Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017 Bubba WatsonTPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is shorter than your average PGA Tour setup measuring 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways with four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 yards and will offer birdie opportunities along with the par 4 second, which measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field.

These greens are bentgrass and are smaller by tour standards so good, accurate Iron play will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win), Bubba Watson (3 top 10’s and two wins) and Kevin Streelman (a win and two top 10’s). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats here are good course history, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Justin Thomas Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Justin Thomas 14/1

What a third round Justin had last week in Erin Hills. He carded an impressive nine birdies and an eagle to post a nine under 63. He has been in good form throughout the season with three wins and four top 10’s so far. He started off with a win at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with back to back wins at the SBS Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open in Hawaii. Most recently, Thomas has three top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T5 which included an impressive final round 61. He followed that with a T4 at Memorial and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Thomas has a good record here at TPC River Highlands finishing T30 in 2013 and a T3 last year. He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking 11th in driving distance, 19th in GIR, fourth in SG approaches to the green and 29th in SG putting. Thomas will be looking to bounce back with a big week here after a disappointing finish to the US Open.

 

Marc Leishman 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 30/1

The Aussie started well last week at the US Open shooting 68,72,72 in the first three rounds and looked to be putting well throughout the week. Leishman has been in fine form over the last couple of months and got his first win of the season in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T13 at the Byron Nelson, T15 at Memorial and a T27 last week in Erin Hills.

Leishman has a great record at this course with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013, T11 in 2014 and a T9 last year. He ranks 38th in driving distance, 32nd in SGP, 23rd in SG tee to green and 28th in bogey avoidance. After playing well at the US Open, the Aussie could be in for another good week on a course he knows well.

 

Brandt Snedeker Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 28/1

Sneds could be primed and ready for another good performance after playing well at the US Open last week where he finished T9. He didn’t shoot worse than a 71 throughout the tournament and looked to be putting particularly well with his signature pop stroke. The American has been playing solid since his T6 in Torrey Pines and has been relatively consistent since. He followed that with a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship, T27 at The Masters, T11 at the RBC Heritage and a T9 last week in Erin Hills.

Snedeker has played here twice over the last three years finishing T11 in 2014 and a T10 in 2015. Sneds has gone low around this course a couple of times shooting a 63 in round three in 2015 and an impressive 64 in round four in 2014. Statswise he ranks 19th in SG putting, 14th in birdie average and second in par 3 scoring.

 

Brendan Steele 30/1 Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 30/1

Brendan Steele is a real horse for the course here at TPC River Highlands and arrives in pretty decent form. He started the season off with a win at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T6 in Kapalua and a T6 at the CarrerBuilder Challenge. Most recently, Steele played well at the Masters finishing in a respectable T27 and followed that with a T6 at the Players Championship and a T13 last week at the US Open.

Steele is another player with a decent record here finishing T13 in 2011, T13 in 2013, T5 in 2014, T25 in 2015 and a T17 last year. Brendan has gone low around here over the last few years shooting 62 in round one in 2014, a 66 in the final round in 2013 and a 64 in the final round last year. With a great record here and good current form, Steele looks a good shout here.

 

Final selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Marc Leishman 30/1 0.5pts EW 

Brandt Snedeker 28/1 0.5pts EW

Brendan Steele 30/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The Masters Betting Preview 2017

The Masters Betting Preview 2017Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia  

Par 72, 7,435 yards  

The Course  

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation will be a key stat here along with approaches, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 7/1

I don’t know what it is about Augusta but it seems to really suit Jordan Spieth. Despite missing the cut last week in Houston, Spieth has been in great form with a win and five top 25’s in his last seven starts. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He has a superb record here with a win and two runner up’s in his last three appearances. Spieth was in the final group with Bubba Watson in 2014 and went on to lose by three which Spieth put down to lack of experience. He won by four strokes over Phil Mickelson in 2015 and played the par 5’s in 11 under par in total. He came agonisingly close to winning last year but had a major hiccup on the par 3 -12th which took him out of the running and ended up finishing second to Danny Willett.

