Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina  

Par 70, 7127 yards  

The Course  

What an excellent final round performance from Justin Thomas last week in Quail Hollow. Personally I was cheering on Matsuyama and Fowler who both ended up finishing in a tie for fifth which got us some place money.

The PGA Tour travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship this week, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.   

Sedgefield Country Club is a Donald Ross designed par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards. It was opened in 1926 and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Its important for players to hit the right side of the fairway in order to attack these small greens to give them a good look in for their approach shots. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.  

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.

 

Ryan Moore 20/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Ryan Moore 20/1 

After a bit of a quiet spell of late, Ryan Moore looks to be back playing well after a short spell on the sidelines with a shoulder injury. He was showing some great form back in April with a great week in Augusta finishing T9 and followed that with a T18 in Texas. He then went quiet for a couple of months with five missed cuts from six starts but has bounced back well in his last two events and looks to be injury free. He finished in a respectable T28 at the WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T13 at the PGA Championship last week in Quail Hollow which included an impressive final round 69.

Moore has a great record here with a win in 2009 , his first on the PGA Tour, T37 in 2012 and a T10 in 2015 which included four rounds of 69 or better. Statswise he ranks 25th in driving accuracy hitting over 65% of fairways off the tee. With accurate driving, good form and a decent record here, Moore could be a huge danger man this week.

 

Bud Cauley 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Bud Cauley 33/1

I think this course could suit Bud’s eye and given his current form, he looks another good shout here. Despite one or two missed cuts recently, Cauley’s game looks in great shape over the last couple of months. He had a great week at the RBC Heritage in April finishing T9 and followed that with a T10 in Texas, T5 in New Orleans and a T5 at The Byron Nelson. He then travelled to the Memorial Tournament and finished a respectable T25 and followed that with a T12 at the John Deere Classic and a T33 last week at The PGA Championship.

Cauley has a good record around Sedgefield finishing solo third in 2012 and a T10 last year which included a third round 64. Statswise he ranks 47th in GIR, 33RD in SGTTG and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Chad Campbell 60/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Chad Campbell 60/1

Campbell looks to be hitting the ball well and has been showing a lot of consistency lately. I have backed him a few times over the last couple of months to no avail but Im willing to roll the dice one more time on him in an event I believe that could suit him. He has had some great events lately finishing T13 at the Byron Nelson, T10 at the St Jude Classic, T9 at the Greenbrier, T12 at the John Deere, T18 at the Barbasol and a T32 at the Canadian Open. He was going well in Canada and a final round 75 took him out of the places but he still shot rounds of 66,69,68 in the first three rounds.

Campbell has god memories of Sedgefield finishing T4 in 2012 which included a 64,65,66 in the last three rounds and a respectable T31 in 2015 where he opened with a pair of 65’s but fell away at the weekend shooting 70,71. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 22nd in driving accuracy, 12th in GIR and 11th in par 4 scoring.

 

Scott Brown 66/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2017Scott Brown 66/1 

Brown seems to be back playing some good golf lately and could be worth keeping on side this week. He played some great golf earlier in the season finishing T2 in Riviera at The Genesis Open, T17 in Puerto Rico and a solo second at The Zurich Classic in New Orleans at the end of April. He has shown some decent form over the last couple of months finishing T12 in Colonial at the Dean & Deluca Invitational, T25 at the John Deere Classic which included three rounds in the 60’s and a T13 at The PGA Championship last week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T33 last year after a final round 65 and a T3 in 2015 which included four rounds of 68 or better. Brown is playing good golf lately and could follow up his T13 at the PGA last week with another good performance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Ryan Moore 20/1 1pt EW

Bud Cauley 33/1 0.5pts EW

Chad Campbell 60/1 0.5pts EW

Scott Brown 66/1 0.5pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts 

*PP Paying 7 places* 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017

Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017TPC Scottsdale, Arizona  

Par 71, 7,266 Yards

The Course 

The Waste Management Phoenix Open has long been the best attended event on the schedule and this year should be no different. TPC Scottsdale has undergone some serious renovations over the last couple of years with over $12 million dollars spent on upgrades.

Strategic changes have touched all 18 holes including new green locations on four holes and major changes at the par-5 13th. Some of the fairways have been realigned and bunkers have been reshaped making them more punishing. The large Bermuda greens were also resurfaced and could run quite fast depending on the weather conditions. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, but if a tee shot goes a little wayward, it could end up in the desert or a deep bunker.

