PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017 – Quail Hollow

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina  

7,600 yards, Par 71

The Course 

Quail Hollow is the host course of the Wells Fargo Championship since 2003 and is a tough test measuring a lengthy 7,600 yards. Previous winners here include Brian Harman (2017), James Hahn (2016), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010) J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012) and Lucas Glover (2011). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003. 

The course has undergone some fairly big changes in preparation for this event and promises to a little more challenging than in previous years. They greens have had some major surgery changing from bentgrass to Bermuda. A lot of trees have also been removed to allow for more sunlight to hit the greens and re-shape the golf course. Some of the opening holes have had some renovations done with the old first and second being brought together and posing as a testing 540 yard par 4. The fifth has been changed from a par 5 to a par 4, the eighth hole is now a driveable 340 yard par 4 and the second hole is now a new par 3. The 11th hole has been lengthened and had some extra bunkers added to it.

Length looks to be a huge advantage along with hitting plenty of greens. The main stats that stand out here are driving distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.  

 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 

Matsuyama was outstanding last Sunday in the final round in Firestone shooting a flawless 61 to win his second WGC title and his third PGA Tour win this season. Its hard to find any fault in any part of his game from driving it bullet straight to stitching his approach shots and holing everything on the greens.

His form has been pretty good this season and he seems to be really heating up lately with a win, a top five and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a great week in Erin Hills finishing T2 at the US Open after an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T14 at The Open Championship in Royal Birkdale and seemed to be striking the ball very well but missed a few putts. Matsuyama won in Phoenix earlier this year which also has Bermuda greens so that looks to be a big positive for this weeks venue.

His record around Quail Hollow is decent finishing T38 in 2014, T20 in 2015 and 11th last year. Statswise he ranks 22nd in driving distance averaging just over 304 off the tee. He also ranks sixth in GIR, first in par 5 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. He is the man in form coming to the PGA this week and it could be his time to win his first major.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie Fowler is another player in fine form coming into this week and has to be respected here. He has four top 10’s in his last six starts three of which were top fives. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at The US Open and a T3 at the Quicken Loans National which included a 68,65 over the weekend. He then travelled to Birkdale and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish a respectable T22. Last week at the WGC Bridgestone, Fowler was steady as a rock throughout the week shooting 70,71,67,66 on his way to a solo ninth.

He has a good record here in Quail Hollow getting his first PGA Tour win here in 2012. He also finished T6 in 2010 and T4 last year. Fowler is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 32nd in driving distance, 36th in GIR, first in SG putting and fifth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history on this course, Fowler looks another big contender here.

 

Daniel Berger 60/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 60/1

I am sticking to my guns and backing Berger for the second week running here. He has been in great form lately with a win and two top 5’s in his last six starts. He had a great week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting two 66’s to win by one. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where he lost in a dramatic playoff to Jordan Speith. He then traveled to TPC Deere Run where he finished T5 at the John Deere Classic  which included an impressive third round 63.

Berger has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T28 in 2015. He has played well in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T10 in Augusta last year, T27 at the Masters this year and a T27 at The Open in Birkdale. Statswise he ranks 44th in GIR, 26th in SG putting, 24th in SGTTG, 18th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring.

 

Tony Finau PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 80/1 

When it comes to bombers, Tony Finau is up there with the longest on tour off the tee and this could be a course that suits his powerful game. He looks to be in great shape coming to Quail Hollow with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last four starts. He played well at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week to finish a respectable T17. He followed that with a T29 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The Greenbrier where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week. Finau then travelled to Royal Birkdale and finished in a respectable T27 at The Open and had a great performance in Canada a week later finishing T5 at the Canadian Open.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2015 and T28 last year. Finau is averaging just over 306 yards off the tee ranking sixth in driving distance, fifth in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 10th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With great current form, a long golf course and an average drive of over 300 yards, this course could set up well for big hitting Finau.

 

Xander Shauffele PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Xander Shauffele – Top 20 Finish – 4/1 

The young American has made quite an impression this season and looks to be playing some great golf lately. He had a good week at the US Open shooting rounds of 66,73,70,69 to finish T5 at Erin Hills in his first major appearance. He followed that with a T14 at the Travelers, a win at the Greenbrier Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69, a T20 at the Open Championship and a T13 in Firestone last week at the WGC Bridgestone.

Statswise Shauffele ticks alot of boxes here for Quail Hollow ranking 17th in driving distance averaging just over 305 off the tee. He also ranks 20th in GIR, 23rd in SG Putting and 10th in par 4 scoring. He has put together some huge performances in big events this season and with his length he looks a great bet for a top 20 this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 60/1 0.5pts EW

Tony Finau 80/1 0.5pts EW

Xander Shauffele Top 20 – 4/1 2pt win 

Total staked = 8pts 

*Most bookies paying 8 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Masters Betting Preview 2017

The Masters Betting Preview 2017Augusta National Golf Club, Augusta, Georgia  

Par 72, 7,435 yards  

The Course  

Augusta National is one of the most beautiful, eye catching golf courses on the planet and has seen so much emotion over the years. The first edition of the Masters held in 1934 and has seen many modifications since, with the most recent changes being made by Tom Fazio in 2002. Fazio mostly added length to the course and tightened up the fairways making it a long demanding test with very tricky greens and lots of run off areas.

The Masters was started by Clifford Roberts and Bobby Jones. Jones designed Augusta National with course architect  Alistair MacKenzie. The field of players is smaller than those of the other major championships because it is an invitational event, held by the Augusta National Golf Club.

This course measures just under 7,500 yards and will demand a mixture of power and accuracy. There are a few elements to consider at Augusta, the first is experience. Players that have played well here in the past tend to go well again, even more so if they are showing some good current form. The second element is a hot putter and a good short game. Augusta National’s teeth are its lightning fast greens with its tricky slopes and run off areas.

If a player misses the fairway at here, the key is to land the ball in the right part of the green with a high penetrated ball flight. If a player has a high ball flight with a draw, or a fade if you’re a lefty, that will be a big advantage. The main reason for this is that many of the holes in Augusta are dog legs so players that can shape the ball should score well.

Greens in regulation will be a key stat here along with approaches, strokes gained putting, scrambling, par 4 and par 5 scoring.

 

Jordan Spieth 7/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Jordan Spieth 7/1

I don’t know what it is about Augusta but it seems to really suit Jordan Spieth. Despite missing the cut last week in Houston, Spieth has been in great form with a win and five top 25’s in his last seven starts. He started 2017 off with a T3 at the SBS Tournament of Champions and followed that with a T9 in Phoenix, a win in Pebble Beach, T22 at The Genesis Open and a T12 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He has a superb record here with a win and two runner up’s in his last three appearances. Spieth was in the final group with Bubba Watson in 2014 and went on to lose by three which Spieth put down to lack of experience. He won by four strokes over Phil Mickelson in 2015 and played the par 5’s in 11 under par in total. He came agonisingly close to winning last year but had a major hiccup on the par 3 -12th which took him out of the running and ended up finishing second to Danny Willett.

Spieth ticks a lot of boxes for Augusta ranking third in GIR, first in SG Approaches to the green, 14th in SGTTG and 39th in strokes gained putting. I think missing the cut last week could work out in Jordan’s favour giving him an extra couple of days to prepare. He will have a big point to prove after last year which could be a big motivator.


Rickie Fowler 22/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 22/1

Granted, this one is a bit of a risk but I think it’s one worth taking on Rickie Fowler here. Fowler is playing decent golf lately and as I mentioned in my preview last week, he got the psychological relief of a win in Florida a couple of weeks ago at the Honda Classic which takes some of the pressure off a bit. He has been in good form so far this year with a T3 at the Hero World Challenge, T4 in Phoenix, T16 at the WGC Mexico, solo 12th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T3 last week in Houston. In Houston he led the SGTTG, SG approaches to the green and total birdies and was in the top 5 in GIR and putts per GIR, which are very favourable stats coming into this week.

Despite missing the cut last year, Fowler has played well here finishing fifth in 2014 and 12th in 2015. He ranks 20th in GIR and ninth in strokes gained putting this season, two important stats for the lively greens of Augusta National.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Justin Rose 25/1

The Englishman has been playing some great golf recently has been slipping under the radar lately. He has only finished outside the top 15 twice in his last seven starts including three top 10’s. He had a good week at the Sony finishing solo second and followed that with a T4 in Torrey Pines, T4 at The Genesis Open, T13 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a respectable T15 last week in Houston.

