FedEx St. Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards 

The Course

Apologies for my absence folks it’s been a very busy few weeks but it’s great to be back. After the Duf winning on Jack’s stomping ground in Ohio, we move on to the FedEx St. Jude Classic, the last event before we head over to Erin Hills for the 2017 edition of the US Open. This event is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958 and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989.

TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.The fairways are undulating and narrow but the rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course.  The greens here are Bermuda and are smaller than average by tour standards with tricky undulations. Players will need decent accuracy with their approach shots and a pretty warm putter to score well here. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

The weather looks pretty good for the tournament days and should be relatively uninterrupted.

 

Adam Scott 12/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Adam Scott 12/1

The Aussie has been playing well throughout the season and comes here on the back of two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at the Masters in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T6 at The Players Championship shooting rounds of 70,72,71,70 to post five under par in total. Scott has had some good performances on tricky courses this year including a T11 in Riviera at the Genesis Open and T14 at The Honda at the end of February.

Scott has only played here once before finishing seventh in 2007 and also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 17th in driving distance, 12th in birdie average and 293rd in par 4 birdie or better leaders. He is one of the best players in the field here this week and has to be respected given his decent record on Bermuda Greens.

 

Kyle Stanley Fedex St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Kyle Stanley 28/1

I’ve been keeping an eye on Kyle Stanley over the last few weeks and he seems to be coming into some nice form lately. He has been playing well over the last couple of months finishing T17 at Bay Hill, T8 in Houston, T4 at the Players and T6 last week at the Memorial.

Although Stanley has played here four times before, his best finish was T49 back in 2012 but he is in much better form this time around. Statswise he looks like he could really suit this course ranking 16th in driving accuracy, second in GIR, ninth in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. He looks to be in great shape coming into this week and could be one to watch.

 

 

Russell Henley 28/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 28/1

Henley has had a great season so far and seems to be showing some great consistency over the last few months. He started with a T14 at the Sanderson Farms and followed that with a T10 at The RSM Classic, T13 at The Sony, T16 in Phoenix, T9 at the Valspar, a win in Houston and an impressive T11 at The Masters. He has fractionally gone off the boil lately but he has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing 27th in 2013 and seventh last year.

Henley looks like another player that could suit this course statswise ranking 22nd in GIR, 20th in birdie average, ninth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. I thought 28/1 was great value for a guy that’s in great form lately.

 

Kevin Tway 50/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2017Kevin Tway 50/1

After a bit of a slow start to the PGA Tour season, Kevin Tway looks to be finding his feet over the last couple of months with some great performances on tricky courses. He had a great week at the Texas Open finishing T3 and followed that with a solo third in New Orleans after a superb final round 61. Tway then travelled to the Wells Fargo finishing T5 and followed that with a respectable T20 at the Byron Nelson and a T18 in Colonial.

Statswise he ranks sixth in driving distance and 29th in strokes gained off the tee. Tway seeme to be playing with some decent consistency recently and looks great value here this week.

 

Final selections

Adam Scott 12/1 1pt EW

Kyle Stanley 28/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Henley 28/1 0.5pts EW

Kevin Tway 50/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Last week in Augusta

What a finish it was in Augusta National last Sunday night. The back nine had its usual thrills and spills but it all came down to two players facing off against each other standing on the 18th tee with Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia facing the daunting tee shot off the 18th tee. Rose’s drifted fractionally right blocking him from hitting the green with his second and Sergio hit one straight up the middle. Rose made a bogey and Garcia made a birdie. Game over.

It was a bit disappointing for me in that I had Rose at 25’s (and Spieth and Fowler!!) and thought he might be a bit mentally tougher to take down Garcia but it wasn’t meant to be. That being said I don’t think anyone would begrudge Sergio Garcia a major given the fact the guy has been there so many times and stumbled at the last hurdle. Credit where its due, he played great in the closing stages and putted particularly well.

