RBC Heritage Betting Preview

RBC Heritage Pic 2

Hilton Head, South Carolina
Par 71, 7,101 yards.

The Course
Hilton Head is a tight course with tree lined fairways and small greens so driving accuracy and greens in regulation will be two key stats to look at. With these greens being some of the smallest on tour, good scramblers and putters also tend to do well on this course. Hilton Head also tends to be quite windy so be on the lookout for good wind players.

The main stats to consider here are driving accuracy, GIR, par 4 scoring, scrambling and proximity to the hole. Unlike last week in Augusta National, you don’t need to be long on this course so a lot of the shorter more accurate players should come into the mix. Weather forecast is set for possible rain and thunder but the wind is predicted to be light, however there may be some weather delays.

Zach Johnson 20/1
Johnson seems to be a player that should really suit this course and ticks a lot of the statistical boxes. He comes into this week after missing the cut at The Masters but that wouldn’t hugely concern me here. Before the Masters, he had a good week at The Texas Open finishing in T6th on a total of five under par for the tournament. He was showing some very good form earlier in the season with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions, T8 at The Sony in Hawaii and a T3rd at The Humana Challenge.

Zach finished second here in 2012 and sixth in 2007 so he has good previous form at Hilton Head. Statswise he ranks sixth in driving accuracy, 15th in GIR, 52nd in strokes gained putting, 13th I scrambling and seventh in par 4 performance. He also ranks third in putts from 25 feet which should be a big help around these small greens. He played well in Texas recently and should be a big contender here.

Luke Donald 18/1
Luke Donald is another player with a good history at Hilton Head. He finished third last year, 37th in 2012, second in 2011, third in 2010 and second gain in 2009. Luke’s form has been good lately playing well at The Valspar Championship a couple of weeks ago finishing T4th. He also played well at The Honda Classic at PGA National finishing in T8th.

Donald ranks seventh in strokes gained putting, third in scrambling, first in GIR from 100 yards and eighth in total putting. He is also a very accurate iron player which should be a huge advantage around this tight course. With great previous form here over the years, not to mention some good recent performances, Luke could be another big danger man here this week.

RBC Heritage LD Pic 1

Harris English 25/1
English is having a good season so far and has been in the winner’s circle already this year with a victory at The OHL Classic in El Cameleon in Mexico back in November. Hilton Head is a similar layout to El Cameloen in that both courses demand accuracy off the tee, good GIR stats, are similar in length (6,923 yard par 71) and are prone to windy conditions. This is a big reason why I think this man could go very well here.

He has also shown some good recent from with 9th at The Phoenix Open, T10th at The Northern Trust Open, T9th at The Accenture Matchplay, T16 at The Cadillac and most recently a T14 finish in Bay Hill. He has played well here in the past finishing eighth back in 2012. English also seems to tick the statistical boxes here ranking 30th in total driving, second in GIR, first in par 4 performance and second in par 5 performance. He is playing well at present and has proven that he can win on tight windy courses before, which makes him a big threat here this week.

Will MacKenzie 40/1
MacKenzie is a player right on the cusp of a win and it could be any day now. He has four top seven’s in his last seven starts and is a player bang in form at the moment. He played well at The Farmers in Torrey Pines finishing T7th, T6th at The Honda Classic, T4th at The Valspar Championship and most recently, he played well at The Texas Open finishing T2nd.

He ranks 34th in total driving, 32nd in GIR, 11th in strokes gained putting, 17th in par 4 performance, third in par 3 performance and 12th in par 5 performance. He also ranks 28th in total putting and 13th in birdie or better conversion percentage. All in all a very solid player so far this season and looks to be knocking on the door for the last few weeks.

Chris Stroud 33/1
Chris is playing well over the last few weeks with three top 12’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Honda finishing T12th and followed that with a T9th in Puerto Rico. Most recently, he finished T12th at The Houston Open shooting seven under par in total. Stroud also performed well earlier in the season with a T3 at The OHL Classic in El Cameleon, which as I mentioned above, is similar to Hilton Head. He also had a good performance here last year finishing sixth.

Statswise he ranks 45th in driving accuracy, 27th in GIR, sixth in par 3 performance and 13th in par 4 performance. Stroud also has good putting stats ranking 16th in total putting and fourth in scrambling, which will be a big help on these small, tricky greens.

