Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Dell Technologies Championship 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs TPC Boston, Massachusetts

Par 71 7,342 yards

The Course

It was a great finish to the Northern Trust last week in New York. Honestly I was thinking we were in great shape with Jordan Spieth leading by five and Matt Kuchar and Patrick Reed sitting in T4 after round three but Dustin Johnson spoiled the party. It wasn’t a bad week with Jordan getting us some small place money losing to DJ in a playoff and Jason Day shooting a final round 67 to finish T5 for another place.

The top 100 in the FedEx Cup Playoffs arrive to TPC Boston for the second of four playoff events for the Dell Technologies Championship, formerly known as the Deutsche Bank Championship. TPC Boston is located in Norton, Massachusetts, approximately 25 miles south of Boston. Only the top 75 will advance to the BMW Championship which starts next week.

Originally designed by Arnold Palmer and built in 2003, the course was re-designed by Gil Hanse and Brad Faxon in 2007 and poses a tricky test for the players this week. Measuring a testing 7,342 yards, this course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s.

The fairways are quite generous and forgiving so accuracy wont be too much of an issue here. The greens are Bentgrass and are fractionally smaller by PGA Tour standards but they do run a bit faster averaging around 12 on the stimp. Hitting these small, fast greens and holing putts will be key.

Going on previous history, distance seems to be quite advantageous with the likes of Rory McIlroy (last year and 2012), and Jason Day on the list of previous recent winners.

There are a total of 58 bunkers on the course some of which could cause some problems for the shorter hitters, but the longer guys should be able to carry some of the fairway cross bunkers off the tee. The shortest hole is the par 3 16th measuring 160 yards and the longest hole is the par 5 7th measuring a lengthy 600 yards which will only be reachable by the longer hitters in the field. Water comes into play on three holes in total – the 2nd, 6th and 16th.

TPC Boston’s 18th hole was renovated in 2011 and now has a smaller, elevated green that is protected by a greenside pot bunker which could offer some drama in the later stages of Sunday.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsRickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie has been playing some great golf recently and could be a huge threat here especially with the flat stick. He has five top 10’s in his last seven starts, four of which are top 5’s. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at the US Open at Glen Oaks, T3 at the Quicken Loans, T22 at the Open Championship, solo ninth at the WGC Bridgestone and a T5 at the PGA Championship. He had a decent performance last week at the Northern Trust finishing T20 which included a 68 and a 66 in the first two rounds.

Fowler has played well on this course in the past finishing T23 in 2014 and an impressive win here in 2015 where he shot four rounds of 68 or better to finish 15 under for the tournament, one shot clear of Henrik Stenson.

Statswise he looks like he could suit this course ranking 38th in driving distance, 47th in GIR, second in SGP and 22nd in par 4 scoring. Rickie is playing great golf lately and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 30/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 30/1

He was a touch disappointing last week in The Northern Trust but I think Reed isn’t far away from playing really good golf so I’ll give him another run here. After shooting 70,67,66 in the first three rounds last week, Reed finished with a disappointing final round 75 to finish T20 on two under for the week. However, I don’t think the final round did his overall performance justice.  He struck the ball really well and putted great throughout the first three rounds he was just a bit unlucky on Sunday.

He has been in great form over the last couple of months with seven top 20 finishes in his last ten starts. His good run of form started at the Byron Nelson where he finished T20 after four rounds of 70 or better. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers, T17 at the Quicken Loans, T20 at the Greenbrier, T2 at The PGA Championship and T20 last week.

Reed has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T4 in 2015 and T5 last year. Of those eight completed rounds, he has shot a 70 or better seven times suggesting this course suits his eye. Reed is particularly strong with the flat stick ranking ninth in SGP so far this season and if he keeps that going in TPC Boston, he could be dangerous.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsLouis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African is in fine form lately with three top 10’s in his last seven starts. He played well in New Orleans finishing in a respectable T24 and followed that with a T2 at the Players, T18 at the Byron Nelson and a T23 at the US Open.

Most recently Oosthuizen has played particularly well shooting rounds of 70,67,71,70 on his way to an impressive T2 at the PGA Championship. Last week in New York Louis shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T10 at the Northern Trust on four under for the tournament.

He has a good record here over the last few years finishing solo second in 2012 which included three rounds of 66 or better, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year which included a third round 64.

Statswise he ranks 18th in SGTTG, 24th in scrambling and 29th in strokes gained putting. Louis looks to be playing very solid lately and looks good value to keep up his good form on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Kevin Chappell 40/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsKevin Chappell 40/1

Ive been keeping a keen eye on Chappell over the last few weeks and he really seems to be playing very steady golf since winning in Texas back at the end of April. He has four top 15’s in his last eight starts and has some good form at this event over the last few years.

He had a good week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting four rounds of 69 or better to finish T4. He followed that with a T23 at the US Open, T8 at the Canadian Open which included three rounds of 69 or better and a T13 at the WGC Bridgestone.

