CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018

CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018

The CareerBuilder Challenge is a pro-am format played over three courses with the PGA West Stadium being the host course. The cut will be decided after three rounds with the final round played by professionals only on the Stadium Course.
 
 
The Courses
 
Stadium Course PGA West – Par 72, 7,113 yards. This course is played twice including the final round and has a lot of trees, streams, and lakes that come into play. The fairways are quite forgiving and shouldn’t be too difficult to hit but the tricky Bermuda rough will be lurking to swallow any erratic tee shots. This course is well bunkered with big Bermuda greens which can play very fast depending on weather conditions.
 
Nicklaus Tournament Course – Par 72, 7,204 yards. This course has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and plays as one of the easiest on the PGA Tour with the stroke average just under 69 last year. The fairways are also very forgiving with large greens with water featuring on around seven holes.
 
La Quinta Country Club – Par 72, 7060 yards and has four par fives in total. It also has tree-lined fairways which are a fraction narrower than the other two courses with some water features that come into play. The Bermuda greens tend to be quite tricky and can play quite fast but pin placements tend to be on the generous side to cater for the amateurs so expect plenty of birdies.
 
The average score of the winner of this tournament has been around the 25 under mark. Also, keep in mind that this is a Pro-Am for the first three rounds so pin positions will be in favorable locations to cater for the amateurs. With this, the pro’s will be taking full advantage to be on the lookout for good birdie average stats and good putters.
 
With the pro’s playing about 18 par 5’s this week, players with good par 5 scoring stats tend to go well here. Players that have had a good week at the Sony usually bring that momentum into this week as most of the cobwebs are dusted off. Any players that finished in the top 20 last week and have played well here in the past should be worth considering. It’s a tough one to call so approach with caution.
 
Brian Harman 16/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Brian Harman 16/1 
 
He’s knocking on the door over the last few weeks and looks right on the cusp of bagging his third PGA Tour win any day now. The American had his fifth top 10 finish from five starts last week at the Sony shooting a superb 64,63 in the first two rounds. His game has been consistently solid since the start of the season where he finished T5 at the CJ Cup in late October. Harman followed that with a solo eighth at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T4 at the RSM Classic in Georgia and an impressive solo third at the Sentry Tournament of Champions in Kapalua.
 
Last week, Harman shot a total of 13 under par in the first two rounds at the Sony and followed that with a respectable 69,70 over the weekend to finish T4. He has a great record at this event finishing T11 in 2016 and T3 last year posting 18 under par on both occasions.
 
Statswise Harman ranks 16th in driving accuracy, 12th in SGP, fifth in GIR, ninth in par 4 scoring and 20th in par 5 scoring. With the key statistical boxes ticked, everything points to another good week for the in-form lefty.
 
Jason Dufner 25/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Jason Dufner 25/1
 
Dufner had a good finish to last season with three top 20’s from five starts. He had a good week at the Wyndham finishing T14 and followed that with a T20 at the Northern Trust Open where he shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing with a final round 72. He posted a T20 at the Tour Championship in East Lake where he opened with a 68,67 and fell away a bit over the weekend with rounds of 73,72.
 
Dufner started 2018 off with back to back top 20’s finishing T11 in Kapalua and followed that with four rounds of 69 or better last week at the Sony to finish T18. The American has a great record here with a T18 in 2010, T11 in 2012, a win in 2016 and a T25 last year.
 
The one stat that seems to be standing out over the last two weeks is Dufner’s putting. He ranked fifth in SGP in Kapalua (Bermuda greens) and 18th last week at the Sony (Bermuda greens) which is a big plus coming into this week. He ranks 13th in SGP on the PGA Tour so far this season and has to be respected here.
 
Bud Cauley 35/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Bud Cauley 35/1
 
Bud Cauley had a good start to the season with two top 10’s from four starts. He played well at the Safeway Classic in October shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T7 on 10 under for the week. He followed that with a T8 at the RSM Classic in November which included a second round 63 and a final round 66 to finish T8.
 
