The Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsEast Lake Golf Club, Atlanta

Par 70, 7,385 yards

The Course

It’s the final event of the season and the FedExCup Series and it promises to be cracker. Only the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings advance to the Tour Championship.

East Lake is a tricky test measuring 7,385 yards. It was restored back in 1994 after being neglected and was brought back to its glory by course designer Rees Jones. They made a small yet exciting change to the course layout for last years edition switching around the nines. The players ended playing a par 5 instead of a par 3 which offered an extra bit of drama at the end.

Previous winners include Rory Mcilroy (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker (2012).

Going by previous winners hitting plenty of greens is a huge plus along with a hot putter and accuracy off the tee. Players that can keep the ball in the fairway off the tee will give themselves a good look for their approaches into the greens.

The main areas of statistical importance here are GIR, SG Putting, SGTTG, scrambling and driving accuracy.

 

Jordan Spieth 9/2 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 9/2

It’s difficult to bet against the FedEx Cup leader coming to East Lake this week. He has been in great form recently with two wins, three top 10’s and a top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship where he holed a superb bunker shot beating Daniel Berger in a playoff. He then won again the following week at the Open Championship in Royal Birkdale where he overcame some early round jitters to beat Matt Kuchar by an impressive three strokes.

Spieth then finished in a respectable T13 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a solo second at the Northern Trust and another solo second at the Dell Technologies Championship. Last week at the BMW, he had another solid performance finishing T7 on 13 under for the tournament which included an opening and a closing 65.

Jordan has a great record here in East Lake finishing second in 2013, a win in 2015 and a T17 last year. Statswise he ranks third in GIR, second in SGTTG, 30th in strokes gained putting and first in par 4 scoring. In his last 12 competitive rounds Spieth has shot in the 60’s nine times. He looks like the standout favourite here and looks like the man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has had a fantastic season on the PGA Tour so far and I fully expect him to keep that good form going this week in East Lake. Casey has four top 10’s and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week at the Travelers shooting four rounds in the 60’s to post a T5 finish. He followed that with a T11 at the Open Championship in Birkdale, T5 at the WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA Championship, solo fifth at The Northern Trust, T4 at the Dell Technologies and a respectable T33 at the BMW Championship.

Casey is a real horse for the course here finishing fourth in 2010, fifth in 2015 and fourth last year. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, fifth in SG tee to green and sixth in scrambling. In his last 12 rounds around East Lake, Casey has only shot worse than a 70 twice.

 

Patrick Cantlay Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Patrick Cantlay 33/1 

Cantlay has been very impressive this season and has done incredibly well to get to the Tour Championship given the amount of tournaments he’s played. He has played some great golf in some tricky events throughout the season including a solo second at the Valspar, a T3 at the RBC Heritage, T14 at the Zurich Classic in New Orleans and a respectable T22 at the Players Championship.

Most recently, Cantlay has two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a good week at the Northern Trust shooting four rounds of 70 or better finishing T10 and followed that with a T13 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included three rounds in the 60’s. Last week at the BMW Cantlay had another solid week finishing T9 after shooting 67,65,70,70 to post 12 under par in total.

He ticks a few boxes here statswise ranking 17th in GIR, 15th in SG tee to green, 42nd in strokes gained putting and 28th in par 4 scoring.

 

Webb Simpson 40/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsWebb Simpson 40/1

Simpson looks very generously priced considering his good form lately. He has had some great performances over the last couple of months including a solo fifth at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, a T8 at the Travelers and a T14 at the Greenbrier.

More recently he has three top 10’s in his last four starts finishing solo third at the Wyndham which included a 63 and a 64 in in the first two rounds, a T6 at the Northern Trust which included a final round 65 and a T9 last week at the BMW which included three rounds of 68 or better to post 12 under in total.

Webb is another horse for the course here in East Lake finishing T22 in 2011, T5 in 2012, solo fourth in 2013 which included an impressive final round 63 and a T23 in 2014.

Simpson looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, 27th in SG tee to green, second in scrambling and seventh in par 4 scoring. He looks great value here and could go well at a generous price.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pt WIN 9/2

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Patrick Cantlay 1pt EW 33/1 

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 40/1 

Total staked = 8 pts 

 

*PP Paying 5 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio 

Par 70, 7,400 yards 

The Course 

Firestone Country Club was designed by Bert Way and was originally commissioned by Harvey Firestone for the employees of his tire company, Firestone Tire and Rubber and opened in August 1929. Firestone made a name for itself hosting a total of three PGA Championships in 1960, 1966 and 1975.

Robert Trent Jones oversaw a huge redesign for the 1960 PGA Championship adding over fifty bunkers, two ponds and extending the course to 7,165 yards. It was then renovated by Golforce in 2007 adding more yardage onto the course making it 7,400 for the 2015 WGC Bridgestone.