The signature 16th hole is an enclosed arena that holds some 20,000 spectators and tends to offer a football stadium feel to it with a great atmosphere. It is an arena that can erupt at the sight of a good tee shot and give any player who is in the hunt a good ego boost going into the final few holes on Sunday.

The course features three par 5’s that all measure between 550 and 560 yards and should be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters in the field. The course also has four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The par 4 17th can be reached off the tee by some of the longer players and should offer some excitement on Sunday.

This course will require solid ball striking and will favour guys that can bomb the ball. With the changes made over the last couple of years it’s worth looking at players who are in good current form at the moment that have played well here in the past.

 

Ryan Moore 28/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Ryan Moore 28/1

The American comes to Phoenix after taking a break over the last couple of weeks and comes here in decent form with four top 25’s in his last four starts. He started the season with a respectable T17 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia and followed that with a T23 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China. Moore then tee’d it up at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish T15 on 13 under par for the tournament. He began the New Year with a great performance at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Hawaii finishing T3 on 16 under in total which included two opening 67’s.

Moore has played well here in the past finishing sixth in 2009, 14th in 2010, fourth in 2013, sixth in 2014, 17th in 2015 and 11th last year. Statistically he ranks 11th in SG Approaches to the green, 10th in SGP, 34th in driving accuracy and 26th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season and a decent record here Moore could be a big danger man this week.

 

Brendan Steele 40/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Brendan Steele 40/1

After winning the Safeway Open at the start of the season Brendan Steele hasn’t let up and has continued his good run of form and hasn’t finished worse than T31st in his last six tournaments. He went to Malaysia and finished T23 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T31 at the Shriners Open in Vegas. He started the new year with a T6 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge which included a second round 64. He had another good week in Torrey Pines finishing T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open after an impressive final round 69.

Steele is another player with a good record here finishing fifth in 2012, sixth in 2013 and 2014, 26th in 2015 and 17th in 2016. He ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 30th in SG off the tee, 20th in SG approaches to the green, 16th in SGTTG, 11th in GIR and seventh in par 5 scoring. Steele looks good value here to have another good week.

 

Pat Perez 45/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 45/1

Pat is in the form of his life at the moment so ive decided to stick with him in Phoenix this week. He has been playing super golf recently with a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts

He had yet another good performance last week in Torrey Pines where he finished T4 and nine under par for the tournament. He played well throughout the week from tee to green and that will stand him in good stead coming to Phoenix this week. He started the season with a T7 at The Shriners Open and followed that with a win at the OHL Classic which included a third round 62. He started 2017 off with an impressive T3 in Kapalua at the SBS Tournament of Champions and finished with an impressive final round 67.

Perez has a decent record here over the last few years finishing 24th in 2010, 22nd in 2011, 19th in 2012, 11th in 2013 and 26th in 2014. Statswise he seems to fit this course ranking 25th in SG around the green, 36th in both driving distance and GIR, third in three putt avoidance and fourth in par 5 scoring. If Pat can keep the momentum going into this week he could have another great week.

 

Russell Knox 50/1 Waste Management Phoenix Open Betting Preview 2017Russell Knox 50/1 

Scotsman Russell Knox has been in great shape so far this season and hasn’t finished worse than T19 in his last eight starts. He played well at The CIMB Classic finishing T10 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC HSBC Champions, solo third at the OHL Classic, T19 at the World Cup of Golf and a 16th place finish at the Hero World Challenge. He started 2017 with a T17 at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Kapalua and followed that with a T11 at The Sony where he opened with an impressive 64 in round one.

Knox has only played here once before which was back in 2015 finishing a respectable T15 on nine under for the tournament. The Scot ranks 37th in SGP, 12th in driving accuracy, 11th in GIR, fourth in par 3 scoring and eighth in par 5 scoring. After taking the last couple of weeks off Knox will be fresh and could have a good shout here.

 

Final selections –

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 28/1

Brendan Steele 0.5pts EW 40/1

Pat Perez 0.5pts EW 45/1

Russell Knox 0.5pts EW 50/1

Total staked = 5 pts

 

*Paddypower paying seven places

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

Twitter – @DoublebogeyDB6

Facebook – www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016

Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada  

Par 71, 7,255 yards

TPC Summerlin is a 7,223 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Smylie Kaufman (2015), Ben Martin (2014), Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011) and Jonathan Byrd (2010).

The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 and usually yields a lot of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. Good putters and players with good GIR stats are worth looking at here as the greens are quite large and are not too difficult by tour standards. Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course has over 100 bunkers and some water hazards that come into play. However, this course is ranked one of the easiest to play on The PGA Tour with plenty of birdies on offer. Players that have good recent form over the last three or four events tend to go well here.