Cauley has played well at this event over the last couple of years finishing T3 last year shooting four rounds of 69 or better and a T14 in 2016 which included a second round 65 and a third round 66 so he clearly likes this course and can go low here. Statswise he ranks 38th in driving accuracy, 12th in SGTTG, 29th in SG around the green and 11th in SGP. One to keep an eye on here.
 
Austin Cook 60/1 CareerBuilder Challenge Betting Preview 2018Austin Cook 60/1
 
This guy looks very impressive over his short PGA Tour career with a win and four top 25’s in his last six starts. He started with a respectable T25 at the Sanderson Farms Championship back in October followed by a T20 at the Shriners Open in Vegas posting three under for the week. Cook then teed it up at the RSM Classic where he didn’t shoot worse than a 67 for the tournament (including a second round 62) to win by four from J.J Spaun on 21 under par.
 
His win at the RSM Classic got him to Kapalua for the Sentry Tournament of Champions where he shot a pair of 70’s over the weekend to finish T22. Last week at the Sony, Cook shot rounds of 67,71,65,66 to post 11 under in total and T18 for the tournament and looks to be showing some good consistency. The young American looks like he could have the game to suit this week hitting just over 70% of greens in reg, 36th in scrambling, 37th in SGP and 38th in par 5 scoring. With a precise long game, good putting and solid short game Austin Cook looks great value here.

 

Top 20 Double – Chez Reavie/Tyrell Hatton @5.6/1

Englishman Tyrell Hatton arrives in Abu Dhabi this week in great form after winning three from three in his matches last week for Europe in the Eurasia Cup. Hatton has been in great from over the last few months winning back to back at the Alfred Dunhill Links in October followed by another victory a week later in Italy.

He finished the European Tour season with four top 20’s finishing T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T16 at the Turkish Airlines Open, T19 at the Nedbank and a T8 at the DP World in Dubai. Hatton has a great record here finishing 13-46-10-6 in his last four appearances and looks in great form coming into this week.

American Chez Reavie is also in fine fettle coming to California with five top 20’s in his last six starts. He started the season with a T13 at the Safeway Classic and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T14 at OHL Classic and a T18 last week at the Sony.

Reavie has played well at this event before finishing T17 in 2016 and T12 last year. He is playing consistently well recently and that should continue here this week.

 

Final selections – 

Brian Harman 16/1 1pt EW

Jason Dufner 25/1 0.5pts EW

Bud Cauley 35/1 0.5pts EW

Austin Cook 60/1 0.5pts EW

Top 20 double 1pt 

Total staked = 6pts 

 

Paddypower paying 7 places. 

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

Twitter@DoublebogeyDB6

Facebookwww.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

Sony Open Betting Preview 2017 

Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii    

Par 70, 7,044 yards   

The Course   

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open, which is located east of Honolulu. Previous winners include Fabian Gomez (2016), Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is a different test compared to last week in Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with smaller trickier greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined which will favor the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.  

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.    

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 25/1 

Snedeker played well in Kapalua last week finishing in a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge. He had another good performance with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par, eight strokes behind the winners Matt Kuchar and Harris English.

Snedeker played very well here last year and was a bit unlucky to lose the playoff to the eventual winner Fabian Gomez after the Argentinian shot a superb final round 62. Sneds shot rounds of 63,65,66,66 on his way to a 20 under par total and seems to tick a lot of boxes here statistically. He ranks 20th in GIR, 33rd in driving accuracy and 18th in scrambling. After a good start to the season and a solid performance last year, Snedeker looks a good shout here.

 

Pat Perez 45/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 45/1 

The American is playing great golf at present with a win and two top 10’s in his last four starts. He started the season with a respectable T33 at The CIMB Classic and followed that with an impressive T7 at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he shot rounds of 66,66,69,68 to finish 15 under par in total. Perez then went on to win the OHL Classic at Myakoba on 21 under in total which included an impressive third round 62. He had another good week in Kapalua finishing T3 last week in Maui after shooting a final round 67.

Perez has a great record here in Waialae with four top 10 finishes since 2007. He finished 10th here in 2007, fourth in 2008, ninth in 2013, eighth in 2014 and T17 in 2015. Statswise he ranks 30th in GIR, 20th in SGTTG, fourth in par 5 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring. Perez is absoultly bang in form at the moment and looks great value to have another good week here.

