Houston Open Betting Preview 2018

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2018Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas   

7,441 yards, par 72    

The Course   

Welcome to my Houston Open Betting Preview 2018 its good to be back. The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has traditionally been held the week before the Masters for the last few years giving the players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

The fairways are wide and forgiving with very little rough with water in play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes. The greens are set up similar to Augusta in preparation for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.   

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for players with good GIR stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 12/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 12/1 

After an early finish at the WGC Matchplay last week, Phil should be primed and ready to go for a competitive couple of weeks starting this week in Houston. Lefty has been playing some great golf this year with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts.

He started the season off with an impressive T3 at the Safeway Open followed by a respectable T15 at the WGC HSBC Champions. His more recent form figures read 5,2,6,1,17 and started with a great week in Phoenix posting a T5 and followed that with a T2 in Pebble and an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open.

The Five-time major winner then traveled to Mexico and defeated Justin Thomas in a play-off after an exciting final round 66 at the WGC-Mexico Championship to claim his first victory since the 2013 Open. Mickelson has a great record here in Houston with form figures 55,13,17,12,16,4 including a win in 2011 in his last seven appearances.

Statswise he is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 19th in SGTTG, second in SGP and seventh in par 4 scoring. Mickelson is brimming with confidence since winning in Mexico and has to be a big contender here this week.

 

Luke List 25/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Luke List 25/1

List was a bit unlucky to break his putter last week in the first round of the WGC Matchplay. He went toe to toe with the in form Justin Thomas in round one and despite breaking putter walking off the sixth, he still took Thomas to the 16th green where he eventually lost 2&1.

He said afterwards “I was walking off the 6th tee, and I was a little unhappy about the way I was feeling, a little under the weather, and I thought it was like a brush area and I just kind of swiped my putter, and it turned out to be a wall. It bent like a fraction of an inch. So unfortunately I couldn’t use it the rest of the way. Stupid on my part.” Granted, it was a bit silly but you have to give credit where its due, he still putted pretty well with a wedge for the guts of 11 holes.

His form has been solid over the last few weeks with form figures 26,2,16,7 in his last four starts. List had a respectable week in Torrey Pines finishing T26 and followed that with a solo second at the Honda, where he lost a playoff to Justin Thomas, a T16 a the Valspar and a T7 in Bay Hill. List has played here twice before finishing T3 last year which included three rounds of 68 or better and a T27 in 2016.

Statswise The American ranks third in driving distance averaging an impressive 316 off the tee and 11th in SGTTG. After being knocked out of the Matchplay early, that could work to his advantage here.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 

RCB has been steady as they come recently and arrives to Houston in good form. He was knocked out of the matchplay early last week so he has had plenty of time to get his game right here. His form figures over the last couple of months reads 40,6,26,26,29,3,36.

He started the year with a T6 in Dubai in late January and followed that with back to back T26’s in Riviera and Pebble beach and a T29 at the Honda. The Spaniard then traveled to the WGC Mexico Championship and shot four rounds of 69 or better, including an opening round 66 to finish T3 for the tournament.

He has played here twice before finishing solo fourth in 2016 which included a 68,65 over the weekend and an MC last year. Statswise he ticks the boxes here ranking sixth in GIR, 13TH in SGTTG, 45th in SGP and 25th in par 4 scoring. Rafa should be well rested after a weekend off last week and looks decent value to have another good week in Houston.

 

Final Selections – 

Phil Mickelson 12/1 1pt EW

Luke List 25/1 1pt EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 6pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017

Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017TPC San Antonio, AT&T Oaks Course, Texas  

7,435 yards, par 72  

The Course  

TPC San Antonio is located in the Cibolo Canyons area north of San Antonio, Texas, and opened in February 2010.

