Masters Betting Preview 2018

Masters Betting Preview 2018Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia    

Par 72, 7,435 yards

The Course    

Welcome to my Masters Betting Preview 2018! Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.     

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones with Jones designing Augusta National with course architect, Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.    

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players with plenty of experience here tend to go well, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas. 

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.     

There are a few key stats to pay attention to here. GIR will be important but the ability to negotiate these lightning fast greens will be key so strokes gained putting is one in particular along with scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.  

 

Justin Rose 12/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Justin Rose 12/1 

The Englishman has been in great shape this year with a win and three top 10’s in his last six starts. Rose played solidly throughout the week at the WGC HSBC Champions in China at the end of November shooting three rounds of 68 or better to win by two strokes from Henrik Stenson.  

He then travelled to Torrey Pines where he finished T8 at the Farmers Insurance Open and followed that with a T9 at the Valspar, which included three rounds of 70 or better. Rose then had yet another top 10 finish at Bay Hill where he shot rounds of 69,71,67,67 on his way to an impressive solo third.  

He sounded very positive when he was interviewed last week for Europeantour.com “I’m not worried about the other players or the other variables. I’m coming in playing as good as I’ve ever played, so I’m excited about that.”  

His record here is quite impressive with five top 10’s in ten appearances with form figures 2,10,2 the last three years. Statistically Rose ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 49th in GIR, eighth in scrambling, 13th in SGP and sixth in par 4 scoring. After coming agonizingly close to victory last year, Rose will be keen to try and put that right this year and should be right in the thick of things come Sunday.  

 

Phil Mickelson 16/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 16/1 

The two-time Masters champion returns to Augusta National in great form after a T24 in Houston after an impressive final round 67. Lefty has been playing some great golf this year with a win and four top 10’s in his last ten starts.  

He started the season off with an impressive T3 at the Safeway Open followed by a respectable T15 at the WGC HSBC Champions. His more recent form figures read 5,2,6,1,17 and started with a great week in Phoenix posting a T5 and followed that with a T2 in Pebble and an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open.  

The Five-time major winner then traveled to Mexico and defeated Justin Thomas in a play-off after an exciting final round 66 at the WGC-Mexico Championship to claim his first victory since the 2013 Open Championship.   

His from in Augusta National is very impressive with 10 cuts made from 12 appearances including two wins and a four top 5’s. Statswise he ranks second in SGP, fourth in SG Approaches to the green and fourth in scrambling, three stats that will stand him well here. Mickelson clearly loves Augusta and with his great current form and natural right to left shape, he could be a huge contender here.  

 


Paul Casey 22/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 22/1
 

Casey arrives to Augusta in great form and will be feeling particularly confident after winning at Copperhead a few weeks ago at the Valspar. His form figures read 7,19,11,8,49,12,1,17 in his last eight starts.  

He started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 63 and a final round 65. Casey then tee’d it up at the CJ Cup finishing T19 and followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions, T8 in Pebble and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship where he shot three rounds of 68 or better.  

Casey then went to Copperhead where he shot a final round 69 to post 10 under in total, one clear of Tiger Woods and Patrick Reed. His form at Augusta is excellent with four top 10’s in nine appearances, three of which have been the last three years in a row (6,4,6).  

Statswise he seems to fit the bill here ranking 17th in GIR, second in SGTTG, 11th in SG around the green and seventh in scrambling. With great current form and a recent win under his belt, Casey could be another player right in the mix come Sunday.  

 

Alex Noren 40/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018Alex Noren 40/1 

Ive had the Swede in mind for Augusta for the last few weeks and with his excellent form and natural fade, Augusta could be a good fit for him.  

He started 2018 off with an impressive T2 at Torrey Pines after losing a five-hole playoff to Jason Day on the Monday after running out of daylight on Sunday evening. Noren then finished T21 in Phoenix and followed that with a respectable T16 in Riviera and a solo third at the Honda, which included three rounds of 67 or better.  

More recently, he has kept up his decent run of form with a T14 at the WGC Mexico and a solo third at the WGC Dell Matchplay after beating the in form Justin Thomas 5&3 which will do wonders for his confidence coming into this week.  

Noren ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 48th in GIR, 16th in SGTTG, 17th in strokes gained putting, 26th in par 4 scoring and third in par 5 scoring. After a missed cut on his only appearance here last year, Noren arrives in much better form this time around.  

 

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100/1 Masters Betting Preview 2018 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 100/1  

The in form Thai looks great value here this week given his current run of form. He has been playing some good golf so far this year and began 2018 with a respectable T22 in Abu Dhabi followed by a T27 in Malaysia at the start of February.  

It was mid February where he started to show some real class when he travelled to Australia and won the Super 6 where he won four matches convincingly including the final against James Nitties 2&1.  

Aphibranrat has shown he can compete in top quality fields finishing T5 at the WGC Mexico Championship after shooting an impressive final round 65. He then followed that with another T5 at the WGC Matchplay where he got to the quarter finals but was knocked out by the eventual winner Bubba Watson.  

Now number 30 in the world rankings, this will be Aphibarnrat’s second appearance in Augusta. His first appearance here was in 2016 where he finished in a very respectable T15 after a final round 70. He is playing some good golf lately and looks great value for an each way shout.  

 

Final selections – 

Justin Rose 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW

Paul Casey 1pt EW

Alex Noren 1pt EW

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 9 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Houston Open Betting Preview 2018

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2018Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas   

7,441 yards, par 72    

The Course   

Welcome to my Houston Open Betting Preview 2018 its good to be back. The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has traditionally been held the week before the Masters for the last few years giving the players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

The fairways are wide and forgiving with very little rough with water in play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes. The greens are set up similar to Augusta in preparation for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.   

