CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips

CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia 

Par 72, 7,005 yards  

 The Course 

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the fifth time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on the European Tour for the last seven years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Previous winners include Justin Thomas (2015 and 2016) and Ryan Moore (2014 & 2013).

The course is a short  par 72 measuring 7,005 yards and has four very make-able par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are paspalum and are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. There is only a field of 78 players and there is no cut after 36 holes.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather is a bit mixed with rain forecast on Thursday but it should be dry for the rest of the week. The rain will make this course quite soft so expect the greens to be quite receptive.

 

 Charl Schwartzel 28/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and Tips Charl Schwartzel 28/1 

The South African has a decent record in this neck of the woods over the years and comes here on the back of a respectable performance in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. He finished T24 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T29 at the Northern Trust, T25 at the Dell Technologies Championship and a T27 at the BMW. He had a couple of standout performances earlier in the season where he finished solo third at the Masters and an impressive T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic.

Schwartzel has a decent record here finishing T19 in 2014 which included a pair of 68’s over the weekend, 11th in 2011 Malaysian Open, sixth in the 2012 Malaysian Open, fourth in the 2013 Malaysian Open. He was averaging just under 300 yards off the tee on the PGA Tour last season and has the length to take full advantage of the short par 5’s.

 

Ian Poulter 28/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and TipsIan Poulter 28/1

Englishman Poulter looks a decent shout here this week and its easy to see why when you consider his glowing record in Asia over the last few years. He finished T6 in the Singapore Open in 2010 and followed that with a win in Hong Kong the following week. He also finished T4 in Hong Kong in 2011, solo fourth in Lake Malaren in Shanghai at the BMW Masters in 2012 and a win at the WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai in 2012 in a top class field. Poulter has only played here only once before finishing T17 which included three rounds of 69 or better.

His current form has been decent finishing T2 at the Players Championship, T14 at The Open, solo third at the Canadian Open, a respectable T22 at the PGA and a T11 at the British Masters. He seems to be hitting the ball well lately and has the short game and putting prowess to have a good week here.

 

Kevin Na 33/1 CIMB Classic 2017 Betting Preview and TipsKevin Na 33/1 

Na has been playing good golf over the last two months. He comes here on the back of a T37 at the Safeway but that doesn’t accurately reflect how he played for most of the tournament. He started very well shooting rounds of 70,71,66 and was well positioned going into round four but a triple bogey on the ninth and a double on the 10th ruined his chances which led to a disappointing 77.

Na played very well towards the end of the season finishing T4 at the Wyndham, which included four rounds of 68 or better, a T29 at the Northern Trust and an impressive T6 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included four rounds of 70 or better.

The American has a great record here in Malaysia finishing T2 in 2014, T3 in 2015 and a respectable T29 last year. In his last 12 competitive rounds here at KL Country Club, Na has shot no worse than a 70 eleven times and has a combined score of 47 under par in total in three appearances. He is a real horse for the course and with solid current form, he looks good value each way at 33/1.

 

Scott Hend 80/1

The big hitting Aussie looks in great shape coming to Malaysia and has been showing some good form over the last few weeks. Hend had a decent performance at the Fiji International finishing T24 and followed that with a super performance at the European Masters, which included an opening round 64 and a second round 63. He ended up in a playoff with Englishman Matt Fitzpatrick but lost on the first playoff hole and finished solo second. He then travelled to the Albertsons Boise Open in LA and posed a respectable 10 under par total to finish T17 for the week.

The Aussie has a great record here at KL Country Club finishing T7 in this event last year, T27 in 2015, T14 at the 2015 Malaysian Open, T18 at the 2014 Malaysian Open and T11 at the 2012 Malaysian Open. Hend has a great record in Asia over the last few years and hits the ball an average of just over 300 yards which will suit here. With his current form and length, he looks great value and has the firepower to take full advantage of these short par 5’s.