 

Scott Piercy 45/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Scott Piercy 45/1 

With three top 10’s and a top 25 in his last five starts, Scott Piercy looks like another player coming here in great shape this week. He started the season in style opening with a first round 62 at The Safeway Classic and went on to finish T3 for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia and a T24 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He started well shooting rounds of 68,68,65 in the first three rounds but fell back a bit after a dissapointing final round 72.

Piercy has played well around this course in the past with five top 25’s in seven appearances. He finished T12 on 2009, T23 in 2012, T15 in 2013, solo second in 2015, where he didnt shoot worse than a 67 throughout the week, and a T13 last year. Piercy ranks eighth in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG and tenth in SG Approaches to the green. With a great record here and good current form Piercy could be another player to keep an eye on here.

 

Harold Varner 80/1 Sony Open Betting Preview 2017Harold Varner 80/1

I was quite surprised to see Harlod Varner at such a big price considering he’s in great form coming to Hawaii this week. He had a great start to the season opening with a respectable T15 at The Safeway Open. He then went on to win the Australian PGA Championship at the start of December on the Gold Coast shooting rounds of 65,72,65,67 on his way to a 19 under par total. He beat his nearest challenger Andrew Dodt by two strokes and in form Aussie Adam Scott by four strokes.

Varner has played here once before finishing T13 last year and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He also ticks the boxes statswise ranking sixth in SG off the tee, 25th in SGTTG, 29th in GIR and 26th in par 5 scoring. Varner is playing well and looks a good shout here if he makes a few putts.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 1pt EW

Pat Perez 45/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Piercy 45/1 0.5pts EW

Harold Varner 80/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

Paddypower paying 7 places.

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

Twitter – DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – @doublebogey6

 

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week which has been the host venue of this event over the last number of years. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including FedExCup champion Rory McIlroy, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014) and Russell Knox (2015).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. Length will be an advantage here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 20/1 

The Swede has been battling injury post Ryder Cup with his right knee but looks back to full fitness here. He played superb in The Ryder Cup and took US Superstar Jordan Spieth apart in the singles on Sunday driving and putting beautifully. He hasn’t played much over the last few weeks but played with huge dominance at the Open shooting rounds 68,65,68,63 to beat his nearest challenger Phil Mickelson by three strokes. He followed that with a T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio at The Olympics.

Stenson has a good record here in Sheshan finishing ninth in ’07, fifth on ’08, ninth in ’09, 13th in ’10, 24th in ’14 and 11th last year. He has the mix of accuracy and distance ranking first in SG approach to the green, 16th in SGP and first in GIR. If he is back fit and healthy I expect Henrik to have a solid week here at a venue that should suit his game.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite a poor finish last week in Malaysia, Patrick Reed has been playing some great golf over the last few weeks and was superb in the Ryder Cup particularly against Rory McIlroy in the singles. Reed finished T51 last week at The CIMB Classic which was his first finish outside the top 25 in 11 starts. After a fantastic win at The Barclays, Reed followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank, T13 at The BMW and a T24 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here in the past finishing seventh last year and 22nd in 2014. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG around the green, eighth in scrambling, 22nd in par 3 scoring and tenth in par 5 scoring. He looks a generous price here this week and could have a good week.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 40/1 

The defending champion finished off the season well and comes here in decent form. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW. He had a brilliant week here last year shooting 67,65,68,68 to finish 20 under par in total beating his closest challenger Kevin Kisner by two strokes.

Knox is one of the most accurate players on tour ranking eighth in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR and 34th in par 4 scoring. If he putts well he could have a great chance here.

 

Alexander Levy 80/1

The Frenchman looks extremely overpriced here this week considering his current form and excellent record in China. Levy won the 2014 China Open and finished third the following year and was runner up at the 2014 BMW Masters which he should’ve won if it weren’t for a disastrous final round 78. He played well at The Sheshan International this year on the European Tour finishing fourth. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T18 at The European Masters, T7 at The Italian Open, a win at The European Open and a T4 at The British Masters.

