WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016

WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Sheshan International GC (West), Sheshan, China

Par 72, 7,266 yards

The Course

The WGC-HSBC Champions returns to Sheshan International Golf Club this week which has been the host venue of this event over the last number of years. The field includes most the world’s top golfers including FedExCup champion Rory McIlroy, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott and Dustin Johnson. Previous winners include Francesco Molinari (2010), Martin Kaymer (2011), Dustin Johnson (2013), Bubba Watson (2014) and Russell Knox (2015).

Sheshan is a par 72 measuring 7,266 yards and has four par 5’s, four par 3’s and 10 par 4’s. The course has some elevation changes along with some man-made lakes and tree lined fairways. Length will be an advantage here as two of the par 5’s measure over 590 yards. The par 4’s will also favour the big hitters with half of them measuring 450 yards or longer and the par 3’s measuring 200 yards or longer. The fairways are fairly wide and forgiving and the greens are also quite large so scoring should be good this week.

The main areas of focus here are previous form/current form, driving distance, GIR, SGP, par 4 scoring and par 5 scoring.

 

Henrik Stenson 20/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Henrik Stenson 20/1 

The Swede has been battling injury post Ryder Cup with his right knee but looks back to full fitness here. He played superb in The Ryder Cup and took US Superstar Jordan Spieth apart in the singles on Sunday driving and putting beautifully. He hasn’t played much over the last few weeks but played with huge dominance at the Open shooting rounds 68,65,68,63 to beat his nearest challenger Phil Mickelson by three strokes. He followed that with a T7 at The PGA and a solo second in Rio at The Olympics.

Stenson has a good record here in Sheshan finishing ninth in ’07, fifth on ’08, ninth in ’09, 13th in ’10, 24th in ’14 and 11th last year. He has the mix of accuracy and distance ranking first in SG approach to the green, 16th in SGP and first in GIR. If he is back fit and healthy I expect Henrik to have a solid week here at a venue that should suit his game.

 

Patrick Reed 33/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Patrick Reed 33/1 

Despite a poor finish last week in Malaysia, Patrick Reed has been playing some great golf over the last few weeks and was superb in the Ryder Cup particularly against Rory McIlroy in the singles. Reed finished T51 last week at The CIMB Classic which was his first finish outside the top 25 in 11 starts. After a fantastic win at The Barclays, Reed followed that with a T5 at The Deutsche Bank, T13 at The BMW and a T24 at The Tour Championship.

He has played well here in the past finishing seventh last year and 22nd in 2014. Statswise he ranks eighth in SG around the green, eighth in scrambling, 22nd in par 3 scoring and tenth in par 5 scoring. He looks a generous price here this week and could have a good week.

 

Russell Knox 40/1 WGC-HSBC Champions Betting Preview 2016Russell Knox 40/1 

The defending champion finished off the season well and comes here in decent form. He had a good week in Malaysia finishing in a respectable T10 at The CIMB Classic and hit over 80% of greens in regulation. He had a superb win at the Travelers Championship and didn’t shoot worse than a 68 all week to finish 14 under in total. He followed that with a T15 at The Deutsche Bank and a T17 at The BMW. He had a brilliant week here last year shooting 67,65,68,68 to finish 20 under par in total beating his closest challenger Kevin Kisner by two strokes.

Knox is one of the most accurate players on tour ranking eighth in driving accuracy, ninth in GIR and 34th in par 4 scoring. If he putts well he could have a great chance here.

 

Alexander Levy 80/1

The Frenchman looks extremely overpriced here this week considering his current form and excellent record in China. Levy won the 2014 China Open and finished third the following year and was runner up at the 2014 BMW Masters which he should’ve won if it weren’t for a disastrous final round 78. He played well at The Sheshan International this year on the European Tour finishing fourth. He has been playing well over the last few weeks with a T18 at The European Masters, T7 at The Italian Open, a win at The European Open and a T4 at The British Masters.

He has only played this event once finishing T14 in 2014 and could have the game to suit this course. With a great record here in China over the last few years and a promising debut here in 2014 Levy looks fantastic value here.

 

Final selections –

Henrik Stenson 1pt EW 20/1

Patrick Reed 1pt EW 33/1

Russell Knox 0.5pt EW 40/1

Alexander Levy 0.5pt EW 80/1

Total staked = 6 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

 

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WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015 betting tips

TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, California

7,115 yards Par 71

 

 

Last week:

We had another great week in New Orleans tipping Justin Rose at 10/1 and Cameron Tringale at 50/1. That makes Justin Rose our ninth winner of the season and Cameron Tringale our 12th each way place. Let’s keep it going for the Matchplay this week!

The Course and Format

There is a new format this year with 64 players being divided into 16 groups of four who will compete in a round robin style. The winner of each group will go forward into a final group of 16 and will play in a bracket format. Each player will get to play three matches, one each against the others in the group. All matches will be taking place from Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with the finalists going through to the weekend. Previous winners include Jason Day (2014), Matt Kuchar (2013), Hunter Mahan (2012), Luke Donald (2011), Ian Poulter (2010) Geoff Ogilvy (2009) and Tiger Woods (2008).

TPC Harding Park is a 7,127 yard par 71 and hosted the WGC American Express event back in 2005 and the Presidents Cup in 2009. It has three par 5’s, two of which are the first and 18th, four par 3’s and 11 par 4’s. The course is a fairly flat layout wit tree lined fairways and some dog legs. The greens are not too difficult and there are not too many bunkers to contend with.