Rose has a good record here with form figures 5,36,20,11,8,25,14,2,10 in his last nine appearances in Augusta. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG off the tee, 19th in SG Around the green, 11th in SGTTG and 25th in driving distance. With great current form and a good record here, Rose could be a big danger man here if he putts well.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 50/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Louis Oosthuizen 50/1

The South African has been in mixed form recently but played super golf earlier in the year. He had a good week at the World Super 6 in Perth in February finishing solo fifth and didn’t shoot worse than a 69 in three rounds. He followed that with a solo third at the Phoenix Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament which included a pair of 65’s. Most recently he then travelled to Florida and finished a respectable T21 at the Honda Classic and a T28 in Bay Hill.

Oosthuizen has played well here over the last five years finishing second in 2012, 25th in 2014, 19th in 2015 and 15th last year. He ranks 21st in SG off the tee and 21st in SGTTG so far this season and could be another player with a decent chance here.

 

Matt Fitzpatrick The Masters Betting Preview 2017 Matt Fitzpatrick 60/1

The young Englishman has been playing well over the last few months. He won the European Tour finale, the DP World Championship in Dubai back in November beating fellow in form countryman Tyrell Hatton by one stroke. His good form continued when he returned to Dubai, this time for the Desert Classic finishing T5 on 12 under par for the tournament. Fitzpatrick then went over to the other side of the pond posting a T16 at the WGC Mexico Championship and a T13 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational. Last year was his second appearance in Augusta but the first appearance as a pro and he finished T7 after shooting a superb final round 67. He played as an amateur in 2014 and ended up narrowly missing the cut.

Statswise he looks like another player that could suit this course ranking fourth in strokes gained putting, ninth in sand saves and 19th in GIR (European Tour) and 19th in par 5 scoring. He comes to Augusta in much better form this time around and could go well at a generous price.

 

Marc Leishman 60/1 The Masters Betting Preview 2017Marc Leishman 60/1

I’ve had Marc Leishman in mind for the Masters ever since he won in Bay Hill a couple of weeks ago. He has been playing very steady golf this year and only finished outside the top 25 twice in his last ten tournaments. He played very well at the CIMB in Malaysia finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T24 at the OHL Classic, T9 at the World Cup of Golf, back to back T20’s at the Sony and Torrey Pines and a T24 in Phoenix.

The Aussie then shot rounds of 71,66,71,69 to win by one from Charley Hoffman and Kevin Kisner at the Arnold Palmer Invitational where he led GIR and was second in strokes gained putting for the week. Leishman also played well at the WGC Matchplay and got the last 16 but was beaten by Phil Mickelson. Statswise the Aussie ranks third in strokes gained putting, 14th in scrambling, second in par 3 scoring, 19th in par 5 scoring and ninth in 3 putt avoidance. Good value for a guy bang in form.

 

Final selections – (PP 1/5 – 8 places)

Jordan Spieth 1pt EW 7/1

Rickie Fowler 1pt EW 22/1

Justin Rose 0.5pts EW 25/1

Louis Oosthuizen 0.5pts EW 50/1

Matt Fitzpatrick 0.5pts EW 60/1

Marc Leishman 0.5pts EW 60/1

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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US PGA Championship Betting Preview 2016

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014Baltusrol Golf Club, Lower Course, Springfield, New Jersey

7,428 yards par 70

The Course

The Baltusrol Golf Club is a private 36-hole golf club in Springfield, New Jersey located about 30 km west of New York City. It was founded 121 years ago in 1895 by Louis Keller and was named after Baltus Roll, who farmed the land on which the club resides today.

In 1985, Baltusrol became the first club to have hosted both the U.S. Open and Women’s U.S. Open on two different courses. Both courses were originally designed by A. W. Tillinghast in 1918. The club’s original 9-hole course was designed by George Hunter in 1895, and expanded to 18 holes in 1898.  The first national championship on the Upper Course was the U.S. Open in 1936. Among the many major tournaments it has hosted, the club was most recently the site of the 2005 PGA Championship.

In 1948, Robert Trent Jones was retained to update and lengthen the Lower course for tournament play. The Lower course was lengthened again by his son Rees Jones in 1992 in preparation for the U.S. Open in 1993. He also updated and lengthened the Upper course in advance of the 2000 U.S. Amateur.

The course is spread out over rolling parkland with ponds and other man-made and natural hazards that come into play. It has four par 3’s, 12 par 4’s and only two par 5’s. The 4th hole and the 18th hole have ponds which will add a slight intimidation factor for the players. The three signature holes of the are the fourth, a par three of 194 yards where players must hit their ball over the pond to a two-tiered green; the seventeenth, a par five of 650 yards and the eighteenth, a par five of 533 yards which will be reachable in two for most of the field. The pond on the left hand side of the eighteenth has been made bigger since 2005 and could be a bit intimidating for the players with a draw or a fade for the leftys. Six of the par 4’s measure over 450 yards with the longest being the 505 yard 7th. The longest of the par 3’s is the 16th which measures a lengthy 230 yards.

This course is a tricky and lengthy par 70 with average size fairways. The rough looks like its going to be particularly penal so keeping it in the fairway will be advantageous. There will also be some tricky fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy looks to be important. The greens are quite small and sloppy so GIR will be one stat to pay particular attention to here along with good putting.

Phil Mickelson won here back in 2005 on a score of four under par. Other previous winners at Baltusrol include Jack Nicklaus and Lee Janzen.

 

Rory McIlroy 8/1 US PGA Championship 2016 Betting PreviewRory McIlroy 8/1

The more I look at Baltusrol the more I think it could be a great fit for Rory. He fought hard for a T5 finish at Troon and was a bit unlucky with the draw and the weather. Despite that he still shot rounds of 69,71,73,67 to finish four under par in total. Rory has been playing well over the last few weeks with a win and four top 5’s in his last seven events. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T4 and followed that with a win at The Irish Open, T4 at Memorial, solo third at The French Open and a T5 at The Open.

He has a superb PGA Championship record with two wins which came in Valhalla in 2014 and Kiawah Island in 2012, a third place finish in 2010, T8 in 2013 at Oak Hill and a T17 last year in Whisling Straits. He ranks first in strokes gained off the tee, third in strokes gained tee to green and 13th in driving distance. With a great record at this event and good current form Rory looks a good bet here and the pick of the favs.

 

Henrik Stenson 16/1 USPGA Championship 2016 Betting PreviewHenrik Stenson 16/1

After the heroics of Royal Troon a couple of weeks ago The Swede looks to have his game in superb shape coming to Baltustrol. He broke all sorts of records at The Open and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week posting an impressive 20 under par in total. He also had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has six top 25’s in his last nine starts and seems to be in the best form of his life. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win at The BMW International Open, a T13 in Castle Stuart and a win in Troon.

Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. He has played well in previous USPGA’s finishing 25th last year in Whistling Straits, third in 2014 in Valhalla and third in 2013 at Oak Hill. With Baltusrol demanding accuracy off the tee along with hitting plenty of greens this will be right up Stenson’s street and he could add a second major to his trophy cabinet this week.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 USPGA Championship 2016 Betting Preview Phil Mickelson 20/1

After going toe to toe with Stenson in Troon, Mickelson finished three strokes behind The Swede after shooting a superb final round 65 to finish solo second. He played great golf all week opening with an impressive 63 and followed that with a 69,70,65 over the weekend to finish 17 under par in total. Mickelson has been playing well this season with five top 30’s in his last seven starts. He played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T4 and followed that with a T20 in Memorial, T2 at The St Jude, T27 at The Bridgestone and a solo second at The Open.

He has won around Baltusrol in the past winning the 2005 USPGA Championship on four under par. He has a good record over the last few years finishing T12 in 2010 at Whistling Straits, T19 in 2011 in Athletic Club, second in 2014 in Valhalla and T18 last year in Whistling Straits. Statswise Phil ranks 16th in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in SGP, fist in par 3 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With being a previous winner here in Baltusrol, a decent record in USPGA Championships and a superb performance at Troon recently, Phil has to have a good chance here.

