The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017

Open Championship 2017 Royal Birkdale The Open Championship 2017 Betting Preview

Royal Birkdale, Southport, England

Par 70, 7156 yards

The Course

Its Open Championship week and promises to be filled with a mixed bag of weather and plenty of drama. Royal Birkdale was established in 1889 and underwent a huge redesign in 1922 by Fred Hawtree and JH Taylor to create the current layout. It gained it “Royal” status in 1951 and has been on the Open rota since 1954 when it hosted the Open Championship for the first time. Peter Thompson was the first man to win here and he went on to win a further five Open Championships. He returned to Birkdale in 1965 to win his fifth and final title. This course has been one of the most regular venues for the Open along with Royal Lytham and St Andrews.

It last took place here in 2008 when Irishman Padraig Harrington won on a score of 283 (+3) beating his closest challenger Englishman Ian Poulter by four shots in total. From what we can tell, it was a tough, testing track back in 2008 and demanded accurate driving, GIR and most importantly a good touch on and around the greens.  2017 will be the tenth time Royal Birkdale will be hosting The Open.

Birkdale has a total of 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and two par fives and like many links courses, can play either very difficult or fairly straight forward depending on weather conditions. It is a very spectator friendly course with high dunes spread around the golf course offering some great viewing points. Traditionally with all links courses, keeping the ball in the fairway and avoiding the challenging rough will be extremely advantageous. Judging from the 2008 Open driving accuracy, GIR, scrambling and hot putter are a must if players are going to contend here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 28/1

The Aussie arrives in Birkdale on the back of a respectable T35 in Scotland and looks nicely warmed up coming into this week. He has been in great form over the last couple of months with three top 10’s in his last six starts. Scott had a good week in Augusta finishing T9, which included two rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship in Sawgrass, a T31 at Memorial and a T10 at the FedEx St Jude Classic which included an impressive second round 64.

Scott has a great record at The Open Championship over the last few years with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He finished second to Ernie Els at Lytham & St Annes in 2012 and followed that with a third place finish in Muirfield in 2013, fifth in Hoylake in 2014 and a T10 in St Andrews in 2015.

Statswise Scott ticks a few boxes here ranking 33rd in GIR, 23rd in driving distance averaging a little over 300 yards of the tee, and first in par 3 scoring. Given his Open pedigree and decent current form, Scott has to be well fancied this week.

 

Sergio Garcia 18/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Sergio Garcia 18/1 

After a sensational performance in Augusta beating Justin Rose in a playoff, I don’t think anyone would begrudge the Spaniard a major especially after coming oh so close so many times. He’s one player that jumps off the page in terms of Open Championship form. He has an impressive 10 top 10 finishes in the Open over the last few years and came close to winning in 2007 when he was denied victory by Padraig Harrington in a playoff in Carnoustie.

His results over the last few years have been particularly impressive with three top 6’s in his last three Open starts. He finished second in Hoylake in 2014 and followed that with a sixth place finish in St Andrews in 2015 and a fifth in Troon last year.

After victory at The Masters, Sergio kept up his good form with a T30 at The Players, T20 at the Byron Nelson, T12 in Colonial, T21 at the US Open and T2 at the BMW International Open in Germany.

Statswise he is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 30th in driving accuracy, sixth in GIR, third in SGTTG and 17th in par 4 scoring. Sergio seems to be a different man since winning in Augusta and has to be respected here especially with great performances in the Open over the last few years.

 

Henrik Stenson 25/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 25/1 

Its hard not to back Stenson after last years final round performance in Troon. We saw two heavyweights of the game with Stenson and Mickelson going toe to toe in the final round and it turned out to be one of the best final rounds in major championship history. Stenson was on fire from the get go and ended up carding, what turned out to be an unbelievable 63, winning by three from Mickelson who shot a none-too shabby 65.

The Swedes form in this event is excellent over the last ten years or so. He has three top three finishes including a win last year. He played well in Birkdale in 2008 finishing third and followed that with a T13 in Turnberry in 2009, third in St Andrews in 2010, second in Muirfield in 2013 and a superb win last year in Troon.

Stenson has been back showing some good form over the last couple of months finishing T3 at the BMW PGA in Wenworth, T16 at the Players Championship in Sawgrass, T26 at The Nordea Masters, T10 at the BMW International Open and a respectable T26 last week in Scotland, which included a final round 68. Stenson is hitting just under 75% of greens in regulation ranking 21st and ranks eighth in driving accuracy. He seems to be warming up nicely coming into this week and could be one to watch here.