 

 Ryan Moore 18/1 Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016Ryan Moore 18/1

Local Ryan Moore has had a fairly steady start to the season with a T17 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia and a T23 at The WGC HSBC Champions last week which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a final round 75.

He had a great week in Hazeltine winning two points from three for his US team. He beat Willett and Westwood 1 up with partner J.B. Holmes in the Saturday Fourballs and followed that with a stunning singles win over Lee Westwood on the Sunday and putted well throughout the week. He was playing well before the Ryder Cup with a win at The John Deere, T7 at The Barclays, T8 at The Deautsche Bank and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship.

He has a great record here over the last few years finishing T9 in 2013, a win in 2012, T7 in 2009 and a T24 in 2008. With home advantage and a great record here Moore could have a great week.

 

Scott Piercy 28/1 Shriners Open Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 28/1

Piercy had a bad start in China last week and found it hard to recover after an opening round 79. He did bounce back with a 72,74,72 finish on a course that didn’t appear to suit his game. Despite that Piercy has started the season well and comes here in good form. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T3 and followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia. He had some great finishes towards the end of last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

Piercy has played well here in the past with three top 10’s and a top 25 in his last four appearances. He finished T10 in 2011, T6 in 2012, T7 in 2014 and T25 last year. He ranks 10th in SG tee to green, 30th in SGP, 15th SG off the tee. With a solid record here and decent current form Piercy could be worth a look here.

 

Grayson Murray 55/1

This guy looks an incredible future prospect and comes to Vegas in superb form. He had a great finish to the Web.com Tour finishing solo seventh at The News Sentinal Open, solo third at The Albertsons Boise Open shooting a pair of 64’s in rounds 3 and 4 and a win at The Nationwide Children’s Hospital Open. He had a good start to his PGA Tour season with respectable T8 at The Sanderson Farms last week shooting 67,65 in the first two rounds.

Last season on the web.com Murray was averaging just under 320 yards off the tee ranking fourth in driving distance. He also ranked fifth in putting average, third in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring, all these stats bode well around here. He seems to have a very good all round game and looks to be generously priced here especially in this field.

 

Ryo Ishikawa 70/1

Ishikawa is playing super golf lately both in the US and Japan. He won the KBC Augusta in Japan and followed that with a second in the Fusankei Classic, third in the ANA Open and a T7 at The Japan Open. He then went to Malaysia and finished T10 at the CIMB Classic and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week finishing 13 under in total.

He has played well around TPC Summerlin in the past finishing T2 in 2013 and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week including a final round 65 and finished T28 in 2014. Ishikawa looks to be in flying form and after playing well here twice before, he could another player to keep an eye on at generous odds.

 

Final selections –

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 18/1

Scott Piercy 1pt EW 28/1

Grayson Murray 0.5pts EW 55/1

Ryo Ishikawa 0.5pts EW 70/1

Total staked = 6pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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CIMB Classic Betting Preview  2016

CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Kuala Lumpur Golf & Country Club (West Course), Malaysia 

Par 72, 7,005 yards  

The Course 

The PGA Tour travels to Malaysia this week for the CIMB Classic. This is the fourth time Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club is hosting the event and has also played host to the Malaysian Open on The European Tour for the last six years.

The event took place for the first time back in 2010 at The Mines Resort and Country Club in Selangor, which is located just outside Kuala Lumpur where Ben Crane was crowned the winner on 18 under par. Previous winners include Justin Thomas (2015) and Ryan Moore (2014 & 2013).

The course is a par 71 measuring a short 6,985 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are fairly forgiving so accuracy won’t be too much of an issue. The greens here are large, undulating and guarded by lots of bunkers so good scrambling will be required. Water is in play on 13 holes and will present some risk reward shots especially on the par 5’s and some of the short par 4’s.

Statistically, players that putt well and hit a lot of greens tend to go well on this course. The main areas of focus are current/previous form, GIR, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather can make this course quite soft this time of year so expect the greens to be quite receptive.

 

Justin Thomas CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Justin Thomas 14/1 

Thomas had a good week in Silverado finishing T8 at The Safeway Classic which would have been a lot better if he made a few more putts. He had a good 15/16 season and finished well with three top 10’s in his last six tournaments. He played well at The Quicken Loans finishing T12 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the tournament. He followed that with a T3 at The Travelers which included a superb final round 62 to post 12 under par in total. Thomas then went on to play well in The Playoffs finishing T10 at The Barclays and a T6 at The Tour Championship shooting rounds of 68,71,69,67.