He has only played this event once finishing T14 in 2014 and could have the game to suit this course. With a great record here in China over the last few years and a promising debut here in 2014 Levy looks fantastic value here.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 20/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 33/1

Russell Knox 0.5pt EW 40/1

Alexander Levy 0.5pt EW 80/1

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida 

Par 72, 7,215 yards  

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with Bermuda grass greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.  Its also worth considering looking at players that have gone well on other Pete Dye designed courses such as Hilton Head, host course of The RBC Heritage, TPC Louisiana which hosts the Zurich Classic and TPC River Highlands host of The Travelers Championship.

 

Jason Day The Players Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Jason Day 12/1

Quite surprising to see the Aussie at 12’s this week considering the form he is in. He played well at the weather stricken Zurich Classic in New Orleans recently finishing T5 and could have finished in a better position if it weren’t for the weather disruptions. He has had a good season so far with back to back wins in Bay Hill and The WGC Matchplay. He followed that with a T10 in Augusta and a T23 at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head.

He has played well here in Sawgrass in the past finishing T19 in 2013 and T6 in 2011. He ranks second in strokes gained putting, 23rd in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring. After dominating performances earlier in the season and after a break last week, Day could be a major threat here at a decent price. He always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and I expect another solid performance this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 The PLayers Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 28/1

Matsuyama had a mixed bag last week in Quail Hollow the first three rounds but finished strongly with a final round 69 to finish T11. He hasn’t finished worse than 18th in his last four tournaments and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He finished T11 last week in Charlotte, T7 at The Masters, T18 at The WGC Matchplay and T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He looks like a player that could suit this course and is hitting plenty of greens ranking 13th in GIR and fifth in strokes gained tee to green. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1

The South African has been playing great golf over the last few months and looks like he is ready and waiting to win a big one any day now. He has shown some great form over the last few weeks and with the exception of a missed cut at The Masters, Grace hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last seven events. He started the year with a T4 at The SA Open and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi, a win in Qatar, T23 in Doral, T18 at The Matchplay, a win at the tricky and tight Hilton Head at The RBC Heritage and a T9 in  Texas.

Although he hasn’t the best record on this course over the last couple of years, statistically he looks a great fit here. He ranks 34th in scrambling, 23rd in GIR, 11th in SGTTG and second in par 4 scoring. With excellent current form Grace looks a superb value here this week.

 

Danny Willett 40/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Danny Willett 40/1

Its Dannys first event since his dramatic win in Augusta and he will be fresh and ready to contend once again here at Sawgrass this week. The Englishman has been in fine form this season and with the exception of a T45 in Malaysia, he hasn’t finished outside the 30 in his last five events. He started the season with a win at The Dubai Desert Classic and followed that with a 3rd place finish in Doral, T22 at The Valspar, T28 at the Matchplay and a win in Augusta.

He has only played Sawgrass once, in 2014 and missed the cut but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks 22nd in GIR, 22nd in Sand Saves and 12th in strokes gained tee to green. With this being a tight, tricky test with plenty of doglegs, Sawgrass could be right up Danny’s street.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Louis Oosthuizen 55/1

Louis is playing some great golf at the moment and has taken some time off since the Masters, which could be a big positive here. Despite missing the cut in Houston, the South African hasn’t finished worse than 14th in his last six starts. He played well in Malaysia finishing T12 and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

His best finish at Sawgrass came in 2013 when he finished 19th but he could improve on that this time around. He ranks 12th in GIR and 23rd in stroke average this season and looks to have the game that could suit this course. Louis has been in good form this season and I expect that to continue here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jason Day 12/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 40/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2016

Farmers Insurance Open 2016 Betting Preview

The Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and sits next to the pacific ocean and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats that jump out at me here are, good poa annua putters, power, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jason Day 7/1

The Aussie is a very worthy favourite and comes here in superb form. He has taken the last couple of weeks off but started 2016 with a very respectable T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He opened with a 70 In round one followed by a 73 in round 2 but really got going over the weekend shooting 69,65 over the weekend to finish 15 under for the tournament. He finished the season off in style with four wins in his last eight events. After a T9 at The US Open and a T4 at The Open, Day went on to win The Canadian Open, PGA Championship, The Barclays and The BMW.

