Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Dell Technologies Championship 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs TPC Boston, Massachusetts

Par 71 7,342 yards

The Course

It was a great finish to the Northern Trust last week in New York. Honestly I was thinking we were in great shape with Jordan Spieth leading by five and Matt Kuchar and Patrick Reed sitting in T4 after round three but Dustin Johnson spoiled the party. It wasn’t a bad week with Jordan getting us some small place money losing to DJ in a playoff and Jason Day shooting a final round 67 to finish T5 for another place.

The top 100 in the FedEx Cup Playoffs arrive to TPC Boston for the second of four playoff events for the Dell Technologies Championship, formerly known as the Deutsche Bank Championship. TPC Boston is located in Norton, Massachusetts, approximately 25 miles south of Boston. Only the top 75 will advance to the BMW Championship which starts next week.

Originally designed by Arnold Palmer and built in 2003, the course was re-designed by Gil Hanse and Brad Faxon in 2007 and poses a tricky test for the players this week. Measuring a testing 7,342 yards, this course has 11 par 4’s, four par 3’s and three par 5’s.

The fairways are quite generous and forgiving so accuracy wont be too much of an issue here. The greens are Bentgrass and are fractionally smaller by PGA Tour standards but they do run a bit faster averaging around 12 on the stimp. Hitting these small, fast greens and holing putts will be key.

Going on previous history, distance seems to be quite advantageous with the likes of Rory McIlroy (last year and 2012), and Jason Day on the list of previous recent winners.

There are a total of 58 bunkers on the course some of which could cause some problems for the shorter hitters, but the longer guys should be able to carry some of the fairway cross bunkers off the tee. The shortest hole is the par 3 16th measuring 160 yards and the longest hole is the par 5 7th measuring a lengthy 600 yards which will only be reachable by the longer hitters in the field. Water comes into play on three holes in total – the 2nd, 6th and 16th.

TPC Boston’s 18th hole was renovated in 2011 and now has a smaller, elevated green that is protected by a greenside pot bunker which could offer some drama in the later stages of Sunday.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsRickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie has been playing some great golf recently and could be a huge threat here especially with the flat stick. He has five top 10’s in his last seven starts, four of which are top 5’s. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at the US Open at Glen Oaks, T3 at the Quicken Loans, T22 at the Open Championship, solo ninth at the WGC Bridgestone and a T5 at the PGA Championship. He had a decent performance last week at the Northern Trust finishing T20 which included a 68 and a 66 in the first two rounds.

Fowler has played well on this course in the past finishing T23 in 2014 and an impressive win here in 2015 where he shot four rounds of 68 or better to finish 15 under for the tournament, one shot clear of Henrik Stenson.

Statswise he looks like he could suit this course ranking 38th in driving distance, 47th in GIR, second in SGP and 22nd in par 4 scoring. Rickie is playing great golf lately and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 30/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 30/1

He was a touch disappointing last week in The Northern Trust but I think Reed isn’t far away from playing really good golf so I’ll give him another run here. After shooting 70,67,66 in the first three rounds last week, Reed finished with a disappointing final round 75 to finish T20 on two under for the week. However, I don’t think the final round did his overall performance justice.  He struck the ball really well and putted great throughout the first three rounds he was just a bit unlucky on Sunday.

He has been in great form over the last couple of months with seven top 20 finishes in his last ten starts. His good run of form started at the Byron Nelson where he finished T20 after four rounds of 70 or better. He followed that with a T13 at The US Open, T5 at the Travelers, T17 at the Quicken Loans, T20 at the Greenbrier, T2 at The PGA Championship and T20 last week.

Reed has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T4 in 2015 and T5 last year. Of those eight completed rounds, he has shot a 70 or better seven times suggesting this course suits his eye. Reed is particularly strong with the flat stick ranking ninth in SGP so far this season and if he keeps that going in TPC Boston, he could be dangerous.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsLouis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African is in fine form lately with three top 10’s in his last seven starts. He played well in New Orleans finishing in a respectable T24 and followed that with a T2 at the Players, T18 at the Byron Nelson and a T23 at the US Open.

Most recently Oosthuizen has played particularly well shooting rounds of 70,67,71,70 on his way to an impressive T2 at the PGA Championship. Last week in New York Louis shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T10 at the Northern Trust on four under for the tournament.

He has a good record here over the last few years finishing solo second in 2012 which included three rounds of 66 or better, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year which included a third round 64.

Statswise he ranks 18th in SGTTG, 24th in scrambling and 29th in strokes gained putting. Louis looks to be playing very solid lately and looks good value to keep up his good form on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Kevin Chappell 40/1 Dell Technologies Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsKevin Chappell 40/1

Ive been keeping a keen eye on Chappell over the last few weeks and he really seems to be playing very steady golf since winning in Texas back at the end of April. He has four top 15’s in his last eight starts and has some good form at this event over the last few years.

