FedEx St.Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016

FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016TPC Southwind, Memphis, Tennessee

Par 70 7,239 Yards

The Course

The FedEx St. Jude Classic is held in Memphis, Tennessee and has been held annually since 1958, and is currently played at TPC Southwind, its home since 1989. This will be the final tournament before the US Open next week in Oakmont. TPC Southwind is a 7,239 yard par 70 with two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.

The fairways here are undulating and narrow and will demand a fair amount of accuracy. The rough isn’t too penal so it’s not the end of the world if you’re a bit erratic off the tee. There are roughly 100 bunkers with 10 water hazards coming into play with various streams, lakes and ponds scattered around the course. The greens here are quite small and undulating and will demand accurate iron shots and good putting in order to make birdies. The main areas of focus here are GIR, strokes gained tee to green, strokes gained putting, par 4 and par 3 scoring and current/previous form.

 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Brooks Koepka 14/1

Brooks came very close to winning the Byron Nelson a couple of weeks ago after shooting rounds of 65,64,65 in the first three rounds. His game looked in great shape but he let the tournament slip through his fingers after shooting a final round 71 and was beaten by Sergio Garcia in a playoff. Despite that he still finished second and played solidly all week. He also played well at The WGC Matchplay finishing fifth and followed that with a T21 at The Masters. He has a good record here at TPC Southwind finishing third here last year and T19 in 2014.

Koepka is averaging over 300 yards off the tee and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After coming close to a win at The Byron Nelson, Brooks could bounce back strongly here this week.

 

Ryan Palmer 16/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Ryan Palmer 16/1

Palmer has been playing well over the last few weeks with two top 5’s and a top 25 in his last four starts. He had a great week in Texas shooting 68,70,72,69 on his way to a T4 finish and followed that with a respectable T23 at The Players Championship. Most recently he came close to winning the Dean and Deluca Invitational at Colonial and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish T3 on 13 under for the tournament. He has a good record here finishing third in 2012, fourth in 2013, T32 in 2014 and T22 last year.

He is averaging over 300 yards off the tee ranking eighth in driving distance and ranks second in par 5 scoring. He seem to be heating up just at the right time and could be a big danger here.

 

Harris English 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Harris English 25/1

English seems to be showing some form over the last few weeks. He had a good performance back in February finishing solo third in Phoenix and followed that with a solo 10th at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. More recently he played well at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and then had a solo second at The Dean and Deluca Invitational in Colonial in which he didn’t shoot worse than a 69 over the four rounds.

English will have good memories coming back here after winning in 2013 and could easily follow that up with another good performance this week.

 

Colt Knost 40/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Colt Knost 40/1

Knost has been in tip top form lately and had another impressive top 5 finish at The Byron Nelson finishing T4 after shooting 63,69,65 over the weekend which was his second 63 in three weeks. He was very impressive in Sawgrass finishing third and shot a superb 63 in round two to finish 10 under for the week. He has shown glimpses of good from finishing T16 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines back in February, T26 at The Honda and T14 at the TBC Heritage recently.

Knost has played here three times before finishing T15 in 2011, MC in 2013 and T12 last year. He ranks second in driving accuracy, 28th in SGP and first in putting inside 10 feet. Knost is in good form and looks great value considering his current form.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 FedEx St Jude Classic Betting Preview 2016Daniel Berger 25/1 

Despite a poor performance at Memorial last week, Berger is playing great over the last few weeks he hasn’t finished worse than T20 in six of his last eight starts. He played well at The Valspar finishing T11 and followed that with a T5 in Houston, T10 at The Masters and T20 in New Orleans. Most recently he had a good week at The Wells Fargo finishing T17 and T9 at The Players Championship.

He looks to have the game to suit this course ranking 25th in driving distance and 25th in par 4 scoring. Berger is in great form at the moment and could have another good week here on a course that could suit him.

 

Final Selections – 

Brooks Koepka 14/1 1.5pts EW

Ryan Palmer 16/1 1.5pts EW

Harris English 25/1 1pt EW

Colt Knost 40/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 1pt EW

Total staked = 12 pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Sony Open Betting Preview 2016

Waialae Country Club, Honalulu, Hawaii  

Par 70, 7,044 yards 

The Course 

This week the PGA Tour stays in Hawaii and travels to Waialae Country Club, which is located east of Honolulu for the Sony Open. Previous winners include Jimmy Walker (2015 and 2014), Russell Henley (2013), Johnson Wagner (2012), Mark Wilson (2011) and Ryan Palmer (2010).

Waialae is a par 70 measuring 7,044 yards and sits on Maunalua Bay, which can be prone to windy conditions. It has 12 par 4’s, four par 3’s and just two par 5’s which measure 499 and 521 yards and should be reachable in two by most of the field. This course is different from Kapalua with Waialae being a lot tighter and flatter with small greens. The fairways are narrow and tree lined, which will favour the more accurate players. The greens here are much smaller compared to the generously sized greens last week at The Plantation Course.

Although these fairways are a tighter, there are also a lot of fairway bunkers to contend with so driving accuracy will be important this week. The tiny greens are Bermuda grass and are guarded by hazards so look out for good GIR stats, good scramblers and good Bermuda putters with an emphasis on strokes gained tee to green.

 

Jimmy Walker 14/1 Sony Open 2016

Jimmy Walker  14/1

Walker hasn’t been firing on all cylinders in his last couple of tournaments but he seems to be coming back showing some form just in time for The Sony. He started2015/2016 campaign off with a T50 at the Shriners shooting 66,67,69 and then played poorly in the final round shooting a disappointing 78. He followed that with a respectable T8 at The Hero World Challenge to finish 17 under for the week. Last week at The Hyundai he finished in an impressive T10 on 15 under for the week which included a very impressive third round 64.

He has a great record at Waialae winning this event the last two years in a row. He also finished T26 in 2013 and solo fourth in 2011. With good previous form on this course and two decent performances over the last few weeks, Jimmy Walker looks a good shout here this week.

 

Justin Thomas 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Justin Thomas 30/1

Thomas has been playing well since the end of last season finishing T13 at The BMW, T16 at The Barclays and T18 at The PGA Championship. He started the new season in style only finishing outside the top 30 once in his last five events. He had a great week at The Frys.com Open finishing T3 on 14 under par for the week and followed that with a superb performance at The CIMB Classic beating Kevin Na in a playoff to secure his first PGA Tour victory.

Most recently he finished in a respectable T27 at The WGC HSBC Champions and T21 last week at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions. He has only played here once before which was last year when he finished T6 on 12 under par for the tournament which included a superb second round 61. With a great start to the season and a good performance last year, Thomas could be a huge contender here.