 

Alex Noren 40/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Alex Noren 40/1

The in-form Swede is in superb form over the last year or so and when it comes to links courses, Noren has to be on the shortlist. He won the Scottish Open in Castlestuart in 2016 and went on to win four more times winning the European Masters, The British Masters, The Nedbank Challenge and the BMW PGA Championship. It’s also worth mentioning Noren was runner up to Anthony Wall at the Paul Lawrie Matchplay in 2016 in Archerfield Links in Scotland. He has also played well at the Alfred Dunhill Links over the last few years finishing T11 in 2016 and solo third in 2012.

Since winning the PGA in Wentworth, Noren went on to finish T15 at the Nordea Masters, tenth at The Players Championship and T10 at the Open De France. He hasn’t the best record in the Majors but Alex played well here in Birkdale in 2008 finishing T19. He also had a good week at the 2012 Open Championship finishing T9 at Lytham and St Annes. With a great links record and great current form, the world number nine could be another huge danger man here.

 

Padraig Harrington 50/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Padraig Harrington 50/1 

The 2008 champion has bounced back well after an elbow injury and looks to be back playing some good golf again. The Irishman played excellent last time the Open was held here in Birkdale and shot a superb final round 67 to beat Ian Poulter by four and lift the Claret Jug. Harrington played well last week in Scotland holding the 36 hole lead after shooting 67,68 in the first two rounds. The weather got the better of him on Saturday which resulted in a disappointing 79 but he bounced back with a final round 66 to finish T4. He has had a couple of good results over the last few weeks finishing T17 at the Travelers at the end of June shooting three rounds in the 60’s.

He has two Open Championships under his belt, the first one coming at Carnoustie in 2007 where he beat Sergio Garcia in a playoff and the second here in Birkdale in 2008. He also finished T20 in St Andrews in 2015 and T36 last year in Troon. He seems to be in a good place with his game and he’s the only one in the field that knows what its like to win here in Birkdale. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see him floating around the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon.

 

Ian Poulter 70/1 The Open Championship Betting Preview 2017Ian Poulter 70/1

I thought Poulter looked great value considering he’s back playing some good golf lately. As I mentioned above Poulter finished runner up to Harrington in 2008 on this course and has some good results at The Open over the last few years. He finished ninth in 2012 at Lytham and St Annes and followed that with a third place finish in 2013 in Muirfield.

He had a good week at the RBC Heritage in Harbour Town finishing T11 posting 11 under in total. Poulter then tee’d it up in Sawgrass and played solid throughout the week and putted very well finishing T2. He travelled to Scotland last week and finished T9 at the Scottish Open finishing seven under par in total. After a decent performance in Scotland and a runner up finish here in 2008, Poulter could be worth a small punt here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Adam Scott 28/1 1pt EW

Henrik Stenson 25/1 1 pt EW

Sergio Garcia 18/1 1 pt EW

Alex Noren 40/1 0.5pts EW

Padraig Harrington 50/1 0.5pts EW

Ian Poulter 70/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 9 pts

 

*Most bookies paying seven places (PP paying 8)*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Last week in Augusta

What a finish it was in Augusta National last Sunday night. The back nine had its usual thrills and spills but it all came down to two players facing off against each other standing on the 18th tee with Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia facing the daunting tee shot off the 18th tee. Rose’s drifted fractionally right blocking him from hitting the green with his second and Sergio hit one straight up the middle. Rose made a bogey and Garcia made a birdie. Game over.

It was a bit disappointing for me in that I had Rose at 25’s (and Spieth and Fowler!!) and thought he might be a bit mentally tougher to take down Garcia but it wasn’t meant to be. That being said I don’t think anyone would begrudge Sergio Garcia a major given the fact the guy has been there so many times and stumbled at the last hurdle. Credit where its due, he played great in the closing stages and putted particularly well.

 

Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina  

Par 71, 7,099 yards   

The Course  

Harbour Town was designed by Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus and has been this events venue since 1969. The course is shorter by PGA Tour standards but is still a fine test with tree lined fairways and smaller than average greens. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s in total and can be a bit tricky off the tee. Hitting the right part of the fairway off the tee for your approach shots is key. The greens are ranked some of the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour so hitting plenty of greens in regulation will be important.

History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 25/1

Henley is in fine form lately and comes to Harbour Town with a win and three top 11’s in his last four starts. He had a great week at the Valspar posting a T9 which included an opening round 64. He followed that with a superb win at the Shell Houston Open shooting rounds of 67,67,69,65 to finish 20 under par in total three strokes clear of his nearest challenger Sung Kang. Henley then travelled to Augusta and finished T11 for the tournament which included a final round 69 and played very steady throughout the week. There are a few stand out stats that make Henley appealing for this course.

