RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016

RSM Classic 2016 Betting PreviewSeaside Course/Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

7,055 yards, Par 70 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Kevin Kisner is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough linksy style test especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013), Robert Streb (2014) and Kevin Kisner (2015). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning. it would be quite similar to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage. The format will be similar to last year with the players playing one of their first two rounds at the nearby Plantation course which is a par 72 measuring just over 7,000 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s.

The Seaside Course has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole. Weather is forecast to be dry and sunny throughout the week.

 

Chris Kirk 18/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 18/1

Kirk started the season with an impressive three top 10’s in his last four starts and has a super record here at Sea Island. After starting with a 73 at the Safeway Classic, he bounced back shooting 65,70,66 to finish T8 for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at the Sanderson Farms finishing four strokes behind winner Cody Gribble. Kirk started well at The Shriners shooting rounds of 66,65 but then fell off the pace after a poor weekend. He did however have another good performance in Mexico finishing T7 at The OHL Classic last week which included an opening round 63.

He has played well here in the past with a T15 in 2010, a win in 2013, fourth in 2014 and T18 in 2015. He ranks 10th in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average, seventh in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. With a solid record here and good current form Kirk has to be one to watch here.

 

Kevin Chappell 20/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 20/1

Chappell had a great finish to the season finishing T3 at The WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T8 at The Deautsche Bank, which included a third round 64. He had another solid performance at The Tour Championship finishing second on 12 under par for the week after losing a playoff to the dominant Rory McIlroy. Chappell has started the season with two respectable performances at The CIMB finishing T45 and a T35 at the WGC HSBC Champions.

He has played well here especially over the last couple of years finishing eighth in 2014 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He improved on that again last year finishing second after shooting rounds of 66,65,68,67 to post 16 under par for the tournament. If he can get the putter going he could be a big danger man here.

 

Lucas Glover 33/1 

Glover is another player that looks to be in fine form coming into this event with two top 5’s in his last three tournaments. After a missed cut at The Safeway, Glover bounced back with a T5 at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 15 under for the tournament and didn’t shoot worse than a 70. He followed that with a solo third at The Shriners in Vegas where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to post 17 under in total.

He has a decent record here finishing T15 in 2011 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks 11th in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG, 16th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring. Glover looks to be good value here for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Cody Gribble 50/1

The Texan has been playing some fantastic golf so far this season with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a great win at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting rounds of 63,67,65 over the weekend to finish 20 under par beating nearest challenger Chris Kirk by an impressive four strokes. Last week in Mexico he had another solid week finishing T15 on 12 under par for the tournament.

This will be Gribble’s first appearance here at Sea Island which could be a course that could be right up his street. Statswise he ranks second in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average and 11th in par 4 scoring. This guy is in great form and could be one to keep an eye on this week.

 

 

 

Final Selections –

Chris Kirk 1pt EW 18/1

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 20/1 

Lucas Glover 0.5 pts EW 33/1 

Cody Gribble 0.5 pts EW 50/1 

Total staked = 6 pts 

All prices taken from PaddyPower who are paying 7 places. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

RSM Classic 2015 betting preview

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70

Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72 

The Courses

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.  It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.  This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.

The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.

The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 RSM Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 16/1

After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.

He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.

He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Patrick Rodgers 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 25/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.

 

Patton Kizzire 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 28/1

The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.

He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RSM Classic 2015

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.

He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.

 

Brendon de Jonge 50/1 RSM Classic

Brendon De Jonge 50/1

De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.

De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW

Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW

Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!

 

Doublebogey6

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The McGladrey Classic Betting Preview

McGladrey Classic

Seaside Course, Sea Island, Georgia
7,055 yards, Par 70

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where local resident Chris Kirk is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), and Chris Kirk (2013). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside Course has links style bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus for me this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole.

Webb Simpson 2

Webb Simpson 14/1
Webb had a great start to the new season last week at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting four rounds in the sixties to finish 15 under par and T4th for the week. He also had a good finish to the 2013/2014 season with a T5 at The Wyndham, T9 at The Deutsche Bank and a respectable T23 at The Tour Championship in East Lake.

Simpson has a great record here at The Seaside Course finishing T7 last year, second in 2011 losing to Ben Crane in a playoff and T12th in 2010. Last week Webb ranked second in GIR and GIR tee to green, 10th in par 4 birdie or better leaders and first in GIR from 75 yards and 100 yards. After a good week in Vegas combined with a great record here over the last few years, it’s hard to bet against Webb this week.

Bill Haas pic 1

Bill Haas 16/1
Haas played well towards the end of the season not finishing worse than T16 in his last five events. He finished T2 at The Wyndham which included a final round 64, a T15 at The Barclays, T9 at The Deutsche Bank, T16 at The BMW Championship and 16th place finish at The Tour Championship. Haas also has a good record at The Seaside course finishing second in 2010 in his one and only appearance.

He also ticks a lot of boxes statswise, ranking 15th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 38th in par 4 performance and third in par 5 performance last season. He also ranked sixth in GIR from 150 yards and eighth in proximity form the sand, which will be a big help if he gets himself into some of these tricky greenside and fairway bunkers. This could be an event where Haas could really flourish, especially after finishing the season so well recently.

Scott Brown Pic 1

Scott Brown 33/1
Scott Brown arrives to Sea Island this week with two top 12 finishes in his last two events. He started the season well at The Frys with a T12 finishing on ten under par for the tournament. He then followed that with another good performance in TPC Summerlin last week shooting a final round 66 to finish T10th on thirteen under par. In his previous two appearances here, Brown finished T20 in 2012 and T4 here last year.

So far this season he ranks 15th in strokes gained putting, 30th strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, fourth in par four scoring and 33rd in proximity to the hole. After starting the season well, I expect Brown to continue that good form this week in a weaker field.

Tony Finau pic 1

Tony Finau 50/1
Finau has been riding on the crest of a wave recently with five top 20 finishes, including two top 10’s, in his last six events. He finished the Web.com season well with good performances at The Hotel Fitness Championship (T19), The Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship (T6) and The Web.com Tour Championship finishing T14th. He has started his PGA Tour season exceptionally well with a T12 at The Frys and a T7 at The Shriners Open last week in Vegas.

Statswise he ranks 20th in GIR, fourth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 performance and 37th in par 4 birdie or better leaders. With a great start to the season, Finau could be one to watch here this week.

Robert Streb pic 1

Robert Streb 66/1
Streb is another player that as started the season well with a respectable T31 at The Frys and a T10 last week at The Shriners. He also had a good finish to the season with good performances at The Barracuda Championship (T14), The Wyndham (T18) and a T9 finish at The Deutsche Bank Championship.

He is also another player that seems to fit the bill in terms of stats. He ranks 35th in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring, 25th in total putting and 15th in approaches from 125-150, which is a big plus for approaches into the par 4’s. With a T10 last week, he’ll be arriving here with a lot of confidence and should have a good week.

Final Selections
Webb Simpson 2pts EW at 14/1
Bill Haas 2pts EW at 16/1
Scott Brown 1 pt EW at 33/1
Tony Finau 1 pt EW at 50/1
Robert Streb 1 pt EW at 66/1
Total staked = 14 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB

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