John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016

John Deere Classic 2016 Betting Preview TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois

7,268 yards, par 71

Over the years some big names have dominated this event with Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson all winning here in Illinois. TPC Deere Run is a 7,268 yard par 71 and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s with the average winning score being roughly 18 under par.

With the three par 5’s all reachable in two and the fairly easy par 4’s, there will be a lot of birdies on offer, which explains the extremely low scoring over the years. The course sits along rolling woodlands alongside a rock river and has some small ponds and ravines. It also has rolling fairways that are quite generous off the tee so driving accuracy won’t be hugely important. Of the top 10 finishers last year, eight of them ranked inside the top 15 in GIR, six were inside the top 20 in strokes gained putting and eight were in the top 20 in scrambling. When Jordan Spieth won last year he putted superbly well all week and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting. With previous winners being Zach Johnson, Steve Stricker and Jordan Spieth it would appear that good putters seem to excel around TPC Deere Run.

The course has undergone elevation changes on several holes. The 14th is a downhill par 4 measuring just 358 yards and can be driveable in the right conditions. There is also water present on five holes, but shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the players. This course is relatively easy but will demand good putting and accurate approach shots in order to make birdies. The key stats to look at here are par 4 scoring, strokes gained putting, GIR, previous form and current form.

 

Zach Johnson 6/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Zach Johnson 6/1

It’s hard to see past Zach Johnson here especially in this particularly weakened field. His record around TPC Deere Run is ridiculously good with a win in 2012, second in 2009, third in 2011, second in 2013, second in 2014 and a third here last year. Johnson is also playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last six starts. He finished T17 in Colonial recently and followed that with a T8 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The Open Championship in Troon.

Statswise he ranks 38th in strokes gained putting, 34th in scrambling and 24th in par 3 scoring. With a lot of key players either at The Olympics or taking the week off, Zach is a worthy favourite here and should be the man to beat.

 

Daniel Summerhays 22/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Summerhays 22/1

Summerhays has been in fine form lately with seven top 25’s in 11 starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open at the end of April finishing T13 and followed that with a T14 at The Wells Fargo, T23 at The Players, T8 at The US Open in Oakmont, T21 at The Quicken Loans, solo third at The PGA and a T11 last week at The Travelers.

He has a good record here at TPC Deere Run finishing T8 last year, T13 in 2014 and T4 in 2013. Statswise he ranks eighth in strokes gained putting and 31st in par 5 scoring. With excellent current form and a good record here Summerhays could have a good week here.

 

Gary Woodland 28/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Gary Woodland 28/1

Big hitting Gary has been playing well over the last few months with eight top 30’s in 11 starts. He had a good week in New Orleans finishing T20 and followed that with a T24 at The Wells Fargo, T28 at The Players, T12 at The Byron Nelson, T4 at Memorial, T21 at The Quicken Loans, solo second at The Barracuda and a T12 at The Open in Troon.

He has only played this event twice with his best finish coming in 2010 with a T21. Statswise he ranks 15th in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in driving distance, 27th in GIR and 31st in par 4 scoring. With a weakened field Woodland could take full advantage here and be right in contention come Sunday.

 

Robert Streb 33/1 John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2016Robert Streb 33/1

I’ve been keeping one eye on Streb over the last few weeks as he seems to be coming back to some good form. He had a respectable T28 at The Wells Fargo and followed that with a T20 at Memorial, T21 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The PGA Championship which included a third round 63.

He has played well here in the past finishing T14 last year and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 in four rounds. He also finished T22 in 2013 which included three rounds in the 60’s. Streb tends to play well this time of year and could keep his good form going this week at TPC Deere Run.

 

Steve Wheatcroft 80/1

The American has had a pretty unflattering season so far but has played exceptionally well in the last four weeks. He had a great week at The Barracuda Championship finishing T5 and followed that with a T20 at The Barbasol and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the tournament. He then had another great performance at The RBC Canadian Open shooting 68,77,64,69 on his way to another T5. If it weren’t for that slight blemish in the second round in Canada it could’ve been a different story for Wheatcroft.

His best finish at TPC Deere Run came here last year when he finished T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 through four rounds to finish 16 under par in total. If he keeps that momentum going into this week he could be a big contender at a decent price.

