AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am Betting Preview 2018Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California  

The Courses:  

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards 

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,953 yards 

Monterey Peninsula – Par 71, 6,867 yards 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 71 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s. 

Pebble Beach is widely known and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has a lot of history to it playing host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens, not to mention the windy weather this time of year. 

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its narrow, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favor especially if the wind gets up. 

Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 and is usually the easiest of the three courses but the greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here. 

Judging by previous history good putters (especially on poa annua), good scrambling and hitting plenty of greens have been the ingredients to victory in this event.  

The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favor the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus.  

 

Jason Day 10/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Jason Day 10/1  

After winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, Jason Day looks in great shape coming to Pebble this week. He has been playing some decent golf over the last couple of months with five top 11’s and a win in his last eight competitive starts.  

Day finished in a respectable T9 at the PGA Championship back in August followed by a T6 at the Northern Trust Open in Glen Oaks shooting a 69 or better in three of his four rounds. The Aussie then travelled to the BMW Championship in Conway Farms finishing solo fourth which included an opening 64 and a second round 65.  

He started the new season off at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing T11 and followed that with another T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. Day then made his way to Torrey Pines and played solid throughout the week shooting rounds of 73,64,71,70 to post 10 under for the tournament and ended up beating Swede Alex Noren in a playoff on Monday morning.  

He has played well here in the past with four top 11 finishes in his last five starts with form figures 5,11,4,MC,6 since 2013.  

Statswise Day ranks third in driving distance, 27th in GIR, 25th in SGP, sixth in SG of the tee and second in par 4 scoring. After winning on the poa annua greens of Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago along with his excellent record here, Day looks a good shout here at 10’s.  

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 33/1 

Patrick Reed looks to be trending in the right direction lately and could be a player to keep on side this week.  

Reed has been in decent shape over the last few months with two top 11’s and two top 25’s in his last seven starts. He played well at the CJ Cup finishing T11 followed by a decent T5 at the Hero World Challenge in the Bahamas back in December.  

After missing the cut at the CareerBuilder Challenge, he bounced back with a T23 in Torrey Pines posting three under for the tournament and followed that with a top 20 last week in Phoenix shooting rounds of 71,66,69,67 to finish T17, so he looks to be going in the right direction form wise.  

Reed has some great memories of Pebble over the last few years with three top 15’s and two top 30’s in five appearances showing form figures 23,6,29,13,7 since 2013.  

The Texan has shown some great form on windy setups over the last few years with a win and two top 10’s in Kapalua, top 20’s at the Open Championship the last three years and a couple of top 10’s at Copperhead in Florida (home of the Valspar Championship) which boasts smaller than average greens by PGA Tour standards, just like Pebble.   

He ranks 31st in SGP, 27th in SGTTG and seventh in SG around the green. With a good mix of current/previous form here Reed looks decent value.   

 

Pat Perez 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018Pat Perez 35/1  

Since winning the CIMB Classic back in October, Pat Perez has continued his good form with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts.  

Following his impressive four shot victory over Keegan Bradley at the CIMB with rounds of 66,65,64,69, Perez then travelled to Korea for the CJ Cup finishing T5 which included an opening 69 and a final round 68. He then played in the WGC-HSBC Champions in China posting a respectable T24 which included a pair of 69’s.  

Perez had another solid week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in windy Kapalua where he shot rounds of 72,66,71,69 finishing T4 on 14 under par in total.  

He has a good record here with three top 15’s in his last four starts finishing T14 last year, T4 in 2015 and T7 in 2014.  

Statswise the Californian ticks all the boxes here ranking third in driving accuracy, fifth in GIR, fifth in SG putting and 16th in both par 3 and par 4 scoring.  

It’s worth mentioning that Perez has a good record on tricky windy courses with top 10’s in Waialae (Sony open) and Torrey Pines (Farmers Insurance Open) over the last four years and is generally a strong west coast performer. With great current form so far this season and I expect him to have a decent week especially with his record here.  

 

Chesson Hadley 45/1  Chesson Hadley AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2018

I like the look of the in-form Chesson Hadley on a course he has expressed his liking for in the past. Hadley has been playing well over the last couple of months with four top 5’s and a top 25 in his last eight starts.  