Firestone is a tough all round test of golf and only the very best players tend to contend here. It has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is the one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour measuring just under 670 yards. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards and three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so good ball striking and accurate iron play will be essential into these testing bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting (good bentgrass putters), par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. This is one of the best courses in the world and the cream tends to rise to the top so bare that in mind.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Jordan Speith 8/1

Jordan Speith comes to Ohio this week rested and energised after the heroics of Royal Birkdale a couple of weeks ago. I won’t harp on about fantastic he played and the putts he made because let’s face it, if you watched it you know what I’m talking about. The young Texan has been in superb form lately with two wins, a second and a top 15 in his last five starts. He played well in Colonial finishing T2 at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, after shooting an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T13 at Memorial followed by back to back wins, the first at the Travelers Championship and the second at the Open in Royal Birkdale.

Speith has played very well around Firestone in the past finishing 10th in 2015 and third last year. He ranks second in GIR, first in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 3 scoring which are three very good boxes ticked for this course. It looks like he has rediscovered that killer instinct with his putter and is extremely difficult to avoid this week even at skinny odds. Given his current form and favourable history here, Speith is without a doubt the man to beat.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2017Brooks Koepka 16/1

The US Open Champion has been playing some superb golf this season and should be well rested coming to Firestone this week. Since finishing T11 in Augusta, Koepka has a win, three top 10’s and a top 20 under his belt. He had a great week at the Valero Texas Open finishing T2 after an impressive final round 65 and followed that with a T5 in New Orleans, which included a final round 62.

Brooks then teed it up in Sawgrass and finished a respectable T16 at the Players Championship. It was Erin Hills that seemed to suit his game the best where he shot four rounds of 70 or better to win by four strokes from Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman to win the US Open in Wisconsin.

He has played well here in Firestone in the past finishing T6 in 2015, which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise Koepka is averaging just over 307 off the tee ranking 10th in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained putting. After a good performance here in 2015 there’s no reason why he can’t contend again.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Paul Casey 30/1

The Englishman is having a fantastic season and comes here in great form. Since finishing solo sixth in Augusta at The Masters, Casey’s form figures read 12,22,10, 26, 5, 11. He had a good week at the Wells Fargo finishing T12 and followed that with a T22 in Sawgrass at The Players, T10 at The Dean and Deluca and a respectable 26th at the US Open in Erin Hills.

Most recently Casey has been playing quite solid finishing T5 at the Travelers which included four rounds of 69 or better to post nine under in total. The Englishman had a super week at Royal Birkdale shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T11 at The Open Championship.

Casey has a great record here and seems to be a real horse for the course with two top 10’s and three top 20’s since 2005. He finished fourth in 2006, eighth in 2008, T17 in 2015 and T16 last year.

 

Daniel Berger 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 40/1

Berger has been playing great golf this season with a win and two top five finishes in his last six starts. He had a superb week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a pair of 66’s to win by one stroke from Charl Schwartzel and Whee Kim. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where a moment of brilliance from Jordan Speith denied him victory after a tricky playoff. Berger bounced back well finishing T5 at TPC Deere Run at the John Deere Classic which included an impressive 63 in round three.

He teed it up here for the first time last year and had to controversially withdraw with an injured shoulder after hitting only one tee shot. Statswise he ranks 34th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained putting and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 

Since getting the monkey off his back in Scotland with an impressive victory at the Scottish Open, The Spaniard has maintained some great consistency over the last few weeks and looks to be striking the ball very well. He had a good week at the Players Championship shooting three rounds of 70 or better to finish T4. He then teed it up at the FedEx St Jude finishing T4 and followed that with a T4 in Royal Birkdale at The Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s.

Rafa has played once here before finishing T29 in 2012 which included an opening round 66 and a second round 65. He ranks 27th in GIR on the European Tour and 45th in par 4 scoring on the PGA Tour. He has stood up to the plate in the big events and looks good value here to have a good week.

 

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Charl Schwartzel 55/1

South African Charl Schwartzel is another player that arrives to Firestone in good shape with three top fives and one top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Augusta finishing solo third at the Masters, a course where he won on in 2011, and followed that with a T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic, which included three rounds of 66 or better. He then travelled o Germany last week for the Porche European Open where he shot an opening round 67 and a closing round 69 to finish T12 for the tournament on eight under par in total.

He has a great record around Firestone with form figures of 24,21,4,31,7 since 2012. Schwartzel is a good horse for the course kind of player and tends to play well on bentgrass greens. At 55/1 and some good performances in big events this year, he looks good value to have a decent week.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Speith 8/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 16/1 1pt EW

Paul Casey 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 40/1 0.5pts EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 0.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 8pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016

Tiger Woods Safeway open 2016North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California 

Par 72 7,203 yards

We’re hopefully going to see the return of a certain Mr Woods this week and I for one think it’s great to have him back playing competitively again. The word on social media is that Tiger seems to be hitting the ball well in practice and is in tip top shape coming into this week. He is paired with Phil Mickelson for the first two rounds so it should make for some very interesting viewing.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

This will be the third time this course has hosted the tournament and judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Paul Casey 12/1

Casey has to get a nod here based on the fact that he played superb throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. His good run of form began at the PGA Championship where he finished T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The Travelers, second at The Deutsche Bank, second at The BMW and a solo fourth at The Tour Championship. Casey has shot a 70 or better in 11 of his last 12 rounds and could have the game that suits this course.

