Masters Betting Preview 2018

Masters Betting Preview 2018Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia    

Par 72, 7,435 yards

The Course    

Welcome to my Masters Betting Preview 2018! Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.     

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones with Jones designing Augusta National with course architect, Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.    

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players with plenty of experience here tend to go well, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas. 

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.     

There are a few key stats to pay attention to here. GIR will be important but the ability to negotiate these lightning fast greens will be key so strokes gained putting is one in particular along with scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.  

 

Justin Rose 12/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Justin Rose 12/1 

The Englishman has been in great shape this year with a win and three top 10’s in his last six starts. Rose played solidly throughout the week at the WGC HSBC Champions in China at the end of November shooting three rounds of 68 or better to win by two strokes from Henrik Stenson.  

He then travelled to Torrey Pines where he finished T8 at the Farmers Insurance Open and followed that with a T9 at the Valspar, which included three rounds of 70 or better. Rose then had yet another top 10 finish at Bay Hill where he shot rounds of 69,71,67,67 on his way to an impressive solo third.  

He sounded very positive when he was interviewed last week for Europeantour.com “I’m not worried about the other players or the other variables. I’m coming in playing as good as I’ve ever played, so I’m excited about that.”  

His record here is quite impressive with five top 10’s in ten appearances with form figures 2,10,2 the last three years. Statistically Rose ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 49th in GIR, eighth in scrambling, 13th in SGP and sixth in par 4 scoring. After coming agonizingly close to victory last year, Rose will be keen to try and put that right this year and should be right in the thick of things come Sunday.  

 

Phil Mickelson 16/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 16/1 

The two-time Masters champion returns to Augusta National in great form after a T24 in Houston after an impressive final round 67. Lefty has been playing some great golf this year with a win and four top 10’s in his last ten starts.  

He started the season off with an impressive T3 at the Safeway Open followed by a respectable T15 at the WGC HSBC Champions. His more recent form figures read 5,2,6,1,17 and started with a great week in Phoenix posting a T5 and followed that with a T2 in Pebble and an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open.  

The Five-time major winner then traveled to Mexico and defeated Justin Thomas in a play-off after an exciting final round 66 at the WGC-Mexico Championship to claim his first victory since the 2013 Open Championship.   

His from in Augusta National is very impressive with 10 cuts made from 12 appearances including two wins and a four top 5’s. Statswise he ranks second in SGP, fourth in SG Approaches to the green and fourth in scrambling, three stats that will stand him well here. Mickelson clearly loves Augusta and with his great current form and natural right to left shape, he could be a huge contender here.  

 


Paul Casey 22/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 22/1
 

Casey arrives to Augusta in great form and will be feeling particularly confident after winning at Copperhead a few weeks ago at the Valspar. His form figures read 7,19,11,8,49,12,1,17 in his last eight starts.  

He started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 63 and a final round 65. Casey then tee’d it up at the CJ Cup finishing T19 and followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions, T8 in Pebble and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship where he shot three rounds of 68 or better.  

Casey then went to Copperhead where he shot a final round 69 to post 10 under in total, one clear of Tiger Woods and Patrick Reed. His form at Augusta is excellent with four top 10’s in nine appearances, three of which have been the last three years in a row (6,4,6).  

Statswise he seems to fit the bill here ranking 17th in GIR, second in SGTTG, 11th in SG around the green and seventh in scrambling. With great current form and a recent win under his belt, Casey could be another player right in the mix come Sunday.  

 

Alex Noren 40/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 40/1 

Ive had the Swede in mind for Augusta for the last few weeks and with his excellent form and natural fade, Augusta could be a good fit for him.  

He started 2018 off with an impressive T2 at Torrey Pines after losing a five-hole playoff to Jason Day on the Monday after running out of daylight on Sunday evening. Noren then finished T21 in Phoenix and followed that with a respectable T16 in Riviera and a solo third at the Honda, which included three rounds of 67 or better.  

More recently, he has kept up his decent run of form with a T14 at the WGC Mexico and a solo third at the WGC Dell Matchplay after beating the in form Justin Thomas 5&3 which will do wonders for his confidence coming into this week.  

Noren ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 48th in GIR, 16th in SGTTG, 17th in strokes gained putting, 26th in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. After a missed cut on his only appearance here last year, Noren arrives in much better form this time around.  

 

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100/1  

The in form Thai looks great value here this week given his current run of form. He has been playing some good golf so far this year and began 2018 with a respectable T22 in Abu Dhabi followed by a T27 in Malaysia at the start of February.  

It was mid February where he started to show some real class when he travelled to Australia and won the Super 6 where he won four matches convincingly including the final against James Nitties 2&1.  

Aphibranrat has shown he can compete in top quality fields finishing T5 at the WGC Mexico Championship after shooting an impressive final round 65. He then followed that with another T5 at the WGC Matchplay where he got to the quarter finals but was knocked out by the eventual winner Bubba Watson.  

Now number 30 in the world rankings, this will be Aphibarnrat’s second appearance in Augusta. His first appearance here was in 2016 where he finished in a very respectable T15 after a final round 70. He is playing some good golf lately and looks great value for an each way shout.  

 

Final selections – 

Justin Rose 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW

Paul Casey 1pt EW

Alex Noren 1pt EW

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 9 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Riviera Country Club, California  

Par 71, 7,349 Yards  

The Course  

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California. It was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr in 1926 and was redesigned by Tom Fazio in 2008. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and formerly the Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards.  

Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.  

Previous winners include Dustin Johnson (last year), Bubba Watson (2016 & 2014) James Hahn (2015), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.  

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a lengthy 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.  

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting, SGTTG and par 4 scoring.  

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 25/1 

In the last four events he has played, Englishman Paul Casey has not finished outside the top 20. His form reads 7,19,11,8 since last October and comes to Riviera on the back of a top 10 finish last week in Pebble Beach.  

Casey started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He started with a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back with an impressive 63 in round two followed by a 69,65 over the weekend. He then teed it up at the CJ Cup in Korea posting a respectable two under par and T19 for the tournament and followed that with a T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China finishing T11.  

He came close to victory here back in 2015 getting himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn after a final round 68, but just came up short to finish T2 with DJ. Casey has played well here in the past finishing T12 in 2011 and T22 in 2008 so he’s no stranger to Riviera.  

Statswise he ranks 17th in driving accuracy, seventh in GIR and first in SGTTG. Form wise Casey is playing sold golf at the moment and could follow up his top 10 last week in Pebble with another good week here.  

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 25/1  

Phil seems to be warming up nicely lately with back to back to 5’s in his last two starts.  

He has been in good shape since the start of the season posting a T3 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T15 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China, which included a final round 67.   

In his last eight competitive rounds Mickelson has shot a 70 or better seven times and looks to be putting superbly over the last couple of weeks.  

He had a great week in Phoenix shooting an opening round 70 followed by a 65,66,69 to finish T5. Phil then followed that with another solid performance last week in Pebble where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2 on 14 under.  

Phil has a great record here in Riviera with form figures 2,1,1,44,35,2,21,34 since 2007 including  back to back wins in 2008 and 2009. Statswise he is averaging just under 305 off the tee and ranks 12th in SG approaches to the green. He also ranks 28th in scrambling and fifth in SGP which are two important stats around Riviera.  

With great current form and a red hot putter, Phil is definitely someone to keep on side here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

I backed this man a couple of weeks ago in Torrey where he unfortunately missed the cut but I’m willing to roll the dice on him once again here on a course he top 10’d on last year.  

He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 19,MC,7,MC,3 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing a respectable T19 back in October.  

In his first event of 2018, he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total. The youngster then travelled to Arizona for the Phoenix Open where he showed some great consistency with three 68’s and a closing 65 to finish T3.  

Schneiderjans played great here last year, again showing great consistency with rounds of 68,69,69,68 on his way to a T8 where he was one of only two players to shoot sub 70 in every round. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 19th in driving distance, 15th in SGTTG, 53rd in SGP and ranks inside the top 36 for par 3 – par 5 scoring.  

With good current form and a great performance here last year, Schneiderjans looks a decent bet at 40’s.  

 

Chez Reavie 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Chez Reavie 40/1  

Reavie has been in great shape since the start of the season with seven top 20’s including, back to back top 5’s, in his last nine starts. 

He started strongly with a T13 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T24 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T14 at the OHL Classic and T18 at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January.  

Reavie has been playing particularly well over the last couple of weeks with back to back seconds. He came close to victory in Phoenix getting himself into a playoff with Gary Woodland after shooting an impressive final round 66 but lost the sudden death playoff to a par on the tricky 18th. He then followed that up with another solid performance last week in Pebble posting 14 under and T2 for the tournament.  

The American has played well here in Riviera before finishing solo seventh in 2016 shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish on 11 under. Statswise Reavie ranks 10th in driving accuracy, 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and inside the top 10 for both par 3 and par 4 scoring.    

 

Final Selections –  

Paul Casey 1pt EW 

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Chez Reavie 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6pts (Some bookies paying 7 places)  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

 

The Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 – FedEx Cup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsEast Lake Golf Club, Atlanta

Par 70, 7,385 yards

The Course

It’s the final event of the season and the FedExCup Series and it promises to be cracker. Only the top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings advance to the Tour Championship.

East Lake is a tricky test measuring 7,385 yards. It was restored back in 1994 after being neglected and was brought back to its glory by course designer Rees Jones. They made a small yet exciting change to the course layout for last years edition switching around the nines. The players ended playing a par 5 instead of a par 3 which offered an extra bit of drama at the end.

Previous winners include Rory Mcilroy (2016), Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker (2012).

Going by previous winners hitting plenty of greens is a huge plus along with a hot putter and accuracy off the tee. Players that can keep the ball in the fairway off the tee will give themselves a good look for their approaches into the greens.

The main areas of statistical importance here are GIR, SG Putting, SGTTG, scrambling and driving accuracy.

 

Jordan Spieth 9/2 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 9/2

It’s difficult to bet against the FedEx Cup leader coming to East Lake this week. He has been in great form recently with two wins, three top 10’s and a top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship where he holed a superb bunker shot beating Daniel Berger in a playoff. He then won again the following week at the Open Championship in Royal Birkdale where he overcame some early round jitters to beat Matt Kuchar by an impressive three strokes.

Spieth then finished in a respectable T13 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a solo second at the Northern Trust and another solo second at the Dell Technologies Championship. Last week at the BMW, he had another solid performance finishing T7 on 13 under for the tournament which included an opening and a closing 65.