He has a great record around Torrey Pines with a win here last year, second in 2014 and a ninth place finish in 2013. Day ticks all the statistical boxes here ranking third in driving distance, seventh in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in strokes gained putting. He showed superb dominance at the end of last season and if he brings that good form here this week, he will be hard to beat.

 

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Brandt Snedeker 18/1

Sneds started the season off with a respectable T17 at The Frys finishing 10 under for the week. He then followed that with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with playing partner Jason Dufner, who had a superb win on Sunday in California beating Swede David Lingmerth in a playoff. Sneds followed the win with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which included two 67’s and a 65 in round 3. He took that momentum into the Sony Open where he played very solid all week shooting a 63 in round one and followed that with a 65,66,66 to finish 20 under for the tournament. He got into a playoff Fabien Gomez but was just pipped at the post.

He has played well here in the past with a T19 last year, second in 2013, a win in 2012, T9 in 2011 and another second in 2010. Snedeker is hitting it an average of just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 12th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 23rd in scrambling. Sneds came close to a win at The Sony and looks to be in fine form to contend here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Jimmy Walker 30/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jimmy Walker 30/1

Walker looked to be back showing some good consistency at The Sony shooting 69,68,65,66 to finish 12 under and T13 for the tournament. He also had a good week in Kapalua finishing T10, which included a superb 64 in round three. At The Hero World Challenge he had another top 10 shooting three rounds in the 60’s to finish T8 for the week and was also a member of the winning Presidents Cup team in Korea in September.

He has played well here over the years finishing T7 last year, T4 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T29 in 2011. Statswise he ranks 27th in driving distance hitting it an average of 304 yards off the tee and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring and 30th in par 5 scoring. Walker showed encouraging signs at The Sony and could be one to watch here.

 

JB Holmes 45/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

J.B Holmes 45/1

J.B has been playing good golf over the last few months and comes here this week after a decent performance in Kapalua finishing a respectable T24 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He was showing signs of good form back in December with a T8 at The Hero World Challenge and a T12 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout. He finished off the season in style with a T4 at The BMW Championship, a T8 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and was part of the winning Presidents Cup Team.

Holmes came close to a win here last year but was beaten by Jason Day on the second playoff hole but played solid all week and finished 9 under for the tournament, which included two rounds in the 60’s. As well as finishing P2 last year, he has two top 30’s here finishing T23 in 2014 and T27 in 2010. Last season he ranked fifth in driving distance averaging 309 off the tee and ranked 19th in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in par 5 scoring. He seems to like this course and with his length he will have a huge advantage.

 

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 Farmers Insurance Open 2016

Jamie Lovemark 60/1

The young American is playing some great golf at the moment with four top 15’s in his last six starts. His good form began back at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished T13 on 11 under for the tournament, which included a 66 in round three and a 68 in round four. He followed that with a T9 at The RSM Classic, which included four rounds in the 60’s, T7 at the Sony, which included another four rounds in the 60’s, and a T6 last week at The Career Builder Challenge in California finishing T6, which also included three 65’s in the first three rounds.

Lovemark has played here once before finishing T28 in 2014 which would have been a hell of a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 76 in round 3. He ticks a lot of boxes statistically here averaging 311 off the tee ranking 11th in driving distance. He also ranks 30th in strokes gained tee to green, 25th in scrambling, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 36th in par 5 scoring. At 66/1 he looks a great each way shout here.

 

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 18/1 2pts EW

Jimmy Walker 30/1 1pt EW

J.B. Holmes 45/1 1pt EW

Jamie Lovemark 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii 

Par 73, 7,452 yards 

The Course 

Happy New Year everyone it’s great to be back. We kick off 2016 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth a look.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Patrick Reed 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Patrick Reed 10/1

The American played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting rounds of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team in Korea. He had a good end to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has a good record here at Kapalua with a win last year and a T16 in 2014. Statswise he is hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee and ranks fourth in GIR. If he brings that good form into this week in Hawaii he will be a huge contender and looks like he’s right on the cusp of a win any day now.