 

Zach Johnson 55/1 USPGA Championship 2016Zach Johnson 55/1

Although Johnson isn’t the biggest hitter on Tour he may have the edge here with his accurate driving and great putting. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished worse than T17 in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T17 and followed that with a T8 at The US Open, T10 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The Open Championship in Troon which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a third round 75. He has played well around Baltusrol before finishing T17 here in 2005.

He has decent PGA Championship form finishing third in 2010 at Whistling Straits and eighth in 2013 at Oak Hill. With great current form and a good performance here in ’05 Johnson is another player with a good chance here.

 

JB Holmes 66/1 USPGA Championship 2016J.B. Holmes 66/1

As we all know, J.B. can be a little bit unpredictable but after seeing his rather generous price I thought he was worth a look here. He played well in two of the last three majors finishing T4 in Augusta after a super final round 68, and solo third at The Open after shooting two 69’s over the weekend. He also finished T13 in Texas and T4 at Memorial recently after shooting 67,69 over the weekend so his current form is very good.

He finished T24 in Whistling Straits in 2010 and T24 again in Whistling Straits last year. Statswise he ranks second in driving distance and seventh in strokes gained off the tee which could be a big advantage around here. If he gets the putter rolling he could be one to watch here.

 

Jason Dufner 80/1 USPGA Championship 2016Jason Dufner 80/1

The 2013 Champion has had a decent season so far and seems to be returning to form lately with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has won already this season shooting 64,65,64,70 to win the CareerBuilder Challenge back in January. He played well at The Byron Nelson finishing T24 and followed that with a T6 in Colonial, T8 at The US Open and T22 at The Open Championship in Troon.

His USPGA record in quite impressive. He finished fifth in 2010 at Whistling Straits, second in 2011, T27 in 2012 in Kiawah and a win in 2013 at Oak Hill. Dufner looks to have the game that could suit this course ranking eighth in GIR, 23rd in strokes gained tee to green and 16th in par 4 scoring. For a guy that’s a good record in this event and is playing well he looks a tad overpriced here.

 

Final selections – 

Rory McIlroy 2pts EW 8/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5pts EW 16/1 

Phil Mickelson 1.5pts EW 20/1 

Zach Johnson 1pt EW 55/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 66/1

Jason Dufner 1pt EW 80/1 

Total staked = 16 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016

The Open Championship Betting Preview 2016 Royal TroonThe Old Course, Royal Troon Golf Club, Troon, South Ayrshire, Scotland

Par 71, 7,064 yards

The Course

The Open Championship is the oldest of the four majors and always takes place on a tricky links style setup in the month of July. The last time Troon hosted the Open Todd Hamilton was the surprise winner beating Ernie Els in a playoff.

Royal Troon Golf Club is a links golf course located in Troon, South Ayrshire, southwest of Glasgow. The club was founded 138 years ago in 1878, initially with five holes. George Strath was appointed in 1881 as the club’s first golf professional. Adjacent to the Firth of Clyde, Troon was granted its “Royal” accolade in 1978, during its centennial.

Past Open champions at Royal Troon include Justin Leonard, Mark Calcavecchia, Tom Watson, Tom Weiskopf, Arnold Palmer, Bobby Locke, and Arthur Havers. The last six Opens at Troon have been won by Americans.

The course has 11 par 4’s, 3 par 5’s and 4 par 3’s. The toughest holes at the 2004 Open were the par 4 eleventh and the par 5 sixth which measures a daunting 601 yards.

The teeth of this course are the blind bunkers off the tee, some of which are deep pot bunkers, the prevailing wind howling in off the coast and the penal gorse. Royal Troon is home to both the longest and shortest holes in Open Championship golf. Regarded as one of the top holes in the world, the par-3 8th hole “Postage Stamp” measures a short 123 yards, but its diminutive green measures a mere 420 square feet and can be difficult to hit if the wind gets up. The main areas to look at here are GIR, driving distance/accuracy, strokes gained putting and above all else previous Open/links experience.

Usually players that have played well in previous Opens and contended in majors over the last few years are the guys to keep an eye on here. Have no doubt about it, experience will be key.

 

Dustin Johnson 9/1 Open Championship 2016Dustin Johnson 9/1

What an incredible few weeks it’s been for DJ. He has played superb golf this season and comes to Troon this week after back to back wins at The US Open and The WGC Bridgestone. I noticed on Twitter last week Johnson played a round in Portmarnock Links and St Annes in Dublin getting in some practice for Troon and played very well apparently. The American has been in superb form recently finishing fourth in Riviera, third in Houston, T4 in Augusta, T12 at The Byron Nelson, third in Memorial, fifth at the St. Jude and back to back wins in Oakmont and Firestone.

His Open Championship CV is also quite good with a T14 in 2010 at St Andrews, second in 2011 at Royal St Georges, ninth in 2012 at Lytham and T12 at Hoylake in 2014. He led after two rounds in St Andrews last year but fell behind after a couple of 75’s over the weekend to finish T49. Johnson ranks second in driving distance, 30th in GIR, 38th in strokes gained putting, second in proximity to the hole and leads par 4 scoring. After playing with such dominance over the last few weeks, Johnson has to be the man to beat here.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Adam Scott 25/1

After back to back wins at The WGC Cadillac and The Honda Classic earlier this season not to mention his good current form, Scott could be one to watch here this week. The Aussie has been playing well lately with four top 20’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and followed that with a T12 at The Players, T18 at The US Open and a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone. He has been in Troon over the last week practicing and said on Sky Sports News his game “felt really good”.

Scott has a great Open Championship record finishing second in 2012 at Lytham & St Annes, third in 2013 in Muirfield, fifth in 2014 in Hoylake and T10 last year in St Andrews. He had a great chance to win in 2012 but his tee shot found a pot bunker just off the 18th fairway and Scott was left with no other option only to chip out sideways. This led to an unfortunate bogey and he ended up losing by one stroke to Ernie Els. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise here ranking first in SGTTG, 15th in driving distance, 23rd in GIR and sixth in proximity to the hole. With such a great record in The Open over the last few years Scott has a really good chance here.

 

Henrik Stenson 28/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Henrik Stenson 28/1

The Swede had a good week in Scotland finishing in a respectable T13 and recovered well after opening with a 76. Stenson has five top 25’s in his last eight starts and looks to have his game in great shape coming into this week. He played well in Houston finishing solo second and followed that with a T24 in Augusta, a T4 at The Nordea Masters, a win in Germany at The BMW International Open and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a mixed bag of results at The Open over the last few years but most notably finished third in 2010 in St Andrews and second in 2013 in Muirfield. Statswise he ranks first in driving accuracy, second in GIR and seventh in SGTTG. In 2013 Stenson finished T3 in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open and followed that up with a second place finish in Muirfield. Let’s hope history repeats itself here and Henrik goes one better this time around.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Branden Grace 30/1

Grace started well last week in Castle Stuart shooting 71,67 in the first two rounds but fell away over the weekend shooting a disappointing 74,71 to finish T29. However he has been in great form lately and had a great win at The RBC Heritage a few weeks ago. He followed that with a T5 in Oakmont at The US Open and a T10 in Firestone at The WGC Bridgestone. He won at the windy Doha Golf Club Qatar in 2014 and again earlier this year and is no stranger to windy conditions.

He has won on links style setups before winning the Alfred Dunhill Links in 2012, a second place finish in Castle Stuart at The Scottish Open in 2013 and a respectable T25 at The Alfred Dunhill Links 2014. He has played the Open four times in the past and his best finish was T20 last year in St Andrews but he could improve on that here in Troon. The South African ticks the boxes here ranking 20th in driving distance averaging just under 300 yards off the tee, 23rd in GIR and seventh in strokes gained putting. With a decent links CV and good current form Grace could be worth keeping on side here.

 

Martin Kaymer 45/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal TroonMartin Kaymer 45/1

The German has been playing very well recently and looks to have his game in great shape with five top 15’s in his last six starts. His good run began in Valderrama where he finished T6 at The Open De Espana in wet and windy conditions. He followed that with a T5 in The Irish Open at another wet and windy venue The K Club in Co. Kildare negotiating the conditions superbly finishing with a final round 65. Kaymer had another good week in Wentworth finishing T7 and the BMW PGA and followed that with a T5 at The Open De France and a T13 last week in Castle Stuart.