Chappell played well last week in New York shooting 68,73, 64,70 to finish T6 at the Northern Trust and has played well in TPC Boston before finishing T22 in 2013, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year. Stastwise he ranks 26th in driving distance, 21st in SGTTG and 28th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a good record here, Chappell looks decent value to have a good week.

 

Final selections – 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 30/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts (PP Paying 7 places)

 

This will be my last preview of the season as I am away for the next two weeks.

A huge thanks to everyone who reads, liked, shared, retweeted and interacted with the site I really appreciate it.

Best of luck for the rest of the Playoffs and see you in October.

Thanks for reading,

Doublebogey6 (Dave)

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6 

The Masters Betting Preview 2017

The Masters Betting Preview 2017Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia  

Par 72, 7,435 yards  

The Course  

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation will be a key stat here along with approaches, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 7/1

I don’t know what it is about Augusta but it seems to really suit Jordan Spieth. Despite missing the cut last week in Houston, Spieth has been in great form with a win and five top 25’s in his last seven starts. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He has a superb record here with a win and two runner up’s in his last three appearances. Spieth was in the final group with Bubba Watson in 2014 and went on to lose by three which Spieth put down to lack of experience. He won by four strokes over Phil Mickelson in 2015 and played the par 5’s in 11 under par in total. He came agonisingly close to winning last year but had a major hiccup on the par 3 -12th which took him out of the running and ended up finishing second to Danny Willett.

Spieth ticks a lot of boxes for Augusta ranking third in GIR, first in SG Approaches to the green, 14th in SGTTG and 39th in strokes gained putting. I think missing the cut last week could work out in Jordan’s favour giving him an extra couple of days to prepare. He will have a big point to prove after last year which could be a big motivator.


Rickie Fowler 22/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 22/1

Granted, this one is a bit of a risk but I think it’s one worth taking on Rickie Fowler here. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and as I mentioned in my preview last week, he got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes some of the pressure off a bit. He has been in good form so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico, solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T3 last week in Houston. In Houston he led the SGTTG, SG approaches to the green and total birdies and was in the top 5 in GIR and putts per GIR, which are very favourable stats coming into this week.

Despite missing the cut last year, Fowler has played well here finishing fifth in 2014 and 12th in 2015. He ranks 20th in GIR and ninth in strokes gained putting this season, two important stats for the lively greens of Augusta National.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Justin Rose 25/1

The Englishman has been playing some great golf recently has been slipping under the radar lately. He has only finished outside the top 15 twice in his last seven starts including three top 10’s. He had a good week at the Sony finishing solo second and followed that with a T4 in Torrey Pines, T4 at The Genesis Open, T13 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a respectable T15 last week in Houston.

Rose has a good record here with form figures 5,36,20,11,8,25,14,2,10 in his last nine appearances in Augusta. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG off the tee, 19th in SG Around the green, 11th in SGTTG and 25th in driving distance. With great current form and a good record here, Rose could be a big danger man here if he putts well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been in mixed form recently but played super golf earlier in the year. He had a good week at the World Super 6 in Perth in February finishing solo fifth and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 in three rounds. He followed that with a solo third at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament which included a pair of 65’s. Most recently he then travelled to Florida and finished a respectable T21 at the Honda Classic and a T28 in Bay Hill.

Oosthuizen has played well here over the last five years finishing second in 2012, 25th in 2014, 19th in 2015 and 15th last year. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee and 21st in SGTTG so far this season and could be another player with a decent chance here.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick The Masters Betting Preview 2017 Matt Fitzpatrick 60/1

The young Englishman has been playing well over the last few months. He won the European Tour finale, the DP World Championship in Dubai back in November beating fellow in form countryman Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. His good form continued when he returned to Dubai, this time for the Desert Classic finishing T5 on 12 under par for the tournament. Fitzpatrick then went over to the other side of the pond posting a T16 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T13 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational. Last year was his second appearance in Augusta but the first appearance as a pro and he finished T7 after shooting a superb final round 67. He played as an amateur in 2014 and ended up narrowly missing the cut.

Statswise he looks like another player that could suit this course ranking fourth in strokes gained putting, ninth in sand saves and 19th in GIR (European Tour) and 19th in par 5 scoring. He comes to Augusta in much better form this time around and could go well at a generous price.

 

Marc Leishman 60/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 60/1

I’ve had Marc Leishman in mind for the Masters ever since he won in Bay Hill a couple of weeks ago. He has been playing very steady golf this year and only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last ten tournaments. He played very well at the CIMB in Malaysia finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T24 at the OHL Classic, T9 at the World Cup of Golf, back to back T20’s at the Sony and Torrey Pines and a T24 in Phoenix.