 

Final Selections – 

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 1pt EW

Ian Poulter 28/1 0.5pts EW

Kevin Na 33/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Hend 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

Like me onFacebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2015

CIMB Classic Betting Preview and Tips 2015

Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia

Par 72, 6,967 yards 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the third time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on The European Tour for the last six years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Last year Ryan Moore was the winner for the second time in a row beating Sergio Garcia, Kevin Na and Gary Woodland by three strokes to finish on 17 under for the tournament.

The course is a par 71 measuring a short 6,985 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather can make this course quite soft this time of year so expect the greens to be quite receptive. The weather forecast is expected to be hot and humid for the four days with some showers and the possibly some thunderstorms expected with light winds.

 

Kevin Na 14/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2015

Kevin Na 14/1

It’s hard to leave Na out of the equation this week given his last two performances. He came agonisingly close to winning the Frys but was beaten in a playoff by Emiliano Grillo on the first playoff hole. He then had another top performance last week at The Shriners shooting a final round 67 on his way to a T2 finish. Na played well all through the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T20 at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW Championship and T16 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here at Kuala Lumpur before finishing T2 last year, T10 in 2012 and T21 in 2010. Kevin also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking eighth in GIR, second in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in par 4 scoring. With a good record at this course and great current form, Kevin Na could be one to watch.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1

Matsuyama had a good start to the new season finishing in a respectable T17 at The Frys shooting two 69’s to finish on 10 under par for the tournament. He had a good season last year and played well at The Presidents Cup and all throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. He finished T13 at The Barclays, T25 at The Deutsche Bank, T7 at The BMW and T12 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well on this course in the past finishing T21 last year and T25 in 2013. At The Frys, he ranked 16th in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and 10th in par 5 scoring. If he take that good from into this week he should be right in the mix.

 

Patrick Reed 18/1 CIMB Classic 2015

Patrick Reed 20/1

After a great performance last week in Hong Kong finishing T3, Patrick reed looks in great form coming into this week. He is another player that had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA, T4 at The Deutsche Bank and a T28 at The BMW. He also played well at The Presidents Cup winning one and a half points for the US Team in Korea.

Reed has played this event twice before finishing T26 last year and T40 in 2013. Last season Reed ranked 19th in strokes gained putting, 28th in scrambling and 18th in par 4 scoring. After playing well in Hong Kong, Reed won’t have any jetlag to deal with and should be fresh coming to Kuala Lumpur this week.

 

Danny Lee 28/1 CIMB Classic 2015

Danny Lee 28/1

Danny had a great year last season and recorded his first victory on tour with a win at The Greenbrier Classic. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere, T4 at The Quicken Loans and a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone. Most recently, he played well at The FedExCup Playoffs finishing T30 at The Barclays, T33 at The Deutsche Bank, T47 at The BMW and a T2 at The Tour Championship at East Lake.

Danny has played well here in the past finishing T13 here last year. He started well shooting two 69’s in rounds one and two but shot a disappointing 73 in round three. He finished well shooting a final round 68 and should be more experienced this time around. Last season he ranked 23rd in strokes gained putting, second in par 3 scoring and 26th in par 4 scoring. Lee has proven he can compete at the highest level and should be right in the mix here this week.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Na 14/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 16/1 1.5 pts EW

Patrick Reed 18/1 1.5pts EW

Danny Lee 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Total Staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63             

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

 

 

Shriners Hospital for Children Open 2015

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2015TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada 

7,255 yards, par 71

After an exciting opening tournament of the new season at the Frys.com Open last week, the PGA Tour makes its annual trip to TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, where Ben Martin will be the defending champion.

TPC Summerlin is a 7,223 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Ben Martin (2014), Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011), Jonathan Byrd (2010) and Martin Laird (2009).

The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 and usually yields a lot of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance this week, but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. Good putters and players with good GIR stats are worth looking at here as the greens are quite large and are not too difficult by tour standards . Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting, good ball striking and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course has over 100 bunkers and some water hazards that come into play. However, this course is ranked one of the easiest to play on The PGA Tour with plenty of birdies on offer. Players that have good recent form over the last three or four events tend to go well here. There is some rain and thunderstorms in the days running up to the event, but it will be dry and sunny from Thursday to Sunday.