Spieth ticks a lot of boxes for Augusta ranking third in GIR, first in SG Approaches to the green, 14th in SGTTG and 39th in strokes gained putting. I think missing the cut last week could work out in Jordan’s favour giving him an extra couple of days to prepare. He will have a big point to prove after last year which could be a big motivator.


Rickie Fowler 22/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 22/1

Granted, this one is a bit of a risk but I think it’s one worth taking on Rickie Fowler here. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and as I mentioned in my preview last week, he got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes some of the pressure off a bit. He has been in good form so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico, solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T3 last week in Houston. In Houston he led the SGTTG, SG approaches to the green and total birdies and was in the top 5 in GIR and putts per GIR, which are very favourable stats coming into this week.

Despite missing the cut last year, Fowler has played well here finishing fifth in 2014 and 12th in 2015. He ranks 20th in GIR and ninth in strokes gained putting this season, two important stats for the lively greens of Augusta National.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Justin Rose 25/1

The Englishman has been playing some great golf recently has been slipping under the radar lately. He has only finished outside the top 15 twice in his last seven starts including three top 10’s. He had a good week at the Sony finishing solo second and followed that with a T4 in Torrey Pines, T4 at The Genesis Open, T13 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a respectable T15 last week in Houston.

Rose has a good record here with form figures 5,36,20,11,8,25,14,2,10 in his last nine appearances in Augusta. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG off the tee, 19th in SG Around the green, 11th in SGTTG and 25th in driving distance. With great current form and a good record here, Rose could be a big danger man here if he putts well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been in mixed form recently but played super golf earlier in the year. He had a good week at the World Super 6 in Perth in February finishing solo fifth and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 in three rounds. He followed that with a solo third at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament which included a pair of 65’s. Most recently he then travelled to Florida and finished a respectable T21 at the Honda Classic and a T28 in Bay Hill.

Oosthuizen has played well here over the last five years finishing second in 2012, 25th in 2014, 19th in 2015 and 15th last year. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee and 21st in SGTTG so far this season and could be another player with a decent chance here.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick The Masters Betting Preview 2017 Matt Fitzpatrick 60/1

The young Englishman has been playing well over the last few months. He won the European Tour finale, the DP World Championship in Dubai back in November beating fellow in form countryman Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. His good form continued when he returned to Dubai, this time for the Desert Classic finishing T5 on 12 under par for the tournament. Fitzpatrick then went over to the other side of the pond posting a T16 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T13 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational. Last year was his second appearance in Augusta but the first appearance as a pro and he finished T7 after shooting a superb final round 67. He played as an amateur in 2014 and ended up narrowly missing the cut.

Statswise he looks like another player that could suit this course ranking fourth in strokes gained putting, ninth in sand saves and 19th in GIR (European Tour) and 19th in par 5 scoring. He comes to Augusta in much better form this time around and could go well at a generous price.

 

Marc Leishman 60/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 60/1

I’ve had Marc Leishman in mind for the Masters ever since he won in Bay Hill a couple of weeks ago. He has been playing very steady golf this year and only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last ten tournaments. He played very well at the CIMB in Malaysia finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T24 at the OHL Classic, T9 at the World Cup of Golf, back to back T20’s at the Sony and Torrey Pines and a T24 in Phoenix.

The Aussie then shot rounds of 71,66,71,69 to win by one from Charley Hoffman and Kevin Kisner at the Arnold Palmer Invitational where he led GIR and was second in strokes gained putting for the week. Leishman also played well at the WGC Matchplay and got the last 16 but was beaten by Phil Mickelson. Statswise the Aussie ranks third in strokes gained putting, 14th in scrambling, second in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 5 scoring and ninth in 3 putt avoidance. Good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Final selections – (PP 1/5 – 8 places)

Jordan Spieth 1pt EW 7/1

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 22/1

Justin Rose 0.5pts EW 25/1

Louis Oosthuizen 0.5pts EW 50/1

Matt Fitzpatrick 0.5pts EW 60/1

Marc Leishman 0.5pts EW 60/1

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Dell Matchplay Betting Preview 2016

WGC Dell Matchplay Betting Preview 2016

Austin Country Club, Texas

Par 71, 7,043 Yards

The Course

Austin Country Club is located on a challenging Pete Dye-designed par 71 built in 1984 which overlooks Lake Austin. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course has a lot of new features after being renovated last year. It now has deep pot bunkers, undulating turf and dramatic fairway falls and tree lined fairways. The front nine is on higher ground and has some elevated and hilly fairways with some of the tee shots being played over canyons and creeks.

