Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017

Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida 

Par 72, 7,419 yards 

The Course 

Owned by the late Arnold Palmer since 1974, the famous Bay Hill Country Club is a par 72 measuring 7,419 yards and has hosted the annual Arnold Palmer Invitational since 1979. The course was designed by Dick Wilson in 1961, and illustrates his typical approach of slightly elevating the putting surfaces to improve visibility and drainage. The course covers 270 acres and lies between the community of Bay Hill, Florida and the Butler Chain of Lakes.

This course is a typical Florida setup with plenty of water and green side bunkers coming into play. The course layout was changed in 2010 from a par 70 to a par 72 and has a total of four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The reason for this was to allow the players to give themselves more opportunities to make birdies. The course is situated along the Butler Chain of Lakes and has a tendency to get windy. The fairways are quite forgiving here so driving accuracy isn’t too much of an issue. Like a lot of the Florida courses we have seen over the last few weeks, water hazards come into play on roughly 9 of the 18 holes.

There are four par 3’s which are among the most difficult on the PGA Tour so par 3 scoring will be an important here. Good par 5 scoring stats will certainly be a big plus along with good ball striking, scrambling, putting and hitting plenty of GIR.

 

Henrik Stenson 9/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 9/1

Stenson had a superb start last week in Copperhead opening with an impressive 64 in round one at the Valspar. He was steady as a rock for the following three rounds shooting 71,71,70 to post 8 under par in total and T7 for the tournament. He has been playing well over the last few months with seven top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T2 and followed that with a solo eighth at the Nedbank in South Africa, T9 at the DP World in Dubai, T8 in Abu Dhabi, solo second at the Hero World Challenge and a solo second at the Dubai Desert Classic recently.

Stenson has a great record here in Bay Hill finishing 15,8,5,2,3 in his last five appearances here. Staswise he ranks fourth in stroke average, sixth in driving accuracy and third in GIR so far this season on the European Tour. If he putts well he could go very well this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 33/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Brandt Snedeker 33/1 

Snedeker’s game has been in great shape since the New Year with four top 15’s in his last six starts. He played well at the SBS Tournament of Champions in Hawaii finishing T14 and followed that with a T9 at The Farmers in Torrey Pines, solo fourth in Pebble Beach and a T7 at the WGC Mexico Championship.

He is another player with a decent record here with two top 15’s in his last three appearances here finishing eighth in 2014 and T13 in 2015. Staswise Snedeker ranks 30th in GIR, 27th in SG around the green, sixth in par 3 scoring and 37th in par 4 scoring.

 

Wesley Bryan 50/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Wesley Bryan 50/1 

The Web.com rookie didn’t have the best start to the season but he is certainly finding his stride over the last couple of weeks. He had his third top 10 finish in a row last week at The Valspar finishing T7 on eight under for the tournament. He also played well in LA at the Genesis Open shooting 69,69,63,72 to post 11 under in total and T4 for the week. Bryan then teed it up at the Honda and finished T4 on seven under, which included an opening round 64.

He is another player that looks like he could suit this course ranking 27th in SG approaches to the green, 21st in SG around the green and 13th in par 3 scoring.

 

Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Preview 2017Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 

The Englishman has been in great form over the last three months with a win already under his belt along with two top 10’s and a top 15 in his last six starts. Fleetwood had a great week at the Hong Kong Open where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 throughout the tournament to finish T3. He followed that with a win in Abu Dhabi and a T12 at The Maybank Championship in Malaysia. Tommy then travelled to Mexico where he teed it up at the WGC Mexico Championship and played superbly all week to finish solo second which included a pair of 66’s over the weekend.

This will be his first appearance here in Bay Hill and this course could suit his game. He ranks seventh in stroke average, 25th in driving accuracy and first in GIR on the European Tour this season.

 

Final Selections –

Henrik Stenson 9/1 1pt EW

Brandt Snedeker 33/1 0.5pts EW

Wesley Bryan 50/1 0.5pts EW

Tommy Fleetwood 0.5pts EW

Total Staked = 5pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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Valspar Championship Betting Preview  2017

Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Copperhead Course, Innisbrook Resort, Palm Harbour, Florida  

Par 71, 7,340 yards  

The Course  

There are four golf courses at Innisbrook all designed by Larry Packard, the oldest of which is the Island Course which was completed in 1970. The Copperhead Course came next in 1974, and originally had 27 holes before nine were used as the basis of the Highlands North Course. The final addition was the Highlands South Course.