When he won in Houston two weeks ago he ranked number one for SG putting, T4 for driving accuracy and T4 for greens in reg. Statswise this season he ranks sixth in SG putting, 20th in GIR and 12th in par 4 scoring. After finishing T6 here in 2013 and T23 last year, Henley could be a big danger man here especially if he continues to putt well.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks and is another player with a great record here. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 last week in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here finishing T8 in 2012, T6 in 2013 and T14 last year. If Charley can regain some of last week’s confidence from rounds one and two he could go very well here.

 

Russell Knox 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 33/1

Although he’s played poorly over the last few weeks, Russell Knox seems to be a real horse for the course around Harbour Town over the last few years. The Scot was playing well earlier in the season finishing T10 at the CIMB Classic, T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf, T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and T11 at the Sony Open.

He has played very well around here before finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2015 and T9 in 2014. Staswise Knox ranks 10th in driving accuracy which is a plus around here. If he starts well the Scot could regain some of that early season form on a course that clearly suits his eye.

 

William McGirt 40/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017William McGirt 40/1

After shooting an opening 69 last week in Augusta in round one, McGirt went on to shoot rounds of 73,74,74 to finish in a respectable T22 and looked to be putting very well. He has played well this year finishing T9 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua back in January and followed that with a T24 in Phoenix, T28 at the WGC Mexico, T9 at the WGC Matchplay and a T22 last week in Augusta.

He has played well here in the past finishing T9 in 2014, T31 in 2015 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks sixth in driving accuracy, 31st in GIR and 20th in par 4 scoring. He looks decent value for a guy showing some decent form.

 

Final selections –

Russell Henley 25/1 1pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Knox 33/1 0.5pts EW

William McGirt 40/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

 

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California 

The Courses: 

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,858 yards

Monterey Peninsula – Par 70, 6,838 yards

 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 70 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s.

Pebble Beach is widely known to us golf fans and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has played host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens not to mention the windy weather this time of year.

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its tight, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favour especially if the wind gets up.

Monterey Peninsula is a par 70 and is usually the easiest of the three courses boasting the lowest score average last year of just over 70. The greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here.

There are a few different factors to consider. The greens here are poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favour the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 20/1 

Despite Snedeker’s questionable finish at Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, he could be worth keeping on side here this week. He played well at The Famers Insurance Open and really should’ve won it outright. He started well with a 68,69,70 and then finished poorly with a disappointing final round 73 to finish T9. He started 2017 with a good performance at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge.

He has a great record here over the years finishing T21 and T8 (US Open) here in 2010 along with wins in 2013 and 2015. He ranks 23rd in GIR, seventh in scrambling and 22nd in par 3 scoring. Players with good records tend to go well here and Snedeker could follow up the disappointment of Torrey with a great performance this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Phil Mickelson 20/1 

Phil is a real horse for the course here in Pebble and could be another good linksy style player to keep on side here. He hasn’t finished worse than T21 in his last four events and seems to be getting better and better every week. He finished T8 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T21 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T14 in Torrey Pines and a T16 last week in Phoenix which included a third round 65.

Mickelson has a superb record at Pebble Beach with three wins and four top tens in 12 appearances here. He has made himself a real links specialist over the years which was evident with his solo second and final round 65 in last year’s Open Championship in Troon. He ranks tenth in SG approaches the green, 23rd in SG around the green, 31st in SGP and seventh in scrambling. With Phil’s super record here and great current form, it could be his week.

 

Jon Rahm 22/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 22/1 

The Spaniard has been in fine form lately and comes here on the back of a superb win in Torrey Pines after shooting a flawless 65 in the final round which included a monster eagle on the 18th. He has been in great form this season which started with a T15 at The Safeway Open, T15 at The Shriners Open and a T8 at the World Cup of Golf. He began 2017 with a disappointing T34 at the CareerBuilder Challenge but bounced back with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open followed by a respectable T16 last week in Phoenix.

Rahm is a decent ball striker ranking ninth in SG off the tee, 18th in SGTTG and 13th in par 4 scoring. He looks like a player that could really suit this course and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite starting the season poorly, Reed has been showing some good signs over the last few weeks with some solid performances. He finished solo 10th at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions, which included a second round 65. He then had a T12 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included an opening round 69 and a closing 65.

Reed is another player with a decent record here finishing T7 in 2013, T13 in 2014, T29 in 2015 and T6 last year. Statswise his game looks to really suit this course ranking sixth in SG around the green, fifth in SGP and 32nd in SGTTG. Reed is a bit streaky lately but could be worth a risk here with his previous record.