This is his first appearance here at Silverado but statistically he seem to fit the bill. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee, 11th in SG approaches to the green, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. After playing solidly throughout the playoffs Casey could be the man to beat here especially in a weakened field.

 

Emiliano Grillo Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 20/1 

This man started with a bang last year and won this tournament in style beating Kevin Na on the second playoff hole. He has been playing some great golf over the last few months and comes into this with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the PGA finishing T13 and followed that with a T8 in Rio at The Olympics, T2 at The Barclays and a respectable T10 in East Lake at The Tour Championship.

He played superb last year and shot 68,71,65,69 to post 15 under in total. Grillo also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 28th in SG off the tee, 27th in GIR and 26th in birdie average. He comes here in great form and could have another good week.

 

Justin Thomas Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 25/1 

Thomas came within a whisker of getting into the playoff with Grillo and Na last year but just came up one short. He had a good season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He played great here last year finishing T3 and was a bit unlucky not to finish better and make the playoff. Thomas is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in par 5 scoring and 20th in SG approaches to the green.

 

Jhonattan Vegas 50/1 

The streaky Johnny Vegas had a good season and has been playing well since early July. After a T4 at the Barbasol, Vegas then went on to win the RBC Canadian Open after shooting a superb final round 64 to finish 12 under in total beating Dustin Johnson, Martin Laird and Jon Rahm by one stroke. He followed that with a T22 at The PGA, T22 at The Barclays, T24 at The BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. Vegas had a great week here last year opening with a 64 in round one and ended up finishing T10 on 11 under for the tournament.

He ranks 23rd in SG off the tee, 14th in driving distance, 10th in GIR and 24th in par 5 scoring. After a solid performance here last year and decent form towards the end of last season, Vegas is worth chancing here.

 

Final Selections – 

Paul Casey 1pt EW 12/1 

Emiliano Grillo 0.5pts EW 20/1 

Justin Thomas 0.5pts EW 25/1 

Jhonattan Vegas 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 - FedExCup playoffsField – Top 30 in FedExCup Standings

East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

Par 70, 7,307 yards

 

The Course

Well it’s the season finale so let’s finish with a bang! East Lake was designed by Donald Ross and is a tricky tree lined par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Previous winners include Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker. Some of the par 3’s will be intimidating with water hazards coming into play and could offer some excitement.

There are over 70 bunkers to contend with here so being a handy bunker player will stand you in good stead. The greens could be hard and fast as the weather looks set to be dry throughout most of the tournament. Length doesn’t seem to be hugely important its more about accuracy off the tee, good putting on these tricky Bermuda greens and good scrambling.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 10/1 

The young American has been showing some great form over the last couple of months and returns to a course that clearly suits his game. Since his T2 at The Masters, Spieth has followed that with a win at Colonial, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA, T10 at The Barclays and a solo 9th at The BMW. He played superb at this venue last year winning on nine under in total and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also finished T2 here in 2013 which included a superb final round 64.

He ranks second in SGP, 15th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. Spieth has a good record in Georgia with great performances in Augusta and here at East Lake over the last three years and could put in a big performance here this week.

 

Adam Scott 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 10/1 

The Aussie has been playing great lately with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He recorded his third fourth place finish in a row at The BMW posting 12 under in total. Before that he finished T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in East Lake in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T19 in 2012, T14 in 2013 and T9 in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 3rd in GIR and 10th in par 4 scoring. Scott is clearly in fine form and if he can get the putter rolling on the greens he could be right in the mix here.

 

Patrick Reed 18/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 18/1 

I have to stick to my guns and give Reed another nod here. He has been in superb form lately and finished strongly at The BMW shooting a final round 68 to finish T13. Sitting in second in the The FedexCup standings Reed is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment and was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with eight top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays, T5 in Boston and a T13 at The BMW.

Reed has played here twice before finishing T27 last year and T19 in 2014. He ranks fourth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 15th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With a decent performance here and with the Ryder Cup in his sights Reed is one to keep on side here.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has come close to a win over the last couple of weeks and could be one to watch here. Casey has three top 10’s in his last five starts finishing T10 at the PGA, T17 at The Travelers, solo second at The Deutsche Bank and solo second at The BMW in Crooked Stick. He has played well here at East Lake in the past finishing T4 in 2010 and T5 last year.

This course could be right up Casey’s street ranking second in GIR, ninth in SGTTG and 31st in driving accuracy hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee. With a decent record here and super current form Casey could be a big threat here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pts EW 10/1 

Adam Scott 2pts EW 10/1 

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 18/1

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016Hilton Head, South Carolina 

Par 71, 7,101 yards.  

The Course 

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be mainly dry with a mix of sunny conditions and some scattered cloud with moderate winds.

 

Zach Johnson 22/1 RBC HeritageZach Johnson 22/1

After shooting an opening round 72 last week in Augusta, Johnson fell right back after a second round 80 and ended up missing the cut. Despite a disappointing second round, last weeks missed cut could be a big positive as he will be fresh coming into this week.