 

Kevin Na 22/1 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2105

Kevin Na 22/1

Despite losing a playoff to eventual winner Emiliano Grillo last week at The Frys, Kevin Na looked to be hitting the ball well throughout the week. He shot 68,71,64,70 to finish 15 under par for the tournament. Na was showing decent form in The FedExCup playoffs finishing T16 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW and T20 at The Barclays. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone finishing T15 and finished a respectable T13 at Memorial and T10 at Colonial.

Na has played well here in the past finishing T22 in 2012 and winning here in 2011. Last week, Na ranked ninth in driving accuracy and 11th in greens in regulation. He hit some superb iron shots last week in Silverado and if he can take that into this week, he should have a good chance here.

 

Ryan Moore 25/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Ryan Moore 25/1

Ryan Moore started the new season off strongly with a T10 last week at The Frys. He started with a pair of 70’s and began to get going over the weekend shooting 67,68 on Saturday and Sunday to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He had a respectable finish to the season with a T28 at The BMW and a T10 at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield. Moore has played well at TPC Summerlin in the past finishing T9 in 2013, a win in 2012 and a T17 in 2009.

Moore is a bit of an up and down player but seemed to be hitting the ball very well last week in Silverado. He was hitting over 75% of greens in regulation at The Frys and made some great putts. After a top 10 last week and good form at TPC Summerlin over the years, Ryan Moore could be one to watch here.

 

Scott Piercy 30/1 Shriners Open for Children Open

Scott Piercy 30/1

Piercy looks like a great shout here in Vegas this week given his current form. He played well recently at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship shooting 69,69,68,71 finishing T27 on 11 under for the tournament. He also had a couple of good performances in the last of The FedExCup events finishing T25 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and solo third at The BMW Championship. Piercy also won The Barbasol Championship and finished T14 at The John Deere back in July.

He has played well on this course over before finishing T7 last year, T6 in 2012 and T10 in 2011. If Piercy can take the form he had at the end of last season forward to this week, he could have another decent week here in Vegas.

 

Jason Bohn 40/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Jason Bohn 40/1

Looked to be in super form last week at The Frys and got himself right into the thick of things with an impressive 68 in round 2 and a 64 in round 3. Bohn went on to shoot a 70 in the final round to finish T3. He is another player that finished strongly last season with a T9 at The Barclays, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T12 at The John Deere and a T13 at The Greenbrier. Bohn has a good record here finishing T18 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T14 in 2009.

He led greens in regulation last week in Silverado and was T3 in driving distance. He also ranked sixth in strokes gained putting and first in birdie average. With great form here over the years and a good performance last week, Bohn looks to be great value this week on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Na 22/1 2pts EW

Ryan Moore 25/1 1.5pts EW

Scott Piercy 30/1 1.5pts EW

Jason Bohn 40/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course                 

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s teaam matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Jordan Spieth 7/1

There is no player that is in better form at the moment than Jordan Spieth. Every time he tees it up he looks a serious threat. He made his second appearance at this event last year and finished in a respectable T19. He started the tournament with a 67 and followed that with a 72 in R2 and a 67 in R3. Unfortunately he played poorly on the Sunday shooting a 75 in R4 that took him out of contention. However, I don’t see that happening this time around. Spieth comes here this week in great form with two wins, three top 5’s, a top 15 and a top 20 in his last nine starts.

Jordan ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in strokes gained putting and first in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. Given his current run of form and respectable finish last year, Jordan Spieth is a worthy favorite this week and cannot be ruled out.

 

Justin Rose 20/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Justin Rose 20/1

Justin Rose is your typical horse for the course here at Miurfield with a win, four top 10’s and a top 15 in his last 10 appearances. Despite an MC here last year, he finished T8 in 2013, T8 in 2012, win in 2010, T2 in 2008, T14 in 2006 and a T4 in 2004. He has shown some good form so far this year with a win in New Orleans, T2 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He also showed good early season form with a T12 in Abu Dhabi and a T13 in Qatar.