The resort features two 18-hole golf courses, the AT&T Canyons Course designed by Pete Dye in and Bruce Lietzke, and the AT&T Oaks Course designed by Greg Norman and Sergio Garcia. Both courses are members of the Tournament Players Club network operated by the PGA Tour, with the Oaks Course hosting the Valero Texas Open since 2010. The Canyons course took over as the venue for the AT&T Championship on the Champions Tour in 2011.

The Oaks Course is a tricky par 72 with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. This course is a tough challenge with narrow fairways and deep bunkers. There is also a lot of vegetation where there can be some unplayable lies so hitting the fairways will be very important this week. This course can sometimes get windy and ranks in the top 10 of the most difficult courses to play on the PGA Tour. The average winning score has been between 8 and 14 under for the last five years.

Driving accuracy is one important stat to consider on this course as there are many narrow fairways and deep penal rough to contend with. Also hitting accurate iron shots into the right areas of these tricky undulating greens will be important along with good GIR stats.  Par 5, par 4, par 3 scoring, proximity to the hole and strokes gained putting are also worth looking at. These greens are tricky Bermuda greens and will require a decent putter.

 

Charley Hoffman 25/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 25/1 

Charley gets another nod here in Texas where his form has been solid over the last few years. Despite missing the cut last week, Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here with form figures of 6,2,13,3,11,11 since 2010 not to mention his superb win last year where he won by one stroke from Patrick Reed to finish 12 under par for the tournament. Hoffman is a real horse for the course and could be well in the hunt come Sunday.

 

Brendan Steele 28/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 28/1

Steele has been playing really good golf so far this year. He started the season off in style with a win at The Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in windy Kapalua at the SBS Tournament of Champions, T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T20 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T16 in Phoenix. More recently he finished T14 in Florida at the Honda Classic and T27 in Augusta which included a final round 69.

He has a great record here with a win in 2011, fourth in 2012, eighth in 2015 and T13 last year. Steele also ticks alot of boxes here ranking 30th in driving distance, 24th in GIR, 13th in SG tee to green, first in scrambling and 12th in par 5 scoring.  Another horse for the course and good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Adam Hadwin Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Adam Hadwin 33/1

Hadwin is another player in great form coming into this week. The Canadian started the season with a solo second at the CareerBuilder Challenge and followed that with a T12 in Phoenix, a  win at the Valspar and a solo sixth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Hadwin has played well at windy venues already this year finishing T10 at The OHL Classic in Mexico. He also played well last week in Harbour Town finishing a respectable T22 which included a final round 69.

Hadwin also looks good here statswise ranking 15th in SG tee to green, third in scrambling, 18th in strokes gained putting and fourth in par 3 scoring.  If he keeps up his good run of form this week he could be right in the mix.

 

Luke List 50/1 Valero Texas Open Betting Preview 2017Luke List 50/1 

The American has been playing well lately and comes to Texas with a decent bank of form. He had a good week at the Valspar finishing a respectable T27 on two under par for the week. He followed that with a steady T17 at the Arnold Palmer in Bay Hill and a T3 last week in Houston, which included three rounds in the 60’s. List has played well at wind affected venues finishing T7 at the OHL Classic and the windy  El Cameleon Course in Mexico and had another good week at the Sony Open in Hawaii finishing T13 for the tournament.

List has played here twice before with his best finish coming last year where he posted T29. Statswise he ranks third in driving distance, 36th in GIR, seventh in par 3 scoring and third in par 5 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Charley Hoffman 25/1 1pt EW

Brendan Steele 28/1 0.5pts EW

Adam Hadwin 33/1 0.5pts EW 

Luke List 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017

Career Builder Challenge Betting Preview 2017The CareerBuilder Challenge is a pro-am format played over three courses with the PGA West Stadium being the host course. The cut will be decided after three rounds with the final round played by the professionals only.

 

The Courses:  

La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree lined fairways which are not particularly narrow, with some water features that come into play. The greens are Bermuda grass and this course tends to be quite tricky and can play quite fast depending on the weather conditions.