ZJ has been playing well lately and looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

He has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2007 and second in 2012. This tight track seems to suit his game and statistically he ranks 30th in GIR and 22nd in par 3 scoring. After some solid performances over the last few weeks Johnson looks to be in good form and a big contender here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 RBC Heritage Brandt Snedeker 18/1 

Snedeker played great golf last week in Augusta and looked to be putting very well on those tricky undulating greens. He eventually finished T10 after a final round 72 and has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He had a bit of a dip in form but seems to be back contending over his last two events recording two top 10 in Augusta and The Matchplay.

Sneds has a good record here over the last few years finishing 16th in 2007, a win in 2011, 17th in 2012 and 26th last year. After two good recent performances Snedeker is one to keep on side here.

 

Kevin Kisner 25/1 RBC HeritageKevin Kisner 25/1

The accurate American started the season off with with a win and three top 10’s but has gone off the boil a bit lately. He played well in Augusta last week and shot two 72’s sandwiched between an opening 77 and a third round 76 to finish in a respectable T37. Kisner started the season with a solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

He was unlucky not to win this event last year and lost to Jim Furyk on the second playoff hole, which would be his first of three playoff losses from last year. He ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 37th in GIR, fifth in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. After a decent performance last week on a course that shouldn’t really suit his game Kisner could be another one to watch here.

 

Paul Casey 18/1 RBC HeritagePaul Casey 18/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T4 finish in Augusta last week and a T9 in Bay Hill. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four.

Casey has played well here in the past finishing 11th in 2009, 22nd in 2010 and 18th in 2014. The Englishman ranks 20th in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 33rd in par 4 scoring. His form is getting warm and Casey looks to be another player with a solid game for this course.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick RBC Heritage 2016 Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1

The young Englishman played superb over the weekend in Augusta shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T7 for the week. Matt looked to be hitting a lot of fairways off the tee, hitting alot of green in regulation and lead GIR in the final round on Sunday in Augusta. He has been playing on US soil over the last few weeks finishing T35 in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and T38 at The Matchplay.

He doesn’t hit it a mile but he is known as one of the most accurate players around hitting over 60% of fairways off the tee and ranking 22nd in GIR. Matt finished 23rd here in 2014 and can better that performance after a superb week in Augusta.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 18/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Kisner 25/1 1pt EW

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Dell Matchplay Betting Preview 2016

WGC Dell Matchplay Betting Preview 2016

Austin Country Club, Texas

Par 71, 7,043 Yards

The Course

Austin Country Club is located on a challenging Pete Dye-designed par 71 built in 1984 which overlooks Lake Austin. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course has a lot of new features after being renovated last year. It now has deep pot bunkers, undulating turf and dramatic fairway falls and tree lined fairways. The front nine is on higher ground and has some elevated and hilly fairways with some of the tee shots being played over canyons and creeks.

The back nine is on flatter ground and runs along the picturesque Lake Austin. Some tee shots and approach shots will have to be played over the lake which should offer some excitement. There will be a bit of emphasis on accuracy here as there are a lot of pot bunkers scattered on the fairways and some are quite deep and penalizing. The greens are Bermuda and look to be fractionally bigger than usual. The main areas of focus here are driving accuracy, GIR, good matchplay experience and decent current form.

 

Format: (Taken from PGATOUR.com)

The 64-player Dell Match Play field will be divided into 16 four-player groups. Each group will play round-robin matches within their group on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday (March 23, 24 and 25). The player with the best record in each of the four player groups advances to the Round of 16 for single-elimination match play (in the event of a two-way tie in a group, head-to-head match results will be used as the tiebreaker; a three-way tie will require a sudden-death stroke play hole by hole playoff).

Group Play (Round Robin) Matches: 18 hole matches played to either a conclusion or a halve (matches will not be extended beyond 18 holes).

  • Wednesday, Round 1 – 32 matches (64 players)
  • Thursday, Round 2 – 32 matches (64 players)
  • Friday, Round 3 – 32 matches (64 players)

Players in the field are assigned a seed number for the competition determined by their position on the Official World Rankings, as of Monday the week of the tournament (March 21, 2016 – after the Arnold Palmer Invitational).  The highest ranked player in the field Seed #1, and the lowest ranked player in the field Seed #64.

Players are then placed into four pools of 16 players:

  • 1-16/Pool A
  • 17-32/Pool B
  • 33-48/Pool C
  • 49-64/Pool D

The top 16 players will be the top player in each of the 16 groups. So the No. 1 seed is the top player in Group 1, No. 2 seed is the top player in Group 2 and so on.

The remaining players in each group will be picked randomly live on the Golf Channel as part of the Dell Match Play Draw show on Monday, March 21, at the Paramount Theatre in downtown Austin (more info below).

Rounds 1, 2 and 3 (Group Play): Players play 18 hole matches against each of the other players in their group.  Matches played to either a conclusion or a halve.  Matches all square after 18 holes are not extended.  Points awarded to players based on results of each match as follows:  Winner 1 point, Loser 0 point, Halved each player ½ point.