 

Final Selections – 

Zach Johnson 2pts EW 6/1 

Daniel Summerhays 1pt EW 22/1 

Gary Woodland 1pt EW 28/1 

Robert Streb 1pt EW 33/1 

Steve Wheatcroft 1pt EW 80/1 

Total Staked = 12pts 

PaddyPower paying 7 places 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like my page www.facebook.com/Doublebogey6

 

John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2015

John Deere Classic Betting Preview 2015

TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois

7,268 yards, par 71

Over the years, some big names have dominated this event namely the in form Jordan Spieth, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson. TPC Deere Run is a 7,268 yard par 71 and has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s with the average winning score being roughly 18 under par. With the three par 5’s all reachable in two and the fairly easy par 4’s, there will be a lot of birdies on offer, which explains the extremely low scoring over the years. The course sits along rolling woodlands alongside a rock river and has some small ponds and ravines.  It also has rolling fairways that are quite generous off the tee so driving accuracy won’t be hugely important.

The course has undergone elevation changes on several holes. The 14th is a downhill par 4 measuring just 358 yards and can be drivable in the right conditions. There is also water present on five holes, but shouldn’t pose too much of a problem for the players. This course is relatively easy but will demand good putting and accurate approach shots in order to make birdies. The key stats to look at here are approaches from 125-150, par 4 scoring, strokes gained putting, GIR, previous history and current form.

 

Zach Johnson John Deere Classic 9/1

Zach Johnson 9/1

There is no other player in the field with a better record at TPC Deere Run than Zach Johnson. He has a win here in 2012, second last year, second in 2013, third in 2011 and second again in 2009. He has been showing some great form recently finishing solo sixth at The Travelers, solo fifth at the Byron Nelson, T19 in Colonial and T13 at The Players Championship in Sawgrass.

Johnson also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking ninth in driving accuracy, 16th in strokes gained tee to green, 10th in approaches from 50-125 yards and 17th in approaches from 150-175, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a great history here, Johnson is playing well enough to record his second win here at TPC Deere Run this week.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 John Deere Classic

Kevin Kisner 16/1

We came close to landing Kisner at 30/1 last week at The Greenbrier, where he sadly lost in a playoff to David Hearn and Danny Lee. Despite that, he played very well in the final round shooting a superb final round 64. That sadly makes him 0/3 in playoffs this season, however a win doesn’t look to far away and it could very well come this week at TPC Deere Run, where he finished in a respectable T20 last year.

Kisner has a further five top 12’s in his last seven starts and lost two playoffs against, the first of which came at The RBC Heritage losing to Jim Furyk and second was at The Players Championship losing to Rickie Fowler. He followed that with a T5 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial, which included three 67’s and a 69. He then finished T8 at The Memorial and followed that with a T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay.

Staswise he ranks 18th in driving accuracy, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 14th in approaches from 225-250, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. He also ranks 10th in scrambling, 24th in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 27th in par 5 scoring. With great current form and missing out on three playoffs recently, this could be the week Kisner gets his long awaited win.

 

Brian Harman 33/1 John Deere Classic

Brian Harman 33/1

The 2014 champion comes here in good form this week after playing well recently at The Travelers finishing solo third and was unlucky not to win. He was very steady throughout the week shooting rounds of 66,65,65,69 to finish 15 under for the tournament. Harman also played well at The Crowne Plaza Invitational recently shooting rounds of 68,66,69,68 to finish T10 on nine under for the week.

He also played well at The Players finishing T8. He has played well here in the past with a win here last year and a T19 finish in 2012. Harman ranks 49th in strokes gained putting and ninth in approaches from 250 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With good previous performances here and decent current form, Brian Harman is great value here at 33/1.

 

Tony Finau 33/1 John Deere Classic

Tony Finau 33/1

Finau has easily been one of the most consistent players on tour over the last few weeks and looks to be right on the cusp of a win any day now. He put together another steady week at The Greenbrier last week finishing T13 on ten under par for the tournament. Finau also had another respectable performance at The Travelers, where he finished T25. He has been very consistent finishing inside the top 25 in seven of his last eight starts. He played well at Chambers Bay finishing T14, T8 at Memorial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T19 at Colonial and T16 at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow.

He ranks seventh in driving distance,33rd in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in approaches from 150-175, 32nd in approaches from 75-100 and 35th in par 4 scoring. He also ranks 43rd in par 5 scoring and 47th in par 3 scoring. Finau is on a great run of form and I don’t see any reason why that shouldn’t continue here this week.

Final Selections –

Zach Johnson 9/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Brian Harman 33/1 1pt EW

Tony Finau 33/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6