TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee
Par 70 7,239 Yards
The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Chambers Bay. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.
The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.
Billy Horchel 14/1
Billy Horchel has been playing well over the last couple of months. His good form began back at The Valero Texas Open where he finished solo 3rd on four under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T17 at The WGC Matchplay, T13 at The Players Championship and a T11 at The Memorial last week in Ohio. He has played well here in the past finishing T6 last year and T10 in 2013.
Horchel seems to tick a lot of boxes statswise ranking 44th in driving distance, 15th in GIR, 28th in strokes gained putting and third in putting from 10 feet. With a good record here and great current form, Billy Horchel looks to be a good shout here.
Phil Mickelson 16/1
Phil hasn’t been firing on all cylinders so far this season, but he has put in some solid performances over the last couple of months. He had a respectable T17 at The Honda Classic, T17 in Houston, T2 at The Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo which would have been a lot better if he played that tricky 18th hole a bit better. Phil has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T2 in 2013.
Mickelson ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in birdie average, seventh in approaches from 175-200 and seventh in par 5 scoring. Phil will be looking to put in a good week before Chambers Bay next week and should have a good week on a course he has played well on in the past.
Webb Simpson 16/1
Webb has been showing some good form this season with three top 10’s in his last nine starts. He finished T7 at The Humana Challenge earlier this year and followed that with a T7 WGC Cadillac at Doral. Most recently, he finished T17 at The WGC Matchplay and had a great week at The Wells Fargo finishing T2, which included two 67’s in rounds one and two. He has played well here in the past finishing T3 last year.
Simpson ranks 32nd in driving accuracy, 19th in GIR, fourth in strokes gained tee to green and sixth in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 15th in scrambling, eighth in par 3 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. With good form over the last few months, Simpson could be a big danger man this week.
Brian Harman 60/1
Harman has been put together some great performances over the last few weeks with two top 10’s in his last four starts. He finished T8 at TPC Sawgrass shooting steady rounds of 71,69, 70,70 on his way to an eight under par total. He followed that with a T10 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial shooting four rounds in 60’s finishing nine under par in total. Harman played well here last year finishing T6, which included a superb second round 65.
Statswise he ranks ninth in putts from inside 10 feet and 11th in putts from six feet, which are two good stats for putts on these small, undulating greens. With good current form and a good previous performance here, Brian Harman could be a great each way bet here.
George McNeill – Top 20 Finish 7/2
George McNeill has put in some great performances lately with six top 20’s in his last ten starts. He finished T11 at The Honda Classic, T20 at The Valero Texas Open, T12 in New Orleans, T17 at The Players, T5 at Colonial and T13 last week at The Memorial. McNeill has played well here before finishing T28 last year, but comes here this week in much better form.
He ranks 32nd in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 200 yards, 15th in approaches from 150-175 and 11th in putts from 10-15 feet. McNeill also ranks 46th in par 4 scoring and 22nd in par 5 scoring. With great current form, George McNeill looks great value for a top 20 finish here.
Final Selections –
Billy Horchel 14/1 2pts EW
Webb Simpson 16/1 1.5 pts EW
Phil Mickelson 16/1 1.5 pts EW
Brian Harman 60/1 1 pt EW
George McNeill – Top 20 finish 2pts
Total staked = 14 pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
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