The player in each group with the highest point total at the end of group play advances to the 16-player, single-elimination matches.  In the event two or more players in a group are equal with the highest point totals, a stroke play hole-by-hole playoff will determine the player that advances to the 16 player, single-elimination matches.

Group play hole-by-hole playoffs will be conducted after the matches in a group are complete and after all of the group play matches have started their third round match.  Group play hole-by-hole playoffs will start on the first hole and play holes 1 through 18 in sequence repeated if necessary, until the player is determined who will advance to the elimination play matches.

*Single-elimination matches – 18 hole matches played to a conclusion.  No halved matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes will be extended until a winner is determined.

Round 4 (Saturday morning): Eight matches (16 players) – winners advance to round 5/quarter-final matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes in round 4 extended on holes 10 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 5 (Saturday afternoon): Four quarter-final matches (eight players) – winners advance to round 6 (semi-final) matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 5 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 6 (Sunday morning): Two semi-final matches (four players) – winners advance to the championship match, losers advance to match for third place.  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 6 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 7 (Sunday afternoon): Match for third place (two players) and championship match (two players).  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 7 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

 

Selections –

Jordan Spieth 12/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Jordan Spieth 12/1 

The young Texan is playing on home turf and will have a lot of support here this week. He comes into this after taking last week off and should be fresh and ready to contend. Although he has gone off the boil a bit over his last few events, Spieth has played well this season with a T7 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo fourth at The Hero World Challenge and a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has had a couple of uncharacteristic performances recently finishing T17 at The Valspar and T18 at The WGC Cadillac but could bounce back strong this week.

He has a decent matchplay record over the last few years and also has a great record in Texas finishing solo second in The Texas Open last year, solo 10th in 2014 and a P2 in Houston last year. Spieth looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 13th in SGTTG, 22nd in SGP and first in par 4 scoring. After taking some time off and playing in front of a home crowd, Jordan could be the man to beat here on home turf.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Paul Casey 30/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T9 finish in Bay Hill last week. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four. Casey ticks alot of boxes here statswise ranking ninth in GIR, 19th in SGTTG and 21st in par 4 scoring.

Casey played superb here last year and finished fifth after losing to Rory McIlroy on the 22nd hole. He has a great matchplay record and was a finalist in this event in 2009 and 2010. He also a former winner of The Volvo World Matchplay so he’s no stranger to this kind of format and is peaking in form at just the right time.

 

Danny Willett 35/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Danny Willett 35/1

Danny has been playing well over the last few months and had a great finish to the year with a T4 at The DP World Tour Championship followed by another T4 at The Nedbank. He began 2016 with a T54 in Abu Dhabi but bounced back with a win in Dubai at the start of February which included a 65,65,69 finish to post 19 under in total. He then had another superb performance at The WGC Cadillac to finish T3. He put himself in a great position to win but pulled his tee shot fractionally left on 18 into the water and got a bit unlucky.

He played superb here last year finishing third and only lost one match out of the six. The Englishman could suit this course and ranks 35th in GIR and 15th in strokes gained putting on the European Tour this season. With a solid performance here last year and great current form Danny looks great value here.

 

Marc Leishman 50/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Marc Leishman 50/1 

The Aussie played well last week in Bay Hill and only for a third round 74, he would have finished a hell of a lot better than T17. He has been showing glimpses of good form lately finishing T28 at The WGC Cadillac and T5 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera shooting four steady rounds in the 60’s. Leishman has played well in this neck of the woods in the past finishing T3 in TPC Four Seasons at The Byron Nelson in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T3 in 2012.

He also played well here at The Matchplay in the past finishing ninth last year playing five matches and losing two and played well in The Presidents Cup winning two from two for the International Team. He ranks 15th in SGTTG, ninth in scrambling and third in par 4 scoring. With decent form lately and good matchplay form, Leishman looks good value here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 12/1 2pts EW

Paul Casey 30/1 1.5pts EW

Danny Willett 35/1 1.5pts EW

Marc Leishman 50/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6 

 

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

Sheshan International GC, Shanghai, China

Par 72, 7,261 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club where Bubba Watson is the defending champion. He finished off in style last year by chipping in for eagle on the 18th and went on to beat Tim Clark in a playoff.

Previous winners include Phil Mickelson (2009), Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Ian Poulter (2012), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Bubba Watson (2014). Dustin Johnson holds the 72 hole record here with a score of 264 (2013).

Sheshan International is a par 72 measuring 7,261 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

Length tends to be a plus here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. Bear in mind that Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson have won the last two staging’s here and both are statistically huge hitters with average accuracy off the tee.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring. All four days look to be a bit mixed averaging from 21-25 degrees with the risk of rain and the possibility of thunderstorms.

 

Bubba Watson 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Bubba Watson 18/1

Bubba comes here in great form after winning The Presidents Cup with the American Team a couple of weeks ago in Korea. He also had a great finish to the season finishing solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA, solo third at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW and T5 at The Tour Championship. He played superbly well here last year and dramatically chipped in for an eagle on the 18th to force Tim Clark into a playoff, which he went on to win. Watson lead driving distance and par 5 scoring that week playing the par 5’s in 14 under for the week.

