Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018The Courses:   

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

Torrey Pines sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. There are two courses played this week both of which were designed by William F. Bell.  

The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,698 yard par 72. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course where Tiger Woods beat Rocco Mediate in a playoff. The man himself makes his 2018 debut this week on a course he has so many good memories on with seven wins in total. The question is, will punters be backing him at 22/1?  

North Course 7,258 Yards, par 72  

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get windy.  

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.  

South Course 7,698 Yards, par 72   

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be pose a much stiffer challenge than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and will certainly favour the longer hitters on TOUR.  

The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than the North Course but length and power will be a huge advantage.    

The main stats to consider are good poa annua putters, driving distance, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. The total driving stat is also important, as missing the fairway can be extremely costly. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.   

 

Jon Rahm 15/2 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Jon Rahm 15/2  

Rahm is in fine fettle and comes back to the site of his first PGA Tour title where he won by three strokes last year after holing a phenomenal 60ft putt for an eagle on the 18th green. The Spaniard has been playing superb over the last three or four months finishing 3,4,5,7,1 in his last five events of the season including a win at the DP World in Dubai in November.  

He comes here on the back of a second and a win so far in 2018 and even though he’s a measly 15/2, I’m still willing to nail my colours to the mast based on the fact that I think this course is right up his street.  

Only for the fact that he missed a few putts on Saturday in round three, he would’ve won by three or four last week in California. He played well throughout the week and opened with a very impressive 62 and followed that with two more 67’s and a 70 in round three. He played very solidly the week before in Kapalua finishing solo second which included a 67,69 over the weekend.    

Rahm looks very well suited to this course averaging just under 300 yards off the tee. He ranks sixth in SGTTG, fifth in SG off the tee, 23rd in scrambling and first in par 5 scoring. All in all its hard to bet against the in-form Spaniard here.    

 

Tony Finau 33/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Tony Finau 33/1  

Tony has been a player I’ve kept in mind for this event over the last few weeks. He has been playing well since the start of the season back in October with form figures of 32,16,11,26,2 in his last five starts. At the Safeway Open back in October, Finau shot rounds of 70,65,71,69 to post 13 under par to finish solo second. He followed that with a T26 at the CJ Cup, T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions in China and a T16 at the Shriners Open in Vegas which included three 69’s in a row.  

Finau started 2018 off with a respectable T26 at the Sony Open in Hawaii which included three 67’s. He is no stranger to playing well on tough, windy courses over the last few years finishing T9 in Kapalua last year, T27 at the Open in Birkdale last year, T18 at the Open in 2016 in Troon and a win at the blustery Puerto Rico Open in 2016.  

He has a good record here in Torrey Pines finishing T24 in 2015, T18 in 2016 and T4 last year. Big hitting Tony ticks the boxes here averaging just under 330 off the tee ranking second in driving distance. He also ranks ninth in SGTTG, eighth in SG approaches to the green and 18th in par 5 scoring. At 33’s he looks great value here.  

 

Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Ollie Schneiderjans 40/1 

The big hitting youngster arrives to California after taking a week off last week and should be feeling nicely fresh. He has been in great form over the last few weeks finishing 17,23,19,MC,7 in his last five starts. He had a good week at the Safeway Open finishing T17 and followed that with a T23 at the CIMB Classic and a T19 at the CJ Cup in Korea.  

In his first event of 2018 he started strongly with a T7 at the Sony open in Hawaii shooting rounds of 66,65,67,68 on his way to a 14 under par total.   

Schneiderjans has shown he can play well on windy setups finishing second in Sedgefield CC last year at the Wyndham Championship where he was 1 stroke behind the winner Henrik Stenson. He also finished 12th at the Open in St Andrews in 2015 and finished third in Harbour Town at the RBC Heritage last April so he’s no stranger to windy courses.  

He played very solid here last year where he shot two 69’s and two 71’s to finish T9 on eight under for the tournament. Statswise he is averaging 306 off the tee (31st in driving distance) which is a big plus especially for the South Course. Given he is playing well and clearly has good form on exposed courses, Schneiderjans looks worth chancing here at 40/1.

 

Kyle Stanley 50/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2018Kyle Stanley 50/1  

Stanley has been having a good season so far and is a real horse for the course here at Torrey Pines. He has gone 21,19,5,30,10 in his last five starts and looks to be trending in the right direction.  

He started the season with a respectable T21 at the CIMB Classic and followed that with a T19 at the CJ Cup. The American had a great week at the WGC-HSBC Champions at the tricky SheshanGC back in November finishing T5 on eight under par in total shooting rounds of 71,68,69,72.    

Stanley then started 2018 in Kapalua at the Sentry TOC where he didn’t seem to take to the course finishing last in 30th, but he did bounce back well with an impressive T10 at The Sony. He started with an opening round 64 and followed that with 67,65,71 to post 13 under.  

Stanley has a good record in Torrey over the last few years and came close to victory in 2012.He had a healthy three shot lead on the 18th tee and ended up taking a disappointing triple bogey after finding water short of the 18th green and went on to lose a playoff to Brandt Snedeker. Despite that collapse, Stanley seems to like this course finishing T25 in 2016 and T14 last year and looks great value to have a good week here.  

 

 

Final selections – Most bookmakers paying 7 places  

Jon Rahm 1pt EW 

Tony Finau 1pt EW 

Ollie Schneiderjans 0.5pts EW 

Kyle Stanley 0.5pts EW 

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.  

