Sedgefield Country Club, Greenboro, North Carolina
Par 70, 7127 yards
Last Week –
What a superb performance from Jason Day last week securing his first major by beating his nearest challenger, Jordan Spieth, by three strokes. After coming so close this year at The Open and US Open, Day shot a superb final round 67 to clinch victory giving us a 14/1 winner. Branden Grace also gave us a great run for our money finishing solo third at 80/1 giving us a nice 20/1 place. After The PGA Championship, that gives us +286.74 pts in profit so far this season. Let’s keep it going this week at The Wyndham!
After all the excitement of The PGA Championship in Whistling Straits last week, the PGA Tour now travels to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship, which is the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs.
Sedgefield Country Club is a par 70 that stretches out 7,127 yards and has been the host of this event since 2008 following a spell in Forest Oaks Country Club that ended in 2007. It has small undulating greens, forgiving tree lined fairways and is quite short by PGA Tour standards. There wouldn’t be a huge emphasis on driving distance, but driving accuracy will be a big plus here. Par 3 and par 4 scoring will be important as there are 12 par 4’s, two par 5’s and four par 3’s. The two par 5’s will be reachable in two by pretty much everybody in the field providing they keep the ball in the fairway.
The greens are tricky and undulating with some having big slopes so finding the right part of the green with your approach shots will be key this week. Good putters with good GIR, par 3 and par 4 scoring stats should be worth looking at here. As always, I’ll be also be checking course history and current form along with some approach stats.
Brooks Koepka 16/1
The young American has been playing superb golf over the last few weeks and hasn’t finished outside the top 20 in his last six starts. He had a great performance last week in Whistling Straits shooting a final round 66 on his way to a T5 finish. He also played well at The WGC Bridgestone the week before finishing T6 on five under par for the tournament. Koepka also played well at The RBC Canadian Open finishing T18, T10 at The Open Championship in St Andrews, T18 in Chambers Bay and T3 at The FedEx St Jude Classic.
He has played here once before finishing in a respectable T38 last year, but comes here in much better form this time around. He ranks seventh in driving distance, 21st in GIR, third in strokes gained putting and third in approaches from 175-200 yards. He also ranks sixth in par 4 scoring and fourth in par 5 scoring. Kopeka comes here in great form and looks right on the cusp of a win any day now and it could well be here this week.
Brandt Snedeker 18/1
Snedeker has been showing some great form recently with five top 12’s in his last seven starts. He played well at Whistling Straits last week finishing T12 on ten under par for the tournament. He had a good week at The Travelers finishing T10, solo eighth at The US Open, T6 at The Byron Nelson and a T2 at The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Snedeker is a real horse for the course with three top 10’s in his last six appearances since 2009. He was fifth in 2009, eighth in 2010 and fifth here last year. He also won this event back in 2007, but that was on a different course.
Statswise, he ranks seventh in strokes gained putting, 13th in approaches from 50-125, fifth in scrambling, 10th in par 4 scoring and 18th in par 5 scoring. Sneds is a horse for the course and given this is a pretty weak field, I would expect him to go very close here considering his current and previous form here.
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Although he didn’t really get going last week in Whistling Straits, I think Matsuyama could go well here at The Wyndham. Despite two T37’s in his last two starts, Matsuyama has been showing superb consistency throughout the year with eight top 10 finishes already under his belt. He has finished inside the top 25 in 10 of his 12 events including four top 10’s. His good run of form began back at The Northern Trust Open where he finished T4 and followed that with a T23 at The WGC Cadillac, T21 at The Arnold Palmer, solo 5th at The Masters, T9 at The WGC Matchplay and a T17 at The Players. Most recently, he finished T20 at The Wells Fargo, T5 at Memorial, T18 at The US Open and T18 at The Open Championship.
He has played here twice before finishing T15 in 2013 and a missed cut last year. Statswise he ranks 23rd in GIR, fifth in strokes gained tee to green and third in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks third in par 4 scoring and 25th in par 5 scoring. Matsuyama ticks a lot of boxes here and could be a big contender.
Branden Grace 22/1
After finishing solo third last week in Whistling Straits getting us some place money at 80/1, I am happy to put my faith in Branden Grace once again this week. He has had a great season so far with six top 20’s in his last eight starts. His good run of form began back at The RBC Heritage finishing T7 and followed that with a T9 at The WGC Matchplay. He finished T4 at Chambers Bay, T20 at The Open, T17 at The WGC Bridgestone and solo third last week at The PGA.
He ranks 23rd in driving distance, eighth in strokes gained putting, eighth in approaches from 225-250, eighth in scrambling and 26th in par 3 scoring. This will be his first appearance here at this event and he looks in great shape form wise to be right in contention.
Will Wilcox 40/1
Wilcox has been showing some superb form over the last few weeks with nine top 25’s in his last 12 starts. He played well at The Sanderson Farms finishing T14 and followed that with a T18 at Pebble beach. He also finished T6 in Puerto Rico, T22 at The Byron Nelson, T12 at The FedEx St Jude,T8 at The John Deere and solo second at The Barbasol, finishing a couple of strokes behind the winner Scott Piercy. Most recently, he finished in a respectable T21 at The Quicken Loans National and followed that with a T10 at The Barracuda. Wilcox played here once before finishing in a respectable T24 last year.
Statswise Wilcox seems to fit the bill here ranking 14th in driving accuracy, fourth in GIR, 20th in strokes gained tee to green and seventh in approaches from 175-200. He also ranks sixth in par 3 scoring and third in par 4 scoring. He comes here in great form and is the kind of player that could go all the way here this week, especially in a weakened field.
Final Selections –
Brooks Koepka 2pts EW 16/1
Brandt Snedeker 2pts EW 18/1
Hideki Matsuyama 1pt EW 20/1
Branden Grace 1pt EW 22/1
Will Wilcox 1pt EW 40/1
Total staked = 14 pts
Good luck and enjoy the golf,
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