RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016

RSM Classic 2016 Betting PreviewSeaside Course/Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

7,055 yards, Par 70 

The Course

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Kevin Kisner is the defending champion. This course is a par 70 and was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough linksy style test especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013), Robert Streb (2014) and Kevin Kisner (2015). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning. it would be quite similar to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts the RBC Heritage. The format will be similar to last year with the players playing one of their first two rounds at the nearby Plantation course which is a par 72 measuring just over 7,000 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s.

The Seaside Course has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas which could be penalizing if the ball doesn’t stay on the short grass. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.

The main areas of focus this week are the usual, current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and proximity to the hole. Weather is forecast to be dry and sunny throughout the week.

 

Chris Kirk 18/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Chris Kirk 18/1

Kirk started the season with an impressive three top 10’s in his last four starts and has a super record here at Sea Island. After starting with a 73 at the Safeway Classic, he bounced back shooting 65,70,66 to finish T8 for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at the Sanderson Farms finishing four strokes behind winner Cody Gribble. Kirk started well at The Shriners shooting rounds of 66,65 but then fell off the pace after a poor weekend. He did however have another good performance in Mexico finishing T7 at The OHL Classic last week which included an opening round 63.

He has played well here in the past with a T15 in 2010, a win in 2013, fourth in 2014 and T18 in 2015. He ranks 10th in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average, seventh in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 3 scoring. With a solid record here and good current form Kirk has to be one to watch here.

 

Kevin Chappell 20/1 RSM Classic Betting Preview 2016Kevin Chappell 20/1

Chappell had a great finish to the season finishing T3 at The WGC Bridgestone and followed that with a T8 at The Deautsche Bank, which included a third round 64. He had another solid performance at The Tour Championship finishing second on 12 under par for the week after losing a playoff to the dominant Rory McIlroy. Chappell has started the season with two respectable performances at The CIMB finishing T45 and a T35 at the WGC HSBC Champions.

He has played well here especially over the last couple of years finishing eighth in 2014 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He improved on that again last year finishing second after shooting rounds of 66,65,68,67 to post 16 under par for the tournament. If he can get the putter going he could be a big danger man here.

 

Lucas Glover 33/1 

Glover is another player that looks to be in fine form coming into this event with two top 5’s in his last three tournaments. After a missed cut at The Safeway, Glover bounced back with a T5 at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 15 under for the tournament and didn’t shoot worse than a 70. He followed that with a solo third at The Shriners in Vegas where he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 throughout the week to post 17 under in total.

He has a decent record here finishing T15 in 2011 and T9 last year. Statswise he ranks 11th in SG off the tee, ninth in SGTTG, 16th in par 4 scoring and 21st in par 5 scoring. Glover looks to be good value here for a guy that’s bang in form.

 

Cody Gribble 50/1

The Texan has been playing some fantastic golf so far this season with three top 15’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The Safeway finishing T8 and didn’t shoot worse than a 70 throughout the week. He followed that with a great win at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting rounds of 63,67,65 over the weekend to finish 20 under par beating nearest challenger Chris Kirk by an impressive four strokes. Last week in Mexico he had another solid week finishing T15 on 12 under par for the tournament.

This will be Gribble’s first appearance here at Sea Island which could be a course that could be right up his street. Statswise he ranks second in strokes gained putting, 19th in birdie average and 11th in par 4 scoring. This guy is in great form and could be one to keep an eye on this week.

 

 

 

Final Selections –

Chris Kirk 1pt EW 18/1

Kevin Chappell 1pt EW 20/1 

Lucas Glover 0.5 pts EW 33/1 

Cody Gribble 0.5 pts EW 50/1 

Total staked = 6 pts 

All prices taken from PaddyPower who are paying 7 places. 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

The Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, PGA National, Florida

Par 70, 7,140 yards

Last Week –

Well it was an exciting finish at Riviera last week where Bubba Watson won his second Northern Trust Open getting us a nice 22/1 winner. Despite Kokrak’s superb scrambling and Adam Scott chipping in on 18 for birdie, Watson still managed to birdie 17 and par 18 to win by one. That makes it four winners and seven places in the last 13 events giving us a healthy +92.21 pts profit for the season so far. Let’s keep it going this week at The Honda Classic in Florida.