The back nine is on flatter ground and runs along the picturesque Lake Austin. Some tee shots and approach shots will have to be played over the lake which should offer some excitement. There will be a bit of emphasis on accuracy here as there are a lot of pot bunkers scattered on the fairways and some are quite deep and penalizing. The greens are Bermuda and look to be fractionally bigger than usual. The main areas of focus here are driving accuracy, GIR, good matchplay experience and decent current form.

 

Format: (Taken from PGATOUR.com)

The 64-player Dell Match Play field will be divided into 16 four-player groups. Each group will play round-robin matches within their group on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday (March 23, 24 and 25). The player with the best record in each of the four player groups advances to the Round of 16 for single-elimination match play (in the event of a two-way tie in a group, head-to-head match results will be used as the tiebreaker; a three-way tie will require a sudden-death stroke play hole by hole playoff).

Group Play (Round Robin) Matches: 18 hole matches played to either a conclusion or a halve (matches will not be extended beyond 18 holes).

  • Wednesday, Round 1 – 32 matches (64 players)
  • Thursday, Round 2 – 32 matches (64 players)
  • Friday, Round 3 – 32 matches (64 players)

Players in the field are assigned a seed number for the competition determined by their position on the Official World Rankings, as of Monday the week of the tournament (March 21, 2016 – after the Arnold Palmer Invitational).  The highest ranked player in the field Seed #1, and the lowest ranked player in the field Seed #64.

Players are then placed into four pools of 16 players:

  • 1-16/Pool A
  • 17-32/Pool B
  • 33-48/Pool C
  • 49-64/Pool D

The top 16 players will be the top player in each of the 16 groups. So the No. 1 seed is the top player in Group 1, No. 2 seed is the top player in Group 2 and so on.

The remaining players in each group will be picked randomly live on the Golf Channel as part of the Dell Match Play Draw show on Monday, March 21, at the Paramount Theatre in downtown Austin (more info below).

Rounds 1, 2 and 3 (Group Play): Players play 18 hole matches against each of the other players in their group.  Matches played to either a conclusion or a halve.  Matches all square after 18 holes are not extended.  Points awarded to players based on results of each match as follows:  Winner 1 point, Loser 0 point, Halved each player ½ point.

The player in each group with the highest point total at the end of group play advances to the 16-player, single-elimination matches.  In the event two or more players in a group are equal with the highest point totals, a stroke play hole-by-hole playoff will determine the player that advances to the 16 player, single-elimination matches.

Group play hole-by-hole playoffs will be conducted after the matches in a group are complete and after all of the group play matches have started their third round match.  Group play hole-by-hole playoffs will start on the first hole and play holes 1 through 18 in sequence repeated if necessary, until the player is determined who will advance to the elimination play matches.

*Single-elimination matches – 18 hole matches played to a conclusion.  No halved matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes will be extended until a winner is determined.

Round 4 (Saturday morning): Eight matches (16 players) – winners advance to round 5/quarter-final matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes in round 4 extended on holes 10 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 5 (Saturday afternoon): Four quarter-final matches (eight players) – winners advance to round 6 (semi-final) matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 5 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 6 (Sunday morning): Two semi-final matches (four players) – winners advance to the championship match, losers advance to match for third place.  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 6 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 7 (Sunday afternoon): Match for third place (two players) and championship match (two players).  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 7 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

 

Selections –

Jordan Spieth 12/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Jordan Spieth 12/1 

The young Texan is playing on home turf and will have a lot of support here this week. He comes into this after taking last week off and should be fresh and ready to contend. Although he has gone off the boil a bit over his last few events, Spieth has played well this season with a T7 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo fourth at The Hero World Challenge and a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has had a couple of uncharacteristic performances recently finishing T17 at The Valspar and T18 at The WGC Cadillac but could bounce back strong this week.