He won The CIMB Classic here last year which included a second round 61 and a final round 66 to post 26 under par for the tournament. He clearly likes this course and could have another good week here.

 

Ryan Moore 14/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Moore 14/1 

Moore had a great week in Hazeltine winning two points from three for his US team. He beat Willett and Westwood 1 up with partner J.B. Holmes in the Saturday Fourballs and followed that with a stunning singles win over Lee Westwood on the Sunday and putted well throughout the week. He was playing well before the Ryder Cup with a win at The John Deere, T7 at The Barclays, T8 at The Deautsche Bank and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship.

He has a superb record in KL with two wins and a T10 in his last three starts here. Statswise he ranks 32nd in SG Putting, 29th in SG around the green and 14th in par 4 scoring. After taking a break after the Ryder Cup I expect Moore to have another good week here on a course that suits him.

 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 

Kevin Chappell 28/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016After taking a break since the Tour Championship Kevin Chappell will be fresh coming into this week and could be a player to keep on side. He had a good finish to the season with a T3 at The WGC Bridgestone, T8 at The Deutsche Bank which included a second round 64 and a playoff loss at The Tour Championship where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish second.

He has played well here in the past finishing 29th last year, 13th in 2014 and T25 in 2013. Statswise he ranks ninth in SG approach to the green and 13th in SGTTG which are two good stats for this course. If he putts well he could have a great chance to go well this week.

 

Scott Piercy 40/1 CIMB Classic Betting Preview 2016Scott Piercy 40/1 

After opening round of 62 last week in Silverado, Piercy started in style and held the 18 and 36 hole lead going into the weekend. He fell away slightly over the weekend shooting rounds of 73, 70 which could have been down to the regular weather disruptions but ended up finishing T3 on 16 under. He had some great finishes last season with a T2 at The US Open, a solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T22 at The Barclays and a T24 at the BMW.

Piercy played superb here last year opening with a 62 in round one and followed that with three 69’s to finish T7 for the tournament. Last week he hit just under 80% of GIR and ranked seventh in SGTTG and 26th in SG Putting. If he takes that form to Malaysia this week he could have a great chance here.

 

Final Selections – 

Justin Thomas 14/1 1pt EW

Ryan Moore 14/1 1pt EW

Kevin Chappell 28/1 0.5 pts EW

Scott Piercy 40/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016

BMW Championship 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsField – Top 75 in FedExCup Standings

Crooked Stick, Carmel, Indiana

7,516 yards, par 72

The Course

It’s the third event of the FedExCup Playoffs with the top 75 players in the standings all taking part here. This is historically an event where the cream certainly rises to the top. The five previous winners include Jason Day (2015), Billy Horchel (2014), Zach Johnson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Justin Rose (2011) and Dustin Johnson (2010).

The average winning score has varied from 9 under to 20 under over the last five years. This event was played here at Crooked Stick in 2012 when Rory McIlroy won on an impressive 20 under par but some alterations have been made since and could play fractionally harder this year. There is no cut at this event  and the top 50 players will progress to the Tour Championship at East Lake.

Crooked Stick Golf Club was designed by Pete Dye and has some history attached to it. It was the host course for the 1991 PGA Championship, the 2003 U.S. Women’s Open and the 2005 Solheim Cup. It is a par 72 and measures 7,516 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s with water featuring on about six of the 18 holes.

The fairways are wide and forgiving so driving accuracy won’t be too important here but hitting greens will. The greens here are quite small and are protected by some strategically placed bunkers so GIR will be one stat to bear in mind.

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Patrick Reed 20/1

After yet another top five finish last week in Boston, The FedExCup Leader is without a doubt one of the most consistent players on Tour at the moment. He was very impressive when he got the job done in Bethpage with a great win. He has been knocking on the door a lot over the last few months with seven top 15’s and a win in his last 11 events. Most recently he had a good week at The Open finishing T12 and followed that with a T13 at The PGA, T11 at The Travelers, T11 in Rio, T22 at The Wyndham, a win at the Barclays and a T5 last week in Boston.

This will be The American’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick but looks pretty solid statswise. He ranks fifth in SG around the green, fourth in scrambling, 21st in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. Reed is clearly playing very consistently and if he plays the way he did last week he should be right in the mix.