The main things to lookout for are par 4 scoring; strokes gained putting, GIR and good matchplay players. Be on the lookout for players that have had success in The Ryder Cup, Presidents Cup and previous WGC Matchplay events over the last few years. This week has the looks of being a little unpredictable so keep your stake low as anything could happen!

 

Jordan Spieth 9/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay

Jordan Spieth 9/1

After a favourable draw getting Lee Westwood, Mikko Ilonen and Matt Every, Jordan Spieth should have no problem topping his group and progressing to the final 16. However, they may not be as easy as you think. Westwood and Ilonen both have good matchplay records with Westy a Ryder Cup veteran and Ilonen a previous winner of the Volvo World Matchplay. Spieth is the best player on the planet at the moment in terms of form and has a good matchplay record in both The Ryder Cup, where he played superb with fellow rookie Patrick Reed, and in this event in Arizona last year, where he reached the quarter finals only to be beaten 4 and 2 to Ernie Els.

Spieth has recorded two wins in his last five events, which came at Augusta and The Valspar. He also finished solo 2nd in Texas and lost in a playoff in Houston. In his last eight events, he has only finished outside the top 10 twice. The youngster also ticks a lot of statistical boxes ranking fifth in strokes gained tee to green, eighth in strokes gained putting, 22nd in par 3 scoring and second in par 4 scoring. With superb current form and a favourable group, Jordan Spieth looks a worthy favourite here this week.

 

Jaosn Day 16/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Jason Day 16/1

After being in contention last week in New Orleans, Day made a couple of late bogeys and took himself out of it. In an interview afterwards, he admitted that humidity and the fact that he had to play roughly 30 holes on Sunday took a lot out of him, especially on the back nine, which made him make some unforced errors due to a lack of concentration. That’s fair enough.

He faces Charley Hoffman, Zach Johnson and Branden Grace in group 7 and should advance to the final 16. After winning this event last year in a final round tussle with Victor Dubuisson, Day managed to get the job done, despite the Frenchman’s stunning scrambling. The Aussie has been playing well this season with a win at Torrey Pines and a further three top five’s in his last eight starts.

He ranks seventh in GIR, 15th in stroke gained tee to green, first in par 4 scoring and second in par 3 scoring. With a great matchplay record in both this event and in The Presidents Cup, Day could be a danger man here, especially after a good performance last week in New Orleans.

 

Patrick Reed 25/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015Patrick Reed 25/1

I think the young American could have a great week in San Fran this week given his performance in The Ryder Cup and his very competitive prowess. He is grouped with Danny Willett, Andy Sullivan and Ryan Moore. He is playing well this year with a win at The Hyundai Tournament of Champions back in January and top 10’s at The Honda Classic and a P2 at The Valspar in which he lost in a playoff to Jordan Spieth.

Most recently, he had an MC at The RBC Heritage, but finished in a respectable T22 at Augusta and a T17 in Houston. Statswise he seems to fit well here ranking 19th in strokes gained tee to green, 21st in strokes gained putting, 32nd in par 3 scoring, 22nd in par 4 scoring and 11th in par 5 scoring. With a favourable draw in the group stages and good matchplay pedigree, Reed is another player capable of having a good week.

 

Ian Poulter 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchhplay 2015

Ian Poulter 33/1

Poulter is playing well so far this season and has been inside the top 25 in five of his last six events. He played well at The Honda Classic finishing T3, which would have been a lot better if it weren’t for a disappointing final round 74. He continued that good run of form with a T24 at The Valspar, T21 at Bay Hill and a superb T6 in Augusta. Despite a 73 in round one, Poulter went on to shoot 72, 67,67 over the weekend and hit most greens in regulation for the tournament.

We all know he thrives in a matchplay environment and has the Ryder Cup and WGC Matchplay record to prove it. He has played well in this event over the years reaching the Quarter Finals in 2013 and defeated Paul Casey in the final to win in 2010. Poulter ranks 32nd in GIR, 37th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in three putt avoidance and sixth in par 4 scoring. If he gets the putter hot and starts well, he could be a tough man to beat.

 

Paul Casey 33/1 WGC Cadillac Matchplay 2015

Paul Casey 33/1

Casey is playing good golf so far this season with three top 10’s in his last five starts. He had a good week at The Honda Classic finishing T3 and followed that with a solo 9th in Houston and an impressive T6 at The Masters. Casey was another player who hit a lot of greens in Augusta and putted superbly. He has a great matchplay record performing in three Ryder Cups and reaching two WGC Matchplay finals. He got to the final in 2009, but was beaten by Geoff Ogilvy and reached the final in 2010, where he was beaten by fellow countryman Ian Poulter 7 and 6.

Casey ranks 16th in GIR, 17th in strokes gained tee to green, 14th in par 4 scoring and sixth in par 5 scoring. With a great matchplay record and good current form, Paul Casey will be well rested and ready to contend this week.

 

Final selections –

Jordan Speith 2 pts EW 9/1

Jason Day 1 pt EW 16/1

Patrick Reed 1 pt EW 25/1

Ian Poulter 1 pt EW 33/1

Paul Casey 1 pt EW 33/1

Total staked = 12 pts

 

Good luck and enjoy the golf,

 

Doublebogey6

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