He has a good Open Championship record finishing T12 in St Andrews last year, T12 at Royal St Georges in 2011 and T7 at St Andrews in 2010. Kaymer has a decent links record winning The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2010 and finishing T7 at the same tournament in 2013. With excellent current form and a decent links record, Kaymer could be another danger man here at a decent price.

 

Graeme McDowell 80/1 Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Graeme McDowell 80/1

The Portrush man played well in Castle Stuart finishing T10 and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish nine under for the week. He has been showing glimpses of decent form finishing T9 at The Players Championship which included two 69’s over the weekend. He then followed that with a T27 at The BMW PGA in Wentworth and a T18 at The US Open in Oakmont. He won The OHL Classic at Mayakoba earlier this season at the windy El Camaleon in Mexico. Gmac has a decent record at The Open over the last few years finishing T9 in Hoylake in 2014, T5 in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 and T23 in St Andrews in 2010. He is another player with decent Links credentials finishing T19 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2015 and T3 in 2011 and winning the US Open around the windy Pebble Beach in 2010. McDowell is an accomplished links player and looks great value here at 80/1.

 

Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1 The Open Championship 2016 Royal Troon Nicolas Colsaerts 125/1

The Belgian bomber looked really impressive last week in Scotland especially on the back 9 on Sunday. He had four birdies and an eagle to card an impressive 30 strokes on the way in to finish T3 for the tournament. He has been playing well lately with seven top 25’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week in China finishing T15 and then followed that with a T3 in Mauritius, T23 at The Irish Open, T22 at The BMW PGA, solo third at The Nordea Masters, T22 at The Open De France and a T3 last week in Castle Stuart.

Colsaerts was one of four players to claim a spot for the Open in Scotland and has only played in three Open Championships before. Despite missing the cut at both St Andrews last year and Muirfield in 2013, he did play well in Lytham and St Annes in 2012 finishing an impressive T7 which included two 65’s. He has played well on links setups in the past finishing T3 in 2011 and T8 in 2013 in Castle Stuart, T19 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2012 and T9 at The Alfred Dunhill Links in 2011. Statswise he ranks 12th in driving distance averaging 301 yards off the tee and seventh in GIR hitting 75% of greens on average. If the Belgian heats up and makes a few putts he could be a big contender at a huge price.

 

Final selections –

Dustin Johnson 2.5pts EW 9/1

Adam Scott 1pt EW 25/1

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 28/1

Branden Grace 1pt EW 30/1

Martin Kaymer 1pt EW 45/1

Graeme McDowell 1pt EW 80/1

Nicholas Colsaerts 1pt EW 125/1

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2016

US Open Betting Preview 2016 OakmontOakmont Country Club, Pennsylvania

Par 70, 7,230 Yards

The Course

I’ve been doing some reading up on Oakmont and the general consensus is its very tough and going to be a huge test for the players. Daniel Berger tweeted last week “The rough is on steroids you can’t advance the ball 10 yards sometimes” which says it all really. This course last hosted the US Open back in 2007 where Angel Cabrera won on a score of +5. The course was designed by Henry Fownes and was opened 113 years ago in 1903. It straddles the Allegheny River Valley and uniquely has virtually no water hazards, and, since 2007, almost no trees. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The shortest hole is the par 3 13th measuring 183 yards. The longest hole is the par 5 12th measuring a lengthy 667 yards.

With a USGA course rating of 77.5 and some 200 bunkers it is generally regarded as one of the most difficult in the US. It features large, extremely fast, and undulating Poa annua grass greens.

The course is also noted for its slope. In particular, on holes 1, 3, 10, and 12, the greens pitch away from the fairway. One of Oakmont’s most famous hazards is the Church Pews bunker that comes into play on the 3rd and 4th holes. It measures approximately 100 by 40 yards (91 by 37 m) and features twelve grass covered traversing ridges that resemble church pews.

Arnold Palmer famously said “You can hit 72 greens in regulation in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning”. It seems the main areas of focus are negotiating these tricky greens. Making enough putts could be the key to winning around here along with GIR and a mix between power and accuracy.

 

Jaosn Day 7/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Jason Day 7/1

There is no other golfer on the planet playing as well as Jason Day at the moment. He has been playing superb golf over the last 12 months and looks to be a huge threat every time he tees it up lately. He had a great wire to wire win at Sawgrass at The Players Championship winning by four strokes from his nearest challenger Kevin Chappell. He got his first win of the season at the Arnold Palmer Invitational back in March and followed that with another win at the WGC Matchplay. He then finished T10 at The Masters, T23 at The RBC Heritage, T5 in New Orleans and a win in Sawgrass. He had a mediocre performance at Memorial finishing T27 and took a break last week.

Day has a great US Open record finishing eighth in Chambers Bay in 2015, fourth in Pinehurst in 2014, second in Merion in 2013 and second in Congressional in 2012. He seems to be a player with a complete game for this course and ranks first in strokes gained putting, second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 5 scoring and 20th in driving distance. With superb current form and a great all round game Day has to be the man to beat here.

 

Justin Rose 25/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Justin Rose 25/1

Despite taking a rest with a back injury over the last few weeks Justin Rose looks to be pain free according to his Twitter profile. He has been playing well over the last few weeks and has only finished outside the top 20 twice in his last nine starts. Rose played well in Pebble Beach back in February finishing T6 and followed that with a T16 at The Northern Trust Open, T17 at The WGC Cadillac, T9 at The Arnold Palmer and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters. More recently he finished T19 at The Players and solo third at The Wells Fargo and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 all week.

The Englishman has a good record in US Opens over the years finishing 27th in Chambers Bay last year, 12th in Pinehurst in 2014, a win in Merion in 2013 and a T21 in Olympic in 2012. Rose also played well in Oakmont in 2007 finishing T10 and comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks fifth in GIR and 18th in driving distance and if he stays injury free he could be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 33/1

Despite a poor performance at Memorial, Matsuyama has been playing well over the last couple of months and has four top 11’s in his last six starts. He had a great week in Sawgrass finishing T7 at The Players Championship. He had a good performance in Bay Hill finishing T6 and followed that with a T7 at The Masters and a T11 at The Wells Fargo.

He has played in three US Opens and hasn’t finished worse than T35. He finished 18th in Chambers Bay, T35 in Pinehurst in 2014 and T10 in Merion in 2013 . He ranks 14th in GIR, seventh in par 4 scoring, 25th in par 5 scoring and third in strokes gained around the green. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and could be a big contender here.

 

Brooks Koepka 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 50/1 

Brooks played great last week at The St.Jude shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T2. He also came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds but lost in a playoff to Sergio Garcia after shooting a final round 71. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has played well in his two previous US Open appearances finishing 18th last year in Chambers Bay and fourth in Pinehurst in 2014.

Kopeka is one of the biggest hitters on tour averaging 305 off the tee and ranks ninth in driving distance. He also ranks sixth in strokes gained around the green and seventh in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and could have the game to suit a tricky Oakmont setup.

 

Patrick Reed 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 50/1

With six top 15’s in his last nine starts Patrick Reed’s game looks in great shape to take on mighty Oakmont. He had a good week at The Valspar finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at the WGC Matchplay, T10 in Houston and a solo second in Texas. More recently he finished T15 at Colonial which included a 65,69,69 the first three rounds capped off with a final round 71 to post six under for the week. He had another good performance at Memorial finishing T8 which also included three rounds in the 60’s.

Reed has played in two US Opens and he seems to be getting better every time he plays. He finished T14 in Chambers Bay last year and had a respectable T35 at Pinehurst in 2014. He also looks good statistically ranking 51st in driving distance, 13th in SGTTG and first in strokes gained around the green. He also ranks fourth in scrambling and 14th in par 5 scoring. He looks good value to have a solid week on a course that could suit.

 

Danny Willett 50/1 US Open Betting Preview 2016Danny Willett 50/1

The Masters champion has had a superb season and arrives this week feeling fresh after some time off since Wentworth where he finished solo third. He had a good three rounds the week before in Ireland but had a poor final round to finish T23. He also had a good week at the WGC Cadillac finishing T3 and followed that with a T22 at The Valspar. He then went on to shoot an unreal 67 in round four in Augusta to win The Masters and beat Jordan Spieth. The Englishman also won the Dubai Desert Classic earlier in the season so he is no stranger to winning.