Rose also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 33rd in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, ninth in approaches from 225-250 and second in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 35th in par 3 scoring, 11th in par 5 scoring and fifth in putts from 10-15 feet. With great previous form here and good current form, Rose could have his second victory of the season here in Ohio.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Chris Kirk 28/1

Kirk has been showing great form over the last couple of months since finishing T8 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players, which included two 68’s in R2 and R3. He shot a disappointing final round 75 to take him out of the running, but overall had a good week. Most recently, he had a super performance at Colonial winning The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting 68,69,65,66 on his way to a 12 under par total. He has played well here at Miurfield in the past finishing T4 last year and T25 in 2012.

Kirk ranks first in sand saves, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and 27th in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 10th in putts from 10-15 feet, 39th in par 3 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a top 5 here last year, Kirk could be another danger man here this week.

 

Bill Haas 33/1 The Memorial Tournament

Bill Haas 33/1

Bill Haas is another player showing some good form lately and has played well here in the past with two top 10’s in his last two appearances finishing T8 last year and T4 in 2013. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T7 at The WGC Cadillac, T12 at The Masters and a T4 at The Players, which included a 67 in R2 and a 68 in R3 to finish on 11 under in total.

Statswise, Bill ranks 44th in strokes gained tee to green, 16th in approaches from 225-250, third approaches from 50-125 and fifth in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks 25th in scrambling and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at the bigger events so far this season, Haas could have another good week here.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 The Memorial Tournament

Kevin Na 40/1

Kevin Na has been super consistent over the last couple of months recording five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last eight starts. He was leading after three rounds in Colonial a couple of weeks ago and shot a disappointing 72 in the final round to finish -9 for the tournament. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac, where he finished T9 and followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at Bay Hill, T20 in Texas, T12 at The Masters, T6 at The Players and a T10 at Colonial. Na was beaten by Matsuyama in a playoff last year and comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, he ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in sand saves, 12th in approaches from 100-125, eighth in par 3 scoring and 17th in par 4 scoring. After coming close to winning last year, Na comes here in great form and looks to be a big price this week.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 7/1 2 pts EW

Justin Rose 20/1 2 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Bill Haas 33/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Na 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

 

Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Crowne Plaza Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Colonial Country Club, Fort Worth, Texas 

7,204 Yards Par 70

The Course

Colonial Country Club is a tight tree-lined course measuring a short 7,204 yards. It was designed by Perry Maxwell and John Bredemus and has very tight fairways and doglegs throughout the course. The PGA Tour has visited this course every year since 1946 making Colonial the oldest annual stop on tour. Ben Hogan won the first two editions of this event and went on to win it five times in total.

This course suits players that can keep the ball straight and favours good, accurate ball striking and demands good positioning off the tee. This course has just two par 5’s and four par 3’s and requires players to shape the ball. It has always been a shot maker’s course with previous winners such as Zach Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Steve Stricker and Boo Weekly over the last few years.

Some of the greens are quite small so GIR, good putting and approach stats will be worth looking at.  This course has over 80 bunkers and has 12 par 4’s, so good par 4 scoring and scrambling stats will have to be considered. Previous form at this event is important so be on the lookout for experienced players with good history here showing some good current form.

 

Zach Johnson Crowne Plaza Invitational 16/1

Zach Johnson 16/1

It’s impossible to leave out Zach Johnson this week given his form here over the years. In his last five appearances, Johnson has two wins, which came in 2013 and 2011. He also finished T3 last year, T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He has also shown some good current form with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well at The API in Bay Hill finishing T9, followed that with a T20 at The Texas Open, T9 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players.

Statswise, Johnson is another player that suits this course ranking 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 15th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 20th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With such a good record here and decent current form, Johnson could be a big danger here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 20/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Jimmy Walker 20/1

After his victory at The Valero Texas Open back in March, Jimmy Walker is another danger man here this week. He played well here last year shooting a 67 in round one and followed that with a steady 68,69,70 to finish T10 for the tournament. He has had a superb season so far with two wins and two top 10’s in his last 10 starts, missing only one cut. He was beaten in a playoff against Patrick Reed at The Hynudai TOC and followed that with a win at The Sony and a T7 at Torrey Pines.

