Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Betting Preview 2016TPC Louisiana, Avondale, LA

Par 72, 7,425 yards

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to TPC Louisiana this week, where Justin Rose is the defending champion. TPC Louisiana has hosted this tournament since 2007, with this year being the 10th year in a row. It was also host in 2005, but got badly damaged in hurricane Katrina. This resulted in some changes being made to the course making it fractionally shorter than it used to be.

The course is a Pete Dye design par 72 measuring just over 7,400 yards. It features four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course sits along the Mississippi River and has five ponds and over 100 bunkers, which will all come into play. The greens here are quite big and can get fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are wide and pretty forgiving so accuracy off the tee is not essential but hitting the greens in regulation will be important. The greens have a lot of undulations so landing the ball in the right part of the green will be important. This is a course that is ranked one of the easiest on The PGA Tour with the average score of the winner shooting between 15-22 under par on average over the last six years.

All types of players seem to play well at this venue. It’s worth looking at players with good GIR stats, strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green. Par 4, par 3 and par 5 scoring are also worth looking at. Traditionally, there are a lot of birdies on offer at this tournament so birdie average could be another metric worth taking a look at.

 

Justin Rose 8/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016

Justin Rose 8/1

The defending champion has been in good form over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last seven starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

Rose has a great records here with a win last year, 8th in 2014, 15th in 2013 and 10th in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 14th in GIR, 8TH in strokes gained tee to green and 4th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form Rose could follow up his top 10 IN Augusta with back to back wins here.

 

Billy Horchel 18/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Billy Horchel 18/1

Billy played well last week in Texas finishing T4 for the tournament and played well all week. His iron play looked to be in great shape and he also negotiated the greens very well. He has been playing well this season with a T8 at The Farmers, T8 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Arnold Palmer and a T17 at The Masters. Horchel generally plays well on courses that he has played well on in the past and he has a good record here at TPC Louisiana.

He finished T26 here in 2011 and followed that up with a win in 2013 shooting a final round 64 to beat D.A Points by one stroke to finish 20 under par in total. After a good week in Texas, Horchel can follow that up with another good performance here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Daniel Berger 25/1

The young American has been in great form lately and had a great week in Augusta finishing in an impressive T10 at The Masters on one over par in total. He also played well in Houston finishing T5 which included a final round 66. Berger has played well this season with a T28 at the WGC Cadillac and a T11 at The Valspar and comes here after taking a break after The Masters and will be fresh.

He has only played here at TPC Louisiana once and finished T6 last year on 18 under for the week. He didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four days and has to be respected here given his current form. He ranks 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring which are two good stats for this course. With a good performance here last year Berger is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

 

Patton Kizzire 55/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Patton Kizzire 55/1

Kizzire looks like a player that could suit this course and has been playing some good golf recently. He finished T8 at The Farmers and followed that with a T26 at The Honda, T33 at The Valspar, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T14 at The RBC Heritage.

This is his first appearance here at TPC Louisiana this year and could go well. He ranks 8th in strokes gained putting, 27th in par 5 scoring and 35th in par 3 scoring. After some good performances this season Kizzire could be another player that could go well at a decent price.

 

Jamie Lovemark 66/1 Zurich Classic of New Orleans 2016Jamie Lovemark 66/1

Lovemark has been in good form recently with three top 20’s in his last six starts. He played well The Northern Trust Open in Riviera finishing T20 and followed that with a T6 in Bay Hill at the Arnold Palmer and a T18 at The Shell Houston Open. He has played here twice before and missed the cut in 2012 and 2014 but seems to be in much better form this time around.

He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking ninth in driving distance, seventh in scrambling, 16th in par 4 scoring and 24th in par 5 scoring. With some good performances over the last few weeks Lovemark could be one to watch here.

 

Final Selections –

Justin Rose 2pts EW 8/1

Billy Horchel 1pt EW 18/1

Daniel Berger 1pt EW 25/1

Patton Kizzire 1pt EW 55/1

Jamie Lovemark 1pt EW 66/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

RSM Classic 2015 betting preview

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70

Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72 

The Courses

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.  It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.  This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.

The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.

The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 RSM Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 16/1

After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.

He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.

He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Patrick Rodgers 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 25/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.

 

Patton Kizzire 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 28/1

The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.

He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RSM Classic 2015

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.

He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.

 

Brendon de Jonge 50/1 RSM Classic

Brendon De Jonge 50/1

De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.

De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW

Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW

Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!

 

Doublebogey6

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2015

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2015

El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71

The Course

After an eventful finish to the weather delayed Sanderson Farms Championship, The PGA Tour travels to El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008). Harris English holds the tournament record shooting an impressive 21 under par 263 total to win in 2013.

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to contend with. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.  The greens here are Paspalum grass and are average size with water hazards coming into play on roughly half of the holes.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that hitting a lot of greens in regulation and good putters tend to fare well on this course. Last year’s winner Charley Hoffman ranked fourth in GIR last year and made a lot of great putts. Key stats on this course are GIR, strokes gained tee to green and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.

The weather forecast looks to be mixed for the week with some humidity along with cloud, some showers and the possibility of thunderstorms with moderate winds.

 

Jason Bohn 20/1 OHL Classic Betting Preview 2015

Jason Bohn 20/1

The American has had a good start to the season with two top 5’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T3, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started well last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.

Bohn has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T3 in 2013 and T19 in 2011. He ranks 18th in GIR, 14th in SGTTG and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season Bohn could be a huge contender here this week considering his previous record at El Camaleon.

 

Patrick Rodgers 20/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 20/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T6 on 12 under and followed that with a T13 at The Shriners in Vegas, which included an opening round 65. Rodgers followed that with another good performance last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing T20. He started very well shooting 70,64,70 and then slightly fell off the pace with a mediocre final round 73.

He has been a GIR machine over his last three tournaments hitting over 75% of greens and demolishing the par 5’s. He ranks 16th in GIR, seventh in SGTTG and fifth in par 5 scoring. After another good performance last week, I think Rodgers will continue that good run of form here.

 

Patton Kizzire 22/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 22/1

The Web.com graduate has had a fantastic start to life on The PGA Tour finishing inside the top 4 in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance last week at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners and 73% of greens last week at The Sanderson Farms.

He ranks 48th in GIR, 31st in SGTTG and 10th in SGP. He also ranks 11th in par 3 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring so far this season. After another good performance las week, Kizzire could continue the trend of first time winners here this week in Mexico.

 

Brendan Steele 25/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brendan Steele 25/1

Steele is another player having a solid start to the season showing some good early form. He played well at The Frys shooting an opening round 63 and followed that with 70,69,76 to finish T17 on 10 under for the tournament. He missed the cut at The Shriners but bounced back strongly with a T3 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He was in the final group with Kevin Na and Justin Thomas on Sunday and played very well but was unlucky not to make a few more putts.

Steele has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T37 here last year and T16 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 40th in GIR, 26th in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season, Steele should continue that good form this week.

 

Brett Stegmaier 60/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brett Stegmaier 60/1

Stegmaier has shot a 70 or better in his last eight competitive rounds and has played very well over the last couple of weeks. He had a shaky start to the season at The Frys but bounced back with a T2 at The Shriners. He showed some super consistency shooting 66,66,68,69 on his way to a 15 under total playing the par 5’s in -10 for the week. He followed that with a T15 last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 12 under par in total.

Statswise he is hitting just over 75% of greens in regulation and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring. Stegmaier is great value this week considering his current form and could be a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Bohn 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patrick Rodgers 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patton Kizzire 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Brendan Steele 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Brett Stegmaier 1 pt EW 60/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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