He has featured in two US Open’s in 2014 and 2015. He missed the cut in Chambers Bay last year and finished T45 in Pinehurst in 2014. Despite his average record in US Open’s, he has proved he can contend and win in the best fields. He also looks good on paper ranking fourth in stroke average, 25th in GIR and 11th in strokes gained putting. Danny has to be respected here and could be in with a chance given his current form.

 

Final selections – 

Jason Day 7/1 2pts EW

Justin Rose 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Hideki Matsuyama 33/1 1pt EW

Brooks Koepka 50/1 1pt EW

Patrick Reed 50/1 1pt EW

Danny Willett 50/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts 

 

Most bookies paying 7 places!

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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USPGA Championship 2015 Betting Preview

USPGA Championship 2015 Betting Preview

Whistling Straits, Kohler, Wisconsin

7,790 yards, par 72

The Course

The Straits Course is a Pete Dye designed par 72 and is the flagship course at Whistling Straits. It has 10 par 4’s, four par 5’s and four par 3’s. It is a links style course and replicated the old links courses of the UK and Ireland. It hosted the 2004 PGA Championship won by Vijay Singh in a playoff over Chris DiMarco and Justin Leonard, the 2007 U.S. Senior Open won by Brad Bryant, and the 2010 PGA Championship won by Martin Kaymer in a playoff over Bubba Watson. The course is host the championship for a third time in 2015 and the 2020 Ryder Cup.

Nestled along a two-mile stretch of Lake Michigan, the course has eight holes hugging the lake, elevation changes of approximately 80 feet, and three stone bridges. The stone bridges are located on holes 1,9,10 and 18 with many scattered sand dune areas. It has vast rolling greens, deep pot bunkers, grass-topped dunes and winds that sweep in off the lake. The fairways are natural fescue fairways with bentgrass greens averaging 7,500 square feet. A lot of the greens are guarded by bunkers, over 500 scattered around the course in total, so good scramblers and bunker players will have an advantage.

There will be an element of accuracy needed around this course with a lot of scattered fairway and greenside bunkers so accuracy off the tee will be important. There are 14 water hazards in total with a lot of holes running along the coastline.

The 10 par 4’s will measure roughly 400+ yards long and will demand accurate iron play from between 100-200 yards in order to get the ball close to these pins. Some of the par 5’s could be reachable in two by some of the bigger hitters depending on the wind. The average length of the par 5’s measure around the 600 yard mark, so a lot of players will be laying up with their second shots. The par 3’s will offer a tricky test and measure between 140-220 and will demand accurate iron play to make birdies.

The key areas of focus are par 3,4 and 5 scoring, GIR, strokes gained putting, accurate iron play from 100-200 yards, scrambling, driving distance/accuracy and strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jaosn Day 14/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Jason Day 14/1

The Aussie has been playing super golf so far with two wins already this season. His first win came at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines back in February beating J.B. Holmes on the second playoff hole. He also won The RBC Canadian Open recently shooting a superb final round 68 birdieing the last three holes in a row to beat Bubba Watson by one stroke. Day had a good performance last week in Firestone shooting a superb final round 69 to finish T12. He has put together some great performances in the Majors over the last few weeks finishing T9 at The US Open and T4 at The Open Championship in St Andrews. He did come close to winning and had a birdie putt on the 18th to get into the playoff with Johnson, Oosthuizen and Leishman, but it narrowly slid past the hole.

Day has played well here in Whistling Straits in the past finishing T10 in 2010, four strokes behind the winner Martin Kaymer. He has also played well in this tournament in the past finishing T15 last year in Valhalla and T8 in Oak Hill in 2013.

Statswise, Day ranks second in driving distance, 28th in GIR, 27th in strokes gained tee to green and 20th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks fourth in approaches from 200-225, seventh in approaches from 175-200 second in par 4 scoring, fourth in par 3 scoring and 10th in scrambling. Day has proven he can compete at the highest level and it is only a matter of time before he wins his first major and it could be here, where he has played well in the past.

 

Adam Scott 25/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Adam Scott 25/1

Scott has been showing some decent form over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last three starts. He played well in Chambers Bay shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4 at The US Open and followed that with an impressive T10 in St Andrews at The Open Championship. He has played well at the USPGA in the past finishing T15 last year in Valhalla, T5 in Oak Hill in 2013, T11 in 2012 in Kiawah Island and solo 7th in 2011 at The Athletic Club in Georgia. Scott has played this course on both previous USPGA occasions finishing T9 in 2004 and T39 in 2010.

The Aussie seems to tick a lot of boxes here ranking fourth in driving distance, second in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green, 26th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 100-125. Scott also ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring, 27th in par 5 scoring and 12th in par 4 birdie or better leaders, which is a good stat for scoring on the 12 par 4’s here. With good current form and a solid record around this course, Adam Scott could be a big threat here this week.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1

Louis has been playing well recently and looks to have put any injury concerns behind him. He looked superb at The Open and putted extremely well all week, but sadly lost a playoff to in form Zach Johnson and ended up finishing second. Despite shooting a 77 in round one, Oosthuizen also had a superb week at The US Open in Chambers Bay and recovered well shooting rounds of 66,66,67 to get right back in the thick of things and finish T2 on four under for the tournament. Over the last two majors in particular, I think Louis has been particularly impressive with the putter. He has played well at all of the WGC’s, which are all elite fields finishing solo 6th at The WGC Cadillac earlier this year, T14 at the WGC HSBC Champions and T5 at The WGC Matchplay back in March.

Louis has played well in The USPGA in the past finishing in a respectable T15 in Valhalla last year and T21 in Oak Hill in 2013.He also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking 32nd in driving distance, 20th in GIR, 29th in strokes gained tee to green and 27th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks third in approaches from 200-225, sixth in approaches from 200+ and 13th in par 4 scoring. Oosthuizen always plays better on the bigger stages and is a bit overpriced here at 35/1.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1

Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 11 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.

He has played in two previous USPGA Championships finishing T35 in Valhalla last year and T19 in Oak Hill in 2013. Statswise he ranks fifth in total driving, ninth in GIR, first in strokes gained tee to green and ninth in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks 25th in approaches from 275, 18th in scrambling, second in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama is showing some superb consistency this season and I expect that to continue in Whistling Straits.

 

Zach Johnson 55/1 USPGA Championship 2015 Whistling Straits

Zach Johnson 55/1

Zach Johnson has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in his last six starts. After a brilliant win at St Andrews beating Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff, Johnson also finished T3 at The John Deere Classic the week before, solo sixth at The Travelers and solo fifth at The Byron Nelson. His best finish at a USPGA came here at Whistling Straits in 2010 finishing third and the next best coming at Oak Hill in 2013, where he finished T8. He also played here in 2004 and finished in a respectable T37, but comes here in much better form this time around.

Statswise, Johnson ranks third in driving accuracy, 34th in GIR, 13th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in approaches from 175-200 yards and 18th in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 28th in par 3 scoring, seventh in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. With a great record here and great current form, Zach Johnson could be a big danger here.

 

Branden Grace 80/1 USPGA Championship 2015

Branden Grace 80/1

With Whistling Straits being a linksy setup, this course could be a place where Branden Grace could flourish. He has five top 20’s in his last seven starts and comes here on the back of a respectable T17 at The WGC Bridgestone last week. He has played particularly well in the majors finishing T4 in Chambers Bay and T20 at The Open Championship. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage, where he finished T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

Statswise Grace ranks 22nd in driving distance, 26th in strokes gained putting, 22nd in approaches from 175-200 yards and 22nd in scrambling. The South African has had a great year so far and I expect that to continue here at Whistling Straits this week on a course that could really suit his game.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Day 14/1 2pts EW

Adam Scott 25/1 1.5 pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 35/1 1pt EW

Hideki Matsuyama 40/1 1 pt EW

Zach Johnson 55/1 1 pt EW

Branden Grace 80/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 15 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

 

 

The Open Championship Betting Preview 2015

The Open Championship 2015 Betting Preview and Tips

The Old Course, St Andrews Links, Fife, Scotland

7,305 yards Par 72

The Open Championship takes place at The Old Course for the 28th time with the most recent editions taking place in 2005 and 2010. St Andrews is one of the oldest courses in the world and believed to be the home of golf because the game was first played there in the 15th century. It has two par 5’s, two par 3’s and 14 par 4’s. The par 5’s measure 568 yards (5th) and 618 yards (14th) and could be drivable in two depending on weather conditions. Some of the par 4’s could also be drivable namely the 352 yard 9th and the 348 yard 12th, which will also depend on wind and weather conditions.