The Aussie then shot rounds of 71,66,71,69 to win by one from Charley Hoffman and Kevin Kisner at the Arnold Palmer Invitational where he led GIR and was second in strokes gained putting for the week. Leishman also played well at the WGC Matchplay and got the last 16 but was beaten by Phil Mickelson. Statswise the Aussie ranks third in strokes gained putting, 14th in scrambling, second in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 5 scoring and ninth in 3 putt avoidance. Good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Final selections – (PP 1/5 – 8 places)

Jordan Spieth 1pt EW 7/1

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 22/1

Justin Rose 0.5pts EW 25/1

Louis Oosthuizen 0.5pts EW 50/1

Matt Fitzpatrick 0.5pts EW 60/1

Marc Leishman 0.5pts EW 60/1

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017

WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Club de Golf Chapultepec, Mexico City

Par 71, 7,330 yards

It’s a bit of an unknown this week as we move from the familiar Blue Monster in Doral to Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City for what’s now called the WGC Mexico Championship. The course was designed by Scottish brothers Willie and Alex Smith and opened in 1928 and was the permanent venue for the Mexico Open from 1944 to 1960. It has three par 5’s, two of which measure just over 600 yards, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

It is a similar grass type to Riviera with kikuyu fairways and a mix of poa annua and bentgrass on the greens. The fairways are tree lined but not too narrow so accuracy shouldn’t be a massive issue. There are also some water hazards to contend with, one in particular is the par 3 17th with a lake protecting the front and left side of the green that could offer an interesting finish on Sunday.

The course looks fairly tight but not too difficult to score on. The Mexico Open was last played here in 2014 and was won by Columbia’s Óscar David Álvarez who finished 17 under par in total. The course is at high altitude making the ball travel further which could make things interesting. Two of the three par 5’s could be reachable in two and a couple of the par 4’s could be driveable by some of the bigger hitters so that could be a big advantage here. Players that hit it long, putt well and avoid the penal and sometimes deep greenside bunkers should score well.  A good indicator could be looking at players who had a good week in Riviera a couple of weeks ago as this course has a similar same grass type with kikuyu fairways and poa annua/bentgrass greens.

The weather looks a bit mixed with some showers forecast but the winds will be moderate so scoring should be good.

 

Dustin Johnson 13/2 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Dustin Johnson 13/2

DJ has been in superb form lately with a win and three top six’s in his last five starts. He had a good week in Riviera last time out shooting rounds of 66,66,64,71 on his way to a 17 under total and a five stroke victory. His good form began back in December at the Hero World Challenge where he finished T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and a solo third at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. What stands out is his recent performances on poa annua/bentgrass greens with a win and a third in Riviera and Pebble Beach so that could be a big box ticked here.

Johnson could overpower this venue ranking second in driving distance, third in GIR, 31st in SGP, 12th in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a razor sharp game DJ looks like the man to beat here.

 

Jon Rahm 28/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 28/1

This guy is a serious player and comes here in great form with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. Rahm played well at the World Cup of Golf back in December finishing T8 on 13 under par in total. He began the New Year in style with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines after a superb final round 65, which included an impressive eagle three on the par 5 18th. He followed that with a T16 at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. Rahm then travelled to Pebble Beach where he started with a disappointing 73 in round one, but bounced back with a 67,67,68 finish to post 12 under in total and T5 for the tournament.

The Spaniard is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks fifth in SG off the tee, second in SGTTG, 16th in GIR and fourth in par 4 scoring. Rahm is turning into a superb player and he has the power and the game to be a serious contender here.

 

Gary Woodland 45/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Gary Woodland 45/1

The big hitting American is in great form coming to Mexico this week with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last six events. He played well at the OHL Classic at the starts of the season finishing solo second and followed that with a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. Most recently Woodland had a super performance at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am shooting 67,65 over the weekend to finish T5 on 12 under. He followed that with another solid performance last week at The Honda shooting rounds of 71,66,66,69 to finish eight under and T2 for the tournament.

He is a solid ball striker averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 20th in SGP, 16th in SGTTG, 17th in GIR and eighth in par 4 scoring.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been playing some decent golf lately with four top 10’s in his last seven tournaments. He had a good week at the Nedbank Challenge finishing solo 9th and followed that with another solo 9th at the Hero World Challenge, which included two opening 67’s. He then travelled to Phoenix and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the week to finish solo third. Louis then teed it up in Australia and shot another three rounds in the 60’s to finish solo fifth at the Super 6 in Perth. Last week at the Honda he finished a respectable T21 in Florida posting three under par in total for the tournament.

Growing up in South Africa, Oosthuizen would be used to kikuyu grass which shouldn’t be any problem for him here. Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just under 295 off the tee and ranks 31st in GIR, eighth in SGTTG and ranked eighth in driving accuracy and 11th in driving distance at the Honda last week.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 13/2 1pt EW

Jon Rahm 28/1 0.5pts EW

Gary Woodland 45/1 0.5pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter – DoublebogeyDB6

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas  

7,166 yards, par 70 

The Course 

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Charley Hoffman 20/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2016Charley Hoffman 20/1 

Hoffman has been playing some great golf so far this season and got a great win at The Texas Open a couple of weeks ago. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T29 at The Masters, T14 at The RBC Heritage, a win in Texas and a T11 in New Orleans.