Jordan has a great record here in East Lake finishing second in 2013, a win in 2015 and a T17 last year. Statswise he ranks third in GIR, second in SGTTG, 30th in strokes gained putting and first in par 4 scoring. In his last 12 competitive rounds Spieth has shot in the 60’s nine times. He looks like the standout favourite here and looks like the man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has had a fantastic season on the PGA Tour so far and I fully expect him to keep that good form going this week in East Lake. Casey has four top 10’s and two top 15’s in his last seven starts. He had a great week at the Travelers shooting four rounds in the 60’s to post a T5 finish. He followed that with a T11 at the Open Championship in Birkdale, T5 at the WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA Championship, solo fifth at The Northern Trust, T4 at the Dell Technologies and a respectable T33 at the BMW Championship.

Casey is a real horse for the course here finishing fourth in 2010, fifth in 2015 and fourth last year. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, fifth in SG tee to green and sixth in scrambling. In his last 12 rounds around East Lake, Casey has only shot worse than a 70 twice.

 

Patrick Cantlay Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup Playoffs Patrick Cantlay 33/1 

Cantlay has been very impressive this season and has done incredibly well to get to the Tour Championship given the amount of tournaments he’s played. He has played some great golf in some tricky events throughout the season including a solo second at the Valspar, a T3 at the RBC Heritage, T14 at the Zurich Classic in New Orleans and a respectable T22 at the Players Championship.

Most recently, Cantlay has two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a good week at the Northern Trust shooting four rounds of 70 or better finishing T10 and followed that with a T13 at the Dell Technologies Championship which included three rounds in the 60’s. Last week at the BMW Cantlay had another solid week finishing T9 after shooting 67,65,70,70 to post 12 under par in total.

He ticks a few boxes here statswise ranking 17th in GIR, 15th in SG tee to green, 42nd in strokes gained putting and 28th in par 4 scoring.

 

Webb Simpson 40/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2017 - FedEx Cup PlayoffsWebb Simpson 40/1

Simpson looks very generously priced considering his good form lately. He has had some great performances over the last couple of months including a solo fifth at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, a T8 at the Travelers and a T14 at the Greenbrier.

More recently he has three top 10’s in his last four starts finishing solo third at the Wyndham which included a 63 and a 64 in in the first two rounds, a T6 at the Northern Trust which included a final round 65 and a T9 last week at the BMW which included three rounds of 68 or better to post 12 under in total.

Webb is another horse for the course here in East Lake finishing T22 in 2011, T5 in 2012, solo fourth in 2013 which included an impressive final round 63 and a T23 in 2014.

Simpson looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, 27th in SG tee to green, second in scrambling and seventh in par 4 scoring. He looks great value here and could go well at a generous price.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pt WIN 9/2

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Patrick Cantlay 1pt EW 33/1 

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 40/1 

Total staked = 8 pts 

 

*PP Paying 5 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

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WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017

WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Firestone Country Club (South Course), Akron, Ohio 

Par 70, 7,400 yards 

The Course 

Firestone Country Club was designed by Bert Way and was originally commissioned by Harvey Firestone for the employees of his tire company, Firestone Tire and Rubber and opened in August 1929. Firestone made a name for itself hosting a total of three PGA Championships in 1960, 1966 and 1975.

Robert Trent Jones oversaw a huge redesign for the 1960 PGA Championship adding over fifty bunkers, two ponds and extending the course to 7,165 yards. It was then renovated by Golforce in 2007 adding more yardage onto the course making it 7,400 for the 2015 WGC Bridgestone.

Firestone is a tough all round test of golf and only the very best players tend to contend here. It has only two par 5’s, one of which is the 16th which is the one of the longest par fives on the PGA Tour measuring just under 670 yards. It also has four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Seven of the 12 par 4’s measure over 460 yards and three of the four par 3’s will measure over 200 yards so good ball striking and accurate iron play will be essential into these testing bentgrass greens.

The key stats here are GIR, total driving, strokes gained putting (good bentgrass putters), par 4 scoring, previous course experience and good current form. This is one of the best courses in the world and the cream tends to rise to the top so bare that in mind.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Jordan Speith 8/1

Jordan Speith comes to Ohio this week rested and energised after the heroics of Royal Birkdale a couple of weeks ago. I won’t harp on about fantastic he played and the putts he made because let’s face it, if you watched it you know what I’m talking about. The young Texan has been in superb form lately with two wins, a second and a top 15 in his last five starts. He played well in Colonial finishing T2 at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, after shooting an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T13 at Memorial followed by back to back wins, the first at the Travelers Championship and the second at the Open in Royal Birkdale.

Speith has played very well around Firestone in the past finishing 10th in 2015 and third last year. He ranks second in GIR, first in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 3 scoring which are three very good boxes ticked for this course. It looks like he has rediscovered that killer instinct with his putter and is extremely difficult to avoid this week even at skinny odds. Given his current form and favourable history here, Speith is without a doubt the man to beat.

 

Brooks Koepka 16/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational 2017Brooks Koepka 16/1

The US Open Champion has been playing some superb golf this season and should be well rested coming to Firestone this week. Since finishing T11 in Augusta, Koepka has a win, three top 10’s and a top 20 under his belt. He had a great week at the Valero Texas Open finishing T2 after an impressive final round 65 and followed that with a T5 in New Orleans, which included a final round 62.

Brooks then teed it up in Sawgrass and finished a respectable T16 at the Players Championship. It was Erin Hills that seemed to suit his game the best where he shot four rounds of 70 or better to win by four strokes from Hideki Matsuyama and Brian Harman to win the US Open in Wisconsin.

