Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018

Wells Fargo Championship 2018 Betting PreviewThe Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina 

7,442 yards, Par 72 

The Course 

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte measuring 7,554 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Brian Harman (2017), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997, 2003 and 2013.  

It was lengthened fractionally in preparation for the 2017 PGA Championship with three holes redesigned. The eighth hole was reduced to just under 350 yards and will be drivable by some of the field and the 16th saw some big changes with water now coming into play. The 17th was also revamped and is also longer measuring just over 220 yards. The greens were also changed from bentgrass to champion bermuda from 2014 onwards due to some negative comments after the 2013 edition.  

The trees that line the fairways have been cut back and thinned out so driving accuracy isn’t as important as it used to be. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 346 yard par 4 16th, the 223 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form. 

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 20/1  

The Masters champion has been in flying form over the last few weeks and returns to a venue that has been kind to him in the past.  

Reed’s good run of form began back at the start of March where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to post a T2 at the Valspar in Copperhead, which included a 67,68 over the weekend. He then followed that with a T7 at Bay Hill and then travelled to the WGC Matchplay where he got himself into the last 16 but was knocked out by Swede Alex Noren 5&3. Reed tee’d it up with partner Patrick Cantlay last week at the Zurich Classic and finished T7 for the tournament and showed no signs of a major hangover.  

It was in Augusta where the American played superbly shooting 69,66,67 in the first three rounds. He capped off a great week with a final round 71, which was enough to see off Rickie Fowler and Jordan Spieth who were both snapping at his heels throughout Sunday afternoon.  

Reed played very solidly at this venue last year shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2, only two strokes behind winner Justin Thomas. If it weren’t for a disappointing second round 73, it possibly could’ve been a different outcome.   

His first PGA Tour victory came at the Wyndham Championship back in 2013 (where he won at around 80/1) in Greensboro, North Carolina close by so that could be another positive for him.  

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 25th in SGTTG. He also ranks 15th in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. He seems to be playing with a lot of confidence lately so the 20/1 looks pretty generous.  

 

Ryan Moore 23/10 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018Ryan Moore Top 20 Finish – 23/10 

Moore looks to be in fine form lately with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last nine starts. After finishing T7 at the OHL Classic in Mexico, he followed that with a T9 at the Genesis Open in Riviera which included two opening 68’s.  

He then travelled to Bay Hill shooting rounds of 71,67,69,71 to post 10 under in total and T5 for the tournament and followed that with a T16 at the RBC Heritage, which included three rounds of 69 or better.  

Most recently, Moore teed it up at the Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago posting an impressive solo seventh to finish 11 under for the tournament which warms him up nicely for this week.  

His first PGA Tour victory came here in North Carolina at the 2009 Wyndham Championship in Sedgefield Country Club so that could be another big positive here. His record here in Quail Hollow is impressive with two top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last six appearances here finishing fifth in 2012, sixth in 2013, T18 in 2014 and T13 last year.

 

I fancied a few others in this market like Kevin Streelman, Trey Mullinax and Ben An all playing well and reasonably priced so they could also be worth a look.  

 

Final Selections –  

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW  *Paddypower paying 8 places at 1/5* 

Ryan Moore Top 20 3pts at 23/10

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Enjoy the golf and good luck if you’re having a punt, 

Doublebogey6

RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview 2015

RBC Canadian Open 2015 betting preview and tips

Glen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario

Par 72, 7,253 yards

 

Last Week at St Andrews

Well we came close to winner number 12 yesterday in the final round of The Open Championship with Louis Oosthuizen giving us a run for our money getting into a playoff with Zach Johnson and Marc Leishman. Sadly he missed his birdie putt on 18 to the left and handed the Claret Jug to Zach Johnson, who played superbly well throughout the week. That’s the second playoff loss for us over the last three weeks, lets turn that around here in Canada this week.

 

The Course

Glen Abbey hosts the RBC Canadian Open for the 26th time this year and was designed by Jack Nicklaus. Most recently, the event took place here in 2004,2008,2009 and 2013 so it will be worth checking for players with good course history. It is located near Lake Ontario and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. Three of the four par 5’s are on the back nine (13,16,18) which are three of the easiest holes on the course and will offer up some birdies and possibly eagles on the way in.

The opening nine holes are quite flat and shouldn’t be too much of a problem for the players to negotiate. However the back nine could be a little bit trickier with a distinguishing feature of the Glen Abbey course are the “Valley Holes”, numbered 11 through 15. On number 11, a par 4, players tee off a cliff to a fairway that is approximately 60 feet below on the valley floor. The second shot must clear Sixteen Mile Creek to the green. Holes 12, 13 and 14 all use Sixteen Mile Creek as a hazard of one form or another. Number 15 is a short par 3 with a sharply-sloping green, after which players climb out of the valley to the 16th hole.