He also played well here in 2013 finishing T8 so the course seems to suit his eye. Bubba ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking second in driving distance, 19th in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also leads par 5 scoring and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After a solid finish to the season and a good performance at The Presidents Cup, Bubba Watson could have another good week here at Sheshan.

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie had a mediocre performance at The Frys shooting 72,65,70,68 to finish T25 for the tournament. However he did have a good finish to the season with a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone, a win at The Deutsche Bank, a T4 at The BMW and a T12 at The Tour Championship. He was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup Team in Korea. He has played well here in Sheshan in the past finishing T3 here last year only one stroke from getting in the playoff with Bubba Watson and Tim Clark.

Statswise he ranks 39th in driving distance averaging 296 off the tee, 35th in SGP and 26th in SGTTG. He also ranks 18th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After blowing the cobwebs off at The Frys, Rickie should be sharp and ready to contend here on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Patrick Reed 33/1

The American has been in Asia for the last couple of weeks and recorded two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting round of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 last week in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week. Reed was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team and had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has played well here in the past finishing T22 here last year. Staswise he averages 292 off the tee and ranks third in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 19th in SGP. After two top 10’s in his last two tournaments, there’s no reason why Reed shouldn’t have another good week here.

 

Paul Casey 35/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Paul Casey 35/1

The Englishman played his first tournament of the new season last week at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a respectable T24. He also had a good finish to the season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T3 at The Wyndham, T23 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Casey has a superb record at this event finishing T20 in 2013, T4 in 2011, T6 in 2010, T9 in 2009 and T11 in 2008.

Casey averages 297 off the tee and ranked third in driving accuracy and first in GIR last week in Malaysia. Last season he ranked fifth in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 13th in par 5 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. After a good week in Malaysia and a great history at this event, I can see Casey having another good week here at a decent price.

 

Chris Wood 50/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Chris Wood 50/1

Chris Wood has been in flying form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in a row. His good run of form began back at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship where he finished T4. He followed that with a T9 at The British Masters, solo second in Portugal and a solo fifth last week at The Turkish Airlines Open. Wood has only played once here back in 2013 when he finished in a respectable T39 for the week.

He is averaging just under 290 off the tee on the European Tour this season and ranks 18th in stroke average, 15th in strokes gained putting and 27th in putts per round. He played well on the par 5’s last week and made a lot of birdies, which will be a big plus at Sheshan this week.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 18/1 2pts EW

Rickie Fowler 18/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1.5pts EW

Paul Casey 35/1 1pt EW

Chris Wood 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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The Barclays Betting Preview 2015

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Plainfield Country Club, Edison, New Jersey

7,012 yards par 70

The Course

Plainfield Country Club plays host once again to the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The last time this event was played here was 2011, where the tournament had to be reduced to 54 holes due to Hurricane Katrina. The course is playing 48 yards further this time around with the fifth hole being moved to a par 4.

The course has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and has rolling, forgiving fairways and thick rough. There will be an emphasis on GIR and scrambling this week as there are some very deep bunkers around the greens. The greens here will be extremely tricky with a lot of them sloping from back to front with some serious drop off areas. Good putters should be able to negotiate these greens, which will be playing very fast due to good weather forecast for the week.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, GIR, scrambling and par 3 and par 4 scoring.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 The Barclays 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 22/1

Koepka had another good week at The Wyndham finishing T6 making that five top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a great performance at The PGA in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He ranks seventh in driving distance, ninth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and eighth in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form, Koepka could make it winner number two this season here in New Jersey this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting a superb second round 61 at The Wyndham last week, Snedeker followed that with a third round 67 and a disappointing final round 75 to finish T43, which was poor but hopefully he turns that around this week. He has been playing well this season with five top 12’s in his last eight starts. He played well at Whistling Straits finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker has played well here in the past finishing third here in 2011, so he has a bit of form at Plainfield.

Snedeker ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling, seventh in longest putts and first in putts from 10 feet, which are two good stats for negotiating these tricky sloped greens. He also ranks 21st in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history here, Sneds could be another one to watch.

 

Paul Casey 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedexCup Playoffs

Paul Casey 40/1

Casey played super last week finishing T3 at The Wyndham and comes here showing some great form. He has been playing well since early April finishing T6 at The Masters, T5 at The WGC Matchplay, where he lost a match to Rory Mcilroy due to an illness. He followed that with a playoff loss to Bubba Watson at The Travelers finishing P2, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T3 last week at the Wyndham.

Although it was on different courses, Casey has played well at this event in the past finishing T22 last year and T12 in 2010. Casey ranks fifth in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 5 scoring. After playing great golf last week, Casey can follow that with another solid performance this week.

 

Robert Streb 55/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Robert Streb 55/1

Streb has had a superb season so far which started off in style with a win at The McGladrey Classic. He hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in eight of his last nine events, which includes four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Wells Fargo where he finished T4. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T18 at The Memorial, P2 at The Greenbrier, T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The WGC Bridgestone and a T10 at The PGA.

Streb seems to be a player that plays better on the bigger stages and ranks 11th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in par 3 scoring and 11th in par 4 scoring. His form is excellent at the moment and I expect him to keep that going here in New Jersey.