He has a decent matchplay record over the last few years and also has a great record in Texas finishing solo second in The Texas Open last year, solo 10th in 2014 and a P2 in Houston last year. Spieth looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 13th in SGTTG, 22nd in SGP and first in par 4 scoring. After taking some time off and playing in front of a home crowd, Jordan could be the man to beat here on home turf.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Paul Casey 30/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T9 finish in Bay Hill last week. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four. Casey ticks alot of boxes here statswise ranking ninth in GIR, 19th in SGTTG and 21st in par 4 scoring.

Casey played superb here last year and finished fifth after losing to Rory McIlroy on the 22nd hole. He has a great matchplay record and was a finalist in this event in 2009 and 2010. He also a former winner of The Volvo World Matchplay so he’s no stranger to this kind of format and is peaking in form at just the right time.

 

Danny Willett 35/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Danny Willett 35/1

Danny has been playing well over the last few months and had a great finish to the year with a T4 at The DP World Tour Championship followed by another T4 at The Nedbank. He began 2016 with a T54 in Abu Dhabi but bounced back with a win in Dubai at the start of February which included a 65,65,69 finish to post 19 under in total. He then had another superb performance at The WGC Cadillac to finish T3. He put himself in a great position to win but pulled his tee shot fractionally left on 18 into the water and got a bit unlucky.

He played superb here last year finishing third and only lost one match out of the six. The Englishman could suit this course and ranks 35th in GIR and 15th in strokes gained putting on the European Tour this season. With a solid performance here last year and great current form Danny looks great value here.

 

Marc Leishman 50/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Marc Leishman 50/1 

The Aussie played well last week in Bay Hill and only for a third round 74, he would have finished a hell of a lot better than T17. He has been showing glimpses of good form lately finishing T28 at The WGC Cadillac and T5 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera shooting four steady rounds in the 60’s. Leishman has played well in this neck of the woods in the past finishing T3 in TPC Four Seasons at The Byron Nelson in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T3 in 2012.

He also played well here at The Matchplay in the past finishing ninth last year playing five matches and losing two and played well in The Presidents Cup winning two from two for the International Team. He ranks 15th in SGTTG, ninth in scrambling and third in par 4 scoring. With decent form lately and good matchplay form, Leishman looks good value here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 12/1 2pts EW

Paul Casey 30/1 1.5pts EW

Danny Willett 35/1 1.5pts EW

Marc Leishman 50/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6 

 

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii  

Par 70, 7,044 yards 

The Course 

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the Sony Open. Previous winners include Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jimmy Walker 14/1 Sony Open 2016

Jimmy Walker  14/1

Walker hasn’t been firing on all cylinders in his last couple of tournaments but he seems to be coming back showing some form just in time for The Sony. He started2015/2016 campaign off with a T50 at the Shriners shooting 66,67,69 and then played poorly in the final round shooting a disappointing 78. He followed that with a respectable T8 at The Hero World Challenge to finish 17 under for the week. Last week at The Hyundai he finished in an impressive T10 on 15 under for the week which included a very impressive third round 64.

He has a great record at Waialae winning this event the last two years in a row. He also finished T26 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011. With good previous form on this course and two decent performances over the last few weeks, Jimmy Walker looks a good shout here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Justin Thomas 30/1

Thomas has been playing well since the end of last season finishing T13 at The BMW, T16 at The Barclays and T18 at The PGA Championship. He started the new season in style only finishing outside the top 30 once in his last five events. He had a great week at The Frys.com Open finishing T3 on 14 under par for the week and followed that with a superb performance at The CIMB Classic beating Kevin Na in a playoff to secure his first PGA Tour victory.

Most recently he finished in a respectable T27 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T21 last week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has only played here once before which was last year when he finished T6 on 12 under par for the tournament which included a superb second round 61. With a great start to the season and a good performance last year, Thomas could be a huge contender here.