He has played well here in Firestone in the past finishing T6 in 2015, which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise Koepka is averaging just over 307 off the tee ranking 10th in driving distance and 21st in strokes gained putting. After a good performance here in 2015 there’s no reason why he can’t contend again.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Paul Casey 30/1

The Englishman is having a fantastic season and comes here in great form. Since finishing solo sixth in Augusta at The Masters, Casey’s form figures read 12,22,10, 26, 5, 11. He had a good week at the Wells Fargo finishing T12 and followed that with a T22 in Sawgrass at The Players, T10 at The Dean and Deluca and a respectable 26th at the US Open in Erin Hills.

Most recently Casey has been playing quite solid finishing T5 at the Travelers which included four rounds of 69 or better to post nine under in total. The Englishman had a super week at Royal Birkdale shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T11 at The Open Championship.

Casey has a great record here and seems to be a real horse for the course with two top 10’s and three top 20’s since 2005. He finished fourth in 2006, eighth in 2008, T17 in 2015 and T16 last year.

 

Daniel Berger 40/1 WGC Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 40/1

Berger has been playing great golf this season with a win and two top five finishes in his last six starts. He had a superb week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a pair of 66’s to win by one stroke from Charl Schwartzel and Whee Kim. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where a moment of brilliance from Jordan Speith denied him victory after a tricky playoff. Berger bounced back well finishing T5 at TPC Deere Run at the John Deere Classic which included an impressive 63 in round three.

He teed it up here for the first time last year and had to controversially withdraw with an injured shoulder after hitting only one tee shot. Statswise he ranks 34th in GIR, 14th in strokes gained putting and 19th in par 4 scoring.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 

Since getting the monkey off his back in Scotland with an impressive victory at the Scottish Open, The Spaniard has maintained some great consistency over the last few weeks and looks to be striking the ball very well. He had a good week at the Players Championship shooting three rounds of 70 or better to finish T4. He then teed it up at the FedEx St Jude finishing T4 and followed that with a T4 in Royal Birkdale at The Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s.

Rafa has played once here before finishing T29 in 2012 which included an opening round 66 and a second round 65. He ranks 27th in GIR on the European Tour and 45th in par 4 scoring on the PGA Tour. He has stood up to the plate in the big events and looks good value here to have a good week.

 

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 Bridgestone Invitational Betting Preview 2017Charl Schwartzel 55/1

South African Charl Schwartzel is another player that arrives to Firestone in good shape with three top fives and one top 15 in his last seven starts. He had a great week in Augusta finishing solo third at the Masters, a course where he won on in 2011, and followed that with a T2 at the FedEx St Jude Classic, which included three rounds of 66 or better. He then travelled o Germany last week for the Porche European Open where he shot an opening round 67 and a closing round 69 to finish T12 for the tournament on eight under par in total.

He has a great record around Firestone with form figures of 24,21,4,31,7 since 2012. Schwartzel is a good horse for the course kind of player and tends to play well on bentgrass greens. At 55/1 and some good performances in big events this year, he looks good value to have a decent week.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Speith 8/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 16/1 1pt EW

Paul Casey 30/1 0.5pts EW

Daniel Berger 40/1 0.5pts EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 45/1 0.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 55/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 8pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016

Tiger Woods Safeway open 2016North Course, Silverado Resort & Spa, Napa Valley, California 

Par 72 7,203 yards

We’re hopefully going to see the return of a certain Mr Woods this week and I for one think it’s great to have him back playing competitively again. The word on social media is that Tiger seems to be hitting the ball well in practice and is in tip top shape coming into this week. He is paired with Phil Mickelson for the first two rounds so it should make for some very interesting viewing.

Silverado Resort & Spa measures a lengthy 7,203 yards and has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s. It was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr in the 1960’s and was renovated by Johnny Miller in 2011. The fairways are tree lined with forgiving rough so missing the fairways here will not be a big deal. There are quite a lot of nice features around the course such as old Oak trees, elevation changes and water features and crossings. The greens are bent grass and are average size by PGA Tour standards and can get quite fast depending on weather conditions.

This will be the third time this course has hosted the tournament and judging by last year, length does not seem to be a huge advantage. Players that have accurate iron play and the ability to negotiate these tricky bent grass greens should go well here this week. Top stats to consider are par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, approach stats, SGTTG and SGP.

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Paul Casey 12/1

Casey has to get a nod here based on the fact that he played superb throughout the FedExCup Playoffs. His good run of form began at the PGA Championship where he finished T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The Travelers, second at The Deutsche Bank, second at The BMW and a solo fourth at The Tour Championship. Casey has shot a 70 or better in 11 of his last 12 rounds and could have the game that suits this course.

This is his first appearance here at Silverado but statistically he seem to fit the bill. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee, 11th in SG approaches to the green, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. After playing solidly throughout the playoffs Casey could be the man to beat here especially in a weakened field.

 

Emiliano Grillo Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Emiliano Grillo 20/1 

This man started with a bang last year and won this tournament in style beating Kevin Na on the second playoff hole. He has been playing some great golf over the last few months and comes into this with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He had a good week at the PGA finishing T13 and followed that with a T8 in Rio at The Olympics, T2 at The Barclays and a respectable T10 in East Lake at The Tour Championship.

He played superb last year and shot 68,71,65,69 to post 15 under in total. Grillo also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 28th in SG off the tee, 27th in GIR and 26th in birdie average. He comes here in great form and could have another good week.

