WGC HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week for its 12th year. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including Hideki Matsuyama, Jason Day and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014), Russell Knox (2015) and Hideki Matsuyama (2016).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways.

A mixture of length and accuracy will be advantageous here with around half of the par 4’s measuring 450 plus and two of the par 5’s measuring over 590 yards. The fairways are average width, undulating and tree lined with water coming into play on 11 holes.

The greens are elevated, undulating Bentgrass and are larger than average by Tour standards so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance and accuracy, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Marc Leishman 18/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 18/1

The Aussie came close to his third win in 12 months last weekend at the CJ Cup in Korea. He fired rounds of 66,72,71,70 getting into a playoff with FedExCup Champion Justin Thomas and ended up losing the second playoff hole and finishing second. He has played some great golf throughout this year with wins at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Bay Hill and the BMW Championship at the end of September in Conway Farms. Leishman has had four top 10’s, a win and a top 15 in his last nine starts and is no stranger to winning.

He had a great week at the Qucken Loans finishing T5 and followed that with a T6 at The Open, T13 at the PGA, solo third at the Dell Technologies Championship, a win at the BMW and a T24 at the Tour Championship. He has played well here in Shanghai in the past finishing solo ninth in 2014 which included two 69’s over the weekend and a T11 in 2015 shooting an impressive 65,68 on Saturday and Sunday.

Last season Leishman ranked 50th in both driving distance and GIR. He also ranked 37th in SGP, 15th in SGTTG and ranked in the top 20 for par 3, par 4 and par 5 scoring which all look hugely positive for this course. 18/1 looks decent value for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Ross Fisher WGC HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Ross Fisher 25/1

Fisher arrives in China this week in good form on the back of two second place finishes in his last two starts. He played very well at the Alfred Dunhill Links shooting rounds of 71,68,67 in the first three rounds and then caught fire in round four shooting a course record 61 around St Andrews on Sunday to finish solo second. The Englishman then travelled to Italy for the Open De Italia and shot four rounds of 68 or better including a final round 63 on Sunday to finish T2.

Fisher has a great record on this course over the last few years finishing sixth last year, third in 2015, T16 in 2010 and T28 in 2009. He has played well in Asia over the years finishing no worse than T16 at the Shenzhen International in his last three appearances including a T3 this year and a T6 at the China Open back in April.

Statswise he ranks 44th in driving distance averaging just over 300 yards off the tee and sixth in GIR. Fisher is a real horse for the course kind of player and clearly likes Sheshan. He looks a good shout here especially in the form he is in.

 

Tony Finau 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 33/1 

This is will be the big hitting American’s first WGC event this week in China and it comes a course that could really suit him. Finau has been playing some great golf lately and finished the 2016/17 season off with four top 10 finishes from the Greenbrier to the Tour Championship. He finished T7 at the Greenbrier shooting four rounds of 69 or better and followed that with a T27 at The Open and a T5 in Canada which included another four rounds in the 60’s.

Finau had a great finish to the FedExCup Playoffs finishing T7 at the BMW and another T7 at the Tour Championship at East Lake. He has had a great start to the new season finishing T2 at the Safeway and followed that with a respectable T26 last week in the CJ Cup and looks primed and ready for a big performance.

Staswise he ticks the boxes here ranking 16th in driving distance averaging an impressive 316 off the tee which is a big plus taking on these makeable par 5’s. He also ranks 24th in SGP and 13th in par 5 scoring. Although this is his first appearance here Finau has the game and the ball striking to go well.

 

Top 20 Double –

Matt Fitzpatrick/Brice Garnett @ 5.7/1

Matt Fitz has the ideal mix of great current form and good history on this course. After winning the European Masters last month he has continued on an upward curve finishing T11 at the British Masters, T15 at the Alfred Dunhill and a T15 last week in Italy. He has a great record here finishing T7 in 2015 and T16 last year.

Brice Garnett is looks in fine fettle coming into this week with two wins and five top 20’s in his last 10 starts on the Web.com Tour. He won the Utah Championship and followed that with another win which came at the Portland Championship at the end of August. He has played here twice before missing the cut last year but posting a T9 in 2015.

 

Final selections – 

Marc Leishman 1pt EW 18/1 

Ross Fisher 0.5pts EW 25/1

Tony Finau 0.5pts EW 33/1 

Top 20 Double 1pt EW

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week which has been the host venue of this event over the last number of years. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including FedExCup champion Rory McIlroy, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014) and Russell Knox (2015).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. Length will be an advantage here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 20/1 

The Swede has been battling injury post Ryder Cup with his right knee but looks back to full fitness here. He played superb in The Ryder Cup and took US Superstar Jordan Spieth apart in the singles on Sunday driving and putting beautifully. He hasn’t played much over the last few weeks but played with huge dominance at the Open shooting rounds 68,65,68,63 to beat his nearest challenger Phil Mickelson by three strokes. He followed that with a T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio at The Olympics.

Stenson has a good record here in Sheshan finishing ninth in ’07, fifth on ’08, ninth in ’09, 13th in ’10, 24th in ’14 and 11th last year. He has the mix of accuracy and distance ranking first in SG approach to the green, 16th in SGP and first in GIR. If he is back fit and healthy I expect Henrik to have a solid week here at a venue that should suit his game.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite a poor finish last week in Malaysia, Patrick Reed has been playing some great golf over the last few weeks and was superb in the Ryder Cup particularly against Rory McIlroy in the singles. Reed finished T51 last week at The CIMB Classic which was his first finish outside the top 25 in 11 starts. After a fantastic win at The Barclays, Reed followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank, T13 at The BMW and a T24 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here in the past finishing seventh last year and 22nd in 2014. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG around the green, eighth in scrambling, 22nd in par 3 scoring and tenth in par 5 scoring. He looks a generous price here this week and could have a good week.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 40/1 

The defending champion finished off the season well and comes here in decent form. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW. He had a brilliant week here last year shooting 67,65,68,68 to finish 20 under par in total beating his closest challenger Kevin Kisner by two strokes.

Knox is one of the most accurate players on tour ranking eighth in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR and 34th in par 4 scoring. If he putts well he could have a great chance here.

 

Alexander Levy 80/1

The Frenchman looks extremely overpriced here this week considering his current form and excellent record in China. Levy won the 2014 China Open and finished third the following year and was runner up at the 2014 BMW Masters which he should’ve won if it weren’t for a disastrous final round 78. He played well at The Sheshan International this year on the European Tour finishing fourth. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T18 at The European Masters, T7 at The Italian Open, a win at The European Open and a T4 at The British Masters.

He has only played this event once finishing T14 in 2014 and could have the game to suit this course. With a great record here in China over the last few years and a promising debut here in 2014 Levy looks fantastic value here.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 20/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 33/1

Russell Knox 0.5pt EW 40/1

Alexander Levy 0.5pt EW 80/1

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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