Since winning at the end of March, Walker has gone a little bit quiet with an MC at The Players, a respectable T38 in Augusta and a T52 at The WGC Matchplay and could rediscover some form here. Walker seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 16th in driving distance, 40th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green and second in birdie average. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 4 scoring and seventh in par 5 scoring. After a good performance last year and playing on home turf, Walker could be another one to watch.

 

Kevin Na 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Na 28/1

Na has been putting together some decent performances with six top 20 finishes in his last seven starts. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac in Doral where he finished T9. He followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at The API in Bay Hill, T20 at The Texas Open and a T12 at The Masters. Most recently, he had a good week at Sawgrass finishing T6 on nine under par for the tournament.

He has played well here at Colonial in the past finishing T13 in 2013, T22 in 2011, T9 in 2010 and T7 in 2008. Statswise this course should suit Na, who ranks 26th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in approaches from 100-125 and 18th in scrambling. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Ryan Palmer 28/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Ryan Palmer 28/1                 

Palmer has played well in this event over the last three years finishing with three top 15’s in a row. He played well here last year finishing T5, finished T14 in 2013 and T5 again in 2012. He has shown great form in his home state finishing T6 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He has also shown good form throughout the season finishing T2 at The Phoenix Open, T10 at The Humana and a T12 at The WGC Cadillac.

Staswise Palmer ranks 13th in driving distance, 36th in GIR, 11th in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 30th in par 3 scoring, 41st in par 4 scoring and 28th in par 5 scoring. With a good history at this course and good early season form, Palmer could go well with this week in front of a home crowd.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Crowne Plaza Invitational 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

Kisner played here last year and missed the cut, but comes here this week showing much better form this time around. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish. He followed that with another playoff loss to Rickie Fowler in Sawgrass also losing on the second playoff hole.

Colonial will demand accuracy off the tee and with approaches, which could be right up his street. He ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 11th in approaches from 225-250, 23rd in scrambling, 41st in par 4 scoring and 35th in par 5 scoring. Given these fairways are tight and demand accuracy off the tee and two playoff losses over the last few weeks, it’s only a matter of time before Kisner gets it over the line.

 

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 16/1

Jimmy Walker 2pts EW 20/1

Kevin Na 1pt EW 28/1

Ryan Palmer 1pt EW 28/1

Kevin Kisner 1pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

                       

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

 

Valero Texas Open 2015 Betting Preview

Valero Texas Open 2015 betting tips

TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas

7,435 yards, par 72

The Course

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.

 

Zach Johnson Valero Texas Open 28/1

Zach Johnson 28/1

Johnson comes to Texas after a great performance at Bay Hill last week, in particular his superb Albatross on the par 5 16th, where he knocked his second shot straight in the hole shooting an impressive final round 66 finishing T9 on 12 under. He has had a further three top 10’s this season finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge before Christmas and solo 7th at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions in January. He also had a good week at The Phoenix Open a few weeks ago finishing T10 on 10 under for the tournament.

Johnson has played well here before finishing T6 last year. Statswise he seems to fit the bill ranking 18th in driving accuracy, 32nd in strokes gained tee to green and 13th in birdie average. He also ranks 13th in par 4 scoring, 19th in par 5 scoring and 15th par 5 birdie or better leaders. After playing well last week at Bay Hill and a good performance here last year, Zach Johnson could be one to watch this week at a good price.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 Valero Texas Open

Kevin Na 33/1

Kevin Na has been playing well over the last few weeks and has three top 10’s in his last three starts on the PGA Tour. He had a good week in Doral finishing T9 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, which included a final round 66. Last week at Bay Hill, Na put together four solid rounds to finish T6 on 13 under for the tournament.

He played well here last year and finished T11 on three under for the week and could have finished a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 76 in the final round. Na is hitting 60% of fairways and ranks 45th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 3 birdie or better leaders. With three top 10’s in his last three starts, Na is in good form and could go well on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Brendan Steele 40/1 Valero Texas Open

Brendan Steele 40/1

Steele was going nicely last week in Bay Hill only to falter in round 4 shooting a disappointing 76 to finish T35 on six under. Despite his poor finish last week, he had three top 15’s in his last five starts and looks to be in good form. He played very well at The Humana at the end of January finishing T2, which included an impressive final round 64. More recently, he had a good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing T14 and followed that with a T11 at The Honda Classic.