 

Harris English 30/1 Sony Open 2016

Harris English 30/1

English has been coming back into some form over the last few months and ended the 2014/2015 season with a T22 at The Tour Championship, T19 at The BMW and T12 at The Deutsche Bank. The American has been showing some good form recently with three top 25’s in his last four starts. He had a good week at The WGC HSBC Champions finishing in a respectable T23 and followed that with a T25 at The RSM Classic and a T2 at The Franklin Templeton Shootout.

He is another player with a superb record in Waialae finishing T3 last year where he lead par 4 scoring and hit the ball beautifully off the tee, T4 in 2014 and T9 in 2013. He leads strokes gained putting so far this season which will be a big help here this week on these small Bermuda greens.

 

Marc Leishman 35/1 Sony Open 2016

Marc Leishman 35/1

Leishman started the new season off with a T29 at The CIMB Classic which included a final round 66 to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T11 at the WGC HSBC Champions shooting 65,68 over the weekend to finish 14 under par for the tournament. The Aussie then went to South Africa in early December and played superb all week shooting 68,68,66,67 to win the Nedbank Challenge on 19 under, six shots clear of runner up Henrik Stenson.

He has great form at Waialae finishing T5 in 2014, T9 in 2013, T27 in 2011 and T20 in 2010. Leishman has shown that he is a good wind player with a brilliant performance at The Open Championship losing to Zach Johnson in a playoff. He seems to be showing some super form at present and looks great value here on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Chris Kirk 45/1 Sony Open 2016

Chris Kirk 45/1

Chris Kirk has been playing well over the last few weeks with three top 25’s in his last three starts. He had a good week at The RSM Classic finishing T18 on nine under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The Hero World Challenge and finished T24th last week in Kapalua where he was fifth in GIR and 12th in Driving Accuracy which are two encouraging stats coming into this week.

He has a superb record around this course finishing T26 last year, T2 in 2014, T5 in 2013 and T30 in 2011. Kirk is a real horse for the course here and could have a great each way chance this week especially with good current form.

 

Final Selections –

Jimmy Walker 14/1 2pts EW

Justin Thomas 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Harris English 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Marc Leishman 35/1 1 pt EW

Chris Kirk 45/1 1 pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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Hyundai Tournament of Champions Betting Preview 2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Plantation Course, Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii 

Par 73, 7,452 yards 

The Course 

Happy New Year everyone it’s great to be back. We kick off 2016 with The Hyundai Tournament of Champions which starts on Thursday night. This tournament is only for previous winners and has a limited field of only 32.

The Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort is a par 73 measuring a lengthy 7,453 yards. It is quite open and runs along the slopes of the West Maui Mountains and is quite exposed to the elements. It generally suits the big hitters if they can keep it in the fairway with three of the four par 5’s reachable in two. The 18th is a 663 yard par 5 that plays a lot shorter, as it runs downhill and should be reachable by some of the longer hitters. It also has three tricky par 3’s and 11 par 4’s.

Accuracy off the tee is not hugely important here as the fairways are quite wide and forgiving. The greens are also quite big with some of the approaches having uphill and downhill slopes into the greens which have some undulations. Hitting the right part of the green will be key to making birdies so proximity to the hole could be worth a look.

Good putters have done well here with the likes of Patrick Reed (2015), Zach Johnson (2014), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Steve Stricker (2012, 2nd 2013) being past winners. Stats such as strokes gained putting and strokes gained tee to green will be worth a look. With 11 par 4’s on this course, it is also worth considering par 4 scoring and GIR. The weather looks to be mild with very little wind so scoring should be low with the winner averaging around the 20 under mark judging from previous years.

 

Patrick Reed 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Patrick Reed 10/1

The American played great golf in Asia before Christmas with four top 10’s in five starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting rounds of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 at The CIMB in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week and a solo second finish at The BMW Masters where he lost a playoff to Kristoffer Broberg on the first playoff hole.

Reed had a great week at The Hero World Challenge at the start of December finishing solo second and was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team in Korea. He had a good end to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has a good record here at Kapalua with a win last year and a T16 in 2014. Statswise he is hitting just under 70% of fairways off the tee and ranks fourth in GIR. If he brings that good form into this week in Hawaii he will be a huge contender and looks like he’s right on the cusp of a win any day now.

 

Bubba Watson 10/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Bubba Watson 10/1

Bubba has been playing solid golf over the last few weeks finishing T15 at The Thailand Golf Championships and a win at The Hero World Challenge in his last two starts. He had a great season in 2015 and finished strongly with three top 10’s in his last four FedExCup Playoff events. He had a great week at The Barclays shooting four rounds in the 60’s to finish 11 under for the week. He followed that with a T10 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Watson was also part of the winning US Presidents Cup Team in Korea.

He has played well here on this course in the past finishing T10 last year, T4 in 2013 and T18 in 2012. Last season he ranked second in driving distance, first in strokes gained tee to green and 19th in GIR. Watson is another player coming into this week showing fantastic current form and should go well on a course that should suit his length.

 

Kevin Kisner 18/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Kevin Kisner 18/1

Kisner has had a great season so far and started with a respectable T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas. He followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia which included a second round 65. Kisner then had a superb week in elite company at The WGC HSBC Champions in Shanghai where he finished solo second. The American started 64,66 and followed that with two 70’s to finish 18 under par for the tournament. At The RSM Classic he played superbly well all week shooting 65,67,64,64 to finish 22 under par for the week and record his first PGA Tour victory.

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes for this course ranking 29th in driving accuracy, ninth in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in SGP and 11th in par 4 scoring. He has proven to be a good wind player and has played well on seaside setups in the past. He came close to his first PGA Tour victory at Hilton Head where he lost the second playoff hole to Jim Furyk at The RBC Heritage. With superb current form, Kisner could go well on a course that could suit his game.

 

Graeme McDowell 25/1 Hyundai Tournament of Champions 2016

Graeme McDowell 25/1

Over the last few weeks we have seen Gmac coming back and showing some great form. He came back with a bang at The OHL Classic in Mexico beating Jason Bohn in a playoff. He played a magnificent five iron into four feet on the first playoff hole and drained the putt for a tournament winning birdie. He then followed that with a solo third at The RSM Classic showing some superb consistency shooting 67,68,65,67 to finish 15 under for the week. He was then paired up with Gary Woodland in The Franklin Templeton Shootout and finished T6.

So far this season he ranks eighth in driving accuracy, sixth in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. McDowell has played only once here before finishing third in 2011. He tends to relish seaside courses and could be in his element if the wind blows.