He had a good week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting four rounds of 69 or better to finish T4. He followed that with a T23 at the US Open, T8 at the Canadian Open which included three rounds of 69 or better and a T13 at the WGC Bridgestone.

Chappell played well last week in New York shooting 68,73, 64,70 to finish T6 at the Northern Trust and has played well in TPC Boston before finishing T22 in 2013, T12 in 2015 and a T8 last year. Stastwise he ranks 26th in driving distance, 21st in SGTTG and 28th in par 5 scoring. With solid current form and a good record here, Chappell looks decent value to have a good week.

 

Final selections – 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 30/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 40/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 8 pts (PP Paying 7 places)

 

This will be my last preview of the season as I am away for the next two weeks.

A huge thanks to everyone who reads, liked, shared, retweeted and interacted with the site I really appreciate it.

Best of luck for the rest of the Playoffs and see you in October.

Thanks for reading,

Doublebogey6 (Dave)

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6 

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedexCup PlayoffsField: Top 100 in FedExCup Standings

TPC Boston, Norton, MA

Par 71, 7,216 yards

The Course

This week the FedExCup Playoffs travel to TPC Boston where it has hosted this The Deutsche Bank since 2003. Its Labour Day weekend in The US so this tournament will go from Friday-Monday. It is a par 71 layout with three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s and has a tendency to give up very low scores. Previous winners include Rickie Fowler (2015), Chris Kirk (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Webb Simpson (2011) and Charley Hoffman (2010).

When you see the list of previous winners, it certainly indicates that the cream certainly rises to the top. The fairways here are quite wide and forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential here this week. The par 5 second and 18th will be reachable in two for most of the field and should offer up some early/late birdies.

Statswise scrambling, GIR and good putters have always been on top of the leaderboard here. The greens are wide and can offer players the opportunity to be aggressive so be on the lookout for guys with good GIR, par 4 scoring and strokes gained putting stats.

 

Jason Day 13/2 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsJason Day 13/2

With five birdies in the first six holes of his second round Day looked in complete control. He then unfortunately undone all that good work by going bogey-double-bogey on 8,9 and 10. That being said they were the only real blemishes and he played well throughout the tournament finishing T4 only two strokes behind winner Patrick Reed. The Aussie has four top 10’s in his last six events finishing T8 at the US Open, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, second at The PGA and T4 last week in Bathpage. In his last 12 competitive rounds Day hasn’t shot worse than a 70.

His form around TPC Boston is rock solid finishing 12th last year, seventh in 2014, 13th in 2013, third in 2011 and second in 2010. He ranks 15th in driving distance, first in SGP, 11th in SGTTG, fifth in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a near winner last week Day could go one better and win in style this week.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 25/1 

The young American really stepped up to the plate last week and got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with six top 15’s and a win in his last 10 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham and a win last week at the Barclays.

Reed has played here three times in the past with his best finish coming last year when he finishing T4 for the week. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG around the green, fifth in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 12th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 25/1 

Scott has been back showing some solid form over the last few weeks with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridestone, T18 at The PGA and T4 last week at The Barclays. He recorded his first PGA Tour win here at TPC Boston back in 2003 so he has some great memories of this tournament. Following his win in ‘03 he finished fifth in 2010, eighth in 2011, seventh in 2012 and 16th in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 16th in GIR and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsBrandt Snedeker 50/1

Ive decided to give Sneds another shot here at TPC Boston this week. He couldn’t really get it going last week in Bethpage but he has been in decent form lately with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Wyndham finishing T3 which makes that his second top five in his last four starts for Snedeker. He has been showing some decent form lately finishing in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has some great form at this course over the last few years finishing fifth in 2010, third in 2011 and sixth in 2012. Statswise Snedeker ranks 19th in SG around the green, 35th in SGP, 20th in scrambling and first in par 4 scoring.

 

Deutsche Bank Championship Betting Preview 2016 : FedExCup PlayoffsEmiliano Grillo 50/1

The young Argentinian has been very impressive this season on The PGA Tour. He recorded his first PGA Tour win at The Frys.com Open last October and hasn’t really put a foot wrong since. He has six top 15’s in his last eight starts finishing T11 at Memorial, T14 at The WGC Bridgestone, T12 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, T8 in Rio and T2 last week at The Barclays.

This will be his first appearance here at TPC Boston looks to tick a lot of boxes. He ranks 26th in SG off the tee, 33rd in GIR and 16th in driving accuracy.

 

Final selections –

Jason Day 13/2 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 25/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 50/1

Emiliano Grillo 1pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Twitter- @Doublebogey63

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