Steele has played well here  in the past with a win in 2011 and a T4 in 2012. He ranks 15th in strokes gained tee to green, 24th in scoring average and 12th in driving distance. He also ranks eighth in par 4 scoring, 23rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders and 19th in birdie or better conversion percentage. With good current form and a former winner on this course, Steele could be another danger man here.

 

Charley Hoffman 50/1 Valero Texas Open

Charley Hoffman 50/1

Charley Hoffman is your typical horse for the course and hasn’t finished outside the top 15 in his last five appearances at TPC San Antonio. He finished T11 last year, T3 in 2013, T13 in 2012, T2 in 2011 and T13 in 2010. He showed some good form in the early stages of the season with a win at The OHL Classic back in November, T14 at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions in January and a T2 at The Humana Challenge. Most recently his form has been a bit mixed with a T30 at The Northern Trust Open, T38 at The WGC Cadillac and an MC at The Valspar.

Statswise he ranks 45th in GIR, 40th in birdie average and 22nd in par 4 scoring. He also ranks 33rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders and first in approaches from 100 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into some of the shorter par 4’s. With a great previous record on this course, I expect Hoffman to bounce back and have a good week here.

 

Daniel Summerhays 66/1 Valero Texas Open

Daniel Summerhays 66/1

Summerhays has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 30’s in his last five starts. He finished with a T30 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The Honda Classic and a T10 at The Valspar finishing on four under for the tournament. He has a great record here over the last three years finishing T2 last year, T7 in 2013 and a respectable T29 in 2012. He has been very steady so far this season with only two missed cuts in his last 18 competitive starts.

Summerhays is hitting 62% of fairways and ranks 22nd in strokes gained putting and 27th in scoring average. He also ranks 45th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 21st in approaches from 175-200, which is a good stat for approaches into the four par 5’s. With a good record here over the last couple of years, Summerhays could feature at a big price.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 28/1 2 pts EW

Kevin Na 33/1 1 pt EW

Brendan Steele 40/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 50/1 1 pt EW

Daniel Summerhays 66/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2015

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips 2015

Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida

Par 72, 7,419 yards

Last Week –

We had another winner last week on Jordan Spieth, who came in at 14/1 at The Valspar Championship beating Patrick Reed and Sean O’Hair in a dramatic sudden death playoff. Spieth shot a final round 69 and got a super 10 foot putt on the 18th to join the playoff. He then went on to halve the first two playoff holes, where Patrick Reed’s short game was absolutely superb getting up and down out of thick rough and tricky bunkers. Spieth then holed a huge 30 footer on the third playoff hole, which was the par 3 17th to get the win. That makes it our second winner in two weeks and our fifth winner of 2015. Let’s keep it going!

The Course

The next stop on the PGA Tour is The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Tiger Woods has won this event an impressive eight times, but won’t be playing this week. This course is a par 72 and is a lengthy 7,419 yards. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes. Owned by Arnold Palmer since 1974, it has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and greenside bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on seven of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s, which are amongst the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important stat. Good par 5 performance stats will certainly be a big plus here with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and GIR also worth considering. Course history will also be important along with good previous form at Bay Hill.

 

Henrik Stenson Arnold Palmer Invitational 12/1

Henrik Stenson 12/1

Stenson started 2015 with a T13 at The Qatar Masters in January and followed that with another T13 at The Dubai Desert Classic. He is on a great run of form at present with a T4 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral and a solo 4th last week at The Valspar Championship, which included a super final round 67. He was playing great from the start of the tournament last week and looked to be hitting the ball really well throughout the tournament, especially with his very accurate iron play.

He has played well in Bay Hill over the last three years finishing T5 last year, T8 in 2013 and T15 in 2012. Stenson is one of the most consistent players on The European Tour ranking 24th in driving distance averaging 303 off the tee. He also ranks 3rd in GIR hitting 83% of greens so far this season. After two super performances over the last couple of weeks, Stenson comes back to Bay Hill in great form and could be a serious contender given his previous record here.