He began the season in style with a T3 at the Safeway Open, a solo second at the Sanderson Farms which included four rounds of 70 or better and a T4 at the Shriners Open in Vegas, which included a 65,68,69 over the weekend to post eight under par for the tournament.  

Hadley then went off the boil a bit with a couple of mediocre results but bounced back well with a T23 in Torrey Pines firing rounds of 71,72,71,71 showing some great consistency.  

Last week in Phoenix he cracked the top 10 shooting an opening 66 followed by three 68’s to finish T5 on 14 under. 

He has played well on this course before with back to back T10’s in 2014 and 2015. I had a look at some quotes from the Fantasy Golfanac and came across this gem from the man himself –  

Chesson Hadley – “It’s just an awesome old school golf course [Monterey Peninsula’s Shore Course]. The greens are really old poa annua and the course is, it kind of has, almost has a slight links feel to it. Pebble Beach is my favourite, that’s my favourite course ever, but this course is in awesome shape and like I said, the weather is, this is as good as it gets in golf.” 

Hadley ticks some key statistical boxes here ranking 37th in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 37th in SG putting, first in par 3 scoring, 38th in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring.  

 

Final selections – PP Paying 7 places on 1/5 odds

Jason Day 1pt EW 10/1  

Pat Perez 1pt EW 35/1  

Patrick Reed 0.5pts EW 33/1  

Chesson Hadley 0.5pts EW 45/1  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf. 

Doublebogey6 

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AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

 

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California 

The Courses: 

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,858 yards

Monterey Peninsula – Par 70, 6,838 yards

 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 70 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s.

Pebble Beach is widely known to us golf fans and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has played host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens not to mention the windy weather this time of year.

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its tight, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favour especially if the wind gets up.

Monterey Peninsula is a par 70 and is usually the easiest of the three courses boasting the lowest score average last year of just over 70. The greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here.

There are a few different factors to consider. The greens here are poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favour the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 20/1 

Despite Snedeker’s questionable finish at Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, he could be worth keeping on side here this week. He played well at The Famers Insurance Open and really should’ve won it outright. He started well with a 68,69,70 and then finished poorly with a disappointing final round 73 to finish T9. He started 2017 with a good performance at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge.

He has a great record here over the years finishing T21 and T8 (US Open) here in 2010 along with wins in 2013 and 2015. He ranks 23rd in GIR, seventh in scrambling and 22nd in par 3 scoring. Players with good records tend to go well here and Snedeker could follow up the disappointment of Torrey with a great performance this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Phil Mickelson 20/1 

Phil is a real horse for the course here in Pebble and could be another good linksy style player to keep on side here. He hasn’t finished worse than T21 in his last four events and seems to be getting better and better every week. He finished T8 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T21 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T14 in Torrey Pines and a T16 last week in Phoenix which included a third round 65.

Mickelson has a superb record at Pebble Beach with three wins and four top tens in 12 appearances here. He has made himself a real links specialist over the years which was evident with his solo second and final round 65 in last year’s Open Championship in Troon. He ranks tenth in SG approaches the green, 23rd in SG around the green, 31st in SGP and seventh in scrambling. With Phil’s super record here and great current form, it could be his week.

 

Jon Rahm 22/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 22/1 

The Spaniard has been in fine form lately and comes here on the back of a superb win in Torrey Pines after shooting a flawless 65 in the final round which included a monster eagle on the 18th. He has been in great form this season which started with a T15 at The Safeway Open, T15 at The Shriners Open and a T8 at the World Cup of Golf. He began 2017 with a disappointing T34 at the CareerBuilder Challenge but bounced back with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open followed by a respectable T16 last week in Phoenix.

Rahm is a decent ball striker ranking ninth in SG off the tee, 18th in SGTTG and 13th in par 4 scoring. He looks like a player that could really suit this course and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite starting the season poorly, Reed has been showing some good signs over the last few weeks with some solid performances. He finished solo 10th at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions, which included a second round 65. He then had a T12 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included an opening round 69 and a closing 65.

Reed is another player with a decent record here finishing T7 in 2013, T13 in 2014, T29 in 2015 and T6 last year. Statswise his game looks to really suit this course ranking sixth in SG around the green, fifth in SGP and 32nd in SGTTG. Reed is a bit streaky lately but could be worth a risk here with his previous record.