 

Adam Scott 20/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Adam Scott 18/1

After shooting an impressive final round 65 last week, Scott finished solo fourth on 11 under for the tournament. The Aussie has been showing some solid form over the last few weeks with seven top 20’s in his last eight starts. He finished T17 at the Wells Fargo and followed that with a T12 in Sawgrass, T18 at the US Open, T10 at the WGC Bridgestone, T18 at The PGA, T4 at The Barclays and solo fourth at The Deutsche Bank. Scott has played well here in Crooked Stick in the past finishing T6 in 2012 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the four rounds.

Statswise he ranks first in both SGTTG and SG approaches to the green, 10th in GIR, 15th in par 4 scoring. After a great performance last week and a good record here, Scott could be one to watch here this week.

 

Ryan Moore 40/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup PlayoffsRyan Moore 40/1 

Moore has had a fantastic few weeks on the PGA Tour with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five tournaments. He played well at The Travelers finishing T17 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a superb win at The John Deere shooting 65,65,65,67 on his way to victory and followed that with a T7 at The Barclays and a T8 last week at the Deutsche Bank in Boston. Moore has played well here in the past finishing T10 in 2012 and started exceptionally well shooting two 66’s in the first two rounds.

Moore is a player that could suit this course ranking 19th in SG around the green, 32nd in SGP, third in par 3 scoring and 15th in par 4 scoring. He comes into this in much better form this time around and looks great value to go well here this week.

 

Jimmy Walker 45/1 BMW Championship Betting Preview 2016 FedExCup Playoffs Jimmy Walker 45/1 

Jimmy played great golf last week in Boston shooting 68,64,70,70 to finish solo third on 12 under par for the tournament. He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. This will be Jimmy’s first appearance here at Crooked Stick and I reckon the course could suit his game. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 9th in strokes gained approaches to the green and 26th in driving distance averaging over 300 yards off the tee. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW 20/1

Adam Scott 1.5pts EW 18/1

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 40/1

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 45/1

Total Staked = 10 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Arnold Palmr Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida

Par 72, 7,419 yards

The Course

The next stop on the PGA Tour is The Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill. Tiger Woods has won this event an impressive eight times, but won’t be playing this week. This course is a par 72 and is a lengthy 7,419 yards. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes. Owned by Arnold Palmer since 1974, it has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and greenside bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s which are amongst the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important here. Good par 5 scoring stats will certainly be a big plus along with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and GIR. Good current form and good form around Bay Hill are also a big plus this week.

 

Adam Scott 8/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Adam Scott 8/1

The big question on everyone’s lips this week is can Adam Scott do the hat trick and make it three in a row? In my opinion, yes. With two wins and a second in his last three events the Aussie is in absolutely flying form and is without a doubt the favourite here this week.

He played brilliantly in Riviera and just came up short despite chipping in on the 18th for a birdie to finish T2. He followed that with a win at The Honda shooting 70,65,66,70 to finish nine under for the tournament. He then had another great week at The WGC Cadillac in Doral recording his second win in two weeks finishing one clear after a miraculous up and down on the 18th. He has played well at Bay Hill in the past finishing T3 in 2014 which included an opening round course record 62.

Scott looks like he could suit this course ranking ninth in driving distance, sixth in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also ranks ninth in par 3 scoring and first in par 5 scoring which are two stats that will stand to him here at Bay Hill this week.

 

Henrik Stenson 12//1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Henrik Stenson 12/1

The Swede had a good performance at The Valspar last week shooting 71,70,70,72 on his way to a respectable T11 finish. He also had a good week in Doral finishing in a respectable T28, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a third round 76. Stenson started the year off with two top 6’s in the Desert Swing finishing T3 in Abu Dhabi and T6 the following week in Dubai.

He has a superb record around Bay Hill finishing second last year, fifth in 2014, T8 in 2013 and T15 in 2012. Stenson ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking fourth in stroke average, 22nd in driving accuracy, 13th in GIR and third in strokes gained putting. With some decent performances over the last few weeks and a great record here, Henrik Stenson could right the wrongs of last year and get the job done this week.

 

Ryan Moore 33/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Ryan Moore 33/1

After another solid performance at The Valspar last week, I’ve decided to give Ryan Moore another go here in Bay Hill. He added another top 10 finish to the list last week finishing solo third at Copperhead making that five top 11’s in seven starts. He started the season with a T10 at The Frys, T10 at The CIMB Classic, T11 in Phoenix and a solo 10th in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open which included a superb ace on the 16th in the final round.