 

Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head, South Carolina  

Par 71, 7,099 yards   

The Course  

Harbour Town was designed by Pete Dye and Jack Nicklaus and has been this events venue since 1969. The course is shorter by PGA Tour standards but is still a fine test with tree lined fairways and smaller than average greens. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s in total and can be a bit tricky off the tee. Hitting the right part of the fairway off the tee for your approach shots is key. The greens are ranked some of the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour so hitting plenty of greens in regulation will be important.

History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 25/1

Henley is in fine form lately and comes to Harbour Town with a win and three top 11’s in his last four starts. He had a great week at the Valspar posting a T9 which included an opening round 64. He followed that with a superb win at the Shell Houston Open shooting rounds of 67,67,69,65 to finish 20 under par in total three strokes clear of his nearest challenger Sung Kang. Henley then travelled to Augusta and finished T11 for the tournament which included a final round 69 and played very steady throughout the week. There are a few stand out stats that make Henley appealing for this course.

When he won in Houston two weeks ago he ranked number one for SG putting, T4 for driving accuracy and T4 for greens in reg. Statswise this season he ranks sixth in SG putting, 20th in GIR and 12th in par 4 scoring. After finishing T6 here in 2013 and T23 last year, Henley could be a big danger man here especially if he continues to putt well.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley has been playing some good golf over the last few weeks and is another player with a great record here. He had a good week in Phoenix finishing T24 and followed that with a T4 at the Genesis Open, T2 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, T23 in Houston and a T22 last week in Augusta. He took the lead after round one and co lead after round two and was playing great from tee to green. He fell beck over the weekend shooting rounds of 72 and 78 but really looked to be hitting the ball really well and putting beautifully.

Hoffman has a good record here finishing T8 in 2012, T6 in 2013 and T14 last year. If Charley can regain some of last week’s confidence from rounds one and two he could go very well here.

 

Russell Knox 33/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 33/1

Although he’s played poorly over the last few weeks, Russell Knox seems to be a real horse for the course around Harbour Town over the last few years. The Scot was playing well earlier in the season finishing T10 at the CIMB Classic, T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf, T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and T11 at the Sony Open.

He has played very well around here before finishing T2 last year, T18 in 2015 and T9 in 2014. Staswise Knox ranks 10th in driving accuracy which is a plus around here. If he starts well the Scot could regain some of that early season form on a course that clearly suits his eye.

 

William McGirt 40/1 RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2017William McGirt 40/1

After shooting an opening 69 last week in Augusta in round one, McGirt went on to shoot rounds of 73,74,74 to finish in a respectable T22 and looked to be putting very well. He has played well this year finishing T9 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua back in January and followed that with a T24 in Phoenix, T28 at the WGC Mexico, T9 at the WGC Matchplay and a T22 last week in Augusta.

He has played well here in the past finishing T9 in 2014, T31 in 2015 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks sixth in driving accuracy, 31st in GIR and 20th in par 4 scoring. He looks decent value for a guy showing some decent form.

 

Final selections –

Russell Henley 25/1 1pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Knox 33/1 0.5pts EW

William McGirt 40/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter@DoublebogeyDB6

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Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017

Shell Houston Open Betting Preview and Tips 2017Golf Club of Houston, Humble, Texas 

7,441 yards, par 72 

The Course 

The Golf Club of Houston was designed by Reese Jones and was established in 2003. Since 2007, the tournament has been held the week before the Masters, giving the players one last chance to get into the field through a win.

This course is a decent test measuring just short of 7,500 yards and has a particular emphasis on length. For example, the four par 5’s on this course all measure over 550 yards and will require a decent drive if players are going for the green in two. The par 4’s will also require length with the 5th, 6th, 17th and 18th all measuring over 460 yards. Players that average between 295 and 300+ yards off the tee will be leaving themselves a short iron into some of the longer par 4’s.

The main stats to consider here is obviously length, along with good par 3, par 4, par 5 scoring stats. The greens here are also quite tricky (like Augusta) with tight banks and plenty of run off areas so be on the lookout for guys with good greens in regulation stats.  The greens here will be pretty quick measuring roughly 13 on the stimp so strokes gained putting will be another stat to consider on this course.