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for players with good GIR stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 12/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 12/1 

After an early finish at the WGC Matchplay last week, Phil should be primed and ready to go for a competitive couple of weeks starting this week in Houston. Lefty has been playing some great golf this year with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts.

He started the season off with an impressive T3 at the Safeway Open followed by a respectable T15 at the WGC HSBC Champions. His more recent form figures read 5,2,6,1,17 and started with a great week in Phoenix posting a T5 and followed that with a T2 in Pebble and an impressive T6 in Riviera at the Genesis Open.

The Five-time major winner then traveled to Mexico and defeated Justin Thomas in a play-off after an exciting final round 66 at the WGC-Mexico Championship to claim his first victory since the 2013 Open. Mickelson has a great record here in Houston with form figures 55,13,17,12,16,4 including a win in 2011 in his last seven appearances.

Statswise he is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and ranks 19th in SGTTG, second in SGP and seventh in par 4 scoring. Mickelson is brimming with confidence since winning in Mexico and has to be a big contender here this week.

 

Luke List 25/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Luke List 25/1

List was a bit unlucky to break his putter last week in the first round of the WGC Matchplay. He went toe to toe with the in form Justin Thomas in round one and despite breaking putter walking off the sixth, he still took Thomas to the 16th green where he eventually lost 2&1.

He said afterwards “I was walking off the 6th tee, and I was a little unhappy about the way I was feeling, a little under the weather, and I thought it was like a brush area and I just kind of swiped my putter, and it turned out to be a wall. It bent like a fraction of an inch. So unfortunately I couldn’t use it the rest of the way. Stupid on my part.” Granted, it was a bit silly but you have to give credit where its due, he still putted pretty well with a wedge for the guts of 11 holes.

His form has been solid over the last few weeks with form figures 26,2,16,7 in his last four starts. List had a respectable week in Torrey Pines finishing T26 and followed that with a solo second at the Honda, where he lost a playoff to Justin Thomas, a T16 a the Valspar and a T7 in Bay Hill. List has played here twice before finishing T3 last year which included three rounds of 68 or better and a T27 in 2016.

Statswise The American ranks third in driving distance averaging an impressive 316 off the tee and 11th in SGTTG. After being knocked out of the Matchplay early, that could work to his advantage here.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2018Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 

RCB has been steady as they come recently and arrives to Houston in good form. He was knocked out of the matchplay early last week so he has had plenty of time to get his game right here. His form figures over the last couple of months reads 40,6,26,26,29,3,36.

He started the year with a T6 in Dubai in late January and followed that with back to back T26’s in Riviera and Pebble beach and a T29 at the Honda. The Spaniard then traveled to the WGC Mexico Championship and shot four rounds of 69 or better, including an opening round 66 to finish T3 for the tournament.

He has played here twice before finishing solo fourth in 2016 which included a 68,65 over the weekend and an MC last year. Statswise he ticks the boxes here ranking sixth in GIR, 13TH in SGTTG, 45th in SGP and 25th in par 4 scoring. Rafa should be well rested after a weekend off last week and looks decent value to have another good week in Houston.

 

Final Selections – 

Phil Mickelson 12/1 1pt EW

Luke List 25/1 1pt EW

Rafa Cabrera Bello 33/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 6pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018

Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Riviera Country Club, California  

Par 71, 7,349 Yards  

The Course  

The PGA Tour stays in California and travels to Riviera Country Club, which is located in Pacific Palisades, California. It was designed by George C. Thomas, Jr in 1926 and was redesigned by Tom Fazio in 2008. It has been the primary host for the Genesis Open (originally the Los Angeles Open and formerly the Northern Trust Open) and is a par 71 measuring 7,349 yards.  

Riviera has hosted three major championships: the U.S. Open in 1948, and the PGA Championship in 1983 and 1995. It also hosted the U.S. Senior Open in 1998.  

Previous winners include Dustin Johnson (last year), Bubba Watson (2016 & 2014) James Hahn (2015), John Merrick (2013), Bill Haas (2012), Aaron Baddeley (2011), Steve Stricker (2010) and Phil Mickelson (2009,2008). It has three very different par 5’s and a reachable par 4. The par 3’s are tricky and will require good, accurate iron play to hit the greens.  

The first of the par 5’s is the opening hole and offers a very makeable birdie by most of the field. The other two are on the back 9 and will favour the bigger hitters with the 11th measuring just over 560 yards and the 17th measuring a lengthy 590. Players that can shape the ball will have an advantage around this course as there is quite a few doglegs and tricky par 4’s. The par 4 10th is reachable by the bigger hitters in the field measuring around 315 yards. Depending on the hole location, it can be a tricky hole to score on.  

This course has a couple of signature holes, for example, there is a bunker in the middle of sixth green, which is a par 3 and could force some players to chip from one part of the green to the other. The fairways are quite forgiving and there are no water hazards to contend with. The fairways are Kikuyu, which is common in South Africa and the greens are poa annua and are quite small so be on the lookout for guys that have good GIR stats. This course will certainly favour the bombers, who should be able to take advantage of the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s. The main stats to look at here are driving distance, GIR, strokes gained putting, SGTTG and par 4 scoring.  

 

Paul Casey 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Paul Casey 25/1 

In the last four events he has played, Englishman Paul Casey has not finished outside the top 20. His form reads 7,19,11,8 since last October and comes to Riviera on the back of a top 10 finish last week in Pebble Beach.  

Casey started the season with a T7 at the CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He started with a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back with an impressive 63 in round two followed by a 69,65 over the weekend. He then teed it up at the CJ Cup in Korea posting a respectable two under par and T19 for the tournament and followed that with a T11 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China finishing T11.  