Final selections:
Zach Johnson 2 pts/4 pts ew
Luke Donald 2 pts/4 pts ew
Harris English 1.5 pts/3 pts ew
Will MacKenzie 1 pt/2 pts ew
Chris Stroud 1 pt/2 pts ew
Total staked – 15 pts

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

DB

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Shriners Hospital For Sick Children Betting Preview

TPC Summerlin, Las Vegas, Nevada
Par 71, 7,223 Yards

Graham DeLaet 22/1
Graham DeLaet 1
DeLaet was very impressive in The Presidents Cup a couple of weeks ago. His Driving and Putting in particular, I thought were fantastic. Overall, he has had a pretty good season on The PGA Tour and has become a player that, by the looks of the way he is performing, has the ability to win any day now. He has had 7 top 10 finishes and kicked off a great start to the year with two tied 9th finishes early in the season at The Honda Classic and The Farmers. A tied 3rd finish at The Travellers and, most recently, tied 2nd at The Barclays and solo 3rd at The Deutsche Bank in the FedEx Cup playoffs. He ranks 1st in Total Driving and 3rd in GIR which are two stats that will help rack up the birdies here at TPC Summerlin this week. He is on a great run of form and had a fantastic Presidents Cup recently and could be a huge threat here this week.

Zach Johnson 12/1
Zach Johnson 1
Zach is the favourite here this week and it’s easy to see why. He has 7 top 10’s in his last 8 starts including a win at The BMW Championship, shooting an impressive final round 65 to clinch victory at Conway Farms. He has only played this course once, back in 2008, where he finished in a tie for 10th but I expect a much better performance this time round. Statswise, this course looks to suit Zach’s game with the Par 4’s measuring between 380-480 yards and the Par 5’s both measuring roughly around 560 yards, this is where approach shots will be key. Johnson ranks 8th in Driving Accuracy, 15th in GIR, 30th in Strokes Gained, 8th in GIR 200 + yards, 9th in Approaches from 50-75 yards and 12th in Approaches from 200-225 yards. He is clearly the man in form at the moment and at 12/1, he is well worth backing considering he’s a top 10 machine at the moment.

Nick Watney 20/1
NickWatney 1
Watney had a superb finish to the FedEx Cup playoff’s with a tied 9th finish at The Barclays, Solo 2nd at The BMW Championship at Conway Farms and a respectable tied 14th finish at The Tour Championship. He has a very good record at this event with 3 top 10’s in his last 3 appearances, finishing in tied 10th last year, solo 2nd in 2011 and tied 6th in 2010 averaging an impressive 66.67 stroke average. Statswise he ranks 13th in GIR and 26th in Driving Distance. He also ranks 5th in Approaches from 150-175 yards and 8th in Approaches from 125-150. Stats combined with previous performances and current form make Watney a great selection here in Vegas.

Spencer Levin 50/1
Spencer Levin Smoking
He was 2nd in Scrambling and 20th in Strokes Gained in CordeValle last week at the Frys.com and finished in a tie for 12th. It appears Spencer Levin might be back to full health after some injury concerns and had a relatively flawless tournament carding only 6 bogeys. Levin is another horse for the course with a tied 5th finish in 2011 and a tied 4th finish in 2010. He is another player that has the stats that could suit around TPC Summerlin ranking 23rd in Strokes Gained, 11th in Scoring Average, 1st in GIR percentage 100-125 yards, 1st in GIR percentage 75 yards and 15th in GIR Percentage 200 + yards. He also ranks 1st in Putting from 10-15 ft and 15th in putting from 5-15 ft. Has a great chance here this week with encouraging stats and great previous course form.

Scott Piercy 30/1
Scott Peircy 1
Another horse for the course and a local resident, he finished in tied 6th last year and tied 10th in 2011. Piercy has had a decent season finishing 3rd at The Phoenix Open back in Feb and a tied 5th finish at The Byron Nelson. He also had a great performance at The PGA finishing in a tie for 5th and most recently finished in a tie for 13th at The Deutsche Bank. He also won in Nevada before at The Reno Tahoe Open in 2011 so he may be feeding off good vibes at TPC Summerlin.

Final Selections:
Graham DeLaet 1.5pts ew/ 3pts total
Zach Johnson 2 pts ew/ 4pts total
Nick Watney 1.5pts ew/3pts total
Spencer Levin 1pt ew/ 2pts total
Scott Piercy 1 pt ew/ 2pts total

Total Staked : 14 pts

Good Luck,

DoubleBogey6
Follow me on Twitter @Doublebogey63