 

Justin Thomas Safeway Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 25/1 

Thomas came within a whisker of getting into the playoff with Grillo and Na last year but just came up one short. He had a good season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He played great here last year finishing T3 and was a bit unlucky not to finish better and make the playoff. Thomas is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 17th in par 5 scoring and 20th in SG approaches to the green.

 

Jhonattan Vegas 50/1 

The streaky Johnny Vegas had a good season and has been playing well since early July. After a T4 at the Barbasol, Vegas then went on to win the RBC Canadian Open after shooting a superb final round 64 to finish 12 under in total beating Dustin Johnson, Martin Laird and Jon Rahm by one stroke. He followed that with a T22 at The PGA, T22 at The Barclays, T24 at The BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. Vegas had a great week here last year opening with a 64 in round one and ended up finishing T10 on 11 under for the tournament.

He ranks 23rd in SG off the tee, 14th in driving distance, 10th in GIR and 24th in par 5 scoring. After a solid performance here last year and decent form towards the end of last season, Vegas is worth chancing here.

 

Final Selections – 

Paul Casey 1pt EW 12/1 

Emiliano Grillo 0.5pts EW 20/1 

Justin Thomas 0.5pts EW 25/1 

Jhonattan Vegas 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 – FedExCup Playoffs

Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 - FedExCup playoffsField – Top 30 in FedExCup Standings

East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

Par 70, 7,307 yards

 

The Course

Well it’s the season finale so let’s finish with a bang! East Lake was designed by Donald Ross and is a tricky tree lined par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. Previous winners include Jordan Spieth (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Henrik Stenson (2013) and Brandt Snedeker. Some of the par 3’s will be intimidating with water hazards coming into play and could offer some excitement.

There are over 70 bunkers to contend with here so being a handy bunker player will stand you in good stead. The greens could be hard and fast as the weather looks set to be dry throughout most of the tournament. Length doesn’t seem to be hugely important its more about accuracy off the tee, good putting on these tricky Bermuda greens and good scrambling.

 

Jordan Spieth 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsJordan Spieth 10/1 

The young American has been showing some great form over the last couple of months and returns to a course that clearly suits his game. Since his T2 at The Masters, Spieth has followed that with a win at Colonial, T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T13 at The PGA, T10 at The Barclays and a solo 9th at The BMW. He played superb at this venue last year winning on nine under in total and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also finished T2 here in 2013 which included a superb final round 64.

He ranks second in SGP, 15th in SGTTG, fifth in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. Spieth has a good record in Georgia with great performances in Augusta and here at East Lake over the last three years and could put in a big performance here this week.

 

Adam Scott 10/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsAdam Scott 10/1 

The Aussie has been playing great lately with four top 10’s in his last six starts. He recorded his third fourth place finish in a row at The BMW posting 12 under in total. Before that he finished T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in East Lake in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T19 in 2012, T14 in 2013 and T9 in 2014.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 3rd in GIR and 10th in par 4 scoring. Scott is clearly in fine form and if he can get the putter rolling on the greens he could be right in the mix here.

 

Patrick Reed 18/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsPatrick Reed 18/1 

I have to stick to my guns and give Reed another nod here. He has been in superb form lately and finished strongly at The BMW shooting a final round 68 to finish T13. Sitting in second in the The FedexCup standings Reed is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment and was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with eight top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays, T5 in Boston and a T13 at The BMW.

Reed has played here twice before finishing T27 last year and T19 in 2014. He ranks fourth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 15th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With a decent performance here and with the Ryder Cup in his sights Reed is one to keep on side here.

 

Paul Casey 16/1 Tour Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Paul Casey 16/1

The Englishman has come close to a win over the last couple of weeks and could be one to watch here. Casey has three top 10’s in his last five starts finishing T10 at the PGA, T17 at The Travelers, solo second at The Deutsche Bank and solo second at The BMW in Crooked Stick. He has played well here at East Lake in the past finishing T4 in 2010 and T5 last year.

This course could be right up Casey’s street ranking second in GIR, ninth in SGTTG and 31st in driving accuracy hitting just over 65% of fairways off the tee. With a decent record here and super current form Casey could be a big threat here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 2pts EW 10/1 

Adam Scott 2pts EW 10/1 

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 18/1

Paul Casey 1pt EW 16/1 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2016Hilton Head, South Carolina 

Par 71, 7,101 yards.  

The Course 

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be mainly dry with a mix of sunny conditions and some scattered cloud with moderate winds.

 

Zach Johnson 22/1 RBC HeritageZach Johnson 22/1

After shooting an opening round 72 last week in Augusta, Johnson fell right back after a second round 80 and ended up missing the cut. Despite a disappointing second round, last weeks missed cut could be a big positive as he will be fresh coming into this week.

ZJ has been playing well lately and looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

He has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2007 and second in 2012. This tight track seems to suit his game and statistically he ranks 30th in GIR and 22nd in par 3 scoring. After some solid performances over the last few weeks Johnson looks to be in good form and a big contender here.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 RBC Heritage Brandt Snedeker 18/1 

Snedeker played great golf last week in Augusta and looked to be putting very well on those tricky undulating greens. He eventually finished T10 after a final round 72 and has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He had a bit of a dip in form but seems to be back contending over his last two events recording two top 10 in Augusta and The Matchplay.

Sneds has a good record here over the last few years finishing 16th in 2007, a win in 2011, 17th in 2012 and 26th last year. After two good recent performances Snedeker is one to keep on side here.