 

Final Selections –

Patrick Reed 10/1 2pts EW

Bubba Watson 10/1 2pts EW

Kevin Kisner 18/1 1.5 pts EW

Graeme McDowell 25/1 1.5 pts EW

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

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RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

RSM Classic 2015 betting preview

RSM Classic Betting Preview 2015

Seaside Course and Plantation Course, Sea Island, Georgia 

Seaside Course : 7,055 yards, Par 70

Plantation Course : 7,058 yards, Par 72 

The Courses

The PGA Tour travels to the windy Seaside Course in Georgia this week, where Robert Streb is the defending champion. There is going to be a slight change this year with the players playing one of their first two rounds in the nearby Plantation Course, which is a par 72 measuring 7,058 yards before the 36-hole cut. The main venue The Seaside Course will host the third and final rounds.

Previous winners include Heath Slocum (2010), Ben Crane (2011), Tommy Gainey (2012), Chris Kirk (2013) and Robert Streb (2014). The main thing that stands out here is that length is not important, however SGP, greens in regulation and par 4 scoring stats are certainly worth mentioning.

The Seaside course is a par 70 measuring 7,055 yards. It was developed in 1999 by designer Tom Fazio and can be a tough test, especially if the wind gets up. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s.  It has links style Bermuda greens that have tricky run off areas. It has a links style with creeks, sand dunes and marshes. The fairways are quite generous but any wayward tee shots could find long grass or one of the many strategically placed bunkers.  This course holds some similarities to Harbour Town Golf Links which hosts The RBC Heritage and is exposed to wind. The main areas of focus on this course are current form and previous form, SGP,GIR, par 4 scoring, SGTTG and SGP.

The Plantation Course is a par 72 and measures 7,058 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined and quite forgiving with some water hazards to contend with on around 9 of the 18 holes. Similar to The Seaside Course, wind will be a factor here as this course is also quite exposed. The greens are also Bermuda and are average size. The main areas of focus here will be par 4 scoring, SGP, GIR and SGTTG.

The weather looks set to be mixed with the threat of rain and storms on Thursday. After that, generally nice and somewhat cool conditions are expected. There will also be the possibility of strong northerly winds which could be reflective on the scoring.

 

Kevin Kisner 16/1 RSM Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 16/1

After opening with an impressive 64 in round one at The WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai recently, the American went on to shoot 66,70,70 to finish solo second on 18 under for the week. Kisner had a decent start to the season finishing T25 at The Shriners Open in Vegas and followed that with a T37 at The CIMB Classic, which included a second round 65. He had a good finish to the 2014/2015 season finishing T20 at The Barclays and T12 at The Deutsche Bank.

He also played exceptionally well at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town, which is a similar style of golf course, earlier this year shooting 68,67,67,64 to get himself into a playoff with Jim Furyk. He lost on the third playoff hole but played very well tee to green. Kisner has played well here over the years finishing T4 last year and T20 in 2013.

He ranks 28th in SGTTG, 37th in par 4 scoring and second in approaches from 125-150 yards, which is a good yardage for approaches into the par 4’s. He played superb in Shanghai recently and if he brings that form here this week he will be right in the mix come Sunday.

 

Patrick Rodgers 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 25/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last four starts. I tipped Rodgers last week at The OHL Classic and he finished T10 seven strokes behind the winner Graeme McDowell. He played steady throughout the week shooting 67,66,69,71 to finish 11 under for the tournament. He had a great start to the new season finishing T6 at The Frys, T13 at The Shriners and T20 at The Sanderson Farms and looks to be showing some great consistency.

He ranks 22nd in GIR, fifth in SGTTG and sixth in par 5 scoring and has been hitting over 75% on greens in regulation in his last four tournaments. If he continues playing the way he is and makes a few putts, Rodgers could be a big danger man here.

 

Patton Kizzire 28/1 RSM Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 28/1

The Sea Island native will be on home turf this week which makes him very appealing here despite a poor performance last week. He finished T58 in Mexico but started well with a 66 in round one. He started the new season very well and had a great performance at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners, 73% at The Sanderson Farms and 69% last week in Mexico.

He ranks 16th in SGTTG, eighth in SGP and 17th in par 4 scoring. Kizzire has had a great start to the season and could have another great week here playing on home turf.

 

Russell Henley 33/1 RSM Classic 2015

Russell Henley 33/1

Henley had a good start at The Frys shooting a 67,69 in the first two rounds but fell off the pace with a 72,74 over the weekend to finish T41. He bounced back after putting in a decent performance at The Shriners in Vegas shooting rounds 68,69,68,66 on his way to a solo 10th. He had a decent finish to the 2014/2015 season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and a T12 at The PGA Championship. Henley has played well here at Sea Island in the past finishing T4 last year. He led after two rounds last year and ranked seventh in strokes gained putting and T1 in par-4 scoring.

He ranks 33rd in SGP and 24th in par 4 scoring so far this season and comes here in good form after a top 10 finish at The Shriners and could be one to watch here.

 

Brendon de Jonge 50/1 RSM Classic

Brendon De Jonge 50/1

De Jonge has had a mediocre start to the season. He missed the cut at The Frys but bounced back with a T13 at The Shriners and played well all week shooting 67,66,73,67 to finish 11 under for the week. He also hit over 70% of greens in regulation. He followed that with a respectable T27 at The CIMB in Malaysia finishing on 12 under in total. He was also pretty accurate with his irons hitting just over 80% of GIR that week.

De Jonge has a great record here at Sea Island finishing T2 last year, T16 in 2013, T4 in 2012 and T15 in 2010. With solid form here over the last few years, Brendon could be a great each way bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Kisner 16/1 2pts EW

Patrick Rodgers 25/1 1.5pts EW

Patton Kizzire 28/1 1.5pts EW

Russell Henley 33/1 1pt EW

Brendon De Jonge 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

That’s if from me for this year. A huge thanks to everyone who has read my blogs throughout the season, ill be back in early January for the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Have a great Christmas and a Happy New Year!

 

Doublebogey6

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OHL Classic at Mayakoba Betting Preview 2015

OHL Classic at Myakoba Betting Preview 2015

El Camaleon GC, Playa Del Carmen, Mexico 

6,987 Yards, Par 71

The Course

After an eventful finish to the weather delayed Sanderson Farms Championship, The PGA Tour travels to El Camaleon Golf Club in Mexico for The OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Previous winners here include Charley Hoffman (2014), Harris English (2013), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Brian Gay (2008). Harris English holds the tournament record shooting an impressive 21 under par 263 total to win in 2013.