 

Keegan Bradley Arnold Palmer Invitational 35/1

Keegan Bradley 35/1

After a taking last week off, Keegan Bradley comes to Bay Hill well rested. He has been showing decent form over the last couple of months and had a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing T3 and followed that with another T3 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout just before Christmas. He has been a bit up and down since with a T48 at The Humana and a T17 at The Phoenix Open. He finished T38 at The WGC Cadillac but had a great performance at The Northern Trust Open a couple of weeks before finishing T4 on five under for the tournament.

Bradley is another player that seems to suit this course with two top 5’s in his last two appearances finishing solo 2nd last year and T3 in 2013. He averages 302 yards off the tee ranking 15th in driving distance. He also ranks 12th in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 250-275 and seventh in approaches from 200-225, which are two good stats for approaches into the four par 5’s.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Kevin Na 40/1

After a super final round 66 last week at The Valspar Championship, Kevin Na comes to Bay Hill showing some great form over the last couple of weeks. He was showing snippets of form since the beginning of the season back in October, with a T2 at The CIMB Classic and a T20 at The WGC HSBC Champions. Na also had a good week at The Phoenix Open finishing in a respectable T26 on six under par for the tournament. Most recently, he has posted two top 10’s in his last two tournaments finishing T9 in Doral and T10 last week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T14 last year, T4 in 2012, T30 in 2011 and T2 in 2010. He ranks 23rd in scrambling, 38th in par 3 scoring, 40th in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 3 birdie or better leaders. With a good current form and a good history at Bay Hill, Kevin Na could feature at a good price.

 

JB Holmes 45/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational

J.B. Holmes 45/1

J.B. Holmes is a player that should suit this course and has the power to make a lot of birdies. He is on a great run of form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four events. He came close to winning at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines but lost on the third playoff hole to Jason Day. He had another good performance at Pebble Beach finishing T10 on 15 under for the tournament, which included an opening round 64. Most recently, Holmes played well at The Northern Trust Open finishing in a respectable T22nd and went close to winning yet again at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing solo 2nd, which included a superb first round 62.

J.B. has played well here in the past finishing T10 last year, T29 in 2012 and T21 in 2010. He is averaging 304 off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance. He also ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green, sixth in birdie average, 38th in both par 3 and par 5 scoring and 11th in par 4 birdie or better leaders. Holmes has been knocking on the door of a win for the last few weeks and has the power and form to be a big danger man here this week.

J.B Holmes  45/1 – First Round Leader

In his last three starts at this event, J.B. has started with no worse than a 71. He started with a 68 last year, 71 in 2012 and a 66 in 2010. In his last five starts on the PGA Tour, Holmes has started with no worse than a 70 in round 1. He shot a record 62 in Doral, 70 at The Northern Trust Open, 64 in Pebble Beach, 69 at Torrey Pines and a 68 at The Phoenix Open. With a an early tee time of 08.47am and a good record at this event, Holmes could go very low here in round 1.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 2 pts EW

Keegan Bradley 1 pt EW

Kevin Na 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 1 pt EW – First Round Leader

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

 

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2015

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2015

Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida

Par 71, 7,340 yards

The Course

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook, all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course

The Copperhead course is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s. All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards. The par 5’s measure between 560-605 yards and should be difficult to hit in two for most of the field. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded. Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy. Players will score well if they place their tee shot in the right part of the fairways here.

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Just like last week in Doral, water will be a key feature this week with it coming into play on 9 out of the 18 holes so expect some drama. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back 9 in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats and good all round driving. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate approach stats.

 

Jordan Spieth 14/1 Valspar ChampionshipJordan Spieth 14/1

After a respectable T17 last week at The WGC Cadillac, Jordan Spieth comes to Copperhead in great form. Other than a missed cut at The Farmers, Spieth hasn’t finished worse than T17 in his last six events. He had a great week at The Hero World Challenge in December shooting 26 under par in total to win the tournament. He followed that with another win, which came at The Australian Open, a T7 at The Phoenix Open, another T7 at The AT&T National in Pebble Beach and a T4 at The Northern Trust Open.