 

Danny Lee 80/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Danny Lee 80/1

Danny Lee is another player that has been showing super form this season with three top 10’s and a win in his last six tournaments. He got into a playoff with David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb at The Greenbrier Classic and ended up winning the playoff on the third playoff hole. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere and narrowly missed out on getting into another playoff, this time against Jordan Spieth and Tom Gillis. He played well the following week at The Quicken Loans finishing T4 and followed that with a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone.

Lee ranks 28th in strokes gained putting, fourth in par 3 scoring and 21st in birdie or better birdie percentage. Lee is in flying form and could go very well here at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 22/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 55/1 1pt EW

Danny Lee 80/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

Good luc and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015 betting tips

TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, California

7,115 yards Par 71

 

 

Last week:

We had another great week in New Orleans tipping Justin Rose at 10/1 and Cameron Tringale at 50/1. That makes Justin Rose our ninth winner of the season and Cameron Tringale our 12th each way place. Let’s keep it going for the Matchplay this week!

The Course and Format

There is a new format this year with 64 players being divided into 16 groups of four who will compete in a round robin style. The winner of each group will go forward into a final group of 16 and will play in a bracket format. Each player will get to play three matches, one each against the others in the group. All matches will be taking place from Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with the finalists going through to the weekend. Previous winners include Jason Day (2014), Matt Kuchar (2013), Hunter Mahan (2012), Luke Donald (2011), Ian Poulter (2010) Geoff Ogilvy (2009) and Tiger Woods (2008).

TPC Harding Park is a 7,127 yard par 71 and hosted the WGC American Express event back in 2005 and the Presidents Cup in 2009. It has three par 5’s, two of which are the first and 18th, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course is a fairly flat layout wit tree lined fairways and some dog legs. The greens are not too difficult and there are not too many bunkers to contend with.

The main things to lookout for are par 4 scoring; strokes gained putting, GIR and good matchplay players. Be on the lookout for players that have had success in The Ryder Cup, Presidents Cup and previous WGC Matchplay events over the last few years. This week has the looks of being a little unpredictable so keep your stake low as anything could happen!

 

Jordan Spieth 9/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay

Jordan Spieth 9/1

After a favourable draw getting Lee Westwood, Mikko Ilonen and Matt Every, Jordan Spieth should have no problem topping his group and progressing to the final 16. However, they may not be as easy as you think. Westwood and Ilonen both have good matchplay records with Westy a Ryder Cup veteran and Ilonen a previous winner of the Volvo World Matchplay. Spieth is the best player on the planet at the moment in terms of form and has a good matchplay record in both The Ryder Cup, where he played superb with fellow rookie Patrick Reed, and in this event in Arizona last year, where he reached the quarter finals only to be beaten 4 and 2 to Ernie Els.

Spieth has recorded two wins in his last five events, which came at Augusta and The Valspar. He also finished solo 2nd in Texas and lost in a playoff in Houston. In his last eight events, he has only finished outside the top 10 twice. The youngster also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With superb current form and a favourable group, Jordan Spieth looks a worthy favourite here this week.

 

Jaosn Day 16/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Jason Day 16/1

After being in contention last week in New Orleans, Day made a couple of late bogeys and took himself out of it. In an interview afterwards, he admitted that humidity and the fact that he had to play roughly 30 holes on Sunday took a lot out of him, especially on the back nine, which made him make some unforced errors due to a lack of concentration. That’s fair enough.

He faces Charley Hoffman, Zach Johnson and Branden Grace in group 7 and should advance to the final 16. After winning this event last year in a final round tussle with Victor Dubuisson, Day managed to get the job done, despite the Frenchman’s stunning scrambling. The Aussie has been playing well this season with a win at Torrey Pines and a further three top five’s in his last eight starts.

He ranks seventh in GIR, 15th in stroke gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring and second in par 3 scoring. With a great matchplay record in both this event and in The Presidents Cup, Day could be a danger man here, especially after a good performance last week in New Orleans.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015Patrick Reed 25/1

I think the young American could have a great week in San Fran this week given his performance in The Ryder Cup and his very competitive prowess. He is grouped with Danny Willett, Andy Sullivan and Ryan Moore. He is playing well this year with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions back in January and top 10’s at The Honda Classic and a P2 at The Valspar in which he lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth.

Most recently, he had an MC at The RBC Heritage, but finished in a respectable T22 at Augusta and a T17 in Houston. Statswise he seems to fit well here ranking 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in strokes gained putting, 32nd in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With a favourable draw in the group stages and good matchplay pedigree, Reed is another player capable of having a good week.

 

Ian Poulter 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchhplay 2015

Ian Poulter 33/1

Poulter is playing well so far this season and has been inside the top 25 in five of his last six events. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T3, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 74. He continued that good run of form with a T24 at The Valspar, T21 at Bay Hill and a superb T6 in Augusta. Despite a 73 in round one, Poulter went on to shoot 72, 67,67 over the weekend and hit most greens in regulation for the tournament.