This course was designed by Greg Norman and is classed as one of the easiest courses on The PGA Tour. It has three par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways here are quite large and forgiving but there are hazards to contend with. It winds between three different landscapes – Tropical jungle, dense mangroves, sand lined oceanfront and thick vegetation.  The greens here are Paspalum grass and are average size with water hazards coming into play on roughly half of the holes.

Looking at previous winners here, it appears that hitting a lot of greens in regulation and good putters tend to fare well on this course. Last year’s winner Charley Hoffman ranked fourth in GIR last year and made a lot of great putts. Key stats on this course are GIR, strokes gained tee to green and par 4 scoring. Good wind players will also fare well at this venue as it’s located on the Caribbean Sea. It may also be worth looking at players who have played well on other similar seaside courses such as Waialae Country Club, host of the Sony Open in Hawaii and Harbour Town Golf Links, which hosts the RBC Heritage.

The weather forecast looks to be mixed for the week with some humidity along with cloud, some showers and the possibility of thunderstorms with moderate winds.

 

Jason Bohn 20/1 OHL Classic Betting Preview 2015

Jason Bohn 20/1

The American has had a good start to the season with two top 5’s in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T3, which included a superb third round 64 to finish 14 under par for the tournament. He followed that with a T2 at The Shriners Open in Vegas shooting 68,66,69,68 on his way to a 15 under par total. He started well last week at The Sanderson Farms Championship shooting 67,70,70 in the first three rounds but fell off the pace after shooting a 73 in the final round to finish T39.

Bohn has played well here in the past finishing T7 last year, T3 in 2013 and T19 in 2011. He ranks 18th in GIR, 14th in SGTTG and 14th in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season Bohn could be a huge contender here this week considering his previous record at El Camaleon.

 

Patrick Rodgers 20/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patrick Rodgers 20/1

The youngster has been playing great golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last three starts. He had a great week at The Frys finishing T6 on 12 under and followed that with a T13 at The Shriners in Vegas, which included an opening round 65. Rodgers followed that with another good performance last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing T20. He started very well shooting 70,64,70 and then slightly fell off the pace with a mediocre final round 73.

He has been a GIR machine over his last three tournaments hitting over 75% of greens and demolishing the par 5’s. He ranks 16th in GIR, seventh in SGTTG and fifth in par 5 scoring. After another good performance last week, I think Rodgers will continue that good run of form here.

 

Patton Kizzire 22/1 OHL Classic 2015

Patton Kizzire 22/1

The Web.com graduate has had a fantastic start to life on The PGA Tour finishing inside the top 4 in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Shriners shooting 65,69,72,63 on his way to a 15 under par T2 finish. He followed that with another solid performance last week at the weather delayed Sanderson Farms finishing on 16 under and T4 for the tournament. He has been extremely accurate with his irons hitting just under 80% of greens at The Shriners and 73% of greens last week at The Sanderson Farms.

He ranks 48th in GIR, 31st in SGTTG and 10th in SGP. He also ranks 11th in par 3 scoring and 25th in par 4 scoring so far this season. After another good performance las week, Kizzire could continue the trend of first time winners here this week in Mexico.

 

Brendan Steele 25/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brendan Steele 25/1

Steele is another player having a solid start to the season showing some good early form. He played well at The Frys shooting an opening round 63 and followed that with 70,69,76 to finish T17 on 10 under for the tournament. He missed the cut at The Shriners but bounced back strongly with a T3 at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia. He was in the final group with Kevin Na and Justin Thomas on Sunday and played very well but was unlucky not to make a few more putts.

Steele has played well here in the past finishing in a respectable T37 here last year and T16 in 2013. Statswise he ranks 40th in GIR, 26th in SGTTG and 23rd in par 4 scoring. After a good start to the season, Steele should continue that good form this week.

 

Brett Stegmaier 60/1 OHL Classic 2015

Brett Stegmaier 60/1

Stegmaier has shot a 70 or better in his last eight competitive rounds and has played very well over the last couple of weeks. He had a shaky start to the season at The Frys but bounced back with a T2 at The Shriners. He showed some super consistency shooting 66,66,68,69 on his way to a 15 under total playing the par 5’s in -10 for the week. He followed that with a T15 last week at The Sanderson Farms finishing on 12 under par in total.

Statswise he is hitting just over 75% of greens in regulation and ranks 22nd in par 4 scoring. Stegmaier is great value this week considering his current form and could be a great each way shout here.

 

Final Selections –

Jason Bohn 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patrick Rodgers 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Patton Kizzire 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Brendan Steele 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Brett Stegmaier 1 pt EW 60/1

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2015

Sheshan International GC, Shanghai, China

Par 72, 7,261 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club where Bubba Watson is the defending champion. He finished off in style last year by chipping in for eagle on the 18th and went on to beat Tim Clark in a playoff.

Previous winners include Phil Mickelson (2009), Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Ian Poulter (2012), Dustin Johnson (2013) and Bubba Watson (2014). Dustin Johnson holds the 72 hole record here with a score of 264 (2013).

Sheshan International is a par 72 measuring 7,261 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

Length tends to be a plus here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. Bear in mind that Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson have won the last two staging’s here and both are statistically huge hitters with average accuracy off the tee.

The main areas of focus for me are current/previous form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring. All four days look to be a bit mixed averaging from 21-25 degrees with the risk of rain and the possibility of thunderstorms.

 

Bubba Watson 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Bubba Watson 18/1

Bubba comes here in great form after winning The Presidents Cup with the American Team a couple of weeks ago in Korea. He also had a great finish to the season finishing solo second at The WGC Bridgestone, T21 at The PGA, solo third at The Barclays, T10 at The BMW and T5 at The Tour Championship. He played superbly well here last year and dramatically chipped in for an eagle on the 18th to force Tim Clark into a playoff, which he went on to win. Watson lead driving distance and par 5 scoring that week playing the par 5’s in 14 under for the week.

He also played well here in 2013 finishing T8 so the course seems to suit his eye. Bubba ticks a lot of boxes statistically here ranking second in driving distance, 19th in GIR and first in SGTTG. He also leads par 5 scoring and ranks seventh in par 4 scoring. After a solid finish to the season and a good performance at The Presidents Cup, Bubba Watson could have another good week here at Sheshan.