This course also features a variety of typical links features with wide fairways, some of them are shared double fairways with plenty of deep grass and gorse bushes which run alongside them. Players that are long and straight off the tee will have a big advantage here.

One of the unique features of the Old Course is the large double greens. Seven greens are shared by two holes each, the 2nd paired with 16th, 3rd with 15th, all the way up to 8th and 10th. Only the 1st, 9th, 17th and 18th holes have their own greens. The Swilcan Bridge, spanning the first and 18th holes, has become a famous icon for golf around the world.

The Old Course has 112 bunkers, which will be its main defence and are all individually named and have their own unique story and history behind them. The two most famous are the 10 ft deep “Hell Bunker” on the 14th hole, and the “Road Hole Bunker” on the 17th hole. Countless professional golfers have seen their dreams of winning the Open Championship squandered by hitting their balls in those bunkers.

This course is favourable for punters having a bet on this tournament as there is plenty pf course history to work with. The Alfred Dunhill Links is played here every year on The European Tour so previous form at that event will be worth checking. Similar to The US Open at Chambers Bay, landing your ball in the right part of the greens will be important here as the greens are large, undulating and unpredictable in terms of bounces. Players that are good long distance putters should also have an advantage here.

The main areas of focus here are:

  • Previous form in 2005,2010, previous Open
  • Previous form at The Alfred Dunhill Links
  • Recent form and links form
  • Driving Distance/Accuracy
  • Strokes gained putting
  • Strokes gained tee to green
  • Approaches from 100-250 yards
  • Scrambling

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie was outstanding in Gullane last week at The Scottish Open. He played a fabulous approach shot into 18 and rolled in the birdie to clinch victory by one stroke over fellow American Matt Kuchar. Despite a poor performance in Chambers Bay, the young American has proven to be somewhat of a Links specialist over the last few years and has a solid Open Championship record.

His first appearance at The Open was here at St Andrews in 2010, where he finished in a respectable T14. He finished T5 in 2011 in Sandwich at a very tricky Royal St Georges and followed that with a respectable T31 at Lytham and St Annes. Last year in Hoylake, Fowler finished T2 with Sergio Garcia on 15 under in pretty tricky conditions in the final round, which didn’t seem to bother him. He also finished T8 last year in Royal Aberdeen at The Scottish Open.

Fowler also played well at The Irish Open recently, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters.

Statwise Rickie ranks 47th in driving distance, first in approaches from 200-225, fourth in approaches from 75-100 and second in approaches from 150-175. With a good record at The Open and a good performance here in the past, Rickie will be feeding off the good vibes from Gullane last week and should be right in the mix here at St Andrews.

 

Henrik Stenson 22/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Henrik Stenson 22/1

After an impressive solo second in Germany recently, Henrik Stenson looks to be peaking just at the right time in terms of form. He has played well at The Old Course in the past finishing T3 at The Open in 2010 finishing on eight under par for the tournament. His record in The Open has been good over the last few years finishing T3 in Royal Birkdale in 2008, T13 in Turnberry in 2009, T3 in St Andrews in 2010 and solo second in Muirfield in 2013. He seems to have recovered from an illness he got just before The Masters and has signs of coming back into some good form.

As well as his solo second in Germany, he also had a good week at The Nordea Masters finishing T13 and was right in the mix after shooting an opening round 65 in Chambers Bay, but sadly fell off the pace and finished a respectable T27. He showed some great early season form finishing T4 at the WGC Cadillac, solo fourth at The Valspar and solo second at The Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Statswise, Stenson could be a good fit here ranking seventh in driving accuracy, first in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in strokes gained putting. He also ranks seventh in approaches from 125-150, 16th in approaches from 200 yards, second in approaches from 175-200 and 13th in par 4 scoring. With a great record at The Open over the years and decent current form, Henrik Stenson looks to be a good bet here at The Old Course.

 

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1

Louis seems to be injury free and playing great golf at the moment. He started poorly in Chambers Bay shooting a disappointing 77 in round one but bounced back very well shooting 66,66,67 finishing T2 on four under for the tournament, which included five birdies in a row on the back nine on Sunday. Louis also played well at the WGC Matchplay finishing T5, T7 at The RBC Heritage and a T19 at The Masters.

He has a great record at St Andrews over the last few years. He won The Open here in 2010 by an impressive seven strokes over his nearest contender Lee Westwood and finished in a respectable T19 at Lytham and St Annes. He also has a great record at The Alfred Dunhill Links, which is also played at St Andrews, finishing T6 in 2014 and T5 in 2011.

Louis is averaging 295 yards off the tee ranking 41st in driving distance, 40th in GIR and 27th in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks 19th in approaches from 175-200 yards, fifth in approaches from 200-225 and second in approaches from 50-75 yards. The South African has a lot of experience around this course and has already shown that he can contend in the majors so far this year.

 

Shane Lowry 45/1 The Open Championship 2015

 Shane Lowry 45/1

After a great start last week in Gullane, opening with rounds of 66,66 in rounds one and two, Lowry fell off the pace shooting 72,71 over the weekend to finish T31 for the tournament. Despite the average performance over the weekend, his game looks to be in great shape especially off the tee and around the greens. His first appearance in an Open Championship was here at St Andrews in 2010, where he finished in a respectable T37 for the tournament. Shane is no stranger to links golf and won The Irish Open in Baltray in 2009 as an amateur beating Robert Rock in a playoff. He has been improving steadily every year finishing T32nd in 2013 in Muirfield and recorded a top 10 at Hoylake last year finishing solo ninth. He also has great form at The Alfred Dunhill Links over the last few years finishing T6 last year and T3 in 2013 so he will be familiar with the layout of The Old Course.

Lowry has been showing some great form this season with a super performance at Chambers Bay at The US Open finishing T9 on level par for the tournament. He also had a good week at The BMW PGA in Wentworth finishing T6 on 11 under for the week. Shane has also played well on other links layouts over the last few years with three top 15’s in The Scottish Open since 2011 finishing T14 at Castle Stuart, T11 in 2012 again at Castle Stuart and T4 last year at Royal Aberdeen. Lowry also finished T10 at The Johnnie Walker at Gleneagles in 2013. With great form at St Andrews and great current form, Shane Lowry looks to be superb value at 45/1.

 

Branden Grace 45/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Branden Grace 45/1

With the exception of one erratic tee shot, Branden Grace could have been hoisting the US Open trophy up in the air on Sunday and not Jordan Spieth. He played steadily all week long opening with a 69 and following that with a 67,70,71 to finish T4 and three under par in total. The South African has been showing some solid form over the last few months. He finished T11 at The BMW PGA at Wentworth, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T7 at The RBC Heritage.

His best finish at The Open Championship was last year in Hoylake, where he finished a respectable T36. Although his Open form isn’t exactly jumping off the page, Grace is no stranger to links golf and has played well here at The Old Course in the past.

He won the Alfred Dunhill Links here in 2012 by two strokes over Thorbjorn Olesen on 22 under par and also finished T25 last year so he is very familiar with this course. He also nearly won the Scottish Open in Castle Stuart in 2013, but was beaten by Phil Mickelson in a playoff and finished second. Statswise he ranks 18th in driving distance hitting an average of 300 yards off the tee. He also ranks fifth in GIR, ninth in putts per GIR and 10th in approaches from 150-175. After a near miss at The US Open, returning to The Old Course could see Branden stir up some good memories and get right into contention again.