 

Harris English 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Harris English 30/1

English has been coming back into some form over the last few months and ended the 2014/2015 season with a T22 at The Tour Championship, T19 at The BMW and T12 at The Deutsche Bank. The American has been showing some good form recently with three top 25’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The WGC HSBC Champions finishing in a respectable T23 and followed that with a T25 at The RSM Classic and a T2 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

He is another player with a superb record in Waialae finishing T3 last year where he lead par 4 scoring and hit the ball beautifully off the tee, T4 in 2014 and T9 in 2013. He leads strokes gained putting so far this season which will be a big help here this week on these small Bermuda greens.

 

Marc Leishman 35/1 Sony Open 2016

Marc Leishman 35/1

Leishman started the new season off with a T29 at The CIMB Classic which included a final round 66 to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions shooting 65,68 over the weekend to finish 14 under par for the tournament. The Aussie then went to South Africa in early December and played superb all week shooting 68,68,66,67 to win the Nedbank Challenge on 19 under, six shots clear of runner up Henrik Stenson.

He has great form at Waialae finishing T5 in 2014, T9 in 2013, T27 in 2011 and T20 in 2010. Leishman has shown that he is a good wind player with a brilliant performance at The Open Championship losing to Zach Johnson in a playoff. He seems to be showing some super form at present and looks great value here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Chris Kirk 45/1 Sony Open 2016

Chris Kirk 45/1

Chris Kirk has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 25’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The RSM Classic finishing T18 on nine under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge and finished T24th last week in Kapalua where he was fifth in GIR and 12th in Driving Accuracy which are two encouraging stats coming into this week.

He has a superb record around this course finishing T26 last year, T2 in 2014, T5 in 2013 and T30 in 2011. Kirk is a real horse for the course here and could have a great each way chance this week especially with good current form.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 14/1 2pts EW

Justin Thomas 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Harris English 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Marc Leishman 35/1 1 pt EW

Chris Kirk 45/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is a small course by PGA Tour standards measuring only 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways. It has four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 and will offer birdie opportunities. The par 4 second measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field and should also offer a lot of birdies.

These bentgrass greens will be a huge change from the poor greens in last week’s US Open at Chambers Bay. They are also smaller by tour standards so accurate approach shots will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Ryan Moore (4 top 10’s), Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win) and Bubba Watson (3 top 10’sand a win). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats to consider here are good course history, good putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 11/1

After opening with a 70 in round one last week in Chambers Bay, Bubba Watson shot a 77 in round two and ended up missing the cut, which isn’t a bad thing coming into this week’s Travelers. His form has been a bit hit and miss over the last few weeks, but he started the season off in style with a win at The HSBC Champions and has a further four top 10 finishes. Most recently, he played well at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing solo third on seven under for the tournament. He only played in four events since then.

He has played well here at TPC River Highlands in the past with a win in 2010, T2 in 2012 and a T4 in 2013. Statswise Bubba ranks fourth in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 scoring and 14th in par 3 scoring. With such a good record here over the last few years, this could be place where he regains some of the great form he started with at the beginning of the season.

 

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Brandt Snedeker 16/1

Snedeker had another good performance last week in Chambers Bay making that his third top 10 in his last three starts. He played great golf at The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a T2 finish. He followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson shooting two 64’s on Saturday and Sunday finishing on 12 under for the week. He continued that good run of form shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish solo 8th in Chambers Bay last week. Sneds has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T24 in 2011.

He ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, 31st in approaches from 50-125 yards, fourth in scrambling and second in putts from 10 feet, which is a good stat for putting on these small greens. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 3 scoring. Snedeker is in fine form at the moment and could be the man to beat here.

 

Marc Leishman 33/1 Travelers Championship

Marc Leishman 33/1

Leishman has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last six events. He finished T9 at The WGC Matchplay, T24 at The Players, T27 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational and T5 at The Memorial. He is another player with a good record here over the last few years with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013 and a T11 last year.