 

Rickie Fowler 18/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Rickie Fowler 18/1

Rickie had a mediocre performance at The Frys shooting 72,65,70,68 to finish T25 for the tournament. However he did have a good finish to the season with a T10 at The WGC Bridgestone, a win at The Deutsche Bank, a T4 at The BMW and a T12 at The Tour Championship. He was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup Team in Korea. He has played well here in Sheshan in the past finishing T3 here last year only one stroke from getting in the playoff with Bubba Watson and Tim Clark.

Statswise he ranks 39th in driving distance averaging 296 off the tee, 35th in SGP and 26th in SGTTG. He also ranks 18th in par 3 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. After blowing the cobwebs off at The Frys, Rickie should be sharp and ready to contend here on a course he has played well on in the past.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Patrick Reed 33/1

The American has been in Asia for the last couple of weeks and recorded two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Hong Kong Open shooting round of 68,69,65,67 to finish T3 on 11 under for the tournament. He followed that with a T10 last week in Malaysia which included another four rounds in the 60’s to finish -17 for the week. Reed was also part of the winning American Presidents Cup team and had a good finish to the season with a T15 at The WGC Bridgestone, T30 at The PGA and a T4 at The Deutsche Bank.

He has played well here in the past finishing T22 here last year. Staswise he averages 292 off the tee and ranks third in driving accuracy, second in GIR and 19th in SGP. After two top 10’s in his last two tournaments, there’s no reason why Reed shouldn’t have another good week here.

 

Paul Casey 35/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Paul Casey 35/1

The Englishman played his first tournament of the new season last week at The CIMB Classic in Malaysia shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a respectable T24. He also had a good finish to the season with a T17 at The WGC Bridgestone, T3 at The Wyndham, T23 at The BMW and a T5 at The Tour Championship. Casey has a superb record at this event finishing T20 in 2013, T4 in 2011, T6 in 2010, T9 in 2009 and T11 in 2008.

Casey averages 297 off the tee and ranked third in driving accuracy and first in GIR last week in Malaysia. Last season he ranked fifth in GIR, 10th in SGTTG, 13th in par 5 scoring and 10th in par 4 scoring. After a good week in Malaysia and a great history at this event, I can see Casey having another good week here at a decent price.

 

Chris Wood 50/1 WGC HSBC Champions 2015

Chris Wood 50/1

Chris Wood has been in flying form over the last few weeks with four top 10’s in a row. His good run of form began back at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship where he finished T4. He followed that with a T9 at The British Masters, solo second in Portugal and a solo fifth last week at The Turkish Airlines Open. Wood has only played once here back in 2013 when he finished in a respectable T39 for the week.

He is averaging just under 290 off the tee on the European Tour this season and ranks 18th in stroke average, 15th in strokes gained putting and 27th in putts per round. He played well on the par 5’s last week and made a lot of birdies, which will be a big plus at Sheshan this week.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 18/1 2pts EW

Rickie Fowler 18/1 1.5pts EW

Patrick Reed 33/1 1.5pts EW

Paul Casey 35/1 1pt EW

Chris Wood 50/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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Shriners Hospital for Children Open 2015

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2015TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada 

7,255 yards, par 71

After an exciting opening tournament of the new season at the Frys.com Open last week, the PGA Tour makes its annual trip to TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, where Ben Martin will be the defending champion.

TPC Summerlin is a 7,223 yard par 71 and has played host to this event since 2008. Previous winners include Ben Martin (2014), Webb Simpson (2013), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011), Jonathan Byrd (2010) and Martin Laird (2009).

The winning score has been around the 20 under par mark since 2008 and usually yields a lot of birdies. This course has three par 5’s, which will be reachable by the majority of the field, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. This course is quite picturesque and meanders through creeks and canyons in the Nevada desert.

Accuracy off the tee is not of huge importance this week, but if your tee shot is a little too wild, players will be punished. Good putters and players with good GIR stats are worth looking at here as the greens are quite large and are not too difficult by tour standards . Greens in regulation, strokes gained putting, good ball striking and good course history are the ingredients for a good week here.

The course has over 100 bunkers and some water hazards that come into play. However, this course is ranked one of the easiest to play on The PGA Tour with plenty of birdies on offer. Players that have good recent form over the last three or four events tend to go well here. There is some rain and thunderstorms in the days running up to the event, but it will be dry and sunny from Thursday to Sunday.

 

Kevin Na 22/1 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open 2105

Kevin Na 22/1

Despite losing a playoff to eventual winner Emiliano Grillo last week at The Frys, Kevin Na looked to be hitting the ball well throughout the week. He shot 68,71,64,70 to finish 15 under par for the tournament. Na was showing decent form in The FedExCup playoffs finishing T16 at The Tour Championship, T10 at The BMW and T20 at The Barclays. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone finishing T15 and finished a respectable T13 at Memorial and T10 at Colonial.

Na has played well here in the past finishing T22 in 2012 and winning here in 2011. Last week, Na ranked ninth in driving accuracy and 11th in greens in regulation. He hit some superb iron shots last week in Silverado and if he can take that into this week, he should have a good chance here.

 

Ryan Moore 25/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Ryan Moore 25/1

Ryan Moore started the new season off strongly with a T10 last week at The Frys. He started with a pair of 70’s and began to get going over the weekend shooting 67,68 on Saturday and Sunday to finish on 11 under for the tournament. He had a respectable finish to the season with a T28 at The BMW and a T10 at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield. Moore has played well at TPC Summerlin in the past finishing T9 in 2013, a win in 2012 and a T17 in 2009.

Moore is a bit of an up and down player but seemed to be hitting the ball very well last week in Silverado. He was hitting over 75% of greens in regulation at The Frys and made some great putts. After a top 10 last week and good form at TPC Summerlin over the years, Ryan Moore could be one to watch here.

 

Scott Piercy 30/1 Shriners Open for Children Open

Scott Piercy 30/1

Piercy looks like a great shout here in Vegas this week given his current form. He played well recently at The Alfred Dunhill Links Championship shooting 69,69,68,71 finishing T27 on 11 under for the tournament. He also had a couple of good performances in the last of The FedExCup events finishing T25 at The Tour Championship at East Lake and solo third at The BMW Championship. Piercy also won The Barbasol Championship and finished T14 at The John Deere back in July.

He has played well on this course over before finishing T7 last year, T6 in 2012 and T10 in 2011. If Piercy can take the form he had at the end of last season forward to this week, he could have another decent week here in Vegas.

 

Jason Bohn 40/1 Shriners Hospitals fro Children Open 2015

Jason Bohn 40/1

Looked to be in super form last week at The Frys and got himself right into the thick of things with an impressive 68 in round 2 and a 64 in round 3. Bohn went on to shoot a 70 in the final round to finish T3. He is another player that finished strongly last season with a T9 at The Barclays, T4 at The Quicken Loans, T12 at The John Deere and a T13 at The Greenbrier. Bohn has a good record here finishing T18 last year, T2 in 2013, T8 in 2012 and T14 in 2009.