 

PGA West Stadium Course – Par 72, 7,300 yards and has four par fives and four par 3’s. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams and lakes that come into play.  The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit. There are several bunkers, some are very deep and will be very challenging. The greens are also Bermuda grass and are also quite large but can also play very fast depending on weather conditions.

 

PGA West Tournament Course – Par 72, 7,204 yards. This course was used for the first time last year has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens with water featuring on around seven holes.

The average score of the winner of this tournament has been around the 25 under mark. Also keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favorable locations to cater for the amateurs. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage so be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.

With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. Players that have had a good week at The Sony usually bring that momentum into this week as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week and have played well here in the past should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.

 

Bill Haas 20/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Bill Haas 20/1

Bill Haas has had a decent start to the season with four top 20 finishes in his last four starts. He started with a respectable T20 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T4 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China where he didnt shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week to finish 15 under for the tournament. He then travelled to the RSM Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to finish 12 under and T12 for the tournament. He started 2017 off with a solid performance last week at the in Hawaii finishing T13 which included four rounds in the 60’s (67,66,67,67).

Haas has a superb record here with two wins and three top 10’s in seven appearances. He won here in 2010 and followed that with a second in 2011, sixth in 2014, win in 2015 and a ninth place finish last year. Statswise he ranks 35th in SGP, 25th in GIR, 20th in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 3 scoring which are all good numbers for this course. Haas hasnt shot worse than a 71 in his last 16 competitive rounds and could be one to watch here.

 

Jamie Lovemark 33/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Jamie Lovemark 33/1

The young American started the season with a respectable T20 at the Safeway Open and followed thta with a T35 at the OHL Classic at Myakoba. He then started showing some solid form finishing T6 at the RSM Classic which included a 66 in round two and a 65 in round four to finish 14 under in total. Last week at the Sony Open, he had another super week shooting rounds of 64,68,65,65 to finish T4 on 18 under.

Statswise he ranks 19th in SGP, 22nd in scrambling and 15th in par 4 scoring. He played well here last year and started with three 65’s but had a dissapointing finish shooting a final round 75 to finish T6. He seems to have more experience this time around and could be another man to watch here.

 

Luke List 50/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Luke List 50/1

List opened with a respectable T26 at the Safeway Open and  followed that with five top 15’s in a row which started with a T2 at The Sanderson Farms Championship. He had another good week at the Shriners Open in Vegas finishing T15 which included a final round 64 and finished T7 the following week at the OHL Classic. He finished in a respectable T13 at the RSM Classic and started the new year with another T13 last week at The Sony Open in Hawaii.

Statswise List ranks 22nd in SGP, fifth in driving distance, ninth in par 5 scoring and 21st in par 3 scoring and looks like a player that could dominate the par 5’s with his length. He played great here last year shooting rounds of 68,68,66,66 to finish T6 and could easily improve on that this year. Its worth mentioning List has shot A 69 or better in 15 of his last 16 competitive rounds on the PGA Tour.

 

Chez Reavie 66/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2017Chez Reavie 66/1

Reavie is another player bang in form coming to California this week with two top 25’s and two top 10’s in his last five starts. He started with a T22 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T24 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. Reavie had another good week at the OHL Classic finishing T4 which included an impressive third round 63. He started the new year off on a positive note finishing T8 at The Sony Open last week shooting a superb 61 in the final round to post 16 under par in total.

Reavie has played well here in the past with three top 25’s in six appearances. He finished fifth in 2008, 22nd in 2012 and T17 last year. He ranks 15th in SG Approaches to the green, 24th in SGTTG and  26th in proximity to the hole. After an impressive 61 in the final round last week at the Sony, Reavie will be feeling confident here and could have a good chance.

 

Final selections –

Bill Haas 1pt EW 20/1

Jamie Lovemark 0.5 pts EW 33/1

Luke List 0.5 pts EW 50/1

Chez Reavie 0.5 pts EW 66/1

Total staked = 5pts

 

Paddypower paying seven places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

 

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