Charley is another player with a solid record here finishing T8 last year shooting rounds of 69,65,64,65. He also played well in 2013 finishing T8 which included three rounds in the 60’s. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green. With great form over the last few weeks and a solid record here Charley could be a man to keep on side here.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 

After a respectable T28 last week in Sawgrass, the South African comes returns to TPC Four Seasons in good form and gets the nod from me again this week. He started the season off with an MC in Dubai but bounced back with a T12 in Malaysia and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

Despite missing the cut in 2011, Louis has played well here in the past finishing T11 in 2012. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee ranking 31st in driving distance, 12th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained tee to green. After a mediocre performance last week at The Players, Oosthuizen looks worth chancing again this week on a course that should suit him a bit better.

 

Charl Schwartzel 25/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Charl Schwartzel 25/1 

I’ve decided to take a chance on another in form South African Charl Schwartzel. He took some time off after missing the cut at The Masters and should be fresh and relaxed coming to Texas this week. He has been in superb form and already has two wins this season on both PGA and European Tour. He won The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63. He then finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and followed that with another great win at The Valspar. He had a good performance in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Charl ticks a lot of boxes here averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance, seventh in GIR and 22nd in strokes gained tee to green. He has a superb record on this course finishing 11th in 2014 and third in 2013 and comes here in much better form this time around. After taking the last couple of weeks off Charl should be fresh and ready to contend this week on a course that he has played well on in the past.

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 70/1 

Knost was very impressive last week in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He lead the greens in regulation stat for the tournament and will be feeling confident coming to his home state this week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

The Dallas native has played well here over the last few years finishing T10 last year and T21 in 2013. He ranks 17th in SGP, third in driving accuracy and 14th in scrambling which are all good stats here. After a great performance last week and good form on this course Knost looks a generous price and could have a good week here.

 

Bryce Molder AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2016Bryce Molder 70/1 

The American looks to be a great bet at generous odds this week. Molder has been in great from recently with three top 12’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in Bay Hill finishing a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the RBC Heritage, T8 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans and a T12 last week in Sawgrass at The Players.

He played well here last year finishing T22 for the tournament but is in much better form this time around. He ranks 12th in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling and 12th in par 3 scoring. After playing well last week Molder could follow that up with another good performance here at TPC Four Seasons.

 

Final Selections – 

Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 20/1 

Louis Oosthuizen 1.5 pts EW 25/1 

Charl Schwartzel 1 pts EW 25/1 

Colt Knost 1 pt EW 70/1 

Bryce Molder 1 pt EW 70/1 

Total Staked = 12 pts

PaddyPower paying 7 places on this tournament.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/Doublebogey6 

The Masters Betting Preview 2016

The Masters Betting Preview 2016

Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia 

Par 72, 7,435 yards 

 

The Course 

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. Augusta National first opened 82 years ago in 1933, and has been modified many times by different architects. It is a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta when compiling a list of players to bet on. The first element is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high penetrated ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation is another stat to consider here as the greens are big and slopey so hitting the ball in the right portion of the green will be very important. Approach stats, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring are other stats to take into consideration here.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has two wins already under his belt this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas where he shot four rounds in the 60’s including a third round 63 to finish 25 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 in Phoenix. He had a great week in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 in his four rounds to finish 15 under for the tournament. He continued that good form in Doral and again shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing 11 under for the week. He has a great record in Augusta with wins in 2014 and 2012.

Bubba ticks a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance averaging over 310 yards off the tee, which will be a big help here. He also ranks first in GIR and SGTTG. He is one of a few players that can shape the ball in both directions and can cut the corners on some of these tricky doglegs. With great current form and a great record here Bubba looks a huge contender here.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1 

If it wasn’t for the dreaded sixth hole at The Golf Club of Houston last week, Phil would’ve finished a hell of a lot better than T13. He was a whopping six over par on that one hole and finished eight under in total and the winner was 15 under so he wasn’t far away. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil is a veteran of Augusta and is a three time winner winning in 2004,2006 and 2010. He also finished solo second last year, third in 2012, fifth in 08 and 09 and 10th in 05 and comes here this week in much better form than he did last year. Mickelson has been putting particularly well ranking sixth in SGP and ninth in SGTTG. He also ranks sixth in scrambling, first in par 3 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. With a solid start to the season and a good performance last week, Phil looks set for a good week on a course he knows so well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African looked superb in The Matchplay beating Jordan Speith, Dustin Johnson and Rafa Cabrera Bello on his way to the final only to be beaten by the unstoppable Jason Day. His form has been superb over the last few weeks with a second place finish last week, a T7 at the Valspar and a T14 at The WGC Cadillac. He has also been in flying form on The European Tour with a win at The Perth International in Australia at the end of February, T12 at The Malaysian Open and a T7 in Qatar. Louis has played superb around Augusta over the last few years finishing second to Bubba Watson in 2012, T25 in 2014 and T19 last year.