 

Kevin Kisner 25/1 RBC HeritageKevin Kisner 25/1

The accurate American started the season off with with a win and three top 10’s but has gone off the boil a bit lately. He played well in Augusta last week and shot two 72’s sandwiched between an opening 77 and a third round 76 to finish in a respectable T37. Kisner started the season with a solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

He was unlucky not to win this event last year and lost to Jim Furyk on the second playoff hole, which would be his first of three playoff losses from last year. He ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 37th in GIR, fifth in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. After a decent performance last week on a course that shouldn’t really suit his game Kisner could be another one to watch here.

 

Paul Casey 18/1 RBC HeritagePaul Casey 18/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T4 finish in Augusta last week and a T9 in Bay Hill. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four.

Casey has played well here in the past finishing 11th in 2009, 22nd in 2010 and 18th in 2014. The Englishman ranks 20th in GIR, 21st in SGTTG and 33rd in par 4 scoring. His form is getting warm and Casey looks to be another player with a solid game for this course.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick RBC Heritage 2016 Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1

The young Englishman played superb over the weekend in Augusta shooting an impressive final round 67 to finish T7 for the week. Matt looked to be hitting a lot of fairways off the tee, hitting alot of green in regulation and lead GIR in the final round on Sunday in Augusta. He has been playing on US soil over the last few weeks finishing T35 in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and T38 at The Matchplay.

He doesn’t hit it a mile but he is known as one of the most accurate players around hitting over 60% of fairways off the tee and ranking 22nd in GIR. Matt finished 23rd here in 2014 and can better that performance after a superb week in Augusta.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 18/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Kisner 25/1 1pt EW

Matt Fitzpatrick 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Dell Matchplay Betting Preview 2016

WGC Dell Matchplay Betting Preview 2016

Austin Country Club, Texas

Par 71, 7,043 Yards

The Course

Austin Country Club is located on a challenging Pete Dye-designed par 71 built in 1984 which overlooks Lake Austin. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course has a lot of new features after being renovated last year. It now has deep pot bunkers, undulating turf and dramatic fairway falls and tree lined fairways. The front nine is on higher ground and has some elevated and hilly fairways with some of the tee shots being played over canyons and creeks.

The back nine is on flatter ground and runs along the picturesque Lake Austin. Some tee shots and approach shots will have to be played over the lake which should offer some excitement. There will be a bit of emphasis on accuracy here as there are a lot of pot bunkers scattered on the fairways and some are quite deep and penalizing. The greens are Bermuda and look to be fractionally bigger than usual. The main areas of focus here are driving accuracy, GIR, good matchplay experience and decent current form.

 

Format: (Taken from PGATOUR.com)

The 64-player Dell Match Play field will be divided into 16 four-player groups. Each group will play round-robin matches within their group on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday (March 23, 24 and 25). The player with the best record in each of the four player groups advances to the Round of 16 for single-elimination match play (in the event of a two-way tie in a group, head-to-head match results will be used as the tiebreaker; a three-way tie will require a sudden-death stroke play hole by hole playoff).

Group Play (Round Robin) Matches: 18 hole matches played to either a conclusion or a halve (matches will not be extended beyond 18 holes).

  • Wednesday, Round 1 – 32 matches (64 players)
  • Thursday, Round 2 – 32 matches (64 players)
  • Friday, Round 3 – 32 matches (64 players)

Players in the field are assigned a seed number for the competition determined by their position on the Official World Rankings, as of Monday the week of the tournament (March 21, 2016 – after the Arnold Palmer Invitational).  The highest ranked player in the field Seed #1, and the lowest ranked player in the field Seed #64.

Players are then placed into four pools of 16 players:

  • 1-16/Pool A
  • 17-32/Pool B
  • 33-48/Pool C
  • 49-64/Pool D

The top 16 players will be the top player in each of the 16 groups. So the No. 1 seed is the top player in Group 1, No. 2 seed is the top player in Group 2 and so on.

The remaining players in each group will be picked randomly live on the Golf Channel as part of the Dell Match Play Draw show on Monday, March 21, at the Paramount Theatre in downtown Austin (more info below).

Rounds 1, 2 and 3 (Group Play): Players play 18 hole matches against each of the other players in their group.  Matches played to either a conclusion or a halve.  Matches all square after 18 holes are not extended.  Points awarded to players based on results of each match as follows:  Winner 1 point, Loser 0 point, Halved each player ½ point.

The player in each group with the highest point total at the end of group play advances to the 16-player, single-elimination matches.  In the event two or more players in a group are equal with the highest point totals, a stroke play hole-by-hole playoff will determine the player that advances to the 16 player, single-elimination matches.

Group play hole-by-hole playoffs will be conducted after the matches in a group are complete and after all of the group play matches have started their third round match.  Group play hole-by-hole playoffs will start on the first hole and play holes 1 through 18 in sequence repeated if necessary, until the player is determined who will advance to the elimination play matches.

*Single-elimination matches – 18 hole matches played to a conclusion.  No halved matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes will be extended until a winner is determined.

Round 4 (Saturday morning): Eight matches (16 players) – winners advance to round 5/quarter-final matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes in round 4 extended on holes 10 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 5 (Saturday afternoon): Four quarter-final matches (eight players) – winners advance to round 6 (semi-final) matches.  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 5 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 6 (Sunday morning): Two semi-final matches (four players) – winners advance to the championship match, losers advance to match for third place.  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 6 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

Round 7 (Sunday afternoon): Match for third place (two players) and championship match (two players).  Matches all square after 18 holes in rounds 7 are extended on holes 12 through 18 and repeated if necessary.

