The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida 

Par 72, 7,215 yards  

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with Bermuda grass greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.  Its also worth considering looking at players that have gone well on other Pete Dye designed courses such as Hilton Head, host course of The RBC Heritage, TPC Louisiana which hosts the Zurich Classic and TPC River Highlands host of The Travelers Championship.

 

Jason Day The Players Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Jason Day 12/1

Quite surprising to see the Aussie at 12’s this week considering the form he is in. He played well at the weather stricken Zurich Classic in New Orleans recently finishing T5 and could have finished in a better position if it weren’t for the weather disruptions. He has had a good season so far with back to back wins in Bay Hill and The WGC Matchplay. He followed that with a T10 in Augusta and a T23 at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head.

He has played well here in Sawgrass in the past finishing T19 in 2013 and T6 in 2011. He ranks second in strokes gained putting, 23rd in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring. After dominating performances earlier in the season and after a break last week, Day could be a major threat here at a decent price. He always seems to bring his A game to the bigger events and I expect another solid performance this week.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 The PLayers Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 28/1

Matsuyama had a mixed bag last week in Quail Hollow the first three rounds but finished strongly with a final round 69 to finish T11. He hasn’t finished worse than 18th in his last four tournaments and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He finished T11 last week in Charlotte, T7 at The Masters, T18 at The WGC Matchplay and T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T17 last year and T23 in 2014. He looks like a player that could suit this course and is hitting plenty of greens ranking 13th in GIR and fifth in strokes gained tee to green. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016Branden Grace 45/1

The South African has been playing great golf over the last few months and looks like he is ready and waiting to win a big one any day now. He has shown some great form over the last few weeks and with the exception of a missed cut at The Masters, Grace hasn’t finished outside the top 25 in his last seven events. He started the year with a T4 at The SA Open and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi, a win in Qatar, T23 in Doral, T18 at The Matchplay, a win at the tricky and tight Hilton Head at The RBC Heritage and a T9 in  Texas.

Although he hasn’t the best record on this course over the last couple of years, statistically he looks a great fit here. He ranks 34th in scrambling, 23rd in GIR, 11th in SGTTG and second in par 4 scoring. With excellent current form Grace looks a superb value here this week.

 

Danny Willett 40/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Danny Willett 40/1

Its Dannys first event since his dramatic win in Augusta and he will be fresh and ready to contend once again here at Sawgrass this week. The Englishman has been in fine form this season and with the exception of a T45 in Malaysia, he hasn’t finished outside the 30 in his last five events. He started the season with a win at The Dubai Desert Classic and followed that with a 3rd place finish in Doral, T22 at The Valspar, T28 at the Matchplay and a win in Augusta.

He has only played Sawgrass once, in 2014 and missed the cut but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks 22nd in GIR, 22nd in Sand Saves and 12th in strokes gained tee to green. With this being a tight, tricky test with plenty of doglegs, Sawgrass could be right up Danny’s street.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 The Players Championship Betting Preview 2016 Louis Oosthuizen 55/1

Louis is playing some great golf at the moment and has taken some time off since the Masters, which could be a big positive here. Despite missing the cut in Houston, the South African hasn’t finished worse than 14th in his last six starts. He played well in Malaysia finishing T12 and followed that with a superb win in Perth which included a 64 in round 2. He then went on to finish T14 in Doral, T7 at The Valspar, second at The WGC Matchplay and T15 in Augusta which included an excellent hole in one on the par 3 16th in the final round.

His best finish at Sawgrass came in 2013 when he finished 19th but he could improve on that this time around. He ranks 12th in GIR and 23rd in stroke average this season and looks to have the game that could suit this course. Louis has been in good form this season and I expect that to continue here this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Jason Day 12/1 2pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 28/1 1pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 40/1 1pt EW

Louis Oosthuizen 55/1 1pt EW

 

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/Doublebogey6

 

 

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Players Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC Sawgrass, Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida

Par 72, 7,215 yards 

The Course

The Players is known as the unofficial fifth major and is one of the most exciting stops on the PGA Tour calendar. The Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass was designed in 1980 by Pete Dye and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with bermuda greens.