He comes here in much better form this time around and is hitting it a long way off the tee averaging over 300 yards and ranks 16th in GIR and 12th in SGTTG. Louis looks in tip top form coming into this and could be another one to watch.

 

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and two top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar. He had a good performance last week in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Schwartzel is another player that has a green jacket already tucked away with a win here in 2011, T30 in 2010 and a T25 in 2013. Charl ticks a lot of boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 11th in scrambling and 21st in par 4 scoring. Charl’s game looks great coming into this week and he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Zach Johnson 60/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Zach Johnson 60/1  

I really thought Zach looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

Johnson is no stranger to Augusta winning here in 2007, T20 in 2008 and a T9 last year. He putted superbly well in the Matchplay which will be a big plus here. He ranks 25th in GIR, 21st in proximity to the hole and is incredibly accurate from 50-125 yards. With some good current form and a solid record here Johnson looks a great bet at 60’s

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 1pt ew

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 1pt EW

Zach Johnson 60/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2015

WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio

Par 70, 7,400 yards

The Course

Firestone is a bit of a beast measuring a whopping 7,400 yards and has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th, which is the longest par five on the PGA Tour and will not be reachable in two for most of the field. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards so length will be a big advantage here. Three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so be on the lookout for guys that are good long iron players.

There is also an element of accuracy needed off the tee as some of the fairways are tree lined and have plenty of bunkers but overall, they are pretty forgiving. Accurate iron play will be a big advantage when approaching these tricky bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting, par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. Other stats worth looking at here are approaches from 150-200 yards as a lot of the par 3’s and par 4’s will demand accurate iron play from that distance.

 

Adam Scott 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Adam Scott 16/1

Scott has been showing some decent form over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He played well in Chambers Bay shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4 at The US Open and followed that with an impressive T10 in St Andrews at The Open Championship. He has played well at the other WGC events earlier in the year finishing T12 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T4 at The WGC Cadillac. Scott has a great record here at Firestone finishing T8 last year, T14 in 2013, Win in 2011 and a T9 in 2010.

The Aussie seems to tick a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 100-125. Scott also ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring, 27th in par 5 scoring and 12th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, which is a good stat for scoring on the 12 par 4’s here. With good current form and a solid record around this course, Adam Scott could be a big threat here this week.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1

Louis has been playing well recently and looks to have put any injury concerns behind him. He looked superb at The Open and putted extremely well all week, but sadly lost a playoff to in form Zach Johnson and ended up finishing P2. Despite shooting a 77 in round one, Oosthuizen also had a superb week at The US Open in Chambers Bay and recovered well shooting rounds of 66,66,67 to get right back in the thick of things and finish T2 on four under for the tournament. He has played well at The other WGC’s earlier in the year finishing solo 6th at The WGC Cadillac, T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions and T5 at The WGC Matchplay.

Louis has played well here in the past finishing T4 in 2012 and T9 in 2010. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 32nd in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 27th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks third in approaches from 200-225, sixth in approaches from 200+ and 13th in par 4 scoring. Oosthuizen seems to play better on the bigger stages and looks to be right on the cusp of a win any day now given his current form.

 

Zach Johnson 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips Firestone Country Club

Zach Johnson 40/1

Zach Johnson has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last five starts. After a brilliant win at St Andrews beating Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff, Johnson also finished T3 at The John Deere Classic the week before, solo sixth at The Travelers and solo fifth at The Byron Nelson. He has also played well here in the past finishing T23 last year, T4 in 2013 and T6 in 2011.

Statswise, Johnson ranks third in driving accuracy, 34th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green and 21st in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, seventh in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. All in all, Zach Johnson is in superb format present and should be able to keep that going this week at Firestone.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2015 Betting Preview and Tips Firestone Country Club, Ohio

Jim Furyk 40/1

Furyk come here this week with two top 5’s in his last four starts. He played well at The RBC Canadian Open recently shooting 68,69,68,69 on his way to solo fourth and a 14 under par total and showed some great consistency. He also had a good week at The Memorial finishing T5 on twelve under for the week. He also played well at the other WGC events finishing T12 at The WGC Cadillac and fourth in The Matchplay. Furyk has a great record around Firestone finishing T15 last year, ninth in 2013, second in 2012 and sixth in 2010.