 

Selections –

Jordan Spieth 12/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Jordan Spieth 12/1 

The young Texan is playing on home turf and will have a lot of support here this week. He comes into this after taking last week off and should be fresh and ready to contend. Although he has gone off the boil a bit over his last few events, Spieth has played well this season with a T7 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo fourth at The Hero World Challenge and a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has had a couple of uncharacteristic performances recently finishing T17 at The Valspar and T18 at The WGC Cadillac but could bounce back strong this week.

He has a decent matchplay record over the last few years and also has a great record in Texas finishing solo second in The Texas Open last year, solo 10th in 2014 and a P2 in Houston last year. Spieth looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 13th in SGTTG, 22nd in SGP and first in par 4 scoring. After taking some time off and playing in front of a home crowd, Jordan could be the man to beat here on home turf.

 

Paul Casey 30/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Paul Casey 30/1 

Casey has been back showing some good form over the last few weeks and comes here on the back of a T9 finish in Bay Hill last week. His Iron play in particular was superb and if the putter heated up a little bit he wouldn’t have been far away. He also had a good week in Doral finishing solo seventh at The WGC Cadillac which included two 68’s in round two and four. Casey ticks alot of boxes here statswise ranking ninth in GIR, 19th in SGTTG and 21st in par 4 scoring.

Casey played superb here last year and finished fifth after losing to Rory McIlroy on the 22nd hole. He has a great matchplay record and was a finalist in this event in 2009 and 2010. He also a former winner of The Volvo World Matchplay so he’s no stranger to this kind of format and is peaking in form at just the right time.

 

Danny Willett 35/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Danny Willett 35/1

Danny has been playing well over the last few months and had a great finish to the year with a T4 at The DP World Tour Championship followed by another T4 at The Nedbank. He began 2016 with a T54 in Abu Dhabi but bounced back with a win in Dubai at the start of February which included a 65,65,69 finish to post 19 under in total. He then had another superb performance at The WGC Cadillac to finish T3. He put himself in a great position to win but pulled his tee shot fractionally left on 18 into the water and got a bit unlucky.

He played superb here last year finishing third and only lost one match out of the six. The Englishman could suit this course and ranks 35th in GIR and 15th in strokes gained putting on the European Tour this season. With a solid performance here last year and great current form Danny looks great value here.

 

Marc Leishman 50/1 WGC Dell Matchplay 2016

Marc Leishman 50/1 

The Aussie played well last week in Bay Hill and only for a third round 74, he would have finished a hell of a lot better than T17. He has been showing glimpses of good form lately finishing T28 at The WGC Cadillac and T5 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera shooting four steady rounds in the 60’s. Leishman has played well in this neck of the woods in the past finishing T3 in TPC Four Seasons at The Byron Nelson in 2014, T12 in 2013 and T3 in 2012.

He also played well here at The Matchplay in the past finishing ninth last year playing five matches and losing two and played well in The Presidents Cup winning two from two for the International Team. He ranks 15th in SGTTG, ninth in scrambling and third in par 4 scoring. With decent form lately and good matchplay form, Leishman looks good value here.

 

Final Selections – 

Jordan Spieth 12/1 2pts EW

Paul Casey 30/1 1.5pts EW

Danny Willett 35/1 1.5pts EW

Marc Leishman 50/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6 

 

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

Sheshan International GC, Shanghai, China

Par 72, 7,261 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club where Bubba Watson is the defending champion. He finished off in style last year by chipping in for eagle on the 18th and went on to beat Tim Clark in a playoff.

Previous winners include Phil Mickelson (2009), Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Ian Poulter (2012), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Bubba Watson (2014). Dustin Johnson holds the 72 hole record here with a score of 264 (2013).

Sheshan International is a par 72 measuring 7,261 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

Length tends to be a plus here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. Bear in mind that Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson have won the last two staging’s here and both are statistically huge hitters with average accuracy off the tee.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring. All four days look to be a bit mixed averaging from 21-25 degrees with the risk of rain and the possibility of thunderstorms.

 

Bubba Watson 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Bubba Watson 18/1

Bubba comes here in great form after winning The Presidents Cup with the American Team a couple of weeks ago in Korea. He also had a great finish to the season finishing solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA, solo third at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW and T5 at The Tour Championship. He played superbly well here last year and dramatically chipped in for an eagle on the 18th to force Tim Clark into a playoff, which he went on to win. Watson lead driving distance and par 5 scoring that week playing the par 5’s in 14 under for the week.

He also played well here in 2013 finishing T8 so the course seems to suit his eye. Bubba ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking second in driving distance, 19th in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also leads par 5 scoring and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After a solid finish to the season and a good performance at The Presidents Cup, Bubba Watson could have another good week here at Sheshan.

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie had a mediocre performance at The Frys shooting 72,65,70,68 to finish T25 for the tournament. However he did have a good finish to the season with a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone, a win at The Deutsche Bank, a T4 at The BMW and a T12 at The Tour Championship. He was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup Team in Korea. He has played well here in Sheshan in the past finishing T3 here last year only one stroke from getting in the playoff with Bubba Watson and Tim Clark.

Statswise he ranks 39th in driving distance averaging 296 off the tee, 35th in SGP and 26th in SGTTG. He also ranks 18th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After blowing the cobwebs off at The Frys, Rickie should be sharp and ready to contend here on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Patrick Reed 33/1

The American has been in Asia for the last couple of weeks and recorded two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting round of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 last week in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week. Reed was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team and had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has played well here in the past finishing T22 here last year. Staswise he averages 292 off the tee and ranks third in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 19th in SGP. After two top 10’s in his last two tournaments, there’s no reason why Reed shouldn’t have another good week here.