 

Jordan Spieth 13/2 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 13/2

The Texas native comes here in great form this season. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open in Riviera and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship. Spieth played well last week at the matchplay playing Japan’s Hideto Tanihara in the first round and was beaten 4&2. He bounced back in the second match beating Yuta Ikeda 4&2 and then halved his third match with fellow American Ryan Moore but that wasn’t enough to get into the last 16.

He has a good record here over the last couple of years finishing T13 last year and nearly won in 2015, but narrowly lost in a playoff to J.B Holmes. Spieth ticks a lot of boxes here ranking first in GIR, second in SG approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG and ranks in the top 3 in par 3, par 4 and par 5 scoring. After getting knocked out early last week he should be fresh and could have a big chance here.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Its hard to know which Rickie Fowler will turn up here in Houston this week but I’m willing to take the risk. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes the pressure off somewhat. He has played well so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico and a solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill.

Fowler has a played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2014 and 10th last year. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 32nd in GIR, 12th in SG approaches to the green, 11th in SGTTG and 11th in SGP. If he hits it well off the tee and makes a few putts Fowler could be another one to keep an eye on.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Russell Henley 33/1 

Henley looks a real horse for the course around here and looks to be playing some good golf lately. He had a good week at the RSM Classic before Christmas finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a T13 at The Sony, T16 in Phoenix and an impressive T9 at the Valspar, which included an opening round 64.

He has played very well here over the last few years finishing seventh in 2014, fourth in 2015 and fifth last year and has a stroke average of just under 70 for his last 13 rounds here. He ranks 29th in driving distance, 19th in SGP and 20th in GIR.

 

Billy Horchel Shell Houston Open Betting Preview 2017Billy Horchel 45/1 

Billy needs a big week here if he’s going to tee it up in Augusta next Thursday. He had a bit of a mixed start to the season but he seems to be back showing some form over recently. Billy had a good week in Phoenix finishing a respectable T24 after shooting 65,69 over the weekend and followed that with another decent performance shooting 70,68,67,68 to finish T4 at The Honda Classic. Most recently, Horchel teed it up at the Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing in a respectable T13 for the week.

He came close to victory here back in 2013 when he finished T2 after coming up one stroke short to the winner D.A Points. Statswise he ranks fourth in GIR, 35th in SGTTG, 34th in SG approaches to the green and 26th in par 4 scoring. Pressure could be a big motivator for Horchel here so he could be worth chancing.

 

Final selections – 

Jordan Spieth 13/2 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 0.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Billy Horchel 45/1 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

RSM Classic 2015 betting preview

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70

Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72 

The Courses

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.  It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.  This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.

The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.

The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 RSM Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 16/1

After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.

He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.

He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Patrick Rodgers 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 25/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.

 

Patton Kizzire 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 28/1

The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.

He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RSM Classic 2015

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.

He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.

 

Brendon de Jonge 50/1 RSM Classic

Brendon De Jonge 50/1

De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.

De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW

Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW

Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!

 

Doublebogey6

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RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2015

RBC Heritage Betting Preview 2015

Hilton Head, South Carolina

Par 71, 7,101 yards 

The Course

This event has been played at Harbour Town Golf Links for many years now and the same players seem to play well here. The course is a short 7,101 yards and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. It is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens, which are ranked among the most difficult to hit on the PGA Tour. History suggests that the good, accurate ball strikers and good putters tend to do well around here. The greens here are quite small by Tour standards so GIR and good scrambling will be two key stats to look at. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set to be cloudy and humid with showers and the possibility of thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday. The weekend will be cloudy, dry and humid with gusts up to 20 mph.

 

Zach Johnson RBC Heritage 16/1

Zach Johnson 16/1

After a great performance last week in Augusta, Zach Johnson recorded his second top 10 finish in his last three starts finishing T9 at The Masters. He also played well the week before at The Valero Texas Open finishing T20, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a poor final round 76. He also played well the week before at The Arnold Palmer Invitational finishing T9, which included an impressive final round 66.

He has played well at Hilton Head in the past finishing solo second in 2012, five strokes behind the winner Carl Pettersson. He ranks 21st in driving accuracy, 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 23rd in par 5 scoring. Statswise Johnson’s game should suit this course and he comes here in good form, especially after a good week at Augusta.