Statswise he ranks 11th in driving accuracy, 24th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green, 12th in approaches from 200-225 and second in approaches from 250-275. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 175-200 and 22nd in par 4 scoring. With such a good record here over the years and great current form, Jim Furyk looks a great shout here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Adam Scott 16/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 25/1 2pts EW

Zach Johnson 40/1 1pt EW

Jim Furyk 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Open Championship 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

The Old Course, St Andrews Links, Fife, Scotland

7,305 yards Par 72

The Open Championship takes place at The Old Course for the 28th time with the most recent editions taking place in 2005 and 2010. St Andrews is one of the oldest courses in the world and believed to be the home of golf because the game was first played there in the 15th century. It has two par 5’s, two par 3’s and 14 par 4’s. The par 5’s measure 568 yards (5th) and 618 yards (14th) and could be drivable in two depending on weather conditions. Some of the par 4’s could also be drivable namely the 352 yard 9th and the 348 yard 12th, which will also depend on wind and weather conditions.

This course also features a variety of typical links features with wide fairways, some of them are shared double fairways with plenty of deep grass and gorse bushes which run alongside them. Players that are long and straight off the tee will have a big advantage here.

One of the unique features of the Old Course is the large double greens. Seven greens are shared by two holes each, the 2nd paired with 16th, 3rd with 15th, all the way up to 8th and 10th. Only the 1st, 9th, 17th and 18th holes have their own greens. The Swilcan Bridge, spanning the first and 18th holes, has become a famous icon for golf around the world.

The Old Course has 112 bunkers, which will be its main defence and are all individually named and have their own unique story and history behind them. The two most famous are the 10 ft deep “Hell Bunker” on the 14th hole, and the “Road Hole Bunker” on the 17th hole. Countless professional golfers have seen their dreams of winning the Open Championship squandered by hitting their balls in those bunkers.

This course is favourable for punters having a bet on this tournament as there is plenty pf course history to work with. The Alfred Dunhill Links is played here every year on The European Tour so previous form at that event will be worth checking. Similar to The US Open at Chambers Bay, landing your ball in the right part of the greens will be important here as the greens are large, undulating and unpredictable in terms of bounces. Players that are good long distance putters should also have an advantage here.

The main areas of focus here are:

  • Previous form in 2005,2010, previous Open
  • Previous form at The Alfred Dunhill Links
  • Recent form and links form
  • Driving Distance/Accuracy
  • Strokes gained putting
  • Strokes gained tee to green
  • Approaches from 100-250 yards
  • Scrambling

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie was outstanding in Gullane last week at The Scottish Open. He played a fabulous approach shot into 18 and rolled in the birdie to clinch victory by one stroke over fellow American Matt Kuchar. Despite a poor performance in Chambers Bay, the young American has proven to be somewhat of a Links specialist over the last few years and has a solid Open Championship record.

His first appearance at The Open was here at St Andrews in 2010, where he finished in a respectable T14. He finished T5 in 2011 in Sandwich at a very tricky Royal St Georges and followed that with a respectable T31 at Lytham and St Annes. Last year in Hoylake, Fowler finished T2 with Sergio Garcia on 15 under in pretty tricky conditions in the final round, which didn’t seem to bother him. He also finished T8 last year in Royal Aberdeen at The Scottish Open.

Fowler also played well at The Irish Open recently, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters.

Statwise Rickie ranks 47th in driving distance, first in approaches from 200-225, fourth in approaches from 75-100 and second in approaches from 150-175. With a good record at The Open and a good performance here in the past, Rickie will be feeding off the good vibes from Gullane last week and should be right in the mix here at St Andrews.

 

Henrik Stenson 22/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Henrik Stenson 22/1

After an impressive solo second in Germany recently, Henrik Stenson looks to be peaking just at the right time in terms of form. He has played well at The Old Course in the past finishing T3 at The Open in 2010 finishing on eight under par for the tournament. His record in The Open has been good over the last few years finishing T3 in Royal Birkdale in 2008, T13 in Turnberry in 2009, T3 in St Andrews in 2010 and solo second in Muirfield in 2013. He seems to have recovered from an illness he got just before The Masters and has signs of coming back into some good form.

As well as his solo second in Germany, he also had a good week at The Nordea Masters finishing T13 and was right in the mix after shooting an opening round 65 in Chambers Bay, but sadly fell off the pace and finished a respectable T27. He showed some great early season form finishing T4 at the WGC Cadillac, solo fourth at The Valspar and solo second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Statswise, Stenson could be a good fit here ranking seventh in driving accuracy, first in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 16th in approaches from 200 yards, second in approaches from 175-200 and 13th in par 4 scoring. With a great record at The Open over the years and decent current form, Henrik Stenson looks to be a good bet here at The Old Course.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1

Louis seems to be injury free and playing great golf at the moment. He started poorly in Chambers Bay shooting a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back very well shooting 66,66,67 finishing T2 on four under for the tournament, which included five birdies in a row on the back nine on Sunday. Louis also played well at the WGC Matchplay finishing T5, T7 at The RBC Heritage and a T19 at The Masters.

