AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am Betting Preview 2018Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California  

The Courses:  

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards 

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,953 yards 

Monterey Peninsula – Par 71, 6,867 yards 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 71 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s. 

Pebble Beach is widely known and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has a lot of history to it playing host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens, not to mention the windy weather this time of year. 

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its narrow, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favor especially if the wind gets up. 

Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 and is usually the easiest of the three courses but the greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here. 

Judging by previous history good putters (especially on poa annua), good scrambling and hitting plenty of greens have been the ingredients to victory in this event.  

The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favor the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus.  

 

Jason Day 10/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Jason Day 10/1  

After winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, Jason Day looks in great shape coming to Pebble this week. He has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months with five top 11’s and a win in his last eight competitive starts.  

Day finished in a respectable T9 at the PGA Championship back in August followed by a T6 at the Northern Trust Open in Glen Oaks shooting a 69 or better in three of his four rounds. The Aussie then travelled to the BMW Championship in Conway Farms finishing solo fourth which included an opening 64 and a second round 65.  

He started the new season off at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing T11 and followed that with another T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. Day then made his way to Torrey Pines and played solid throughout the week shooting rounds of 73,64,71,70 to post 10 under for the tournament and ended up beating Swede Alex Noren in a playoff on Monday morning.  

He has played well here in the past with four top 11 finishes in his last five starts with form figures 5,11,4,MC,6 since 2013.  

Statswise Day ranks third in driving distance, 27th in GIR, 25th in SGP, sixth in SG of the tee and second in par 4 scoring. After winning on the poa annua greens of Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago along with his excellent record here, Day looks a good shout here at 10’s.  

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 33/1 

Patrick Reed looks to be trending in the right direction lately and could be a player to keep on side this week.  

Reed has been in decent shape over the last few months with two top 11’s and two top 25’s in his last seven starts. He played well at the CJ Cup finishing T11 followed by a decent T5 at the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas back in December.  

After missing the cut at the CareerBuilder Challenge, he bounced back with a T23 in Torrey Pines posting three under for the tournament and followed that with a top 20 last week in Phoenix shooting rounds of 71,66,69,67 to finish T17, so he looks to be going in the right direction form wise.  

Reed has some great memories of Pebble over the last few years with three top 15’s and two top 30’s in five appearances showing form figures 23,6,29,13,7 since 2013.  

The Texan has shown some great form on windy setups over the last few years with a win and two top 10’s in Kapalua, top 20’s at the Open Championship the last three years and a couple of top 10’s at Copperhead in Florida (home of the Valspar Championship) which boasts smaller than average greens by PGA Tour standards, just like Pebble.   

He ranks 31st in SGP, 27th in SGTTG and seventh in SG around the green. With a good mix of current/previous form here Reed looks decent value.   

 

Pat Perez 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Pat Perez 35/1  

Since winning the CIMB Classic back in October, Pat Perez has continued his good form with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts.  

Following his impressive four shot victory over Keegan Bradley at the CIMB with rounds of 66,65,64,69, Perez then travelled to Korea for the CJ Cup finishing T5 which included an opening 69 and a final round 68. He then played in the WGC-HSBC Champions in China posting a respectable T24 which included a pair of 69’s.  

Perez had another solid week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in windy Kapalua where he shot rounds of 72,66,71,69 finishing T4 on 14 under par in total.  

He has a good record here with three top 15’s in his last four starts finishing T14 last year, T4 in 2015 and T7 in 2014.  

Statswise the Californian ticks all the boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fifth in GIR, fifth in SG putting and 16th in both par 3 and par 4 scoring.  

It’s worth mentioning that Perez has a good record on tricky windy courses with top 10’s in Waialae (Sony open) and Torrey Pines (Farmers Insurance Open) over the last four years and is generally a strong west coast performer. With great current form so far this season and I expect him to have a decent week especially with his record here.  

 

Chesson Hadley 45/1  Chesson Hadley AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

I like the look of the in-form Chesson Hadley on a course he has expressed his liking for in the past. Hadley has been playing well over the last couple of months with four top 5’s and a top 25 in his last eight starts.  

He began the season in style with a T3 at the Safeway Open, a solo second at the Sanderson Farms which included four rounds of 70 or better and a T4 at the Shriners Open in Vegas, which included a 65,68,69 over the weekend to post eight under par for the tournament.  

Hadley then went off the boil a bit with a couple of mediocre results but bounced back well with a T23 in Torrey Pines firing rounds of 71,72,71,71 showing some great consistency.  

Last week in Phoenix he cracked the top 10 shooting an opening 66 followed by three 68’s to finish T5 on 14 under. 

He has played well on this course before with back to back T10’s in 2014 and 2015. I had a look at some quotes from the Fantasy Golfanac and came across this gem from the man himself –  

Chesson Hadley – “It’s just an awesome old school golf course [Monterey Peninsula’s Shore Course]. The greens are really old poa annua and the course is, it kind of has, almost has a slight links feel to it. Pebble Beach is my favourite, that’s my favourite course ever, but this course is in awesome shape and like I said, the weather is, this is as good as it gets in golf.” 