He came close to victory here back in 2015 getting himself into a playoff with Dustin Johnson and James Hahn after a final round 68, but just came up short to finish T2 with DJ. Casey has played well here in the past finishing T12 in 2011 and T22 in 2008 so he’s no stranger to Riviera.  

Statswise he ranks 17th in driving accuracy, seventh in GIR and first in SGTTG. Form wise Casey is playing sold golf at the moment and could follow up his top 10 last week in Pebble with another good week here.  

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Phil Mickelson 25/1  

Phil seems to be warming up nicely lately with back to back to 5’s in his last two starts.  

He has been in good shape since the start of the season posting a T3 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T15 at the WGC-HSBC Champions in China, which included a final round 67.   

In his last eight competitive rounds Mickelson has shot a 70 or better seven times and looks to be putting superbly over the last couple of weeks.  

He had a great week in Phoenix shooting an opening round 70 followed by a 65,66,69 to finish T5. Phil then followed that with another solid performance last week in Pebble where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2 on 14 under.  

Phil has a great record here in Riviera with form figures 2,1,1,44,35,2,21,34 since 2007 including  back to back wins in 2008 and 2009. Statswise he is averaging just under 305 off the tee and ranks 12th in SG approaches to the green. He also ranks 28th in scrambling and fifth in SGP which are two important stats around Riviera.  

With great current form and a red hot putter, Phil is definitely someone to keep on side here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

I backed this man a couple of weeks ago in Torrey where he unfortunately missed the cut but I’m willing to roll the dice on him once again here on a course he top 10’d on last year.  

He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 19,MC,7,MC,3 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the CJ Cup in Korea finishing a respectable T19 back in October.  

In his first event of 2018, he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total. The youngster then travelled to Arizona for the Phoenix Open where he showed some great consistency with three 68’s and a closing 65 to finish T3.  

Schneiderjans played great here last year, again showing great consistency with rounds of 68,69,69,68 on his way to a T8 where he was one of only two players to shoot sub 70 in every round. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 19th in driving distance, 15th in SGTTG, 53rd in SGP and ranks inside the top 36 for par 3 – par 5 scoring.  

With good current form and a great performance here last year, Schneiderjans looks a decent bet at 40’s.  

 

Chez Reavie 40/1 Genesis Open Betting Preview 2018Chez Reavie 40/1  

Reavie has been in great shape since the start of the season with seven top 20’s including, back to back top 5’s, in his last nine starts. 

He started strongly with a T13 at the Safeway Open back in October and followed that with a T17 at the CIMB Classic, T15 at the CJ Cup, T24 at the WGC-HSBC Champions, T14 at the OHL Classic and T18 at the Sony Open in Hawaii in January.  

Reavie has been playing particularly well over the last couple of weeks with back to back seconds. He came close to victory in Phoenix getting himself into a playoff with Gary Woodland after shooting an impressive final round 66 but lost the sudden death playoff to a par on the tricky 18th. He then followed that up with another solid performance last week in Pebble posting 14 under and T2 for the tournament.  

The American has played well here in Riviera before finishing solo seventh in 2016 shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish on 11 under. Statswise Reavie ranks 10th in driving accuracy, 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and inside the top 10 for both par 3 and par 4 scoring.    

 

Final Selections –  

Paul Casey 1pt EW 

Phil Mickelson 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Chez Reavie 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6pts (Some bookies paying 7 places)  

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

Doublebogey6 

 

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017

 

Pebble Beach Golf Links, Pebble Beach, California 

The Courses: 

Pebble Beach Golf Links – Par 72, 6,816 yards

Spyglass Hill – Par 72, 6,858 yards

Monterey Peninsula – Par 70, 6,838 yards

 

This tournament is played on three courses – Pebble Beach, Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. It is a Pro-Am format taking place on all three courses over the first three rounds with everyone playing Pebble Beach on Sunday. All the courses measure less than 7,000 yards and all feature four par fives with Monterey playing as a par 70 and Pebble beach and Spyglass Hill playing as par 72’s.

Pebble Beach is widely known to us golf fans and is a beautiful seaside links on the coast of California. It has played host to the US Open five times and the PGA Championship once. It is quite short by PGA Tour standards and is quite generous and forgiving off the tee. Pebble’s main defence is its smaller than average greens not to mention the windy weather this time of year.

Spyglass Hill is fractionally different from the other two courses as it a bit tighter with its tight, tree lined fairways. The trees can work in the players favour especially if the wind gets up.

Monterey Peninsula is a par 70 and is usually the easiest of the three courses boasting the lowest score average last year of just over 70. The greens here are bigger and play fractionally faster than the other two courses so a hot putter and long drive will be the key to making birdies here.

There are a few different factors to consider. The greens here are poa annua which is a grass that tends to be a bit bumpy. The greens are also quite small so be on the lookout for players with good GIR and scrambling stats. The grass type on the greens is the same as Torrey Pines at the Farmers Insurance Open a couple of weeks ago so take that into consideration. This course tends to favour the bigger hitters so making birdie or better on the majority of the 16 par 5’s played here this week will be a big plus. Guys with good par 3 scoring stats that are good poa annua putters should also go well here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 20/1 

Despite Snedeker’s questionable finish at Torrey Pines a couple of weeks ago, he could be worth keeping on side here this week. He played well at The Famers Insurance Open and really should’ve won it outright. He started well with a 68,69,70 and then finished poorly with a disappointing final round 73 to finish T9. He started 2017 with a good performance at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge.