He has a good record here finishing T20 last year and T7 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 30th in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in approaches from 275 and ninth in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 100 yards. Spieth also ranks number one in putting from 15-20 feet, which is a good stat for these small greens. With great current form, good previous performances here and great approach stats, Jordan Spieth could be the man to beat here this week.

 

Jim Furyk 22/1 Valspar Championship 2015Jim Furyk 22/1

Furyk has been frustrating to watch over the last few years failing to get the job done on numerous occasions when in contention, falling off the pace after a bogey or two on the back nine on a Sunday. However, I think he will get that monkey off his back one of these days and Copperhead could be the place to do it. Furyk hasn’t finished worse than T14 in his last three starts and is one of the most consistent players on tour. He held the 54 hole lead in Pebble Beach a couple of weeks ago only to shoot a disappointing final round 74 to finish T7. He followed that with a respectable T14 at The Northern Trust Open finishing on two under for the tournament. Furyk also had a good performance at The WGC Cadillac last week finishing T12, which included a final round 69.

His record on this course is super with a win in 2010, T13 in 2011, T2 in 2012, T7 in 2013 and a T20 last year. Furyk ranks 10th in driving accuracy, 18th in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and second in approaches from 200 yards. He also ranks fourth in approaches from 100 yards, fourth in approaches from 175-200 and 27th in par 3 scoring. If he is going to get a win anywhere, it could be here.

 

Luke Donald 25/1 Valspar ChampionshipLuke Donald 25/1

Luke Donald has been showing some good form lately finishing T7 at The Honda Classic a couple of weeks ago, which included two 67’s to finish on three under for the tournament. He was showing some good form before Christmas playing well at The Nedbank Challenge in South Africa finishing solo 3rd on 12 under. He also had a good finish to the 2014 European Tour season finishing T26 at The DP World Championship in Dubai.

He has a great record on this course and hasn’t finished worse than T6 in his last four appearances. He played well here last year finishing T4, T4 again in 2013, won in 2012 and finished T6 in 2010. Donald is another player with good approach stats ranking 20th in approaches from 275 yards, 12th in approaches from 125-150, 12th from 150-175 and 18th in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks second in putts from 8 feet, which is a good stat for these small Bermuda greens.

 

Kevin Na 50/1 Valspar Championship 2015Kevin Na 50/1         

After a respectable T9 last week at The WGC Cadillac, Kevin Na comes back to Copperhead showing some good recent form. He showed good consistency last week shooting 74,71,71,71 to finish one under for the tournament. He has been showing snippets of form over the last few months finishing T2 at The CIMB Classic back in November, T20 at The WGC HSBC Champions and more recently a T26 at The Phoenix Open. Na played well here last year shooting 70,68,68,70 on his way to a six under finish and solo second, one stroke behind the winner John Senden.

Statswise Na ranks 27th in par 3 scoring, 13th in approaches from 100-125 yards and 26th in approaches from 200-225 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the long par 5’s. With a good performance last week and a top five last year, Na could feature at a good price.

 

Will MacKenzie 66/1 Valspar ChampionshipWill MacKenzie 66/1

After being off with an injured hand for the last couple of months, Will MacKenzie played his first event of 2015 in Puerto Rico last week and finished with an impressive T6. In his last five starts, he has finished with three top 10’s since the end of October. He started the season with a P2 at The McGladrey Classic, where he got into a playoff with eventual winner Robert Streb and was knocked out but played solid all week. He followed that with a T9 at The OHL Classic, which included an opening round 65 and a closing round 66 to post 11 under for the tournament.

MacKenzie ranks 25th in driving accuracy, third in GIR, third in strokes gained tee to green, second in strokes gained total and eighth in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week in Puerto Rico and a top 5 here last year, MacKenzie could be another player that could feature at a big price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 2 pts EW 14/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 22/1

Luke Donald 1 pt EW 25/1  

Kevin Na 1 pt EW 50/1

Will MacKenzie 1 pt EW 66/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.faccebook.com/doublebogey6