Moore has played well here in the past finishing fourth here in 2012 and 12th in 2011. Statswise he ranks 30th in driving distance, 18th in SGTTG, second in par 3 scoring and ninth in par 4 scoring. If he putts well here this week he could be right in the mix.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Brandt Snedeker 40/1

It seems Sneds has recovered from sore ribs after withdrawing from the WGC Cadillac in Doral a couple of weeks and could come back with a bang here at Bay Hill. He has had a superb season so far which began with a T17 at The Frys and a win at The Franklin Templeton with partner Jason Dufner.

He started 2016 off with a T3 at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, lost out in a playoff at The Sony in Hawaii and had a superb win in Torrey Pines which included a superb final round 69 in almost unplayable conditions. He’s gone a bit quiet lately finishing T33 in Phoenix and T35 in Pebble but can come back to good form on a course he has played well on in the past.

He finished 13th here last year and eighth in 2014 and ticks a lot of boxes statistically. He is averaging just over 295 off the tee and ranks sixth in SGP. He also ranks 12th in par 3 scoring and ninth in par 4 scoring. If he’s fit and healthy he should be right in the mix.

 

Jason Kokrak 60/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2016

Jason Kokrak 60/1

Kokrak came close to victory in Riviera and played solidly all week. He began with a 68 in round one and followed that with a 64,70,68 to finish 14 under just falling one short of winner Bubba Watson. He has had a mixed bag of form this season finishing T12 at The Sanderson Farms and followed that with a T17 at The OHL Classic. He started 2016 with a respectable T25 at The Farmers in Torrey pines and had another decent week in Pebble with a T30 finish.

He’s gone a bit cold over the last couple of weeks but has a great record here finishing sixth here last year and fourth in 2014. Kokrak is a huge hitter averaging 310 off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance. With four par 5’s and a good record over the last two years, Kokrak can go well here at a big price.

 

Final Selections –

Adam Scott 8/1 2pts EW

Henrik Stenson 12/1 2pts EW

Ryan Moore 33/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 1pt EW

Jaosn Kokrak 60/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Paddypower paying 7 places this week. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida 

Par 71, 7,340 yards 

The Course 

The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week as we head to Copperhead. There are four golf courses at Innisbrook, all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course, which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes last year with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens, which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Two out of the four par 5’s have double doglegs so an accurate tee shot can be well rewarded.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.

Players that can work the ball both directions off the tee should also have a big advantage. Just like last week in Doral, water will be a key feature this week with it coming into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine in the shape of 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Danny Willett 20/1 Valspar Championship 2016 Betting Preview

Danny Willett 20/1

Danny was really impressive last week in Doral and if it weren’t for one slightly pulled tee shot on the 18th, he could have been in a position to win had it not found the water. Instead he finished with a bogey to finish 10 under and T3 for the tournament. He has been playing great golf over the last few months with a win in Dubai in early February, a T4 at The Nedbank Challenge and a T4 at the DP World Tour Championship.

Danny looked particularly impressive last week with his irons and around the greens which should bode well around Copperhead. He ranks eighth in stroke average, 38th in GIR and 14th in strokes gained putting. After playing great last week in a top class field, Danny looks in fine form coming into this week and could be one to watch.

 

Harris English 33/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Harris English 33/1

English has been in good form and comes into this week on the back of two top 10’s in his last three starts. He had a great week in Phoenix shooting a superb final round 66 to finish in 12 under and solo third for the tournament. He followed that with another solid performance last week in Doral finishing solo 10th on four under for the week.

He has played well here in the past finishing T10 here last year and T7 in 2013 and ranks 29th in SGP and 34th in par 4 scoring. After two good performances recently Harris English could be another danger man here this week.

 

Jason Dufner 30/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Jason Dufner 30/1

Dufner has had a good season so far and had a good week in Doral finishing T11. He started well shooting 68,72 and had a poor third round 77 that took him out of contention but finished strongly with a 68 in the final round to finish three under par for the tournament. He started the season with a back to back T9’s at The RSM Classic and The Sony and followed that with a win at The CareerBuilder Challenge. He has gone a bit cold over the last few weeks but showed a return to form last week and it comes at a good time.

Dufner has a good record here finishing T24 last year, T14 in 2014, T21 in 2013, T10 in 2012 and back to back T28’s in 2011 and 2010. He is hitting 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 39th in GIR, 28th in SGTTG and 30th in par 5 scoring. If it weren’t for a third round 77 last week in Doral, it could have been a different week for Dufner and can bounce back strongly here this week.