Hadley ticks some key statistical boxes here ranking 37th in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 37th in SG putting, first in par 3 scoring, 38th in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring.  

 

Final selections – PP Paying 7 places on 1/5 odds

Jason Day 1pt EW 10/1  

Pat Perez 1pt EW 35/1  

Patrick Reed 0.5pts EW 33/1  

Chesson Hadley 0.5pts EW 45/1  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf. 

Doublebogey6 

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017TPC Scottsdale, Arizona  

Par 71, 7,266 Yards

The Course 

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last couple of years with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the last couple of years it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form at the moment that have played well here in the past.

 

Ryan Moore 28/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Ryan Moore 28/1

The American comes to Phoenix after taking a break over the last couple of weeks and comes here in decent form with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He started the season with a respectable T17 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with a T23 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. Moore then tee’d it up at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish T15 on 13 under par for the tournament. He began the New Year with a great performance at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Hawaii finishing T3 on 16 under in total which included two opening 67’s.

Moore has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2009, 14th in 2010, fourth in 2013, sixth in 2014, 17th in 2015 and 11th last year. Statistically he ranks 11th in SG Approaches to the green, 10th in SGP, 34th in driving accuracy and 26th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season and a decent record here Moore could be a big danger man this week.

 

Brendan Steele 40/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 40/1

After winning the Safeway Open at the start of the season Brendan Steele hasn’t let up and has continued his good run of form and hasn’t finished worse than T31st in his last six tournaments. He went to Malaysia and finished T23 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T31 at the Shriners Open in Vegas. He started the new year with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included a second round 64. He had another good week in Torrey Pines finishing T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open after an impressive final round 69.

Steele is another player with a good record here finishing fifth in 2012, sixth in 2013 and 2014, 26th in 2015 and 17th in 2016. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 30th in SG off the tee, 20th in SG approaches to the green, 16th in SGTTG, 11th in GIR and seventh in par 5 scoring. Steele looks good value here to have another good week.

 

Pat Perez 45/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 45/1

Pat is in the form of his life at the moment so ive decided to stick with him in Phoenix this week. He has been playing super golf recently with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts

He had yet another good performance last week in Torrey Pines where he finished T4 and nine under par for the tournament. He played well throughout the week from tee to green and that will stand him in good stead coming to Phoenix this week. He started the season with a T7 at The Shriners Open and followed that with a win at the OHL Classic which included a third round 62. He started 2017 off with an impressive T3 in Kapalua at the SBS Tournament of Champions and finished with an impressive final round 67.

Perez has a decent record here over the last few years finishing 24th in 2010, 22nd in 2011, 19th in 2012, 11th in 2013 and 26th in 2014. Statswise he seems to fit this course ranking 25th in SG around the green, 36th in both driving distance and GIR, third in three putt avoidance and fourth in par 5 scoring. If Pat can keep the momentum going into this week he could have another great week.

 

Russell Knox 50/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 50/1 

Scotsman Russell Knox has been in great shape so far this season and hasn’t finished worse than T19 in his last eight starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf and a 16th place finish at the Hero World Challenge. He started 2017 with a T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua and followed that with a T11 at The Sony where he opened with an impressive 64 in round one.

Knox has only played here once before which was back in 2015 finishing a respectable T15 on nine under for the tournament. The Scot ranks 37th in SGP, 12th in driving accuracy, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 3 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After taking the last couple of weeks off Knox will be fresh and could have a good shout here.

 

Final selections –

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 28/1

Brendan Steele 0.5pts EW 40/1

Pat Perez 0.5pts EW 45/1

Russell Knox 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts

 

*Paddypower paying seven places

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017 Betting PreviewThe Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. Brandt Snedeker won in dramatic fashion last year when the tournament went to a Monday finish due to a weather delay. He went around in 69 in unbearable wet and windy conditions on Sunday beating KJ Choi by one single stroke.

There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats to consider here are good poa annua putters, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Brandt Snedeker Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 22/1 

Snedeker has been in good form in the early part of this season. He missed the cut at the Sony but played well in Kapalua the week before finishing in a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge. He had another good performance with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par in total.

He has a great record here in Torrey Pines and played superb in unbearable conditions last year shooting a final round 69 to beat his nearest challenger, Korean KJ Choi by one stroke. Snedeker has two wins (2016 and 2012) and five top 10’s in 10 appearances here. He ranks 23rd in GIR and seventh in scrambling so far this season and looks a good shout here to have another good week here.

 

Jimmy Walker 25/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Jimmy Walker 25/1

Walker seems to be back fit and healthy after a short illness at the Sony a couple of weeks ago and has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months. He played well at The World Cup of Golf at the end of November finishing T2 with fellow American Rickie Fowler and followed that with a T13 at The Hero World Challenge, which could have been better if it weren’t for a final round 73. Walker then started the New Year in style opening with a 65 in the first round of the SBS Tournament of Champions where he finished T9 on 14 under for the tournament.