 

Bubba Watson 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Bubba Watson 10/1

Bubba has been playing solid golf over the last few weeks finishing T15 at The Thailand Golf Championships and a win at The Hero World Challenge in his last two starts. He had a great season in 2015 and finished strongly with three top 10’s in his last four FedExCup Playoff events. He had a great week at The Barclays shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish 11 under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Watson was also part of the winning US Presidents Cup Team in Korea.

He has played well here on this course in the past finishing T10 last year, T4 in 2013 and T18 in 2012. Last season he ranked second in driving distance, first in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in GIR. Watson is another player coming into this week showing fantastic current form and should go well on a course that should suit his length.

 

Kevin Kisner 18/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Kevin Kisner 18/1

Kisner has had a great season so far and started with a respectable T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 65. Kisner then had a superb week in elite company at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai where he finished solo second. The American started 64,66 and followed that with two 70’s to finish 18 under par for the tournament. At The RSM Classic he played superbly well all week shooting 65,67,64,64 to finish 22 under par for the week and record his first PGA Tour victory.

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes for this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in SGP and 11th in par 4 scoring. He has proven to be a good wind player and has played well on seaside setups in the past. He came close to his first PGA Tour victory at Hilton Head where he lost the second playoff hole to Jim Furyk at The RBC Heritage. With superb current form, Kisner could go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Graeme McDowell 25/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Graeme McDowell 25/1

Over the last few weeks we have seen Gmac coming back and showing some great form. He came back with a bang at The OHL Classic in Mexico beating Jason Bohn in a playoff. He played a magnificent five iron into four feet on the first playoff hole and drained the putt for a tournament winning birdie. He then followed that with a solo third at The RSM Classic showing some superb consistency shooting 67,68,65,67 to finish 15 under for the week. He was then paired up with Gary Woodland in The Franklin Templeton Shootout and finished T6.

So far this season he ranks eighth in driving accuracy, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. McDowell has played only once here before finishing third in 2011. He tends to relish seaside courses and could be in his element if the wind blows.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 10/1 2pts EW

Bubba Watson 10/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Graeme McDowell 25/1 1.5 pts EW

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2015

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2015

El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71

The Course

After an eventful finish to the weather delayed Sanderson Farms Championship, The PGA Tour travels to El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008). Harris English holds the tournament record shooting an impressive 21 under par 263 total to win in 2013.

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to contend with. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.  The greens here are Paspalum grass and are average size with water hazards coming into play on roughly half of the holes.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that hitting a lot of greens in regulation and good putters tend to fare well on this course. Last year’s winner Charley Hoffman ranked fourth in GIR last year and made a lot of great putts. Key stats on this course are GIR, strokes gained tee to green and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.

The weather forecast looks to be mixed for the week with some humidity along with cloud, some showers and the possibility of thunderstorms with moderate winds.

 

Jason Bohn 20/1 OHL Classic Betting Preview 2015

Jason Bohn 20/1

The American has had a good start to the season with two top 5’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T3, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started well last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.

Bohn has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T3 in 2013 and T19 in 2011. He ranks 18th in GIR, 14th in SGTTG and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season Bohn could be a huge contender here this week considering his previous record at El Camaleon.

 

Patrick Rodgers 20/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 20/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T6 on 12 under and followed that with a T13 at The Shriners in Vegas, which included an opening round 65. Rodgers followed that with another good performance last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing T20. He started very well shooting 70,64,70 and then slightly fell off the pace with a mediocre final round 73.

He has been a GIR machine over his last three tournaments hitting over 75% of greens and demolishing the par 5’s. He ranks 16th in GIR, seventh in SGTTG and fifth in par 5 scoring. After another good performance last week, I think Rodgers will continue that good run of form here.

 

Patton Kizzire 22/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 22/1

The Web.com graduate has had a fantastic start to life on The PGA Tour finishing inside the top 4 in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance last week at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners and 73% of greens last week at The Sanderson Farms.

He ranks 48th in GIR, 31st in SGTTG and 10th in SGP. He also ranks 11th in par 3 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring so far this season. After another good performance las week, Kizzire could continue the trend of first time winners here this week in Mexico.