Leishman seems to tick a lot of statistical boxes here ranking second in approaches from 150-175 and 23rd in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks first in putts from 10-15 feet and second in putts from eight feet. With good stats, good current form and a good record here, Leishman is a decent shout here at 33’s.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Russell Knox 40/1

Knox has been a pretty solid performer over the last few months with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has top 10’s at The Shriners (3rd), The Honda Classic (T3) and most recently, the St Jude Classic, where he finished T8. He also finished T18 at The RBC Heritage, T17 at The Players, T24 at The Crowne Plaza and T18 at The Memorial. Knox has played well here in the past finishing T13 in 2013, but looks to be in much better form this time around.

Statswise Knox ranks 20th in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR, 21st in strokes gained tee to green and second in proximity to the hole. He also ranks 11th in approaches from 150-175, fourth in par 4 scoring and 23rd in par 3 scoring.

 

Tony Finau 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Tony Finau 40/1

Finau started very well last week in Chambers Bay shooting 69,68 in the first two rounds and looked to be hitting the ball beautifully all week, particularly off the tee and around the greens. He shot 74, 71 over the weekend and finished in a very respectable T14 on +2 for the tournament. He has been playing very steady over the last few weeks with three top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last five starts. His good form began back at The Wells Fargo, where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at The Memorial and T14 last week in Chambers Bay.

Finau is a huge hitter ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 150-175 and 40th in par 4 scoring. TPC River Highlands has seen many first time winners over the years and this could be a course that really suits big hitting Tony Finau.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 2 pts EW

Marc Leishman 33/1 1 pt EW

Russell Knox 40/1 1 pt EW

Tony Finau 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2015

Farmers Insurance Open 2015

The Course:
Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,643 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72
This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,643 Yards, par 72
The South Course is played in the final two rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens, so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

Jason Day edited pic 1

Jason Day 14/1
Jason Day started his season very well finishing T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions in Kapalua a couple of weeks ago. He had a mixed bag of form shooting an opening round 70 and followed that with a 69 in round 2 and 71 in round 3. He began a late charge in the final round shooting a superb 62 finishing on -20, just one stroke behind the winner Patrick Reed.

He followed that with a respectable T17 at The Sony finishing on 10 under in total. After an injury stricken 2014, he started showing some signs of good form in December and went on to win The Franklin Templeton Shootout with Cameron Tringale. He also had a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing solo 5th on 14 under par, which included an impressive final round 66.

After a win at The World Cup of Golf and The Accenture World Matchplay, Day also performed well in the last of the FedExCup playoffs at the end of October finishing T2 at The Barclays, T7 at The Deutsche Bank and T4 at The Tour Championship at East Lake. In his last two appearances here at Torrey Pines, Day finished T2 last year and T15 in 2013.

Statswise, Day ranks 28th in driving distance, first in GIR and birdie average and first in putting average. He also ranks first in par 4 scoring and 15th in par 3 scoring, which are two stats that will certainly be favorable on these courses.

Brandt Snedeker pic 1

Brandt Snedeker 25/1
After a good performance last week in Phoenix finishing T10 on 10 under par, Snedeker will be feeling confident coming back to a course where he has played so well on in the past. He comes here in good form with three top 10’s in his last four competitive starts. He started the season with a T57 at The Frys.com and followed that with a T10 at The Shriners Open and another T10 at The WGC HSBC Champions.

Sneds has a great record at this event with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts in this tournament. He finished T3 in 2013, won in 2012, T9 in 2011 and T2 in 2010, so it’s fair to say he is a horse for the course. He is also a bit of a poa annua specialist and seems to putt very well on this grass type. This is further proven with his previous win here at Torrey Pines, Pebble Beach and Glen Abbey, which was the venue for the 2013 RBC Canadian Open.

Sneds found a solid putting stroke last week last week in Phoenix and will take that forward into this week. With three top 10’s in his last four starts, Snedeker could be one to watch here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 40/1
Leishman had a good end to 2014 with a solo ninth place finish at the WGC HSBC Champions in November. He followed that with a respectable T37 at The Sony Open in Hawaii, finishing on seven under for the tournament.