He has a great record here over the years finishing T21 and T8 (US Open) here in 2010 along with wins in 2013 and 2015. He ranks 23rd in GIR, seventh in scrambling and 22nd in par 3 scoring. Players with good records tend to go well here and Snedeker could follow up the disappointment of Torrey with a great performance this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Phil Mickelson 20/1 

Phil is a real horse for the course here in Pebble and could be another good linksy style player to keep on side here. He hasn’t finished worse than T21 in his last four events and seems to be getting better and better every week. He finished T8 at the Safeway Open and followed that with a T21 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, T14 in Torrey Pines and a T16 last week in Phoenix which included a third round 65.

Mickelson has a superb record at Pebble Beach with three wins and four top tens in 12 appearances here. He has made himself a real links specialist over the years which was evident with his solo second and final round 65 in last year’s Open Championship in Troon. He ranks tenth in SG approaches the green, 23rd in SG around the green, 31st in SGP and seventh in scrambling. With Phil’s super record here and great current form, it could be his week.

 

Jon Rahm 22/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Jon Rahm 22/1 

The Spaniard has been in fine form lately and comes here on the back of a superb win in Torrey Pines after shooting a flawless 65 in the final round which included a monster eagle on the 18th. He has been in great form this season which started with a T15 at The Safeway Open, T15 at The Shriners Open and a T8 at the World Cup of Golf. He began 2017 with a disappointing T34 at the CareerBuilder Challenge but bounced back with a win at The Farmers Insurance Open followed by a respectable T16 last week in Phoenix.

Rahm is a decent ball striker ranking ninth in SG off the tee, 18th in SGTTG and 13th in par 4 scoring. He looks like a player that could really suit this course and has to be respected here.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview 2017Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite starting the season poorly, Reed has been showing some good signs over the last few weeks with some solid performances. He finished solo 10th at the Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions, which included a second round 65. He then had a T12 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included an opening round 69 and a closing 65.

Reed is another player with a decent record here finishing T7 in 2013, T13 in 2014, T29 in 2015 and T6 last year. Statswise his game looks to really suit this course ranking sixth in SG around the green, fifth in SGP and 32nd in SGTTG. Reed is a bit streaky lately but could be worth a risk here with his previous record.

 

Final selections – 

Brandt Snedeker 20/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 0.5pts EW

Jon Rahm 22/1 0.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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US PGA Championship Betting Preview 2016

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014Baltusrol Golf Club, Lower Course, Springfield, New Jersey

7,428 yards par 70

The Course

The Baltusrol Golf Club is a private 36-hole golf club in Springfield, New Jersey located about 30 km west of New York City. It was founded 121 years ago in 1895 by Louis Keller and was named after Baltus Roll, who farmed the land on which the club resides today.

In 1985, Baltusrol became the first club to have hosted both the U.S. Open and Women’s U.S. Open on two different courses. Both courses were originally designed by A. W. Tillinghast in 1918. The club’s original 9-hole course was designed by George Hunter in 1895, and expanded to 18 holes in 1898.  The first national championship on the Upper Course was the U.S. Open in 1936. Among the many major tournaments it has hosted, the club was most recently the site of the 2005 PGA Championship.

In 1948, Robert Trent Jones was retained to update and lengthen the Lower course for tournament play. The Lower course was lengthened again by his son Rees Jones in 1992 in preparation for the U.S. Open in 1993. He also updated and lengthened the Upper course in advance of the 2000 U.S. Amateur.

The course is spread out over rolling parkland with ponds and other man-made and natural hazards that come into play. It has four par 3’s, 12 par 4’s and only two par 5’s. The 4th hole and the 18th hole have ponds which will add a slight intimidation factor for the players. The three signature holes of the are the fourth, a par three of 194 yards where players must hit their ball over the pond to a two-tiered green; the seventeenth, a par five of 650 yards and the eighteenth, a par five of 533 yards which will be reachable in two for most of the field. The pond on the left hand side of the eighteenth has been made bigger since 2005 and could be a bit intimidating for the players with a draw or a fade for the leftys. Six of the par 4’s measure over 450 yards with the longest being the 505 yard 7th. The longest of the par 3’s is the 16th which measures a lengthy 230 yards.

This course is a tricky and lengthy par 70 with average size fairways. The rough looks like its going to be particularly penal so keeping it in the fairway will be advantageous. There will also be some tricky fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy looks to be important. The greens are quite small and sloppy so GIR will be one stat to pay particular attention to here along with good putting.

Phil Mickelson won here back in 2005 on a score of four under par. Other previous winners at Baltusrol include Jack Nicklaus and Lee Janzen.

 

Rory McIlroy 8/1 US PGA Championship 2016 Betting PreviewRory McIlroy 8/1

The more I look at Baltusrol the more I think it could be a great fit for Rory. He fought hard for a T5 finish at Troon and was a bit unlucky with the draw and the weather. Despite that he still shot rounds of 69,71,73,67 to finish four under par in total. Rory has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win and four top 5’s in his last seven events. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T4 and followed that with a win at The Irish Open, T4 at Memorial, solo third at The French Open and a T5 at The Open.

He has a superb PGA Championship record with two wins which came in Valhalla in 2014 and Kiawah Island in 2012, a third place finish in 2010, T8 in 2013 at Oak Hill and a T17 last year in Whisling Straits. He ranks first in strokes gained off the tee, third in strokes gained tee to green and 13th in driving distance. With a great record at this event and good current form Rory looks a good bet here and the pick of the favs.

 

Henrik Stenson 16/1 USPGA Championship 2016 Betting PreviewHenrik Stenson 16/1

After the heroics of Royal Troon a couple of weeks ago The Swede looks to have his game in superb shape coming to Baltustrol. He broke all sorts of records at The Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week posting an impressive 20 under par in total. He also had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has six top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart and a win in Troon.

Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. He has played well in previous USPGA’s finishing 25th last year in Whistling Straits, third in 2014 in Valhalla and third in 2013 at Oak Hill. With Baltusrol demanding accuracy off the tee along with hitting plenty of greens this will be right up Stenson’s street and he could add a second major to his trophy cabinet this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 USPGA Championship 2016 Betting Preview Phil Mickelson 20/1

After going toe to toe with Stenson in Troon, Mickelson finished three strokes behind The Swede after shooting a superb final round 65 to finish solo second. He played great golf all week opening with an impressive 63 and followed that with a 69,70,65 over the weekend to finish 17 under par in total. Mickelson has been playing well this season with five top 30’s in his last seven starts. He played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T4 and followed that with a T20 in Memorial, T2 at The St Jude, T27 at The Bridgestone and a solo second at The Open.

He has won around Baltusrol in the past winning the 2005 USPGA Championship on four under par. He has a good record over the last few years finishing T12 in 2010 at Whistling Straits, T19 in 2011 in Athletic Club, second in 2014 in Valhalla and T18 last year in Whistling Straits. Statswise Phil ranks 16th in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in SGP, fist in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With being a previous winner here in Baltusrol, a decent record in USPGA Championships and a superb performance at Troon recently, Phil has to have a good chance here.

 

Zach Johnson 55/1 USPGA Championship 2016Zach Johnson 55/1

Although Johnson isn’t the biggest hitter on Tour he may have the edge here with his accurate driving and great putting. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished worse than T17 in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T17 and followed that with a T8 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The Open Championship in Troon which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a third round 75. He has played well around Baltusrol before finishing T17 here in 2005.

He has decent PGA Championship form finishing third in 2010 at Whistling Straits and eighth in 2013 at Oak Hill. With great current form and a good performance here in ’05 Johnson is another player with a good chance here.

 

JB Holmes 66/1 USPGA Championship 2016J.B. Holmes 66/1

As we all know, J.B. can be a little bit unpredictable but after seeing his rather generous price I thought he was worth a look here. He played well in two of the last three majors finishing T4 in Augusta after a super final round 68, and solo third at The Open after shooting two 69’s over the weekend. He also finished T13 in Texas and T4 at Memorial recently after shooting 67,69 over the weekend so his current form is very good.

He finished T24 in Whistling Straits in 2010 and T24 again in Whistling Straits last year. Statswise he ranks second in driving distance and seventh in strokes gained off the tee which could be a big advantage around here. If he gets the putter rolling he could be one to watch here.

 

Jason Dufner 80/1 USPGA Championship 2016Jason Dufner 80/1

The 2013 Champion has had a decent season so far and seems to be returning to form lately with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has won already this season shooting 64,65,64,70 to win the CareerBuilder Challenge back in January. He played well at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T8 at The US Open and T22 at The Open Championship in Troon.

His USPGA record in quite impressive. He finished fifth in 2010 at Whistling Straits, second in 2011, T27 in 2012 in Kiawah and a win in 2013 at Oak Hill. Dufner looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking eighth in GIR, 23rd in strokes gained tee to green and 16th in par 4 scoring. For a guy that’s a good record in this event and is playing well he looks a tad overpriced here.

 

Final selections – 

Rory McIlroy 2pts EW 8/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts EW 16/1 

Phil Mickelson 1.5pts EW 20/1 

Zach Johnson 1pt EW 55/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 66/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 80/1 

Total staked = 16 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Masters Betting Preview 2016

The Masters Betting Preview 2016

Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia 

Par 72, 7,435 yards 

 

The Course 

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. Augusta National first opened 82 years ago in 1933, and has been modified many times by different architects. It is a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta when compiling a list of players to bet on. The first element is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high penetrated ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation is another stat to consider here as the greens are big and slopey so hitting the ball in the right portion of the green will be very important. Approach stats, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring are other stats to take into consideration here.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Bubba Watson 11/1

Bubba has two wins already under his belt this season with a win at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas where he shot four rounds in the 60’s including a third round 63 to finish 25 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T14 in Phoenix. He had a great week in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 in his four rounds to finish 15 under for the tournament. He continued that good form in Doral and again shot three rounds in the 60’s finishing 11 under for the week. He has a great record in Augusta with wins in 2014 and 2012.

Bubba ticks a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance averaging over 310 yards off the tee, which will be a big help here. He also ranks first in GIR and SGTTG. He is one of a few players that can shape the ball in both directions and can cut the corners on some of these tricky doglegs. With great current form and a great record here Bubba looks a huge contender here.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1 

If it wasn’t for the dreaded sixth hole at The Golf Club of Houston last week, Phil would’ve finished a hell of a lot better than T13. He was a whopping six over par on that one hole and finished eight under in total and the winner was 15 under so he wasn’t far away. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil is a veteran of Augusta and is a three time winner winning in 2004,2006 and 2010. He also finished solo second last year, third in 2012, fifth in 08 and 09 and 10th in 05 and comes here this week in much better form than he did last year. Mickelson has been putting particularly well ranking sixth in SGP and ninth in SGTTG. He also ranks sixth in scrambling, first in par 3 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. With a solid start to the season and a good performance last week, Phil looks set for a good week on a course he knows so well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Louis Oosthuizen 33/1

The South African looked superb in The Matchplay beating Jordan Speith, Dustin Johnson and Rafa Cabrera Bello on his way to the final only to be beaten by the unstoppable Jason Day. His form has been superb over the last few weeks with a second place finish last week, a T7 at the Valspar and a T14 at The WGC Cadillac. He has also been in flying form on The European Tour with a win at The Perth International in Australia at the end of February, T12 at The Malaysian Open and a T7 in Qatar. Louis has played superb around Augusta over the last few years finishing second to Bubba Watson in 2012, T25 in 2014 and T19 last year.