Key areas of focus here are GIR, scrambling, par breakers, par 4 and par 5 scoring and strokes gained putting. This course is quite short for PGA Tour standards so players with a bit of length along with good putting, scrambling and accurate iron play are worth considering here. The weather forecast is to be mixed throughout the week starting mainly dry with some showers and possibly thunderstorms forecast for Saturday and Sunday.

 

Jim Furyk 16/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Jim Furyk 16/1

The two time winner of this event comes here in good form returning to a course he has played well on in the past. Furyk had a respectable T30 finish last week in St Andrews posting a six under total for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last few months and managed to get his first win in a number of years at The RBC Heritage in Hilton Head beating Kevin Kisner in a playoff. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 finish at The Memorial.

Furyk has won this event twice before, 2006 and 2007, and has also recorded two top 10’s in his last two appearances. He was T9th at this course in 2013 and followed that with a solo second last year in Montreal finishing just one stroke behind the winner Tim Clark. Statswise, Furyk ranks ninth in driving accuracy, 15th in GIR and seventh in strokes gained tee to green. He also ranks fifth in approaches from 200 yards and third in approaches from 100 yards, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. With good current form and a great record at this event, Furyk ticks all the boxes here and could be a big contender.

 

Luke Donald 22/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Luke Donald 22/1

With three top 12’s in his last four events, Luke Donald seems to be back showing some solid form. He had a good week in St Andrews finishing T12 on nine under for the tournament and also played well at The Scottish Open shooting an impressive final round 66 to finish T7. He showed some great consistency at The Travelers shooting 68,68,67,66 on his way to a T7 and nine under total for the week. Donald has played well at this event in the past finishing T24 here in 2009, solo third in 2010 and T17 in 2011.

He is averaging just over 275 yards off the tee hitting around 60% of fairways so far this season and ranks 14th in approaches from 125-150, 13th in approaches from 250-275 and 11th in approaches from 100 yards, three good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s. Donald is another player with a great record at the event and comes here this week showing some good form over the last couple of weeks.

 

Brooks Koepka 22/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

Brooks Koepka 22/1

This will be the American’s first visit to Glen Abbey and The Canadian Open and it could prove a pretty profitable one given his current form. Koepka shot an impressive final round 68 in St Andrews last week to finish T10. He also played well at The Scottish Open finishing in a respectable T22 on six under, which included a 68 in round 2 and a 66 in round 3. His form across the pond has also been decent finishing T18 at the very tricky Chambers Bay, T3 at The Fedex St Jude and T16 at the Byron Nelson.

Koepka ticks a lot of statistical boxes here ranking ninth in driving distance, 18th in GIR, ninth in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. He is already a proven winner on The PGA Tour this season with a win in Phoenix and has the power to feast on these par 5’s and make a lot of birdies.

 

JB Holmes 33/1 RBC Canadian Open 2015

J.B. Holmes 33/1

J.B. has had a pretty good season so far with a win at The Shell Houston Open and a further four top 10 finishes. He lost a playoff to Jason Day at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines and followed that with a T10 in Pebble Beach, solo second at The WGC Cadillac and a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. Despite missing the cut at St Andrews last week, he finished in a respectable T22 at The Greenbrier the week before and T27 at Chambers Bay, so his current form is good.

He has played well here in the past finishing T16 on this course in 2009 and T15 in 2012. Holmes also looks good statistically ranking sixth in driving distance, 11th in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 75-100 and 31st in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the 10 par 4’s. J.B. is another huge hitter and should be another player that can dominate these par 5’s.

 

Greg Owen RBC Canadian Open 3/1 Top 20 Finish

Greg Owen – Top 20 Finish 3/1

Owen had a great week at The Open in St Andrews shooting a final round 69 to finish T20 on seven under for the tournament. He has been showing some great form over the last few weeks finishing T6 at The Greenbrier on 11 under for the week and solo second at The FedEx St Jude, which included a superb opening round 64. Owen has played well here at Glen Abbey in the past finishing in a respectable T12 in 2013.

He ranks 25th in GIR, first in approaches from 100-125, second in approaches from 50-125 and ninth in approaches from 150-175. He also ranks 14th in par 4 scoring and 39th in scrambling and comes here this week in much better form than he did in 2013.

 

Final Selections –

Jim Furyk 16/1 1.5pts EW

Luke Donald 22/1 1.5pts EW

Brooks Koepka 22/1 1.5pts EW

J.B. Holmes 33/1 1.5pts EW

Greg Owen 3/1 Top 20 3 pts win

Total staked = 15 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6

 

 

 

 

AT&T Byron Nelson Championship Betting Preview 2015

AT-T Byron Nelson Championship 2015 Betting Preview 2015

TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas 

7,166 yards, par 70

The Course

This course was originally designed by Jay Morrish in consultation with Byron Nelson and Ben Crenshaw in 1983, but underwent some major changes in 2007. The layout now has large, undulating greens which invite the players to use the slopes to get their shots closer to the pins. There are also quite a lot of run off areas so ball control will be key as poor shots will be severely penalizing. This course has two challenging par 5’s, neither of which is a guaranteed birdie and four par 3’s.