 

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1 The Open Championship 2015 St Andrews

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1

Tommy has been having a steady season so far with four top 11’s and two top 30’s in his last six starts. He was right in the mix last week at Gullane, but couldn’t quite get going in the final round shooting a final round 72 finishing T10 for the tournament. He also a good week at The BMW International in Germany recently finishing T11 and finished in a respectable T27 in Chambers Bay the week before. He also finished T21 at The Irish Open in Royal County Down, T6 at The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth and T5 at The WGC Matchplay. Tommy has shown great form on links courses over the last few years, particularly at The Alfred Dunhill Links finishing T2 in 2014, solo fifth in 2013 and T5 in 2011. His only European Tour victory came at Gleneagles, where he won the Johnnie Walker Championship in a playoff against Stephen Gallacher and Ricardo Gonzalez.

Statswise Tommy is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 27th in driving distance. He also ranks fifth in GIR hitting 73% of greens in regulation on The European Tour so far this season. He has a proven track record at The Old Course at St Andrews and could be a big contender here at a very generous price.

 

Final selections –

Rickie Fowler 18/1 2pts EW

Henrik Stenson 22/1 2pts EW

Louis Oosthuizen 22/1 1.5 pts EW

Shane Lowry 45/1 1 pt EW

Branden Grace 45/1 1 pt EW

Tommy Fleetwood 80/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 17 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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It’s Winner No.10 for us as Spieth Conquers Chambers Bay

Jordan Spieth US Open win 2015 Chambers Bay

Is there anything this kid can’t do? Two majors in four months? There’s only one word that spring to mind, Wow. He started with a relatively blemish free 68 on Thursday, which included four birdies and two bogeys. He followed that with a 67 on Friday and 71, 69 over the weekend. Pretty good around a course like Chambers Bay. Henrik Stenson said in an interview on Saturday “It’s like putting on broccoli”. He wasn’t the only player to voice his displeasure of the Washington Links, which saw some of the world’s best running up some big numbers.

Personally, I thought it was too tough a set up. It measured 7,497 in round 1, 7,695 in round 2, 7,637 in round 3 and 7,384 in round 4 with average to poor greens. What chance did they have? I mean seriously, let’s get real, there’s a test and there’s borderline ridiculous and this place was set up so tough even god himself couldn’t get up and down for a par or two putt from 20 feet. That being said, it was very entertaining and the best man for the job hoisted the trophy after a stunning final round 69.

Spieth joined a select number of greats with his U.S. Open win. He’s the sixth man to win the Masters and the U.S. Open in the same year. He’s the youngest U.S. Open champion since Bobby Jones, and the youngest player to win two majors since Gene Sarazen. At 21, he’s doing things that haven’t been accomplished since the 1920s.

“We really grinded this week. I didn’t have my best stuff, ball-striking, at all,” Jordan said. “We really grinded over those 4-5 footers and that was the difference.” It certainly was. There’s no truer a saying than “Drive for show and putt for dough” and that’s what he did.

It’s been a great year for us so far with 10 winners and 17 places in 29 PGA Tour events. Robert Streb kicked us off in style with a 66/1 winner at The McGladrey Classic. We then tipped Patrick Reed at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions at 22’s, Jimmy Walker at The Sony at 16’s and Jason Day at The Farmers at 14’s. We followed that with another winner on Dustin Johnson at 22/1 at The WGC Cadillac, Jordan Spieth at The Valspar at 14/1, J.B. Holmes at 25/1 at The Houston Open, Jordan Spieth at The Masters at 10/1, Justin Rose in New Orleans at 10/1, and Jordan Spieth again at The US Open at 8/1. That’s a little over 33% win rate after 29 events. I’ll be back tomorrow with my thoughts on this week’s Travelers Championship from TPC River Highlands. For a full list of our winners and places so far this season click here

The PGA Championship 2014 Betting Preview

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2014

Valhalla Golf Club, Louisville, Kentucky
Par 71, 7,458 yards

The Course

The PGA Championship returns to Valhalla Golf Club for the third time. It was first played here in 1996 where Mark Brooks was the winner over Kenny Perry. Valhalla then played host again in 2000 where Tiger Woods went on to beat Bob May in a playoff. The Ryder Cup was also played here in 2008, which as the last time the US Team won the Ryder Cup.

This course is a lengthy 7,458 yards and features three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. Length will be a big advantage here this week with three of the par 4’s measuring 495 yards or longer. Birdies will be found on the par 5’s with them measuring between 540 yards and 597 yards so quite a few players will be hitting these greens in two.

The fairways are quite generous with some doglegs, but accuracy will be a huge factor here so be on the lookout for guys that are good ball strikers and have good driving distance and accuracy stats. These large, undulating bentgrass greens are protected by large bunkers so GIR and scrambling will also be important.
The WGC Bridgestone has been played the week before The PGA since 2007 and has always been a good indicator of who could potentially go well. Players that have finished in the top 20 in firestone and have good current form are ones to keep an eye on.

Justin Rose pic 1

Justin Rose 22/1
Justin Rose had yet another top 10 last week in Firestone shooting 65,67,70,69 on his way to a T4. He is playing very steady golf at the moment and has two wins in his previous five starts. He played well at The Open Championship and finished in respectable T23rd.

He had another good week at The Scottish Open shooting a final round 65 to finish on 16 under par for the tournament. Rose also won the week before at The Quicken Loans at Congressional beating Shawn Stefani in a playoff. At The Players Championship he finished T4th and followed that with a respectable T12 at The US Open.
Statswise, he ranks 40th in GIR, 10th in scoring average, 21st in par breakers and 25th in par 4 performance. He also ranks 11th in GIR from 175-200 yards which will be a big help on these long par 4’s.

Rickie Fowler 25/1
Rickie Fowler has been a big performer this year, especially at the majors. He had a super week at The Masters in Augusta back in April finishing T5th for the week. Rickie also played very well at both the US Open at Pinehurst clinching a T2nd and at The Open Championship at Hoylake also finishing in T2nd. Last week at Firestone, he had another good performance shooting three 67’s and 72 to close with a T8th.

He ranks 35th in driving distance, 19th in par 5 birdie or better leaders and 43rd in par 5 performance. He also ranks ninth in approaches from 125-150 yards and 16th in approaches from 225-250 yards which will help on these long par 5’s. Rickie has proven he loves the big occasions and could be a big danger man here at Valhalla this week.

Keegan Bradley 1

Keegan Bradley 33/1
After another steady performance last week finishing T4th at Firestone, Keegan Bradley looks like a player that would suit a course like Valhalla. He has put together good performances at Hoylake finishing T19th, and also played well the week before at The Greenbrier Classic shooting four rounds in the 60’s on nine under par to close with a T4th for the tournament.

At The US Open in Pinehurst, Bradley recorded yet another T4th to finish +1 for the tournament. Statswise he ranks 14th in driving distance, 24th in strokes gained putting, 14th in birdie average, 13th in par breakers and 15th in scrambling. He also ranks third in approaches from 200+ and sixth in GIR from 175-200, two stats that should help on some of the long par 4’s. Keegan is playing good golf at the moment and has the ball striking and distance to have yet another good week here.

Charl Schwartzel 40/1
After a final round 64 last week in Firestone, adding a third top 10 finish in his last five starts, Charl Schwartzel looks to be bang in form at the moment. After a great performance at the HP Byron Nelson back in May finishing just outside the top 10 in T11th, he then followed that with another solid week at The Memorial closing with a T8th. Charl had another good performance at The Open at Hoylake shooting a final round 67 to clinch T7th. At Firestone last week he played great golf all week shooting a superb final round 64 to finish T4th.

Schwartzel ranks 31st in driving distance, ninth in birdie average, ninth in par breakers and second in birdie or better conversion percentage. He also ranks third in par 5 birdie or better leaders, 25th in scrambling and 11th in approaches from 200-225. He ticks a lot of statistical boxes and comes here in great form.

Marc Leishman pic 1

Marc Leishman 50/1
Leishman has had a great season so far, especially in the last few weeks recording four top 11’s in his last five starts. His good run began back at the Byron Nelson back in May shooting four rounds in the 60’s finishing T3rd. He then had a good week at The Travellers closing with a 67 to clinch a T11 and followed that with a T8th at The Quicken Loans at Congressional.

Leishman has had two very good weeks which began in Hoylake at The Open Championship finishing in T5th for the tournament on 12 under par for the week. At Firestone last week, he began his tournament with an impressive opening round 64 and ended up closing with a 67 and finshing solo third.