 

K.J. Choi 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

K.J Choi 45/1

K.J came close to a win in Torrey Pines recently but just finished one shy of Brandt Snedeker. He played well all week shooting 68,67,72 and then got hit hard by the stormy weather and shot a final round 76 to finish solo 2nd. He followed that with a T17 at The Phoenix Open and finished T5 in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open.

Choi has a good record around Copperhead with a win in 2006, T6 in 2007, second in 2010 and T21 in 2013. He ranks 23rd in driving accuracy, 26th in SGP, third in par 3 scoring and fourth in sand saves. With good form over the last few weeks and a good record here K.J looks great value here at 45’s.

 

Ryan Moore 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2016

Ryan Moore 45/1

With four top 11’s in his last six starts, Ryan Moore comes into this week looking like a serious contender. He started the season with a T10 at The Frys, T10 at The CIMB Classic, T11 in Phoenix and a solo 10th in Riviera at The Northern Trust Open which included a superb ace on the 16th in the final round. Moore played well here last year finishing solo fifth which could have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 72.

He is hitting over 65% of fairways off the tee and ranks 31st in SGTTG, 40th in SGP, second in par 3 scoring and ninth in par 4 scoring. After a good performance here last year Moore looks great value here to have another good week.

 

 

Final selections –

Danny Willett 2pts EW 20/1

Harris English 1pt EW 33/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 30/1

K.J Choi 1pt EW 45/1

Ryan Moore 1pt EW 45/1

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Shriners Hospital for Children Open 2015

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2015TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada 

7,255 yards, par 71

After an exciting opening tournament of the new season at the Frys.com Open last week, the PGA Tour makes its annual trip to TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, where Ben Martin will be the defending champion.

TPC Summerlin is a 7,223 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Ben Martin (2014), Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011), Jonathan Byrd (2010) and Martin Laird (2009).

The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 and usually yields a lot of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance this week, but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. Good putters and players with good GIR stats are worth looking at here as the greens are quite large and are not too difficult by tour standards . Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting, good ball striking and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course has over 100 bunkers and some water hazards that come into play. However, this course is ranked one of the easiest to play on The PGA Tour with plenty of birdies on offer. Players that have good recent form over the last three or four events tend to go well here. There is some rain and thunderstorms in the days running up to the event, but it will be dry and sunny from Thursday to Sunday.

 

Kevin Na 22/1 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2105

Kevin Na 22/1

Despite losing a playoff to eventual winner Emiliano Grillo last week at The Frys, Kevin Na looked to be hitting the ball well throughout the week. He shot 68,71,64,70 to finish 15 under par for the tournament. Na was showing decent form in The FedExCup playoffs finishing T16 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW and T20 at The Barclays. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone finishing T15 and finished a respectable T13 at Memorial and T10 at Colonial.

Na has played well here in the past finishing T22 in 2012 and winning here in 2011. Last week, Na ranked ninth in driving accuracy and 11th in greens in regulation. He hit some superb iron shots last week in Silverado and if he can take that into this week, he should have a good chance here.

 

Ryan Moore 25/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Ryan Moore 25/1

Ryan Moore started the new season off strongly with a T10 last week at The Frys. He started with a pair of 70’s and began to get going over the weekend shooting 67,68 on Saturday and Sunday to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He had a respectable finish to the season with a T28 at The BMW and a T10 at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield. Moore has played well at TPC Summerlin in the past finishing T9 in 2013, a win in 2012 and a T17 in 2009.

Moore is a bit of an up and down player but seemed to be hitting the ball very well last week in Silverado. He was hitting over 75% of greens in regulation at The Frys and made some great putts. After a top 10 last week and good form at TPC Summerlin over the years, Ryan Moore could be one to watch here.

 

Scott Piercy 30/1 Shriners Open for Children Open

Scott Piercy 30/1

Piercy looks like a great shout here in Vegas this week given his current form. He played well recently at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship shooting 69,69,68,71 finishing T27 on 11 under for the tournament. He also had a couple of good performances in the last of The FedExCup events finishing T25 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and solo third at The BMW Championship. Piercy also won The Barbasol Championship and finished T14 at The John Deere back in July.

He has played well on this course over before finishing T7 last year, T6 in 2012 and T10 in 2011. If Piercy can take the form he had at the end of last season forward to this week, he could have another decent week here in Vegas.

 

Jason Bohn 40/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Jason Bohn 40/1

Looked to be in super form last week at The Frys and got himself right into the thick of things with an impressive 68 in round 2 and a 64 in round 3. Bohn went on to shoot a 70 in the final round to finish T3. He is another player that finished strongly last season with a T9 at The Barclays, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T12 at The John Deere and a T13 at The Greenbrier. Bohn has a good record here finishing T18 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T14 in 2009.