 

Final selections – 

Brandt Snedeker 20/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 0.5pts EW

Jon Rahm 22/1 0.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Open Championship 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

The Old Course, St Andrews Links, Fife, Scotland

7,305 yards Par 72

The Open Championship takes place at The Old Course for the 28th time with the most recent editions taking place in 2005 and 2010. St Andrews is one of the oldest courses in the world and believed to be the home of golf because the game was first played there in the 15th century. It has two par 5’s, two par 3’s and 14 par 4’s. The par 5’s measure 568 yards (5th) and 618 yards (14th) and could be drivable in two depending on weather conditions. Some of the par 4’s could also be drivable namely the 352 yard 9th and the 348 yard 12th, which will also depend on wind and weather conditions.

This course also features a variety of typical links features with wide fairways, some of them are shared double fairways with plenty of deep grass and gorse bushes which run alongside them. Players that are long and straight off the tee will have a big advantage here.

One of the unique features of the Old Course is the large double greens. Seven greens are shared by two holes each, the 2nd paired with 16th, 3rd with 15th, all the way up to 8th and 10th. Only the 1st, 9th, 17th and 18th holes have their own greens. The Swilcan Bridge, spanning the first and 18th holes, has become a famous icon for golf around the world.

The Old Course has 112 bunkers, which will be its main defence and are all individually named and have their own unique story and history behind them. The two most famous are the 10 ft deep “Hell Bunker” on the 14th hole, and the “Road Hole Bunker” on the 17th hole. Countless professional golfers have seen their dreams of winning the Open Championship squandered by hitting their balls in those bunkers.

This course is favourable for punters having a bet on this tournament as there is plenty pf course history to work with. The Alfred Dunhill Links is played here every year on The European Tour so previous form at that event will be worth checking. Similar to The US Open at Chambers Bay, landing your ball in the right part of the greens will be important here as the greens are large, undulating and unpredictable in terms of bounces. Players that are good long distance putters should also have an advantage here.

The main areas of focus here are:

  • Previous form in 2005,2010, previous Open
  • Previous form at The Alfred Dunhill Links
  • Recent form and links form
  • Driving Distance/Accuracy
  • Strokes gained putting
  • Strokes gained tee to green
  • Approaches from 100-250 yards
  • Scrambling

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie was outstanding in Gullane last week at The Scottish Open. He played a fabulous approach shot into 18 and rolled in the birdie to clinch victory by one stroke over fellow American Matt Kuchar. Despite a poor performance in Chambers Bay, the young American has proven to be somewhat of a Links specialist over the last few years and has a solid Open Championship record.

His first appearance at The Open was here at St Andrews in 2010, where he finished in a respectable T14. He finished T5 in 2011 in Sandwich at a very tricky Royal St Georges and followed that with a respectable T31 at Lytham and St Annes. Last year in Hoylake, Fowler finished T2 with Sergio Garcia on 15 under in pretty tricky conditions in the final round, which didn’t seem to bother him. He also finished T8 last year in Royal Aberdeen at The Scottish Open.

Fowler also played well at The Irish Open recently, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters.

Statwise Rickie ranks 47th in driving distance, first in approaches from 200-225, fourth in approaches from 75-100 and second in approaches from 150-175. With a good record at The Open and a good performance here in the past, Rickie will be feeding off the good vibes from Gullane last week and should be right in the mix here at St Andrews.

 

Henrik Stenson 22/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Henrik Stenson 22/1

After an impressive solo second in Germany recently, Henrik Stenson looks to be peaking just at the right time in terms of form. He has played well at The Old Course in the past finishing T3 at The Open in 2010 finishing on eight under par for the tournament. His record in The Open has been good over the last few years finishing T3 in Royal Birkdale in 2008, T13 in Turnberry in 2009, T3 in St Andrews in 2010 and solo second in Muirfield in 2013. He seems to have recovered from an illness he got just before The Masters and has signs of coming back into some good form.

As well as his solo second in Germany, he also had a good week at The Nordea Masters finishing T13 and was right in the mix after shooting an opening round 65 in Chambers Bay, but sadly fell off the pace and finished a respectable T27. He showed some great early season form finishing T4 at the WGC Cadillac, solo fourth at The Valspar and solo second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Statswise, Stenson could be a good fit here ranking seventh in driving accuracy, first in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 16th in approaches from 200 yards, second in approaches from 175-200 and 13th in par 4 scoring. With a great record at The Open over the years and decent current form, Henrik Stenson looks to be a good bet here at The Old Course.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1

Louis seems to be injury free and playing great golf at the moment. He started poorly in Chambers Bay shooting a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back very well shooting 66,66,67 finishing T2 on four under for the tournament, which included five birdies in a row on the back nine on Sunday. Louis also played well at the WGC Matchplay finishing T5, T7 at The RBC Heritage and a T19 at The Masters.

