at The Masters. Most recently, he had a good week at Sawgrass finishing T6 on nine under par for the tournament.

He has played well here at Colonial in the past finishing T13 in 2013, T22 in 2011, T9 in 2010 and T7 in 2008. Statswise this course should suit Na, who ranks 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in approaches from 100-125 and 18th in scrambling. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Ryan Palmer 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Ryan Palmer 28/1                 

Palmer has played well in this event over the last three years finishing with three top 15’s in a row. He played well here last year finishing T5, finished T14 in 2013 and T5 again in 2012. He has shown great form in his home state finishing T6 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He has also shown good form throughout the season finishing T2 at The Phoenix Open, T10 at The Humana and a T12 at The WGC Cadillac.

Staswise Palmer ranks 13th in driving distance, 36th in GIR, 11th in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 30th in par 3 scoring, 41st in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With a good history at this course and good early season form, Palmer could go well with this week in front of a home crowd.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

Kisner played here last year and missed the cut, but comes here this week showing much better form this time around. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish. He followed that with another playoff loss to Rickie Fowler in Sawgrass also losing on the second playoff hole.

Colonial will demand accuracy off the tee and with approaches, which could be right up his street. He ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 11th in approaches from 225-250, 23rd in scrambling, 41st in par 4 scoring and 35th in par 5 scoring. Given these fairways are tight and demand accuracy off the tee and two playoff losses over the last few weeks, it’s only a matter of time before Kisner gets it over the line.

 

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 16/1

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 20/1

Kevin Na 1pt EW 28/1

Ryan Palmer 1pt EW 28/1

Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

                       

Doublebogey6

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