RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015
Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia
Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70
Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72
The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.
Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.
The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers. This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.
The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.
The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.
Kevin Kisner 16/1
After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.
He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.
He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.
Patrick Rodgers 25/1
The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.
He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.
Patton Kizzire 28/1
The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.
He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.
Russell Henley 33/1
Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.
He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.
Brendon De Jonge 50/1
De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.
De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.
Final Selections –
Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW
Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW
Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW
Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW
Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW
Total Staked = 14 pts
That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!
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