 

The Course

The PGA National Champion Course was opened on November 17, 1981 and was designed by Tom Fazio. It was the site of the 1983 Ryder Cup, the 1987 PGA Championship and the Senior PGA Championship for 19 years, from 1982–2000. The course underwent a $4 million renovation by Jack Nicklaus in December 2002, and in 2007 became the home of The Honda Classic.

The Champion Course is a tough par 70 with two par 5’s, four tricky par 3’s and 12 par 4’s and will be a difficult test for the players this week. This course has Bermuda grass greens, which is a feature on every Florida course. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving, however the greens here are quite small, tricky and guarded by plenty of bunkers. With the breeze expected to get up a little bit, be on the lookout for good wind players that hit a lot of greens. There are over 100 bunkers on this course so good scrambling and sand saves will be essential.

Looking at the way this course sets up, it might be worth looking at par 3 performance as this course has four very tricky par 3’s with GIR, strokes gained putting and par 4 performance also key stats here. The “Bear Trap” is a key feature on this course with the par 3 15th, par 4 16th and par 3 17th being particularly difficult and could potentially offer a thrilling finish come Sunday night. The 18th is a straight forward par 5 and reachable with two good shots.

 

Rickie Fowler 12/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Rickie Fowler 12/1

Despite losing a playoff to Hideki Matsuyama in Phoenix a couple of weeks ago, Rickie Fowler comes to Florida in great form and well rested after taking last week off. He has started his season off with a T17 at The WGC HSBC Champions and followed that with a solo third at The Hero World Challenge, solo fifth at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, a win in Abu Dhabi and a P2 in Phoenix.

He has played well on The Champions Course in the past finishing T7 in 2012, T13 in 2013 and T24 in 2014. He ticks a lot of boxes statswise ranking 16th in GIR, 13th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP, fourth in par 4 scoring and first in par 5 scoring. Rickie is in super from at the moment and could have another good week after playing well here in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 22/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Patrick Reed 22/1

Patrick Reed has been playing solid for the last three months and looks like winning any day now. He started the season of with a T10 at The CIMB Classic and followed that with a T7 at The WGC HSBC Champions and a solo second at The Hero World Challenge. He started 2016 off with a solo second at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions and had a super week in Pebble Beach finishing T6 which included a 65 in the final round.

He has played well here over the last couple of years finishing T24 in 2014 and T7 last year. Reed ranks 18th in GIR, 20th in SGTTG, second in scrambling and fifth in par 4 scoring. If he carries the form he had in Pebble into this week he will be one to watch.

 

Branden Grace 30/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Branden Grace 30/1

The South African has been playing superb lately and had a great win in Qatar a couple of weeks ago finishing on 14 under for the week. He has a win and five top 10’s in his last six events. He finished the 2015 European Tour season off in style with a solo third at The DP Tour Championship and followed that with a T8 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and a T4 at The Nedbank. He started 2016 with a T4 at The SA Open, T5 in Abu Dhabi and a win in Qatar.

Statswise he ranks 33rd in GIR, 21st in SGTTG, 11th in sand saves and ninth in stroke average. Grace tends to play well on the tougher courses and could be a huge contender here.

 

Kevin Kisner 35/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Kevin Kisner 35/1

Despite a missed cut in Phoenix, Kisner has a win and three top 10’s in his last five starts and looks to be playing some super golf at the moment. He finished solo second at The WGC HSBC in Shanghai, which included an opening round 64 and followed that with a win at The RSM Classic shooting 64, 64 over the weekend to seal the victory. Kisner then started 2016 off with a solo ninth at the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and a T5 at The Sony, which included an opening round 63.

Kisner also ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 21st in both GIR and SGTTG and 14th in SGP. He also ranks second in par 4 scoring and ninth in par 5 scoring. He finished T51 here last year but comes here in much better form this time around.

 

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 Honda Classic Betting Preview 2016

Freddie Jacobson 60/1

Freddie has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 10’s in his last five events. He had a great week at The RSM Classic finishing solo fifth and followed that with a T4 at the weather delayed Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines. The Swede had another solid performance in Pebble finishing T4 and scrambled and putted superbly well.

He has a good record here finishing T12 in 2014, T25 in 2013, T16 in 2012, T6 in 2010 and T5 in 2009. He ranks 26th in SGP, 14th in scrambling and third in par 3 scoring and looks like a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Rickie Fowler 12/1 2pts EW

Patrick Reed 22/1 2pts EW

Branden Grace 30/1 1pt EW

Kevin Kisner 35/1 1pt EW

Freddie Jacobson 60/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Paddypower paying seven places this week

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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