There was a lot of tree landscaping done that brings ponds and creeks into play. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 performance will be important here. Strokes gained putting, GIR, approaches from 150+ and driving accuracy will also be key stats to consider here at TPC Four Seasons this week. The 18th hole features a unique “water cascade” that extends from the landing area to the green.

 

Dustin Johnson 12/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Dustin Johnson 12/1

Dustin Johnson returns to TPC Four Seasons this week to a course he has played so well on in the past. He has three top 10 finishes here in his last four appearances finishing T7 last year, T20 in 2011, T7 again in 2010 and fourth in 2009. His current form has been mixed with a win, two top 10’s and a top 20 in his last five starts. He won the WGC Cadillac in style back in March, T6 at The Valero Texas Open, T6 at The Masters and a T17 at The WGC Matchplay. Since finishing T69 at The Players Championship, Johnson has taken a break and should be well rested coming here this week.

Statswise he ranks first in driving distance, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, third in approaches from 175-200, third in approaches from 200 and fifth in par 5 scoring. With a good history here and decent form this season, DJ could be a big danger man here considering he has taken the last few weeks off.

 

Gary Woodland 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Gary Woodland 33/1

Woodland is another player that is a horse for the course around here finishing T7 last year and a respectable T24 in 2012. He has been playing very solid over the last few weeks finishing T21 at The Arnold Palmer Invitational, T26 at The Texas Open, second at The WGC Matchplay and T4 at The Wells Fargo a couple of weeks ago. This 7,166 yard par 70 should be right up Woodlands street with its tree lined fairways and large undulating greens.

He ranks 10th in driving distance, 17th in approaches from 100-125, 16th in putting from 10 feet and eighth in putting from 25 feet, which are two good stats for these big undulating greens. He has really been impressive over the last few weeks, especially with the flat stick and I think that could really stand to him here.

 

Charley Hoffman 33/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Charley Hoffman 33/1

Charley had yet another solid performance last week in Colonial recording his fourth top 11 finish in his last seven starts. His good run of form began back at the end of March where he finished T11 at The Texas Open. He followed that with another T11 in Houston, T9 at The Masters, T30 at The Players and a T10 last week in Colonial. Charley has played well here in the past finishing T8 in 2013, T7 in 2008 and T8 in 2006.

Hoffman is averaging 294 yards off the tee ranking 38th in driving distance. He also ranks 35th in par 4 scoring, 40th in GIR, 39th in strokes gained tee to green and 24th in birdie average. He also ranks 14th in approaches from 150-175 and first in approaches from 275, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s and par 5’s.

 

Marc Leishman 40/1 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship

Marc Leishman 40/1

Leishman has been showing good form over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 30 in his last four starts. He finished in a respectable T27 last week at Colonial, T24 at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and T28 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He has a great history around here with five top 12’s in six appearances. He finished T3 last year, T12 in 2013, T3 again in 2012, T12 in 2010 and T8 in 2009.

Leishman ranks second in approaches from 150-175, 27th in approaches from 225-250 and first in putts from 15 feet. These are good stats for approaches into the 12 par 4’s and tricky par 5’s. With a super history here and decent current form, the Aussie is great value at 40/1 on a course he knows so well.

 

Danny Lee Top 20 7/2 AT&T Byron Nelson Championship 2015

Top 20 Finish –

Danny Lee 7/2

Danny Lee is showing some decent form over the last couple of months with four top 10’s and a top 25 in his last ten starts. His good run of form began back in the middle of March where he finished T7 at The Valspar and followed that with a T17 at The API in Bay Hill, T22 at The Zurich Classic of New Orleans, T13 at The Wells Fargo and T10 last week at Colonial. Lee has played here three times before with an MC last year, T19 in 2012 and T13 in 2009.

He ranks 42nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in approaches from 50-125, 24th in approaches from 125-150 and 31st in approaches from 150-175 yards. He also ranks 13th in approaches from 200, 15th in approaches from 175-200 and fourth in par 3 scoring. With two top 20’s in three appearances and good current form, Lee Is a good shout for a top 20 finish here at 7/2.

 

Final Selections –

Dustin Johnson 12/1 2 pts EW

Gary Woodland 33/1 1 pt EW

Charley Hoffman 33/1 1 pt EW

Marc Leishman 40/1 1 pt EW

Danny Lee (Top20) 7/2 2 pts

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf.

 

Doublebogey6

Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63

Like me on Facebook www.facebook.com/doublebogey6