 

Webb Simpson 33/1 RBC Heritage

Webb Simpson 33/1

Webb is another player that had a good week at Augusta and looked to be hitting the ball well all week. He had a disappointing 75 in round 2, but shot a 72,71 at the weekend to finish in respectable T28 on -1 for the tournament. He hasn’t played in many tournaments this year but has recorded two top 10 finishes and a top 15 in his last six starts. He had a good week at The Sony Open back in January finishing T13 on -11 for the tournament, which included an opening round 62. He followed that with a T7 at The Humana Challenge and another T7 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral.

He has played well here in the past finishing solo 2nd in 2013, T14 in 2011 and T14 in 2010. Simpson is hitting just under 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 15th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 12th in scrambling. He also ranks 17th in par 3 scoring, 31st in par 4 scoring and 2nd in par 5 scoring. He showed good form here over the years and could be one to watch this week.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 RBC Heritage

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Hoffman was right in the thick of it from the beginning at Augusta last week opening with a superb 67. He continued that good run with a 68 in round 2 and a 71 in round 3. He shot a disappointing final round 74 to finish T9 on -8 for the tournament but put in a great week overall. He has been showing some great form lately finishing T11 at The Shell Houston Open, which included a final round 67 to finish in -10 for the tournament. He also played well the week before in Texas and was right in contention from the beginning shooting an opening round 67 and eventually finished T11.

Hoffman has played well here before recording two top 10 finishes over the last three years finishing T6 in 2013 and T8 in 2012. Hoffman ranks 32nd in driving distance, 47th in GIR, first in scrambling from the fringe and 14th in par 4 scoring. With a good record here and good current form, Charley Hoffman looks to be a good shout at a decent price.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RBC Heritage

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley started 2015 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T17 at The Sony Open in Hawaii. He went slightly off the boil for the next few events but didn’t miss a cut. Most recently, he played well at The Houston Open finishing solo 4th and showed great consistency shooting 69,68,68,69 to finish on -14 for the tournament. He continued that consistency in Augusta last week shooting 68,74,72,71 finishing on -3 for the week and solo 21st.

He is another player that has played well here in the past finishing T6 in 2013, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a poor opening round 73. However, he went on to shoot 70,67,69 in the last three rounds to finish -5. Henley is hitting just under 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 15th in strokes gained putting, seventh in putts inside 10 feet and 31st in par 4 scoring.

 

Kevin Streelman 50/1 RBC Heritage

Kevin Streelman 50/1

Streelman’s game looked to be in great shape last week in Augusta, where he matched his personal best in a major finishing T12. He also won the Par 3 contest on Wednesday, which must have given him a bit of confidence going into the main event. He showed some good early season form with a solo 2nd at The Shriners Open back in October and followed that with a respectable T26 at The CIMB Classic. He seems to be coming back into some form and has made the last four cuts in a row with top 40’s at The Valspar and Houston.

He has a good record in Harbour Town over the last few years with a T3 in 2013 and a T17 in 2012. Streelman seems to fit the bill statswise ranking 18th in driving accuracy hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee. He also ranks 17th in GIR and ninth in par 4 scoring and could be a great each way chance.

 

Final selections –

Zach Johnson 16/1 2 pts EW

Webb Simpson 1.5 pts EW 33/1

Charley Hoffman 1.5 pts EW 33/1

Russell Henley 1 pt EW 33/1

Kevin Streelman 1 pt EW 50/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2015

Sony Open pic 1

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii
Par 70, 7,044 yards

The Course
After a great week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which saw Patrick Reed beat Jimmy Walker in a playoff, the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu.

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s, which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards, so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

Jimmy Walker pic 1

Jimmy Walker 16/1
After the disappointment of losing dramatically to Patrick Reed at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, Jimmy Walker didn’t really put a foot wrong and played solid all week. I really thought he putted very well making a lot of putts when it mattered. He has been playing well so far this season with three top 15’s in his last five starts, including a T9 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with partner Ryan Palmer.

