Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018

Wells Fargo Championship 2018 Betting PreviewThe Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte, North Carolina 

7,442 yards, Par 72 

The Course 

The Quail Hollow Club is located in Charlotte measuring 7,554 yards with four par 5’s, four par 3’s and ten par 4’s. Previous winners include Brian Harman (2017), Rory McIlroy (2015 and 2010), J.B. Holmes (2014), Derek Ernst (2013), Rickie Fowler (2012), Lucas Glover (2011) and Sean O’Hair (2009). 

The course was originally designed by golf course architect George Cobb in 1961 to capture the beauty as well as challenging terrain of the Piedmont region. In the intervening years, the course underwent a series of improvements, including modifications of several holes by Arnold Palmer in 1986, and a redesign by Tom Fazio in 1997, 2003 and 2013.  

It was lengthened fractionally in preparation for the 2017 PGA Championship with three holes redesigned. The eighth hole was reduced to just under 350 yards and will be drivable by some of the field and the 16th saw some big changes with water now coming into play. The 17th was also revamped and is also longer measuring just over 220 yards. The greens were also changed from bentgrass to champion bermuda from 2014 onwards due to some negative comments after the 2013 edition.  

The trees that line the fairways have been cut back and thinned out so driving accuracy isn’t as important as it used to be. The final three holes are known as the green mile, which includes the 346 yard par 4 16th, the 223 yard par 3 17th and the tricky par 4 18th. The main stats that stand out here are driving accuracy/distance, par 4 and par 5 scoring, GIR and good previous/current form. 

 

Patrick Reed 20/1 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018Patrick Reed 20/1  

The Masters champion has been in flying form over the last few weeks and returns to a venue that has been kind to him in the past.  

Reed’s good run of form began back at the start of March where he shot three rounds of 69 or better to post a T2 at the Valspar in Copperhead, which included a 67,68 over the weekend. He then followed that with a T7 at Bay Hill and then travelled to the WGC Matchplay where he got himself into the last 16 but was knocked out by Swede Alex Noren 5&3. Reed tee’d it up with partner Patrick Cantlay last week at the Zurich Classic and finished T7 for the tournament and showed no signs of a major hangover.  

It was in Augusta where the American played superbly shooting 69,66,67 in the first three rounds. He capped off a great week with a final round 71, which was enough to see off Rickie Fowler and Jordan Spieth who were both snapping at his heels throughout Sunday afternoon.  

Reed played very solidly at this venue last year shooting three rounds of 69 or better to finish T2, only two strokes behind winner Justin Thomas. If it weren’t for a disappointing second round 73, it possibly could’ve been a different outcome.   

His first PGA Tour victory came at the Wyndham Championship back in 2013 (where he won at around 80/1) in Greensboro, North Carolina close by so that could be another positive for him.  

Statswise he ticks a lot of boxes here averaging just under 300 yards off the tee and ranks 25th in SGTTG. He also ranks 15th in par 4 scoring and first in par 4 birdie or better leaders. He seems to be playing with a lot of confidence lately so the 20/1 looks pretty generous.  

 

Ryan Moore 23/10 Wells Fargo Championship Betting Preview 2018Ryan Moore Top 20 Finish – 23/10 

Moore looks to be in fine form lately with four top 10’s and a top 20 in his last nine starts. After finishing T7 at the OHL Classic in Mexico, he followed that with a T9 at the Genesis Open in Riviera which included two opening 68’s.  

He then travelled to Bay Hill shooting rounds of 71,67,69,71 to post 10 under in total and T5 for the tournament and followed that with a T16 at the RBC Heritage, which included three rounds of 69 or better.  

Most recently, Moore teed it up at the Valero Texas Open a couple of weeks ago posting an impressive solo seventh to finish 11 under for the tournament which warms him up nicely for this week.  

His first PGA Tour victory came here in North Carolina at the 2009 Wyndham Championship in Sedgefield Country Club so that could be another big positive here. His record here in Quail Hollow is impressive with two top 10’s and two top 20’s in his last six appearances here finishing fifth in 2012, sixth in 2013, T18 in 2014 and T13 last year.

 

I fancied a few others in this market like Kevin Streelman, Trey Mullinax and Ben An all playing well and reasonably priced so they could also be worth a look.  

 

Final Selections –  

Patrick Reed 1.5pts EW  *Paddypower paying 8 places at 1/5* 

Ryan Moore Top 20 3pts at 23/10

Total staked = 6 pts 

 

Enjoy the golf and good luck if you’re having a punt, 

Doublebogey6

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