He has a great record at St Andrews over the last few years. He won The Open here in 2010 by an impressive seven strokes over his nearest contender Lee Westwood and finished in a respectable T19 at Lytham and St Annes. He also has a great record at The Alfred Dunhill Links, which is also played at St Andrews, finishing T6 in 2014 and T5 in 2011.

Louis is averaging 295 yards off the tee ranking 41st in driving distance, 40th in GIR and 27th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 19th in approaches from 175-200 yards, fifth in approaches from 200-225 and second in approaches from 50-75 yards. The South African has a lot of experience around this course and has already shown that he can contend in the majors so far this year.

 

Shane Lowry 45/1 The Open Championship 2015

 Shane Lowry 45/1

After a great start last week in Gullane, opening with rounds of 66,66 in rounds one and two, Lowry fell off the pace shooting 72,71 over the weekend to finish T31 for the tournament. Despite the average performance over the weekend, his game looks to be in great shape especially off the tee and around the greens. His first appearance in an Open Championship was here at St Andrews in 2010, where he finished in a respectable T37 for the tournament. Shane is no stranger to links golf and won The Irish Open in Baltray in 2009 as an amateur beating Robert Rock in a playoff. He has been improving steadily every year finishing T32nd in 2013 in Muirfield and recorded a top 10 at Hoylake last year finishing solo ninth. He also has great form at The Alfred Dunhill Links over the last few years finishing T6 last year and T3 in 2013 so he will be familiar with the layout of The Old Course.

Lowry has been showing some great form this season with a super performance at Chambers Bay at The US Open finishing T9 on level par for the tournament. He also had a good week at The BMW PGA in Wentworth finishing T6 on 11 under for the week. Shane has also played well on other links layouts over the last few years with three top 15’s in The Scottish Open since 2011 finishing T14 at Castle Stuart, T11 in 2012 again at Castle Stuart and T4 last year at Royal Aberdeen. Lowry also finished T10 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2013. With great form at St Andrews and great current form, Shane Lowry looks to be superb value at 45/1.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Branden Grace 45/1

With the exception of one erratic tee shot, Branden Grace could have been hoisting the US Open trophy up in the air on Sunday and not Jordan Spieth. He played steadily all week long opening with a 69 and following that with a 67,70,71 to finish T4 and three under par in total. The South African has been showing some solid form over the last few months. He finished T11 at The BMW PGA at Wentworth, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T7 at The RBC Heritage.

His best finish at The Open Championship was last year in Hoylake, where he finished a respectable T36. Although his Open form isn’t exactly jumping off the page, Grace is no stranger to links golf and has played well here at The Old Course in the past.

He won the Alfred Dunhill Links here in 2012 by two strokes over Thorbjorn Olesen on 22 under par and also finished T25 last year so he is very familiar with this course. He also nearly won the Scottish Open in Castle Stuart in 2013, but was beaten by Phil Mickelson in a playoff and finished second. Statswise he ranks 18th in driving distance hitting an average of 300 yards off the tee. He also ranks fifth in GIR, ninth in putts per GIR and 10th in approaches from 150-175. After a near miss at The US Open, returning to The Old Course could see Branden stir up some good memories and get right into contention again.

 

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1

Tommy has been having a steady season so far with four top 11’s and two top 30’s in his last six starts. He was right in the mix last week at Gullane, but couldn’t quite get going in the final round shooting a final round 72 finishing T10 for the tournament. He also a good week at The BMW International in Germany recently finishing T11 and finished in a respectable T27 in Chambers Bay the week before. He also finished T21 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down, T6 at The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth and T5 at The WGC Matchplay. Tommy has shown great form on links courses over the last few years, particularly at The Alfred Dunhill Links finishing T2 in 2014, solo fifth in 2013 and T5 in 2011. His only European Tour victory came at Gleneagles, where he won the Johnnie Walker Championship in a playoff against Stephen Gallacher and Ricardo Gonzalez.

Statswise Tommy is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 27th in driving distance. He also ranks fifth in GIR hitting 73% of greens in regulation on The European Tour so far this season. He has a proven track record at The Old Course at St Andrews and could be a big contender here at a very generous price.

 

Final selections –

Rickie Fowler 18/1 2pts EW

Henrik Stenson 22/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Shane Lowry 45/1 1 pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1 pt EW

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2015

Shell Houston Open 2015 betting preview 2015

Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas

7,441 yards, par 72

Last week at The Valero Texas Open –

How tricky did TPC San Antonio look last week? The players struggled around for the four days in very windy conditions. Jimmy Walker was a class act from start to finish shooting 71,67,69,70 on his way to an 11 under par victory, four clear of his nearest challenger Jordan Spieth.

As for last week’s selections, we ended up with a nice each way return on Daniel Summerhays at 66/1, who finished T4th along with Chesson Hadley. That gave us a little bit of profit and a total profit of +191.93 for the season so far. Let’s keep it going this week in Houston and tee us up nicely for The Masters next week!

 

The Course

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field through a win. This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards.