He led greens in regulation last week in Silverado and was T3 in driving distance. He also ranked sixth in strokes gained putting and first in birdie average. With great form here over the years and a good performance last week, Bohn looks to be great value this week on a course he has played so well on in the past.

 

Final Selections –

Kevin Na 22/1 2pts EW

Ryan Moore 25/1 1.5pts EW

Scott Piercy 30/1 1.5pts EW

Jason Bohn 40/1 1pt EW

Total Staked = 12 pts                        

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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The Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview 2015

The Old White TPC, White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia

7,287 yards par 70

Last Week –

Well it was another super week for us last week at The Travelers tipping Bubba Watson at 11/1 making him our 11th winner of the season. He was a bit up and down over the weekend but managed to stay in the hunt and came into the final round one shot behind overnight leader Brain Harman. The turning point of the round came at the par 5 13th, where he hit a superb second shot out of the fairway bunker and rolled in the putt for an eagle to take a two shot lead. Meanwhile, Paul Casey was firing his approach shots close to the pins the all day and even holed out a wedge from the fairway for an eagle two on the par 4 3rd to get himself right into contention. With Bubba bogeying the 17th, Casey found himself tied for the lead and ended up losing to Watson in a two hole playoff after he bladed a sand wedge out of the bunker on 18. Bubba made the birdie putt and won in style.

It’s been a great year for us so far with 11 winners and 17 places in 30 PGA Tour events. Let’s keep it going in our The Greenbrier Classic Betting Preview 2015 this week! For a full list of our P&L this season, please click here

 

The Course

The Old White TPC is a par 70 measuring 7,287 yards. It has two par 5’s, four par 3’s and 12 par 4’s. The fairways are tree lined with water hazards featuring on a lot of holes throughout the course.

The course was taken apart by Stuart Appleby in 2010 when he shot a record breaking 59 to beat Jeff Overton by one stroke to win the tournament on 22 under par. The course was then made a little more difficult to make scoring a little more challenging after 2010. It was then lengthened by about 250 yards and all of the greens were reconstructed making them a little smaller, undulating and reseeded with bentgrass. Because the greens play smaller than the usual standard, players that rank well in putting between 10-15 feet are worth looking at.

The changes to the course were evident in 2011 as the course played noticeably harder than the previous year. Scott Stallings won the tournament on 10 under par, a huge 12 strokes less than Appleby in 2010.

On this course, driving accuracy isn’t massively important as these fairways are quite forgiving, but distance is a factor as the two par 5’s will require two solid shots to make the green in two. With 12 par 4’s to contend with, par 4 scoring will also be worth looking at along with good approach stats and birdie average. Good previous course form, good current from and good putting are all stats that are also worth checking this week. This tournament is a tough one to call and could be a good place for an in form player to bag his first win.

 

Webb Simpson 22/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Webb Simpson 22/1

Webb Simpson comes here showing a mixed bag of form over the last few weeks with only one top 10 finish in his last eight events. He had a great performance at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow finishing T2. He started the week very well shooting two 67’s and followed that with a 68 on Saturday and a disappointing final round 72 on Sunday. The putter never really heated up on Sunday but he did play quite solid and showed some great consistency all week. Simpson started the season well with a T4 at The Shriners, T7 at The Humana and a T7 in Doral.

He is a real horse for the course here with three top 10’s in his last four appearances. He finished third here last year, seventh in 2012 and ninth in 2011. Statswise he ranks eighth in strokes gained tee to green, 38th in both GIR and driving accuracy and ninth in par 3 scoring. His approach stats are excellent ranking seventh in approaches from 150-175, 15th in approaches from 200 and 16th in approaches from 200-225. With a great record here and a good finish recently at Quail Hollow, Simpson could be a big contender here this week.

 

Bill Haas 28/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Bill Haas 28/1

Despite missing the cut at Chambers Bay, Bill Haas has been showing some solid form this season. He has a win already under his belt, which came at the Humana Challenge back in January. He also has top 10’ at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing T7 and T4 at The Players. He played well recently at The Memorial shooting a final round 69 to finish in a respectable T18 in seven under for the tournament. Haas is another player that is a horse for the course finishing T23 last year, ninth in 2013 and second in 2011.

Haas ticks a lot of boxes statistically ranking 42nd in GIR, 31st in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in approaches from 225-250. He also ranks third in approaches from 125-150, 30th in par 4 scoring and 12th in putts from inside 10 feet, which is a good stat for putting on these small greens.

 

Kevin Kisner 30/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Kevin Kisner 30/1

With five top 12’s in his last seven starts, Kevin Kisner comes into this week in superb form. He lost two playoffs in the last few weeks, which came at The RBC Heritage losing to Jim Furyk and The Players Championship losing to Rickie Fowler. He followed that with a T5 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial, which included three 67’s and a 69. He then finished T8 at The Memorial and followed that with a T12 at The US Open in Chambers Bay. Kisner has played here three times in the past and missed the cut on all three occasions, but he comes here in much better form this time around.

Kisner ranks 18th in driving accuracy, 45th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 225-250. He also ranks 39th in par 3 scoring, 30th in par 4 scoring, 28th in par 5 scoring and 11th in putts from inside 10 feet. With great current form and missing out on two playoffs recently, this could be the week Kisner gets his long awaited win.

 

Tony Finau 35/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Tony Finau 35/1

I tipped Tony last week at The Travelers where he put in yet another solid performance finishing in a respectable T25. Before last week, he hadn’t finished outside the top 20 in his previous five events. He played well at Chambers Bay finishing T14, T8 at Memorial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T19 at Colonial and T16 at The Wells Fargo in Quail Hollow. This course could suit the big hitting Finau, who is averaging 307 yards off the tee ranking seventh in driving distance.

He also ranks 36th in strokes gained tee to green, fourth in approaches from 150-175, 30th in par 4 scoring and 44th in par 5 scoring. This will be his first appearance at The Greenbrier and with great current form, this course could really suit his eye.

 

Brendan Todd 45/1 Greenbrier Classic 2015

Brendan Todd 45/1

Todd played well last week at The Travelers finishing T15, which included two 67’s on Saturday and Sunday. He also had a good week at The Memorial finishing solo 17th, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing 74 in the final round. He showed some good early season form finishing T8 at The HTOC, T10 in Pebble Beach, T14 at The Northern Trust and more recently, a solo fourth in Harbour Town at The RBC Heritage.