He has a great record at St Andrews over the last few years. He won The Open here in 2010 by an impressive seven strokes over his nearest contender Lee Westwood and finished in a respectable T19 at Lytham and St Annes. He also has a great record at The Alfred Dunhill Links, which is also played at St Andrews, finishing T6 in 2014 and T5 in 2011.

Louis is averaging 295 yards off the tee ranking 41st in driving distance, 40th in GIR and 27th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 19th in approaches from 175-200 yards, fifth in approaches from 200-225 and second in approaches from 50-75 yards. The South African has a lot of experience around this course and has already shown that he can contend in the majors so far this year.

 

Shane Lowry 45/1 The Open Championship 2015

 Shane Lowry 45/1

After a great start last week in Gullane, opening with rounds of 66,66 in rounds one and two, Lowry fell off the pace shooting 72,71 over the weekend to finish T31 for the tournament. Despite the average performance over the weekend, his game looks to be in great shape especially off the tee and around the greens. His first appearance in an Open Championship was here at St Andrews in 2010, where he finished in a respectable T37 for the tournament. Shane is no stranger to links golf and won The Irish Open in Baltray in 2009 as an amateur beating Robert Rock in a playoff. He has been improving steadily every year finishing T32nd in 2013 in Muirfield and recorded a top 10 at Hoylake last year finishing solo ninth. He also has great form at The Alfred Dunhill Links over the last few years finishing T6 last year and T3 in 2013 so he will be familiar with the layout of The Old Course.

Lowry has been showing some great form this season with a super performance at Chambers Bay at The US Open finishing T9 on level par for the tournament. He also had a good week at The BMW PGA in Wentworth finishing T6 on 11 under for the week. Shane has also played well on other links layouts over the last few years with three top 15’s in The Scottish Open since 2011 finishing T14 at Castle Stuart, T11 in 2012 again at Castle Stuart and T4 last year at Royal Aberdeen. Lowry also finished T10 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2013. With great form at St Andrews and great current form, Shane Lowry looks to be superb value at 45/1.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Branden Grace 45/1

With the exception of one erratic tee shot, Branden Grace could have been hoisting the US Open trophy up in the air on Sunday and not Jordan Spieth. He played steadily all week long opening with a 69 and following that with a 67,70,71 to finish T4 and three under par in total. The South African has been showing some solid form over the last few months. He finished T11 at The BMW PGA at Wentworth, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T7 at The RBC Heritage.

His best finish at The Open Championship was last year in Hoylake, where he finished a respectable T36. Although his Open form isn’t exactly jumping off the page, Grace is no stranger to links golf and has played well here at The Old Course in the past.

He won the Alfred Dunhill Links here in 2012 by two strokes over Thorbjorn Olesen on 22 under par and also finished T25 last year so he is very familiar with this course. He also nearly won the Scottish Open in Castle Stuart in 2013, but was beaten by Phil Mickelson in a playoff and finished second. Statswise he ranks 18th in driving distance hitting an average of 300 yards off the tee. He also ranks fifth in GIR, ninth in putts per GIR and 10th in approaches from 150-175. After a near miss at The US Open, returning to The Old Course could see Branden stir up some good memories and get right into contention again.

 

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1

Tommy has been having a steady season so far with four top 11’s and two top 30’s in his last six starts. He was right in the mix last week at Gullane, but couldn’t quite get going in the final round shooting a final round 72 finishing T10 for the tournament. He also a good week at The BMW International in Germany recently finishing T11 and finished in a respectable T27 in Chambers Bay the week before. He also finished T21 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down, T6 at The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth and T5 at The WGC Matchplay. Tommy has shown great form on links courses over the last few years, particularly at The Alfred Dunhill Links finishing T2 in 2014, solo fifth in 2013 and T5 in 2011. His only European Tour victory came at Gleneagles, where he won the Johnnie Walker Championship in a playoff against Stephen Gallacher and Ricardo Gonzalez.

Statswise Tommy is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 27th in driving distance. He also ranks fifth in GIR hitting 73% of greens in regulation on The European Tour so far this season. He has a proven track record at The Old Course at St Andrews and could be a big contender here at a very generous price.

 

Final selections –

Rickie Fowler 18/1 2pts EW

Henrik Stenson 22/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Shane Lowry 45/1 1 pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1 pt EW

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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