It is set up to replicate Augusta for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Patrick Reed 16/1 Shell Houston Open

Patrick Reed 16/1

After taking a week off last week, Reed will come to Houston feeling rested and confident after coming close to winning the Valspar a couple of weeks ago. He got into a playoff with Jordan Spieth and Sean O Hair and put on a masterclass with his shortgame. He got up and down out from everywhere and putted superbly, but was beaten by Ryder Cup team mate Spieth after he holed a superb 30 footer on the third playoff hole for a birdie and the win. I believe the confident Texan will take that good form into this week in Houston.

His current form is good with a win, two top 10’s and two top 25’s in his last seven events. He won the Hyundai Tournament of Champions in Kapalua in early January and continued that good run of form with a T24 at The Humana, T29 at Pebble Beach, T7 at The Honda and a T23 at Doral.

Reed is averaging 290 off the tee and ranks 13th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in strokes gained putting, fourth in approaches from 250-275 and 27th in approaches from 150-175, which Is a good stat for approaches into the long par 4’s. He also ranks 23rd in par 3 scoring, fifth in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After coming close a couple of weeks ago, Reed could go one better this week and be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 Shell Houston Open

J.B. Holmes 25/1

With three top 10’s and a top 25 in his last five events, J.B. Holmes is another player that took last week off and should be well rested and ready to contend in Houston. Despite a missed cut at Bay Hill, Holmes has been playing very well over the last few weeks and came close to winning at Torrey Pines, but was beaten in a playoff by Jason Day at The Farmers Insurance Open at the beginning of February.

He continued that good run of form and finished T10 at Pebble Beach, which included a superb first round 64. He then had another good week at The Northern Trust Open finishing T22, which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 76. He led after round one in Doral after opening with an impressive 62 and went on to finish solo 2nd.

Holmes has played well here in the past finishing T12 last year, T8 in 2012, T4 in 2011 and P2 in 2009 when he lost in a playoff to Paul Casey. Statswise he ranks 11th in driving distance averaging 303 off the tee, ninth in strokes gained tee to green and 30th in approaches from 150-175,which is a good stat for approaches into the long par 4’s. He also ranks 35th in par 3 scoring, 30th in par 5 scoring and seventh in par 4 birdie or better leaders. With great current form and a good history here, Holmes will be one to watch.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 Shell Houston Open

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1

The South African has only played in a handful of events this year on The PGA Tour and has been showing glimpses of good form. He had a good week at Doral shooting 71,74,67,73 on his way to a solo 6th. He then missed the cut at The Valspar, but bounced back very well at The Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill finishing T9th. Louis is a horse for the course here and has played well in the past finishing T10 in 2013, solo 3rd in 2012 and T16 in 2011.

He is a decent driver of the ball averaging 294 off the tee and hitting just short of 70% greens in regulation in his last four events on the PGA Tour. After finishing solo 3rd in 2012, he went on to get into a playoff with Bubba Watson in The Masters the following week so keep an eye on Louis here this week.

 

Jason Kokrak 40/1 Shell Houston Open 2015

Jason Kokrak 40/1

Jason Kokrak is a player that could really suit this track with his length. He was unlucky not to finish with another top 10 last week in Texas where he carded five bogeys in his final round to finish with a two over 74. Despite that, he still finished in a respectable T11 for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last couple of weeks finishing with a T7 at The Valspar and a T6 at The Arnold Palmer. Kokrak has played well here in the past finishing solo 9th in 2013 and comes to The Golf Club of Houston in much better form this time around.

Statswise he ranks 12th in driving distance averaging 304 yards off the tee and 49th in both strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. His approach stats are also good ranking 16th in approaches from 175-200 and 25th in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks seventh in par 5 scoring and 32nd in par 4 scoring. With Kokrak’s current form and length, he could be a serious danger here at an attractive price.

 

Sean Stefani top 10 finis Shell Houston Open 4/1

Top 10 Finish –

Shawn Stefani 4/1

Shawn Stefani has been playing well this season with three top 15 finishes earlier this year. He played well at The OHL Classic finishing solo 2nd, T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T15 at The Humana Challenge at the end of January. Most recently, he had a good week at The Valspar finishing T17 and followed that with a T21 at Bay Hill. Last week, he finished in a respectable T26 at The Texas Open, which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing first round 79.

Stefani played very well here last year finishing solo 5th on 10 under par for the tournament. He ranks 45th in driving distance, 27th in GIR and sixth in approaches from 200-225, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 13th in par 5 scoring and 38th in par 4 scoring. With a good finish here last year and good current form, Stefani is more than capable of finishing in the top 10 this week.

 

Final selections –

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW 16/1

J.B. Holmes 1.5pts EW 25/1

Louis Oosthuizen 1 pt EW 28/1

Jason Kokrak 1 pt EW 40/1

Shawn Stefani 2 pts Top 10 finish 4/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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