He is another player that has a good record here over the years with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He finished T2 last year to the eventual winner Scott Stallings, T9 in 2011 and second once again to the winner Ben Crane in 2010.

Leishman has the length to power his way around this golf course hitting the ball an average of 300 yards off the tee ranking 27th in driving distance. He also ranks 20th in strokes gained putting, 21st in total putting and third in approaches from 150-175, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 4’s. With a good finish to 2014 and a good history on this course, Leishman could go well here at a good price.

Justin Thomas pic 1 edited

Justin Thomas 35/1
Justin Thomas is a player I have been keeping an eye on over the last few weeks and looks to be playing with a lot of consistency. He hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last five events, which included three top 10’s. His run of good form began back in November at The Sanderson Farms where he finished T4 on 13 under par for the week. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic and a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii. He played very well at The Humana Challenge finishing T7 on 20 under par, which included a second round 63. Most recently, he had another good week in Phoenix finishing in a respectable T17 on eight under par.

Thomas played very well in this event last year finishing T10 on six under par for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 16th in driving distance, 34th in strokes gained tee to green, 13th in birdie average and seventh in putting average. He also ranks fourth in par 4 scoring and 11th in birdie or better conversion percentage. He comes here this year in much better form than he was last year and should have a good week considering his current form.

First Round Leader – North Course

Brandt Snedeker 20/1
As I said above, Snedeker has a great record around this course and has shot no worse than 71 in five of his last six opening rounds. He opened with a 65 in 2013, a 67 in 2012 and a 70 in 2011. He has also shot an impressive 64 in round 2 in 2012, so he knows how to go low around Torrey Pines.
In his last five starts on the PGA Tour, he has shot no worse than a 71. He started strongly at The Shriners Open shooting an opening 67 and went on to open with a 69 at The WGC HSBC Champions. He also started well last week in Phoenix shooting a 70 in round 1. With Snedeker’s previous form here and experience with these poa annua greens, he could potentially go low in round 1.

Final Selections –
Jason Day 14/1 1.5 pts EW
Brandt Snedeker 25/1 1 .5 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Justin Thomas 35/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader –
Brandt Snedeker 28/1 1 pt EW
Total staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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The PGA Championship 2014 Betting Preview

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014

Valhalla Golf Club, Louisville, Kentucky
Par 71, 7,458 yards

The Course

The PGA Championship returns to Valhalla Golf Club for the third time. It was first played here in 1996 where Mark Brooks was the winner over Kenny Perry. Valhalla then played host again in 2000 where Tiger Woods went on to beat Bob May in a playoff. The Ryder Cup was also played here in 2008, which as the last time the US Team won the Ryder Cup.

This course is a lengthy 7,458 yards and features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. Length will be a big advantage here this week with three of the par 4’s measuring 495 yards or longer. Birdies will be found on the par 5’s with them measuring between 540 yards and 597 yards so quite a few players will be hitting these greens in two.

The fairways are quite generous with some doglegs, but accuracy will be a huge factor here so be on the lookout for guys that are good ball strikers and have good driving distance and accuracy stats. These large, undulating bentgrass greens are protected by large bunkers so GIR and scrambling will also be important.
The WGC Bridgestone has been played the week before The PGA since 2007 and has always been a good indicator of who could potentially go well. Players that have finished in the top 20 in firestone and have good current form are ones to keep an eye on.

Justin Rose pic 1

Justin Rose 22/1
Justin Rose had yet another top 10 last week in Firestone shooting 65,67,70,69 on his way to a T4. He is playing very steady golf at the moment and has two wins in his previous five starts. He played well at The Open Championship and finished in respectable T23rd.

He had another good week at The Scottish Open shooting a final round 65 to finish on 16 under par for the tournament. Rose also won the week before at The Quicken Loans at Congressional beating Shawn Stefani in a playoff. At The Players Championship he finished T4th and followed that with a respectable T12 at The US Open.
Statswise, he ranks 40th in GIR, 10th in scoring average, 21st in par breakers and 25th in par 4 performance. He also ranks 11th in GIR from 175-200 yards which will be a big help on these long par 4’s.