He comes here in much better form this time around and is hitting it a long way off the tee averaging over 300 yards and ranks 16th in GIR and 12th in SGTTG. Louis looks in tip top form coming into this and could be another one to watch.

 

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and two top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar. He had a good performance last week in Houston shooting a final round 69 to finish T13 for the week.

Schwartzel is another player that has a green jacket already tucked away with a win here in 2011, T30 in 2010 and a T25 in 2013. Charl ticks a lot of boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 18th in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 11th in scrambling and 21st in par 4 scoring. Charl’s game looks great coming into this week and he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Zach Johnson 60/1 Masters Betting Preview 2016

Zach Johnson 60/1  

I really thought Zach looked superb at the Matchplay. He looked to be hitting his irons beautifully and putted really well all week and got into the final 16 but just fell short losing against McIlroy losing the match one down. He has been going through an equipment change and seems to have settled in with some good performances over the last few weeks. He started the season with a T9 at the Sony and followed that with a T14 in Phoenix which included three rounds in the 60’s finishing seven under for the week. Johnson had another great week in Bay Hill recently at The Arnold Palmer Invitational shooting two 68’s over the weekend to finish solo fifth.

Johnson is no stranger to Augusta winning here in 2007, T20 in 2008 and a T9 last year. He putted superbly well in the Matchplay which will be a big plus here. He ranks 25th in GIR, 21st in proximity to the hole and is incredibly accurate from 50-125 yards. With some good current form and a solid record here Johnson looks a great bet at 60’s

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2pts EW

Phil Mickelson 20/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 28/1 1pt ew

Charl Schwartzel 35/1 1pt EW

Zach Johnson 60/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2016

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2016

Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas 

7,441 yards, par 72   

The Course 

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field with a win.

This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards. It is set up to replicate Augusta for next week and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves between an eight iron and a wedge into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Phil Mickelson 20/1

With the exception of a poor front nine against Patrick Reed in the matchplay, Phil played well all week. He comes into this with four top 11 finishes this season starting with a T3 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included four steady rounds in the 60’s finishing 21 under in total. He followed that with a T11 in Phoenix, solo second in Pebble Beach and a solo fifth at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

Phil has a great record here over the last few years finishing T17 last year, T12 in 2014, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and a win in 2011. He also ticks the boxes statswise averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, sixth in SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks fourth in par 3 scoring, 12th in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With good current form and a great record on this course Phil could be one to watch.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Reed played well last week in the matchplay and was unlucky not progress further after getting into the last 16 but got beaten by big hitting Dustin Johnson. He has shown some great form this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a great week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at the Valspar and a T9 last week at the matchplay.

Reed played well here last year finishing in a respectable T17 which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 73. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 49th in SGTTG, sixth in scrambling and 20th in par 4 scoring.

 

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Charl Schwartzel 28/1

The South African has been in fine form lately with two wins and a top 10 in his last six starts. He finished T9 in The Nedbank Challenge just before Christmas and followed that with a win in The Tshwane Open in his native South Africa shooting an impressive final round 63 to finish 16 under for the tournament. More recently Schwartzel finished in a respectable T17 at The WGC Cadillac and following that with a superb win at The Valspar.

Schwartzel is hitting it just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 11th in SGTTG and 34th in GIR. He has played well here in the past finishing T19 in 2014 and third in 2010. With superb current form and good previous performances here Schwartzel could be a big contender this week.

 

Brooks Koepka 30/1 Shell Houston Open 2016

Brooks Koepka 30/1

Brooks played well last week in The Matchplay winning his group but got knocked out by the eventual winner Jason Day to finish T5. He has been playing well over the last couple of months. He started the season off with a solo seventh at The Hero World Challenge and followed that with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four events finishing T8 in Pebble Beach, T26 at The Honda, T23 at The WGC Cadillac and T5 last week.

Koepka looks like he could suit this course and is averaging 307 off the tee ranking ninth in driving distance and ninth in par 4 scoring. This course tends to suit the bombers and Koepka could follow up another great performance after playing well last week.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 – First Round Leader  

Phil has a great record on this course and hasn’t shot worse than a 70 in five of his last six opening rounds at The Golf Club of Houston. He started with a 66 last year, 68 in 2014, 65 in 2012, 70 in 2011 and a 69 in 2010.

He hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in his last six opening rounds and looks to be playing really well lately. He started with a 68 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, 69 at The Farmers, 69 in Phoenix, 68 in Pebble, 69 at The Honda and a 67 at The WGC Cadillac. With an 08.10 tee time and rain forecast in the afternoon Phil looks like he could get the better part of the day.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 20/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 1.5pts EW

Charl Schwartzel 28/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 30/1 1pt EW

Phil Mickelson FRL 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2015

 

US Open Betting Preview and Tips Chambers Bay

Chambers Bay, University Place, Washington

Par 70, 7,742 yards

Chambers Bay is an old sand and gravel quarry and was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr. It opened back in 2007 and hosted the US Amateur in 2010. It is a links style course that should measures 7,742 yards and has typical links features such as long fescue grass, big sand dunes, massive fairways and very deep bunkers. It has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s.

The first hole can play either as a par 4 or a par 5 depending on weather conditions. The fairways are quite generous but players will have to find certain parts of the fairways in order to get their second shots close to the flags. A lot of the flags will be guarded by tricky bunkers strategically placed around the greens so greens in regulation and good scrambling will be key here.