The Copperhead course underwent some subtle changes in 2015 with bigger tee boxes, re shaped bunkers around the greens and re grassed fairways. It is a lengthy par 71 and has four par 5’s, five par 3’s and nine par 4’s.  All but one of the par 3’s measure over 200 yards and will demand good accurate iron play to score on the greens which are smaller than average for PGA Tour standards.

Three of the four par 5’s, the first, 11th and 14th are pretty easy and should offer up plenty of birdies. Players that can work the ball both directions should also have a big advantage with two out of the four par 5’s having double doglegs.  Although this course is long, there is more of an emphasis on accuracy with players reaping the rewards with accuracy off the tee on some holes.

Water will be a key feature and comes into play on 9 out of the 18 holes. This course features three tricky closing holes on the back nine 16, 17 and 18 which are called the “Snake Pit”. It consists of two very tricky par 4’s and a difficult par 3 and is known as one of the most difficult closing three hole stretches on Tour.

There are a few stats to consider on this course, the first one being accuracy off the tee. It also boasts five par 3’s and four par 5’s so be on the lookout for good par 3 and par 5 performance stats. The greens here are Bermuda greens and are quite small and tricky to read so be on the lookout for good GIR stats and accurate iron players.

 

Henrik Stenson 11/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Henrik Stenson 11/1

Despite withdrawing last week in Mexico with a stomach virus, Stenson seems to be back to full health here this week. The Swede has been in great form over the last few months with six top 10’s in his last seven starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions finishing T2 and followed that with a solo eighth at the Nedbank in South Africa, T9 at the DP World in Dubai, T8 in Abu Dhabi, solo second at the Hero World Challenge and a solo second at the Dubai Desert Classic a couple of weeks ago.

He has played well here at Copperhead in the past finishing T11 last year and fourth in 2015. Stenson could suit this course ranking sixth in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR and fourth in stroke average so far this season in Europe. He should be well rested after last week and looks a worthy favourite here.

 

Daniel Berger 25/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Daniel Berger 25/1

I backed Daniel a couple of weeks ago at the Honda where he didn’t play his best but after an encouraging performance last week in Mexico, Im willing to give him another shot here. He has been playing some good golf recently and comes here with five top 20’s in his last eight starts. He had a good week at the WGC HSBC Champions back in October finishing T2 and followed that with a T14 at the SBS Tournament of Champions finishing 12 under. Berger had another solid performance at the Phoenix Open in February finishing T7 which included rounds of 71,66,66,68 to post 13 under par in total.

Last week in Mexico he played well for the first three rounds shooting 70,66,70 and was right in contention but fell away on Sunday shooting a final round 72 to finish T16. Berger played well here last year finishing T11 but comes here in much better form this time around. Growing up in Florida, Berger is a good Bermuda player and ranks 25th in SGP, 10th in scrambling and 27th in par 3 scoring.

 

Gary Woodland 25/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Gary Woodland 25/1

Although Chapltapec didn’t really suit him last week, I reckon the big hitting American could feel more at home here in Copperhead this week. Woodland is in great form with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last seven events. He had a good week at the OHL Classic finishing solo second and followed that with a T6 at The Sony Open in Hawaii and a T20 at The Farmers Insurance Open in Torrey Pines.

Most recently he played well at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am shooting 67,65 over the weekend to finish T5 on 12 under. He followed that with another solid performance at The Honda Classic in Florida shooting rounds of 71,66,66,69 to finish eight under and T2 for the tournament. Woodland has played well here over the last few years and had his first PGA Tour win here back in 2011. He also finished T29 in 2012 and T8 in 2014. Statswise Woodland is averaging just over 305 off the tee and ranks 15th in SG Approach to the green, 18th in SGTTG and 27th in GIR. If he putts well he could be dangerous.

 

Wesley Bryan 45/1 Valspar Championship Betting Preview 2017Wesley Bryan 45/1

Ive been keeping an eye on this guy over the last 6 months and he’s really turning into a superb player. Although he hasn’t had the best start to the season, Bryan has played really well in his last two tournaments posting two top 5’s. He played well in LA at the Genesis Open shooting 69,69,63,72 to post 11 under in total and T4 for the tournament. He then went to Florida and had another good week finishing T4 on seven under, which included an opening round 64.

