PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017 – Quail Hollow

PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina  

7,600 yards, Par 71

The Course 

Quail Hollow is the host course of the Wells Fargo Championship since 2003 and is a tough test measuring a lengthy 7,600 yards. Previous winners here include Brian Harman (2017), James Hahn (2016), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010) J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012) and Lucas Glover (2011). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003. 

The course has undergone some fairly big changes in preparation for this event and promises to a little more challenging than in previous years. They greens have had some major surgery changing from bentgrass to Bermuda. A lot of trees have also been removed to allow for more sunlight to hit the greens and re-shape the golf course. Some of the opening holes have had some renovations done with the old first and second being brought together and posing as a testing 540 yard par 4. The fifth has been changed from a par 5 to a par 4, the eighth hole is now a driveable 340 yard par 4 and the second hole is now a new par 3. The 11th hole has been lengthened and had some extra bunkers added to it.

Length looks to be a huge advantage along with hitting plenty of greens. The main stats that stand out here are driving distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.  

 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 

Matsuyama was outstanding last Sunday in the final round in Firestone shooting a flawless 61 to win his second WGC title and his third PGA Tour win this season. Its hard to find any fault in any part of his game from driving it bullet straight to stitching his approach shots and holing everything on the greens.

His form has been pretty good this season and he seems to be really heating up lately with a win, a top five and a top 15 in his last three starts. He had a great week in Erin Hills finishing T2 at the US Open after an impressive final round 65. He followed that with a T14 at The Open Championship in Royal Birkdale and seemed to be striking the ball very well but missed a few putts. Matsuyama won in Phoenix earlier this year which also has Bermuda greens so that looks to be a big positive for this weeks venue.

His record around Quail Hollow is decent finishing T38 in 2014, T20 in 2015 and 11th last year. Statswise he ranks 22nd in driving distance averaging just over 304 off the tee. He also ranks sixth in GIR, first in par 5 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. He is the man in form coming to the PGA this week and it could be his time to win his first major.

 

Rickie Fowler 16/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Rickie Fowler 16/1 

Rickie Fowler is another player in fine form coming into this week and has to be respected here. He has four top 10’s in his last six starts three of which were top fives. He had a good week at the Memorial finishing T2 and followed that with a T5 at The US Open and a T3 at the Quicken Loans National which included a 68,65 over the weekend. He then travelled to Birkdale and didn’t shoot worse than a 71 to finish a respectable T22. Last week at the WGC Bridgestone, Fowler was steady as a rock throughout the week shooting 70,71,67,66 on his way to a solo ninth.

He has a good record here in Quail Hollow getting his first PGA Tour win here in 2012. He also finished T6 in 2010 and T4 last year. Fowler is averaging just over 300 yards off the tee ranking 32nd in driving distance, 36th in GIR, first in SG putting and fifth in par 5 scoring. With great current form and a good history on this course, Fowler looks another big contender here.

 

Daniel Berger 60/1 PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 60/1

I am sticking to my guns and backing Berger for the second week running here. He has been in great form lately with a win and two top 5’s in his last six starts. He had a great week at the FedEx St Jude Classic shooting two 66’s to win by one. He followed that with a solo second at the Travelers where he lost in a dramatic playoff to Jordan Speith. He then traveled to TPC Deere Run where he finished T5 at the John Deere Classic  which included an impressive third round 63.

Berger has played well here in the past finishing T17 last year and T28 in 2015. He has played well in the Majors over the last couple of years finishing T10 in Augusta last year, T27 at the Masters this year and a T27 at The Open in Birkdale. Statswise he ranks 44th in GIR, 26th in SG putting, 24th in SGTTG, 18th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring.

 

Tony Finau PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Tony Finau 80/1 

When it comes to bombers, Tony Finau is up there with the longest on tour off the tee and this could be a course that suits his powerful game. He looks to be in great shape coming to Quail Hollow with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last four starts. He played well at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 all week to finish a respectable T17. He followed that with a T29 at The Quicken Loans and a T7 at The Greenbrier where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week. Finau then travelled to Royal Birkdale and finished in a respectable T27 at The Open and had a great performance in Canada a week later finishing T5 at the Canadian Open.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 in 2015 and T28 last year. Finau is averaging just over 306 yards off the tee ranking sixth in driving distance, fifth in GIR, sixth in SGTTG, 10th in par 4 scoring and 10th in par 5 scoring. With great current form, a long golf course and an average drive of over 300 yards, this course could set up well for big hitting Finau.

 

Xander Shauffele PGA Championship Betting Preview 2017Xander Shauffele – Top 20 Finish – 4/1 

The young American has made quite an impression this season and looks to be playing some great golf lately. He had a good week at the US Open shooting rounds of 66,73,70,69 to finish T5 at Erin Hills in his first major appearance. He followed that with a T14 at the Travelers, a win at the Greenbrier Classic where he didnt shoot worse than a 69, a T20 at the Open Championship and a T13 in Firestone last week at the WGC Bridgestone.