The rough is quite penal so there will be an element of accuracy required and the greens will have heavy contours and will be extremely fast, measuring around 12 on the stimp meter. Players that have good links experience and can deal with the wind will have an advantage here.

The key areas of statistical focus will be GIR, driving distance and accuracy, scrambling, approach stats between 100-200 yards, proximity to the hole, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather forecast is expected to be mixed for the majority of the tournament, with mild weather with showers.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 US Open 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is simply no other player in the world playing better than Jordan Spieth at the moment. He put on a short game masterclass in the final round at The Memorial Tournament shooting a superb final round 65 to finish T3. Spieth has two wins already under his belt this year with wins coming at The Masters and The Valspar Championship. He lost in a playoff in Houston finishing second and also finished second the week before in Texas. Most recently, Jordan has two top fives in his last three starts finishing T3 last week at The Memorial and T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial.

Statswise Spieth is averaging just over 290 yards off the tee and ranks third in strokes gained tee to green, 20th in strokes gained putting and 10th in proximity to the hole. He also ranks first in approaches from 100 yards, fifth in approaches from inside 100 yards, 21st in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, first in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 3 scoring. Jordan ticks all the boxes here with good scrambling, good putting and razor sharp approach shots in his artillery, which should make him a huge contender here.

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Rickie Fowler 22/1

Rickie has proven to be a links specialist over the last few years saying recently “Its my favourite form of golf” at The Irish Open, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. Rickie played well and has great Open Championship form finishing T2 in last year’s Open Championship, two strokes behind winner Rory McIlroy and seems to play well in the trickiest of conditions.

He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters. Rickie ranks 49th in driving distance, 11th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 75-100 and third in approaches from 150-175 yards. With the weather expected to be mixed, Rickie should be in his element.

Henrik Stenson US Open 25/1 Chambers Bay

Henrik Stenson 25/1

After getting a bad illness in April, Henrik Stenson seems to have made a full recovery and looks to be back showing some good form again. He played well at The Nordea Masters recently finishing T13 on four under par for the tournament. His short game and touch around the greens was superb and that’s exactly what will be required here. He also had good performances at The Players finishing T17 and T19 at The Masters. Stenson has shown good links form over the last few years finishing runner up to Phil Mickeslon in 2013 in Muirfield and T3 in St Andrews in 2010. His US Open form has also been good over the years finishing T4 last year, 21st in 2013, 22nd in 2011 and T9 in 2009.

Stenson ranks 11th in driving distance, second in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15t in strokes gained putting. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 125-150, 20th in approaches from 200+ and second in approaches from 175-200. He comes here in good form and could be a player that really suits this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Phil Mickelson 20/1

Phil has a superb record in The US Open over the last 20 odd years finishing in the top 10 ten times. He has been showing glimpses of good form over the last couple of months with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T17, T17 at The Houston Open, T2 at the Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo.

He played well at The FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a superb final round 65 finishing T3 on eight under par for the tournament. Phil has played well on links set ups in the past winning the 2013 Open Championship in Muirfield, T23 last year in Hoylake and T2 in 2011 in Sandwich.

He ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in approaches from 175-200, 17th in approaches from 225-250 and seventh in par 5 scoring. A lot imagination will be required around the greens here, which Phil has in spades. With decent form at present and solid links form, 2015 could be the year Mickelson wins the US Open.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Jim Furyk 40/1  

Furyk has been showing some superb form over the last few months and showed superb grit in his playoff win at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 recently at The Memorial in Ohio. Jim showed some good early season form finishing T7 in Pebble Beach, which included a superb opening round 64, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He won the 2004 US Open in Shinnecock Hills and followed that with a second 2006 and 2007, fourth in 2012 and a T12 last year.

Furyk ranks eighth in driving accuracy, 14th in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. He also ranks third in approaches from 100 yards, seventh in approaches from 200 and eighth in approaches from 175-200. Jim is in great form lately and ticks a lot of boxes for this course.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Brandt Snedeker 50/1

Sneds seems to be peaking just at the right time for Chambers Bay with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Crowne Plaza Invitational finishing T2 and followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson. He showed some great early season form with a T10 in Phoenix, T19 in Torrey Pines and a superb win in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64.

His US Open form as been excellent over the last few years with four top 11 finishes in his last six US Open starts. He finished T9 last year, T11 in 2011, T8 in 2010 and T9in 2008. He has also shown great form at links courses in the past with a win in Pebble Beach this year, T11 in The Open Championship in Muirfield in 2013 and a T3 in Lytham and St Anne’s in 2012.

Statswise Snedeker ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, third in scrambling and ninth in par 4 scoring. With such a good record in this tournament and solid current form, Brandt Snedeker could be a big contender here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 8/1

Rickie Fowler 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Phil Mickelson 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 40/1

Brandt Snedeker 1 pt EW 66/1

Total Staked = 17 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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FedEx St. Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015 pic 1

TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards

 

The Course

The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Chambers Bay. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

 

Billy Horchel 14/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Billy Horchel 14/1

Billy Horchel has been playing well over the last couple of months. His good form began back at The Valero Texas Open where he finished solo 3rd on four under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay, T13 at The Players Championship and a T11 at The Memorial last week in Ohio. He has played well here in the past finishing T6 last year and T10 in 2013.

Horchel seems to tick a lot of boxes statswise ranking 44th in driving distance, 15th in GIR, 28th in strokes gained putting and third in putting from 10 feet. With a good record here and great current form, Billy Horchel looks to be a good shout here.

 

Phil Mickelson 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Phil Mickelson 16/1

Phil hasn’t been firing on all cylinders so far this season, but he has put in some solid performances over the last couple of months. He had a respectable T17 at The Honda Classic, T17 in Houston, T2 at The Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo which would have been a lot better if he played that tricky 18th hole a bit better. Phil has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T2 in 2013.