Statswise Bryan looks like another player that could suit this course ranking 35th in SG approaches to the green, 25th in SG around the green and 18th in par 3 scoring. He looks great value for a player bang in form.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 11/1 1pt EW

Daniel Berger 25/1 0.5 pts EW

Gary Woodland 25/1 0.5 pts EW

Wesley Bryan 45/1 0.5 pts EW

Total staked = 5 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doubleboegy6

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Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016

Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, North Carolina

7,127 yards par 70

The Course

Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards.

There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be an advantage here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.

The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. Be on the lookout for players that are in good form and have played well here in Sedgefield in the past. The Wyndham Championship is the last tournament before the FedEx Cup playoffs starts next week.

 

Webb Simpson 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Webb Simpson 25/1 

Webb has been playing some decent golf over the last few weeks. He played well at The Dean and Deluca Invitational finishing T3 and didn’t shoot worse than a 67 throughout the week. He then finished T11 at Memorial, solo sixth at The Quicken Loans and T13 at the PGA Championship. His record around this course is solid finishing eighth in 2010, win in 2011, 22nd in 2012, 11th in 2013, second in 2014 and sixth last year.

He struggled with his putting when the anchoring ban came in but he seems to be putting a lot better over the last few weeks. He ranks seventh in SG approach to the green, 26th in SG around the green, 11th in SG tee to green and ninth in par 4 scoring. If the putter warms up Webb could be right in the mix here this week.

 

Brandt Snedeker 25/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016Brandt Snedeker 25/1

Sneds has bounced back into some form lately and could be a player to keep on side this week. He finished in a respectable T17 at The Dean and Deluca Invitational and followed that with a T21 at The Bridgestone, T22 at The Open Championship and a T5 at The RBC Canadian Open.

He has a good record here in Sedgefield finishing fifth in 2014, 28th in 2012, eighth in 2010 and fifth in 2009. He ranks first in par 4 scoring, 40th in strokes gained tee to green and 18th in scrambling. Sneds is a real horse for the course around here and could be a big danger man here.

 

Jimmy Walker 28/1 Wyndham Championship 2016 Betting Preview Jimmy Walker 28/1

I was a tad surprised to see Jimmy at the 28/1 mark considering he’s just won the PGA. I noticed on social media that he seems to be doing a lot of practice over the last two weeks posting up pictures and videos of him nailing irons on the range which can only be a good thing! He has had a bit of a mixed bag this season but he’s been playing some great golf over the last couple of months.

He finished a respectable T24 at the Byron Nelson and followed that with a T29 in Colonial, T16 at The WGC Bridgestone, T14 in Canada and a win at The PGA where he didn’t shoot worse than a 68 over the four rounds. He has played well here in the past finishing fourth here in 2012. Walker is an accurate iron player especially from inside 150 yards and ranks 25th in strokes gained around the green and 15th in par 5 scoring. If Walker can keep the momentum going into this week he should be a big contender.

 

Wesley Bryan 33/1

I have to say I really thought this guy was going all the way last week at The John Deere. He was playing great and held the 54 hole lead and went on to finish in a very respectable T8. He has four top 10’s in his last five tournaments finishing T9 at The Nashville Open, T2 at The Lincoln Land Charity Championship and a win at The Digital Ally Open.

In his last 12 competitive rounds Bryan hasn’t shot worse than a 70 and looks to be in great shape coming here this week. He ranks first in strokes gained putting, first in par 3 scoring, third in par 4 scoring and 19th in par 5 scoring. Bryan is playing superb golf at the moment and I expect that to continue here at The Wyndham.

 

William McGirt 33/1 Wyndham Championship Betting Preview 2016William McGirt 40/1 

After a great win at Memorial a few weeks ago McGirt looks to have found some form over the last few weeks. He followed that with a T7 at The WGC Bridgestone which included an opening round 64, and a T10 at The PGA Championship in Baltusrol.

McGirt has played well here in the past finishing T14 here last year and T8 in 2014. He ranks 22nd in strokes gained putting, 29th in driving accuracy, 20th in par 4 scoring and 32nd in scrambling. With some good current form and a decent record at this course, McGirt could be worth a bet here.

 

Final Selections –

Webb Simpson 1pt EW 25/1 

Brandt Snedeker 1pt EW 25/1 

Jimmy Walker 1pt EW 28/1

Wesley Bryan 1pt EW 33/1  

William McGirt 1pt 40/1 

Total staked = 10pts 

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

Doublebogey6

 

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