He led greens in regulation last week in Silverado and was T3 in driving distance. He also ranked sixth in strokes gained putting and first in birdie average. With great form here over the years and a good performance last week, Bohn looks to be great value this week on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Na 22/1 2pts EW

Ryan Moore 25/1 1.5pts EW

Scott Piercy 30/1 1.5pts EW

Jason Bohn 40/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2015

HTOC 2015 pic 1

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Hawaii
Par 73, 7,452 yards

The Course

Happy New Year! Let’s hope 2015 is a happy and profitable one! We kick off 2015 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, which starts this Friday. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a field of only 34.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite forgiving with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens, which have some undulations. Good putters have done well here with the likes of Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR.

With the weather set to be calm and sunny with moderate winds, the scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

billy-horschel-pga-tour_r640

Billy Horchel 20/1
Billy had a superb end to last season finishing runner up in The Deutsche Bank, and then going on to win both The BMW Championship and The Tour Championship, taking home The FedExCup crown and a tasty 10 million bucks!

He had a good week at Tiger’s event recently, The Hero World Challenge finishing T8 shooting rounds of 73,72,67,67 on nine under par for the tournament. He also showed good signs the following week at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing T3 with Ian Poulter. Billy also played well here last year shooting rounds of 72,72,68,66 on his way to a respectable T6 finish.

Horchel ranks sixth in driving distance so far this season averaging an impressive 312 yards off the tee. Last season, he ranked fourth in GIR, 23rd in driving accuracy, 15th in par 5 scoring and second in putts from 5-10 feet. He is clearly showing some good form and could be one to watch here this week.

Jason Day 1

Jason Day 15/2
After an injury stricken 2014, Jason Day will be looking to start 2015 off with a bang finishing 2014 off with a win at The Franklin Templeton Shootout with Cameron Tringale. He also has a good week at The Hero World Challenge finishing solo 5th on 14 under par, which included an impressive final round 66.

After a win at The World Cup of Golf and The Accenture World Matchplay, Day also performed well in the last of the FedExCup playoffs at the end of October finishing T2 at The Barclays, T7 at The Deutsche Bank and T4 at The Tour Championship at East Lake. His last visit to Kapalua was in 2011 when he shot rounds of 73,66,69, 70 on his way to a T9th finish.

Last season, Day ranked 18th in driving distance, 20th in strokes gained putting, 29th in par 4 performance and first in putting from five feet. After two good performances in December, it appears Jason Day is back to full strength and could be a huge contender here.

Patrick Reed pic 2

Patrick Reed 22/1
Patrick Reed had a good start to the season with a respectable T26 at The CIMB Classic back in November. He then followed that with a T22 at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai.

Most recently, Reed played well at The Hero World Challenge in Florida finishing T3, where he shot a 63 in round two and had another good performance the following week at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing T10 with partner Brandt Snedeker.

Reed played this event last year and carding rounds of 70, 72,67,73 on his way to a respectable T16, which is not bad for his first visit. He hasn’t missed a cut since The Open Championship last July and is becoming a very solid performer in big events. At 22/1 he seems to be good value for a player that has shown good recent form over the Christmas period.

First Round Leader Bets-

141st Open Championship - Round Three

Matt Kuchar 14/1
Kuchar has a good record at this event with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He finished T6 last year, T9 in 2013, T6 in 2011 and solo 3rd in 2010. He started well in three of his last four appearances shooting an opening round 68 last year, 69 in 2011 and a 67 in 2010. Kuch also started well recently at The Hero World Challenge shooting an opening round 69 and has been as steady as they come in terms of consistency.

Ryan Moore pic 2

Ryan Moore 22/1
Moore is another player that has a good record around Kapalua finishing solo 10th last year and T6 in 2010. He has started strongly in two of his last three appearances shooting an opening round 67 last year and a 69 in 2010. Moore in another steady player and had a great start to his season winning the CIMB Classic for the second time, where he shot 68,69,67,67 finishing seventeen under par total for the tournament. After a few weeks off, he should be feeling fresh coming to a course he has played so well on in the past.

Final Selections –
Billy Horchel 1 pt EW 22/1
Jason Day 1 pt EW 15/2
Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 22/1

First Round Leader –
Matt Kuchar 1 pt EW 14/1
Ryan Moore 1 pt EW 22/1

Total staked = 10 pts

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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