Rickie Fowler 25/1
Rickie Fowler has been a big performer this year, especially at the majors. He had a super week at The Masters in Augusta back in April finishing T5th for the week. Rickie also played very well at both the US Open at Pinehurst clinching a T2nd and at The Open Championship at Hoylake also finishing in T2nd. Last week at Firestone, he had another good performance shooting three 67’s and 72 to close with a T8th.

He ranks 35th in driving distance, 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders and 43rd in par 5 performance. He also ranks ninth in approaches from 125-150 yards and 16th in approaches from 225-250 yards which will help on these long par 5’s. Rickie has proven he loves the big occasions and could be a big danger man here at Valhalla this week.

Keegan Bradley 1

Keegan Bradley 33/1
After another steady performance last week finishing T4th at Firestone, Keegan Bradley looks like a player that would suit a course like Valhalla. He has put together good performances at Hoylake finishing T19th, and also played well the week before at The Greenbrier Classic shooting four rounds in the 60’s on nine under par to close with a T4th for the tournament.

At The US Open in Pinehurst, Bradley recorded yet another T4th to finish +1 for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, 24th in strokes gained putting, 14th in birdie average, 13th in par breakers and 15th in scrambling. He also ranks third in approaches from 200+ and sixth in GIR from 175-200, two stats that should help on some of the long par 4’s. Keegan is playing good golf at the moment and has the ball striking and distance to have yet another good week here.

Charl Schwartzel 40/1
After a final round 64 last week in Firestone, adding a third top 10 finish in his last five starts, Charl Schwartzel looks to be bang in form at the moment. After a great performance at the HP Byron Nelson back in May finishing just outside the top 10 in T11th, he then followed that with another solid week at The Memorial closing with a T8th. Charl had another good performance at The Open at Hoylake shooting a final round 67 to clinch T7th. At Firestone last week he played great golf all week shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4th.

Schwartzel ranks 31st in driving distance, ninth in birdie average, ninth in par breakers and second in birdie or better conversion percentage. He also ranks third in par 5 birdie or better leaders, 25th in scrambling and 11th in approaches from 200-225. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and comes here in great form.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 50/1
Leishman has had a great season so far, especially in the last few weeks recording four top 11’s in his last five starts. His good run began back at the Byron Nelson back in May shooting four rounds in the 60’s finishing T3rd. He then had a good week at The Travellers closing with a 67 to clinch a T11 and followed that with a T8th at The Quicken Loans at Congressional.

Leishman has had two very good weeks which began in Hoylake at The Open Championship finishing in T5th for the tournament on 12 under par for the week. At Firestone last week, he began his tournament with an impressive opening round 64 and ended up closing with a 67 and finshing solo third.

He also measures up here statswise ranking 30th in driving distance, 14th in scoring average, 39th in par breakers a 21st in par 3 performance. He also ranks 24th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 250-275, two good stats for these long par 4’ and par 5’s.

Jimmy Walker 50/1
With solid performances at the majors so far this year, Jimmy Walker could be a man to keep your eye on here at Valhalla this week. He has proven he can contend in majors with great performances at The Masters (T8), The US Open (T9) and a respectable T26 at The Open. Walker also played great golf at Sawgrass closing with a 65 to finish T6th.

In the last few weeks, he has continued to play well finishing T10th at The Crowne Plaza at Colonial and followed that with a good finish at The US Open. Walker had a decent performance last week at Firestone finishing in a respectable T26. He ranks 19th in driving distance, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 15 in par 4 performance, eighth in par 5 performance and seventh in total putting. One to watch here at a good price.

Final Selections:
Justin Rose 2 pts EW
Rickie Fowler 2 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 2 pts EW
Charl Schwartzel 2 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Jimmy Walker 1 pt EW
Places 1-6 (PaddyPower)

To Make/Miss the cut:
McDowell/Casey/Leishman to make the cut @ 2.1 – 2 pts treble (PaddyPower)
Total staked = 22 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,
DB