He is another player with a great record in Torrey Pines with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He was right in the mix going into the final round last year and managed a final round 77 to finish T4 in very tough wet and windy conditions. He finished T7 in 2015, T4 in 2013 and T8 in 2012. Statswise he ranks 14th in SG Approaches to the green, 28th in GIR and has great form playing on similar open, windy courses like Waialae and Pebble Beach. If Walker can get the putter rolling he could have a good chance here.

 

Pat Perez 80/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 80/1 

With the exception of a poor final round at the Sony, Pat has been playing well recently with a win and two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished 15 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He then went on to win the OHL Classic at Myakoba on 21 under, which included an impressive third round 62. He had another good week in Kapalua finishing T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions after shooting a final round 67.

Perez is another player that has a decent history here with one top five and three top 25’s in his last six appearances. Statswise he ranks 25th in SG around the green, fourth in par 5 scoring and 24th in birdie average. For a guy bang in form, Perez could be a good each way shout at a big price.

 

Martin Laird Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Martin Laird 50/1

With an open, windy, “Linksy” setup, this could be right up the Scot’s street. Laird has had a decent start to the season with three top 15’s and a top 30 in his last four starts. He started with a top 10 at The Safeway Open back in October finishing T8 on 14 under for the tournament, which included three rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T27 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and a T13 at The OHL Classic. Laird’s first event of 2017 came last week at The CareerBuilder Challenge where he finished in a respectable T9 on 14 under for the week.

Martin has a good record here at Torrey with two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He finished T8 last year and shot a 77 in horrible conditions in the final round and posted a T7 in 2015 which included three round sin the 60’s. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG Approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG, sixth in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 22/1 1pt EW

Jimmy Walker 25/1 0.5pts EW

Pat Perez 80/1 0.5 pts EW

Martin Laird 50/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2017 

Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii    

Par 70, 7,044 yards   

The Course   

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open, which is located east of Honolulu. Previous winners include Fabian Gomez (2016), Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is a different test compared to last week in Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with smaller trickier greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined which will favor the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.  

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.    

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 25/1 

Snedeker played well in Kapalua last week finishing in a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge. He had another good performance with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par, eight strokes behind the winners Matt Kuchar and Harris English.

Snedeker played very well here last year and was a bit unlucky to lose the playoff to the eventual winner Fabian Gomez after the Argentinian shot a superb final round 62. Sneds shot rounds of 63,65,66,66 on his way to a 20 under par total and seems to tick a lot of boxes here statistically. He ranks 20th in GIR, 33rd in driving accuracy and 18th in scrambling. After a good start to the season and a solid performance last year, Snedeker looks a good shout here.

 

Pat Perez 45/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 45/1 

The American is playing great golf at present with a win and two top 10’s in his last four starts. He started the season with a respectable T33 at The CIMB Classic and followed that with an impressive T7 at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he shot rounds of 66,66,69,68 to finish 15 under par in total. Perez then went on to win the OHL Classic at Myakoba on 21 under in total which included an impressive third round 62. He had another good week in Kapalua finishing T3 last week in Maui after shooting a final round 67.

Perez has a great record here in Waialae with four top 10 finishes since 2007. He finished 10th here in 2007, fourth in 2008, ninth in 2013, eighth in 2014 and T17 in 2015. Statswise he ranks 30th in GIR, 20th in SGTTG, fourth in par 5 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring. Perez is absoultly bang in form at the moment and looks great value to have another good week here.

 

Scott Piercy 45/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Scott Piercy 45/1 

With three top 10’s and a top 25 in his last five starts, Scott Piercy looks like another player coming here in great shape this week. He started the season in style opening with a first round 62 at The Safeway Classic and went on to finish T3 for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia and a T24 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He started well shooting rounds of 68,68,65 in the first three rounds but fell back a bit after a dissapointing final round 72.

Piercy has played well around this course in the past with five top 25’s in seven appearances. He finished T12 on 2009, T23 in 2012, T15 in 2013, solo second in 2015, where he didnt shoot worse than a 67 throughout the week, and a T13 last year. Piercy ranks eighth in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG and tenth in SG Approaches to the green. With a great record here and good current form Piercy could be another player to keep an eye on here.

 

Harold Varner 80/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Harold Varner 80/1

I was quite surprised to see Harlod Varner at such a big price considering he’s in great form coming to Hawaii this week. He had a great start to the season opening with a respectable T15 at The Safeway Open. He then went on to win the Australian PGA Championship at the start of December on the Gold Coast shooting rounds of 65,72,65,67 on his way to a 19 under par total. He beat his nearest challenger Andrew Dodt by two strokes and in form Aussie Adam Scott by four strokes.

Varner has played here once before finishing T13 last year and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also ticks the boxes statswise ranking sixth in SG off the tee, 25th in SGTTG, 29th in GIR and 26th in par 5 scoring. Varner is playing well and looks a good shout here if he makes a few putts.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 1pt EW

Pat Perez 45/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Piercy 45/1 0.5pts EW

Harold Varner 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

Paddypower paying 7 places.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

Twitter – DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – @doublebogey6