 

Brendan Steele 25/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brendan Steele 25/1

Steele is another player having a solid start to the season showing some good early form. He played well at The Frys shooting an opening round 63 and followed that with 70,69,76 to finish T17 on 10 under for the tournament. He missed the cut at The Shriners but bounced back strongly with a T3 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He was in the final group with Kevin Na and Justin Thomas on Sunday and played very well but was unlucky not to make a few more putts.

Steele has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T37 here last year and T16 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 40th in GIR, 26th in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season, Steele should continue that good form this week.

 

Brett Stegmaier 60/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brett Stegmaier 60/1

Stegmaier has shot a 70 or better in his last eight competitive rounds and has played very well over the last couple of weeks. He had a shaky start to the season at The Frys but bounced back with a T2 at The Shriners. He showed some super consistency shooting 66,66,68,69 on his way to a 15 under total playing the par 5’s in -10 for the week. He followed that with a T15 last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 12 under par in total.

Statswise he is hitting just over 75% of greens in regulation and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring. Stegmaier is great value this week considering his current form and could be a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Bohn 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patrick Rodgers 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patton Kizzire 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Brendan Steele 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Brett Stegmaier 1 pt EW 60/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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It’s Winner No.10 for us as Spieth Conquers Chambers Bay

Jordan Spieth US Open win 2015 Chambers Bay

Is there anything this kid can’t do? Two majors in four months? There’s only one word that spring to mind, Wow. He started with a relatively blemish free 68 on Thursday, which included four birdies and two bogeys. He followed that with a 67 on Friday and 71, 69 over the weekend. Pretty good around a course like Chambers Bay. Henrik Stenson said in an interview on Saturday “It’s like putting on broccoli”. He wasn’t the only player to voice his displeasure of the Washington Links, which saw some of the world’s best running up some big numbers.

Personally, I thought it was too tough a set up. It measured 7,497 in round 1, 7,695 in round 2, 7,637 in round 3 and 7,384 in round 4 with average to poor greens. What chance did they have? I mean seriously, let’s get real, there’s a test and there’s borderline ridiculous and this place was set up so tough even god himself couldn’t get up and down for a par or two putt from 20 feet. That being said, it was very entertaining and the best man for the job hoisted the trophy after a stunning final round 69.

Spieth joined a select number of greats with his U.S. Open win. He’s the sixth man to win the Masters and the U.S. Open in the same year. He’s the youngest U.S. Open champion since Bobby Jones, and the youngest player to win two majors since Gene Sarazen. At 21, he’s doing things that haven’t been accomplished since the 1920s.

“We really grinded this week. I didn’t have my best stuff, ball-striking, at all,” Jordan said. “We really grinded over those 4-5 footers and that was the difference.” It certainly was. There’s no truer a saying than “Drive for show and putt for dough” and that’s what he did.

It’s been a great year for us so far with 10 winners and 17 places in 29 PGA Tour events. Robert Streb kicked us off in style with a 66/1 winner at The McGladrey Classic. We then tipped Patrick Reed at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions at 22’s, Jimmy Walker at The Sony at 16’s and Jason Day at The Farmers at 14’s. We followed that with another winner on Dustin Johnson at 22/1 at The WGC Cadillac, Jordan Spieth at The Valspar at 14/1, J.B. Holmes at 25/1 at The Houston Open, Jordan Spieth at The Masters at 10/1, Justin Rose in New Orleans at 10/1, and Jordan Spieth again at The US Open at 8/1. That’s a little over 33% win rate after 29 events. I’ll be back tomorrow with my thoughts on this week’s Travelers Championship from TPC River Highlands. For a full list of our winners and places so far this season click here

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

The Memorial Tournament Betting Preview 2015

Muirfield Village GC, Dublin, Ohio

Par 72 7,392 yards

The Course                 

The Memorial Tournament was founded 39 years ago in 1976 by Jack Nicklaus. It is played on the Nicklaus-designed Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, a suburb north of his home town of Columbus. Muirfield is the only course to host all three of US professional golf’s teaam matchplay. The Ryder Cup was played there in 1987, The Solheim Cup in 1998 and The Presidents Cup in 2013. One of the main features of the tournament is a yearly induction ceremony honoring past golfers. A plaque for each honoree is installed near the clubhouse at Muirfield.