He also measures up here statswise ranking 30th in driving distance, 14th in scoring average, 39th in par breakers a 21st in par 3 performance. He also ranks 24th in approaches from 150-175 and third in approaches from 250-275, two good stats for these long par 4’ and par 5’s.

Jimmy Walker 50/1
With solid performances at the majors so far this year, Jimmy Walker could be a man to keep your eye on here at Valhalla this week. He has proven he can contend in majors with great performances at The Masters (T8), The US Open (T9) and a respectable T26 at The Open. Walker also played great golf at Sawgrass closing with a 65 to finish T6th.

In the last few weeks, he has continued to play well finishing T10th at The Crowne Plaza at Colonial and followed that with a good finish at The US Open. Walker had a decent performance last week at Firestone finishing in a respectable T26. He ranks 19th in driving distance, 29th in GIR, seventh in strokes gained putting and second in birdie average. He also ranks 15 in par 4 performance, eighth in par 5 performance and seventh in total putting. One to watch here at a good price.

Final Selections:
Justin Rose 2 pts EW
Rickie Fowler 2 pts EW
Keegan Bradley 2 pts EW
Charl Schwartzel 2 pts EW
Marc Leishman 1 pt EW
Jimmy Walker 1 pt EW
Places 1-6 (PaddyPower)

To Make/Miss the cut:
McDowell/Casey/Leishman to make the cut @ 2.1 – 2 pts treble (PaddyPower)
Total staked = 22 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,
DB

The Open Championship 2014 Betting Preview

The Open Championship 2014 Hoylake pic 1

Royal Liverpool, Hoylake, England
Par 72, 7312 yards

The Course
The Open Championship is the oldest and most prestigious of all four majors. Hoylake has hosted The Open Championship 11 times before, and played host most recently in 2006 in dry and calm conditions when Tiger Woods won over Chris Dimarco on 18 under par in total. However, the weather forecast doesn’t look to be quite as forgiving with some showers and moderate winds expected throughout the week.

There are many players competing this week that played well in 2006, so previous form at Hoylake will be a key factor. This course is a par 72, has four par 5’s and four par 3’s and is quite flat and undulating. The greens are quite large and could be difficult to judge in terms of touch as the conditions can get quite windy.

Finding fairways will be important this week as there is a lot of thick rough and pot bunkers that align the fairways so a lot of the players will be taking irons and fairway metals off the tee. The 18th is a par 5 with out of bounds on the right and is certainly reachable in two and could offer an exciting finish come Sunday.

Henrik Stenson 1

Henrik Stenson 16/1
With five top 10’s in his last five starts, It’s hard to rule out Henrik Stenson here at Hoylake. He comes here after coming in T5th at the Volvo China Open in April, T7 at The BMW PGA in Wentworth in May, solo 5th at The Nordea Masters in June and T4th at The US Open in Pinehurst. Most recently, he had yet another top 5 finish which came at The BMW International Open in Germany a couple of weeks ago coming in T2nd.

Stenson’s Open Championship record is also quite impressive with three top 5 finishes in the last five years, including a top 15 in 2009. He was second last year, third in 2010 and third in 2008. He also finished in respectable 48th in 2006 when it was staged at this venue. He is extremely accurate with his three wood and long irons and should love these conditions. Stenson has taken the last two weeks off to prepare and should be prepped and ready to go come Thursday.

Adam Scott 16/1
Another worthy favourite here this week is none other than Adam Scott, who has proven he is a links specialist over the last few years competing at The Open Championship. He comes here in fine form with a win and two top 10’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at Colonial beating Jason Dufner in a playoff to finish on nine under for the tournament. He then followed that with a T4th at The Memorial and a T9th in The US Open at the tricky Pinehurst No.2

Scott finished third last year and second in 2012, where he dramatically lost to Ernie Els at Royal Lytham hitting his tee shot into a fairway pot bunker, which cost him the tournament. He also played well at this venue in 2006 finishing eighth and comes here well rested after taking a couple of weeks off and should be a big danger an here this week.

Thomas Bjorn 55/1
Thomas Bjorn is another links specialist and comes here with three top 15’s in his last five starts. He also had a decent finish in last week’s Scottish Open finishing in a respectable T24th. Bjorn has also had good performances at The BMW International Open finishing T8th, The Nordea Masters finishing T15th and The BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth to finish in T3rd.

He has proven he loves the challenge of links golf in the past with three top 10 finishes in his last 10 appearances at The Open Championship. He was eighth in 2002, second in 2003 and fourth in 2011. He also made the cut here in 2006 and finished in a respectable 41st place.

Stephen Gallacher 80/1
The Scotsman is having a super season on The European Tour so far since winning the Dubai Desert Classic back in February. Since then he has followed that up with top 10’s at The WGC Cadillac (T6th), The BMW PGA Championship (T5th), T2nd at The Nordea Masters and most recently, he finished T4th last week at his native Scottish Open shooting a superb final round 63.

He won in St Andrews in 2004 at The Alfred Dunhill Championship seeing off Graeme McDowell in a playoff so he is no stranger to links golf. His record at The Open is respectable with two top 25’s in his last three performances coming in 21st last year and 23rd in 2010.

Angel Cabrera pic 1

Angel Cabrera 60/1
With a win a two top 25’s in his last three events, Angel Cabrera comes here in good form. He won the Greenbrier Classic a couple of weeks ago shooting back to back 64’s in round three and four to win the tournament on 16 under par. He also played well the week before at The Quicken Loans National at Congressional finishing in T24th. Cabrera also had a good week at The Travellers the week before that finishing in T11th, which included a second round 65 so his game looks good.

He is another player with good experience at The Open with four top 25’s in his last 10 appearances. He finished 11th last year, 24th in 2009, 22nd in 2003 and most importantly, finished seventh on this course in 2006. Cabrera will be hitting a lot of long irons off the tee here where controls the ball beautifully.

Ernie Els 66/1
Ernie has a superb record in this championship over the years recording two victories and a further four top 10 finishes. He lifted the Claret Jug in 2012 where he rolled in a super birdie on the 18th in Royal Lytham and St Annes to beat Adam Scott. He also won it ten years before in 2002 at Muirfield where he shot a total of six under par.

With the exception of two missed cuts, Ernie hasn’t finished worse than 34th in his last ten Open appearances. He was 18th in 2003, second in 2004, fourth in 2007, seventh in 2008 and eighth in 2009. More importantly, he was third here in Hoylake in 2006 so he has played well on this course in the past. Ernie finished in a respectable T41 last week at The Scottish Open and has proven he loves the challenge of links golf.

Shane Lowry 66/1
After recording another top 5 finish last week in Scotland, Shane Lowry looks to be in good form coming into this week. He played well at The Scottish Open shooting 72,68,68,66 on his way to a ten under par total to finish T4th for the week. He also played well the week before at The BMW International Open finishing in T12th on 16 under par. Lowry also had a great performance at The BMW PGA Championship a few weeks ago where he nearly won, only for a certain Mr McIlroy to come and spoil the party. However, he did have a great week and ended up finishing in solo second.

Lowry has played The Open Championship twice before finishing in 32nd last year and 37th in 2010. He is no stranger to links golf and won the Irish Open as an amateur in Co. Louth Golf Club in blustery Baltray in 2009. After a tidy performance last week in Scotland, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Shane in contention here this week.

Mikko Illonen 80//1
Mikko Ilonen has played very steady so far this season and recorded his fourth European Tour win at The Irish Open in Fota Island a couple of weeks ago. He has had some great performances this season with top 10’s coming in Qatar in February and China in April. He also played well last week in The Scottish Open shooting 71,68,69,70 to finish on six under par in total and T16th for the tournament.

Illonen played well on this course in 2006 shooting 68,69 in the opening two rounds and went on to shoot 73,72 in round three and four to finish T16th and six under par for the tournament. With his recent win at The Irish Open and a good performance last week in Scotland, Illonen could be worth a look here considering he played well on this course before.

Final selections
Henrik Stenson 2 pts EW
Adam Scott 2 pts EW
Thomas Bjorn 1 pt EW
Stephen Gallacher 1 pt EW
Angel Cabrera 1 pt EW
Ernie Els 1 pt EW
Shane Lowry 1 pt EW
Mikko Illonen 1 pt EW
Total Staked = 20 pts
(Paddypower) Places 1-7

Good Luck and Enjoy the golf,

DB

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