 

Paul Casey 35/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Paul Casey 35/1

The Englishman played his first tournament of the new season last week at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a respectable T24. He also had a good finish to the season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T3 at The Wyndham, T23 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Casey has a superb record at this event finishing T20 in 2013, T4 in 2011, T6 in 2010, T9 in 2009 and T11 in 2008.

Casey averages 297 off the tee and ranked third in driving accuracy and first in GIR last week in Malaysia. Last season he ranked fifth in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 13th in par 5 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. After a good week in Malaysia and a great history at this event, I can see Casey having another good week here at a decent price.

 

Chris Wood 50/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Chris Wood 50/1

Chris Wood has been in flying form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in a row. His good run of form began back at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship where he finished T4. He followed that with a T9 at The British Masters, solo second in Portugal and a solo fifth last week at The Turkish Airlines Open. Wood has only played once here back in 2013 when he finished in a respectable T39 for the week.

He is averaging just under 290 off the tee on the European Tour this season and ranks 18th in stroke average, 15th in strokes gained putting and 27th in putts per round. He played well on the par 5’s last week and made a lot of birdies, which will be a big plus at Sheshan this week.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 18/1 2pts EW

Rickie Fowler 18/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1.5pts EW

Paul Casey 35/1 1pt EW

Chris Wood 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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The Barclays Betting Preview 2015

The Barclays Betting Preview 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Plainfield Country Club, Edison, New Jersey

7,012 yards par 70

The Course

Plainfield Country Club plays host once again to the first event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The last time this event was played here was 2011, where the tournament had to be reduced to 54 holes due to Hurricane Katrina. The course is playing 48 yards further this time around with the fifth hole being moved to a par 4.

The course has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and has rolling, forgiving fairways and thick rough. There will be an emphasis on GIR and scrambling this week as there are some very deep bunkers around the greens. The greens here will be extremely tricky with a lot of them sloping from back to front with some serious drop off areas. Good putters should be able to negotiate these greens, which will be playing very fast due to good weather forecast for the week.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, GIR, scrambling and par 3 and par 4 scoring.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 The Barclays 2015 FedEx Cup Playoffs

Brooks Koepka 22/1

Koepka had another good week at The Wyndham finishing T6 making that five top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a great performance at The PGA in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.

He ranks seventh in driving distance, ninth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and eighth in strokes gained putting. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form, Koepka could make it winner number two this season here in New Jersey this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

After shooting a superb second round 61 at The Wyndham last week, Snedeker followed that with a third round 67 and a disappointing final round 75 to finish T43, which was poor but hopefully he turns that around this week. He has been playing well this season with five top 12’s in his last eight starts. He played well at Whistling Straits finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker has played well here in the past finishing third here in 2011, so he has a bit of form at Plainfield.

Snedeker ranks fifth in strokes gained putting, fifth in scrambling, seventh in longest putts and first in putts from 10 feet, which are two good stats for negotiating these tricky sloped greens. He also ranks 21st in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history here, Sneds could be another one to watch.

 

Paul Casey 40/1 The Barclays 2015 FedexCup Playoffs

Paul Casey 40/1

Casey played super last week finishing T3 at The Wyndham and comes here showing some great form. He has been playing well since early April finishing T6 at The Masters, T5 at The WGC Matchplay, where he lost a match to Rory Mcilroy due to an illness. He followed that with a playoff loss to Bubba Watson at The Travelers finishing P2, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T3 last week at the Wyndham.

Although it was on different courses, Casey has played well at this event in the past finishing T22 last year and T12 in 2010. Casey ranks fifth in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in par 4 scoring and 14th in par 5 scoring. After playing great golf last week, Casey can follow that with another solid performance this week.

 

Robert Streb 55/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Robert Streb 55/1

Streb has had a superb season so far which started off in style with a win at The McGladrey Classic. He hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in eight of his last nine events, which includes four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Wells Fargo where he finished T4. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T18 at The Memorial, P2 at The Greenbrier, T14 at The John Deere, T18 at The Open Championship, solo fifth at The WGC Bridgestone and a T10 at The PGA.

Streb seems to be a player that plays better on the bigger stages and ranks 11th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 22nd in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in par 3 scoring and 11th in par 4 scoring. His form is excellent at the moment and I expect him to keep that going here in New Jersey.

 

Danny Lee 80/1 The Barclays 2015 FedExCup Playoffs

Danny Lee 80/1

Danny Lee is another player that has been showing super form this season with three top 10’s and a win in his last six tournaments. He got into a playoff with David Hearn, Kevin Kisner and Robert Streb at The Greenbrier Classic and ended up winning the playoff on the third playoff hole. He followed that with a T3 at The John Deere and narrowly missed out on getting into another playoff, this time against Jordan Spieth and Tom Gillis. He played well the following week at The Quicken Loans finishing T4 and followed that with a T6 at The WGC Bridgestone.

Lee ranks 28th in strokes gained putting, fourth in par 3 scoring and 21st in birdie or better birdie percentage. Lee is in flying form and could go very well here at a huge price.

 

Final Selections –

Brooks Koepka 22/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Paul Casey 40/1 1.5 pts EW

Robert Streb 55/1 1pt EW

Danny Lee 80/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

Good luc and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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