Walker finished T4 at The Shriners Open, 15th at The Hero World Challenge just before Christmas and second last week at The Hyundai. He has played well at Waialae, winning this tournament last year and finishing solo fourth in 2011. Walker ranks 27th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in GIR from 200+ yards, 17th in approaches from 100-125 yards and 10th in approaches from 125-150. With good previous form on this course and good GIR stats, Jimmy Walker looks a solid bet after coming so close last week.

Chris Kirk 3

Chris Kirk 20/1
After a course record equalling 62 in Kapalua on Monday, Chris Kirk is showing some good form coming back to a course where he has played so well on in the past. He has two top 10’s here in the last two years finishing solo second last year and T5 in 2013. He hasn’t finished no worse than 16th in his last four starts showing a lot of consistency. He started the season well with a T4 at The McGladrey and followed that with a respectable T14 at The WGC HSBC Champions.

Just before Christmas, he finished solo 16th at The Hero World Challenge and then put together rounds of 68,76,73,62 in Kapalua, finishing T14 on thirteen under for the week. Kirk ranks 27th in strokes gained putting, first in approaches from 100-125, fourth in approaches from 50-75 and 19th in approaches from 250-275. He also has good putting stats, ranking fourth in putts from 10-15 feet, which should be a big plus on these small Bermuda greens.

Tim Clark 1

Tim Clark 33/1
Tim Clark has been playing well over the last couple of months finishing second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai back in November and T7 at The Nedbank Golf Challenge in South Africa the week before Christmas. Other than a disappointing second round 75, Tim was quite solid last week at The Hyundai shooting a 70 in round one and following that with 67,71 in round three and four finishing T25.

He has a good record here finishing solo second in 2013 and T2 in 2011. He was forced to withdraw from this event last year but seems to be injury free after competing last week. Clark ranks 27th in driving accuracy, 21st in approaches from 100-125 and 16th in approaches from 150-175, which are good stats for approaching some of the 12 par 4’s here. With this course being short, tight and tricky with small greens, this course seems to suit Clark’s game.

Russell Henley pic 1

Russell Henley 28/1
With an opening round 65 last week in Kapalua, Russell Henley recorded his second top five in his last three events finishing T3 at The Hyundai TOC on Monday, shooting an impressive final round 67. He started his season at The McGladrey Classic back at the end of October, where he shot rounds of 68,63,68,69 to finish twelve under par and T4 for the tournament. He also played well at the end of last season posting a T2 at The Deutsche Bank and a solo 12th at The Tour Championship.

Henley won this event back in 2013 shooting three 63’s and a third round 67 to finish on 24 under par, three strokes better than his closest challenger Tim Clark. Statswise, Russell is hitting 73% of greens and ranks fifth in strokes gained putting and 11th in birdie average. He also ranks second in par 4 performance, 15th in putts from 10-15 feet and 12th in putts from 20-25 feet, which is a big plus on these small, tricky Bermuda greens.

First Round Leader –

Jimmy Walker 25/1
Walker hasn’t shot worse than a 69 in his last eight rounds in Waialae and could start strongly. He opened with a 66 last year, 69 in 2013 and a 68 in 2011. He also shot a 67 or better in five of his last eight rounds here, one of which was a 63 in the final round last year. He carded a 69 or better in three of his last four competitive rounds and given his performance in Kapalua, he could start well and go very low again here in round one.

Chris Kirk 28/1
Chris Kirk is another player that has gone very low around this course carding a 69 or better in his last eight rounds in Waialae. He has shot a 66 or better in five of his last eight rounds including a 64 in the first round last year and a 62 in round three in 2013. Kirk has opened with a round in the 60’s in three of his last four competitive rounds and looks in great shape after a course record equalling 62 last Monday in Kapalua.

Final Selections –
Jimmy Walker 16/1 2 pts EW
Chris Kirk 20/1 1 pt EW
Tim Clark 33/1 1 pt EW
Russell Henley 28/1 1 pt EW

First Round Leader –
Jimmy Walker 25/1 1 pt EW
Chris Kirk 28/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6
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