Todd has played well here in the past finishing T4 last year and seems to tick a lot of statistical boxes. He ranks 10th in driving distance, 13th in strokes gained putting and fourth in approaches from 100-125. He also ranks sixth in putts inside 10 feet, 20th in par 3 scoring and 18th in scrambling. With a good finish here last year, Todd could be another contender at a big price.

 

Final selections –

Webb Simpson 22/1 2pts EW

Bill Haas 28/1 1.5 pts EW

Kevin Kisner 30/1 1.5 pts EW

Tony Finau 35/1 1 pt EW

Brendan Todd 45/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

Travelers Championship Betting Preview 2015

TPC River Highlands, Cromwell, Connecticut

6,841 yards, par 70

The Course 

TPC River Highlands is a small course by PGA Tour standards measuring only 6,841 yards and overlooks the Connecticut River. It was redesigned by Pete Dye in 1982 and has wide, rolling, tree lined fairways. It has four par 3’s, two par 5’s and 12 par 4’s. The two par 5’s measure 574 yards and 523 and will offer birdie opportunities. The par 4 second measures a mere 341 yards and will be driveable by the bigger hitters in the field and should also offer a lot of birdies.

These bentgrass greens will be a huge change from the poor greens in last week’s US Open at Chambers Bay. They are also smaller by tour standards so accurate approach shots will be required to get close to the pins.

There are some players in the field this week that have had great performances here over the years such as Ryan Moore (4 top 10’s), Hunter Mahan (3 top 10’s and a win) and Bubba Watson (3 top 10’sand a win). This suggests that previous form is certainly worth looking at.

Key stats to consider here are good course history, good putting, scrambling, par 4 scoring, par 3 scoring and approach stats between 150-200 yards. The fairways are quite wide and forgiving so expect the scoring to be low. There is quite a lot of water on the back 9 from holes 15-17, which play around a four acre lake and should offer quite a lot of excitement in the final round on Sunday.

 

Bubba Watson 11/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Bubba Watson 11/1

After opening with a 70 in round one last week in Chambers Bay, Bubba Watson shot a 77 in round two and ended up missing the cut, which isn’t a bad thing coming into this week’s Travelers. His form has been a bit hit and miss over the last few weeks, but he started the season off in style with a win at The HSBC Champions and has a further four top 10 finishes. Most recently, he played well at The WGC Cadillac in Doral finishing solo third on seven under for the tournament. He only played in four events since then.

He has played well here at TPC River Highlands in the past with a win in 2010, T2 in 2012 and a T4 in 2013. Statswise Bubba ranks fourth in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained tee to green, first in par 5 scoring and 14th in par 3 scoring. With such a good record here over the last few years, this could be place where he regains some of the great form he started with at the beginning of the season.

 

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Brandt Snedeker 16/1

Snedeker had another good performance last week in Chambers Bay making that his third top 10 in his last three starts. He played great golf at The Crowne Plaza Invitational shooting four rounds in the 60’s on his way to a T2 finish. He followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson shooting two 64’s on Saturday and Sunday finishing on 12 under for the week. He continued that good run of form shooting an impressive final round 68 to finish solo 8th in Chambers Bay last week. Sneds has played well here in the past finishing T11 last year and T24 in 2011.

He ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, 31st in approaches from 50-125 yards, fourth in scrambling and second in putts from 10 feet, which is a good stat for putting on these small greens. He also ranks 10th in par 4 scoring and 39th in par 3 scoring. Snedeker is in fine form at the moment and could be the man to beat here.

 

Marc Leishman 33/1 Travelers Championship

Marc Leishman 33/1

Leishman has been showing some decent form over the last couple of months with two top 10’s and two top 30’s in his last six events. He finished T9 at The WGC Matchplay, T24 at The Players, T27 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational and T5 at The Memorial. He is another player with a good record here over the last few years with a win in 2012, T30 in 2013 and a T11 last year.

Leishman seems to tick a lot of statistical boxes here ranking second in approaches from 150-175 and 23rd in approaches from 125-150, which are two good stats for approaches into the par 4’s. He also ranks first in putts from 10-15 feet and second in putts from eight feet. With good stats, good current form and a good record here, Leishman is a decent shout here at 33’s.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Russell Knox 40/1

Knox has been a pretty solid performer over the last few months with four top 25’s in his last seven events. He has top 10’s at The Shriners (3rd), The Honda Classic (T3) and most recently, the St Jude Classic, where he finished T8. He also finished T18 at The RBC Heritage, T17 at The Players, T24 at The Crowne Plaza and T18 at The Memorial. Knox has played well here in the past finishing T13 in 2013, but looks to be in much better form this time around.

Statswise Knox ranks 20th in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR, 21st in strokes gained tee to green and second in proximity to the hole. He also ranks 11th in approaches from 150-175, fourth in par 4 scoring and 23rd in par 3 scoring.

 

Tony Finau 40/1 Travelers Championship 2015

Tony Finau 40/1

Finau started very well last week in Chambers Bay shooting 69,68 in the first two rounds and looked to be hitting the ball beautifully all week, particularly off the tee and around the greens. He shot 74, 71 over the weekend and finished in a very respectable T14 on +2 for the tournament. He has been playing very steady over the last few weeks with three top 20’s and two top 10’s in his last five starts. His good form began back at The Wells Fargo, where he finished T16. He followed that with a T19 at Colonial, T10 at The Byron Nelson, T8 at The Memorial and T14 last week in Chambers Bay.

Finau is a huge hitter ranking third in driving distance, 33rd in strokes gained tee to green, second in approaches from 150-175 and 40th in par 4 scoring. TPC River Highlands has seen many first time winners over the years and this could be a course that really suits big hitting Tony Finau.

 

Final Selections –

Bubba Watson 11/1 2 pts EW

Brandt Snedeker 16/1 2 pts EW

Marc Leishman 33/1 1 pt EW

Russell Knox 40/1 1 pt EW

Tony Finau 40/1 1 pt EW

Total staked = 14 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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US Open Betting Preview 2015

 

US Open Betting Preview and Tips Chambers Bay

Chambers Bay, University Place, Washington

Par 70, 7,742 yards

Chambers Bay is an old sand and gravel quarry and was designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr. It opened back in 2007 and hosted the US Amateur in 2010. It is a links style course that should measures 7,742 yards and has typical links features such as long fescue grass, big sand dunes, massive fairways and very deep bunkers. It has four par 3’s, four par 5’s and 10 par 4’s.