Mickelson ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in birdie average, seventh in approaches from 175-200 and seventh in par 5 scoring. Phil will be looking to put in a good week before Chambers Bay next week and should have a good week on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Webb Simpson 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Webb Simpson 16/1

Webb has been showing some good form this season with three top 10’s in his last nine starts. He finished T7 at The Humana Challenge earlier this year and followed that with a T7 WGC Cadillac at Doral. Most recently, he finished T17 at The WGC Matchplay and had a great week at The Wells Fargo finishing T2, which included two 67’s in rounds one and two. He has played well here in the past finishing T3 last year.

Simpson ranks 32nd in driving accuracy, 19th in GIR, fourth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 15th in scrambling, eighth in par 3 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With good form over the last few months, Simpson could be a big danger man this week.

 

Brian Harman 60/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

Brian Harman 60/1

Harman has been put together some great performances over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last four starts. He finished T8 at TPC Sawgrass shooting steady rounds of 71,69, 70,70 on his way to an eight under par total. He followed that with a T10 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial shooting four rounds in 60’s finishing nine under par in total. Harman played well here last year finishing T6, which included a superb second round 65.

Statswise he ranks ninth in putts from inside 10 feet and 11th in putts from six feet, which are two good stats for putts on these small, undulating greens. With good current form and a good previous performance here, Brian Harman could be a great each way bet here.

 

George McNeill 7/2 Top 20 Finish FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2015

George McNeill – Top 20 Finish 7/2

George McNeill has put in some great performances lately with six top 20’s in his last ten starts. He finished T11 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Valero Texas Open, T12 in New Orleans, T17 at The Players, T5 at Colonial and T13 last week at The Memorial. McNeill has played well here before finishing T28 last year, but comes here this week in much better form.

He ranks 32nd in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 200 yards, 15th in approaches from 150-175 and 11th in putts from 10-15 feet. McNeill also ranks 46th in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form, George McNeill looks great value for a top 20 finish here.

 

Final Selections –

Billy Horchel 14/1 2pts EW

Webb Simpson 16/1 1.5 pts EW

Phil Mickelson 16/1 1.5 pts EW

Brian Harman 60/1 1 pt EW

George McNeill – Top 20 finish 2pts

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wells Fargo Championship 2015 betting preview and tips

The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

 

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011), Rory McIlroy (2010) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways, which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Phil Mickelson 25/1

With seven top 10’s in 11 appearances, Phil Mickelson is a typical horse for the course here at Quail Hollow. He is having a mediocre season so far and seems to be coming into some good form at the right time. He had a good week at The Shell Houston Open finishing T17 for the week. He started well shooting an opening round 66 in round one, 67 in round two and had a poor round of 75 in round three, which took him out of contention. He had a superb week at The Masters shooting 70,68,67,69 to finish T2 on 14 under par for the tournament.

In his last 11 appearances here, Phil has finished T11 in 2014, solo 3rd in 2013, T26 in 2012, T9 in 2011, solo 2nd in 2010, T5 in 2009, T12 in 2008, 3rd in 2007, T35 in 2006, T7 in 2005 and T5 in 2004. Statswise he ranks 32nd in driving distance, sixth in birdie average, eighth in par 5 scoring and sixth in approaches from 175-200 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With such a great record here and a recent top 5 at The Masters, Phil looks great value at 25/1.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Bill Haas 28/1

After a solid performance last week at The Players finishing T4, Bill Haas looks in great form coming into this event. He has five top 20’s in his last eight starts including two top 10’s. After winning the Humana Challenge back in January, Haas followed that with a T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T7 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, T12 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T4 last week in Sawgrass.

Haas has two top 5’s here in the last few years finishing T4 in 2011 and T4 again in 2006. Statswise he ranks 28th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking 19th in approaches from 250-275, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and third in approaches from 50-125, which are good for attacking the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

 J.B. Holmes 33/1

Despite a poor performance last week at The Players, J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last nine tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

He has played well in Quail Hollow before with a win here last year, T9 in 2011 and a T17 in 2008. He ranks sixth in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in birdie average and 29th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking ninth in approaches from 50-125 and third in approaches from 75-100, which are two good stats for attacking the par 4’s.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

After losing in yet another playoff to Rickie Fowler last week at The Players, Kevin Kisner looks to be in fine form over the last few weeks and has the looks of a player that will win any day now. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the par 3 17th, which was the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish.

Kisner played well here last year finishing T6 on nine under for the tournament. Kisner isn’t the biggest hitter on tour averaging 286 off the tee but ranks 36th in driving accuracy. He also ranks 19th in scrambling, fourth in three putt avoidance, 43rd in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. With a great current run of form and a good performance here last year, Kisner could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 40/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Justin Thomas 40/1

Despite a disappointing 75 in the final round last week in Sawgrass, Justin Thomas had a great week finishing in a respectable T24 on five under. He has been playing well all season and has recorded nine top 25’s including four top 10’s so far this year. His good run of form began back at The Sanderson Farms Championship last November, where he finished T4. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic, T6 at The Sony, T7 at The Humana and a T17 at The Phoenix Open.

Most recently, he finished T10 at The Valspar, T11 at The RBC Heritage, T12 in New Orleans and T24 in Sawgrass. Thomas ranks 18th in driving distance averaging 300 yards off the tee, eighth in birdie average, 14th in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 5 scoring and eighth in birdie or better conversion percentage. With great current form, Justin Thomas is another player to keep an eye on this week.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 25/1 2pts EW

Bill Haas 28/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Kisner 33/1 1 pt EW

Justin Thomas 40/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 15 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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