 

Doublebogey6 

 

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Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017 Betting PreviewThe Course: 

Torrey Pines GC, San Diego, California

This week, the PGA Tour travels to Torrey Pines for The Farmers Insurance Open. It sits on the coastal cliffs overlooking the Pacific Ocean in the community of La Jolla, just south of Torrey Pines State Reserve. Brandt Snedeker won in dramatic fashion last year when the tournament went to a Monday finish due to a weather delay. He went around in 69 in unbearable wet and windy conditions on Sunday beating KJ Choi by one single stroke.

There are two courses played here this week.

Both the North and South courses were designed by William F. Bell. The South Course was redesigned by Rees Jones in 2001, and is now 7,607 yard par 72. Since the late 1960s, Torrey Pines has hosted the Farmers Insurance Open. The tournament uses both courses for the first two rounds and the South Course for the final two rounds. It hosted the 2008 U.S. Open on the South Course, which was won by Tiger Woods in a playoff.

Here’s a more in depth look at the courses.

North Course 6,874 Yards, par 72

This is the easier of the two courses and roughly measures around 550 yards less than The South Course. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par fours. It is situated along the coastal cliffs of the Pacific Ocean and has a tendency to get a bit windy.

The fairways are a narrower and will be tricky to hit so driving accuracy will be a big plus. The greens on both courses are poa annua greens, which tends to get a bit bumpy as the day goes on so good poa annua putters will be worth considering.

South Course 7,607 Yards, par 72 

The South Course is played in three of the four rounds and tends to be a lot more difficult than the North course. It has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and is also prone to windy conditions. The fairways here are a little wider and more forgiving than The North Course, but length and power will be required here, which will favour the bigger hitters in the field. There a more hazards guarding the greens so good scramblers could also be worth considering.

The main stats to consider here are good poa annua putters, par 4 scoring, good current form and good previous form on this course. There are a lot of slopes and greenside bunkers around the greens so good GIR and scrambling stats will be required.

 

Brandt Snedeker Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 22/1 

Snedeker has been in good form in the early part of this season. He missed the cut at the Sony but played well in Kapalua the week before finishing in a respectable T14 on 12 under par for the week. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win at the Fiji International at the start of October and then went on to finish T6 in The Bahamas at The Hero World Challenge. He had another good performance with partner Jason Dufner at The Franklin Templeton Shootout finishing solo eighth on 20 under par in total.

He has a great record here in Torrey Pines and played superb in unbearable conditions last year shooting a final round 69 to beat his nearest challenger, Korean KJ Choi by one stroke. Snedeker has two wins (2016 and 2012) and five top 10’s in 10 appearances here. He ranks 23rd in GIR and seventh in scrambling so far this season and looks a good shout here to have another good week here.

 

Jimmy Walker 25/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Jimmy Walker 25/1

Walker seems to be back fit and healthy after a short illness at the Sony a couple of weeks ago and has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months. He played well at The World Cup of Golf at the end of November finishing T2 with fellow American Rickie Fowler and followed that with a T13 at The Hero World Challenge, which could have been better if it weren’t for a final round 73. Walker then started the New Year in style opening with a 65 in the first round of the SBS Tournament of Champions where he finished T9 on 14 under for the tournament.

He is another player with a great record in Torrey Pines with four top 10’s in his last five appearances. He was right in the mix going into the final round last year and managed a final round 77 to finish T4 in very tough wet and windy conditions. He finished T7 in 2015, T4 in 2013 and T8 in 2012. Statswise he ranks 14th in SG Approaches to the green, 28th in GIR and has great form playing on similar open, windy courses like Waialae and Pebble Beach. If Walker can get the putter rolling he could have a good chance here.

 

Pat Perez 80/1 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Pat Perez 80/1 

With the exception of a poor final round at the Sony, Pat has been playing well recently with a win and two top 10’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Shriners Open in Vegas where he finished 15 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He then went on to win the OHL Classic at Myakoba on 21 under, which included an impressive third round 62. He had another good week in Kapalua finishing T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions after shooting a final round 67.

Perez is another player that has a decent history here with one top five and three top 25’s in his last six appearances. Statswise he ranks 25th in SG around the green, fourth in par 5 scoring and 24th in birdie average. For a guy bang in form, Perez could be a good each way shout at a big price.

 

Martin Laird Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview 2017Martin Laird 50/1

With an open, windy, “Linksy” setup, this could be right up the Scot’s street. Laird has had a decent start to the season with three top 15’s and a top 30 in his last four starts. He started with a top 10 at The Safeway Open back in October finishing T8 on 14 under for the tournament, which included three rounds in the 60’s. He followed that with a T27 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and a T13 at The OHL Classic. Laird’s first event of 2017 came last week at The CareerBuilder Challenge where he finished in a respectable T9 on 14 under for the week.

Martin has a good record here at Torrey with two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He finished T8 last year and shot a 77 in horrible conditions in the final round and posted a T7 in 2015 which included three round sin the 60’s. Statswise he ranks sixth in SG Approaches to the green, ninth in SGTTG, sixth in par 3 scoring and 18th in par 4 scoring.

 

Final Selections –

Brandt Snedeker 22/1 1pt EW

Jimmy Walker 25/1 0.5pts EW

Pat Perez 80/1 0.5 pts EW

Martin Laird 50/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

Doublebogey6

 

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