We all know he thrives in a matchplay environment and has the Ryder Cup and WGC Matchplay record to prove it. He has played well in this event over the years reaching the Quarter Finals in 2013 and defeated Paul Casey in the final to win in 2010. Poulter ranks 32nd in GIR, 37th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in three putt avoidance and sixth in par 4 scoring. If he gets the putter hot and starts well, he could be a tough man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Paul Casey 33/1

Casey is playing good golf so far this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Honda Classic finishing T3 and followed that with a solo 9th in Houston and an impressive T6 at The Masters. Casey was another player who hit a lot of greens in Augusta and putted superbly. He has a great matchplay record performing in three Ryder Cups and reaching two WGC Matchplay finals. He got to the final in 2009, but was beaten by Geoff Ogilvy and reached the final in 2010, where he was beaten by fellow countryman Ian Poulter 7 and 6.

Casey ranks 16th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. With a great matchplay record and good current form, Paul Casey will be well rested and ready to contend this week.

 

Final selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 9/1

Jason Day 1 pt EW 16/1

Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 25/1

Ian Poulter 1 pt EW 33/1

Paul Casey 1 pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2015

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida
Par 70, 7,140 yards

The Course
The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however, the greens here are quite small and tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. GIR will be a stat to take in consideration this week along with accurate long iron play. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling stats is another one to consider.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose 22/1
Rose has been playing well since the end of November finishing T2 at The DP World Championship in Dubai. He followed that with another good week at The Hero World Challenge in December finishing T6 on 11 under for the week. He started 2015 well on The European Tour with a couple of top 15’s finishing T12 at the Abu Dhabi Championship and T13 at The Qatar Masters.

Rose has a good record at this tournament with three top 5’s in his last three appearances. He finished T4 in 2013, T5 in 2012 and solo third in 2010. Last season, Rose ranked fourth in strokes gained tee to green, 41st in GIR, 14th in par 4 scoring and 31st in scrambling. His approach stats are also good, ranking third in approaches from 175-200 and second in approaches from 200-225. After taking the last couple of weeks off, Rose will be feeling fresh coming to a course he has played well on in the past.

Keegan Bradley 33/1

Keegan Bradley 25/1
Bradley played well last week in Riviera finishing T4 at The Northern Trust Open shooting a final round 68. He has been playing well since December and put in a solid performance at The Hero World Challenge finishing T3 on 15 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T48 at The Humana Challenge and a respectable T17 at The Phoenix Open. He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T12 last year, T4 in 2013 and T12 in 2012.

Statswise he seems to tick the boxes ranking 25th in driving distance, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 100-125. He also ranks 18th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. After a top 5 finish last week and good performances here in the past, Bradley is another player that could be one to watch here.

Graeme McDowell 33/1

Graeme McDowell 30/1
Gmac has been playing well over the last few months with three top 11’s in his last five starts on both the European and PGA Tour. He had a great week at The WGC HSBC Champions back in November finishing T3 on 10 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at The Hero World Challenge in December. Most recently, he had a good week at The Dubai Desert Classic finishing T9 on 14 under for the week, which included a 67 in round one and a 65 in round two.

McDowell has played well on the Champion Course before with three top 10’s in his last four appearances. He finished T9 in 2013, T9 again in 2012 and T6 in 2011. Last season, Gmac ranked 12th in driving accuracy, first in stroke gained putting and fifth in approaches from 150-175. He also ranked 39th in scrambling and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to 2015 and a good previous record on this course, McDowell could have another good week here.

Ryan Palmer 33/1

Ryan Palmer 33/1
After missing his first cut of the season at Pebble Beach a couple of weeks ago, Ryan Palmer could be a player to keep an eye on here. He started the season well with a T22 at The WGC HSBC Champions back on November. He followed that with a T17 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T10 at The Humana Challenge. Most recently, he played well at The Phoenix Open finishing T2, which included a 64 in round one. He has played well here before finishing T2 last year and T26 in 2012.

Palmer is another player that ticks all the boxes statswise, ranking fifth in driving distance, 11th in GIR, 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 21st in strokes gained putting. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and 17th in par 5 scoring. With two top 10’s in his last three starts, Palmer could have another good week after playing so well here last year.

Paul Casey 50/1

Paul Casey 40/1
Paul Casey had a great performance last week at The Northern Trust Open shooting a final round 68 to get himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn. He was knocked out of the playoff but finished P2 on six under par for the tournament. He had a respectable start to the PGA Tour season finishing T37 at The CIMB Classic and T30 recently at The Sony Open.

Casey has played this event on three previous occasions finishing T12 last year and T4 in 2010. Casey ranks 38th in strokes gained tee to green, 30th in strokes gained putting and eighth in birdie average. He also ranks second in approaches from 75-100, sixth in approaches from 150-175, sixth in putting average and fifth in par 5 performance. After a great performance last week in Riviera, Paul Casey could have another good performance on a course he has played well on before.

Final selections –
Justin Rose 1.5 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 1.5 pts EW
Graeme McDowell 1 pt EW
Ryan Palmer 1 pt EW
Paul Casey 1 pt EW
Total Staked = 12 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
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