The first hole can play either as a par 4 or a par 5 depending on weather conditions. The fairways are quite generous but players will have to find certain parts of the fairways in order to get their second shots close to the flags. A lot of the flags will be guarded by tricky bunkers strategically placed around the greens so greens in regulation and good scrambling will be key here.

The rough is quite penal so there will be an element of accuracy required and the greens will have heavy contours and will be extremely fast, measuring around 12 on the stimp meter. Players that have good links experience and can deal with the wind will have an advantage here.

The key areas of statistical focus will be GIR, driving distance and accuracy, scrambling, approach stats between 100-200 yards, proximity to the hole, par 4 scoring, strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained putting. The weather forecast is expected to be mixed for the majority of the tournament, with mild weather with showers.

 

Jordan Spieth 8/1 US Open 2015

Jordan Spieth 8/1

There is simply no other player in the world playing better than Jordan Spieth at the moment. He put on a short game masterclass in the final round at The Memorial Tournament shooting a superb final round 65 to finish T3. Spieth has two wins already under his belt this year with wins coming at The Masters and The Valspar Championship. He lost in a playoff in Houston finishing second and also finished second the week before in Texas. Most recently, Jordan has two top fives in his last three starts finishing T3 last week at The Memorial and T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational in Colonial.

Statswise Spieth is averaging just over 290 yards off the tee and ranks third in strokes gained tee to green, 20th in strokes gained putting and 10th in proximity to the hole. He also ranks first in approaches from 100 yards, fifth in approaches from inside 100 yards, 21st in approaches from 150-175 and 22nd in approaches from 125-150. He also ranks ninth in scrambling, first in par 4 scoring and 16th in par 3 scoring. Jordan ticks all the boxes here with good scrambling, good putting and razor sharp approach shots in his artillery, which should make him a huge contender here.

 

Rickie Fowler 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Rickie Fowler 22/1

Rickie has proven to be a links specialist over the last few years saying recently “Its my favourite form of golf” at The Irish Open, where he finished in a respectable T30. He started the tournament with two 71’s and had a poor third round 76 but bounced back with a 73 in round 4 in very tricky conditions. Rickie played well and has great Open Championship form finishing T2 in last year’s Open Championship, two strokes behind winner Rory McIlroy and seems to play well in the trickiest of conditions.

He has had a great season so far with a win at The Players, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a respectable T12 at The Masters. Rickie ranks 49th in driving distance, 11th in approaches from 200-225, fifth in approaches from 75-100 and third in approaches from 150-175 yards. With the weather expected to be mixed, Rickie should be in his element.

Henrik Stenson US Open 25/1 Chambers Bay

Henrik Stenson 25/1

After getting a bad illness in April, Henrik Stenson seems to have made a full recovery and looks to be back showing some good form again. He played well at The Nordea Masters recently finishing T13 on four under par for the tournament. His short game and touch around the greens was superb and that’s exactly what will be required here. He also had good performances at The Players finishing T17 and T19 at The Masters. Stenson has shown good links form over the last few years finishing runner up to Phil Mickeslon in 2013 in Muirfield and T3 in St Andrews in 2010. His US Open form has also been good over the years finishing T4 last year, 21st in 2013, 22nd in 2011 and T9 in 2009.

Stenson ranks 11th in driving distance, second in GIR, seventh in strokes gained tee to green and 15t in strokes gained putting. He also ranks eighth in approaches from 125-150, 20th in approaches from 200+ and second in approaches from 175-200. He comes here in good form and could be a player that really suits this course.

 

Phil Mickelson 20/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Phil Mickelson 20/1

Phil has a superb record in The US Open over the last 20 odd years finishing in the top 10 ten times. He has been showing glimpses of good form over the last couple of months with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T17, T17 at The Houston Open, T2 at the Masters and a T4 at The Wells Fargo.

He played well at The FedEx St Jude Classic shooting a superb final round 65 finishing T3 on eight under par for the tournament. Phil has played well on links set ups in the past winning the 2013 Open Championship in Muirfield, T23 last year in Hoylake and T2 in 2011 in Sandwich.

He ranks 28th in driving distance, seventh in approaches from 175-200, 17th in approaches from 225-250 and seventh in par 5 scoring. A lot imagination will be required around the greens here, which Phil has in spades. With decent form at present and solid links form, 2015 could be the year Mickelson wins the US Open.

 

Jim Furyk 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Jim Furyk 40/1  

Furyk has been showing some superb form over the last few months and showed superb grit in his playoff win at The RBC Heritage in Harbour Town. He followed that with a solo fourth at The WGC Matchplay and a T5 recently at The Memorial in Ohio. Jim showed some good early season form finishing T7 in Pebble Beach, which included a superb opening round 64, T14 at The Northern Trust Open and a respectable T12 at The WGC Cadillac in Doral. He won the 2004 US Open in Shinnecock Hills and followed that with a second 2006 and 2007, fourth in 2012 and a T12 last year.

Furyk ranks eighth in driving accuracy, 14th in GIR, 10th in strokes gained tee to green and first in proximity to the hole. He also ranks third in approaches from 100 yards, seventh in approaches from 200 and eighth in approaches from 175-200. Jim is in great form lately and ticks a lot of boxes for this course.

 

Brandt Snedeker 40/1 US Open 2015 Chambers Bay

Brandt Snedeker 50/1

Sneds seems to be peaking just at the right time for Chambers Bay with two top 10’s in his last two starts. He had a great week at The Crowne Plaza Invitational finishing T2 and followed that with a T6 at The Byron Nelson. He showed some great early season form with a T10 in Phoenix, T19 in Torrey Pines and a superb win in Pebble Beach, which included an opening round 64.

His US Open form as been excellent over the last few years with four top 11 finishes in his last six US Open starts. He finished T9 last year, T11 in 2011, T8 in 2010 and T9in 2008. He has also shown great form at links courses in the past with a win in Pebble Beach this year, T11 in The Open Championship in Muirfield in 2013 and a T3 in Lytham and St Anne’s in 2012.

Statswise Snedeker ranks sixth in strokes gained putting, third in scrambling and ninth in par 4 scoring. With such a good record in this tournament and solid current form, Brandt Snedeker could be a big contender here at a decent price.

 

Final Selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 8/1

Rickie Fowler 1.5 pts EW 22/1

Phil Mickelson 1.5 pts EW 20/1

Henrik Stenson 1.5 pts EW 25/1

Jim Furyk 1 pt EW 40/1

Brandt Snedeker 1 pt EW 66/1

Total Staked = 17 pts

 

Good Luck and enjoy the golf,

 

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