Statswise Shauffele ticks alot of boxes here for Quail Hollow ranking 17th in driving distance averaging just over 305 off the tee. He also ranks 20th in GIR, 23rd in SG Putting and 10th in par 4 scoring. He has put together some huge performances in big events this season and with his length he looks a great bet for a top 20 this week.

 

Final Selections – 

Hideki Matsuyama 11/1 1pt EW

Rickie Fowler 16/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 60/1 0.5pts EW

Tony Finau 80/1 0.5pts EW

Xander Shauffele Top 20 – 4/1 2pt win 

Total staked = 8pts 

*Most bookies paying 8 places*

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Rory McIlroy 9/2 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Rory McIlroy 9/2

Rory is playing some good golf at present with three top 10’s in his last four tournaments and has a superb record here in Quail Hollow. He completely dominated this event last year winning by a massive seven strokes and shot a 61 on the Saturday in round three.

He had a good week in Doral at The WGC Cadillac and held the 54 hole lead but sadly shot a final round 74 to finish T3. He followed that with a T27 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, solo 4th at the WGC Matchplay and a T10 in Augusta at The Masters.

McIlroy boasts a superb record on this course over the last few years. He has two wins and three top 10’s in six appearances in Quail Hollow. He won in 2010 and 2015 and came T8 in 2014, T10 in 2013 and 2nd in 2012. He also ticks a lot of boxes here ranking 13th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and first in par 5 scoring. Length will be a big plus around this course and we know that’s right up Rory’s street. With a superb record here and good current form Rory looks the man to beat.

 

Hideki Matsuyama 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Hideki Matsuyama 25/1

Matsuyama is a player to keep on side this week and could be a huge contender. He has two top 10’s in his last three starts and has already won on The PGA Tour this season beating Rickie Fowler in a playoff in Phoenix. He followed that win with a T11 at The Northern Trust Open in Riviera, T6 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T7 at The Masters.

He has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T20 last year and T38 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just over n292 off the tee, 12th in GIR and fifth in SGTTG. He also ranks fifth in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama looks to be hitting the ball great lately and could improve on his finish from last year.

 

JB Holmes 30/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016J.B. Holmes 30/1

Big hitting J.B has been playing well this season with six top 15’s in his last eight starts. He looked to be back his best after a shooting a 68 in the final round of The Masters to finish T4 and followed that with a respectable T13 in Texas. His good run of form started with a T6 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers Insurance Open, T6 in Phoenix, T11 in Riviera at the Northern Trust Open and a T11 the week before at The AT&T in Pebble Beach.

He has played well at this course in the past with a win in 2014 and a T9 in 2011. J.B is averaging over 310 off the tee ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in par 4 scoring and 17th in SGTTG. Holmes is playing solid golf at the moment and has the length to dominate the par 5’s and the long par 4’s.

 

Byeong Hun An 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Byeong Hun An 33/1 

He played well here last year finishing in a respectable T28. He ranks 25th in driving distance, 29th in GIR and 29th in par 4 scoring. With a good performance here last year Berger has the length and is playing well enough to go better again this time around.

Ben An came agonisingly close to winning his first PGA Tour event last week in New Orleans. He played solid all week shooting rounds of 68,68,65 to get into a playoff with Jamie Lovemark and Brian Stuard but was knocked out on the first playoff hole. He has been playing well on both tours lately finishing second last week in New Orleans and T9 at The WGC Dell Matchplay.

He started well on The European Tour earlier this year with T4 in Dubai which included a 69,65 over the weekend and followed that with a T5 in Abu Dhabi. He is no stranger to winning on the big stage with a huge win at the European Tour’s flagship event The BMW PGA Championship in Wentworth.

An is a big hitter averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 13th in GIR and 13th in SGTTG so far this season. He is a top class player and looks to have the game to suit this course.

 

Kevin Chappell 45/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 45/1

Chappell has been in great form over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last four starts. He played well at The Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago and finished T4 for the tournament. He came close to winning in Bay Hill the week before but was denied by the in from Jason Day and finished second. He went on to have a T26 at Riviera in The Northern Trust Open, second in Bay Hill, T9 at The RBC Heritage and a T4 in Texas.

Chappell has a good record at this event finishing 16th last year and 11th in 2014. He is averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 29th in par 4 scoring and 20th in strokes gained tee to green. He looks an in form player at the moment and looks good value to have a decent week here.