 

Final selections – 

Brandt Snedeker 20/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 0.5pts EW

Jon Rahm 22/1 0.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016 Betting Preview

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California

The Courses:

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 71, 6,816 yards and has three par 5’s and five Par 3’s.

Spyglass Hill – Par 71, 6,858 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s.

Monterey Peninsula – Par 72, 6,838 yards and has four par 5’s and four par 3’s

This tournament is played on three courses which include Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. This is a Pro-Am format and is the same as The CareerBuilder Challenge taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 71’s. Monterey Peninsula is a par 72 because it has five par 3’s.

Straight away we notice that length is not a huge issue here, but the main defence for these courses is the wind coming off the water on the Monterey Peninsula. The weather can be a factor with rain and wind being quite common in California this time of year.

There are a few different factors to consider. The first factor is grass type with the greens here being poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines and the setup of the tournament is similar to The CareerBuilder so players that had a good performance over the last two-three weeks are also worth considering.

Previous winners here include Dustin Johnson (2010), DA Points (2011), Phil Mickelson (2012), Brandt Snedeker (2013&2015) and Jimmy Walker (2014). For some strange reason, this course tends to favour the bigger hitters. There are 16 par 5’s played here this week so par 5 scoring is worth checking out. As I said above, players with good GIR and scrambling are also worth looking at. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Brandt Snedeker 12/1

Sneds had a mixed bag last week in Phoenix starting with a 67 in round one and following that with a disappointing 71,74 in rounds two and three and finished well shooting a 68 to finish T33. He played superb at the unplayable Torrey Pines shooting a 69 on Sunday and ended up winning The Farmers Insurance Open by one strokes over KJ Choi. He started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys and followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a great win at The CareerBuilder Challenge a couple of weeks ago.

Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and shot 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez, but was just pipped at the post on the second playoff hole. He has a superb record here with wins in 2015 and 2013 and a T5 in 2012. He is in fine form and is playing well enough to win for a third time this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 16/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Jimmy Walker 16/1

Walker was very close to winning in Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago when he was leading going into the final round. He ended up finishing his final round on the Monday and shot a final round 77 due to horrendous conditions to finish T4. He has been playing well over the last few weeks finishing T8 at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas, T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions,T13 at The Sony Open and T4 at The Farmers.

Walker has a great record around Pebble finishing T21 last year, a win in 2014, T3 in 2013, T9 in 2012 and T9 in 2011. He ranks 37th in driving distance, 31st in strokes gained putting and 16th in par 5 scoring. After coming close at The Farmers, Walker looks a good shout here especially on a course he has played so well on before.

 

JB Holmes 25/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

J.B Holmes 25/1

J.B has been playing great golf over the last few weeks finishing T6 last week in Phoenix and T6 at The Famers Insurance Open in the weather stricken Torrey pines. He started 2016 off with a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes is another player with a decent record here in Pebble finishing T10 last year, T13 in 2011 and second in 2010. He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking fifth in driving distance averaging just over 316 yards off the tee. With J.B’s distance, he can dominate the par 5’s this week and looks to be in fantastic form coming into this.

 

Shane Lowry 40/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Shane Lowry 40/1

The Irishman comes here in great form after two good performances over the last two weeks. Lowry had a great week in Phoenix finishing T6 on nine under for the week. He started well with a 65 in round one and finished strongly with a 68 in round four. He also played exceptionally well in the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines finishing T13 and appeared to deal with the wet and windy conditions very well over the weekend.

He has been known to play well in windy, linksy setups winning the Irish Open in Baltray as an amateur on ’09 and good performances in The Alfred Dunhill Links, Scottish Open’s and Open Championships over the last few years. Lowry is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 15th in stroke gained putting and ranks 27th in par 3 scoring. He finished T21 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Patrick Reed 35/1 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am 2016

Patrick Reed 35/1

This could be a bit of an unknown after Reed suffered a foot injury in Torrey Pines and withdrew after a disastrous 81 in round three. Despite that he comes here in decent form and played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open finishing T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the tournament and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and followed that with another solo second in Kapalua at The HTOC. He has played well here in the past finishing T29 last year, T13 in 2014 and T7 in 2013. If he comes here injury free he could be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 12/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 16/1 2pts EW

J.B Holmes 25/1 1 pt EW

Shane Lowry 40/1 1 pt EW

Patrick Reed 35/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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