It sits on over 415 acres in the Florida swampland and contains narrow fairways lined with hazards like marshes and waste bunkers. It also a lot of strategically placed pot bunkers to catch even a slightly stray shot. The rough is very thick so players that are accurate off the tee are worth looking at. The course also features craters and mounds, tall, shot-obstructing palm trees and rock-hard, lightning-fast greens. The biggest feature is the island green on 17 which offers a lot of excitement throughout the week, most of all on Sunday.

In 2006, the organisers made this a very tricky test by bringing in a little more rough and altering the greens. Conditions tend to be fast and firm with more of a test off the tee with tricky doglegs both directions. Keep an eye on players that can shape the ball, good putters, accurate iron play and good scramblers. Other stats to consider here are par 3 scoring and par 5 scoring average.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is no other player showing the form that Jordan Spieth is over the last few months. In his last six events, Spieth has wins at The Valspar and The Masters, two seconds at The Texas Open and a Houston Open, a respectable T11 at The RBC Heritage and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. He played well last week but was knocked out by an in form Lee Westwood on Friday, which should work in his favour coming into this week.

Jordan played well here at TPC Sawgrass last year finishing T4 on ten under par with Justin Rose. He also seems to fit the bill statswise ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting and 18th in scrambling. Spieth also ranks 22nd in par 3 scoring, second in par 4 scoring and 32nd in par 5 scoring. Given the way he is playing recently, Jordan Spieth looks like a huge contender here.

 

Justin Rose 22/1 The Players Championship 2015

Justin Rose 22/1

Justin Rose has come into some great form over the last few weeks. He had a great week at Augusta finishing T2 on 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a super performance at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans shooting a final round 66 to get the win and finish on 22 under par for the week. Justin has played well here in the past recording a personal best T4 last year and T22 in 2009.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, sixth in birdie average, second in approaches from 225-250 and eighth in approaches from 175-200, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 5’s. Rose also ranks 32nd in par 3 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring and could be another player to watch here given his current form.

 

Jim Furyk 25/1 The Players Championship 2015

Jim Furyk 25/1

It was great to see Jim Furyk finally get the job done in style shooting a final round 63 at The RBC Heritage a couple of weeks ago. I thought he was putted superbly and hit the ball extremely well all week. He also had a good week at The WGC Matchplay finishing fourth. Furyk was showing some good form early in the season with a T7 in Pebble Beach, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He has a great record around this course finishing second last year, T25 in 2012, T5 in 2009 and T27 in 2008.

Statswise he ranks fourth in driving accuracy, third in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 100 yards and fifth in approaches from 200 yards. Furyk also ranks 14th in scrambling, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and solid current form, Furyk looks to have his game in super shape coming into this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 33/1 The Players Championship

Jimmy Walker 33/1

Jimmy Walker has been playing well all season with two wins already under his belt, which came at The Sony Open back in January and The Texas Open at the end of March. He nearly made it winner number three at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, but was beaten in a playoff to Patrick Reed. Walker has played well at TPC Sawgrass over the last couple of years finishing T6 last year on nine under for the tournament and T15 in 2013 on six under.

Walker ranks 17th in driving distance, 15th in strokes gained tee to green, second in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and fifth in par 5 scoring. After playing well here over the last couple of years, Walker looks to be going in the right direction.

 

JB Holmes 50/1 The Players Championship

J.B. Holmes 50/1

J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last eight tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 last week at The WGC Matchplay.

Holmes has played well here in the past finishing T6 in 2011, T13 in 2010 and T10 in 2008. J.B. ranks seventh in driving accuracy, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and fourth in birdie average. With a good history on this course and great current form, J.B. looks like great value at 50/1.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Spieth 8/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Jim Furyk 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Jimmy Walker 33/1 1 pt EW

J.B. Holmes 50/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6