The course has pretty generous tree lined fairways with deep, penal rough. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. There are roughly 70 bunkers with water coming into play on 11 holes. The greens are bentgrass and are smaller than average, but tend to be lightning fast. Over the last few years, the par 5’s have been where the players are scoring so there will be a particular emphasis on par 5 scoring. The par 3’s have also proven quite tricky over the last few years so par 3 scoring will also be worth checking. The main areas of focus for me this week are current/previous form, par 3,par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR, accurate iron play and strokes gained putting.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Jordan Spieth 7/1

There is no player that is in better form at the moment than Jordan Spieth. Every time he tees it up he looks a serious threat. He made his second appearance at this event last year and finished in a respectable T19. He started the tournament with a 67 and followed that with a 72 in R2 and a 67 in R3. Unfortunately he played poorly on the Sunday shooting a 75 in R4 that took him out of contention. However, I don’t see that happening this time around. Spieth comes here this week in great form with two wins, three top 5’s, a top 15 and a top 20 in his last nine starts.

Jordan ranks fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in strokes gained putting and first in approaches from 100 yards. He also ranks 16th in par 3 scoring, first in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. Given his current run of form and respectable finish last year, Jordan Spieth is a worthy favorite this week and cannot be ruled out.

 

Justin Rose 20/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Justin Rose 20/1

Justin Rose is your typical horse for the course here at Miurfield with a win, four top 10’s and a top 15 in his last 10 appearances. Despite an MC here last year, he finished T8 in 2013, T8 in 2012, win in 2010, T2 in 2008, T14 in 2006 and a T4 in 2004. He has shown some good form so far this year with a win in New Orleans, T2 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He also showed good early season form with a T12 in Abu Dhabi and a T13 in Qatar.

Rose also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 33rd in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, ninth in approaches from 225-250 and second in approaches from 200+, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 35th in par 3 scoring, 11th in par 5 scoring and fifth in putts from 10-15 feet. With great previous form here and good current form, Rose could have his second victory of the season here in Ohio.

 

Chris Kirk 28/1 The Memorial Tournament 2015

Chris Kirk 28/1

Kirk has been showing great form over the last couple of months since finishing T8 at The Valero Texas Open back at the end of March. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T13 at The Players, which included two 68’s in R2 and R3. He shot a disappointing final round 75 to take him out of the running, but overall had a good week. Most recently, he had a super performance at Colonial winning The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting 68,69,65,66 on his way to a 12 under par total. He has played well here at Miurfield in the past finishing T4 last year and T25 in 2012.

Kirk ranks first in sand saves, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and 27th in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 10th in putts from 10-15 feet, 39th in par 3 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a top 5 here last year, Kirk could be another danger man here this week.

 

Bill Haas 33/1 The Memorial Tournament

Bill Haas 33/1

Bill Haas is another player showing some good form lately and has played well here in the past with two top 10’s in his last two appearances finishing T8 last year and T4 in 2013. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T7 at The WGC Cadillac, T12 at The Masters and a T4 at The Players, which included a 67 in R2 and a 68 in R3 to finish on 11 under in total.

Statswise, Bill ranks 44th in strokes gained tee to green, 16th in approaches from 225-250, third approaches from 50-125 and fifth in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks 25th in scrambling and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With good finishes at the bigger events so far this season, Haas could have another good week here.

 

Kevin Na 40/1 The Memorial Tournament

Kevin Na 40/1

Kevin Na has been super consistent over the last couple of months recording five top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last eight starts. He was leading after three rounds in Colonial a couple of weeks ago and shot a disappointing 72 in the final round to finish -9 for the tournament. His good form began back at The WGC Cadillac, where he finished T9 and followed that with a T10 at The Valspar, T6 at Bay Hill, T20 in Texas, T12 at The Masters, T6 at The Players and a T10 at Colonial. Na was beaten by Matsuyama in a playoff last year and comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, he ranks 21st in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in sand saves, 12th in approaches from 100-125, eighth in par 3 scoring and 17th in par 4 scoring. After coming close to winning last year, Na comes here in great form and looks to be a big price this week.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 7/1 2 pts EW

Justin Rose 20/1 2 pts EW

Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Bill Haas 33/1 1 pt EW

Kevin Na 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

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