 

Final Selections – 

Rory McIlroy 3pts EW 9/2

Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 25/1 

J.B. Holmes 1pt EW 30/1 

Byeong Hun An 1pt EW 33/1 

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 45/1 

Total staked = 14 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2015

Wells Fargo Championship 2015 betting preview and tips

The Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina

7,562 yards, Par 72

 

The Course

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte and is a lengthy 7,562 yards. It has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011), Rory McIlroy (2010) and Sean O’Hair (2009).

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997 and 2003.

It has narrow, tree lined fairways, which can be tricky to hit with bunkers and water hazards coming into play so accuracy and length off the tee will be important here. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 508 yard par 4 16th, the 221 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form.

 

Phil Mickelson 25/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Phil Mickelson 25/1

With seven top 10’s in 11 appearances, Phil Mickelson is a typical horse for the course here at Quail Hollow. He is having a mediocre season so far and seems to be coming into some good form at the right time. He had a good week at The Shell Houston Open finishing T17 for the week. He started well shooting an opening round 66 in round one, 67 in round two and had a poor round of 75 in round three, which took him out of contention. He had a superb week at The Masters shooting 70,68,67,69 to finish T2 on 14 under par for the tournament.

In his last 11 appearances here, Phil has finished T11 in 2014, solo 3rd in 2013, T26 in 2012, T9 in 2011, solo 2nd in 2010, T5 in 2009, T12 in 2008, 3rd in 2007, T35 in 2006, T7 in 2005 and T5 in 2004. Statswise he ranks 32nd in driving distance, sixth in birdie average, eighth in par 5 scoring and sixth in approaches from 175-200 yards, which is a good stat for approaches into the par 5’s. With such a great record here and a recent top 5 at The Masters, Phil looks great value at 25/1.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Bill Haas 28/1

After a solid performance last week at The Players finishing T4, Bill Haas looks in great form coming into this event. He has five top 20’s in his last eight starts including two top 10’s. After winning the Humana Challenge back in January, Haas followed that with a T19 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, T7 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, T12 at The Masters, T17 at The WGC Matchplay and a T4 last week in Sawgrass.

Haas has two top 5’s here in the last few years finishing T4 in 2011 and T4 again in 2006. Statswise he ranks 28th in strokes gained tee to green, 11th in scrambling, 29th in par 4 scoring and 34th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking 19th in approaches from 250-275, fifth in approaches from 125-150 and third in approaches from 50-125, which are good for attacking the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

 J.B. Holmes 33/1

Despite a poor performance last week at The Players, J.B. Holmes is in great form at the moment and has four top 10’s including a win in his last nine tournaments. His good run of form began back in February, where he lost a playoff to Jason Day on the second playoff hole and finished P2 in Torrey Pines at The Farmers. He followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64, solo 2nd at The WGC Cadillac in Doral, a win at The Houston Open and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay.

He has played well in Quail Hollow before with a win here last year, T9 in 2011 and a T17 in 2008. He ranks sixth in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, fifth in birdie average and 29th in par 5 scoring. His approach stats are also encouraging ranking ninth in approaches from 50-125 and third in approaches from 75-100, which are two good stats for attacking the par 4’s.

 

Kevin Kisner 33/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Kevin Kisner 33/1

After losing in yet another playoff to Rickie Fowler last week at The Players, Kevin Kisner looks to be in fine form over the last few weeks and has the looks of a player that will win any day now. He had a great week a couple of weeks ago at The RBC Heritage shooting a superb final round 64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He was beaten with a birdie on the par 3 17th, which was the second playoff hole, but put in a great performance from start to finish.

Kisner played well here last year finishing T6 on nine under for the tournament. Kisner isn’t the biggest hitter on tour averaging 286 off the tee but ranks 36th in driving accuracy. He also ranks 19th in scrambling, fourth in three putt avoidance, 43rd in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 5 scoring. With a great current run of form and a good performance here last year, Kisner could be a big danger man here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 40/1 Wells Fargo Championship 2015

Justin Thomas 40/1

Despite a disappointing 75 in the final round last week in Sawgrass, Justin Thomas had a great week finishing in a respectable T24 on five under. He has been playing well all season and has recorded nine top 25’s including four top 10’s so far this year. His good run of form began back at The Sanderson Farms Championship last November, where he finished T4. He followed that with a T23 at the OHL Classic, T6 at The Sony, T7 at The Humana and a T17 at The Phoenix Open.

Most recently, he finished T10 at The Valspar, T11 at The RBC Heritage, T12 in New Orleans and T24 in Sawgrass. Thomas ranks 18th in driving distance averaging 300 yards off the tee, eighth in birdie average, 14th in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 200-225. He also ranks second in par 5 scoring and eighth in birdie or better conversion percentage. With great current form, Justin Thomas is another player to keep an eye on this week.

 

Final Selections –

Phil Mickelson 25/1 2pts EW

Bill Haas 28/1 2pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Kisner 33/1 1 pt EW

Justin Thomas 40/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 15 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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